Opinion Poll by Ipsos MORI, 18–22 May 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 40.2% 38.2–42.2% 37.7–42.8% 37.2–43.3% 36.3–44.2%
Labour Party 40.0% 40.2% 38.2–42.2% 37.7–42.8% 37.2–43.3% 36.3–44.2%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.8–8.5% 5.6–8.7% 5.2–9.3%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
Green Party 1.6% 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 2.0% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.7% 0.1–0.8% 0.1–0.9% 0.1–1.1%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 285 260–317 256–321 249–327 245–338
Labour Party 262 275 247–300 242–305 238–311 231–313
Liberal Democrats 12 10 4–15 3–17 2–18 1–20
Scottish National Party 35 58 54–58 54–58 51–58 46–58
Green Party 1 2 1–3 1–3 1–3 1–3
UK Independence Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0.1% 100%  
237 0.1% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0% 99.7%  
240 0% 99.7%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.6%  
243 0% 99.6%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0.5% 99.6%  
246 0% 99.1%  
247 0% 99.1%  
248 0% 99.1%  
249 2% 99.0%  
250 0.2% 97%  
251 0.1% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0% 96%  
254 1.0% 96%  
255 0.2% 95%  
256 3% 95%  
257 0.9% 92%  
258 0.6% 92%  
259 0.7% 91%  
260 0.8% 90%  
261 0.1% 89%  
262 0.9% 89%  
263 2% 88%  
264 2% 86%  
265 0.8% 85%  
266 0.1% 84%  
267 3% 84%  
268 3% 80%  
269 5% 77%  
270 0.1% 72%  
271 6% 72%  
272 0.2% 66%  
273 1.4% 66%  
274 6% 64%  
275 0.2% 59%  
276 1.1% 59%  
277 0.3% 57%  
278 0.2% 57%  
279 0.2% 57%  
280 2% 57%  
281 1.1% 55%  
282 0.1% 54%  
283 0.1% 53%  
284 0.1% 53%  
285 8% 53% Median
286 0.1% 45%  
287 1.5% 45%  
288 0.1% 43%  
289 0.6% 43%  
290 0.3% 43%  
291 0.4% 42%  
292 0.1% 42%  
293 8% 42%  
294 0.1% 34%  
295 0.5% 34%  
296 0.5% 33%  
297 9% 33%  
298 0.1% 24%  
299 0.2% 24%  
300 0.4% 24%  
301 0% 23%  
302 0.1% 23%  
303 0.9% 23%  
304 0.1% 22%  
305 0.1% 22%  
306 0.7% 22%  
307 6% 21%  
308 3% 15%  
309 0.4% 13%  
310 0.5% 12%  
311 0.4% 12%  
312 0.2% 12%  
313 0.1% 11%  
314 0.3% 11%  
315 0.4% 11%  
316 0.3% 10%  
317 4% 10% Last Result
318 0.1% 7%  
319 0.8% 7%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.8% 5%  
322 0.1% 4%  
323 0.1% 4%  
324 0.7% 4%  
325 0.2% 4%  
326 0.8% 3% Majority
327 0.6% 3%  
328 0.7% 2%  
329 0.1% 1.3%  
330 0.1% 1.1%  
331 0.1% 1.0%  
332 0.1% 0.9%  
333 0.1% 0.8%  
334 0% 0.8%  
335 0.2% 0.8%  
336 0% 0.6%  
337 0% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0.3% 0.5%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0.1% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0.1% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.6%  
230 0% 99.6%  
231 0.3% 99.6%  
232 0.1% 99.3%  
233 0.2% 99.2%  
234 0.1% 99.0%  
235 0.2% 98.9%  
236 0.1% 98.7%  
237 0.7% 98.6%  
238 0.9% 98%  
239 0.2% 97%  
240 2% 97%  
241 0.2% 95%  
242 0.6% 95%  
243 0.5% 94%  
244 0.1% 94%  
245 0% 94%  
246 0.5% 94%  
247 4% 93%  
248 0.2% 90%  
249 2% 90%  
250 0.1% 88%  
251 0.8% 88%  
252 0.4% 87%  
253 0% 87%  
254 0% 87%  
255 0.6% 87%  
256 0.8% 86%  
257 0.3% 85%  
258 6% 85%  
259 1.1% 79%  
260 0.1% 78%  
261 0.4% 78%  
262 1.0% 78% Last Result
263 3% 77%  
264 6% 73%  
265 0% 68%  
266 0% 68%  
267 0.3% 68%  
268 0.5% 67%  
269 8% 67%  
270 0.2% 59%  
271 0.3% 59%  
272 2% 58%  
273 1.5% 56%  
274 0.7% 55%  
275 6% 54% Median
276 0.1% 48%  
277 0.5% 48%  
278 0.1% 48%  
279 0.3% 48%  
280 0.1% 47%  
281 0.2% 47%  
282 1.1% 47%  
283 2% 46%  
284 1.1% 44%  
285 0.4% 43%  
286 5% 43%  
287 0.8% 38%  
288 6% 37%  
289 0.2% 31%  
290 0.2% 31%  
291 2% 31%  
292 2% 29%  
293 2% 27%  
294 4% 25%  
295 2% 22%  
296 4% 19%  
297 3% 15%  
298 0.5% 12%  
299 1.5% 12%  
300 0.9% 10%  
301 0.5% 9%  
302 0.6% 9%  
303 0.1% 8%  
304 0.9% 8%  
305 3% 7%  
306 0.7% 4%  
307 0.1% 4%  
308 0.1% 4%  
309 0.2% 4%  
310 0.3% 3%  
311 2% 3%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.3% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.5%  
315 0% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.4%  
317 0% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.5% 100%  
1 0.1% 99.5%  
2 2% 99.4%  
3 3% 97%  
4 10% 94%  
5 9% 84%  
6 2% 75%  
7 2% 74%  
8 3% 72%  
9 6% 69%  
10 17% 63% Median
11 15% 46%  
12 12% 31% Last Result
13 6% 20%  
14 2% 13%  
15 5% 11%  
16 1.2% 6%  
17 2% 5%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.8% 2%  
20 0.3% 0.7%  
21 0.1% 0.4%  
22 0% 0.3%  
23 0.1% 0.3%  
24 0.1% 0.2%  
25 0% 0.1%  
26 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 99.9%  
37 0% 99.9%  
38 0% 99.9%  
39 0% 99.9%  
40 0% 99.9%  
41 0% 99.9%  
42 0.1% 99.9%  
43 0% 99.8%  
44 0.1% 99.8%  
45 0.2% 99.7%  
46 0.1% 99.5%  
47 0.2% 99.5%  
48 0.4% 99.3%  
49 0.1% 98.9%  
50 0.2% 98.8%  
51 2% 98.6%  
52 0.4% 97%  
53 1.1% 96%  
54 7% 95%  
55 10% 89%  
56 3% 79%  
57 18% 76%  
58 57% 58% Median
59 0.2% 0.2%  
60 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 19% 100% Last Result
2 65% 81% Median
3 16% 16%  
4 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.7% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.3% 0.3%  
2 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 35% 100%  
1 22% 65% Median
2 13% 43%  
3 9% 30%  
4 17% 21% Last Result
5 4% 4%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 344 79% 318–374 315–379 308–385 303–394
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 343 78% 316–372 312–377 307–384 301–392
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 345 78% 314–370 310–374 304–381 293–385
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 343 78% 314–369 306–372 302–380 292–382
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 334 67% 306–358 300–366 295–370 286–373
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 333 66% 305–357 298–363 294–369 286–371
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 295 10% 273–325 264–330 260–335 256–345
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 286 4% 262–317 258–324 250–328 247–339
Conservative Party 317 285 3% 260–317 256–321 249–327 245–338
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 287 1.0% 258–313 253–318 246–323 239–330
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 286 0.6% 257–311 252–316 245–322 237–327
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 277 0% 248–300 244–308 240–312 232–315
Labour Party 262 275 0% 247–300 242–305 238–311 231–313

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
294 0% 100%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.7%  
299 0% 99.7%  
300 0.1% 99.7%  
301 0% 99.6%  
302 0% 99.5%  
303 0% 99.5%  
304 0% 99.5%  
305 0.4% 99.4%  
306 0.1% 99.0%  
307 0.4% 99.0%  
308 2% 98.5%  
309 0.2% 97%  
310 0.1% 96%  
311 0.1% 96%  
312 0.5% 96%  
313 0% 96%  
314 0.1% 96%  
315 1.0% 96%  
316 2% 95%  
317 3% 93%  
318 0.8% 90%  
319 0.2% 89%  
320 3% 89%  
321 1.4% 86%  
322 0.3% 85%  
323 0.7% 85%  
324 3% 84%  
325 2% 81%  
326 0.1% 79% Majority
327 0.1% 79%  
328 0.3% 78%  
329 8% 78%  
330 5% 70%  
331 3% 65%  
332 0% 62%  
333 3% 62%  
334 0.5% 59%  
335 0.4% 58%  
336 0.6% 58%  
337 0.2% 57%  
338 2% 57%  
339 1.1% 55%  
340 0.2% 54%  
341 0.3% 54%  
342 1.1% 53%  
343 1.0% 52%  
344 5% 51% Median
345 2% 46%  
346 0.1% 45%  
347 0.5% 45%  
348 2% 44%  
349 0.9% 43%  
350 0.4% 42%  
351 8% 41%  
352 3% 34%  
353 0.3% 31%  
354 0.2% 30%  
355 5% 30%  
356 0.2% 25% Last Result
357 0.2% 25%  
358 0.8% 24%  
359 0.2% 24%  
360 0.3% 23%  
361 0.2% 23%  
362 1.0% 23%  
363 0.2% 22%  
364 0% 22%  
365 0.1% 22%  
366 1.1% 22%  
367 7% 20%  
368 0.5% 13%  
369 0.7% 13%  
370 0.7% 12%  
371 0.4% 11%  
372 0.6% 11%  
373 0.2% 10%  
374 0.7% 10%  
375 3% 9%  
376 0.4% 6%  
377 0.6% 6%  
378 0.1% 5%  
379 0.7% 5%  
380 0.1% 4%  
381 0.1% 4%  
382 0.7% 4%  
383 0.1% 3%  
384 0.4% 3%  
385 0.6% 3%  
386 0.6% 2%  
387 0% 2%  
388 0.7% 2%  
389 0.1% 1.0%  
390 0.1% 0.9%  
391 0.1% 0.8%  
392 0.1% 0.7%  
393 0% 0.6%  
394 0.2% 0.5%  
395 0% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.3%  
397 0.1% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0.1% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0% 100%  
293 0.1% 99.9%  
294 0.1% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.7%  
296 0% 99.7%  
297 0% 99.7%  
298 0% 99.7%  
299 0% 99.6%  
300 0.1% 99.6%  
301 0.1% 99.5%  
302 0.1% 99.4%  
303 0.4% 99.4%  
304 0% 99.0%  
305 0.2% 99.0%  
306 0% 98.8%  
307 2% 98.8%  
308 0.2% 96%  
309 0% 96%  
310 0% 96%  
311 0.5% 96%  
312 1.0% 96%  
313 0.2% 95%  
314 4% 95%  
315 0.3% 91%  
316 1.0% 90%  
317 0.1% 89%  
318 1.0% 89%  
319 0.3% 88%  
320 3% 88%  
321 0.8% 85%  
322 0.1% 84%  
323 2% 84%  
324 3% 82%  
325 0.2% 78%  
326 2% 78% Majority
327 6% 77%  
328 0.3% 70%  
329 11% 70%  
330 0.1% 59%  
331 0.3% 59%  
332 0.4% 59%  
333 0.2% 58%  
334 0.9% 58%  
335 0.5% 57%  
336 0.2% 57%  
337 0.3% 56%  
338 2% 56%  
339 1.0% 54%  
340 0.1% 53%  
341 0% 53%  
342 2% 53%  
343 8% 52% Median
344 0.1% 44%  
345 0.7% 43%  
346 0.7% 43%  
347 0.3% 42%  
348 0.2% 42%  
349 0.5% 42%  
350 8% 41%  
351 4% 33%  
352 0.2% 29% Last Result
353 0.2% 29%  
354 0.1% 29%  
355 5% 29%  
356 0.3% 24%  
357 0.2% 23%  
358 0.2% 23%  
359 0.1% 23%  
360 0% 23%  
361 0.9% 23%  
362 0.1% 22%  
363 0.2% 22%  
364 0.5% 22%  
365 7% 21%  
366 2% 14%  
367 0.8% 12%  
368 0.5% 11%  
369 0% 11%  
370 0.1% 11%  
371 0% 11%  
372 1.2% 11%  
373 0.6% 9%  
374 0.1% 9%  
375 3% 9%  
376 0.1% 6%  
377 0.9% 6%  
378 0.7% 5%  
379 0.4% 4%  
380 0.1% 3%  
381 0.1% 3%  
382 0% 3%  
383 0.2% 3%  
384 1.2% 3%  
385 0.4% 2%  
386 0.5% 1.4%  
387 0% 0.9%  
388 0% 0.9%  
389 0.1% 0.8%  
390 0.1% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0.1% 0.6%  
393 0.1% 0.5%  
394 0.2% 0.4%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0% 99.8%  
292 0.3% 99.8%  
293 0% 99.5%  
294 0% 99.5%  
295 0.1% 99.5%  
296 0.1% 99.4%  
297 0% 99.2%  
298 0.1% 99.2%  
299 0.1% 99.1%  
300 0% 99.0%  
301 0.2% 99.0%  
302 0.4% 98.8%  
303 0.9% 98%  
304 1.0% 98%  
305 0.1% 96%  
306 0.4% 96%  
307 0.3% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.2% 96%  
310 1.3% 95%  
311 0.3% 94%  
312 0.7% 94%  
313 0.3% 93% Last Result
314 3% 93%  
315 0.2% 90%  
316 0.4% 89%  
317 0.4% 89%  
318 0% 89%  
319 0.4% 89%  
320 0.7% 88%  
321 1.1% 88%  
322 2% 87%  
323 6% 85%  
324 0.7% 79%  
325 0.2% 78%  
326 0.1% 78% Majority
327 0% 78%  
328 1.0% 78%  
329 0% 77%  
330 0.5% 77%  
331 0.1% 76%  
332 0.2% 76%  
333 8% 76%  
334 1.1% 68%  
335 0.5% 67%  
336 0% 66%  
337 8% 66%  
338 0.1% 58%  
339 0.4% 58%  
340 0.2% 58%  
341 0.4% 57%  
342 1.1% 57%  
343 0% 56%  
344 6% 56% Median
345 2% 50%  
346 1.2% 48%  
347 0% 47%  
348 0% 47%  
349 1.1% 46%  
350 2% 45%  
351 0.3% 43%  
352 0.2% 43%  
353 0.4% 43%  
354 1.1% 43%  
355 5% 41%  
356 0.7% 36%  
357 1.4% 36%  
358 0.1% 34%  
359 6% 34%  
360 0.2% 28%  
361 5% 28%  
362 0% 23%  
363 7% 23%  
364 0.3% 16%  
365 0.6% 16%  
366 2% 15%  
367 0.7% 14%  
368 2% 13%  
369 1.3% 11%  
370 0.8% 10%  
371 0.6% 9%  
372 0.3% 9%  
373 0.9% 8%  
374 3% 8%  
375 0.2% 5%  
376 1.0% 5%  
377 0.1% 4%  
378 0.3% 4%  
379 0.1% 3%  
380 0.3% 3%  
381 2% 3%  
382 0.2% 1.1%  
383 0% 0.9%  
384 0.3% 0.9%  
385 0.1% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.5%  
387 0% 0.4%  
388 0% 0.4%  
389 0% 0.3%  
390 0% 0.3%  
391 0% 0.3%  
392 0.2% 0.3%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0.1% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0% 99.8%  
290 0% 99.8%  
291 0.1% 99.7%  
292 0.3% 99.7%  
293 0% 99.4%  
294 0% 99.3%  
295 0.1% 99.3%  
296 0.2% 99.2%  
297 0.1% 99.0%  
298 0.1% 98.9%  
299 0.1% 98.9%  
300 0.6% 98.8%  
301 0.1% 98%  
302 0.7% 98%  
303 0.9% 97%  
304 0.1% 96%  
305 0.3% 96%  
306 1.0% 96%  
307 0% 95%  
308 0.1% 95%  
309 0.7% 95% Last Result
310 0.6% 94%  
311 0.8% 93%  
312 0.1% 93%  
313 0.1% 93%  
314 3% 92%  
315 0.4% 89%  
316 0.6% 89%  
317 0.5% 88%  
318 0.6% 88%  
319 0.7% 87%  
320 2% 87%  
321 7% 85%  
322 0.1% 78%  
323 0% 78%  
324 0.2% 78%  
325 0.1% 78%  
326 0.3% 78% Majority
327 1.0% 77%  
328 0.3% 77%  
329 0.8% 76%  
330 0.1% 75%  
331 1.1% 75%  
332 3% 74%  
333 5% 71%  
334 0.2% 66%  
335 0.4% 66%  
336 8% 66%  
337 0% 58%  
338 0.7% 58%  
339 0.2% 57%  
340 2% 57%  
341 0.9% 55%  
342 0.5% 54%  
343 5% 54% Median
344 0.8% 49%  
345 1.0% 48%  
346 0.7% 47%  
347 0.6% 46%  
348 0% 46%  
349 1.3% 46%  
350 2% 44%  
351 0.2% 43%  
352 1.0% 42%  
353 2% 42%  
354 0.6% 40%  
355 8% 39%  
356 0.1% 31%  
357 2% 31%  
358 3% 29%  
359 5% 26%  
360 0.1% 21%  
361 2% 21%  
362 0.1% 19%  
363 3% 19%  
364 0% 16%  
365 0.7% 16%  
366 3% 15%  
367 1.1% 12%  
368 0.8% 11%  
369 1.1% 10%  
370 0.2% 9%  
371 4% 9%  
372 1.3% 5%  
373 0% 4%  
374 0% 4%  
375 0.1% 4%  
376 0.1% 4%  
377 0.1% 4%  
378 0.4% 4%  
379 0% 3%  
380 2% 3%  
381 0.1% 0.9%  
382 0.4% 0.8%  
383 0% 0.5%  
384 0% 0.4%  
385 0% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.4%  
387 0% 0.4%  
388 0.1% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.3%  
390 0.1% 0.3%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0.3% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.5%  
288 0.1% 99.4%  
289 0.1% 99.4%  
290 0.2% 99.2%  
291 0.3% 99.1%  
292 0% 98.8%  
293 0.3% 98.8%  
294 0.4% 98%  
295 0.9% 98%  
296 0.2% 97%  
297 0.1% 97%  
298 1.4% 97%  
299 0.4% 96%  
300 0.6% 95%  
301 0.3% 95% Last Result
302 0.7% 94%  
303 0.1% 94%  
304 0.4% 93%  
305 3% 93%  
306 0.9% 90%  
307 0.1% 89%  
308 1.4% 89%  
309 0.4% 88%  
310 0.3% 87%  
311 0.6% 87%  
312 0.1% 86%  
313 0.3% 86%  
314 0% 86%  
315 0.1% 86%  
316 0.4% 86%  
317 1.1% 85%  
318 10% 84%  
319 0.1% 74%  
320 0.1% 74%  
321 0.2% 74%  
322 5% 74%  
323 2% 69%  
324 0.2% 68%  
325 0.2% 67%  
326 0.4% 67% Majority
327 8% 67%  
328 0.3% 59%  
329 0.2% 59%  
330 1.2% 58%  
331 0.5% 57%  
332 0% 57%  
333 2% 57%  
334 5% 55% Median
335 2% 50%  
336 0.2% 47%  
337 0.1% 47%  
338 0.1% 47%  
339 0.1% 47%  
340 0.2% 47%  
341 2% 47%  
342 2% 45%  
343 5% 43%  
344 2% 38%  
345 0.4% 36%  
346 1.0% 36%  
347 0.5% 35%  
348 5% 34%  
349 0.4% 30%  
350 2% 29%  
351 4% 27%  
352 0.2% 23%  
353 2% 23%  
354 0.4% 21%  
355 3% 20%  
356 0.4% 17%  
357 7% 17%  
358 1.1% 10%  
359 0.1% 9%  
360 0.7% 9%  
361 0.2% 8%  
362 0% 8%  
363 0.2% 8%  
364 0.7% 8%  
365 0% 7%  
366 4% 7%  
367 0.1% 3%  
368 0.2% 3%  
369 0.2% 3%  
370 2% 3%  
371 0% 0.8%  
372 0% 0.8%  
373 0.3% 0.8%  
374 0.1% 0.4%  
375 0% 0.4%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.3%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0.1% 0.3%  
380 0.1% 0.2%  
381 0.1% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.3% 99.6%  
287 0% 99.3%  
288 0.1% 99.3%  
289 0.2% 99.2%  
290 0.3% 99.0%  
291 0.5% 98.8%  
292 0% 98%  
293 0.2% 98%  
294 1.0% 98%  
295 0.9% 97%  
296 0.2% 96%  
297 0.2% 96% Last Result
298 1.2% 96%  
299 0.4% 94%  
300 0.6% 94%  
301 0.1% 94%  
302 0.2% 94%  
303 0.1% 93%  
304 0.6% 93%  
305 3% 93%  
306 1.4% 89%  
307 0.6% 88%  
308 0.1% 87%  
309 0.5% 87%  
310 0.1% 86%  
311 0.1% 86%  
312 0.4% 86%  
313 0.9% 86%  
314 0.8% 85%  
315 0.1% 84%  
316 6% 84%  
317 4% 78%  
318 0.1% 74%  
319 0.1% 74%  
320 1.0% 74%  
321 0.3% 73%  
322 6% 73%  
323 0% 67%  
324 0.3% 67%  
325 0.7% 67%  
326 8% 66% Majority
327 0.1% 58%  
328 0% 58%  
329 0.1% 58%  
330 3% 58%  
331 2% 55%  
332 0.2% 53%  
333 5% 53% Median
334 0.2% 48%  
335 0.2% 47%  
336 0.3% 47%  
337 0% 47%  
338 0% 47%  
339 0.3% 47%  
340 2% 46%  
341 2% 44%  
342 1.4% 42%  
343 5% 41%  
344 3% 36%  
345 0.4% 32%  
346 0.9% 32%  
347 0.3% 31%  
348 3% 31%  
349 2% 28%  
350 1.0% 25%  
351 3% 24%  
352 0.5% 21%  
353 3% 20%  
354 4% 18%  
355 3% 14%  
356 0.7% 11%  
357 0.7% 10%  
358 1.2% 10%  
359 0.1% 8%  
360 0.1% 8%  
361 0.3% 8%  
362 0.9% 8%  
363 3% 7%  
364 0.7% 4%  
365 0% 4%  
366 0.4% 3%  
367 0.2% 3%  
368 0.2% 3%  
369 2% 3%  
370 0.1% 0.8%  
371 0.3% 0.7%  
372 0% 0.4%  
373 0% 0.4%  
374 0% 0.3%  
375 0% 0.3%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.2%  
378 0.1% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
248 0% 100%  
249 0.1% 99.9%  
250 0.2% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.7%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0% 99.7%  
256 0.4% 99.6%  
257 0% 99.3%  
258 0% 99.2%  
259 0.1% 99.2%  
260 2% 99.2%  
261 0.1% 97%  
262 0.3% 97%  
263 0.1% 97%  
264 4% 97%  
265 0.7% 93%  
266 0.2% 92%  
267 0% 92%  
268 0% 92%  
269 0.1% 92%  
270 0.6% 92%  
271 0.4% 91%  
272 0.9% 91%  
273 6% 90%  
274 1.0% 84%  
275 3% 83%  
276 0.6% 80%  
277 0.2% 79%  
278 2% 79%  
279 3% 77%  
280 1.5% 74%  
281 2% 72%  
282 5% 70%  
283 0.5% 66%  
284 1.1% 65%  
285 0.4% 64%  
286 7% 64%  
287 0.1% 57%  
288 2% 57%  
289 2% 55%  
290 0.2% 53%  
291 0.1% 53%  
292 0.1% 53%  
293 0.2% 53%  
294 0.8% 53%  
295 7% 52% Median
296 0.6% 45%  
297 0.1% 45%  
298 2% 45%  
299 0% 43%  
300 1.3% 43%  
301 0.6% 42%  
302 0.3% 41%  
303 8% 41%  
304 0.3% 33%  
305 0.2% 33%  
306 0% 33%  
307 0.2% 32%  
308 6% 32%  
309 0.2% 26%  
310 0.1% 26%  
311 0.1% 26%  
312 11% 26%  
313 0.3% 15%  
314 0.4% 15%  
315 0% 14%  
316 0.1% 14%  
317 0.1% 14%  
318 0.3% 14%  
319 0.6% 14%  
320 0.1% 13%  
321 0.7% 13%  
322 1.4% 12%  
323 0.1% 11%  
324 0.2% 11%  
325 0.7% 11%  
326 3% 10% Majority
327 0.5% 7%  
328 0.7% 6%  
329 0.1% 6% Last Result
330 0.8% 6%  
331 0.5% 5%  
332 0.1% 4%  
333 1.2% 4%  
334 0.2% 3%  
335 0.8% 3%  
336 0.4% 2%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 0.3% 2%  
339 0.3% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 0.9%  
341 0.1% 0.8%  
342 0.1% 0.7%  
343 0% 0.6%  
344 0% 0.6%  
345 0.2% 0.5%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0.1% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
238 0.1% 100%  
239 0% 99.8%  
240 0.1% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.7%  
242 0.1% 99.7%  
243 0% 99.6%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0% 99.6%  
246 0% 99.6%  
247 0.3% 99.6%  
248 0% 99.2%  
249 0.1% 99.2%  
250 2% 99.1%  
251 0.2% 97%  
252 0.4% 97%  
253 0% 96%  
254 0.2% 96%  
255 0% 96%  
256 0% 96%  
257 0% 96%  
258 2% 96%  
259 3% 94%  
260 0.6% 91%  
261 0.2% 91%  
262 0.8% 90%  
263 2% 90%  
264 3% 88%  
265 0.7% 85%  
266 0% 84%  
267 3% 84%  
268 0.2% 81%  
269 0.1% 81%  
270 2% 81%  
271 3% 79%  
272 5% 76%  
273 2% 71%  
274 5% 69%  
275 3% 64%  
276 0.7% 61%  
277 2% 60%  
278 0.8% 58%  
279 0.2% 58%  
280 2% 57%  
281 1.2% 56%  
282 0.2% 55%  
283 0.6% 54%  
284 0.3% 54%  
285 1.4% 54%  
286 5% 52% Median
287 0.8% 47%  
288 0.1% 46%  
289 0.4% 46%  
290 3% 46%  
291 0.9% 43%  
292 0% 42%  
293 0% 42%  
294 8% 42%  
295 0.4% 34%  
296 0.3% 34%  
297 5% 34%  
298 3% 29%  
299 0.4% 26%  
300 0.8% 25%  
301 0.9% 25%  
302 0.1% 24%  
303 0.3% 24%  
304 1.2% 23%  
305 0.1% 22%  
306 0.2% 22%  
307 0.1% 22%  
308 0.9% 22%  
309 6% 21%  
310 2% 15%  
311 0.5% 13%  
312 0.9% 13%  
313 0.3% 12%  
314 0.2% 12%  
315 0.8% 12%  
316 0.2% 11%  
317 3% 11%  
318 0% 7%  
319 0.4% 7%  
320 1.3% 7%  
321 0.4% 6% Last Result
322 0.1% 5%  
323 0.1% 5%  
324 0.3% 5%  
325 0.7% 5%  
326 0.4% 4% Majority
327 0.7% 4%  
328 1.0% 3%  
329 0.1% 2%  
330 0.6% 2%  
331 0.1% 1.2%  
332 0% 1.2%  
333 0.1% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 1.1%  
335 0.2% 0.9%  
336 0% 0.7%  
337 0% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.7%  
339 0.3% 0.6%  
340 0% 0.3%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0.1% 100%  
237 0.1% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0% 99.7%  
240 0% 99.7%  
241 0.1% 99.7%  
242 0% 99.6%  
243 0% 99.6%  
244 0% 99.6%  
245 0.5% 99.6%  
246 0% 99.1%  
247 0% 99.1%  
248 0% 99.1%  
249 2% 99.0%  
250 0.2% 97%  
251 0.1% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0% 96%  
254 1.0% 96%  
255 0.2% 95%  
256 3% 95%  
257 0.9% 92%  
258 0.6% 92%  
259 0.7% 91%  
260 0.8% 90%  
261 0.1% 89%  
262 0.9% 89%  
263 2% 88%  
264 2% 86%  
265 0.8% 85%  
266 0.1% 84%  
267 3% 84%  
268 3% 80%  
269 5% 77%  
270 0.1% 72%  
271 6% 72%  
272 0.2% 66%  
273 1.4% 66%  
274 6% 64%  
275 0.2% 59%  
276 1.1% 59%  
277 0.3% 57%  
278 0.2% 57%  
279 0.2% 57%  
280 2% 57%  
281 1.1% 55%  
282 0.1% 54%  
283 0.1% 53%  
284 0.1% 53%  
285 8% 53% Median
286 0.1% 45%  
287 1.5% 45%  
288 0.1% 43%  
289 0.6% 43%  
290 0.3% 43%  
291 0.4% 42%  
292 0.1% 42%  
293 8% 42%  
294 0.1% 34%  
295 0.5% 34%  
296 0.5% 33%  
297 9% 33%  
298 0.1% 24%  
299 0.2% 24%  
300 0.4% 24%  
301 0% 23%  
302 0.1% 23%  
303 0.9% 23%  
304 0.1% 22%  
305 0.1% 22%  
306 0.7% 22%  
307 6% 21%  
308 3% 15%  
309 0.4% 13%  
310 0.5% 12%  
311 0.4% 12%  
312 0.2% 12%  
313 0.1% 11%  
314 0.3% 11%  
315 0.4% 11%  
316 0.3% 10%  
317 4% 10% Last Result
318 0.1% 7%  
319 0.8% 7%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.8% 5%  
322 0.1% 4%  
323 0.1% 4%  
324 0.7% 4%  
325 0.2% 4%  
326 0.8% 3% Majority
327 0.6% 3%  
328 0.7% 2%  
329 0.1% 1.3%  
330 0.1% 1.1%  
331 0.1% 1.0%  
332 0.1% 0.9%  
333 0.1% 0.8%  
334 0% 0.8%  
335 0.2% 0.8%  
336 0% 0.6%  
337 0% 0.5%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0.3% 0.5%  
340 0% 0.2%  
341 0% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0.1% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.2% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.6%  
239 0.1% 99.5%  
240 0% 99.4%  
241 0% 99.3%  
242 0.1% 99.3%  
243 0% 99.2%  
244 0.1% 99.1%  
245 0.9% 99.1%  
246 1.3% 98%  
247 0.1% 97%  
248 0.1% 97%  
249 0.1% 97%  
250 0% 97%  
251 0.4% 97%  
252 0.1% 96%  
253 1.1% 96%  
254 0.5% 95%  
255 0.2% 94%  
256 3% 94%  
257 0.4% 91%  
258 0.8% 91%  
259 0.6% 90%  
260 0% 89%  
261 0.2% 89%  
262 0.4% 89%  
263 2% 89%  
264 0.8% 87%  
265 7% 86%  
266 0.7% 79%  
267 0.2% 79%  
268 0% 78%  
269 0.1% 78%  
270 0.9% 78%  
271 0.1% 77%  
272 0.3% 77%  
273 0% 77%  
274 0.4% 77%  
275 5% 76%  
276 0.8% 72%  
277 0.2% 71%  
278 0.2% 71% Last Result
279 4% 71%  
280 8% 67%  
281 0.5% 59%  
282 0.3% 59%  
283 0.3% 58%  
284 1.4% 58%  
285 0% 57%  
286 5% 57% Median
287 2% 52%  
288 0.8% 49%  
289 2% 48%  
290 0% 47%  
291 1.1% 47%  
292 2% 46%  
293 0.2% 44%  
294 0.1% 44%  
295 0.7% 44%  
296 0.9% 43%  
297 0.2% 42%  
298 0.5% 42%  
299 0.3% 41%  
300 5% 41%  
301 6% 36%  
302 0.5% 30%  
303 6% 30%  
304 0.1% 23%  
305 2% 23%  
306 3% 22%  
307 0.6% 18%  
308 2% 18%  
309 0.3% 16%  
310 3% 15%  
311 2% 13%  
312 0.3% 11%  
313 1.1% 11%  
314 0% 10%  
315 0.4% 10%  
316 3% 9%  
317 1.1% 6%  
318 0.8% 5%  
319 0.6% 4%  
320 0% 4%  
321 0% 4%  
322 0.2% 4%  
323 2% 4%  
324 0.3% 1.3%  
325 0.1% 1.1%  
326 0.4% 1.0% Majority
327 0.1% 0.7%  
328 0% 0.6%  
329 0% 0.6%  
330 0.1% 0.5%  
331 0.1% 0.4%  
332 0% 0.4%  
333 0% 0.3%  
334 0% 0.3%  
335 0.1% 0.3%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0.1% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.7%  
236 0% 99.7%  
237 0.2% 99.7%  
238 0.1% 99.5%  
239 0.2% 99.4%  
240 0.1% 99.2%  
241 0.1% 99.1%  
242 0.7% 99.0%  
243 0.1% 98%  
244 0.3% 98%  
245 0.9% 98%  
246 0.4% 97%  
247 0% 97%  
248 0.1% 97%  
249 0.8% 96%  
250 0.1% 96%  
251 0.4% 96%  
252 0.4% 95%  
253 0.5% 95%  
254 0.6% 94%  
255 0.1% 94%  
256 3% 94%  
257 0.8% 91%  
258 0.2% 90%  
259 0.9% 90%  
260 0.7% 89%  
261 0.5% 88%  
262 0.6% 87%  
263 8% 87%  
264 0.1% 79%  
265 0.3% 79%  
266 0% 78%  
267 0.2% 78%  
268 0.1% 78%  
269 1.0% 78%  
270 0.4% 77%  
271 0.2% 77%  
272 0.1% 76%  
273 0.9% 76%  
274 0.2% 75% Last Result
275 5% 75%  
276 0.2% 70%  
277 0.3% 70%  
278 3% 69%  
279 8% 66%  
280 1.1% 59%  
281 0.2% 57%  
282 2% 57%  
283 0.5% 56%  
284 0.2% 55%  
285 5% 55% Median
286 2% 50%  
287 1.0% 49%  
288 0.3% 48%  
289 1.0% 47%  
290 0% 46%  
291 1.2% 46%  
292 2% 45%  
293 0.2% 43%  
294 0.6% 43%  
295 0.5% 42%  
296 0.5% 42%  
297 3% 41%  
298 0.1% 38%  
299 3% 38%  
300 8% 35%  
301 5% 27%  
302 0.5% 22%  
303 0.1% 21%  
304 0% 21%  
305 0.3% 21%  
306 5% 21%  
307 0.7% 16%  
308 0.2% 15%  
309 1.4% 15%  
310 2% 14%  
311 1.4% 11%  
312 0.1% 10%  
313 3% 10%  
314 1.3% 7%  
315 0.2% 6%  
316 0.9% 5%  
317 0.1% 4%  
318 0.4% 4%  
319 0.2% 4%  
320 0.1% 4%  
321 0% 4%  
322 2% 4%  
323 0.4% 1.4%  
324 0.3% 1.0%  
325 0.1% 0.7%  
326 0.1% 0.6% Majority
327 0% 0.5%  
328 0% 0.5%  
329 0% 0.5%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0% 0.3%  
332 0% 0.3%  
333 0.1% 0.3%  
334 0.1% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0.1% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0.3% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.5%  
233 0.2% 99.5%  
234 0.1% 99.3%  
235 0.1% 99.1%  
236 0.1% 99.0%  
237 0.2% 99.0%  
238 0.6% 98.8%  
239 0% 98%  
240 1.1% 98%  
241 0.8% 97%  
242 0.6% 96%  
243 0.6% 96%  
244 0.7% 95%  
245 0.2% 94%  
246 0.3% 94%  
247 4% 94%  
248 0.2% 90%  
249 0.2% 90%  
250 0% 90%  
251 2% 90%  
252 0.7% 88%  
253 0.2% 87%  
254 0.1% 87%  
255 0.1% 87%  
256 0.4% 87%  
257 0% 87%  
258 0% 86%  
259 1.1% 86%  
260 7% 85%  
261 0.3% 78%  
262 0.2% 78%  
263 0% 78%  
264 8% 78%  
265 2% 70%  
266 0.2% 68% Last Result
267 0.1% 68%  
268 0.1% 68%  
269 0.4% 68%  
270 8% 67%  
271 0.3% 59%  
272 0.4% 59%  
273 0% 59%  
274 0.7% 59%  
275 0.9% 58%  
276 6% 57% Median
277 3% 51%  
278 0.9% 49%  
279 0.1% 48%  
280 0.1% 48%  
281 0% 48%  
282 0.3% 48%  
283 2% 47%  
284 2% 45%  
285 0.3% 44%  
286 0.1% 43%  
287 0% 43%  
288 6% 43%  
289 0.5% 37%  
290 5% 37%  
291 0.3% 31%  
292 1.4% 31%  
293 0.7% 30%  
294 3% 29%  
295 4% 26%  
296 0.4% 22%  
297 3% 22%  
298 0.5% 19%  
299 6% 18%  
300 3% 12%  
301 0.3% 10%  
302 0.2% 9%  
303 0.9% 9%  
304 0.1% 8%  
305 0.1% 8%  
306 0.7% 8%  
307 0.1% 7%  
308 4% 7%  
309 0% 4%  
310 0.2% 4%  
311 0.6% 3%  
312 2% 3%  
313 0.1% 0.9%  
314 0.1% 0.9%  
315 0.3% 0.8%  
316 0.1% 0.5%  
317 0% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0% Majority

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0.1% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.6%  
230 0% 99.6%  
231 0.3% 99.6%  
232 0.1% 99.3%  
233 0.2% 99.2%  
234 0.1% 99.0%  
235 0.2% 98.9%  
236 0.1% 98.7%  
237 0.7% 98.6%  
238 0.9% 98%  
239 0.2% 97%  
240 2% 97%  
241 0.2% 95%  
242 0.6% 95%  
243 0.5% 94%  
244 0.1% 94%  
245 0% 94%  
246 0.5% 94%  
247 4% 93%  
248 0.2% 90%  
249 2% 90%  
250 0.1% 88%  
251 0.8% 88%  
252 0.4% 87%  
253 0% 87%  
254 0% 87%  
255 0.6% 87%  
256 0.8% 86%  
257 0.3% 85%  
258 6% 85%  
259 1.1% 79%  
260 0.1% 78%  
261 0.4% 78%  
262 1.0% 78% Last Result
263 3% 77%  
264 6% 73%  
265 0% 68%  
266 0% 68%  
267 0.3% 68%  
268 0.5% 67%  
269 8% 67%  
270 0.2% 59%  
271 0.3% 59%  
272 2% 58%  
273 1.5% 56%  
274 0.7% 55%  
275 6% 54% Median
276 0.1% 48%  
277 0.5% 48%  
278 0.1% 48%  
279 0.3% 48%  
280 0.1% 47%  
281 0.2% 47%  
282 1.1% 47%  
283 2% 46%  
284 1.1% 44%  
285 0.4% 43%  
286 5% 43%  
287 0.8% 38%  
288 6% 37%  
289 0.2% 31%  
290 0.2% 31%  
291 2% 31%  
292 2% 29%  
293 2% 27%  
294 4% 25%  
295 2% 22%  
296 4% 19%  
297 3% 15%  
298 0.5% 12%  
299 1.5% 12%  
300 0.9% 10%  
301 0.5% 9%  
302 0.6% 9%  
303 0.1% 8%  
304 0.9% 8%  
305 3% 7%  
306 0.7% 4%  
307 0.1% 4%  
308 0.1% 4%  
309 0.2% 4%  
310 0.3% 3%  
311 2% 3%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.3% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.5%  
315 0% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.4%  
317 0% 0.3%  
318 0% 0.3%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations