Opinion Poll by BMG Research for The Independent, 5–8 June 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 40.0% 41.3% 39.7–43.0% 39.3–43.5% 38.9–43.9% 38.1–44.7%
Conservative Party 42.4% 38.3% 36.7–39.9% 36.2–40.4% 35.8–40.8% 35.1–41.5%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 11.1% 10.1–12.2% 9.8–12.5% 9.6–12.8% 9.1–13.3%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 4.0% 3.4–4.8% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.2% 2.9–5.5%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.2%
Green Party 1.6% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 262 323 299–342 295–343 284–344 270–357
Conservative Party 317 270 256–294 253–297 249–305 239–320
Liberal Democrats 12 29 27–33 26–34 25–36 22–39
UK Independence Party 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Scottish National Party 35 1 0–13 0–24 0–28 0–38
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9% Last Result
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.2% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.6%  
267 0% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.5%  
271 0.1% 99.5%  
272 0% 99.4%  
273 0% 99.4%  
274 0% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0% 99.3%  
277 0% 99.3%  
278 0.4% 99.3%  
279 0.2% 98.8%  
280 0.1% 98.7%  
281 0.1% 98.6%  
282 0.1% 98%  
283 0.6% 98%  
284 0.4% 98%  
285 0.3% 97%  
286 0.3% 97%  
287 0.1% 97%  
288 0.1% 97%  
289 0.1% 97%  
290 0.3% 97%  
291 0.7% 96%  
292 0% 96%  
293 0.2% 96%  
294 0.2% 95%  
295 0.7% 95%  
296 0% 94%  
297 0.1% 94%  
298 2% 94%  
299 4% 93%  
300 0.3% 89%  
301 0% 89%  
302 0.2% 89%  
303 0.8% 89%  
304 2% 88%  
305 0.4% 86%  
306 5% 85%  
307 0.6% 80%  
308 4% 79%  
309 0.3% 76%  
310 1.2% 75%  
311 2% 74%  
312 2% 72%  
313 0.4% 69%  
314 0.2% 69%  
315 0.7% 69%  
316 1.2% 68%  
317 2% 67%  
318 0.7% 65%  
319 0.7% 65%  
320 5% 64%  
321 1.4% 59%  
322 7% 58%  
323 2% 51% Median
324 0.9% 49%  
325 0.9% 48%  
326 2% 47% Majority
327 3% 45%  
328 0.8% 42%  
329 2% 41%  
330 6% 39%  
331 3% 33%  
332 3% 31%  
333 1.1% 27%  
334 0.8% 26%  
335 3% 26%  
336 3% 23%  
337 4% 20%  
338 3% 16%  
339 0.5% 13%  
340 0.5% 12%  
341 2% 12%  
342 0.6% 10%  
343 5% 9%  
344 3% 5%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.1% 2%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0% 1.5%  
350 0.2% 1.4%  
351 0.1% 1.3%  
352 0% 1.2%  
353 0% 1.2%  
354 0% 1.2%  
355 0.1% 1.2%  
356 0.1% 1.1%  
357 0.6% 1.0%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.3% 0.4%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.7%  
236 0% 99.7%  
237 0% 99.6%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0.3% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.3%  
241 0.5% 99.3%  
242 0.1% 98.7%  
243 0.2% 98.7%  
244 0.3% 98%  
245 0.1% 98%  
246 0.1% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.8% 97%  
251 0.4% 97%  
252 0.7% 96%  
253 0.9% 95%  
254 1.0% 95%  
255 2% 94%  
256 4% 91%  
257 3% 88%  
258 3% 85%  
259 2% 82%  
260 0.5% 80%  
261 4% 80%  
262 3% 76%  
263 2% 73%  
264 4% 71%  
265 3% 66%  
266 7% 63%  
267 0.3% 56%  
268 1.1% 56%  
269 2% 55%  
270 4% 53% Median
271 0.9% 50%  
272 3% 49%  
273 0.9% 46%  
274 0.2% 45%  
275 2% 45%  
276 5% 43%  
277 0.4% 38%  
278 1.4% 37%  
279 4% 36%  
280 0.5% 32%  
281 0.5% 31%  
282 4% 31%  
283 0.5% 27%  
284 1.5% 26%  
285 0.4% 25%  
286 0.5% 24%  
287 2% 24%  
288 0.1% 21%  
289 3% 21%  
290 3% 18%  
291 4% 15%  
292 0.2% 12%  
293 0.3% 11%  
294 5% 11%  
295 0.1% 6%  
296 0.3% 6%  
297 0.7% 5%  
298 0.3% 5%  
299 0% 5%  
300 0.1% 4%  
301 0.3% 4%  
302 0.5% 4%  
303 0.3% 4%  
304 0% 3%  
305 0.8% 3%  
306 0.1% 2%  
307 0.6% 2%  
308 0.1% 2%  
309 0% 2%  
310 0% 2%  
311 0% 2%  
312 0% 2%  
313 0% 2%  
314 0.1% 1.5%  
315 0% 1.4%  
316 0.1% 1.4%  
317 0.5% 1.3% Last Result
318 0% 0.8%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.3% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0.1% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.3% 99.9%  
22 0.2% 99.6%  
23 0.7% 99.5%  
24 0.3% 98.8%  
25 2% 98.6%  
26 3% 97%  
27 4% 93%  
28 17% 90%  
29 26% 73% Median
30 19% 47%  
31 10% 27%  
32 3% 17%  
33 7% 14%  
34 2% 7%  
35 1.0% 5%  
36 2% 4%  
37 0.6% 2%  
38 0.4% 1.1%  
39 0.2% 0.7%  
40 0.4% 0.5%  
41 0% 0.1%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 26% 100% Last Result
1 74% 74% Median
2 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100%  
1 18% 59% Median
2 3% 41%  
3 3% 37%  
4 4% 35%  
5 2% 31%  
6 6% 29%  
7 4% 23%  
8 2% 19%  
9 2% 17%  
10 1.2% 15%  
11 1.2% 14%  
12 0.6% 13%  
13 2% 12%  
14 0.3% 10%  
15 2% 10%  
16 0.4% 7%  
17 0.1% 7%  
18 0.3% 7%  
19 0.3% 6%  
20 0.2% 6%  
21 0.1% 6%  
22 0.3% 6%  
23 0.1% 5%  
24 0.5% 5%  
25 0.4% 5%  
26 2% 5%  
27 0% 3%  
28 1.4% 3%  
29 0.3% 2%  
30 0.1% 1.3%  
31 0% 1.2%  
32 0.2% 1.2%  
33 0% 0.9%  
34 0% 0.9%  
35 0.1% 0.9% Last Result
36 0% 0.8%  
37 0% 0.8%  
38 0.3% 0.8%  
39 0.2% 0.5%  
40 0.1% 0.3%  
41 0% 0.2%  
42 0% 0.2%  
43 0% 0.2%  
44 0% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.2%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 30% 57% Median
2 15% 27%  
3 11% 13%  
4 1.0% 2% Last Result
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 360 97% 336–374 333–378 325–381 310–392
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 358 97% 336–374 330–377 322–380 310–392
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 354 95% 328–372 325–374 315–378 298–392
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 353 95% 328–371 324–374 313–377 298–392
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 330 56% 307–344 306–347 295–350 283–360
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 328 55% 307–343 303–347 293–349 282–359
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 324 49% 300–343 295–344 287–345 271–359
Labour Party 262 323 47% 299–342 295–343 284–344 270–357
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 300 4% 286–323 284–324 280–335 271–348
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 277 0.7% 260–302 257–306 253–317 239–332
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 276 0.7% 258–302 256–305 253–316 239–332
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 272 0.3% 257–294 254–300 250–308 239–320
Conservative Party 317 270 0.3% 256–294 253–297 249–305 239–320

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0.1% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0.1% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.8%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.7%  
306 0% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0% 99.7%  
310 0.3% 99.7%  
311 0.1% 99.4%  
312 0.1% 99.3%  
313 0.5% 99.2% Last Result
314 0% 98.7%  
315 0.1% 98.7%  
316 0.1% 98.6%  
317 0% 98.5%  
318 0% 98%  
319 0% 98%  
320 0% 98%  
321 0% 98%  
322 0.1% 98%  
323 0.6% 98%  
324 0.1% 98%  
325 0.9% 98%  
326 0% 97% Majority
327 0.4% 97%  
328 0.3% 96%  
329 0.5% 96%  
330 0.1% 96%  
331 0% 96%  
332 0.1% 95%  
333 0.8% 95%  
334 0.3% 95%  
335 0.1% 94%  
336 5% 94%  
337 0.4% 89%  
338 0.4% 89%  
339 4% 89%  
340 3% 85%  
341 2% 82%  
342 0.6% 80%  
343 3% 79%  
344 0.6% 76%  
345 0.4% 76%  
346 1.0% 75%  
347 0.9% 74%  
348 0.3% 74%  
349 4% 73%  
350 0.4% 69%  
351 3% 68%  
352 2% 66%  
353 0.9% 63%  
354 5% 62% Median
355 1.1% 57%  
356 0.9% 56%  
357 0.6% 55%  
358 3% 55%  
359 0.5% 51%  
360 4% 51%  
361 2% 47%  
362 1.5% 45%  
363 0.3% 44%  
364 6% 44%  
365 2% 37%  
366 5% 35%  
367 1.4% 30%  
368 4% 28%  
369 1.4% 25%  
370 3% 23%  
371 2% 20%  
372 3% 18%  
373 1.0% 16%  
374 6% 15%  
375 0.3% 9%  
376 2% 8%  
377 0.6% 6%  
378 1.0% 5%  
379 0.8% 4%  
380 0.8% 3%  
381 0.3% 3%  
382 0.3% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.1% 2%  
385 0.1% 2%  
386 0.1% 2%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.1% 1.4%  
389 0.1% 1.3%  
390 0.5% 1.2%  
391 0% 0.7%  
392 0.3% 0.7%  
393 0% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.3%  
397 0.2% 0.3%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0.1% 100%  
299 0.1% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.8%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0.1% 99.8%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0% 99.7%  
306 0% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0% 99.6% Last Result
310 0.2% 99.6%  
311 0.1% 99.4%  
312 0.1% 99.3%  
313 0.6% 99.2%  
314 0.1% 98.6%  
315 0% 98%  
316 0% 98%  
317 0% 98%  
318 0.1% 98%  
319 0% 98%  
320 0.6% 98%  
321 0% 98%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0% 97%  
324 0.2% 97%  
325 0.5% 97%  
326 0.3% 97% Majority
327 0.3% 96%  
328 0.5% 96%  
329 0.1% 96%  
330 0.7% 95%  
331 0.1% 95%  
332 0.1% 95%  
333 0.4% 95%  
334 0.2% 94%  
335 0.6% 94%  
336 6% 94%  
337 0.2% 88%  
338 1.3% 88%  
339 5% 86%  
340 0.7% 81%  
341 2% 80%  
342 0.2% 79%  
343 3% 79%  
344 0.7% 76%  
345 0.2% 75%  
346 1.2% 75%  
347 0.7% 74%  
348 5% 73%  
349 1.4% 69%  
350 0.2% 67%  
351 4% 67%  
352 1.0% 63%  
353 0.6% 62% Median
354 5% 61%  
355 0.6% 56%  
356 3% 56%  
357 1.2% 52%  
358 3% 51%  
359 2% 48%  
360 0.8% 46%  
361 1.0% 45%  
362 2% 44%  
363 7% 43%  
364 3% 36%  
365 4% 33%  
366 2% 29%  
367 1.0% 28%  
368 3% 27%  
369 4% 24%  
370 2% 19%  
371 2% 17%  
372 0.9% 15%  
373 4% 14%  
374 2% 11%  
375 0.7% 8%  
376 2% 8%  
377 1.3% 5%  
378 0.6% 4%  
379 0.2% 3%  
380 1.0% 3%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.2% 2%  
383 0.1% 2%  
384 0% 2%  
385 0.2% 2%  
386 0% 2%  
387 0.3% 2%  
388 0.1% 1.3%  
389 0.4% 1.2%  
390 0% 0.7%  
391 0% 0.7%  
392 0.3% 0.6%  
393 0% 0.3%  
394 0% 0.3%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0.1% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100% Last Result
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.2% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.7%  
293 0% 99.7%  
294 0% 99.7%  
295 0% 99.6%  
296 0% 99.6%  
297 0% 99.6%  
298 0.1% 99.6%  
299 0% 99.5%  
300 0% 99.4%  
301 0% 99.4%  
302 0% 99.4%  
303 0% 99.4%  
304 0% 99.4%  
305 0% 99.3%  
306 0% 99.3%  
307 0.3% 99.3%  
308 0.1% 99.0%  
309 0.1% 98.9%  
310 0.1% 98.8%  
311 0.1% 98.8%  
312 0.9% 98.6%  
313 0.1% 98%  
314 0.1% 98%  
315 0.4% 98%  
316 0.4% 97%  
317 0% 97%  
318 0.1% 97%  
319 0.1% 97%  
320 0.1% 97%  
321 0.1% 96%  
322 0.1% 96%  
323 0.6% 96%  
324 0.4% 96%  
325 0.4% 95%  
326 2% 95% Majority
327 0.6% 93%  
328 3% 92%  
329 0.1% 90%  
330 0.8% 90%  
331 0.1% 89%  
332 0.2% 89%  
333 3% 88%  
334 0.3% 86%  
335 5% 85%  
336 0.2% 81%  
337 0.2% 80%  
338 2% 80%  
339 1.3% 78%  
340 2% 77%  
341 2% 75%  
342 0.4% 73%  
343 1.1% 72%  
344 0.6% 71%  
345 3% 71%  
346 0.6% 68%  
347 1.4% 67%  
348 0.6% 66%  
349 5% 65%  
350 1.1% 60%  
351 2% 59%  
352 1.1% 56%  
353 5% 55% Median
354 0.9% 50%  
355 0.4% 49%  
356 1.0% 49%  
357 1.3% 48%  
358 3% 46%  
359 0.4% 43%  
360 4% 43%  
361 3% 39%  
362 3% 36%  
363 0.5% 33%  
364 6% 33%  
365 2% 27%  
366 3% 25%  
367 0.9% 22%  
368 4% 21%  
369 2% 17%  
370 5% 16%  
371 0.3% 11%  
372 0.3% 10%  
373 0.5% 10%  
374 6% 9%  
375 0.2% 4%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.5% 3%  
378 0.5% 3%  
379 0.2% 2%  
380 0.1% 2%  
381 0.2% 2%  
382 0.1% 2%  
383 0.1% 2%  
384 0.1% 1.4%  
385 0% 1.4%  
386 0.1% 1.4%  
387 0.1% 1.2%  
388 0.4% 1.1%  
389 0.1% 0.7%  
390 0% 0.6%  
391 0% 0.6%  
392 0.3% 0.5%  
393 0% 0.2%  
394 0.1% 0.2%  
395 0.1% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100% Last Result
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 100%  
277 0% 100%  
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 100%  
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 100%  
282 0% 100%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.9%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0.2% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.7%  
293 0% 99.7%  
294 0% 99.6%  
295 0% 99.6%  
296 0.1% 99.6%  
297 0% 99.6%  
298 0.1% 99.5%  
299 0% 99.4%  
300 0% 99.4%  
301 0% 99.4%  
302 0% 99.4%  
303 0% 99.4%  
304 0.1% 99.4%  
305 0% 99.3%  
306 0.3% 99.2%  
307 0% 99.0%  
308 0.1% 98.9%  
309 0.1% 98.8%  
310 0.2% 98.7%  
311 0.2% 98%  
312 0.8% 98%  
313 0.4% 98%  
314 0.3% 97%  
315 0% 97%  
316 0.1% 97%  
317 0% 97%  
318 0.1% 97%  
319 0.2% 97%  
320 0.6% 96%  
321 0.2% 96%  
322 0.1% 96%  
323 0.1% 96%  
324 0.5% 95%  
325 0.4% 95%  
326 3% 95% Majority
327 0.8% 92%  
328 3% 91%  
329 0.1% 89%  
330 0.7% 89%  
331 0.2% 88%  
332 2% 88%  
333 0.4% 86%  
334 0.1% 85%  
335 5% 85%  
336 0.4% 80%  
337 2% 80%  
338 2% 78%  
339 0.5% 75%  
340 2% 75%  
341 1.0% 73%  
342 0.5% 72%  
343 0.5% 71%  
344 2% 71%  
345 3% 69%  
346 0.4% 66%  
347 0.6% 66%  
348 4% 65%  
349 2% 61%  
350 2% 59%  
351 3% 57%  
352 1.0% 55% Median
353 5% 54%  
354 0.8% 49%  
355 1.4% 48%  
356 3% 47%  
357 0.8% 44%  
358 2% 43%  
359 3% 41%  
360 3% 39%  
361 0.9% 36%  
362 3% 35%  
363 6% 32%  
364 2% 26%  
365 1.5% 24%  
366 3% 22%  
367 2% 20%  
368 1.5% 18%  
369 4% 16%  
370 2% 12%  
371 0.3% 10%  
372 0.5% 10%  
373 4% 9%  
374 3% 6%  
375 0.2% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.2% 3%  
378 0.6% 2%  
379 0.1% 2%  
380 0% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.5%  
383 0.1% 1.4%  
384 0.1% 1.3%  
385 0.1% 1.3%  
386 0.1% 1.2%  
387 0.5% 1.1%  
388 0.1% 0.7%  
389 0% 0.6%  
390 0% 0.6%  
391 0% 0.6%  
392 0.3% 0.5%  
393 0.1% 0.2%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0.1% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0.1% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.7%  
278 0% 99.7%  
279 0% 99.7%  
280 0% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.5%  
284 0.8% 99.4%  
285 0% 98.6%  
286 0% 98.6%  
287 0% 98.6%  
288 0% 98.6%  
289 0% 98.5%  
290 0.1% 98.5%  
291 0% 98%  
292 0% 98%  
293 0% 98%  
294 0.6% 98%  
295 0.8% 98%  
296 0.2% 97%  
297 0.4% 97%  
298 0.3% 96%  
299 0.3% 96%  
300 0% 96%  
301 0.2% 96% Last Result
302 0% 96%  
303 0% 96%  
304 0% 96%  
305 0% 96%  
306 0.7% 96%  
307 5% 95%  
308 0.5% 90%  
309 0.5% 89%  
310 2% 89%  
311 5% 87%  
312 4% 82%  
313 0.8% 78%  
314 3% 77%  
315 0.1% 75%  
316 0.2% 74%  
317 0.3% 74%  
318 0.1% 74%  
319 0.2% 74%  
320 0.6% 74%  
321 5% 73%  
322 3% 68%  
323 5% 65%  
324 3% 60%  
325 1.1% 57% Median
326 0.5% 56% Majority
327 0.4% 56%  
328 1.1% 55%  
329 3% 54%  
330 4% 51%  
331 7% 48%  
332 0.8% 41%  
333 1.4% 40%  
334 0.3% 39%  
335 0.3% 38%  
336 4% 38%  
337 5% 34%  
338 6% 29%  
339 2% 23%  
340 0.8% 21%  
341 0.4% 20%  
342 1.4% 19%  
343 3% 18%  
344 8% 15%  
345 0.6% 8%  
346 0.8% 7%  
347 2% 6%  
348 0.1% 4%  
349 1.4% 4%  
350 0.5% 3%  
351 0.3% 2%  
352 0.1% 2%  
353 0.1% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.1% 2%  
356 0.2% 2%  
357 0% 1.3%  
358 0% 1.3%  
359 0.4% 1.2%  
360 0.5% 0.9%  
361 0.2% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0.1% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0.1% 100%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.8%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0% 99.7%  
277 0% 99.7%  
278 0% 99.7%  
279 0% 99.7%  
280 0% 99.7%  
281 0% 99.6%  
282 0.2% 99.6%  
283 0.1% 99.4%  
284 0.7% 99.3%  
285 0% 98.6%  
286 0% 98.6%  
287 0.1% 98.6%  
288 0% 98.5%  
289 0% 98%  
290 0.1% 98%  
291 0.5% 98%  
292 0.2% 98%  
293 0.2% 98%  
294 0.3% 97%  
295 0.7% 97%  
296 0.1% 96%  
297 0.1% 96% Last Result
298 0.1% 96%  
299 0.2% 96%  
300 0.3% 96%  
301 0% 96%  
302 0% 96%  
303 0.6% 96%  
304 0.1% 95%  
305 0.2% 95%  
306 0.7% 95%  
307 5% 94%  
308 1.1% 89%  
309 3% 88%  
310 1.1% 85%  
311 5% 84%  
312 1.2% 79%  
313 0.9% 78%  
314 3% 77%  
315 0.2% 74%  
316 0.4% 74%  
317 0.2% 74%  
318 0.2% 74%  
319 1.0% 73%  
320 4% 72%  
321 1.0% 68%  
322 3% 67%  
323 7% 64%  
324 1.0% 58% Median
325 1.5% 57%  
326 1.0% 55% Majority
327 4% 54%  
328 1.1% 50%  
329 3% 49%  
330 5% 47%  
331 1.0% 41%  
332 1.5% 40%  
333 2% 39%  
334 1.3% 37%  
335 3% 36%  
336 4% 33%  
337 5% 28%  
338 2% 24%  
339 2% 22%  
340 1.2% 20%  
341 1.2% 19%  
342 2% 18%  
343 6% 16%  
344 3% 10%  
345 0.4% 7%  
346 1.1% 7%  
347 2% 5%  
348 0.6% 4%  
349 0.8% 3%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.2% 2%  
352 0% 2%  
353 0.1% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.2% 2%  
356 0.1% 1.4%  
357 0.1% 1.2%  
358 0% 1.1%  
359 0.8% 1.1%  
360 0.1% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.2% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.7% Last Result
267 0% 99.6%  
268 0% 99.6%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0.1% 99.6%  
271 0.1% 99.5%  
272 0% 99.4%  
273 0% 99.4%  
274 0% 99.4%  
275 0% 99.4%  
276 0% 99.4%  
277 0% 99.4%  
278 0.1% 99.3%  
279 0.4% 99.3%  
280 0.2% 98.9%  
281 0.2% 98.7%  
282 0.1% 98.5%  
283 0.6% 98%  
284 0% 98%  
285 0.1% 98%  
286 0.2% 98%  
287 0.4% 98%  
288 0.3% 97%  
289 0% 97%  
290 0.2% 97%  
291 0.1% 97%  
292 0.1% 97%  
293 0.3% 96%  
294 0.8% 96%  
295 0.8% 95%  
296 0.2% 95%  
297 0.1% 94%  
298 2% 94%  
299 3% 93%  
300 0.4% 90%  
301 0% 90%  
302 1.1% 90%  
303 0.1% 89%  
304 0.2% 89%  
305 2% 88%  
306 6% 87%  
307 0.5% 81%  
308 1.1% 81%  
309 2% 79%  
310 2% 77%  
311 3% 75%  
312 0.4% 72%  
313 1.1% 72%  
314 0.6% 71%  
315 0.9% 70%  
316 0.4% 69%  
317 3% 69%  
318 0.6% 66%  
319 0.7% 65%  
320 1.1% 65%  
321 5% 64%  
322 7% 58%  
323 1.2% 52%  
324 1.2% 51% Median
325 1.0% 50%  
326 0.9% 49% Majority
327 1.1% 48%  
328 1.1% 47%  
329 3% 45%  
330 4% 43%  
331 5% 39%  
332 4% 34%  
333 0.5% 29%  
334 0.4% 29%  
335 2% 28%  
336 4% 26%  
337 2% 22%  
338 4% 19%  
339 0.7% 15%  
340 2% 14%  
341 2% 13%  
342 0.5% 11%  
343 1.4% 10%  
344 6% 9%  
345 0.2% 3%  
346 0.1% 2%  
347 0.3% 2%  
348 0.3% 2%  
349 0.1% 2%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.1% 1.4%  
352 0% 1.2%  
353 0% 1.2%  
354 0% 1.2%  
355 0.1% 1.2%  
356 0% 1.1%  
357 0% 1.1%  
358 0.5% 1.1%  
359 0.5% 0.6%  
360 0.1% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9% Last Result
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0.2% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.6%  
267 0% 99.6%  
268 0.1% 99.6%  
269 0% 99.6%  
270 0% 99.5%  
271 0.1% 99.5%  
272 0% 99.4%  
273 0% 99.4%  
274 0% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 99.4%  
276 0% 99.3%  
277 0% 99.3%  
278 0.4% 99.3%  
279 0.2% 98.8%  
280 0.1% 98.7%  
281 0.1% 98.6%  
282 0.1% 98%  
283 0.6% 98%  
284 0.4% 98%  
285 0.3% 97%  
286 0.3% 97%  
287 0.1% 97%  
288 0.1% 97%  
289 0.1% 97%  
290 0.3% 97%  
291 0.7% 96%  
292 0% 96%  
293 0.2% 96%  
294 0.2% 95%  
295 0.7% 95%  
296 0% 94%  
297 0.1% 94%  
298 2% 94%  
299 4% 93%  
300 0.3% 89%  
301 0% 89%  
302 0.2% 89%  
303 0.8% 89%  
304 2% 88%  
305 0.4% 86%  
306 5% 85%  
307 0.6% 80%  
308 4% 79%  
309 0.3% 76%  
310 1.2% 75%  
311 2% 74%  
312 2% 72%  
313 0.4% 69%  
314 0.2% 69%  
315 0.7% 69%  
316 1.2% 68%  
317 2% 67%  
318 0.7% 65%  
319 0.7% 65%  
320 5% 64%  
321 1.4% 59%  
322 7% 58%  
323 2% 51% Median
324 0.9% 49%  
325 0.9% 48%  
326 2% 47% Majority
327 3% 45%  
328 0.8% 42%  
329 2% 41%  
330 6% 39%  
331 3% 33%  
332 3% 31%  
333 1.1% 27%  
334 0.8% 26%  
335 3% 26%  
336 3% 23%  
337 4% 20%  
338 3% 16%  
339 0.5% 13%  
340 0.5% 12%  
341 2% 12%  
342 0.6% 10%  
343 5% 9%  
344 3% 5%  
345 0.3% 2%  
346 0.1% 2%  
347 0.2% 2%  
348 0.2% 2%  
349 0% 1.5%  
350 0.2% 1.4%  
351 0.1% 1.3%  
352 0% 1.2%  
353 0% 1.2%  
354 0% 1.2%  
355 0.1% 1.2%  
356 0.1% 1.1%  
357 0.6% 1.0%  
358 0.1% 0.4%  
359 0.3% 0.4%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
264 0% 100%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.8%  
270 0.3% 99.8%  
271 0.5% 99.6%  
272 0.3% 99.0%  
273 0% 98.7%  
274 0.1% 98.7%  
275 0.1% 98.6%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0.1% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.2% 98%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.9% 97%  
282 0.7% 97%  
283 0.2% 96%  
284 2% 96%  
285 1.2% 94%  
286 6% 93%  
287 5% 87%  
288 0.6% 82%  
289 1.1% 81%  
290 0.8% 80%  
291 1.5% 79%  
292 4% 78%  
293 7% 74%  
294 6% 68%  
295 0.2% 62%  
296 0.2% 62%  
297 1.1% 62%  
298 0.9% 60%  
299 7% 60% Median
300 3% 53%  
301 3% 49%  
302 1.1% 46%  
303 0.4% 45%  
304 0.5% 44%  
305 0.6% 44%  
306 2% 43%  
307 7% 42%  
308 3% 35%  
309 0.6% 32%  
310 5% 31%  
311 0.3% 26%  
312 0.1% 26%  
313 0.4% 26%  
314 0.2% 26%  
315 0.1% 26%  
316 3% 25%  
317 0.4% 23%  
318 4% 22%  
319 5% 19%  
320 2% 14%  
321 0.3% 11%  
322 0.4% 11%  
323 5% 11%  
324 0.7% 5%  
325 0% 4%  
326 0% 4% Majority
327 0% 4%  
328 0% 4%  
329 0% 4% Last Result
330 0.3% 4%  
331 0.3% 4%  
332 0.3% 4%  
333 0.4% 4%  
334 0.2% 3%  
335 0.8% 3%  
336 0.6% 2%  
337 0% 2%  
338 0% 2%  
339 0% 2%  
340 0.1% 2%  
341 0% 1.5%  
342 0% 1.5%  
343 0% 1.4%  
344 0% 1.4%  
345 0% 1.4%  
346 0.7% 1.4%  
347 0.2% 0.7%  
348 0.1% 0.6%  
349 0.2% 0.5%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.3%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.3%  
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0.1% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0.1% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.2% 99.9%  
239 0.3% 99.7%  
240 0% 99.5%  
241 0% 99.4%  
242 0% 99.4%  
243 0.1% 99.4%  
244 0.4% 99.3%  
245 0.1% 98.9%  
246 0.1% 98.8%  
247 0% 98.7%  
248 0.1% 98.6%  
249 0.1% 98.5%  
250 0% 98%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.5% 98%  
253 0.2% 98%  
254 0.2% 97%  
255 0.4% 97%  
256 0.6% 97%  
257 6% 96%  
258 0.4% 91%  
259 0.2% 90%  
260 0.4% 90%  
261 3% 90%  
262 4% 87%  
263 2% 83%  
264 3% 81%  
265 1.1% 78%  
266 1.3% 77%  
267 7% 75%  
268 3% 68%  
269 1.3% 66%  
270 2% 64%  
271 3% 62%  
272 2% 59% Median
273 1.1% 57%  
274 3% 56%  
275 2% 54%  
276 1.0% 52%  
277 5% 51%  
278 0.6% 46%  
279 2% 46%  
280 2% 43%  
281 1.4% 41%  
282 0.4% 40%  
283 5% 39%  
284 0.5% 35%  
285 3% 34%  
286 0.8% 31%  
287 1.3% 30%  
288 0.4% 29%  
289 1.0% 29%  
290 1.3% 28%  
291 2% 26%  
292 2% 25%  
293 2% 22%  
294 0.3% 20%  
295 5% 20%  
296 0.2% 15%  
297 0.4% 15%  
298 2% 14%  
299 0.1% 12%  
300 0.7% 12%  
301 0.1% 11%  
302 3% 11%  
303 0.9% 9%  
304 2% 8%  
305 0.7% 6%  
306 0.5% 5%  
307 0.1% 5%  
308 0.1% 4%  
309 0.1% 4%  
310 0.7% 4%  
311 0.2% 4%  
312 0.1% 3%  
313 0% 3%  
314 0.1% 3%  
315 0% 3%  
316 0% 3%  
317 0.7% 3%  
318 0.7% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.2% 2%  
321 0% 1.3%  
322 0.2% 1.3%  
323 0.1% 1.1%  
324 0.3% 1.1%  
325 0% 0.8%  
326 0.1% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.6%  
328 0% 0.6%  
329 0% 0.6%  
330 0% 0.6%  
331 0% 0.6%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0% 0.5%  
334 0.1% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.4%  
336 0% 0.4%  
337 0% 0.4%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0.2% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0%  
353 0% 0%  
354 0% 0%  
355 0% 0%  
356 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0.2% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.2% 99.7%  
240 0% 99.5%  
241 0.1% 99.4%  
242 0.1% 99.4%  
243 0.5% 99.3%  
244 0.1% 98.8%  
245 0% 98.7%  
246 0% 98.6%  
247 0.1% 98.6%  
248 0.1% 98.5%  
249 0.2% 98%  
250 0.1% 98%  
251 0.1% 98%  
252 0.5% 98%  
253 0.4% 98%  
254 0.4% 97%  
255 0.2% 97%  
256 4% 96%  
257 3% 93%  
258 0.3% 90%  
259 0.2% 90%  
260 0.3% 90%  
261 6% 89%  
262 3% 84%  
263 2% 80%  
264 2% 79%  
265 3% 76%  
266 6% 74%  
267 0.5% 67%  
268 2% 67%  
269 2% 64%  
270 5% 62%  
271 0.6% 57% Median
272 3% 57%  
273 2% 54%  
274 0.5% 52%  
275 0.6% 52%  
276 1.1% 51%  
277 5% 50%  
278 0.3% 45%  
279 3% 45%  
280 2% 42%  
281 0.8% 40%  
282 5% 39%  
283 1.3% 34%  
284 0.7% 33%  
285 2% 32%  
286 0.8% 30%  
287 0.7% 29%  
288 1.1% 29%  
289 2% 28%  
290 2% 26%  
291 1.3% 23%  
292 2% 22%  
293 0.3% 20%  
294 0.2% 20%  
295 5% 20%  
296 0.3% 15%  
297 3% 14%  
298 0.3% 12%  
299 0.1% 11%  
300 0.9% 11%  
301 0.1% 11%  
302 3% 10%  
303 0.8% 8%  
304 2% 7%  
305 0.4% 5%  
306 0.4% 5%  
307 0.6% 4%  
308 0.1% 4%  
309 0.1% 4%  
310 0.1% 4%  
311 0.1% 3%  
312 0.1% 3%  
313 0% 3%  
314 0.4% 3%  
315 0.2% 3%  
316 0.3% 3%  
317 0.1% 2%  
318 0.8% 2%  
319 0.1% 1.5%  
320 0.2% 1.3%  
321 0.1% 1.2%  
322 0% 1.1%  
323 0.4% 1.1%  
324 0% 0.7%  
325 0% 0.7%  
326 0% 0.7% Majority
327 0% 0.6%  
328 0% 0.6%  
329 0% 0.6%  
330 0% 0.6%  
331 0% 0.6%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.4%  
335 0% 0.4%  
336 0% 0.4%  
337 0% 0.3%  
338 0% 0.3%  
339 0.2% 0.3%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0.1%  
343 0% 0.1%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  
349 0% 0%  
350 0% 0%  
351 0% 0%  
352 0% 0% Last Result

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
233 0.1% 100%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0% 99.7%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0.3% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.4%  
241 0.1% 99.3%  
242 0.5% 99.2%  
243 0.2% 98.8%  
244 0.1% 98.6%  
245 0.2% 98%  
246 0.1% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.1% 98%  
249 0.2% 98%  
250 0.9% 98%  
251 0.2% 97%  
252 0.2% 97%  
253 0.8% 96%  
254 1.4% 96%  
255 3% 94%  
256 0.2% 92%  
257 6% 92%  
258 0.9% 86%  
259 2% 85%  
260 2% 83%  
261 2% 81%  
262 5% 79%  
263 1.1% 74%  
264 1.2% 73%  
265 4% 72%  
266 2% 67%  
267 7% 65%  
268 2% 58%  
269 1.2% 56%  
270 0.6% 55%  
271 2% 54% Median
272 3% 52%  
273 1.5% 49%  
274 3% 48%  
275 1.2% 45%  
276 5% 44%  
277 0.4% 39%  
278 0.8% 38%  
279 4% 38%  
280 0.8% 34%  
281 0.6% 33%  
282 1.2% 32%  
283 4% 31%  
284 2% 27%  
285 0.1% 25%  
286 0.9% 25%  
287 3% 24%  
288 0.1% 21%  
289 1.3% 21%  
290 1.0% 20%  
291 5% 19%  
292 1.3% 14%  
293 0.3% 12%  
294 6% 12%  
295 0.2% 7%  
296 0.4% 6%  
297 0.4% 6%  
298 0.2% 6%  
299 0.1% 5%  
300 0.7% 5%  
301 0.1% 5%  
302 0.2% 4%  
303 0.6% 4%  
304 0.3% 4%  
305 0.5% 3%  
306 0.2% 3%  
307 0% 3%  
308 0.3% 3%  
309 0% 2%  
310 0.6% 2%  
311 0.1% 2%  
312 0.1% 2%  
313 0% 2%  
314 0% 2%  
315 0% 2%  
316 0% 2%  
317 0.6% 1.5%  
318 0.1% 0.9%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.3% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.4% Last Result
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0.1% 0.2%  
332 0.1% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
232 0% 100%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.7%  
236 0% 99.7%  
237 0% 99.6%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0.3% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.3%  
241 0.5% 99.3%  
242 0.1% 98.7%  
243 0.2% 98.7%  
244 0.3% 98%  
245 0.1% 98%  
246 0.1% 98%  
247 0.1% 98%  
248 0.3% 98%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.8% 97%  
251 0.4% 97%  
252 0.7% 96%  
253 0.9% 95%  
254 1.0% 95%  
255 2% 94%  
256 4% 91%  
257 3% 88%  
258 3% 85%  
259 2% 82%  
260 0.5% 80%  
261 4% 80%  
262 3% 76%  
263 2% 73%  
264 4% 71%  
265 3% 66%  
266 7% 63%  
267 0.3% 56%  
268 1.1% 56%  
269 2% 55%  
270 4% 53% Median
271 0.9% 50%  
272 3% 49%  
273 0.9% 46%  
274 0.2% 45%  
275 2% 45%  
276 5% 43%  
277 0.4% 38%  
278 1.4% 37%  
279 4% 36%  
280 0.5% 32%  
281 0.5% 31%  
282 4% 31%  
283 0.5% 27%  
284 1.5% 26%  
285 0.4% 25%  
286 0.5% 24%  
287 2% 24%  
288 0.1% 21%  
289 3% 21%  
290 3% 18%  
291 4% 15%  
292 0.2% 12%  
293 0.3% 11%  
294 5% 11%  
295 0.1% 6%  
296 0.3% 6%  
297 0.7% 5%  
298 0.3% 5%  
299 0% 5%  
300 0.1% 4%  
301 0.3% 4%  
302 0.5% 4%  
303 0.3% 4%  
304 0% 3%  
305 0.8% 3%  
306 0.1% 2%  
307 0.6% 2%  
308 0.1% 2%  
309 0% 2%  
310 0% 2%  
311 0% 2%  
312 0% 2%  
313 0% 2%  
314 0.1% 1.5%  
315 0% 1.4%  
316 0.1% 1.4%  
317 0.5% 1.3% Last Result
318 0% 0.8%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.3% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.2%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0.1% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations