Opinion Poll by BMG Research, 3–5 July 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 40.1% 38.5–41.7% 38.0–42.2% 37.7–42.6% 36.9–43.4%
Labour Party 40.0% 38.1% 36.5–39.7% 36.0–40.1% 35.6–40.5% 34.9–41.3%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 10.3% 9.3–11.3% 9.1–11.6% 8.8–11.9% 8.4–12.4%
Green Party 1.6% 4.1% 3.5–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 2.9–5.6%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 3.1% 2.6–3.8% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.1% 2.1–4.5%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.1% 0.8–1.5% 0.7–1.6% 0.7–1.7% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 317 277–330 274–333 267–333 259–340
Labour Party 262 254 237–283 230–295 229–298 224–311
Liberal Democrats 12 25 21–27 21–28 20–28 17–30
Green Party 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Scottish National Party 35 39 19–47 14–49 12–50 5–52
UK Independence Party 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Plaid Cymru 4 5 5–8 4–8 3–8 3–9

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.4% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.1%  
261 0% 99.0%  
262 0.4% 99.0%  
263 0.4% 98.6%  
264 0.1% 98%  
265 0.1% 98%  
266 0.2% 98%  
267 0.3% 98%  
268 0.1% 97%  
269 0.4% 97%  
270 0.1% 97%  
271 0.5% 97%  
272 0.3% 96%  
273 0.9% 96%  
274 1.4% 95%  
275 3% 94%  
276 0.2% 91%  
277 3% 90%  
278 0.5% 87%  
279 0% 87%  
280 0.5% 86%  
281 0.4% 86%  
282 0.4% 86%  
283 0.1% 85%  
284 0.1% 85%  
285 0.5% 85%  
286 0.1% 85%  
287 0.3% 84%  
288 0.2% 84%  
289 0.4% 84%  
290 1.2% 84%  
291 0.1% 82%  
292 0.7% 82%  
293 1.2% 82%  
294 1.1% 80%  
295 0.4% 79%  
296 3% 79%  
297 5% 76%  
298 3% 71%  
299 2% 68%  
300 1.2% 65%  
301 0.6% 64%  
302 0.4% 64%  
303 2% 63%  
304 0.5% 61%  
305 1.4% 61%  
306 3% 59%  
307 0.2% 57%  
308 1.1% 56%  
309 1.1% 55%  
310 0.2% 54%  
311 0.7% 54%  
312 0.2% 53%  
313 0.4% 53%  
314 0.6% 53%  
315 1.1% 52%  
316 0.1% 51%  
317 1.1% 51% Last Result, Median
318 0.2% 50%  
319 0.7% 50%  
320 10% 49%  
321 7% 39%  
322 14% 32%  
323 3% 18%  
324 1.1% 15%  
325 0.8% 14%  
326 0.1% 13% Majority
327 0.6% 13%  
328 0.8% 13%  
329 2% 12%  
330 0.5% 10%  
331 2% 10%  
332 2% 7%  
333 3% 6%  
334 1.0% 2%  
335 0.5% 1.4%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.7%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0.1% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0.1% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.8%  
220 0% 99.8%  
221 0% 99.8%  
222 0% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.8%  
224 0.2% 99.6%  
225 0% 99.4%  
226 0.1% 99.4%  
227 0% 99.3%  
228 0.1% 99.3%  
229 2% 99.2%  
230 2% 97%  
231 0.1% 95%  
232 0.3% 95%  
233 1.4% 94%  
234 0.3% 93%  
235 0.4% 93%  
236 2% 92%  
237 1.0% 91%  
238 6% 90%  
239 9% 83%  
240 0.4% 74%  
241 3% 74%  
242 0.1% 71%  
243 3% 71%  
244 5% 68%  
245 2% 63%  
246 0.2% 61%  
247 0.3% 61%  
248 1.1% 60%  
249 0.6% 59%  
250 0.2% 59%  
251 1.1% 58%  
252 1.4% 57%  
253 2% 56%  
254 4% 54% Median
255 4% 49%  
256 0.3% 46%  
257 2% 45%  
258 0.7% 43%  
259 0.2% 42%  
260 4% 42%  
261 1.1% 38%  
262 0.5% 37% Last Result
263 5% 36%  
264 0.3% 31%  
265 0.3% 31%  
266 3% 31%  
267 2% 28%  
268 2% 25%  
269 0.7% 24%  
270 0.6% 23%  
271 0.4% 22%  
272 0.8% 22%  
273 0.1% 21%  
274 2% 21%  
275 0.9% 19%  
276 0.4% 18%  
277 1.0% 18%  
278 0.3% 17%  
279 2% 16%  
280 2% 14%  
281 0.2% 12%  
282 0.7% 12%  
283 3% 11%  
284 0.1% 9%  
285 0.2% 8%  
286 0.2% 8%  
287 0.8% 8%  
288 0.5% 7%  
289 0.3% 7%  
290 0.4% 7%  
291 0.3% 6%  
292 0.1% 6%  
293 0.2% 6%  
294 0.2% 5%  
295 0.6% 5%  
296 2% 5%  
297 0.2% 3%  
298 0.7% 3%  
299 0.1% 2%  
300 0.1% 2%  
301 0.3% 2%  
302 0% 2%  
303 0.4% 2%  
304 0% 1.2%  
305 0% 1.2%  
306 0.3% 1.2%  
307 0.1% 0.9%  
308 0.1% 0.8%  
309 0.1% 0.7%  
310 0% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.5%  
312 0% 0.5%  
313 0.1% 0.5%  
314 0% 0.4%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.3%  
317 0% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0.1% 99.9%  
17 0.6% 99.8%  
18 0.7% 99.2%  
19 0.7% 98.6%  
20 2% 98%  
21 9% 96%  
22 0.7% 86%  
23 9% 86%  
24 3% 77%  
25 34% 74% Median
26 11% 40%  
27 19% 29%  
28 8% 10%  
29 0.8% 2%  
30 0.3% 0.8%  
31 0.2% 0.5%  
32 0.1% 0.2%  
33 0.1% 0.2%  
34 0% 0.1%  
35 0% 0.1%  
36 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 94% 100% Last Result, Median
2 5% 6%  
3 0.1% 0.1%  
4 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.1% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 99.8%  
4 0.1% 99.7%  
5 0.1% 99.6%  
6 0.2% 99.5%  
7 0.1% 99.2%  
8 0.3% 99.1%  
9 1.0% 98.8%  
10 0% 98%  
11 0% 98%  
12 0.8% 98%  
13 0.5% 97%  
14 2% 96%  
15 0.1% 94%  
16 0.1% 94%  
17 0.1% 94%  
18 0% 94%  
19 5% 94%  
20 0.7% 89%  
21 2% 88%  
22 0.4% 86%  
23 2% 85%  
24 2% 83%  
25 0.1% 81%  
26 6% 81%  
27 2% 76%  
28 0.9% 74%  
29 0.7% 73%  
30 0.6% 72%  
31 1.1% 72%  
32 2% 70%  
33 0.2% 68%  
34 0% 68%  
35 2% 68% Last Result
36 1.2% 66%  
37 0.5% 65%  
38 7% 64%  
39 9% 57% Median
40 17% 47%  
41 7% 30%  
42 4% 24%  
43 0.2% 19%  
44 2% 19%  
45 5% 17%  
46 1.4% 12%  
47 3% 11%  
48 3% 8%  
49 0.4% 5%  
50 3% 5%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.4% 0.6%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 84% 100% Last Result, Median
1 16% 16%  
2 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 3% 99.9%  
4 5% 97% Last Result
5 71% 92% Median
6 5% 21%  
7 2% 16%  
8 13% 14%  
9 0.8% 1.0%  
10 0.2% 0.3%  
11 0% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 352 84% 322–369 309–377 306–380 292–385
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 347 80% 317–364 304–372 300–374 287–377
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 313 41% 301–354 298–357 297–362 290–372
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 342 65% 302–353 300–356 294–357 284–364
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 308 32% 295–347 292–352 291–357 284–367
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 323 39% 284–335 279–339 273–340 264–346
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 288 14% 277–328 275–331 274–336 267–347
Conservative Party 317 317 13% 277–330 274–333 267–333 259–340
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 283 6% 272–322 270–326 267–331 261–342
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 284 5% 266–314 259–326 257–331 253–344
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 279 2% 261–309 254–322 251–325 246–338
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 259 0.1% 242–288 236–300 234–303 231–317
Labour Party 262 254 0% 237–283 230–295 229–298 224–311

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0.1% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.8%  
288 0.1% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0% 99.6%  
291 0% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.1% 99.5%  
294 0% 99.4%  
295 0.1% 99.4%  
296 0.1% 99.3%  
297 0.1% 99.2%  
298 0.3% 99.1%  
299 0% 98.9%  
300 0% 98.8%  
301 0.3% 98.8%  
302 0.1% 98.5%  
303 0.3% 98%  
304 0.1% 98%  
305 0.4% 98%  
306 0.2% 98%  
307 0.2% 97%  
308 2% 97%  
309 0.4% 95%  
310 0% 95%  
311 0.2% 95%  
312 0.4% 94%  
313 0.3% 94%  
314 0.6% 94%  
315 0.1% 93%  
316 0.8% 93%  
317 0.2% 92%  
318 0.1% 92%  
319 0.4% 92%  
320 0.3% 92%  
321 0.3% 91%  
322 1.4% 91%  
323 2% 90%  
324 0.3% 88%  
325 4% 88%  
326 0.1% 84% Majority
327 1.4% 84%  
328 0.5% 82%  
329 0.3% 82%  
330 0.2% 81%  
331 1.5% 81%  
332 0.7% 80%  
333 0.2% 79%  
334 0.7% 79%  
335 0.2% 78%  
336 2% 78%  
337 0.1% 76%  
338 2% 76%  
339 5% 74%  
340 4% 69%  
341 0.2% 65%  
342 0.9% 65%  
343 1.5% 64%  
344 4% 63%  
345 0.7% 59%  
346 0.7% 58%  
347 0.5% 58%  
348 0.5% 57%  
349 3% 57%  
350 0% 53%  
351 2% 53%  
352 6% 52%  
353 2% 46%  
354 2% 44%  
355 1.0% 42%  
356 0.3% 41% Last Result
357 0% 41%  
358 0.4% 41%  
359 2% 40%  
360 0.1% 38%  
361 0.4% 38% Median
362 1.0% 38%  
363 2% 37%  
364 5% 35%  
365 0.2% 30%  
366 0.1% 30%  
367 13% 30%  
368 4% 17%  
369 3% 13%  
370 0.7% 10%  
371 0.2% 9%  
372 0.4% 9%  
373 2% 9%  
374 0.3% 6%  
375 0.3% 6%  
376 0.2% 6%  
377 2% 6%  
378 0.1% 4%  
379 0.8% 4%  
380 2% 3%  
381 0.3% 1.0%  
382 0.1% 0.7%  
383 0% 0.6%  
384 0% 0.6%  
385 0.1% 0.5%  
386 0.1% 0.4%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0.1% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.7%  
283 0.1% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.6%  
286 0% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.5%  
288 0.1% 99.4%  
289 0% 99.3%  
290 0.1% 99.3%  
291 0.1% 99.3%  
292 0% 99.1%  
293 0.5% 99.1%  
294 0% 98.6%  
295 0% 98.6%  
296 0.1% 98.6%  
297 0.1% 98.5%  
298 0.3% 98%  
299 0.1% 98%  
300 0.6% 98%  
301 0.7% 97%  
302 0.1% 97%  
303 2% 97%  
304 0.3% 95%  
305 0% 95%  
306 0.4% 95%  
307 0.4% 94%  
308 0.2% 94%  
309 0.6% 94%  
310 0.2% 93%  
311 0.8% 93%  
312 0.2% 92%  
313 0.2% 92%  
314 0.5% 92%  
315 0.9% 91%  
316 0.3% 90%  
317 3% 90%  
318 0.2% 87%  
319 0.7% 86%  
320 2% 86%  
321 0.1% 84%  
322 2% 84%  
323 0.5% 82%  
324 0.8% 82%  
325 1.1% 81%  
326 0.2% 80% Majority
327 0.5% 79%  
328 1.1% 79%  
329 0.7% 78%  
330 0.1% 77%  
331 0.9% 77%  
332 1.0% 76%  
333 2% 75%  
334 6% 73%  
335 0.1% 67%  
336 2% 67%  
337 0.1% 64%  
338 0.2% 64%  
339 6% 64%  
340 0.7% 59%  
341 1.1% 58%  
342 0.5% 57%  
343 0.3% 56%  
344 3% 56%  
345 0.4% 53%  
346 2% 53%  
347 5% 51%  
348 2% 45%  
349 0.3% 43%  
350 2% 43%  
351 0.2% 41%  
352 0.5% 41% Last Result
353 0.4% 40%  
354 2% 40%  
355 2% 38%  
356 0.1% 36% Median
357 0.9% 36%  
358 1.1% 36%  
359 4% 34%  
360 0.1% 30%  
361 0.3% 30%  
362 13% 30%  
363 4% 17%  
364 3% 13%  
365 0.5% 10%  
366 0.2% 9%  
367 0.5% 9%  
368 2% 8%  
369 0.3% 6%  
370 0.3% 6%  
371 0.4% 6%  
372 2% 5%  
373 0.1% 4%  
374 2% 3%  
375 0.6% 1.5%  
376 0.3% 0.9%  
377 0.2% 0.7%  
378 0% 0.5%  
379 0% 0.5%  
380 0.2% 0.4%  
381 0.1% 0.3%  
382 0% 0.2%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0.1%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
280 0% 100%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0% 99.9%  
283 0.1% 99.9%  
284 0.1% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.8%  
286 0% 99.8%  
287 0% 99.7%  
288 0% 99.7%  
289 0.1% 99.7%  
290 0.1% 99.6%  
291 0.1% 99.5%  
292 0.1% 99.3%  
293 0% 99.2%  
294 0% 99.2%  
295 0.2% 99.1%  
296 0.4% 99.0%  
297 1.1% 98.5%  
298 3% 97%  
299 2% 94%  
300 2% 92%  
301 0.1% 90%  
302 2% 90%  
303 1.1% 88%  
304 0.1% 87%  
305 0.3% 87%  
306 2% 86%  
307 0.1% 85%  
308 3% 85%  
309 13% 82%  
310 8% 68%  
311 9% 60%  
312 0.6% 51%  
313 0.3% 50% Last Result
314 1.1% 50%  
315 0.2% 49%  
316 2% 49%  
317 0.4% 47%  
318 0.3% 47%  
319 0.7% 47%  
320 0.1% 46%  
321 1.0% 46%  
322 0.2% 45%  
323 1.1% 45% Median
324 0.1% 44%  
325 3% 43%  
326 1.4% 41% Majority
327 0.4% 39%  
328 2% 39%  
329 0.5% 37%  
330 0.5% 36%  
331 2% 36%  
332 2% 33%  
333 3% 32%  
334 5% 29%  
335 3% 24%  
336 0.1% 21%  
337 2% 21%  
338 0.7% 18%  
339 0.1% 18%  
340 1.2% 18%  
341 0.6% 16%  
342 0.1% 16%  
343 0.2% 16%  
344 0.3% 16%  
345 0.1% 15%  
346 0.3% 15%  
347 0.1% 15%  
348 0.1% 15%  
349 0.4% 15%  
350 0.3% 14%  
351 0.5% 14%  
352 0.2% 13%  
353 0.4% 13%  
354 3% 13%  
355 0.2% 9%  
356 4% 9%  
357 1.3% 5%  
358 0.7% 4%  
359 0.4% 3%  
360 0.1% 3%  
361 0.1% 3%  
362 0.4% 3%  
363 0.2% 2%  
364 0.2% 2%  
365 0.1% 2%  
366 0.1% 2%  
367 0.1% 2%  
368 0.4% 2%  
369 0.4% 1.4%  
370 0% 1.0%  
371 0.1% 1.0%  
372 0.4% 0.9%  
373 0.1% 0.4%  
374 0.1% 0.3%  
375 0.1% 0.2%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0.1% 99.9%  
283 0.2% 99.8%  
284 0.2% 99.6%  
285 0% 99.4%  
286 0.4% 99.4%  
287 0.1% 99.0%  
288 0% 98.9%  
289 0.1% 98.8%  
290 0.6% 98.7%  
291 0.2% 98%  
292 0.1% 98%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.3% 98%  
295 0.1% 97%  
296 0.5% 97%  
297 0.1% 97%  
298 0.6% 97%  
299 1.0% 96%  
300 2% 95%  
301 1.0% 93%  
302 2% 92%  
303 0.7% 90%  
304 3% 89%  
305 0.5% 87%  
306 0.2% 86%  
307 0.4% 86%  
308 0.5% 86%  
309 0.1% 85%  
310 0.5% 85%  
311 0.1% 85%  
312 0.2% 84%  
313 0% 84%  
314 0.3% 84%  
315 1.0% 84%  
316 0.4% 83%  
317 0.5% 83%  
318 0.1% 82%  
319 0.5% 82%  
320 3% 81%  
321 1.4% 79%  
322 3% 77%  
323 1.4% 74%  
324 3% 73%  
325 6% 70%  
326 0.9% 65% Majority
327 2% 64%  
328 3% 62%  
329 0.3% 59% Last Result
330 0.1% 59%  
331 3% 59%  
332 0.6% 56%  
333 0.1% 55%  
334 0.1% 55%  
335 0.9% 55%  
336 0.1% 54%  
337 0.3% 54%  
338 0.6% 54%  
339 0.8% 53%  
340 1.3% 52%  
341 0.6% 51%  
342 0.5% 50% Median
343 8% 50%  
344 0.8% 42%  
345 2% 41%  
346 7% 39%  
347 13% 32%  
348 1.2% 19%  
349 3% 18%  
350 3% 15%  
351 0.1% 11%  
352 0.5% 11%  
353 0.9% 11%  
354 4% 10%  
355 0.2% 6%  
356 3% 6%  
357 1.1% 3%  
358 0% 2%  
359 0.2% 2%  
360 1.3% 2%  
361 0.1% 0.6%  
362 0% 0.6%  
363 0% 0.5%  
364 0% 0.5%  
365 0.1% 0.5%  
366 0.1% 0.4%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
274 0% 100%  
275 0.1% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.7%  
281 0.1% 99.7%  
282 0.1% 99.6%  
283 0% 99.6%  
284 0.2% 99.6%  
285 0.1% 99.4%  
286 0.1% 99.3%  
287 0% 99.2%  
288 0.3% 99.2%  
289 0.1% 98.9%  
290 0.1% 98.8%  
291 2% 98.7%  
292 2% 97%  
293 2% 95%  
294 1.1% 93%  
295 2% 92%  
296 0.3% 90%  
297 2% 89%  
298 1.1% 88%  
299 0.1% 87%  
300 0.2% 86%  
301 2% 86%  
302 0.1% 85%  
303 3% 85%  
304 13% 81%  
305 8% 68%  
306 9% 60%  
307 0.9% 51%  
308 0.5% 50%  
309 1.4% 49% Last Result
310 0.1% 48%  
311 1.3% 48%  
312 0.1% 47%  
313 0.2% 47%  
314 0.1% 46%  
315 0.6% 46%  
316 1.0% 46%  
317 0.2% 45%  
318 1.1% 45% Median
319 0.3% 44%  
320 3% 43%  
321 1.2% 40%  
322 0.8% 39%  
323 5% 38%  
324 0.6% 34%  
325 0.5% 33%  
326 0.1% 32% Majority
327 1.0% 32%  
328 2% 31%  
329 3% 30%  
330 5% 26%  
331 2% 21%  
332 2% 19%  
333 0.4% 17%  
334 0.6% 17%  
335 0.4% 16%  
336 0.2% 16%  
337 0.2% 16%  
338 0.2% 16%  
339 0.3% 15%  
340 0.1% 15%  
341 0.1% 15%  
342 0.1% 15%  
343 0.3% 15%  
344 0.1% 14%  
345 0.6% 14%  
346 3% 14%  
347 0.9% 11%  
348 0.1% 10%  
349 0.3% 10%  
350 2% 9%  
351 2% 8%  
352 1.2% 5%  
353 0.5% 4%  
354 0.4% 3%  
355 0.2% 3%  
356 0.1% 3%  
357 0.3% 3%  
358 0.2% 2%  
359 0.3% 2%  
360 0% 2%  
361 0.1% 2%  
362 0.1% 2%  
363 0.3% 2%  
364 0.4% 1.4%  
365 0% 1.0%  
366 0.1% 1.0%  
367 0.4% 0.8%  
368 0.1% 0.4%  
369 0.1% 0.3%  
370 0.1% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
256 0% 100%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0.1% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.7%  
263 0.1% 99.6%  
264 0.5% 99.6%  
265 0.1% 99.1%  
266 0% 99.0%  
267 0.4% 98.9%  
268 0.3% 98.5%  
269 0.1% 98%  
270 0.1% 98%  
271 0.2% 98%  
272 0.2% 98%  
273 0.1% 98%  
274 0.4% 97%  
275 0.2% 97%  
276 0.5% 97%  
277 0.3% 96%  
278 0.7% 96%  
279 1.4% 95%  
280 2% 94%  
281 2% 92%  
282 0.1% 90%  
283 0.2% 90%  
284 0.8% 90%  
285 3% 89%  
286 0.6% 86%  
287 0.1% 86%  
288 0.3% 85%  
289 0.1% 85%  
290 0.3% 85%  
291 0.1% 85%  
292 0.2% 85%  
293 0.3% 84%  
294 0.1% 84%  
295 0.4% 84%  
296 0.6% 84%  
297 0.2% 83%  
298 1.0% 83%  
299 1.4% 82%  
300 2% 80%  
301 7% 79%  
302 2% 72%  
303 2% 70%  
304 0.8% 68%  
305 0.5% 68%  
306 0.3% 67%  
307 1.4% 67%  
308 4% 65%  
309 0.9% 62%  
310 1.0% 61%  
311 3% 60%  
312 0.3% 57%  
313 1.1% 56%  
314 1.1% 55%  
315 0.7% 54%  
316 0.1% 54%  
317 0.1% 53%  
318 0% 53%  
319 0.4% 53%  
320 1.0% 53%  
321 0.4% 52% Last Result
322 1.4% 52% Median
323 0.4% 50%  
324 0.7% 50%  
325 10% 49%  
326 7% 39% Majority
327 14% 32%  
328 3% 18%  
329 1.1% 15%  
330 0.8% 14%  
331 0.1% 14%  
332 0.7% 14%  
333 0.8% 13%  
334 2% 12%  
335 0.5% 10%  
336 2% 10%  
337 1.1% 8%  
338 2% 7%  
339 2% 5%  
340 2% 3%  
341 0% 1.2%  
342 0.1% 1.2%  
343 0.3% 1.1%  
344 0% 0.8%  
345 0.2% 0.8%  
346 0.2% 0.6%  
347 0% 0.4%  
348 0% 0.4%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.3%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0.1% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.1% 99.8%  
265 0.1% 99.6%  
266 0% 99.5%  
267 0% 99.5%  
268 0% 99.5%  
269 0.1% 99.4%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 1.2% 99.2%  
272 0.1% 98%  
273 0.2% 98%  
274 1.1% 98%  
275 3% 97%  
276 0.6% 94%  
277 3% 93%  
278 0.6% 90%  
279 0.5% 89%  
280 0.1% 89%  
281 5% 89%  
282 2% 84%  
283 1.2% 82%  
284 13% 81%  
285 7% 68%  
286 2% 61%  
287 1.2% 59%  
288 8% 57%  
289 0.7% 50%  
290 0.2% 49%  
291 2% 49%  
292 0.7% 47%  
293 0.3% 46%  
294 0.2% 46%  
295 1.0% 46%  
296 0.1% 45%  
297 0% 45%  
298 0.2% 45% Median
299 0.5% 45%  
300 3% 44%  
301 0.1% 41% Last Result
302 0.2% 41%  
303 3% 41%  
304 2% 38%  
305 0.7% 36%  
306 6% 35%  
307 2% 29%  
308 1.4% 27%  
309 3% 26%  
310 3% 22%  
311 0.7% 19%  
312 0.5% 18%  
313 0.5% 18%  
314 0.5% 17%  
315 1.0% 17%  
316 0.2% 16%  
317 0% 16%  
318 0.2% 16%  
319 0.2% 15%  
320 0.1% 15%  
321 0.4% 15%  
322 0.2% 15%  
323 0.3% 15%  
324 0.4% 14%  
325 0.3% 14%  
326 0.4% 14% Majority
327 3% 13%  
328 0.9% 11%  
329 2% 10%  
330 1.4% 8%  
331 2% 6%  
332 0.8% 4%  
333 0.4% 4%  
334 0.1% 3%  
335 0.4% 3%  
336 0.4% 3%  
337 0.1% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.1% 2%  
340 0.1% 2%  
341 0.6% 2%  
342 0.1% 1.3%  
343 0% 1.2%  
344 0.1% 1.1%  
345 0.4% 1.0%  
346 0% 0.6%  
347 0.2% 0.6%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0.1% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.7%  
258 0.1% 99.6%  
259 0.4% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.1%  
261 0% 99.0%  
262 0.4% 99.0%  
263 0.4% 98.6%  
264 0.1% 98%  
265 0.1% 98%  
266 0.2% 98%  
267 0.3% 98%  
268 0.1% 97%  
269 0.4% 97%  
270 0.1% 97%  
271 0.5% 97%  
272 0.3% 96%  
273 0.9% 96%  
274 1.4% 95%  
275 3% 94%  
276 0.2% 91%  
277 3% 90%  
278 0.5% 87%  
279 0% 87%  
280 0.5% 86%  
281 0.4% 86%  
282 0.4% 86%  
283 0.1% 85%  
284 0.1% 85%  
285 0.5% 85%  
286 0.1% 85%  
287 0.3% 84%  
288 0.2% 84%  
289 0.4% 84%  
290 1.2% 84%  
291 0.1% 82%  
292 0.7% 82%  
293 1.2% 82%  
294 1.1% 80%  
295 0.4% 79%  
296 3% 79%  
297 5% 76%  
298 3% 71%  
299 2% 68%  
300 1.2% 65%  
301 0.6% 64%  
302 0.4% 64%  
303 2% 63%  
304 0.5% 61%  
305 1.4% 61%  
306 3% 59%  
307 0.2% 57%  
308 1.1% 56%  
309 1.1% 55%  
310 0.2% 54%  
311 0.7% 54%  
312 0.2% 53%  
313 0.4% 53%  
314 0.6% 53%  
315 1.1% 52%  
316 0.1% 51%  
317 1.1% 51% Last Result, Median
318 0.2% 50%  
319 0.7% 50%  
320 10% 49%  
321 7% 39%  
322 14% 32%  
323 3% 18%  
324 1.1% 15%  
325 0.8% 14%  
326 0.1% 13% Majority
327 0.6% 13%  
328 0.8% 13%  
329 2% 12%  
330 0.5% 10%  
331 2% 10%  
332 2% 7%  
333 3% 6%  
334 1.0% 2%  
335 0.5% 1.4%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0% 0.8%  
338 0.1% 0.8%  
339 0.1% 0.7%  
340 0.1% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.2%  
348 0.1% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0.1% 99.9%  
257 0.1% 99.8%  
258 0.1% 99.7%  
259 0.1% 99.6%  
260 0% 99.5%  
261 0.1% 99.5%  
262 0% 99.5%  
263 0.1% 99.4%  
264 0.2% 99.3%  
265 1.1% 99.1%  
266 0.1% 98%  
267 1.3% 98%  
268 0.2% 97%  
269 1.1% 96%  
270 2% 95%  
271 2% 94%  
272 2% 91%  
273 0.8% 89%  
274 0.5% 89%  
275 0.2% 88%  
276 5% 88%  
277 2% 84%  
278 1.1% 82%  
279 13% 81%  
280 8% 68%  
281 2% 60%  
282 1.2% 58%  
283 8% 57%  
284 0.5% 49%  
285 0.2% 49%  
286 1.3% 49%  
287 0.9% 47%  
288 0.4% 46%  
289 0.2% 46%  
290 0.9% 46%  
291 0.1% 45%  
292 0% 45%  
293 0.2% 45% Median
294 0.3% 45%  
295 3% 44%  
296 1.0% 41%  
297 0.9% 40% Last Result
298 5% 40%  
299 2% 35%  
300 0.3% 33%  
301 0.8% 33%  
302 6% 32%  
303 2% 26%  
304 4% 24%  
305 1.1% 20%  
306 0.6% 19%  
307 0.7% 18%  
308 1.1% 17%  
309 0.2% 16%  
310 0.3% 16%  
311 0.1% 16%  
312 0% 16%  
313 0.1% 16%  
314 0.3% 15%  
315 0.2% 15%  
316 0.3% 15%  
317 0.1% 15%  
318 0.5% 15%  
319 2% 14%  
320 0.9% 12%  
321 0.9% 11%  
322 0.3% 10%  
323 0.7% 10%  
324 2% 9%  
325 0.8% 7%  
326 2% 6% Majority
327 0.4% 4%  
328 0.1% 3%  
329 0.1% 3%  
330 0.5% 3%  
331 0.4% 3%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.1% 2%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0.1% 2%  
336 0.6% 2%  
337 0.1% 1.2%  
338 0.1% 1.2%  
339 0.1% 1.1%  
340 0.4% 1.0%  
341 0% 0.6%  
342 0.2% 0.5%  
343 0.2% 0.3%  
344 0.1% 0.2%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.8%  
249 0.1% 99.8%  
250 0.2% 99.8%  
251 0.1% 99.6%  
252 0% 99.5%  
253 0.1% 99.5%  
254 0.2% 99.4%  
255 0.2% 99.2%  
256 0.6% 99.1%  
257 2% 98%  
258 0.2% 97%  
259 2% 96%  
260 0.5% 95%  
261 0.2% 94%  
262 0.4% 94%  
263 2% 93%  
264 0.5% 91%  
265 0% 91%  
266 2% 91%  
267 2% 89%  
268 4% 87%  
269 13% 83%  
270 0.1% 70%  
271 0.2% 70%  
272 4% 70%  
273 2% 65%  
274 0.3% 64%  
275 0.4% 64%  
276 1.3% 63%  
277 2% 62%  
278 0.2% 60% Last Result
279 0.5% 60%  
280 0.6% 59%  
281 2% 59%  
282 0.2% 57%  
283 3% 57%  
284 6% 54% Median
285 0.7% 48%  
286 0.8% 47%  
287 3% 47%  
288 0% 44%  
289 0.5% 44%  
290 1.3% 43%  
291 0.8% 42%  
292 5% 41%  
293 0.1% 36%  
294 0% 36%  
295 3% 35%  
296 0.8% 33%  
297 5% 32%  
298 3% 27%  
299 0.2% 24%  
300 0.7% 24%  
301 0.2% 23%  
302 1.3% 23%  
303 0.6% 21%  
304 0.4% 21%  
305 0.2% 21%  
306 1.5% 20%  
307 0.6% 19%  
308 0.7% 18%  
309 1.2% 17%  
310 0.3% 16%  
311 2% 16%  
312 0.7% 14%  
313 0.1% 13%  
314 4% 13%  
315 0.5% 10%  
316 0.9% 9%  
317 0% 8%  
318 0.3% 8%  
319 0.1% 8%  
320 1.2% 8%  
321 0.2% 7%  
322 0.3% 6%  
323 0.3% 6%  
324 0.3% 6%  
325 0.3% 6%  
326 0.3% 5% Majority
327 0.3% 5%  
328 1.4% 5%  
329 0% 3%  
330 0.7% 3%  
331 0.6% 3%  
332 0.1% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0% 1.4%  
336 0% 1.4%  
337 0.1% 1.4%  
338 0.5% 1.3%  
339 0.1% 0.9%  
340 0.1% 0.8%  
341 0% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.7%  
343 0% 0.6%  
344 0.1% 0.6%  
345 0% 0.4%  
346 0% 0.4%  
347 0% 0.4%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.3%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0.1% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0.1% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.5%  
247 0% 99.4%  
248 0% 99.4%  
249 0.2% 99.4%  
250 0.2% 99.2%  
251 2% 99.0%  
252 0.8% 97%  
253 0.2% 96%  
254 2% 96%  
255 0.3% 94%  
256 0.2% 94%  
257 0.5% 94%  
258 2% 93%  
259 0.5% 91%  
260 0.2% 91%  
261 2% 91%  
262 2% 89%  
263 4% 87%  
264 13% 82%  
265 0.1% 70%  
266 0.2% 70%  
267 5% 70%  
268 2% 64%  
269 0.6% 62%  
270 0.1% 62%  
271 0.2% 62%  
272 2% 61%  
273 0.4% 59%  
274 0.1% 59% Last Result
275 0.3% 59%  
276 2% 59%  
277 0.1% 56%  
278 4% 56%  
279 5% 53% Median
280 0.9% 47%  
281 0.3% 47%  
282 3% 46%  
283 0.4% 43%  
284 0.8% 43%  
285 0.6% 42%  
286 0.4% 41%  
287 4% 41%  
288 2% 37%  
289 0.5% 35%  
290 2% 35%  
291 3% 33%  
292 5% 30%  
293 2% 25%  
294 0.6% 24%  
295 1.1% 23%  
296 0.2% 22%  
297 0.7% 22%  
298 0.5% 21%  
299 0.4% 20%  
300 1.4% 20%  
301 0.2% 19%  
302 0.4% 18%  
303 0.7% 18%  
304 1.0% 17%  
305 0.3% 16%  
306 4% 16%  
307 0.2% 12%  
308 2% 12%  
309 2% 10%  
310 0.5% 9%  
311 0.1% 8%  
312 0.1% 8%  
313 0.3% 8%  
314 0.1% 8%  
315 1.2% 8%  
316 0.2% 6%  
317 0.3% 6%  
318 0.4% 6%  
319 0.1% 6%  
320 0.1% 6%  
321 0.3% 5%  
322 0.4% 5%  
323 2% 5%  
324 0.1% 3%  
325 0.2% 3%  
326 0.4% 2% Majority
327 0.1% 2%  
328 0.3% 2%  
329 0.1% 2%  
330 0.3% 1.4%  
331 0% 1.2%  
332 0% 1.2%  
333 0.3% 1.1%  
334 0.1% 0.8%  
335 0% 0.7%  
336 0.1% 0.7%  
337 0.1% 0.6%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0% 0.5%  
340 0.1% 0.5%  
341 0% 0.4%  
342 0% 0.3%  
343 0.1% 0.3%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0% 0.2%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0.1% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.2% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.6%  
231 0.1% 99.6%  
232 0.1% 99.4%  
233 0.1% 99.3%  
234 2% 99.2%  
235 0.8% 97%  
236 1.5% 96%  
237 0.3% 95%  
238 1.0% 94%  
239 0% 93%  
240 0.5% 93%  
241 2% 93%  
242 1.1% 91%  
243 6% 90%  
244 9% 84%  
245 0.1% 74%  
246 2% 74%  
247 1.1% 72%  
248 3% 71%  
249 4% 68%  
250 2% 64%  
251 0.2% 62%  
252 2% 62%  
253 0.3% 60%  
254 0.7% 60%  
255 0.6% 59%  
256 0.1% 59%  
257 1.4% 58%  
258 3% 57%  
259 5% 54% Median
260 3% 49%  
261 0.3% 46%  
262 0.9% 45%  
263 0.9% 45%  
264 0.7% 44%  
265 5% 43%  
266 0.1% 38% Last Result
267 4% 38%  
268 0.5% 34%  
269 1.0% 33%  
270 0.6% 32%  
271 4% 32%  
272 2% 28%  
273 2% 26%  
274 0.2% 24%  
275 0.3% 24%  
276 0.1% 23%  
277 1.5% 23%  
278 0.6% 22%  
279 1.0% 21%  
280 2% 20%  
281 0.4% 19%  
282 1.3% 18%  
283 1.2% 17%  
284 0.3% 16%  
285 1.5% 16%  
286 0.1% 14%  
287 2% 14%  
288 2% 12%  
289 0.1% 9%  
290 0.2% 9%  
291 0.9% 9%  
292 0.9% 8%  
293 0.5% 7%  
294 0.1% 7%  
295 0.3% 7%  
296 0.3% 6%  
297 0.4% 6%  
298 0.3% 6%  
299 0.1% 5%  
300 0.6% 5%  
301 1.1% 5%  
302 0.2% 3%  
303 1.0% 3%  
304 0% 2%  
305 0.1% 2%  
306 0.5% 2%  
307 0% 2%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0% 1.4%  
310 0.1% 1.4%  
311 0.5% 1.4%  
312 0.1% 0.9%  
313 0.1% 0.8%  
314 0.1% 0.7%  
315 0% 0.6%  
316 0% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.5%  
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.4%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.2%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
215 0% 100%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0.1% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.8%  
220 0% 99.8%  
221 0% 99.8%  
222 0% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.8%  
224 0.2% 99.6%  
225 0% 99.4%  
226 0.1% 99.4%  
227 0% 99.3%  
228 0.1% 99.3%  
229 2% 99.2%  
230 2% 97%  
231 0.1% 95%  
232 0.3% 95%  
233 1.4% 94%  
234 0.3% 93%  
235 0.4% 93%  
236 2% 92%  
237 1.0% 91%  
238 6% 90%  
239 9% 83%  
240 0.4% 74%  
241 3% 74%  
242 0.1% 71%  
243 3% 71%  
244 5% 68%  
245 2% 63%  
246 0.2% 61%  
247 0.3% 61%  
248 1.1% 60%  
249 0.6% 59%  
250 0.2% 59%  
251 1.1% 58%  
252 1.4% 57%  
253 2% 56%  
254 4% 54% Median
255 4% 49%  
256 0.3% 46%  
257 2% 45%  
258 0.7% 43%  
259 0.2% 42%  
260 4% 42%  
261 1.1% 38%  
262 0.5% 37% Last Result
263 5% 36%  
264 0.3% 31%  
265 0.3% 31%  
266 3% 31%  
267 2% 28%  
268 2% 25%  
269 0.7% 24%  
270 0.6% 23%  
271 0.4% 22%  
272 0.8% 22%  
273 0.1% 21%  
274 2% 21%  
275 0.9% 19%  
276 0.4% 18%  
277 1.0% 18%  
278 0.3% 17%  
279 2% 16%  
280 2% 14%  
281 0.2% 12%  
282 0.7% 12%  
283 3% 11%  
284 0.1% 9%  
285 0.2% 8%  
286 0.2% 8%  
287 0.8% 8%  
288 0.5% 7%  
289 0.3% 7%  
290 0.4% 7%  
291 0.3% 6%  
292 0.1% 6%  
293 0.2% 6%  
294 0.2% 5%  
295 0.6% 5%  
296 2% 5%  
297 0.2% 3%  
298 0.7% 3%  
299 0.1% 2%  
300 0.1% 2%  
301 0.3% 2%  
302 0% 2%  
303 0.4% 2%  
304 0% 1.2%  
305 0% 1.2%  
306 0.3% 1.2%  
307 0.1% 0.9%  
308 0.1% 0.8%  
309 0.1% 0.7%  
310 0% 0.5%  
311 0.1% 0.5%  
312 0% 0.5%  
313 0.1% 0.5%  
314 0% 0.4%  
315 0.1% 0.4%  
316 0% 0.3%  
317 0% 0.2%  
318 0% 0.2%  
319 0.1% 0.2%  
320 0% 0.1%  
321 0% 0.1%  
322 0% 0.1%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations