Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Times, 13–14 August 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 40.6% 39.1–42.2% 38.6–42.6% 38.3–43.0% 37.5–43.7%
Labour Party 40.0% 37.7% 36.1–39.2% 35.7–39.6% 35.3–40.0% 34.6–40.8%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 7.9% 7.1–8.8% 6.9–9.1% 6.7–9.3% 6.3–9.8%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 6.0% 5.3–6.8% 5.1–7.0% 4.9–7.2% 4.6–7.6%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.4% 2.9–4.0% 2.7–4.2% 2.6–4.4% 2.4–4.7%
Green Party 1.6% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.5% 0.4–0.9% 0.3–0.9% 0.3–1.0% 0.2–1.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 318 290–335 283–338 278–343 269–350
Labour Party 262 249 236–277 230–283 228–289 222–301
Liberal Democrats 12 16 12–20 9–22 7–23 5–26
UK Independence Party 0 1 1 1 1 1
Scottish National Party 35 43 32–52 24–54 21–54 12–55
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 4 2–5 1–5 0–5 0–5

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.2% 99.6%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.1% 99.2%  
272 0.4% 99.1%  
273 0.2% 98.8%  
274 0.1% 98.5%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0.4% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.6% 97%  
280 0.2% 97%  
281 2% 97%  
282 0.1% 95%  
283 0.6% 95%  
284 0.4% 95%  
285 0.4% 94%  
286 0.7% 94%  
287 0.7% 93%  
288 1.0% 92%  
289 0.4% 91%  
290 1.0% 91%  
291 0.9% 90%  
292 0.9% 89%  
293 0.1% 88%  
294 1.3% 88%  
295 0.2% 87%  
296 0.4% 87%  
297 0.8% 86%  
298 1.4% 85%  
299 0.7% 84%  
300 0.8% 83%  
301 2% 82%  
302 0.7% 81%  
303 0.8% 80%  
304 2% 79%  
305 2% 78%  
306 1.1% 76%  
307 4% 75%  
308 3% 71%  
309 2% 69%  
310 0.4% 66%  
311 4% 66%  
312 3% 62%  
313 1.0% 60%  
314 1.5% 59%  
315 1.0% 57%  
316 3% 56%  
317 1.1% 53% Last Result
318 2% 52% Median
319 0.7% 50%  
320 2% 49%  
321 4% 47%  
322 4% 43%  
323 4% 39%  
324 4% 35%  
325 0.9% 31%  
326 3% 30% Majority
327 4% 27%  
328 1.4% 24%  
329 1.2% 22%  
330 2% 21%  
331 1.0% 19%  
332 3% 18%  
333 4% 15%  
334 2% 12%  
335 0.5% 10%  
336 3% 10%  
337 1.4% 7%  
338 0.8% 6%  
339 0.6% 5%  
340 0.7% 4%  
341 0.5% 4%  
342 0.2% 3%  
343 0.7% 3%  
344 0.8% 2%  
345 0.2% 1.4%  
346 0.1% 1.2%  
347 0.2% 1.1%  
348 0.2% 0.9%  
349 0.2% 0.7%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.3%  
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0.1% 99.8%  
219 0% 99.7%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0.1% 99.6%  
222 0% 99.5%  
223 0% 99.5%  
224 0.1% 99.4%  
225 0.3% 99.3%  
226 0.8% 99.1%  
227 0.7% 98%  
228 0.2% 98%  
229 2% 97%  
230 0.5% 95%  
231 0.2% 95%  
232 0.7% 95%  
233 2% 94%  
234 0.3% 91%  
235 0.3% 91%  
236 1.3% 91%  
237 4% 90%  
238 3% 86%  
239 4% 82%  
240 5% 79%  
241 4% 74%  
242 2% 70%  
243 0.4% 68%  
244 3% 68%  
245 3% 64%  
246 3% 61%  
247 3% 59%  
248 2% 55%  
249 4% 53% Median
250 1.0% 50%  
251 3% 49%  
252 3% 46%  
253 0.3% 43%  
254 3% 43%  
255 1.0% 40%  
256 2% 39%  
257 0.8% 37%  
258 0.6% 36%  
259 3% 35%  
260 2% 32%  
261 2% 31%  
262 4% 29% Last Result
263 2% 24%  
264 1.4% 22%  
265 0.3% 21%  
266 2% 21%  
267 0.4% 19%  
268 1.2% 18%  
269 0.3% 17%  
270 1.1% 17%  
271 2% 16%  
272 1.2% 14%  
273 0.5% 13%  
274 0.4% 12%  
275 0.8% 12%  
276 0.5% 11%  
277 1.2% 11%  
278 0.2% 9%  
279 0.6% 9%  
280 0.7% 8%  
281 1.5% 8%  
282 0.8% 6%  
283 0.6% 5%  
284 0.2% 5%  
285 0.5% 5%  
286 0.6% 4%  
287 0.1% 3%  
288 0.6% 3%  
289 0.3% 3%  
290 0.1% 2%  
291 0.2% 2%  
292 0.2% 2%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.2% 1.5%  
295 0.1% 1.3%  
296 0.1% 1.2%  
297 0.1% 1.1%  
298 0.3% 1.1%  
299 0.2% 0.8%  
300 0.1% 0.6%  
301 0% 0.5%  
302 0.1% 0.5%  
303 0% 0.4%  
304 0.2% 0.4%  
305 0% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.1% 100%  
4 0.1% 99.9%  
5 0.7% 99.8%  
6 1.1% 99.1%  
7 0.6% 98%  
8 2% 97%  
9 0.8% 95%  
10 2% 94%  
11 2% 93%  
12 5% 91% Last Result
13 5% 85%  
14 12% 80%  
15 10% 68%  
16 19% 58% Median
17 11% 39%  
18 10% 28%  
19 3% 18%  
20 6% 15%  
21 4% 9%  
22 2% 5%  
23 2% 4%  
24 0.5% 2%  
25 0.5% 1.3%  
26 0.6% 0.8%  
27 0.1% 0.1%  
28 0.1% 0.1%  
29 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 99.7% 100% Median
2 0.3% 0.3%  
3 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 99.9%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 0% 99.9%  
8 0.1% 99.8%  
9 0.1% 99.7%  
10 0% 99.6%  
11 0% 99.6%  
12 0.2% 99.6%  
13 0.1% 99.3%  
14 0.4% 99.2%  
15 0.1% 98.8%  
16 0% 98.7%  
17 0.1% 98.7%  
18 0.1% 98.6%  
19 0.7% 98.6%  
20 0.1% 98%  
21 2% 98%  
22 0% 96%  
23 0.5% 96%  
24 0.8% 95%  
25 0.2% 95%  
26 1.0% 94%  
27 0.8% 93%  
28 0.9% 93%  
29 0.5% 92%  
30 0.4% 91%  
31 0.3% 91%  
32 4% 90%  
33 0.4% 86%  
34 0.1% 86%  
35 2% 86% Last Result
36 1.1% 84%  
37 3% 83%  
38 2% 80%  
39 4% 78%  
40 10% 73%  
41 11% 63%  
42 2% 53%  
43 3% 50% Median
44 1.0% 47%  
45 3% 46%  
46 10% 43%  
47 2% 33%  
48 6% 31%  
49 4% 25%  
50 3% 21%  
51 6% 18%  
52 3% 12%  
53 3% 8%  
54 3% 5%  
55 2% 2%  
56 0.1% 0.4%  
57 0.3% 0.3%  
58 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 5% 100%  
1 3% 95%  
2 17% 92%  
3 14% 75%  
4 37% 61% Last Result, Median
5 24% 24%  
6 0.1% 0.2%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 365 96% 337–380 330–385 321–387 312–396
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 361 95% 334–377 327–381 318–383 309–391
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 336 60% 305–351 300–354 296–358 285–366
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 312 22% 295–340 292–347 287–352 280–361
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 308 18% 291–336 288–345 284–348 277–358
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 322 41% 294–339 285–342 282–346 272–353
Conservative Party 317 318 30% 290–335 283–338 278–343 269–350
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 294 10% 279–325 276–330 272–334 264–345
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 292 6% 276–321 273–327 269–331 261–341
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 269 0.3% 253–296 249–303 247–312 239–321
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 265 0.2% 250–293 245–300 243–309 234–318
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 253 0% 239–278 234–287 231–293 225–304
Labour Party 262 249 0% 236–277 230–283 228–289 222–301

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
294 0% 100%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.8%  
305 0% 99.8%  
306 0% 99.7%  
307 0% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.7%  
309 0% 99.7%  
310 0% 99.7%  
311 0.2% 99.7%  
312 0.1% 99.5%  
313 0% 99.4%  
314 0.1% 99.4%  
315 0.2% 99.3%  
316 0.3% 99.1%  
317 0.2% 98.8%  
318 0.1% 98.6%  
319 0.1% 98%  
320 0.2% 98%  
321 0.7% 98%  
322 0.2% 97%  
323 0.1% 97%  
324 0.4% 97%  
325 0.4% 97%  
326 0.4% 96% Majority
327 0.5% 96%  
328 0.2% 96%  
329 0.3% 95%  
330 0.1% 95%  
331 0.4% 95%  
332 2% 95%  
333 0.8% 93%  
334 0.7% 92%  
335 0.5% 91%  
336 0.2% 91%  
337 1.4% 91%  
338 0.9% 89%  
339 0.6% 88%  
340 0.5% 88%  
341 0.6% 87%  
342 1.2% 87%  
343 0.5% 85%  
344 2% 85%  
345 0.7% 83%  
346 1.0% 82%  
347 0.6% 81%  
348 1.0% 80%  
349 2% 79%  
350 0.5% 77%  
351 3% 76%  
352 1.1% 74%  
353 1.3% 73%  
354 4% 71%  
355 3% 67%  
356 1.4% 65% Last Result
357 0.7% 63%  
358 2% 63%  
359 1.2% 61%  
360 2% 59%  
361 2% 57%  
362 0.4% 55%  
363 1.0% 54%  
364 0.9% 53%  
365 3% 53% Median
366 3% 50%  
367 3% 47%  
368 7% 44%  
369 0.4% 37%  
370 2% 36%  
371 3% 34%  
372 4% 31%  
373 2% 27%  
374 2% 25%  
375 2% 23%  
376 3% 21%  
377 2% 18%  
378 3% 17%  
379 2% 14%  
380 3% 11%  
381 0.7% 9%  
382 0.8% 8%  
383 1.1% 7%  
384 0.9% 6%  
385 0.8% 5%  
386 1.1% 4%  
387 0.7% 3%  
388 0.5% 2%  
389 0.6% 2%  
390 0.3% 1.4%  
391 0.2% 1.2%  
392 0.1% 1.0%  
393 0.2% 0.9%  
394 0.1% 0.7%  
395 0.1% 0.6%  
396 0.1% 0.5%  
397 0.2% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0.1%  
405 0% 0.1%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
292 0% 100%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0.1% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.8%  
302 0% 99.8%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0% 99.7%  
306 0% 99.7%  
307 0.1% 99.7%  
308 0% 99.6%  
309 0.1% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0.2% 99.3%  
312 0.4% 99.2%  
313 0.1% 98.8%  
314 0% 98.7%  
315 0.2% 98.6%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0% 98%  
318 0.8% 98%  
319 0.1% 97%  
320 0.3% 97%  
321 0.4% 97%  
322 0.5% 97%  
323 0.4% 96%  
324 0.3% 96%  
325 0.3% 96%  
326 0.2% 95% Majority
327 0.4% 95%  
328 2% 95%  
329 0.7% 93%  
330 0.6% 92%  
331 0.5% 91%  
332 0.1% 91%  
333 0.2% 91%  
334 0.7% 91%  
335 0.5% 90%  
336 2% 89%  
337 0.4% 88%  
338 1.1% 87%  
339 1.1% 86%  
340 2% 85%  
341 2% 84%  
342 0.2% 82%  
343 2% 82%  
344 0.6% 80%  
345 0.5% 80%  
346 2% 79%  
347 2% 77%  
348 1.3% 75%  
349 2% 74%  
350 2% 72%  
351 0.5% 70%  
352 4% 70% Last Result
353 2% 66%  
354 3% 64%  
355 3% 61%  
356 0.5% 58%  
357 2% 57%  
358 0.5% 56%  
359 1.2% 55%  
360 0.2% 54%  
361 4% 54% Median
362 0.5% 50%  
363 5% 49%  
364 7% 44%  
365 0.5% 37%  
366 2% 37%  
367 2% 34%  
368 3% 33%  
369 3% 29%  
370 0.8% 27%  
371 5% 26%  
372 3% 21%  
373 1.1% 19%  
374 4% 17%  
375 0.8% 14%  
376 2% 13%  
377 2% 11%  
378 1.1% 8%  
379 0.2% 7%  
380 0.9% 7%  
381 1.3% 6%  
382 2% 5%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.2% 2%  
385 0.5% 2%  
386 0.5% 2%  
387 0.1% 1.2%  
388 0.1% 1.1%  
389 0.3% 1.0%  
390 0.1% 0.7%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0% 0.5%  
393 0.2% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.3%  
395 0% 0.2%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
275 0% 100%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.9%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0.1% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0.1% 99.7%  
285 0.3% 99.6%  
286 0.1% 99.3%  
287 0.3% 99.2%  
288 0.2% 98.9%  
289 0.2% 98.8%  
290 0.1% 98.6%  
291 0% 98.5%  
292 0.1% 98.5%  
293 0.3% 98%  
294 0.1% 98%  
295 0.4% 98%  
296 0.4% 98%  
297 0.1% 97%  
298 2% 97%  
299 0.1% 95%  
300 1.1% 95%  
301 0.7% 94%  
302 1.2% 94%  
303 0.3% 92%  
304 2% 92%  
305 0.5% 90%  
306 0.4% 90%  
307 0.2% 89%  
308 1.2% 89%  
309 0.4% 88%  
310 1.0% 88%  
311 0.5% 87%  
312 0.2% 86%  
313 0.5% 86%  
314 0.4% 85%  
315 0.9% 85%  
316 0.3% 84%  
317 2% 84%  
318 0.4% 82%  
319 2% 82%  
320 2% 80%  
321 1.2% 78%  
322 0.6% 77%  
323 3% 76%  
324 4% 73%  
325 9% 69%  
326 0.4% 60% Majority
327 2% 59%  
328 0.4% 57%  
329 1.1% 57% Last Result
330 0.6% 56%  
331 0.6% 55%  
332 1.1% 55%  
333 2% 53%  
334 0.1% 52% Median
335 0.6% 52%  
336 4% 51%  
337 6% 47%  
338 1.3% 41%  
339 4% 40%  
340 3% 36%  
341 2% 33%  
342 3% 31%  
343 3% 28%  
344 3% 25%  
345 4% 22%  
346 0.7% 18%  
347 3% 18%  
348 1.0% 15%  
349 2% 14%  
350 0.7% 11%  
351 0.9% 10%  
352 2% 10%  
353 2% 8%  
354 1.5% 5%  
355 0.8% 4%  
356 0.4% 3%  
357 0.1% 3%  
358 0.6% 3%  
359 0.3% 2%  
360 0.1% 2%  
361 0.7% 2%  
362 0.1% 1.0%  
363 0.2% 1.0%  
364 0.1% 0.8%  
365 0.1% 0.7%  
366 0.3% 0.6%  
367 0.1% 0.3%  
368 0.1% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
269 0% 100%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0.1% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.8%  
276 0% 99.7%  
277 0% 99.7%  
278 0% 99.7%  
279 0.1% 99.7%  
280 0.1% 99.6%  
281 0.2% 99.5%  
282 0.2% 99.3%  
283 0.2% 99.1%  
284 0.1% 98.9%  
285 0.2% 98.8%  
286 0.8% 98.6%  
287 0.7% 98%  
288 0.2% 97%  
289 0.6% 97%  
290 0.7% 96%  
291 0.6% 96%  
292 0.8% 95%  
293 1.4% 94%  
294 3% 93%  
295 0.5% 90%  
296 2% 90%  
297 4% 88%  
298 3% 85%  
299 1.1% 82%  
300 2% 81%  
301 1.2% 79%  
302 1.4% 78%  
303 4% 76%  
304 3% 73%  
305 0.9% 70%  
306 4% 69%  
307 4% 65%  
308 4% 61%  
309 4% 57%  
310 2% 53%  
311 0.7% 51%  
312 2% 50% Median
313 1.1% 48% Last Result
314 3% 47%  
315 1.0% 44%  
316 1.5% 43%  
317 1.0% 41%  
318 3% 40%  
319 4% 38%  
320 0.4% 34%  
321 2% 34%  
322 3% 31%  
323 4% 29%  
324 1.2% 25%  
325 2% 24%  
326 2% 22% Majority
327 0.8% 21%  
328 0.7% 20%  
329 2% 19%  
330 0.8% 18%  
331 0.7% 17%  
332 1.4% 16%  
333 0.8% 15%  
334 0.4% 14%  
335 0.2% 13%  
336 1.3% 13%  
337 0.1% 12%  
338 0.9% 12%  
339 0.9% 11%  
340 1.0% 10%  
341 0.4% 9%  
342 1.0% 9%  
343 0.7% 8%  
344 0.7% 7%  
345 0.4% 6%  
346 0.4% 6%  
347 0.6% 5%  
348 0.1% 5%  
349 2% 5%  
350 0.2% 3%  
351 0.6% 3%  
352 0.1% 3%  
353 0.4% 2%  
354 0.1% 2%  
355 0.3% 2%  
356 0.1% 2%  
357 0.2% 1.5%  
358 0.4% 1.2%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0.2% 0.8%  
361 0.2% 0.6%  
362 0.1% 0.4%  
363 0.1% 0.3%  
364 0% 0.3%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0.1% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0.1% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0% 99.7%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0% 99.7%  
276 0.1% 99.7%  
277 0.2% 99.5%  
278 0.1% 99.3%  
279 0.2% 99.3%  
280 0.1% 99.0%  
281 0.2% 98.9%  
282 0.2% 98.7%  
283 1.0% 98.5%  
284 0.6% 98%  
285 0.4% 97%  
286 0.5% 96%  
287 0.5% 96%  
288 1.3% 95%  
289 0.3% 94%  
290 2% 94%  
291 2% 92%  
292 1.2% 90%  
293 3% 89%  
294 3% 85%  
295 1.1% 82%  
296 1.3% 81%  
297 1.1% 79%  
298 1.1% 78%  
299 5% 77%  
300 2% 72%  
301 0.6% 71%  
302 3% 70%  
303 4% 67%  
304 4% 63%  
305 5% 59%  
306 1.0% 54%  
307 2% 53%  
308 2% 51% Median
309 0.7% 48% Last Result
310 2% 47%  
311 1.1% 45%  
312 2% 44%  
313 1.3% 42%  
314 2% 41%  
315 2% 40%  
316 2% 37%  
317 3% 35%  
318 4% 32%  
319 0.8% 28%  
320 1.4% 27%  
321 3% 26%  
322 0.3% 23%  
323 0.8% 23%  
324 2% 22%  
325 2% 20%  
326 0.3% 18% Majority
327 1.1% 18%  
328 0.8% 17%  
329 2% 16%  
330 0.8% 14%  
331 0.2% 14%  
332 0.9% 13%  
333 0.4% 13%  
334 1.2% 12%  
335 0.9% 11%  
336 0.7% 10%  
337 0.3% 9%  
338 1.5% 9%  
339 0.1% 8%  
340 0.9% 8%  
341 0.6% 7%  
342 0.4% 6%  
343 0.3% 6%  
344 0.1% 5%  
345 2% 5%  
346 0.3% 3%  
347 0.1% 3%  
348 0.8% 3%  
349 0.2% 2%  
350 0.1% 2%  
351 0.2% 2%  
352 0.2% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.2% 1.4%  
355 0.1% 1.2%  
356 0.5% 1.1%  
357 0.1% 0.6%  
358 0.1% 0.6%  
359 0.1% 0.4%  
360 0.1% 0.4%  
361 0.1% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0.1% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
263 0% 100%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0.1% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0.1% 99.8%  
270 0.1% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0.1% 99.6%  
273 0.1% 99.4%  
274 0.5% 99.4%  
275 0.1% 98.9%  
276 0.2% 98.8%  
277 0.2% 98.6%  
278 0.2% 98%  
279 0.2% 98%  
280 0.1% 98%  
281 0.2% 98%  
282 0.8% 98%  
283 0.1% 97%  
284 0.3% 97%  
285 2% 97%  
286 0.1% 95%  
287 0.3% 95%  
288 0.4% 94%  
289 0.6% 94%  
290 0.9% 93%  
291 0.1% 92%  
292 1.5% 92%  
293 0.3% 91%  
294 0.7% 91%  
295 0.9% 90%  
296 1.2% 89%  
297 0.4% 88%  
298 0.9% 87%  
299 0.2% 87%  
300 0.8% 86%  
301 2% 86%  
302 0.8% 84%  
303 1.1% 83%  
304 0.3% 82%  
305 2% 82%  
306 2% 80%  
307 0.9% 78%  
308 0.3% 77%  
309 3% 77%  
310 1.4% 74%  
311 0.8% 73%  
312 4% 72%  
313 3% 68%  
314 2% 65%  
315 2% 63%  
316 2% 60%  
317 1.3% 59%  
318 2% 58%  
319 1.1% 56%  
320 2% 55%  
321 0.7% 53% Last Result
322 2% 52% Median
323 2% 49%  
324 1.0% 47%  
325 5% 46%  
326 4% 41% Majority
327 4% 37%  
328 3% 33%  
329 0.6% 30%  
330 2% 29%  
331 5% 28%  
332 1.1% 23%  
333 1.1% 22%  
334 1.3% 21%  
335 1.1% 19%  
336 3% 18%  
337 3% 15%  
338 1.2% 11%  
339 2% 10%  
340 2% 8%  
341 0.3% 6%  
342 1.3% 6%  
343 0.5% 5%  
344 0.5% 4%  
345 0.4% 4%  
346 0.6% 3%  
347 1.0% 2%  
348 0.2% 1.5%  
349 0.2% 1.3%  
350 0.1% 1.1%  
351 0.3% 1.0%  
352 0.1% 0.7%  
353 0.2% 0.7%  
354 0.1% 0.5%  
355 0% 0.3%  
356 0% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.3%  
358 0% 0.3%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0.1% 0.2%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
259 0% 100%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0.1% 99.7%  
268 0.1% 99.7%  
269 0.2% 99.6%  
270 0.2% 99.4%  
271 0.1% 99.2%  
272 0.4% 99.1%  
273 0.2% 98.8%  
274 0.1% 98.5%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0.4% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.6% 97%  
280 0.2% 97%  
281 2% 97%  
282 0.1% 95%  
283 0.6% 95%  
284 0.4% 95%  
285 0.4% 94%  
286 0.7% 94%  
287 0.7% 93%  
288 1.0% 92%  
289 0.4% 91%  
290 1.0% 91%  
291 0.9% 90%  
292 0.9% 89%  
293 0.1% 88%  
294 1.3% 88%  
295 0.2% 87%  
296 0.4% 87%  
297 0.8% 86%  
298 1.4% 85%  
299 0.7% 84%  
300 0.8% 83%  
301 2% 82%  
302 0.7% 81%  
303 0.8% 80%  
304 2% 79%  
305 2% 78%  
306 1.1% 76%  
307 4% 75%  
308 3% 71%  
309 2% 69%  
310 0.4% 66%  
311 4% 66%  
312 3% 62%  
313 1.0% 60%  
314 1.5% 59%  
315 1.0% 57%  
316 3% 56%  
317 1.1% 53% Last Result
318 2% 52% Median
319 0.7% 50%  
320 2% 49%  
321 4% 47%  
322 4% 43%  
323 4% 39%  
324 4% 35%  
325 0.9% 31%  
326 3% 30% Majority
327 4% 27%  
328 1.4% 24%  
329 1.2% 22%  
330 2% 21%  
331 1.0% 19%  
332 3% 18%  
333 4% 15%  
334 2% 12%  
335 0.5% 10%  
336 3% 10%  
337 1.4% 7%  
338 0.8% 6%  
339 0.6% 5%  
340 0.7% 4%  
341 0.5% 4%  
342 0.2% 3%  
343 0.7% 3%  
344 0.8% 2%  
345 0.2% 1.4%  
346 0.1% 1.2%  
347 0.2% 1.1%  
348 0.2% 0.9%  
349 0.2% 0.7%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.1% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.3%  
353 0% 0.3%  
354 0% 0.3%  
355 0% 0.3%  
356 0.1% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
255 0% 100%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0.1% 99.9%  
263 0.1% 99.8%  
264 0.3% 99.7%  
265 0.1% 99.4%  
266 0.1% 99.3%  
267 0.2% 99.2%  
268 0.1% 99.0%  
269 0.7% 99.0%  
270 0.1% 98%  
271 0.3% 98%  
272 0.6% 98%  
273 0.1% 97%  
274 0.4% 97%  
275 0.8% 97%  
276 1.5% 96%  
277 2% 95%  
278 2% 92%  
279 0.8% 90%  
280 0.7% 90%  
281 2% 89%  
282 1.0% 86%  
283 3% 85%  
284 0.7% 82%  
285 4% 82%  
286 3% 78%  
287 3% 75%  
288 3% 72%  
289 2% 69%  
290 3% 67%  
291 4% 64%  
292 1.2% 60%  
293 6% 59%  
294 4% 53%  
295 0.6% 49%  
296 0.2% 48% Median
297 2% 48%  
298 1.1% 47%  
299 0.6% 45%  
300 0.6% 45%  
301 1.1% 44% Last Result
302 0.4% 43%  
303 2% 43%  
304 0.4% 41%  
305 9% 40%  
306 4% 31%  
307 3% 27%  
308 0.5% 24%  
309 1.2% 23%  
310 2% 22%  
311 2% 20%  
312 0.4% 18%  
313 2% 18%  
314 0.3% 16%  
315 0.9% 16%  
316 0.4% 15%  
317 0.5% 15%  
318 0.2% 14%  
319 0.5% 14%  
320 1.0% 13%  
321 0.4% 12%  
322 1.2% 12%  
323 0.1% 11%  
324 0.4% 11%  
325 0.5% 10%  
326 2% 10% Majority
327 0.3% 8%  
328 1.2% 8%  
329 0.7% 6%  
330 1.1% 6%  
331 0.1% 5%  
332 2% 5%  
333 0.1% 3%  
334 0.4% 3%  
335 0.4% 2%  
336 0.1% 2%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0% 1.5%  
340 0.1% 1.5%  
341 0.2% 1.4%  
342 0.2% 1.2%  
343 0.3% 1.1%  
344 0.1% 0.8%  
345 0.3% 0.7%  
346 0.1% 0.4%  
347 0% 0.3%  
348 0.1% 0.3%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0.1%  
353 0% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
251 0% 100%  
252 0% 99.9%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0.1% 99.9%  
259 0.1% 99.8%  
260 0.1% 99.7%  
261 0.2% 99.6%  
262 0.3% 99.5%  
263 0.1% 99.2%  
264 0.1% 99.1%  
265 0.1% 99.0%  
266 0.6% 98.9%  
267 0.4% 98%  
268 0.4% 98%  
269 0.3% 98%  
270 0.8% 97%  
271 0.3% 96%  
272 0.4% 96%  
273 1.0% 96%  
274 2% 95%  
275 1.1% 92%  
276 2% 91%  
277 1.1% 89%  
278 1.2% 88%  
279 4% 86%  
280 1.2% 83%  
281 3% 81%  
282 2% 78%  
283 3% 76%  
284 2% 73%  
285 4% 71%  
286 3% 67%  
287 2% 65%  
288 3% 62%  
289 4% 59%  
290 3% 56%  
291 1.5% 52%  
292 3% 51% Median
293 0.9% 48%  
294 0.4% 47%  
295 1.5% 47%  
296 1.2% 45%  
297 0.4% 44% Last Result
298 1.1% 44%  
299 1.1% 42%  
300 4% 41%  
301 1.3% 37%  
302 6% 36%  
303 5% 30%  
304 0.1% 26%  
305 3% 25%  
306 0.8% 22%  
307 0.4% 22%  
308 1.0% 21%  
309 3% 20%  
310 1.0% 17%  
311 0.6% 16%  
312 0.4% 16%  
313 0.7% 15%  
314 0.4% 15%  
315 1.3% 14%  
316 0.5% 13%  
317 0.8% 12%  
318 0.9% 12%  
319 0.1% 11%  
320 0.3% 11%  
321 1.5% 10%  
322 0.8% 9%  
323 0.4% 8%  
324 0.9% 8%  
325 0.9% 7%  
326 0.4% 6% Majority
327 0.7% 6%  
328 2% 5%  
329 0.3% 3%  
330 0.3% 3%  
331 0.4% 3%  
332 0.2% 2%  
333 0.2% 2%  
334 0.1% 2%  
335 0.2% 2%  
336 0.2% 2%  
337 0.1% 1.4%  
338 0.3% 1.3%  
339 0.1% 1.0%  
340 0.1% 0.9%  
341 0.2% 0.7%  
342 0.1% 0.5%  
343 0% 0.4%  
344 0.1% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.2% 99.7%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0.1% 99.5%  
240 0.1% 99.4%  
241 0.3% 99.3%  
242 0.1% 99.0%  
243 0.1% 98.9%  
244 0.5% 98.8%  
245 0.5% 98%  
246 0.2% 98%  
247 0.3% 98%  
248 2% 97%  
249 1.3% 95%  
250 0.9% 94%  
251 0.2% 93%  
252 1.1% 93%  
253 2% 92%  
254 2% 89%  
255 0.8% 87%  
256 4% 86%  
257 1.1% 82%  
258 3% 81%  
259 5% 79%  
260 0.8% 74%  
261 3% 73%  
262 3% 71%  
263 2% 67%  
264 2% 66%  
265 0.5% 63%  
266 7% 63%  
267 5% 56%  
268 0.5% 51%  
269 4% 50% Median
270 0.2% 46%  
271 1.2% 46%  
272 0.5% 45%  
273 2% 44%  
274 0.5% 43%  
275 3% 42%  
276 3% 39%  
277 2% 36%  
278 4% 34% Last Result
279 0.5% 30%  
280 2% 30%  
281 2% 28%  
282 1.3% 26%  
283 2% 25%  
284 2% 23%  
285 0.5% 21%  
286 0.6% 20%  
287 2% 20%  
288 0.2% 18%  
289 2% 18%  
290 2% 16%  
291 1.1% 15%  
292 1.1% 14%  
293 0.4% 13%  
294 2% 12%  
295 0.5% 11%  
296 0.7% 10%  
297 0.2% 9%  
298 0.1% 9%  
299 0.5% 9%  
300 0.6% 9%  
301 0.7% 8%  
302 2% 7%  
303 0.4% 5%  
304 0.2% 5%  
305 0.3% 5%  
306 0.3% 4%  
307 0.4% 4%  
308 0.5% 4%  
309 0.4% 3%  
310 0.3% 3%  
311 0.1% 3%  
312 0.8% 3%  
313 0% 2%  
314 0.2% 2%  
315 0.2% 2%  
316 0% 1.4%  
317 0.1% 1.3%  
318 0.4% 1.2%  
319 0.2% 0.8%  
320 0.1% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.5%  
322 0% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.2%  
330 0.1% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
224 0% 100%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0% 99.8%  
233 0.2% 99.8%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0.1% 99.5%  
236 0.1% 99.4%  
237 0.2% 99.3%  
238 0.1% 99.1%  
239 0.2% 99.0%  
240 0.3% 98.8%  
241 0.6% 98.6%  
242 0.4% 98%  
243 0.7% 98%  
244 1.1% 97%  
245 0.8% 96%  
246 0.8% 95%  
247 1.1% 94%  
248 0.8% 93%  
249 0.7% 92%  
250 3% 91%  
251 2% 89%  
252 3% 86%  
253 2% 83%  
254 3% 82%  
255 2% 79%  
256 2% 77%  
257 2% 75%  
258 4% 73%  
259 3% 69%  
260 2% 66%  
261 0.4% 64%  
262 7% 63%  
263 3% 56%  
264 3% 53%  
265 3% 50% Median
266 0.9% 47%  
267 1.0% 47%  
268 0.4% 46%  
269 2% 45%  
270 2% 43%  
271 1.2% 41%  
272 2% 39%  
273 0.7% 37%  
274 1.4% 37% Last Result
275 3% 35%  
276 4% 33%  
277 1.3% 29%  
278 1.1% 27%  
279 3% 26%  
280 0.5% 24%  
281 3% 23%  
282 1.0% 21%  
283 0.6% 20%  
284 1.0% 19%  
285 0.7% 18%  
286 2% 17%  
287 0.5% 15%  
288 1.2% 15%  
289 0.6% 13%  
290 0.5% 13%  
291 0.6% 12%  
292 0.9% 12%  
293 1.4% 11%  
294 0.2% 9%  
295 0.5% 9%  
296 0.7% 9%  
297 0.8% 8%  
298 2% 7%  
299 0.4% 5%  
300 0.1% 5%  
301 0.3% 5%  
302 0.2% 5%  
303 0.5% 4%  
304 0.4% 4%  
305 0.4% 4%  
306 0.4% 3%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0.2% 3%  
309 0.7% 3%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.1% 2%  
312 0.1% 2%  
313 0.2% 1.4%  
314 0.3% 1.2%  
315 0.2% 0.9%  
316 0.1% 0.7%  
317 0% 0.6%  
318 0.1% 0.6%  
319 0.2% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
214 0% 100%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0% 99.9%  
219 0% 99.9%  
220 0% 99.9%  
221 0% 99.8%  
222 0% 99.8%  
223 0.1% 99.8%  
224 0% 99.7%  
225 0.2% 99.6%  
226 0% 99.5%  
227 0% 99.4%  
228 0.1% 99.4%  
229 0.3% 99.3%  
230 1.1% 99.0%  
231 0.4% 98%  
232 0.9% 97%  
233 0.9% 97%  
234 1.3% 96%  
235 0.3% 94%  
236 2% 94%  
237 0.9% 92%  
238 0.7% 91%  
239 0.4% 90%  
240 2% 90%  
241 3% 88%  
242 5% 85%  
243 4% 80%  
244 3% 76%  
245 3% 73%  
246 1.5% 69%  
247 0.4% 68%  
248 5% 67%  
249 1.4% 62%  
250 3% 61%  
251 3% 58%  
252 2% 55%  
253 4% 53% Median
254 2% 49%  
255 2% 47%  
256 3% 45%  
257 0.4% 43%  
258 1.0% 42%  
259 3% 41%  
260 2% 38%  
261 2% 36%  
262 1.2% 34%  
263 0.8% 33%  
264 4% 32%  
265 2% 28%  
266 2% 26% Last Result
267 2% 23%  
268 1.4% 21%  
269 0.7% 20%  
270 1.2% 19%  
271 0.8% 18%  
272 0.1% 17%  
273 0.3% 17%  
274 0.3% 17%  
275 2% 16%  
276 3% 15%  
277 0.4% 12%  
278 2% 11%  
279 0.1% 10%  
280 0.2% 10%  
281 0.1% 9%  
282 0.2% 9%  
283 0.7% 9%  
284 0.8% 8%  
285 1.5% 8%  
286 1.1% 6%  
287 0.7% 5%  
288 0.3% 4%  
289 0.1% 4%  
290 0.6% 4%  
291 0.7% 3%  
292 0.2% 3%  
293 0.2% 3%  
294 0.3% 2%  
295 0.3% 2%  
296 0.1% 2%  
297 0.2% 2%  
298 0.1% 1.4%  
299 0.1% 1.4%  
300 0.1% 1.2%  
301 0% 1.1%  
302 0.3% 1.1%  
303 0.2% 0.7%  
304 0.1% 0.6%  
305 0% 0.4%  
306 0.1% 0.4%  
307 0% 0.4%  
308 0.1% 0.3%  
309 0% 0.2%  
310 0% 0.2%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0.1%  
320 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0% 99.9%  
216 0% 99.9%  
217 0% 99.9%  
218 0.1% 99.8%  
219 0% 99.7%  
220 0.1% 99.7%  
221 0.1% 99.6%  
222 0% 99.5%  
223 0% 99.5%  
224 0.1% 99.4%  
225 0.3% 99.3%  
226 0.8% 99.1%  
227 0.7% 98%  
228 0.2% 98%  
229 2% 97%  
230 0.5% 95%  
231 0.2% 95%  
232 0.7% 95%  
233 2% 94%  
234 0.3% 91%  
235 0.3% 91%  
236 1.3% 91%  
237 4% 90%  
238 3% 86%  
239 4% 82%  
240 5% 79%  
241 4% 74%  
242 2% 70%  
243 0.4% 68%  
244 3% 68%  
245 3% 64%  
246 3% 61%  
247 3% 59%  
248 2% 55%  
249 4% 53% Median
250 1.0% 50%  
251 3% 49%  
252 3% 46%  
253 0.3% 43%  
254 3% 43%  
255 1.0% 40%  
256 2% 39%  
257 0.8% 37%  
258 0.6% 36%  
259 3% 35%  
260 2% 32%  
261 2% 31%  
262 4% 29% Last Result
263 2% 24%  
264 1.4% 22%  
265 0.3% 21%  
266 2% 21%  
267 0.4% 19%  
268 1.2% 18%  
269 0.3% 17%  
270 1.1% 17%  
271 2% 16%  
272 1.2% 14%  
273 0.5% 13%  
274 0.4% 12%  
275 0.8% 12%  
276 0.5% 11%  
277 1.2% 11%  
278 0.2% 9%  
279 0.6% 9%  
280 0.7% 8%  
281 1.5% 8%  
282 0.8% 6%  
283 0.6% 5%  
284 0.2% 5%  
285 0.5% 5%  
286 0.6% 4%  
287 0.1% 3%  
288 0.6% 3%  
289 0.3% 3%  
290 0.1% 2%  
291 0.2% 2%  
292 0.2% 2%  
293 0.3% 2%  
294 0.2% 1.5%  
295 0.1% 1.3%  
296 0.1% 1.2%  
297 0.1% 1.1%  
298 0.3% 1.1%  
299 0.2% 0.8%  
300 0.1% 0.6%  
301 0% 0.5%  
302 0.1% 0.5%  
303 0% 0.4%  
304 0.2% 0.4%  
305 0% 0.3%  
306 0.1% 0.2%  
307 0% 0.1%  
308 0% 0.1%  
309 0% 0.1%  
310 0% 0.1%  
311 0% 0.1%  
312 0% 0.1%  
313 0% 0.1%  
314 0% 0.1%  
315 0% 0.1%  
316 0% 0.1%  
317 0% 0.1%  
318 0% 0.1%  
319 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations