Opinion Poll by BMG Research for Independent, 4–7 September 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 40.0% 37.9% 36.3–39.5% 35.9–40.0% 35.5–40.4% 34.8–41.1%
Conservative Party 42.4% 36.9% 35.4–38.5% 34.9–39.0% 34.5–39.4% 33.8–40.1%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.6% 9.0–13.2%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 7.0% 6.2–7.9% 6.0–8.2% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.8%
Green Party 1.6% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.2–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 2.0% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.2–3.1%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 262 315 288–330 278–334 271–336 259–344
Conservative Party 317 275 263–300 260–313 256–320 245–332
Liberal Democrats 12 31 29–35 28–36 27–38 25–39
UK Independence Party 0 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Green Party 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–3
Scottish National Party 35 3 0–14 0–22 0–28 0–39
Plaid Cymru 4 1 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–5

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0% 99.8%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.6%  
257 0% 99.6%  
258 0% 99.5%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.5%  
261 0.1% 99.4%  
262 0% 99.3% Last Result
263 0.2% 99.3%  
264 0% 99.1%  
265 0.4% 99.1%  
266 0.2% 98.7%  
267 0.3% 98.5%  
268 0.4% 98%  
269 0.2% 98%  
270 0% 98%  
271 0.3% 98%  
272 0.3% 97%  
273 0% 97%  
274 0.6% 97%  
275 0.2% 96%  
276 0.1% 96%  
277 0.5% 96%  
278 0.8% 96%  
279 0.1% 95%  
280 2% 95%  
281 0.5% 93%  
282 0.7% 93%  
283 0.1% 92%  
284 0.3% 92%  
285 0.2% 91%  
286 0.1% 91%  
287 0.8% 91%  
288 0.9% 90%  
289 0.2% 90%  
290 0.2% 89%  
291 2% 89%  
292 0.7% 87%  
293 0.2% 86%  
294 0.2% 86%  
295 0.3% 86%  
296 2% 86%  
297 0.9% 83%  
298 0.2% 82%  
299 1.3% 82%  
300 6% 81%  
301 0.1% 75%  
302 0.3% 75%  
303 0.5% 75%  
304 2% 74%  
305 2% 73%  
306 0.5% 71%  
307 1.1% 70%  
308 5% 69%  
309 0.1% 65%  
310 0.5% 64%  
311 1.1% 64%  
312 0.1% 63%  
313 4% 63%  
314 3% 59%  
315 7% 57% Median
316 0.2% 50%  
317 0.9% 49%  
318 9% 49%  
319 0.2% 39%  
320 0.5% 39%  
321 2% 39%  
322 5% 37%  
323 2% 32%  
324 12% 30%  
325 1.0% 18%  
326 0.9% 17% Majority
327 3% 17%  
328 3% 14%  
329 0.1% 11%  
330 4% 11%  
331 0.1% 7%  
332 0.8% 7%  
333 0.2% 6%  
334 2% 6%  
335 0.9% 4%  
336 0.7% 3%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.5% 2%  
340 0.1% 1.0%  
341 0% 1.0%  
342 0.2% 0.9%  
343 0.1% 0.7%  
344 0.4% 0.6%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.2% 99.7%  
245 0% 99.5%  
246 0% 99.5%  
247 0% 99.5%  
248 0.2% 99.4%  
249 0% 99.2%  
250 0.2% 99.2%  
251 0.3% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 98.8%  
253 0.2% 98.7%  
254 0.7% 98%  
255 0.2% 98%  
256 0.4% 98%  
257 0.2% 97%  
258 0.5% 97%  
259 0.8% 96%  
260 0.7% 96%  
261 3% 95%  
262 0.9% 92%  
263 0.9% 91%  
264 0.1% 90%  
265 0.9% 90%  
266 4% 89%  
267 4% 85%  
268 0.6% 80%  
269 2% 80%  
270 0.2% 77%  
271 1.3% 77%  
272 2% 76%  
273 1.1% 74%  
274 18% 73%  
275 6% 56% Median
276 5% 50%  
277 0.5% 45%  
278 2% 45%  
279 0.7% 43%  
280 8% 43%  
281 0.3% 34%  
282 6% 34%  
283 0.2% 28%  
284 0.9% 28%  
285 0% 27%  
286 0.4% 27%  
287 1.0% 27%  
288 0.3% 26%  
289 1.4% 25%  
290 0.9% 24%  
291 0.4% 23%  
292 0.2% 23%  
293 5% 22%  
294 0.9% 18%  
295 1.0% 17%  
296 0.9% 16%  
297 0.4% 15%  
298 1.3% 14%  
299 0.8% 13%  
300 3% 12%  
301 0.3% 9%  
302 0.1% 9%  
303 2% 9%  
304 0% 7%  
305 0.7% 7%  
306 0.1% 7%  
307 0.4% 6%  
308 0.1% 6%  
309 0.3% 6%  
310 0.1% 6%  
311 0.2% 6%  
312 0.2% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 0.3% 5%  
315 0.2% 5%  
316 0% 4%  
317 0.7% 4% Last Result
318 0.2% 4%  
319 0.1% 3%  
320 1.1% 3%  
321 0.1% 2%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.3% Majority
327 0.4% 1.2%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.3% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.1% 100%  
22 0.1% 99.9%  
23 0.1% 99.9%  
24 0.1% 99.7%  
25 0.5% 99.6%  
26 0.6% 99.2%  
27 2% 98.5%  
28 5% 96%  
29 10% 91%  
30 22% 81%  
31 24% 59% Median
32 1.2% 35%  
33 15% 33%  
34 1.5% 19%  
35 10% 17%  
36 3% 7%  
37 2% 5%  
38 2% 3%  
39 0.6% 1.0%  
40 0.2% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.2%  
42 0.2% 0.2%  
43 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 95% 100% Median
2 5% 5%  
3 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 81% 100% Last Result, Median
2 19% 19%  
3 0.6% 0.8%  
4 0.2% 0.2%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 13% 100%  
1 29% 87%  
2 3% 59%  
3 17% 56% Median
4 6% 39%  
5 5% 33%  
6 1.1% 28%  
7 12% 27%  
8 2% 15%  
9 0.7% 13%  
10 0% 12%  
11 0.1% 12%  
12 0.1% 12%  
13 1.4% 12%  
14 1.0% 10%  
15 0.1% 9%  
16 2% 9%  
17 0.9% 7%  
18 0.2% 7%  
19 0.6% 6%  
20 0.3% 6%  
21 0.1% 5%  
22 0.5% 5%  
23 0.1% 5%  
24 0.5% 5%  
25 0.3% 4%  
26 0.3% 4%  
27 0.6% 4%  
28 0.9% 3%  
29 0.5% 2%  
30 0.4% 2%  
31 0% 1.2%  
32 0% 1.2%  
33 0.1% 1.2%  
34 0.1% 1.0%  
35 0.2% 0.9% Last Result
36 0% 0.8%  
37 0% 0.7%  
38 0.1% 0.7%  
39 0.2% 0.6%  
40 0.1% 0.4%  
41 0.1% 0.3%  
42 0.1% 0.3%  
43 0% 0.2%  
44 0.1% 0.2%  
45 0% 0.1%  
46 0% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 43% 100%  
1 30% 57% Median
2 14% 27%  
3 12% 13%  
4 0.7% 1.4% Last Result
5 0.6% 0.6%  
6 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 355 93% 330–366 316–370 309–374 298–384
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 354 91% 329–365 316–368 309–372 297–383
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 349 89% 321–363 310–366 303–368 288–376
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 348 87% 319–361 310–365 302–368 288–374
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 309 16% 296–333 292–343 288–350 279–359
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 321 26% 297–334 286–337 280–341 270–351
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 320 24% 296–333 285–337 279–341 269–350
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 318 19% 291–331 278–334 272–336 260–346
Labour Party 262 315 17% 288–330 278–334 271–336 259–344
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 282 4% 269–309 264–320 262–328 256–341
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 281 3% 267–309 263–320 261–327 254–341
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 276 2% 265–301 261–314 257–320 246–332
Conservative Party 317 275 1.3% 263–300 260–313 256–320 245–332

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
290 0% 100%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.9%  
296 0.2% 99.9%  
297 0.2% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.5%  
299 0% 99.5%  
300 0.1% 99.4%  
301 0.1% 99.3%  
302 0.3% 99.2%  
303 0.2% 98.9%  
304 0.2% 98.7%  
305 0.2% 98%  
306 0.2% 98%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 0% 98%  
309 0.9% 98%  
310 0.4% 97%  
311 0.1% 96%  
312 0.2% 96%  
313 0.5% 96% Last Result
314 0% 96%  
315 0.3% 96%  
316 0.4% 95%  
317 0.1% 95%  
318 0.1% 95%  
319 0.2% 95%  
320 0.4% 94%  
321 0% 94%  
322 0.4% 94%  
323 0% 94%  
324 0.3% 94%  
325 0.5% 93%  
326 1.0% 93% Majority
327 0.8% 92%  
328 0.2% 91%  
329 0.2% 91%  
330 3% 91%  
331 1.1% 88%  
332 1.3% 87%  
333 1.0% 85%  
334 0.4% 84%  
335 0.7% 84%  
336 1.0% 83%  
337 5% 82%  
338 0.2% 77%  
339 0.5% 77%  
340 1.4% 77%  
341 0.8% 75%  
342 1.0% 75%  
343 0.6% 74%  
344 0% 73%  
345 0% 73%  
346 1.1% 73%  
347 0.1% 72%  
348 6% 72%  
349 0.7% 66%  
350 8% 65% Median
351 0.1% 57%  
352 2% 57%  
353 0.1% 55%  
354 4% 55%  
355 6% 50%  
356 18% 44%  
357 0.4% 26%  
358 2% 26%  
359 0.9% 23%  
360 0.5% 23%  
361 2% 22%  
362 2% 20%  
363 3% 18%  
364 5% 15%  
365 0.5% 11%  
366 0.3% 10%  
367 2% 10%  
368 2% 8%  
369 1.1% 6%  
370 1.3% 5%  
371 0.6% 4%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.1% 3%  
374 0.5% 3%  
375 0.5% 2%  
376 0.5% 2%  
377 0.1% 1.4%  
378 0.1% 1.3%  
379 0.3% 1.2%  
380 0.1% 0.9%  
381 0% 0.8%  
382 0.2% 0.8%  
383 0% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.5%  
386 0.2% 0.4%  
387 0.1% 0.2%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
288 0% 100%  
289 0% 99.9%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0.2% 99.8%  
297 0.3% 99.7%  
298 0.1% 99.4%  
299 0% 99.3%  
300 0.1% 99.2%  
301 0.4% 99.2%  
302 0.2% 98.8%  
303 0.2% 98.6%  
304 0.2% 98%  
305 0% 98%  
306 0.1% 98%  
307 0.3% 98%  
308 0.1% 98%  
309 0.9% 98% Last Result
310 0.4% 97%  
311 0.1% 96%  
312 0.2% 96%  
313 0.7% 96%  
314 0% 95%  
315 0.2% 95%  
316 0.4% 95%  
317 0.5% 95%  
318 0.2% 94%  
319 0% 94%  
320 0.4% 94%  
321 0% 94%  
322 0.4% 94%  
323 0.4% 93%  
324 2% 93%  
325 0% 91%  
326 0% 91% Majority
327 0.2% 91%  
328 0.2% 91%  
329 3% 91%  
330 1.0% 88%  
331 1.3% 87%  
332 0.2% 85%  
333 1.0% 85%  
334 0.5% 84%  
335 0.9% 84%  
336 0.8% 83%  
337 5% 82%  
338 0.1% 77%  
339 0.5% 76%  
340 1.1% 76%  
341 0.8% 75%  
342 1.0% 74%  
343 0.1% 73%  
344 0.2% 73%  
345 1.3% 73%  
346 6% 71%  
347 0.5% 66%  
348 0.5% 65%  
349 8% 65% Median
350 0.4% 57%  
351 2% 56%  
352 0.1% 54%  
353 4% 54%  
354 7% 50%  
355 2% 43%  
356 17% 41%  
357 1.2% 24%  
358 1.4% 23%  
359 0.3% 22%  
360 1.1% 21%  
361 5% 20%  
362 1.2% 15%  
363 3% 14%  
364 0.2% 10%  
365 0.7% 10%  
366 0.8% 10%  
367 2% 9%  
368 2% 7%  
369 0.4% 4%  
370 0.5% 4%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.4% 3%  
373 0.1% 2%  
374 0.9% 2%  
375 0.1% 1.5%  
376 0.1% 1.3%  
377 0.1% 1.2%  
378 0.1% 1.2%  
379 0.3% 1.1%  
380 0.2% 0.8%  
381 0% 0.6%  
382 0% 0.6%  
383 0% 0.5%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0.3% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0.1%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
272 0.1% 100%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.9%  
278 0% 99.8% Last Result
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0.1% 99.8%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.7%  
287 0% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.6%  
289 0% 99.5%  
290 0.1% 99.4%  
291 0% 99.4%  
292 0.1% 99.3%  
293 0% 99.3%  
294 0.2% 99.2%  
295 0% 99.0%  
296 0.5% 99.0%  
297 0.1% 98.5%  
298 0.1% 98%  
299 0.4% 98%  
300 0% 98%  
301 0.2% 98%  
302 0.2% 98%  
303 0.5% 98%  
304 0.4% 97%  
305 0.2% 97%  
306 0.9% 96%  
307 0.1% 96%  
308 0.1% 96%  
309 0.1% 95%  
310 0.7% 95%  
311 0.2% 94%  
312 0.5% 94%  
313 0.1% 94%  
314 0.3% 94%  
315 0.2% 93%  
316 1.4% 93%  
317 0.7% 92%  
318 0.4% 91%  
319 0.5% 91%  
320 0.2% 90%  
321 0.5% 90%  
322 0% 90%  
323 0.5% 90%  
324 0.2% 89%  
325 0.2% 89%  
326 1.4% 89% Majority
327 3% 87%  
328 1.4% 84%  
329 0.2% 83%  
330 5% 82%  
331 1.2% 78%  
332 1.1% 76%  
333 0.3% 75%  
334 1.0% 75%  
335 1.3% 74%  
336 0.1% 73%  
337 0.3% 73%  
338 0.9% 72%  
339 2% 71%  
340 0.3% 69%  
341 0.6% 69%  
342 0.2% 69%  
343 6% 68%  
344 0.6% 62%  
345 2% 62%  
346 0.2% 60%  
347 3% 60% Median
348 2% 57%  
349 8% 55%  
350 0.1% 47%  
351 6% 47%  
352 0.3% 40%  
353 4% 40%  
354 3% 36%  
355 12% 32%  
356 0.5% 20%  
357 1.5% 20%  
358 0.9% 18%  
359 0.1% 17%  
360 2% 17%  
361 3% 15%  
362 2% 12%  
363 0.8% 11%  
364 2% 10%  
365 2% 7%  
366 0.2% 5%  
367 2% 5%  
368 0.7% 3%  
369 0.1% 2%  
370 0.6% 2%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.1% 1.5%  
373 0.5% 1.4%  
374 0% 0.9%  
375 0.1% 0.9%  
376 0.4% 0.8%  
377 0.2% 0.3%  
378 0.1% 0.2%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0.1%  
385 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0.1% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9% Last Result
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.9%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0% 99.8%  
279 0% 99.8%  
280 0% 99.8%  
281 0% 99.8%  
282 0% 99.8%  
283 0% 99.7%  
284 0% 99.7%  
285 0% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.5%  
289 0.1% 99.4%  
290 0% 99.3%  
291 0.1% 99.3%  
292 0.1% 99.2%  
293 0% 99.2%  
294 0.3% 99.1%  
295 0% 98.9%  
296 0.5% 98.8%  
297 0.2% 98%  
298 0.4% 98%  
299 0% 98%  
300 0.1% 98%  
301 0.1% 98%  
302 0.4% 98%  
303 0.6% 97%  
304 0.3% 97%  
305 0.1% 96%  
306 0.7% 96%  
307 0.2% 96%  
308 0.2% 95%  
309 0.1% 95%  
310 0.8% 95%  
311 0.3% 94%  
312 0.4% 94%  
313 0.1% 94%  
314 0.3% 93%  
315 2% 93%  
316 0.8% 92%  
317 0.4% 91%  
318 0.1% 90%  
319 0.5% 90%  
320 0.1% 90%  
321 0.5% 89%  
322 0.2% 89%  
323 0.8% 89%  
324 0.6% 88%  
325 0.1% 87%  
326 3% 87% Majority
327 0.9% 84%  
328 0.9% 83%  
329 0% 82%  
330 6% 82%  
331 0.5% 77%  
332 1.4% 76%  
333 0.2% 75%  
334 1.1% 75%  
335 1.1% 73%  
336 0.7% 72%  
337 0.3% 72%  
338 1.0% 71%  
339 1.3% 70%  
340 0.4% 69%  
341 5% 69%  
342 0.2% 63%  
343 1.5% 63%  
344 1.5% 62%  
345 2% 60%  
346 3% 58% Median
347 0.2% 55%  
348 8% 55%  
349 0.4% 47%  
350 6% 46%  
351 2% 41%  
352 1.3% 39%  
353 5% 38%  
354 3% 33%  
355 11% 30%  
356 1.0% 18%  
357 0.3% 17%  
358 0.8% 17%  
359 1.1% 16%  
360 5% 15%  
361 2% 10%  
362 0.9% 8%  
363 0% 8%  
364 0.5% 8%  
365 3% 7%  
366 0.3% 4%  
367 0.7% 3%  
368 0.6% 3%  
369 0.3% 2%  
370 0.4% 2%  
371 0.3% 1.4%  
372 0.2% 1.1%  
373 0% 0.9%  
374 0.4% 0.8%  
375 0.1% 0.5%  
376 0.1% 0.3%  
377 0.1% 0.2%  
378 0% 0.1%  
379 0% 0.1%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
271 0% 100%  
272 0% 99.9%  
273 0% 99.9%  
274 0% 99.9%  
275 0% 99.9%  
276 0% 99.8%  
277 0% 99.8%  
278 0.3% 99.8%  
279 0.1% 99.5%  
280 0.1% 99.5%  
281 0.2% 99.4%  
282 0.2% 99.2%  
283 0.1% 98.9%  
284 0.4% 98.8%  
285 0.4% 98%  
286 0% 98%  
287 0.4% 98%  
288 0.1% 98%  
289 1.0% 97%  
290 0.5% 96%  
291 0.2% 96%  
292 2% 96%  
293 0.2% 93%  
294 2% 93%  
295 0.8% 92%  
296 4% 91%  
297 1.2% 87%  
298 1.4% 86%  
299 3% 85%  
300 3% 82%  
301 0.8% 78%  
302 0.4% 77%  
303 3% 77%  
304 1.2% 74%  
305 18% 73%  
306 0.5% 55% Median
307 0.5% 54%  
308 2% 54%  
309 4% 52%  
310 13% 48%  
311 0.6% 35%  
312 1.3% 34%  
313 0.1% 33%  
314 0.1% 33%  
315 5% 33%  
316 1.1% 28%  
317 0.5% 27%  
318 0.9% 27%  
319 0.2% 26%  
320 0.1% 25%  
321 1.2% 25%  
322 0.1% 24%  
323 5% 24%  
324 3% 19%  
325 1.0% 17%  
326 0.6% 16% Majority
327 0.7% 15%  
328 0.2% 14%  
329 0.2% 14% Last Result
330 3% 14%  
331 0.1% 11%  
332 0.5% 11%  
333 1.4% 10%  
334 0.2% 9%  
335 1.1% 9%  
336 0.4% 8%  
337 0.2% 7%  
338 1.0% 7%  
339 0.4% 6%  
340 0.2% 6%  
341 0.3% 5%  
342 0.1% 5%  
343 0% 5%  
344 0.1% 5%  
345 0.2% 5%  
346 0.1% 5%  
347 0.4% 5%  
348 0.9% 4%  
349 0.2% 3%  
350 0.9% 3%  
351 0.1% 2%  
352 0.1% 2%  
353 0.2% 2%  
354 0.4% 2%  
355 0.4% 1.4%  
356 0.1% 1.0%  
357 0.1% 0.9%  
358 0.2% 0.8%  
359 0.1% 0.6%  
360 0% 0.5%  
361 0.1% 0.5%  
362 0.2% 0.3%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.2% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.7%  
269 0.1% 99.6%  
270 0.1% 99.5%  
271 0.2% 99.4%  
272 0.2% 99.3%  
273 0.1% 99.0%  
274 0.1% 99.0%  
275 0.7% 98.9%  
276 0.2% 98%  
277 0.2% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0% 98%  
280 0.8% 98%  
281 1.1% 97%  
282 0.2% 96%  
283 0.3% 96%  
284 0.2% 95%  
285 0.1% 95%  
286 0.1% 95%  
287 0% 95%  
288 0.3% 95%  
289 0% 95%  
290 0.2% 95%  
291 0.7% 94%  
292 0.7% 94%  
293 0.5% 93%  
294 0.2% 92%  
295 1.0% 92%  
296 0.3% 91%  
297 2% 91%  
298 0.1% 89%  
299 0.7% 89%  
300 3% 88%  
301 0.3% 86% Last Result
302 0.3% 86%  
303 0.8% 85%  
304 0.4% 85%  
305 3% 84%  
306 1.0% 81%  
307 5% 80%  
308 0.3% 76%  
309 1.0% 76%  
310 0.1% 75%  
311 0.6% 74%  
312 0.8% 74%  
313 0.3% 73%  
314 1.2% 73%  
315 5% 71%  
316 0% 67%  
317 0.1% 67%  
318 1.4% 67%  
319 0.6% 65% Median
320 14% 65%  
321 4% 51%  
322 1.3% 47%  
323 0.6% 46%  
324 0.2% 45%  
325 19% 45%  
326 0.5% 26% Majority
327 3% 26%  
328 0.7% 23%  
329 0.5% 22%  
330 4% 21%  
331 4% 18%  
332 0.5% 14%  
333 0.8% 13%  
334 4% 13%  
335 0.5% 8%  
336 1.2% 8%  
337 2% 7%  
338 0.3% 4%  
339 0.5% 4%  
340 0.2% 4%  
341 1.0% 3%  
342 0.4% 2%  
343 0.1% 2%  
344 0.1% 2%  
345 0.2% 2%  
346 0.5% 2%  
347 0% 1.1%  
348 0.3% 1.0%  
349 0.2% 0.8%  
350 0% 0.6%  
351 0.1% 0.5%  
352 0.2% 0.5%  
353 0.1% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
261 0% 100%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0.2% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.6%  
269 0.3% 99.6%  
270 0.1% 99.3%  
271 0.1% 99.2%  
272 0.2% 99.0%  
273 0.1% 98.9%  
274 0.3% 98.8%  
275 0.7% 98%  
276 0.1% 98%  
277 0% 98%  
278 0.1% 98%  
279 0.1% 98%  
280 1.0% 97%  
281 1.2% 96%  
282 0.1% 95%  
283 0.1% 95%  
284 0% 95%  
285 0% 95%  
286 0.1% 95%  
287 0% 95%  
288 0.5% 95%  
289 1.2% 94%  
290 0.4% 93%  
291 0.4% 93%  
292 0.3% 92%  
293 0% 92%  
294 1.2% 92%  
295 0.5% 91%  
296 1.4% 90%  
297 0.6% 89% Last Result
298 0.3% 88%  
299 2% 88%  
300 0% 86%  
301 0.4% 86%  
302 0.1% 85%  
303 1.0% 85%  
304 0.5% 84%  
305 3% 84%  
306 2% 81%  
307 5% 79%  
308 0.3% 75%  
309 0.1% 74%  
310 0.4% 74%  
311 1.1% 74%  
312 0.6% 73%  
313 5% 72%  
314 0.8% 68%  
315 1.2% 67%  
316 0.2% 66%  
317 0.8% 65%  
318 0.6% 65% Median
319 13% 64%  
320 3% 51%  
321 1.4% 47%  
322 0.4% 46%  
323 0.7% 45%  
324 2% 45%  
325 19% 43%  
326 0.5% 24% Majority
327 2% 23%  
328 4% 21%  
329 1.2% 17%  
330 2% 16%  
331 0.2% 14%  
332 2% 14%  
333 3% 11%  
334 0% 8%  
335 0.5% 8%  
336 2% 8%  
337 2% 6%  
338 0.1% 4%  
339 0.7% 4%  
340 0.1% 3%  
341 0.8% 3%  
342 0% 2%  
343 0.1% 2%  
344 0.6% 2%  
345 0.2% 1.3%  
346 0.1% 1.0%  
347 0.3% 1.0%  
348 0.1% 0.7%  
349 0% 0.6%  
350 0.1% 0.5%  
351 0.3% 0.4%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
243 0% 100%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.6%  
257 0% 99.6%  
258 0% 99.6%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.5%  
261 0.1% 99.4%  
262 0% 99.4%  
263 0.1% 99.3%  
264 0% 99.3%  
265 0.3% 99.3%  
266 0.2% 98.9% Last Result
267 0.5% 98.7%  
268 0.4% 98%  
269 0.1% 98%  
270 0.1% 98%  
271 0.1% 98%  
272 0.6% 98%  
273 0% 97%  
274 0.1% 97%  
275 0.3% 97%  
276 0.4% 97%  
277 0.6% 96%  
278 0.9% 96%  
279 0% 95%  
280 0.3% 95%  
281 1.3% 95%  
282 0.6% 93%  
283 0.9% 93%  
284 0.3% 92%  
285 0.1% 92%  
286 0.1% 91%  
287 0.2% 91%  
288 0.1% 91%  
289 0.7% 91%  
290 0.3% 90%  
291 1.4% 90%  
292 1.1% 89%  
293 0.7% 88%  
294 0.6% 87%  
295 0.3% 86%  
296 0.1% 86%  
297 2% 86%  
298 0.7% 84%  
299 1.2% 83%  
300 6% 82%  
301 0.4% 76%  
302 0.3% 75%  
303 0.3% 75%  
304 2% 75%  
305 0.9% 73%  
306 0.6% 72%  
307 1.1% 72%  
308 0.8% 70%  
309 0.4% 70%  
310 5% 69%  
311 0.9% 64%  
312 0.2% 63%  
313 0.4% 63%  
314 5% 63%  
315 1.4% 58%  
316 5% 57% Median
317 0.2% 51%  
318 3% 51%  
319 8% 48%  
320 0.7% 40%  
321 0.4% 39%  
322 5% 39%  
323 2% 34%  
324 12% 32%  
325 1.2% 20%  
326 2% 19% Majority
327 2% 18%  
328 0.2% 16%  
329 2% 16%  
330 0.1% 13%  
331 5% 13%  
332 1.0% 8%  
333 0.9% 7%  
334 2% 6%  
335 0.9% 4%  
336 0.8% 3%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.4% 2%  
340 0.4% 2%  
341 0.3% 1.3%  
342 0% 1.0%  
343 0.2% 0.9%  
344 0.1% 0.7%  
345 0% 0.6%  
346 0.4% 0.6%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0.1% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.9%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.8%  
250 0% 99.8%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0% 99.8%  
254 0% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.7%  
256 0% 99.6%  
257 0% 99.6%  
258 0% 99.5%  
259 0% 99.5%  
260 0.1% 99.5%  
261 0.1% 99.4%  
262 0% 99.3% Last Result
263 0.2% 99.3%  
264 0% 99.1%  
265 0.4% 99.1%  
266 0.2% 98.7%  
267 0.3% 98.5%  
268 0.4% 98%  
269 0.2% 98%  
270 0% 98%  
271 0.3% 98%  
272 0.3% 97%  
273 0% 97%  
274 0.6% 97%  
275 0.2% 96%  
276 0.1% 96%  
277 0.5% 96%  
278 0.8% 96%  
279 0.1% 95%  
280 2% 95%  
281 0.5% 93%  
282 0.7% 93%  
283 0.1% 92%  
284 0.3% 92%  
285 0.2% 91%  
286 0.1% 91%  
287 0.8% 91%  
288 0.9% 90%  
289 0.2% 90%  
290 0.2% 89%  
291 2% 89%  
292 0.7% 87%  
293 0.2% 86%  
294 0.2% 86%  
295 0.3% 86%  
296 2% 86%  
297 0.9% 83%  
298 0.2% 82%  
299 1.3% 82%  
300 6% 81%  
301 0.1% 75%  
302 0.3% 75%  
303 0.5% 75%  
304 2% 74%  
305 2% 73%  
306 0.5% 71%  
307 1.1% 70%  
308 5% 69%  
309 0.1% 65%  
310 0.5% 64%  
311 1.1% 64%  
312 0.1% 63%  
313 4% 63%  
314 3% 59%  
315 7% 57% Median
316 0.2% 50%  
317 0.9% 49%  
318 9% 49%  
319 0.2% 39%  
320 0.5% 39%  
321 2% 39%  
322 5% 37%  
323 2% 32%  
324 12% 30%  
325 1.0% 18%  
326 0.9% 17% Majority
327 3% 17%  
328 3% 14%  
329 0.1% 11%  
330 4% 11%  
331 0.1% 7%  
332 0.8% 7%  
333 0.2% 6%  
334 2% 6%  
335 0.9% 4%  
336 0.7% 3%  
337 0.3% 2%  
338 0.1% 2%  
339 0.5% 2%  
340 0.1% 1.0%  
341 0% 1.0%  
342 0.2% 0.9%  
343 0.1% 0.7%  
344 0.4% 0.6%  
345 0% 0.3%  
346 0.1% 0.2%  
347 0.1% 0.1%  
348 0% 0.1%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.9%  
252 0.1% 99.9%  
253 0.1% 99.8%  
254 0.2% 99.7%  
255 0% 99.5%  
256 0.4% 99.5%  
257 0% 99.1%  
258 0.5% 99.1%  
259 0.4% 98.6%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0% 98%  
262 0.6% 98%  
263 0.8% 97%  
264 3% 96%  
265 1.0% 94%  
266 0.5% 93%  
267 0.1% 92%  
268 0.8% 92%  
269 2% 91%  
270 6% 89%  
271 0.2% 83%  
272 0.6% 83%  
273 0.3% 83%  
274 0.8% 82%  
275 11% 82%  
276 3% 70%  
277 6% 67%  
278 0.6% 61%  
279 1.4% 60% Median
280 6% 59%  
281 0.4% 53%  
282 8% 53%  
283 0.1% 45%  
284 3% 45%  
285 2% 42%  
286 2% 40%  
287 1.3% 38%  
288 0.8% 37%  
289 5% 36%  
290 0.9% 31%  
291 1.0% 30%  
292 0.9% 29%  
293 0.1% 29%  
294 0.9% 28%  
295 1.4% 27%  
296 0.8% 26%  
297 1.4% 25%  
298 0.5% 24%  
299 0.4% 23%  
300 5% 23%  
301 0.9% 18%  
302 0.8% 17%  
303 0.4% 16%  
304 3% 16%  
305 0.6% 13%  
306 0% 12%  
307 0.9% 12%  
308 0.6% 11%  
309 0.5% 11%  
310 0% 10%  
311 0.2% 10%  
312 0.1% 10%  
313 1.1% 10%  
314 0.2% 9%  
315 2% 8%  
316 0.3% 7%  
317 0.5% 6%  
318 0.3% 6%  
319 0.1% 6%  
320 0.6% 6%  
321 0.2% 5%  
322 0.2% 5%  
323 0.7% 4%  
324 0% 4%  
325 0.1% 4%  
326 0.4% 4% Majority
327 0.6% 3%  
328 0.2% 3%  
329 0.1% 2%  
330 0.1% 2%  
331 0.4% 2%  
332 0.3% 2%  
333 0.3% 2%  
334 0.2% 1.2%  
335 0.1% 1.0%  
336 0.2% 1.0%  
337 0.1% 0.8%  
338 0% 0.7%  
339 0% 0.7%  
340 0% 0.7%  
341 0.2% 0.7%  
342 0% 0.5%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.3%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.2%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0.1% 0.1% Last Result
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
245 0% 100%  
246 0% 99.9%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0% 99.9%  
251 0.1% 99.9%  
252 0% 99.8%  
253 0.2% 99.8%  
254 0.4% 99.6%  
255 0% 99.2%  
256 0.4% 99.1%  
257 0.2% 98.7%  
258 0.3% 98.5%  
259 0.3% 98%  
260 0.3% 98%  
261 0.4% 98%  
262 0.4% 97%  
263 2% 97%  
264 2% 95%  
265 0.1% 93%  
266 2% 93%  
267 1.2% 90%  
268 2% 89%  
269 4% 88%  
270 1.0% 84%  
271 0.1% 83%  
272 0.9% 83%  
273 1.4% 82%  
274 0.5% 80%  
275 13% 80%  
276 2% 66%  
277 4% 64%  
278 0.5% 60% Median
279 6% 59%  
280 0.3% 53%  
281 8% 53%  
282 2% 45%  
283 3% 43%  
284 0.3% 40%  
285 2% 40%  
286 0.5% 38%  
287 6% 38%  
288 0.6% 32%  
289 0.1% 31%  
290 0.8% 31%  
291 1.5% 30%  
292 1.0% 28%  
293 0.2% 28%  
294 0.5% 27%  
295 1.3% 27%  
296 0.9% 26%  
297 1.1% 25%  
298 0.6% 24%  
299 0.8% 23%  
300 5% 22%  
301 2% 18%  
302 0.3% 16%  
303 4% 16%  
304 0.8% 12%  
305 0.1% 11%  
306 0.6% 11%  
307 0.4% 11%  
308 0.1% 10%  
309 0.3% 10%  
310 0.4% 10%  
311 0.5% 9%  
312 0.1% 9%  
313 0.8% 9%  
314 1.3% 8%  
315 0.3% 7%  
316 0.5% 6%  
317 0.2% 6%  
318 0.3% 6%  
319 0% 5%  
320 0.6% 5%  
321 0.2% 5%  
322 0.1% 5%  
323 0.9% 4%  
324 0.1% 4%  
325 0.4% 3%  
326 0.2% 3% Majority
327 0.4% 3%  
328 0.2% 2%  
329 0.1% 2%  
330 0.3% 2%  
331 0% 2%  
332 0.4% 2%  
333 0.3% 1.3%  
334 0.1% 1.0%  
335 0% 0.9%  
336 0.1% 0.9%  
337 0.1% 0.7%  
338 0% 0.7%  
339 0.1% 0.6%  
340 0% 0.6%  
341 0.1% 0.5%  
342 0% 0.4%  
343 0.1% 0.4%  
344 0% 0.3%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.2%  
350 0% 0.2%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2% Last Result
353 0% 0.2%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0.1% 0.1%  
357 0% 0.1%  
358 0% 0.1%  
359 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0.3% 99.8%  
246 0% 99.5%  
247 0% 99.5%  
248 0% 99.5%  
249 0% 99.4%  
250 0.2% 99.4%  
251 0.3% 99.2%  
252 0.1% 98.9%  
253 0.1% 98.8%  
254 0.2% 98.7%  
255 0% 98.5%  
256 0.9% 98%  
257 0.4% 98%  
258 0.5% 97%  
259 0.3% 97%  
260 0.7% 96%  
261 2% 96%  
262 0.6% 93%  
263 2% 93%  
264 0.3% 90%  
265 0.7% 90%  
266 0.1% 90%  
267 4% 89%  
268 2% 86%  
269 6% 84%  
270 0.3% 79%  
271 0.9% 79%  
272 1.1% 78%  
273 0.8% 77%  
274 18% 76%  
275 2% 58%  
276 7% 56% Median
277 4% 49%  
278 0.3% 45%  
279 2% 45%  
280 0.3% 43%  
281 8% 43%  
282 1.0% 35%  
283 0.1% 34%  
284 5% 34%  
285 2% 29%  
286 0.1% 27%  
287 0.8% 27%  
288 0.3% 26%  
289 2% 26%  
290 0.4% 24%  
291 0.4% 24%  
292 0.1% 23%  
293 5% 23%  
294 0.7% 18%  
295 1.3% 17%  
296 0.9% 16%  
297 0.3% 15%  
298 0.3% 15%  
299 1.3% 14%  
300 0.8% 13%  
301 3% 12%  
302 0.3% 9%  
303 0.1% 9%  
304 0.1% 9%  
305 1.0% 9%  
306 0.7% 8%  
307 0.7% 7%  
308 0.1% 7%  
309 0.4% 6%  
310 0.1% 6%  
311 0.1% 6%  
312 0.5% 6%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 0.2% 5%  
315 0.2% 5%  
316 0% 5%  
317 0.9% 5%  
318 0.2% 4%  
319 0% 4%  
320 1.1% 4%  
321 0.2% 2% Last Result
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0% 2%  
325 0.1% 2%  
326 0.1% 2% Majority
327 0.4% 2%  
328 0.3% 1.2%  
329 0% 0.8%  
330 0.1% 0.8%  
331 0.1% 0.7%  
332 0.1% 0.6%  
333 0.3% 0.5%  
334 0% 0.2%  
335 0% 0.2%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0.1%  
341 0% 0.1%  
342 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.2% 99.7%  
245 0% 99.5%  
246 0% 99.5%  
247 0% 99.5%  
248 0.2% 99.4%  
249 0% 99.2%  
250 0.2% 99.2%  
251 0.3% 99.0%  
252 0.1% 98.8%  
253 0.2% 98.7%  
254 0.7% 98%  
255 0.2% 98%  
256 0.4% 98%  
257 0.2% 97%  
258 0.5% 97%  
259 0.8% 96%  
260 0.7% 96%  
261 3% 95%  
262 0.9% 92%  
263 0.9% 91%  
264 0.1% 90%  
265 0.9% 90%  
266 4% 89%  
267 4% 85%  
268 0.6% 80%  
269 2% 80%  
270 0.2% 77%  
271 1.3% 77%  
272 2% 76%  
273 1.1% 74%  
274 18% 73%  
275 6% 56% Median
276 5% 50%  
277 0.5% 45%  
278 2% 45%  
279 0.7% 43%  
280 8% 43%  
281 0.3% 34%  
282 6% 34%  
283 0.2% 28%  
284 0.9% 28%  
285 0% 27%  
286 0.4% 27%  
287 1.0% 27%  
288 0.3% 26%  
289 1.4% 25%  
290 0.9% 24%  
291 0.4% 23%  
292 0.2% 23%  
293 5% 22%  
294 0.9% 18%  
295 1.0% 17%  
296 0.9% 16%  
297 0.4% 15%  
298 1.3% 14%  
299 0.8% 13%  
300 3% 12%  
301 0.3% 9%  
302 0.1% 9%  
303 2% 9%  
304 0% 7%  
305 0.7% 7%  
306 0.1% 7%  
307 0.4% 6%  
308 0.1% 6%  
309 0.3% 6%  
310 0.1% 6%  
311 0.2% 6%  
312 0.2% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 0.3% 5%  
315 0.2% 5%  
316 0% 4%  
317 0.7% 4% Last Result
318 0.2% 4%  
319 0.1% 3%  
320 1.1% 3%  
321 0.1% 2%  
322 0.2% 2%  
323 0.3% 2%  
324 0.2% 2%  
325 0.3% 2%  
326 0.1% 1.3% Majority
327 0.4% 1.2%  
328 0.1% 0.8%  
329 0.1% 0.7%  
330 0.1% 0.6%  
331 0% 0.5%  
332 0.1% 0.5%  
333 0.3% 0.4%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0.1%  
339 0% 0.1%  
340 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations