Opinion Poll by Opinium, 14–15 November 2018

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 40.0% 39.0% 37.2–40.8% 36.7–41.3% 36.3–41.8% 35.4–42.7%
Conservative Party 42.4% 36.0% 34.3–37.8% 33.8–38.3% 33.4–38.8% 32.5–39.6%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.2%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 7.0% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.3% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.1%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 5.0% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.2% 3.9–6.4% 3.6–6.9%
Green Party 1.6% 3.0% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.5%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.6–1.7% 0.5–2.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party 262 293 270–308 261–312 255–316 241–322
Conservative Party 317 263 246–287 242–296 238–303 230–316
UK Independence Party 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 1–2
Liberal Democrats 12 11 8–16 4–18 4–20 2–23
Scottish National Party 35 58 56–58 54–58 54–58 52–58
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1–2 1–2
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–8 4–8 4–8 2–9

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.6%  
241 0% 99.5%  
242 0.1% 99.5%  
243 0.1% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.3%  
245 0% 99.2%  
246 0.2% 99.2%  
247 0.2% 99.0%  
248 0.1% 98.8%  
249 0% 98.7%  
250 0.5% 98.7%  
251 0% 98%  
252 0.1% 98%  
253 0.2% 98%  
254 0.3% 98%  
255 0.3% 98%  
256 0.6% 97%  
257 0.3% 97%  
258 0.7% 96%  
259 0.3% 96%  
260 0.4% 95%  
261 0.3% 95%  
262 0.6% 95% Last Result
263 0.4% 94%  
264 0.4% 94%  
265 0.9% 93%  
266 0.2% 92%  
267 0.2% 92%  
268 0.9% 92%  
269 0.2% 91%  
270 1.2% 91%  
271 0.9% 90%  
272 3% 89%  
273 0.4% 86%  
274 0.4% 86%  
275 0.6% 85%  
276 0.5% 85%  
277 2% 84%  
278 0.8% 83%  
279 2% 82%  
280 0.7% 80%  
281 2% 80%  
282 2% 78%  
283 2% 76%  
284 2% 74%  
285 2% 72%  
286 3% 70%  
287 1.0% 67%  
288 2% 66%  
289 4% 65%  
290 2% 61%  
291 3% 58%  
292 3% 55%  
293 3% 52% Median
294 6% 49%  
295 0.6% 43%  
296 3% 43%  
297 4% 39%  
298 2% 35%  
299 2% 33%  
300 1.2% 30%  
301 4% 29%  
302 4% 25%  
303 2% 21%  
304 0.4% 19%  
305 1.3% 19%  
306 4% 17%  
307 2% 13%  
308 0.9% 11%  
309 0.9% 10%  
310 2% 9%  
311 1.4% 7%  
312 2% 6%  
313 0.3% 4%  
314 0.7% 4%  
315 0.2% 3%  
316 0.6% 3%  
317 0.1% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.5% 1.5%  
321 0.3% 1.0%  
322 0.2% 0.7%  
323 0.2% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.1% 99.6%  
230 0.1% 99.5%  
231 0.3% 99.5%  
232 0.2% 99.2%  
233 0.1% 99.0%  
234 0.2% 98.9%  
235 0.5% 98.7%  
236 0.3% 98%  
237 0.4% 98%  
238 0.2% 98%  
239 0.8% 97%  
240 0.4% 97%  
241 0.9% 96%  
242 2% 95%  
243 1.0% 94%  
244 1.0% 93%  
245 0.9% 92%  
246 2% 91%  
247 2% 89%  
248 0.6% 87%  
249 2% 86%  
250 3% 84%  
251 2% 81%  
252 0.9% 79%  
253 1.2% 79%  
254 5% 77%  
255 2% 72%  
256 5% 70%  
257 1.2% 66%  
258 1.4% 65%  
259 5% 63%  
260 2% 58%  
261 2% 57%  
262 1.4% 54%  
263 6% 53% Median
264 3% 47%  
265 2% 44%  
266 4% 42%  
267 2% 38%  
268 2% 36%  
269 0.5% 34%  
270 4% 33%  
271 2% 30%  
272 0.9% 27%  
273 2% 26%  
274 2% 24%  
275 0.6% 22%  
276 0.7% 21%  
277 2% 21%  
278 2% 19%  
279 0.7% 17%  
280 0.4% 16%  
281 1.1% 16%  
282 0.2% 15%  
283 0.7% 15%  
284 3% 14%  
285 0.8% 11%  
286 0.4% 10%  
287 0.5% 10%  
288 1.2% 9%  
289 0.4% 8%  
290 0.2% 8%  
291 0.3% 8%  
292 0.7% 7%  
293 0.4% 7%  
294 0.5% 6%  
295 0.7% 6%  
296 0.6% 5%  
297 0.6% 5%  
298 0.3% 4%  
299 0.2% 4%  
300 0.3% 4%  
301 0.4% 3%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.4% 3%  
304 0.1% 2%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.2% 1.5%  
309 0.1% 1.3%  
310 0.2% 1.2%  
311 0.1% 1.0%  
312 0.2% 1.0%  
313 0.1% 0.7%  
314 0% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 59% 100% Median
2 41% 41%  
3 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0% 100%  
2 0.9% 99.9%  
3 0.2% 99.1%  
4 5% 98.8%  
5 0.9% 94%  
6 2% 93%  
7 0.6% 91%  
8 6% 90%  
9 2% 84%  
10 20% 81%  
11 18% 62% Median
12 14% 44% Last Result
13 8% 30%  
14 5% 22%  
15 4% 17%  
16 4% 13%  
17 2% 9%  
18 2% 6%  
19 0.8% 4%  
20 1.0% 3%  
21 1.1% 2%  
22 0.6% 1.3%  
23 0.3% 0.7%  
24 0.3% 0.4%  
25 0.1% 0.1%  
26 0% 0.1%  
27 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0% 100% Last Result
36 0% 100%  
37 0% 100%  
38 0% 100%  
39 0% 100%  
40 0% 100%  
41 0% 100%  
42 0% 100%  
43 0% 100%  
44 0% 100%  
45 0% 100%  
46 0% 99.9%  
47 0% 99.9%  
48 0% 99.9%  
49 0% 99.9%  
50 0.1% 99.9%  
51 0.3% 99.8%  
52 0.6% 99.5%  
53 0.9% 98.9%  
54 3% 98%  
55 5% 95%  
56 2% 90%  
57 26% 88%  
58 61% 61% Median
59 0.4% 0.4%  
60 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 97% 100% Last Result, Median
2 3% 3%  
3 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0.5% 99.9%  
3 0.7% 99.4%  
4 15% 98.8% Last Result
5 68% 84% Median
6 4% 16%  
7 0.9% 12%  
8 10% 11%  
9 0.6% 1.1%  
10 0.3% 0.5%  
11 0% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.2%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 367 98% 343–384 334–388 327–392 313–399
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 361 96% 337–379 328–383 321–387 308–395
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 356 94% 333–371 323–375 317–378 303–385
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 350 91% 328–366 318–370 311–373 298–380
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 326 50% 308–348 304–358 300–366 292–379
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 320 33% 303–343 299–353 295–360 287–374
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 310 12% 286–326 276–331 269–335 256–343
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 304 5% 281–321 271–325 264–330 250–338
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 299 1.0% 275–314 266–317 260–321 247–327
Labour Party 262 293 0.2% 270–308 261–312 255–316 241–322
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 274 0.5% 259–296 255–306 252–312 245–326
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 268 0.3% 251–292 247–301 243–308 235–321
Conservative Party 317 263 0.1% 246–287 242–296 238–303 230–316

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
303 0% 100%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0.1% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.8%  
310 0.1% 99.7%  
311 0% 99.6%  
312 0.1% 99.6%  
313 0.1% 99.5% Last Result
314 0.1% 99.5%  
315 0% 99.4%  
316 0% 99.3%  
317 0.2% 99.3%  
318 0.1% 99.1%  
319 0.2% 99.0%  
320 0.1% 98.8%  
321 0.2% 98.8%  
322 0.1% 98.6%  
323 0.3% 98%  
324 0.3% 98%  
325 0.1% 98%  
326 0.1% 98% Majority
327 0.5% 98%  
328 0.3% 97%  
329 0.3% 97%  
330 0.3% 97%  
331 0.4% 96%  
332 0.3% 96%  
333 0.7% 96%  
334 0.4% 95%  
335 0.8% 95%  
336 0.4% 94%  
337 0.3% 93%  
338 0.6% 93%  
339 0.3% 92%  
340 0.1% 92%  
341 1.1% 92%  
342 0.9% 91%  
343 0.3% 90%  
344 0.9% 90%  
345 3% 89%  
346 0.6% 86%  
347 0.5% 86%  
348 0.3% 85%  
349 1.1% 85%  
350 0.7% 84%  
351 1.3% 83%  
352 1.3% 82%  
353 2% 81%  
354 0.6% 79%  
355 2% 78%  
356 1.5% 76%  
357 1.0% 74%  
358 2% 73%  
359 1.2% 71%  
360 4% 70%  
361 0.7% 66%  
362 3% 66%  
363 3% 63%  
364 2% 60%  
365 3% 58%  
366 3% 54%  
367 5% 51% Median
368 2% 46%  
369 2% 45%  
370 2% 43%  
371 4% 40%  
372 0.9% 36%  
373 2% 35%  
374 4% 33%  
375 3% 29%  
376 4% 26%  
377 0.7% 22%  
378 1.3% 21%  
379 2% 20%  
380 2% 17%  
381 2% 15%  
382 1.0% 13%  
383 1.2% 12%  
384 2% 11%  
385 2% 9%  
386 0.9% 7%  
387 0.4% 7%  
388 2% 6%  
389 0.7% 4%  
390 0.4% 4%  
391 0.7% 3%  
392 0.2% 3%  
393 0.4% 2%  
394 0.2% 2%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.2% 1.3%  
397 0.1% 1.1%  
398 0.2% 1.0%  
399 0.3% 0.8%  
400 0% 0.5%  
401 0.1% 0.4%  
402 0.1% 0.3%  
403 0.1% 0.2%  
404 0% 0.2%  
405 0% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.1%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.8%  
304 0.1% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0% 99.6%  
307 0.1% 99.6%  
308 0.1% 99.5%  
309 0.1% 99.4% Last Result
310 0.1% 99.3%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.2% 99.2%  
313 0.1% 99.0%  
314 0.1% 98.9%  
315 0% 98.7%  
316 0.2% 98.7%  
317 0.2% 98%  
318 0.2% 98%  
319 0.3% 98%  
320 0.1% 98%  
321 0.2% 98%  
322 0.4% 97%  
323 0.3% 97%  
324 0.5% 97%  
325 0.2% 96%  
326 0.4% 96% Majority
327 0.4% 96%  
328 0.5% 95%  
329 0.5% 95%  
330 0.7% 94%  
331 0.5% 94%  
332 0.3% 93%  
333 0.6% 93%  
334 0.5% 92%  
335 0.1% 92%  
336 1.1% 92%  
337 0.7% 91%  
338 0.1% 90%  
339 1.0% 90%  
340 3% 89%  
341 0.7% 86%  
342 0.4% 86%  
343 0.4% 85%  
344 1.0% 85%  
345 0.7% 84%  
346 1.0% 83%  
347 3% 82%  
348 0.8% 79%  
349 0.4% 78%  
350 0.7% 77%  
351 3% 77%  
352 1.4% 74%  
353 1.4% 73%  
354 2% 71%  
355 4% 69%  
356 0.9% 66%  
357 2% 65%  
358 3% 62%  
359 4% 59%  
360 2% 55%  
361 3% 53%  
362 4% 50% Median
363 2% 46%  
364 2% 44%  
365 2% 42%  
366 4% 40%  
367 1.5% 36%  
368 0.8% 34%  
369 5% 34%  
370 3% 29%  
371 5% 26%  
372 0.9% 21%  
373 1.3% 21%  
374 2% 19%  
375 2% 17%  
376 2% 15%  
377 2% 14%  
378 1.4% 12%  
379 2% 11%  
380 2% 9%  
381 0.6% 7%  
382 0.6% 7%  
383 1.5% 6%  
384 0.5% 4%  
385 0.6% 4%  
386 0.7% 3%  
387 0.2% 3%  
388 0.2% 2%  
389 0.4% 2%  
390 0.4% 2%  
391 0.3% 1.3%  
392 0.1% 1.0%  
393 0.2% 1.0%  
394 0.3% 0.8%  
395 0.1% 0.5%  
396 0% 0.4%  
397 0.1% 0.4%  
398 0% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.2%  
400 0% 0.2%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
295 0% 100%  
296 0% 99.9%  
297 0% 99.9%  
298 0% 99.9%  
299 0.1% 99.8%  
300 0.1% 99.8%  
301 0.1% 99.7% Last Result
302 0.1% 99.7%  
303 0% 99.5%  
304 0% 99.5%  
305 0.1% 99.5%  
306 0.1% 99.4%  
307 0.1% 99.3%  
308 0% 99.2%  
309 0.3% 99.2%  
310 0.1% 98.9%  
311 0.1% 98.8%  
312 0.1% 98.6%  
313 0.4% 98.6%  
314 0.1% 98%  
315 0.1% 98%  
316 0.2% 98%  
317 0.3% 98%  
318 0.3% 97%  
319 0.7% 97%  
320 0.5% 97%  
321 0.4% 96%  
322 0.4% 96%  
323 0.3% 95%  
324 0.3% 95%  
325 0.8% 95%  
326 0.2% 94% Majority
327 0.3% 94%  
328 0.9% 93%  
329 0.2% 92%  
330 0.7% 92%  
331 0.3% 91%  
332 0.4% 91%  
333 2% 91%  
334 0.8% 89%  
335 2% 88%  
336 0.3% 86%  
337 0.6% 86%  
338 0.7% 85%  
339 0.7% 84%  
340 0.2% 84%  
341 2% 84%  
342 1.1% 81%  
343 1.4% 80%  
344 1.5% 79%  
345 3% 77%  
346 3% 74%  
347 0.7% 72%  
348 1.5% 71%  
349 3% 70%  
350 1.3% 67%  
351 2% 65%  
352 3% 63%  
353 3% 60%  
354 2% 56%  
355 3% 54%  
356 3% 50% Median
357 4% 47%  
358 1.1% 43%  
359 3% 41%  
360 5% 39%  
361 3% 33%  
362 0.7% 31%  
363 3% 30%  
364 4% 27%  
365 3% 23%  
366 1.1% 20%  
367 1.0% 19%  
368 3% 18%  
369 3% 15%  
370 1.4% 12%  
371 0.8% 10%  
372 1.3% 9%  
373 2% 8%  
374 1.1% 7%  
375 2% 5%  
376 0.1% 4%  
377 0.8% 4%  
378 0.5% 3%  
379 0.3% 2%  
380 0.1% 2%  
381 0.3% 2%  
382 0.5% 2%  
383 0.2% 1.1%  
384 0.3% 0.9%  
385 0.3% 0.6%  
386 0.1% 0.3%  
387 0.1% 0.3%  
388 0% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
289 0% 100%  
290 0% 99.9%  
291 0% 99.9%  
292 0% 99.9%  
293 0% 99.9%  
294 0% 99.8%  
295 0% 99.8%  
296 0.1% 99.7%  
297 0.1% 99.6% Last Result
298 0.1% 99.5%  
299 0% 99.5%  
300 0% 99.4%  
301 0.1% 99.4%  
302 0.1% 99.3%  
303 0.1% 99.1%  
304 0.3% 99.0%  
305 0.1% 98.7%  
306 0.1% 98.7%  
307 0.1% 98.6%  
308 0.5% 98.5%  
309 0.1% 98%  
310 0.2% 98%  
311 0.3% 98%  
312 0.1% 97%  
313 0.3% 97%  
314 0.9% 97%  
315 0.5% 96%  
316 0.3% 96%  
317 0.4% 95%  
318 0.4% 95%  
319 0.2% 95%  
320 0.6% 94%  
321 0.4% 94%  
322 0.3% 93%  
323 0.9% 93%  
324 0.4% 92%  
325 0.7% 92%  
326 0.5% 91% Majority
327 0.3% 91%  
328 1.3% 90%  
329 0.7% 89%  
330 2% 88%  
331 0.6% 86%  
332 0.3% 85%  
333 1.0% 85%  
334 0.7% 84%  
335 1.4% 83%  
336 1.3% 82%  
337 1.5% 81%  
338 0.7% 79%  
339 2% 79%  
340 1.5% 76%  
341 3% 75%  
342 2% 72%  
343 2% 70%  
344 3% 69%  
345 2% 66%  
346 2% 64%  
347 3% 62%  
348 3% 59%  
349 4% 56%  
350 3% 52%  
351 4% 49% Median
352 3% 45%  
353 0.9% 42%  
354 3% 41%  
355 4% 38%  
356 3% 34%  
357 2% 31%  
358 2% 29%  
359 4% 27%  
360 2% 23%  
361 2% 20%  
362 0.8% 18%  
363 3% 17%  
364 3% 14%  
365 1.4% 12%  
366 0.9% 10%  
367 0.9% 9%  
368 2% 8%  
369 1.0% 6%  
370 2% 5%  
371 0.2% 4%  
372 0.8% 4%  
373 0.5% 3%  
374 0.3% 2%  
375 0.1% 2%  
376 0.3% 2%  
377 0.4% 2%  
378 0.3% 1.2%  
379 0.3% 0.9%  
380 0.2% 0.6%  
381 0.1% 0.4%  
382 0.1% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.2%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.2%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
283 0% 100%  
284 0% 99.9%  
285 0% 99.9%  
286 0% 99.9%  
287 0% 99.9%  
288 0% 99.8%  
289 0.1% 99.8%  
290 0.1% 99.7%  
291 0.1% 99.6%  
292 0.1% 99.5%  
293 0.1% 99.4%  
294 0.1% 99.3%  
295 0.2% 99.1%  
296 0.2% 98.9%  
297 0.5% 98.7%  
298 0.3% 98%  
299 0.4% 98%  
300 0.4% 98%  
301 0.2% 97%  
302 1.0% 97%  
303 0.5% 96%  
304 0.7% 96%  
305 2% 95%  
306 0.8% 93%  
307 1.3% 92%  
308 2% 91%  
309 2% 89%  
310 0.4% 87%  
311 3% 87%  
312 1.0% 84%  
313 2% 83%  
314 2% 81%  
315 2% 79%  
316 4% 78%  
317 3% 74%  
318 3% 71%  
319 3% 68%  
320 0.7% 65%  
321 3% 64%  
322 4% 61%  
323 3% 58%  
324 2% 54%  
325 2% 52%  
326 5% 50% Median, Majority
327 1.1% 45%  
328 2% 44%  
329 5% 42%  
330 3% 38%  
331 0.7% 34%  
332 2% 34%  
333 3% 32%  
334 1.0% 28%  
335 2% 27%  
336 3% 25%  
337 0.4% 23%  
338 0.7% 22%  
339 1.0% 21%  
340 2% 20%  
341 2% 19%  
342 0.4% 17%  
343 0.7% 16%  
344 0.9% 15%  
345 0.4% 15%  
346 0.4% 14%  
347 3% 14%  
348 0.6% 11%  
349 0.3% 10%  
350 0.2% 10%  
351 1.1% 9%  
352 0.3% 8%  
353 0.4% 8%  
354 0.3% 8%  
355 0.7% 7%  
356 0.2% 6% Last Result
357 0.4% 6%  
358 1.1% 6%  
359 0.5% 5%  
360 0.3% 4%  
361 0.1% 4%  
362 0.3% 4%  
363 0.4% 4%  
364 0.5% 3%  
365 0.1% 3%  
366 0.5% 3%  
367 0.1% 2%  
368 0.1% 2%  
369 0.3% 2%  
370 0.1% 2%  
371 0.3% 2%  
372 0.2% 1.2%  
373 0.1% 1.1%  
374 0.1% 1.0%  
375 0.2% 0.9%  
376 0.1% 0.7%  
377 0% 0.7%  
378 0.1% 0.6%  
379 0.1% 0.5%  
380 0.1% 0.5%  
381 0% 0.4%  
382 0% 0.3%  
383 0% 0.3%  
384 0% 0.2%  
385 0.1% 0.2%  
386 0% 0.1%  
387 0% 0.1%  
388 0% 0.1%  
389 0% 0.1%  
390 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
278 0% 100%  
279 0% 99.9%  
280 0% 99.9%  
281 0% 99.9%  
282 0.1% 99.9%  
283 0% 99.8%  
284 0.1% 99.8%  
285 0.1% 99.7%  
286 0.1% 99.6%  
287 0.1% 99.6%  
288 0.1% 99.4%  
289 0.2% 99.3%  
290 0.2% 99.1%  
291 0.2% 98.9%  
292 0.5% 98.7%  
293 0.4% 98%  
294 0.2% 98%  
295 0.5% 98%  
296 0.2% 97%  
297 0.8% 97%  
298 0.7% 96%  
299 0.8% 95%  
300 2% 95%  
301 0.9% 93%  
302 1.3% 92%  
303 1.4% 91%  
304 2% 89%  
305 0.6% 87%  
306 1.5% 87%  
307 2% 85%  
308 2% 83%  
309 2% 80%  
310 1.3% 79%  
311 5% 77%  
312 1.4% 73%  
313 3% 71%  
314 4% 69%  
315 0.9% 65%  
316 3% 64%  
317 4% 61%  
318 4% 57%  
319 1.1% 54%  
320 3% 52%  
321 5% 49% Median
322 2% 44%  
323 1.5% 42%  
324 4% 41%  
325 4% 37%  
326 0.5% 33% Majority
327 0.8% 33%  
328 4% 32%  
329 2% 28%  
330 1.4% 26%  
331 1.4% 25%  
332 2% 23%  
333 0.7% 21%  
334 0.9% 21%  
335 2% 20%  
336 1.3% 18%  
337 0.7% 16%  
338 0.5% 16%  
339 0.7% 15%  
340 0.3% 14%  
341 0.8% 14%  
342 3% 13%  
343 0.4% 10%  
344 0.3% 10%  
345 0.3% 9%  
346 1.2% 9%  
347 0.3% 8%  
348 0.3% 8%  
349 0.4% 7%  
350 0.7% 7%  
351 0.4% 6%  
352 0.3% 6% Last Result
353 1.1% 6%  
354 0.3% 5%  
355 0.6% 4%  
356 0.2% 4%  
357 0.2% 4%  
358 0.3% 3%  
359 0.5% 3%  
360 0.2% 3%  
361 0.3% 2%  
362 0.1% 2%  
363 0.1% 2%  
364 0.3% 2%  
365 0.2% 2%  
366 0.2% 1.4%  
367 0.2% 1.2%  
368 0% 1.0%  
369 0.1% 1.0%  
370 0.2% 0.9%  
371 0% 0.7%  
372 0% 0.6%  
373 0.1% 0.6%  
374 0.1% 0.5%  
375 0.1% 0.4%  
376 0% 0.3%  
377 0% 0.3%  
378 0% 0.3%  
379 0.1% 0.2%  
380 0% 0.1%  
381 0% 0.1%  
382 0% 0.1%  
383 0% 0.1%  
384 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
246 0% 100%  
247 0% 99.9%  
248 0% 99.9%  
249 0% 99.9%  
250 0.1% 99.9%  
251 0% 99.8%  
252 0% 99.7%  
253 0% 99.7%  
254 0.1% 99.7%  
255 0.1% 99.6%  
256 0.1% 99.5%  
257 0% 99.4%  
258 0% 99.4%  
259 0.2% 99.4%  
260 0.1% 99.1%  
261 0.1% 99.1%  
262 0.2% 99.0%  
263 0.2% 98.9%  
264 0.1% 98.6%  
265 0.3% 98.6%  
266 0.2% 98%  
267 0.1% 98%  
268 0.1% 98%  
269 0.5% 98%  
270 0.2% 97%  
271 0.4% 97%  
272 0.2% 97%  
273 0.3% 97%  
274 0.4% 96%  
275 0.3% 96%  
276 0.8% 96%  
277 0.6% 95%  
278 0.3% 94% Last Result
279 0.4% 94%  
280 0.6% 93%  
281 0.5% 93%  
282 0.2% 92%  
283 0.9% 92%  
284 0.7% 91%  
285 0.3% 91%  
286 0.3% 90%  
287 3% 90%  
288 0.7% 87%  
289 0.6% 86%  
290 0.3% 86%  
291 0.8% 85%  
292 0.8% 85%  
293 0.9% 84%  
294 1.0% 83%  
295 2% 82%  
296 0.7% 80%  
297 2% 79%  
298 0.8% 77%  
299 2% 76%  
300 1.3% 74%  
301 2% 73%  
302 4% 71%  
303 0.6% 68%  
304 1.4% 67%  
305 5% 66%  
306 2% 60%  
307 2% 59%  
308 3% 57%  
309 4% 54% Median
310 3% 50%  
311 1.4% 47%  
312 3% 46%  
313 5% 42%  
314 1.3% 37%  
315 1.4% 36%  
316 4% 34%  
317 2% 31%  
318 3% 28%  
319 4% 25%  
320 1.2% 22%  
321 2% 20%  
322 2% 19%  
323 2% 16%  
324 1.2% 14%  
325 0.7% 13%  
326 2% 12% Majority
327 2% 10%  
328 0.9% 8%  
329 0.9% 7%  
330 1.3% 6%  
331 0.7% 5%  
332 0.7% 4%  
333 0.8% 4%  
334 0.2% 3%  
335 0.5% 3%  
336 0.3% 2%  
337 0.4% 2%  
338 0.4% 2%  
339 0.2% 1.2%  
340 0.2% 1.1%  
341 0.2% 0.9%  
342 0.2% 0.7%  
343 0.1% 0.5%  
344 0.1% 0.4%  
345 0.1% 0.3%  
346 0% 0.2%  
347 0% 0.2%  
348 0% 0.2%  
349 0% 0.1%  
350 0% 0.1%  
351 0% 0.1%  
352 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
241 0% 100%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.9%  
244 0.1% 99.9%  
245 0% 99.8%  
246 0% 99.8%  
247 0% 99.7%  
248 0% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.7%  
250 0.1% 99.6%  
251 0.1% 99.5%  
252 0.1% 99.4%  
253 0% 99.3%  
254 0.2% 99.3%  
255 0.1% 99.1%  
256 0.1% 99.0%  
257 0.2% 98.9%  
258 0.2% 98.8%  
259 0.2% 98.6%  
260 0.2% 98%  
261 0.2% 98%  
262 0.1% 98%  
263 0.1% 98%  
264 0.5% 98%  
265 0.3% 97%  
266 0.4% 97%  
267 0.3% 97%  
268 0.3% 96%  
269 0.3% 96%  
270 0.2% 96%  
271 0.9% 95%  
272 0.6% 95%  
273 0.3% 94%  
274 0.4% 94% Last Result
275 0.6% 93%  
276 0.6% 93%  
277 0.2% 92%  
278 0.9% 92%  
279 0.6% 91%  
280 0.3% 90%  
281 0.3% 90%  
282 3% 90%  
283 0.7% 87%  
284 0.3% 86%  
285 0.6% 86%  
286 0.9% 85%  
287 0.8% 84%  
288 0.6% 83%  
289 3% 83%  
290 1.2% 80%  
291 0.7% 79%  
292 0.5% 78%  
293 2% 78%  
294 2% 76%  
295 1.4% 74%  
296 0.9% 72%  
297 5% 71%  
298 0.8% 67%  
299 1.4% 66%  
300 5% 65%  
301 3% 60%  
302 2% 57%  
303 3% 55%  
304 3% 52% Median
305 2% 49%  
306 3% 47%  
307 3% 45%  
308 5% 42%  
309 1.2% 36%  
310 0.7% 35%  
311 4% 35%  
312 1.5% 31%  
313 5% 29%  
314 3% 24%  
315 2% 21%  
316 2% 20%  
317 1.4% 18%  
318 2% 17%  
319 2% 15%  
320 0.6% 13%  
321 2% 12%  
322 2% 10%  
323 0.9% 8%  
324 0.6% 7%  
325 2% 7%  
326 0.4% 5% Majority
327 0.5% 4%  
328 0.9% 4%  
329 0.2% 3%  
330 0.3% 3%  
331 0.4% 2%  
332 0.3% 2%  
333 0.5% 2%  
334 0.2% 1.2%  
335 0.2% 1.1%  
336 0.2% 0.9%  
337 0.2% 0.7%  
338 0.1% 0.5%  
339 0.1% 0.4%  
340 0.1% 0.3%  
341 0.1% 0.2%  
342 0% 0.2%  
343 0% 0.2%  
344 0% 0.1%  
345 0% 0.1%  
346 0% 0.1%  
347 0% 0.1%  
348 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
240 0% 100%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0.1% 99.9%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.2% 99.7%  
245 0% 99.6%  
246 0% 99.5%  
247 0% 99.5%  
248 0.1% 99.5%  
249 0.1% 99.4%  
250 0% 99.3%  
251 0.2% 99.3%  
252 0.3% 99.1%  
253 0.1% 98.9%  
254 0.1% 98.8%  
255 0.4% 98.7%  
256 0.1% 98%  
257 0% 98%  
258 0.1% 98%  
259 0.2% 98%  
260 0.5% 98%  
261 0.5% 97%  
262 0.1% 97%  
263 0.8% 97%  
264 0.3% 96%  
265 0.5% 96%  
266 0.3% 95% Last Result
267 0.7% 95%  
268 0.2% 94%  
269 0.4% 94%  
270 0.9% 94%  
271 0.1% 93%  
272 0.1% 93%  
273 0.7% 92%  
274 0.4% 92%  
275 1.4% 91%  
276 1.1% 90%  
277 2% 89%  
278 0.4% 86%  
279 0.5% 86%  
280 0.5% 86%  
281 0.3% 85%  
282 0.3% 85%  
283 2% 84%  
284 1.4% 82%  
285 0.8% 81%  
286 0.8% 80%  
287 4% 79%  
288 2% 76%  
289 2% 74%  
290 1.3% 72%  
291 2% 71%  
292 0.8% 68%  
293 2% 68%  
294 5% 66%  
295 2% 61%  
296 2% 59%  
297 4% 57%  
298 3% 53% Median
299 6% 50%  
300 0.5% 44%  
301 4% 43%  
302 6% 39%  
303 1.2% 34%  
304 2% 33%  
305 0.6% 31%  
306 5% 30%  
307 4% 25%  
308 0.9% 21%  
309 0.4% 20%  
310 2% 19%  
311 4% 17%  
312 2% 13%  
313 0.4% 11%  
314 1.4% 10%  
315 2% 9%  
316 1.2% 7%  
317 2% 6%  
318 0.1% 4%  
319 0.8% 4%  
320 0.2% 3%  
321 0.6% 3%  
322 0.1% 2%  
323 0.2% 2%  
324 0.4% 2%  
325 0.4% 1.4%  
326 0.3% 1.0% Majority
327 0.3% 0.7%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0.1% 0.3%  
330 0% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0% 0.2%  
333 0.1% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0.1%  
338 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
234 0% 100%  
235 0% 99.9%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.6%  
241 0% 99.5%  
242 0.1% 99.5%  
243 0.1% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.3%  
245 0% 99.2%  
246 0.2% 99.2%  
247 0.2% 99.0%  
248 0.1% 98.8%  
249 0% 98.7%  
250 0.5% 98.7%  
251 0% 98%  
252 0.1% 98%  
253 0.2% 98%  
254 0.3% 98%  
255 0.3% 98%  
256 0.6% 97%  
257 0.3% 97%  
258 0.7% 96%  
259 0.3% 96%  
260 0.4% 95%  
261 0.3% 95%  
262 0.6% 95% Last Result
263 0.4% 94%  
264 0.4% 94%  
265 0.9% 93%  
266 0.2% 92%  
267 0.2% 92%  
268 0.9% 92%  
269 0.2% 91%  
270 1.2% 91%  
271 0.9% 90%  
272 3% 89%  
273 0.4% 86%  
274 0.4% 86%  
275 0.6% 85%  
276 0.5% 85%  
277 2% 84%  
278 0.8% 83%  
279 2% 82%  
280 0.7% 80%  
281 2% 80%  
282 2% 78%  
283 2% 76%  
284 2% 74%  
285 2% 72%  
286 3% 70%  
287 1.0% 67%  
288 2% 66%  
289 4% 65%  
290 2% 61%  
291 3% 58%  
292 3% 55%  
293 3% 52% Median
294 6% 49%  
295 0.6% 43%  
296 3% 43%  
297 4% 39%  
298 2% 35%  
299 2% 33%  
300 1.2% 30%  
301 4% 29%  
302 4% 25%  
303 2% 21%  
304 0.4% 19%  
305 1.3% 19%  
306 4% 17%  
307 2% 13%  
308 0.9% 11%  
309 0.9% 10%  
310 2% 9%  
311 1.4% 7%  
312 2% 6%  
313 0.3% 4%  
314 0.7% 4%  
315 0.2% 3%  
316 0.6% 3%  
317 0.1% 2%  
318 0.2% 2%  
319 0.3% 2%  
320 0.5% 1.5%  
321 0.3% 1.0%  
322 0.2% 0.7%  
323 0.2% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0.1% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.8%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.7%  
245 0.2% 99.6%  
246 0.3% 99.4%  
247 0.3% 99.1%  
248 0.4% 98.8%  
249 0.3% 98%  
250 0.1% 98%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.5% 98%  
253 0.8% 97%  
254 0.2% 96%  
255 3% 96%  
256 0.5% 94%  
257 2% 93%  
258 1.4% 91%  
259 0.7% 90%  
260 2% 89%  
261 4% 87%  
262 2% 83%  
263 1.0% 82%  
264 1.0% 81%  
265 3% 80%  
266 5% 77%  
267 3% 72%  
268 2% 69%  
269 2% 68%  
270 6% 65%  
271 2% 60%  
272 2% 58%  
273 5% 56%  
274 4% 52% Median
275 3% 47%  
276 1.4% 44%  
277 5% 43%  
278 2% 38%  
279 2% 36%  
280 1.3% 34%  
281 3% 33%  
282 1.2% 30%  
283 1.4% 29%  
284 4% 27%  
285 2% 24%  
286 2% 22%  
287 0.8% 20%  
288 2% 20%  
289 1.3% 18%  
290 0.6% 16%  
291 0.9% 16%  
292 0.4% 15%  
293 0.5% 15%  
294 2% 14%  
295 0.3% 12%  
296 2% 11%  
297 0.7% 10%  
298 0.3% 9%  
299 0.6% 9%  
300 0.1% 8%  
301 0.6% 8%  
302 0.8% 7%  
303 0.1% 6%  
304 0.3% 6%  
305 0.9% 6%  
306 0.3% 5%  
307 0.4% 5%  
308 0.5% 4%  
309 0.5% 4%  
310 0.2% 4%  
311 0.6% 3%  
312 0.3% 3%  
313 0.4% 2%  
314 0.1% 2%  
315 0.1% 2%  
316 0.4% 2%  
317 0.1% 1.5%  
318 0.1% 1.4%  
319 0.1% 1.3%  
320 0.3% 1.2%  
321 0% 0.8%  
322 0.1% 0.8%  
323 0.1% 0.7%  
324 0% 0.6%  
325 0% 0.5%  
326 0% 0.5% Majority
327 0.1% 0.5%  
328 0.1% 0.4%  
329 0% 0.3% Last Result
330 0.1% 0.2%  
331 0% 0.2%  
332 0.1% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0.1% 99.8%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0.1% 99.5%  
236 0.2% 99.5%  
237 0.2% 99.2%  
238 0.1% 99.0%  
239 0.3% 98.9%  
240 0.4% 98.6%  
241 0.4% 98%  
242 0.2% 98%  
243 0.2% 98%  
244 0.8% 97%  
245 0.6% 97%  
246 0.6% 96%  
247 2% 95%  
248 0.6% 94%  
249 1.1% 93%  
250 1.2% 92%  
251 2% 91%  
252 1.4% 89%  
253 1.1% 87%  
254 2% 86%  
255 2% 84%  
256 2% 82%  
257 0.9% 80%  
258 1.3% 79%  
259 5% 78%  
260 3% 72%  
261 4% 70%  
262 1.1% 66%  
263 2% 65%  
264 4% 63%  
265 1.4% 59%  
266 3% 58%  
267 2% 55%  
268 5% 53% Median
269 3% 49%  
270 1.4% 45%  
271 6% 44%  
272 2% 39%  
273 2% 37%  
274 1.1% 35%  
275 4% 34%  
276 1.4% 30%  
277 1.1% 28%  
278 3% 27%  
279 0.7% 24%  
280 0.6% 23%  
281 0.7% 22%  
282 2% 22%  
283 2% 20%  
284 0.6% 17%  
285 0.6% 17%  
286 1.0% 16%  
287 0.5% 15%  
288 0.4% 15%  
289 3% 14%  
290 1.2% 12%  
291 0.2% 10%  
292 0.4% 10%  
293 1.2% 10%  
294 0.4% 9%  
295 0.4% 8%  
296 0.3% 8%  
297 0.7% 8%  
298 0.4% 7%  
299 0.5% 7%  
300 0.7% 6%  
301 0.6% 5%  
302 0.4% 5%  
303 0.2% 4%  
304 0.3% 4%  
305 0.3% 4%  
306 0.6% 3%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0.4% 3%  
309 0.2% 2%  
310 0.2% 2%  
311 0.3% 2%  
312 0% 2%  
313 0.4% 2%  
314 0% 1.3%  
315 0.1% 1.3%  
316 0.1% 1.1%  
317 0.2% 1.0%  
318 0.1% 0.8%  
319 0% 0.7%  
320 0.1% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.6% Last Result
322 0% 0.5%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0.1% 0.3%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.7%  
229 0.1% 99.6%  
230 0.1% 99.5%  
231 0.3% 99.5%  
232 0.2% 99.2%  
233 0.1% 99.0%  
234 0.2% 98.9%  
235 0.5% 98.7%  
236 0.3% 98%  
237 0.4% 98%  
238 0.2% 98%  
239 0.8% 97%  
240 0.4% 97%  
241 0.9% 96%  
242 2% 95%  
243 1.0% 94%  
244 1.0% 93%  
245 0.9% 92%  
246 2% 91%  
247 2% 89%  
248 0.6% 87%  
249 2% 86%  
250 3% 84%  
251 2% 81%  
252 0.9% 79%  
253 1.2% 79%  
254 5% 77%  
255 2% 72%  
256 5% 70%  
257 1.2% 66%  
258 1.4% 65%  
259 5% 63%  
260 2% 58%  
261 2% 57%  
262 1.4% 54%  
263 6% 53% Median
264 3% 47%  
265 2% 44%  
266 4% 42%  
267 2% 38%  
268 2% 36%  
269 0.5% 34%  
270 4% 33%  
271 2% 30%  
272 0.9% 27%  
273 2% 26%  
274 2% 24%  
275 0.6% 22%  
276 0.7% 21%  
277 2% 21%  
278 2% 19%  
279 0.7% 17%  
280 0.4% 16%  
281 1.1% 16%  
282 0.2% 15%  
283 0.7% 15%  
284 3% 14%  
285 0.8% 11%  
286 0.4% 10%  
287 0.5% 10%  
288 1.2% 9%  
289 0.4% 8%  
290 0.2% 8%  
291 0.3% 8%  
292 0.7% 7%  
293 0.4% 7%  
294 0.5% 6%  
295 0.7% 6%  
296 0.6% 5%  
297 0.6% 5%  
298 0.3% 4%  
299 0.2% 4%  
300 0.3% 4%  
301 0.4% 3%  
302 0.4% 3%  
303 0.4% 3%  
304 0.1% 2%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.2% 1.5%  
309 0.1% 1.3%  
310 0.2% 1.2%  
311 0.1% 1.0%  
312 0.2% 1.0%  
313 0.1% 0.7%  
314 0% 0.7%  
315 0.1% 0.7%  
316 0.1% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.5% Last Result
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.4%  
320 0.1% 0.3%  
321 0.1% 0.2%  
322 0% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations