Opinion Poll by YouGov for People’s Vote, 21 December 2018–4 January 2019
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 42.4% | 40.8% | 40.4–41.2% | 40.3–41.3% | 40.2–41.4% | 40.0–41.6% | 
| Labour Party | 40.0% | 34.7% | 34.3–35.1% | 34.2–35.2% | 34.1–35.3% | 33.9–35.5% | 
| Liberal Democrats | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.0–10.5% | 9.9–10.5% | 9.8–10.6% | 9.7–10.7% | 
| UK Independence Party | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.9–4.3% | 3.9–4.3% | 3.8–4.3% | 3.8–4.4% | 
| Green Party | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.9–4.3% | 3.9–4.3% | 3.8–4.3% | 3.8–4.4% | 
| Scottish National Party | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3–3.7% | 3.3–3.7% | 3.3–3.7% | 3.2–3.8% | 
| Plaid Cymru | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5–0.7% | 0.5–0.7% | 0.5–0.7% | 0.5–0.7% | 
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats

Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party | 317 | 326 | 319–332 | 318–333 | 317–333 | 316–335 | 
| Labour Party | 262 | 230 | 226–236 | 226–236 | 225–236 | 225–237 | 
| Liberal Democrats | 12 | 26 | 26–27 | 25–27 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 
| UK Independence Party | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 
| Green Party | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 
| Scottish National Party | 35 | 45 | 42–47 | 41–47 | 41–47 | 41–48 | 
| Plaid Cymru | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3–5 | 3–5 | 
Conservative Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 315 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 316 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 317 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result | 
| 318 | 3% | 96% | |
| 319 | 4% | 93% | |
| 320 | 3% | 89% | |
| 321 | 2% | 86% | |
| 322 | 6% | 84% | |
| 323 | 4% | 78% | |
| 324 | 17% | 73% | |
| 325 | 3% | 57% | |
| 326 | 8% | 54% | Median, Majority | 
| 327 | 9% | 46% | |
| 328 | 5% | 38% | |
| 329 | 7% | 33% | |
| 330 | 8% | 26% | |
| 331 | 4% | 17% | |
| 332 | 7% | 13% | |
| 333 | 4% | 6% | |
| 334 | 2% | 2% | |
| 335 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | 
Labour Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 224 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 225 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 226 | 9% | 96% | |
| 227 | 8% | 87% | |
| 228 | 11% | 79% | |
| 229 | 8% | 68% | |
| 230 | 19% | 60% | Median | 
| 231 | 3% | 41% | |
| 232 | 18% | 38% | |
| 233 | 2% | 20% | |
| 234 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 236 | 16% | 17% | |
| 237 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 238 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Liberal Democrats
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 3% | 97% | |
| 26 | 73% | 94% | Median | 
| 27 | 18% | 21% | |
| 28 | 2% | 2% | |
| 29 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | 
UK Independence Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Median | 
Green Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median | 
Scottish National Party
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 36 | 0% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 41 | 7% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 26% | 93% | |
| 43 | 4% | 67% | |
| 44 | 0% | 63% | |
| 45 | 36% | 63% | Median | 
| 46 | 0.3% | 28% | |
| 47 | 26% | 28% | |
| 48 | 2% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% | 
Plaid Cymru
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 95% | 100% | Median | 
| 4 | 2% | 5% | Last Result | 
| 5 | 3% | 3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% | 
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 356 | 374 | 100% | 368–378 | 367–378 | 367–379 | 366–380 | 
| Conservative Party – Scottish National Party | 352 | 371 | 100% | 365–375 | 364–375 | 364–376 | 363–377 | 
| Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats | 329 | 352 | 100% | 346–358 | 344–359 | 344–359 | 343–360 | 
| Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru | 321 | 329 | 78% | 322–335 | 321–336 | 320–337 | 319–338 | 
| Conservative Party | 317 | 326 | 54% | 319–332 | 318–333 | 317–333 | 316–335 | 
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 313 | 304 | 0% | 298–311 | 297–312 | 297–313 | 295–314 | 
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party | 309 | 301 | 0% | 295–308 | 294–309 | 293–310 | 292–311 | 
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru | 301 | 278 | 0% | 272–284 | 271–286 | 271–286 | 270–287 | 
| Labour Party – Scottish National Party | 297 | 275 | 0% | 269–281 | 268–283 | 267–283 | 267–284 | 
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru | 278 | 259 | 0% | 255–265 | 255–266 | 254–266 | 253–267 | 
| Labour Party – Liberal Democrats | 274 | 256 | 0% | 252–262 | 252–263 | 251–263 | 250–264 | 
| Labour Party – Plaid Cymru | 266 | 233 | 0% | 229–239 | 229–239 | 228–239 | 228–240 | 
| Labour Party | 262 | 230 | 0% | 226–236 | 226–236 | 225–236 | 225–237 | 
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 356 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0% | 100% | |
| 363 | 0% | 100% | |
| 364 | 0% | 100% | |
| 365 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 366 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 367 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 368 | 9% | 92% | |
| 369 | 0.2% | 83% | |
| 370 | 3% | 83% | |
| 371 | 2% | 80% | |
| 372 | 17% | 78% | |
| 373 | 5% | 61% | |
| 374 | 15% | 55% | Median | 
| 375 | 8% | 40% | |
| 376 | 12% | 32% | |
| 377 | 7% | 20% | |
| 378 | 8% | 13% | |
| 379 | 3% | 5% | |
| 380 | 2% | 2% | |
| 381 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 382 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 383 | 0% | 0% | 
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 352 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 353 | 0% | 100% | |
| 354 | 0% | 100% | |
| 355 | 0% | 100% | |
| 356 | 0% | 100% | |
| 357 | 0% | 100% | |
| 358 | 0% | 100% | |
| 359 | 0% | 100% | |
| 360 | 0% | 100% | |
| 361 | 0% | 100% | |
| 362 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 363 | 1.2% | 99.8% | |
| 364 | 7% | 98.6% | |
| 365 | 9% | 92% | |
| 366 | 0.1% | 83% | |
| 367 | 3% | 83% | |
| 368 | 2% | 80% | |
| 369 | 17% | 78% | |
| 370 | 5% | 61% | |
| 371 | 16% | 55% | Median | 
| 372 | 8% | 39% | |
| 373 | 11% | 31% | |
| 374 | 8% | 19% | |
| 375 | 8% | 12% | |
| 376 | 3% | 4% | |
| 377 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 378 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 379 | 0% | 0% | 
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 329 | 0% | 100% | Last Result | 
| 330 | 0% | 100% | |
| 331 | 0% | 100% | |
| 332 | 0% | 100% | |
| 333 | 0% | 100% | |
| 334 | 0% | 100% | |
| 335 | 0% | 100% | |
| 336 | 0% | 100% | |
| 337 | 0% | 100% | |
| 338 | 0% | 100% | |
| 339 | 0% | 100% | |
| 340 | 0% | 100% | |
| 341 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 342 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 343 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 344 | 5% | 98.9% | |
| 345 | 0.5% | 94% | |
| 346 | 7% | 93% | |
| 347 | 0.5% | 86% | |
| 348 | 6% | 86% | |
| 349 | 6% | 80% | |
| 350 | 16% | 74% | |
| 351 | 3% | 58% | |
| 352 | 9% | 55% | Median | 
| 353 | 8% | 46% | |
| 354 | 5% | 38% | |
| 355 | 7% | 33% | |
| 356 | 8% | 26% | |
| 357 | 5% | 18% | |
| 358 | 7% | 13% | |
| 359 | 4% | 6% | |
| 360 | 2% | 2% | |
| 361 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 362 | 0% | 0% | 
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 318 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 319 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 320 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 321 | 3% | 96% | Last Result | 
| 322 | 4% | 93% | |
| 323 | 3% | 89% | |
| 324 | 2% | 86% | |
| 325 | 6% | 84% | |
| 326 | 4% | 78% | Majority | 
| 327 | 16% | 73% | |
| 328 | 3% | 57% | |
| 329 | 8% | 54% | Median | 
| 330 | 8% | 46% | |
| 331 | 5% | 38% | |
| 332 | 6% | 33% | |
| 333 | 8% | 27% | |
| 334 | 4% | 19% | |
| 335 | 8% | 14% | |
| 336 | 3% | 7% | |
| 337 | 2% | 3% | |
| 338 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 339 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 340 | 0% | 0% | 
Conservative Party

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 315 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 316 | 1.0% | 99.7% | |
| 317 | 2% | 98.7% | Last Result | 
| 318 | 3% | 96% | |
| 319 | 4% | 93% | |
| 320 | 3% | 89% | |
| 321 | 2% | 86% | |
| 322 | 6% | 84% | |
| 323 | 4% | 78% | |
| 324 | 17% | 73% | |
| 325 | 3% | 57% | |
| 326 | 8% | 54% | Median, Majority | 
| 327 | 9% | 46% | |
| 328 | 5% | 38% | |
| 329 | 7% | 33% | |
| 330 | 8% | 26% | |
| 331 | 4% | 17% | |
| 332 | 7% | 13% | |
| 333 | 4% | 6% | |
| 334 | 2% | 2% | |
| 335 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 336 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 337 | 0% | 0% | 
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 294 | 0% | 100% | |
| 295 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 296 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 297 | 4% | 98% | |
| 298 | 7% | 94% | |
| 299 | 4% | 87% | |
| 300 | 8% | 83% | |
| 301 | 7% | 74% | |
| 302 | 5% | 67% | |
| 303 | 9% | 62% | |
| 304 | 8% | 54% | Median | 
| 305 | 3% | 46% | |
| 306 | 17% | 43% | |
| 307 | 4% | 27% | |
| 308 | 6% | 22% | |
| 309 | 2% | 16% | |
| 310 | 3% | 14% | |
| 311 | 4% | 11% | |
| 312 | 3% | 7% | |
| 313 | 2% | 4% | Last Result | 
| 314 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 315 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 316 | 0% | 0% | 
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 291 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 292 | 1.1% | 99.8% | |
| 293 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 294 | 3% | 97% | |
| 295 | 8% | 93% | |
| 296 | 4% | 86% | |
| 297 | 8% | 81% | |
| 298 | 6% | 73% | |
| 299 | 5% | 67% | |
| 300 | 8% | 62% | |
| 301 | 8% | 54% | Median | 
| 302 | 3% | 46% | |
| 303 | 16% | 43% | |
| 304 | 4% | 27% | |
| 305 | 6% | 22% | |
| 306 | 2% | 16% | |
| 307 | 3% | 14% | |
| 308 | 4% | 11% | |
| 309 | 3% | 7% | Last Result | 
| 310 | 2% | 4% | |
| 311 | 1.0% | 1.3% | |
| 312 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 313 | 0% | 0% | 
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 269 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 270 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 271 | 4% | 98% | |
| 272 | 7% | 94% | |
| 273 | 5% | 87% | |
| 274 | 8% | 82% | |
| 275 | 7% | 74% | |
| 276 | 5% | 67% | |
| 277 | 8% | 62% | |
| 278 | 9% | 54% | Median | 
| 279 | 3% | 45% | |
| 280 | 16% | 42% | |
| 281 | 6% | 26% | |
| 282 | 6% | 20% | |
| 283 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 284 | 7% | 14% | |
| 285 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 286 | 5% | 6% | |
| 287 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 288 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 289 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | |
| 298 | 0% | 0% | |
| 299 | 0% | 0% | |
| 300 | 0% | 0% | |
| 301 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Labour Party – Scottish National Party

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 265 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 266 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 267 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 268 | 4% | 97% | |
| 269 | 7% | 93% | |
| 270 | 5% | 87% | |
| 271 | 9% | 82% | |
| 272 | 8% | 73% | |
| 273 | 4% | 65% | |
| 274 | 8% | 61% | |
| 275 | 8% | 53% | Median | 
| 276 | 3% | 45% | |
| 277 | 16% | 42% | |
| 278 | 6% | 26% | |
| 279 | 6% | 20% | |
| 280 | 0.5% | 14% | |
| 281 | 7% | 14% | |
| 282 | 0.5% | 7% | |
| 283 | 5% | 6% | |
| 284 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 285 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 286 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 287 | 0% | 0% | |
| 288 | 0% | 0% | |
| 289 | 0% | 0% | |
| 290 | 0% | 0% | |
| 291 | 0% | 0% | |
| 292 | 0% | 0% | |
| 293 | 0% | 0% | |
| 294 | 0% | 0% | |
| 295 | 0% | 0% | |
| 296 | 0% | 0% | |
| 297 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 252 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 253 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 254 | 3% | 98.8% | |
| 255 | 8% | 96% | |
| 256 | 8% | 88% | |
| 257 | 11% | 81% | |
| 258 | 8% | 69% | |
| 259 | 16% | 61% | Median | 
| 260 | 5% | 45% | |
| 261 | 17% | 39% | |
| 262 | 2% | 22% | |
| 263 | 3% | 20% | |
| 264 | 0.1% | 17% | |
| 265 | 9% | 17% | |
| 266 | 7% | 8% | |
| 267 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 268 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | |
| 275 | 0% | 0% | |
| 276 | 0% | 0% | |
| 277 | 0% | 0% | |
| 278 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 248 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 249 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 250 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 251 | 3% | 98% | |
| 252 | 8% | 95% | |
| 253 | 7% | 87% | |
| 254 | 12% | 80% | |
| 255 | 8% | 68% | |
| 256 | 15% | 60% | Median | 
| 257 | 5% | 45% | |
| 258 | 17% | 39% | |
| 259 | 2% | 22% | |
| 260 | 3% | 20% | |
| 261 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 262 | 9% | 17% | |
| 263 | 7% | 8% | |
| 264 | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 265 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | |
| 267 | 0% | 0% | |
| 268 | 0% | 0% | |
| 269 | 0% | 0% | |
| 270 | 0% | 0% | |
| 271 | 0% | 0% | |
| 272 | 0% | 0% | |
| 273 | 0% | 0% | |
| 274 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 227 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 228 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 229 | 8% | 97% | |
| 230 | 9% | 89% | |
| 231 | 11% | 80% | |
| 232 | 7% | 69% | |
| 233 | 19% | 62% | Median | 
| 234 | 4% | 42% | |
| 235 | 18% | 39% | |
| 236 | 2% | 20% | |
| 237 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 238 | 0% | 17% | |
| 239 | 16% | 17% | |
| 240 | 1.1% | 1.3% | |
| 241 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | |
| 263 | 0% | 0% | |
| 264 | 0% | 0% | |
| 265 | 0% | 0% | |
| 266 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Labour Party

| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks | 
|---|---|---|---|
| 224 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 225 | 3% | 99.8% | |
| 226 | 9% | 96% | |
| 227 | 8% | 87% | |
| 228 | 11% | 79% | |
| 229 | 8% | 68% | |
| 230 | 19% | 60% | Median | 
| 231 | 3% | 41% | |
| 232 | 18% | 38% | |
| 233 | 2% | 20% | |
| 234 | 0.9% | 18% | |
| 235 | 0.2% | 17% | |
| 236 | 16% | 17% | |
| 237 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 238 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 239 | 0% | 0% | |
| 240 | 0% | 0% | |
| 241 | 0% | 0% | |
| 242 | 0% | 0% | |
| 243 | 0% | 0% | |
| 244 | 0% | 0% | |
| 245 | 0% | 0% | |
| 246 | 0% | 0% | |
| 247 | 0% | 0% | |
| 248 | 0% | 0% | |
| 249 | 0% | 0% | |
| 250 | 0% | 0% | |
| 251 | 0% | 0% | |
| 252 | 0% | 0% | |
| 253 | 0% | 0% | |
| 254 | 0% | 0% | |
| 255 | 0% | 0% | |
| 256 | 0% | 0% | |
| 257 | 0% | 0% | |
| 258 | 0% | 0% | |
| 259 | 0% | 0% | |
| 260 | 0% | 0% | |
| 261 | 0% | 0% | |
| 262 | 0% | 0% | Last Result | 
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: YouGov
 - Commissioner(s): People’s Vote
 - Fieldwork period: 21 December 2018–4 January 2019
 
Calculations
- Sample size: 25537
 - Simulations done: 131,072
 - Error estimate: 0.35%