Opinion Poll by BMG Research for The Independent, 8–11 January 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 42.4% 36.0% 34.4–37.6% 34.0–38.1% 33.6–38.5% 32.9–39.2%
Labour Party 40.0% 36.0% 34.4–37.6% 34.0–38.1% 33.6–38.5% 32.9–39.2%
Liberal Democrats 7.4% 12.0% 11.0–13.2% 10.7–13.5% 10.5–13.8% 10.0–14.3%
UK Independence Party 1.8% 6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
Green Party 1.6% 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.1% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.6%
Scottish National Party 3.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 1.0% 0.7–1.4% 0.7–1.5% 0.6–1.6% 0.5–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 277 251–303 250–313 244–317 235–322
Labour Party 262 277 247–300 241–304 240–310 235–320
Liberal Democrats 12 34 29–39 28–40 27–41 27–44
UK Independence Party 0 1 1 1 1 1–2
Green Party 1 2 2–3 2–3 2–4 1–4
Scottish National Party 35 42 24–50 19–51 10–51 4–53
Plaid Cymru 4 5 4–7 3–8 3–8 3–10

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.2% 99.8%  
235 0.2% 99.6%  
236 0% 99.4%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0.1% 99.3%  
239 0.1% 99.2%  
240 0.2% 99.1%  
241 0.2% 98.9%  
242 0.8% 98.7%  
243 0.1% 98%  
244 0.6% 98%  
245 0.2% 97%  
246 0.4% 97%  
247 0.2% 97%  
248 0.3% 96%  
249 0.8% 96%  
250 4% 95%  
251 6% 91%  
252 0.6% 86%  
253 0.2% 85%  
254 0.3% 85%  
255 3% 85%  
256 1.1% 82%  
257 1.0% 81%  
258 2% 80%  
259 0.5% 78%  
260 1.2% 77%  
261 7% 76%  
262 0.3% 69%  
263 0.5% 68%  
264 1.1% 68%  
265 1.0% 67%  
266 5% 66%  
267 0.6% 61%  
268 2% 60%  
269 0.5% 58%  
270 0.2% 57%  
271 2% 57%  
272 2% 56%  
273 1.2% 53%  
274 0.3% 52%  
275 0.7% 52%  
276 0.4% 51%  
277 2% 51% Median
278 0.6% 48%  
279 4% 48%  
280 2% 44%  
281 2% 42%  
282 0.2% 40%  
283 3% 39%  
284 0.9% 37%  
285 0.3% 36%  
286 1.0% 35%  
287 0.1% 34%  
288 0.3% 34%  
289 2% 34%  
290 1.0% 32%  
291 1.0% 31%  
292 3% 30%  
293 0.4% 28%  
294 0.5% 27%  
295 3% 27%  
296 1.3% 23%  
297 0.2% 22%  
298 0.4% 22%  
299 3% 21%  
300 2% 19%  
301 5% 17%  
302 0.2% 12%  
303 1.4% 11%  
304 0.2% 10%  
305 0.6% 10%  
306 0.1% 9%  
307 0.7% 9%  
308 0.5% 8%  
309 1.3% 8%  
310 0.1% 7%  
311 1.1% 6%  
312 0.1% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 2% 5%  
315 0.4% 3%  
316 0.1% 3%  
317 0.5% 3% Last Result
318 1.3% 2%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.6%  
322 0.1% 0.5%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0.1% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0.5% 99.5%  
236 0.2% 99.1%  
237 0.4% 98.9%  
238 0.1% 98.5%  
239 0.4% 98%  
240 1.2% 98%  
241 2% 97%  
242 2% 95%  
243 0.1% 93%  
244 0.6% 93%  
245 0.7% 92%  
246 0.4% 92%  
247 5% 91%  
248 0.3% 86%  
249 0.4% 86%  
250 0.9% 86%  
251 0.4% 85%  
252 2% 84%  
253 4% 83%  
254 2% 79%  
255 0.9% 78%  
256 1.5% 77%  
257 0.4% 75%  
258 7% 75%  
259 1.2% 68%  
260 0.2% 67%  
261 4% 67%  
262 3% 63% Last Result
263 1.0% 60%  
264 0.2% 59%  
265 0% 59%  
266 0.5% 59%  
267 3% 59%  
268 2% 55%  
269 0.5% 53%  
270 0.1% 53%  
271 0.1% 53%  
272 1.3% 53%  
273 0.6% 51%  
274 0.1% 51%  
275 0.2% 51%  
276 0.1% 50%  
277 2% 50% Median
278 2% 49%  
279 2% 47%  
280 0.2% 45%  
281 1.0% 45%  
282 4% 44%  
283 0.4% 40%  
284 3% 39%  
285 0.8% 36%  
286 1.0% 35%  
287 0.4% 34%  
288 0.5% 34%  
289 3% 33%  
290 1.3% 31%  
291 3% 29%  
292 5% 27%  
293 3% 22%  
294 1.3% 19%  
295 1.3% 17%  
296 0.4% 16%  
297 0.3% 16%  
298 0.3% 16%  
299 4% 15%  
300 5% 11%  
301 0.5% 6%  
302 0.7% 6%  
303 0.1% 5%  
304 0.2% 5%  
305 1.3% 5%  
306 0.6% 4%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0.1% 3%  
309 0.2% 3%  
310 0.3% 3%  
311 0.8% 2%  
312 0.1% 1.5%  
313 0% 1.3%  
314 0.1% 1.3%  
315 0.1% 1.2%  
316 0% 1.2%  
317 0.3% 1.2%  
318 0.1% 0.9%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.5%  
322 0.3% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.1% 99.9%  
27 3% 99.8%  
28 5% 97%  
29 9% 91%  
30 11% 83%  
31 4% 72%  
32 11% 68%  
33 6% 57%  
34 8% 52% Median
35 11% 44%  
36 13% 33%  
37 3% 20%  
38 2% 18%  
39 10% 16%  
40 1.2% 6%  
41 3% 5%  
42 1.1% 2%  
43 0.6% 1.1%  
44 0.2% 0.5%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.2%  
47 0.1% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

UK Independence Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the UK Independence Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 98.5% 100% Median
2 1.5% 1.5%  
3 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 1.5% 100% Last Result
2 83% 98.5% Median
3 12% 15%  
4 4% 4%  
5 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 0.1% 100%  
2 0% 99.9%  
3 0.1% 99.8%  
4 0.5% 99.8%  
5 0.3% 99.3%  
6 0.4% 99.0%  
7 0.6% 98.5%  
8 0.1% 98%  
9 0.3% 98%  
10 0.2% 98%  
11 0% 97%  
12 1.0% 97%  
13 0.3% 96%  
14 0% 96%  
15 0.1% 96%  
16 0.1% 96%  
17 0% 96%  
18 0.4% 96%  
19 1.2% 95%  
20 3% 94%  
21 0.3% 92%  
22 0.1% 91%  
23 0.6% 91%  
24 0.7% 90%  
25 1.4% 90%  
26 0.7% 88%  
27 2% 88%  
28 9% 86%  
29 0.4% 77%  
30 0.1% 77%  
31 1.4% 77%  
32 0.3% 75%  
33 0.7% 75%  
34 0.7% 74%  
35 3% 74% Last Result
36 3% 71%  
37 1.2% 68%  
38 3% 67%  
39 2% 64%  
40 9% 62%  
41 2% 53%  
42 4% 51% Median
43 0.6% 47%  
44 3% 46%  
45 2% 43%  
46 5% 41%  
47 8% 37%  
48 7% 28%  
49 0.4% 21%  
50 14% 21%  
51 5% 7%  
52 0.3% 1.5%  
53 1.1% 1.2%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0.1% 100%  
3 6% 99.9%  
4 20% 94% Last Result
5 61% 74% Median
6 2% 13%  
7 2% 11%  
8 7% 9%  
9 1.0% 2%  
10 0.4% 0.6%  
11 0.1% 0.2%  
12 0.1% 0.1%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 352 90% 325–378 315–379 311–385 307–393
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 347 78% 318–373 311–374 306–380 301–388
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 321 44% 293–352 291–356 283–359 273–366
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 316 40% 289–345 286–349 278–354 267–359
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 313 33% 283–339 280–343 275–351 271–361
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 309 30% 285–335 284–342 281–348 276–352
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 320 42% 293–344 286–345 280–347 277–353
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 308 27% 277–335 273–338 270–346 264–356
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 315 37% 286–339 279–340 275–344 271–348
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 282 0.7% 256–311 255–318 249–322 240–327
Conservative Party 317 277 0.3% 251–303 250–313 244–317 235–322
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 282 0.6% 252–305 247–308 246–315 240–327
Labour Party 262 277 0.1% 247–300 241–304 240–310 235–320

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
298 0% 100%  
299 0% 99.9%  
300 0% 99.9%  
301 0% 99.9%  
302 0.1% 99.9%  
303 0.1% 99.8%  
304 0% 99.7%  
305 0.1% 99.7%  
306 0% 99.6%  
307 0.1% 99.6%  
308 0% 99.4%  
309 0% 99.4%  
310 0.2% 99.4%  
311 2% 99.1%  
312 0.1% 97%  
313 0% 97% Last Result
314 0.7% 97%  
315 2% 97%  
316 0.1% 95%  
317 0.2% 95%  
318 1.0% 94%  
319 0.4% 93%  
320 1.2% 93%  
321 0.1% 92%  
322 0.7% 92%  
323 0.2% 91%  
324 0.5% 91%  
325 0.3% 90%  
326 2% 90% Majority
327 0.3% 88%  
328 5% 88%  
329 2% 83%  
330 3% 81%  
331 0.1% 78%  
332 0.3% 78%  
333 1.3% 78%  
334 4% 77%  
335 0.1% 73%  
336 0.6% 73%  
337 3% 72%  
338 1.1% 70%  
339 1.1% 69%  
340 2% 67%  
341 0.1% 66%  
342 0.2% 66%  
343 1.2% 66%  
344 0.2% 64%  
345 0.9% 64%  
346 3% 63%  
347 0.2% 61%  
348 2% 60%  
349 2% 58%  
350 4% 56%  
351 0.7% 52%  
352 2% 51%  
353 0.5% 49%  
354 0.7% 48%  
355 0.1% 48%  
356 1.2% 48%  
357 2% 46%  
358 2% 44% Median
359 0.2% 43%  
360 0.3% 42%  
361 2% 42%  
362 0.6% 40%  
363 5% 39%  
364 2% 34%  
365 0.6% 32%  
366 0.4% 32%  
367 4% 31%  
368 4% 27%  
369 1.2% 24%  
370 0.8% 22%  
371 2% 22%  
372 1.3% 19%  
373 0.4% 18%  
374 3% 18%  
375 0.1% 15%  
376 0.2% 15%  
377 0.6% 15%  
378 6% 14%  
379 3% 8%  
380 0.8% 5%  
381 0.3% 4%  
382 0.3% 4%  
383 0.3% 3%  
384 0.4% 3%  
385 0.4% 3%  
386 0.8% 2%  
387 0.2% 1.4%  
388 0.2% 1.2%  
389 0.1% 1.0%  
390 0.1% 0.8%  
391 0.1% 0.8%  
392 0% 0.6%  
393 0.3% 0.6%  
394 0.2% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.2%  
396 0.1% 0.1%  
397 0% 0.1%  
398 0% 0.1%  
399 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
293 0% 100%  
294 0% 99.9%  
295 0.1% 99.9%  
296 0% 99.8%  
297 0.1% 99.8%  
298 0% 99.8%  
299 0% 99.7%  
300 0.2% 99.7%  
301 0% 99.5%  
302 0.1% 99.5%  
303 0.2% 99.4%  
304 1.2% 99.2%  
305 0.1% 98%  
306 0.6% 98%  
307 0.3% 97%  
308 0% 97%  
309 0.3% 97% Last Result
310 0.9% 97%  
311 2% 96%  
312 0.1% 94%  
313 1.1% 94%  
314 0.1% 93%  
315 1.3% 93%  
316 0.1% 92%  
317 0.8% 91%  
318 1.4% 91%  
319 0.1% 89%  
320 0.5% 89%  
321 0.3% 89%  
322 0.8% 88%  
323 5% 88%  
324 2% 82%  
325 2% 80%  
326 0.2% 78% Majority
327 0.3% 78%  
328 0.3% 78%  
329 3% 78%  
330 2% 75%  
331 0.4% 72%  
332 0.5% 72%  
333 4% 71%  
334 0.3% 68%  
335 1.4% 67%  
336 0.5% 66%  
337 0.2% 65%  
338 1.2% 65%  
339 0.3% 64%  
340 0.2% 64%  
341 3% 64%  
342 0.9% 61%  
343 0.1% 60%  
344 4% 60%  
345 3% 56%  
346 2% 52%  
347 1.5% 51%  
348 0.8% 49%  
349 0.5% 48%  
350 0.2% 48%  
351 1.3% 48%  
352 2% 46%  
353 0.3% 44% Median
354 1.4% 44%  
355 1.3% 42%  
356 2% 41%  
357 1.3% 39%  
358 5% 38%  
359 0.6% 33%  
360 0.6% 32%  
361 0.5% 32%  
362 0.3% 31%  
363 5% 31%  
364 3% 26%  
365 2% 23%  
366 2% 21%  
367 1.3% 19%  
368 0.7% 18%  
369 2% 17%  
370 0.1% 15%  
371 0.4% 15%  
372 0.2% 15%  
373 6% 14%  
374 3% 8%  
375 1.1% 5%  
376 0.3% 4%  
377 0.3% 3%  
378 0.4% 3%  
379 0.1% 3%  
380 0.4% 3%  
381 0.2% 2%  
382 0.9% 2%  
383 0.1% 1.1%  
384 0.1% 1.0%  
385 0.2% 0.9%  
386 0.1% 0.8%  
387 0.1% 0.7%  
388 0.2% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.4%  
390 0.2% 0.4%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
262 0% 100%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0.1% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.9%  
266 0% 99.9%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0.2% 99.8%  
270 0% 99.7%  
271 0.1% 99.6%  
272 0% 99.5%  
273 0.2% 99.5%  
274 0% 99.3%  
275 0.2% 99.2%  
276 0.6% 99.1%  
277 0% 98%  
278 0% 98%  
279 0.3% 98%  
280 0% 98%  
281 0% 98%  
282 0.2% 98%  
283 0.8% 98%  
284 0.1% 97%  
285 0.1% 97%  
286 0.3% 97%  
287 0.1% 97%  
288 0.5% 96%  
289 0.7% 96%  
290 0.1% 95%  
291 1.1% 95%  
292 0.4% 94%  
293 4% 94%  
294 0.5% 90%  
295 0.1% 89%  
296 0.2% 89%  
297 4% 89%  
298 0.4% 85%  
299 5% 85%  
300 0.2% 79%  
301 0.9% 79%  
302 0.5% 78%  
303 6% 78%  
304 1.2% 72%  
305 0.3% 71%  
306 0.9% 70%  
307 2% 70%  
308 0.7% 67%  
309 1.2% 67%  
310 2% 66%  
311 0.6% 63%  
312 3% 63%  
313 2% 59%  
314 0.6% 57%  
315 3% 56%  
316 0.3% 54%  
317 0.3% 53%  
318 1.4% 53%  
319 0.1% 52%  
320 1.1% 52%  
321 1.4% 51%  
322 3% 49%  
323 0.6% 46%  
324 1.2% 46% Median
325 0.5% 45%  
326 0.1% 44% Majority
327 0.5% 44%  
328 1.1% 44%  
329 2% 43%  
330 0.1% 41%  
331 0.6% 41%  
332 8% 40%  
333 0.3% 31%  
334 0.1% 31%  
335 0.5% 31%  
336 1.2% 31%  
337 2% 29%  
338 2% 27%  
339 0.1% 26%  
340 1.4% 26%  
341 2% 24%  
342 1.0% 23%  
343 1.2% 22%  
344 1.3% 21%  
345 0.5% 19%  
346 4% 19%  
347 1.0% 15%  
348 0.4% 14%  
349 0.5% 14%  
350 3% 13%  
351 0.2% 10%  
352 0.4% 10%  
353 2% 10%  
354 0.6% 7%  
355 0.2% 7%  
356 4% 7% Last Result
357 0% 3%  
358 0.2% 3%  
359 0.8% 3%  
360 0.1% 2%  
361 0.8% 2%  
362 0.6% 1.3%  
363 0% 0.7%  
364 0.1% 0.7%  
365 0% 0.6%  
366 0.3% 0.5%  
367 0% 0.3%  
368 0% 0.2%  
369 0% 0.2%  
370 0% 0.2%  
371 0% 0.2%  
372 0% 0.2%  
373 0% 0.1%  
374 0% 0.1%  
375 0% 0.1%  
376 0% 0.1%  
377 0% 0.1%  
378 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0.1% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.8%  
264 0.2% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.7%  
266 0.1% 99.6%  
267 0.1% 99.6%  
268 0.3% 99.4%  
269 0% 99.1%  
270 0% 99.0%  
271 0.2% 99.0%  
272 0.4% 98.8%  
273 0% 98%  
274 0% 98%  
275 0.3% 98%  
276 0% 98%  
277 0.1% 98%  
278 0.7% 98%  
279 0.1% 97%  
280 0.1% 97%  
281 0.3% 97%  
282 0.1% 97%  
283 0.6% 96%  
284 0.6% 96%  
285 0.1% 95%  
286 0.8% 95%  
287 0.7% 94%  
288 0.1% 94%  
289 5% 94%  
290 0.2% 89%  
291 0.6% 89%  
292 3% 88%  
293 0.9% 85%  
294 5% 84%  
295 0.4% 80%  
296 0.2% 79%  
297 1.2% 79%  
298 5% 78%  
299 1.3% 72%  
300 0.7% 71%  
301 0.8% 70%  
302 2% 70%  
303 0.9% 68%  
304 1.4% 67%  
305 3% 65%  
306 0.6% 63%  
307 2% 62%  
308 4% 60%  
309 0.3% 57%  
310 0.1% 56%  
311 3% 56%  
312 0.3% 53%  
313 0.9% 53%  
314 0.1% 52%  
315 1.2% 52%  
316 2% 50%  
317 3% 48%  
318 0.5% 45%  
319 0.6% 45% Median
320 0% 44%  
321 0.1% 44%  
322 0.7% 44%  
323 1.3% 43%  
324 2% 42%  
325 0.6% 41%  
326 0.3% 40% Majority
327 6% 40%  
328 3% 34%  
329 0.4% 31%  
330 0.1% 30%  
331 1.3% 30%  
332 0.6% 29%  
333 1.3% 28%  
334 2% 27%  
335 0.1% 25%  
336 1.4% 25%  
337 2% 24%  
338 1.2% 21%  
339 1.3% 20%  
340 0.3% 19%  
341 4% 18%  
342 0.7% 15%  
343 0.4% 14%  
344 0.1% 14%  
345 4% 13%  
346 0.4% 10%  
347 0.3% 9%  
348 3% 9%  
349 2% 6%  
350 0.1% 5%  
351 1.3% 4%  
352 0.3% 3% Last Result
353 0.2% 3%  
354 0.5% 3%  
355 0% 2%  
356 0.8% 2%  
357 0.6% 1.3%  
358 0.2% 0.8%  
359 0.2% 0.5%  
360 0.1% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.3%  
362 0% 0.2%  
363 0% 0.2%  
364 0% 0.2%  
365 0% 0.2%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
257 0% 100%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.9%  
260 0% 99.9%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.8%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0.2% 99.7%  
271 0.7% 99.5%  
272 0.2% 98.8%  
273 0.8% 98.7%  
274 0% 98%  
275 0.8% 98%  
276 0.2% 97%  
277 0% 97%  
278 1.4% 97% Last Result
279 0.2% 95%  
280 2% 95%  
281 3% 94%  
282 0.7% 91%  
283 0.4% 90%  
284 3% 90%  
285 0.1% 86%  
286 0.4% 86%  
287 0.8% 86%  
288 3% 85%  
289 0.3% 82%  
290 1.3% 81%  
291 2% 80%  
292 2% 78%  
293 1.4% 76%  
294 0.2% 75%  
295 2% 75%  
296 0.9% 73%  
297 0.6% 72%  
298 1.4% 71%  
299 0.1% 70%  
300 0.7% 70%  
301 3% 69%  
302 6% 66%  
303 0.2% 60%  
304 0.8% 60%  
305 1.4% 59%  
306 1.3% 58%  
307 0.6% 56%  
308 0.1% 56%  
309 0.1% 56%  
310 0.8% 56%  
311 0.5% 55%  
312 3% 54%  
313 2% 51%  
314 1.2% 50%  
315 0.2% 48%  
316 0.9% 48% Median
317 0.2% 47%  
318 3% 47%  
319 0.1% 44%  
320 0.3% 44%  
321 4% 43%  
322 2% 40%  
323 0.8% 38%  
324 3% 37%  
325 1.4% 34%  
326 2% 33% Majority
327 1.0% 31%  
328 1.3% 30%  
329 0.2% 29%  
330 1.2% 29%  
331 5% 28%  
332 1.3% 22%  
333 0.4% 21%  
334 0.1% 20%  
335 5% 20%  
336 1.1% 15%  
337 3% 14%  
338 0.4% 11%  
339 4% 11%  
340 0.3% 7%  
341 0.6% 6%  
342 0.4% 6%  
343 0.8% 5%  
344 0% 5%  
345 0.5% 5%  
346 0.6% 4%  
347 0.1% 3%  
348 0.3% 3%  
349 0.1% 3%  
350 0.2% 3%  
351 0.7% 3%  
352 0.1% 2%  
353 0% 2%  
354 0.2% 2%  
355 0% 2%  
356 0.1% 2%  
357 0.5% 2%  
358 0.2% 1.1%  
359 0.1% 0.9%  
360 0.2% 0.8%  
361 0.3% 0.7%  
362 0% 0.4%  
363 0% 0.4%  
364 0% 0.4%  
365 0.2% 0.3%  
366 0% 0.2%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0.1%  
369 0.1% 0.1%  
370 0% 0.1%  
371 0% 0.1%  
372 0% 0.1%  
373 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
268 0% 100%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0.1% 99.9%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0.2% 99.7%  
275 0% 99.5%  
276 0.3% 99.5%  
277 0.1% 99.2%  
278 0.5% 99.1%  
279 0.3% 98.6%  
280 0.6% 98%  
281 0.9% 98%  
282 0.4% 97%  
283 1.0% 96%  
284 2% 95%  
285 5% 94%  
286 0.4% 89%  
287 1.3% 88%  
288 0.3% 87%  
289 3% 86%  
290 3% 83%  
291 2% 81%  
292 0.6% 79%  
293 4% 78%  
294 1.5% 74%  
295 0.9% 73%  
296 4% 72%  
297 5% 68%  
298 0.1% 63%  
299 1.1% 63%  
300 2% 62%  
301 0.3% 59%  
302 0.4% 59%  
303 1.1% 59%  
304 0.4% 58%  
305 0.2% 57%  
306 2% 57%  
307 4% 55%  
308 0.4% 51%  
309 0.5% 50%  
310 0.1% 50%  
311 0.9% 50% Median
312 0.3% 49%  
313 0.1% 48%  
314 0.7% 48%  
315 5% 48%  
316 1.1% 43%  
317 0.9% 42%  
318 4% 41%  
319 3% 37%  
320 0.1% 34%  
321 1.2% 34%  
322 0.5% 33%  
323 0.1% 33%  
324 1.1% 32%  
325 2% 31%  
326 0.1% 30% Majority
327 3% 30%  
328 0.9% 27%  
329 2% 26% Last Result
330 2% 24%  
331 8% 22%  
332 2% 14%  
333 0.2% 12%  
334 0.4% 12%  
335 2% 12%  
336 0.6% 10%  
337 0.1% 9%  
338 0.3% 9%  
339 0.5% 9%  
340 0.8% 8%  
341 1.4% 8%  
342 1.3% 6%  
343 0.3% 5%  
344 0.2% 5%  
345 0.5% 4%  
346 0.1% 4%  
347 1.3% 4%  
348 0.5% 3%  
349 0% 2%  
350 0% 2%  
351 1.4% 2%  
352 0.1% 0.6%  
353 0.1% 0.5%  
354 0.1% 0.4%  
355 0% 0.3%  
356 0.1% 0.3%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0% 0.2%  
359 0% 0.2%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0.1%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
266 0% 100%  
267 0% 99.9%  
268 0% 99.9%  
269 0% 99.9%  
270 0% 99.9%  
271 0% 99.8%  
272 0% 99.8%  
273 0.1% 99.8%  
274 0% 99.7%  
275 0% 99.6%  
276 0.1% 99.6%  
277 0.1% 99.5%  
278 1.4% 99.4%  
279 0% 98%  
280 0.5% 98%  
281 0.1% 97%  
282 1.2% 97%  
283 0.2% 96%  
284 0.4% 96%  
285 0.3% 95%  
286 0.4% 95%  
287 1.5% 95%  
288 1.4% 93%  
289 0.5% 92%  
290 0.5% 91%  
291 0.2% 91%  
292 0.1% 91%  
293 0.6% 91%  
294 2% 90%  
295 0.4% 88%  
296 0.2% 88%  
297 2% 87%  
298 7% 85%  
299 2% 78%  
300 2% 76%  
301 0.6% 74% Last Result
302 3% 73%  
303 0% 70%  
304 2% 70%  
305 0.9% 68%  
306 0.2% 67%  
307 0.5% 67%  
308 1.2% 67%  
309 0.1% 66%  
310 3% 65%  
311 4% 63%  
312 0.9% 59%  
313 1.2% 58%  
314 5% 57%  
315 0.3% 52%  
316 0.1% 52%  
317 0.3% 52%  
318 0.9% 51%  
319 0.2% 50%  
320 0.5% 50%  
321 0.3% 50%  
322 4% 49%  
323 3% 45%  
324 0.2% 43% Median
325 0.4% 43%  
326 1.1% 42% Majority
327 0.4% 41%  
328 0.4% 41%  
329 2% 40%  
330 0.9% 38%  
331 4% 37%  
332 1.1% 33%  
333 5% 32%  
334 0.6% 28%  
335 2% 27%  
336 4% 25%  
337 1.2% 21%  
338 0.8% 20%  
339 2% 19%  
340 3% 16%  
341 0.4% 13%  
342 1.3% 13%  
343 0.3% 12%  
344 6% 11%  
345 1.2% 6%  
346 1.3% 4%  
347 0.8% 3%  
348 0.4% 2%  
349 0.5% 2%  
350 0.3% 2%  
351 0.3% 1.2%  
352 0.4% 0.9%  
353 0% 0.5%  
354 0.3% 0.5%  
355 0% 0.2%  
356 0% 0.2%  
357 0% 0.2%  
358 0.1% 0.1%  
359 0% 0.1%  
360 0% 0.1%  
361 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
252 0% 100%  
253 0% 99.9%  
254 0% 99.9%  
255 0% 99.9%  
256 0% 99.9%  
257 0% 99.9%  
258 0% 99.9%  
259 0% 99.8%  
260 0% 99.8%  
261 0% 99.8%  
262 0.1% 99.8%  
263 0.1% 99.7%  
264 0.2% 99.6%  
265 0.2% 99.5%  
266 0.4% 99.3%  
267 0.2% 98.8%  
268 1.1% 98.7%  
269 0.1% 98%  
270 0.6% 98%  
271 0.1% 97%  
272 0.1% 97%  
273 4% 97%  
274 0.4% 93% Last Result
275 0.6% 93%  
276 2% 92%  
277 0.4% 90%  
278 0.2% 90%  
279 3% 90%  
280 0.5% 87%  
281 0.2% 86%  
282 1.1% 86%  
283 4% 85%  
284 0.1% 81%  
285 1.4% 81%  
286 1.3% 79%  
287 0.9% 78%  
288 2% 77%  
289 1.4% 76%  
290 0.3% 74%  
291 2% 74%  
292 2% 72%  
293 1.3% 70%  
294 0.1% 69%  
295 0.2% 69%  
296 0.4% 69%  
297 9% 68%  
298 0.2% 60%  
299 0.1% 59%  
300 2% 59%  
301 1.1% 57%  
302 0.5% 56%  
303 0.5% 56%  
304 0.1% 55%  
305 1.5% 55%  
306 0.2% 54%  
307 3% 53%  
308 1.5% 51%  
309 1.0% 49%  
310 0% 48%  
311 1.4% 48% Median
312 0.3% 47%  
313 0.3% 47%  
314 3% 46%  
315 0.3% 43%  
316 2% 43%  
317 4% 41%  
318 0.7% 37%  
319 2% 37%  
320 1.1% 34%  
321 2% 33%  
322 1.4% 31%  
323 0.6% 30%  
324 0.2% 30%  
325 2% 29%  
326 5% 27% Majority
327 0.5% 22%  
328 0.8% 21%  
329 0.6% 21%  
330 5% 20%  
331 0.3% 15%  
332 4% 15%  
333 0.4% 11%  
334 0.1% 11%  
335 4% 11%  
336 0.1% 6%  
337 0.9% 6%  
338 0.4% 5%  
339 0% 5%  
340 0.7% 5%  
341 0.6% 4%  
342 0% 3%  
343 0.3% 3%  
344 0.2% 3%  
345 0% 3%  
346 0.8% 3%  
347 0.1% 2%  
348 0.1% 2%  
349 0% 2%  
350 0.2% 2%  
351 0.1% 2%  
352 0.2% 1.5%  
353 0.6% 1.3%  
354 0% 0.7%  
355 0% 0.7%  
356 0.4% 0.7%  
357 0% 0.4%  
358 0% 0.4%  
359 0% 0.4%  
360 0.2% 0.3%  
361 0% 0.2%  
362 0% 0.1%  
363 0% 0.1%  
364 0% 0.1%  
365 0.1% 0.1%  
366 0% 0.1%  
367 0% 0.1%  
368 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
260 0% 100%  
261 0% 99.9%  
262 0% 99.9%  
263 0% 99.9%  
264 0% 99.9%  
265 0% 99.8%  
266 0% 99.8%  
267 0% 99.8%  
268 0.1% 99.8%  
269 0% 99.7%  
270 0% 99.6%  
271 1.2% 99.6%  
272 0.2% 98%  
273 0.2% 98%  
274 0.1% 98%  
275 0.5% 98%  
276 0.3% 97%  
277 0.1% 97%  
278 1.4% 97%  
279 0.6% 95%  
280 0.1% 95%  
281 0.4% 95%  
282 1.2% 94%  
283 2% 93%  
284 0% 92%  
285 0.7% 92%  
286 1.4% 91%  
287 0.5% 89%  
288 0.8% 89%  
289 0.8% 88%  
290 0% 87%  
291 0.6% 87%  
292 2% 87%  
293 4% 85%  
294 4% 81%  
295 3% 77%  
296 0.8% 74%  
297 3% 73% Last Result
298 0.4% 70%  
299 2% 69%  
300 0.5% 68%  
301 0.8% 67%  
302 0.2% 67%  
303 1.0% 66%  
304 0.2% 65%  
305 1.0% 65%  
306 5% 64%  
307 1.0% 59%  
308 0.4% 58%  
309 5% 57%  
310 0.4% 52%  
311 0.3% 52%  
312 0.1% 51%  
313 0.3% 51%  
314 0.8% 51%  
315 0.5% 50%  
316 0.2% 50%  
317 3% 50%  
318 4% 47%  
319 0.6% 42% Median
320 0.7% 42%  
321 0.2% 41%  
322 0.3% 41%  
323 0.3% 41%  
324 2% 40%  
325 0.9% 38%  
326 0.1% 37% Majority
327 4% 37%  
328 6% 33%  
329 1.0% 27%  
330 0.9% 26%  
331 1.5% 25%  
332 4% 24%  
333 1.2% 20%  
334 2% 19%  
335 3% 16%  
336 0.5% 13%  
337 2% 13%  
338 0.3% 11%  
339 5% 11%  
340 1.5% 6%  
341 1.2% 4%  
342 0.3% 3%  
343 0.3% 3%  
344 1.1% 3%  
345 0.3% 1.5%  
346 0.4% 1.2%  
347 0.3% 0.8%  
348 0.1% 0.5%  
349 0.1% 0.4%  
350 0.1% 0.3%  
351 0% 0.2%  
352 0% 0.2%  
353 0.1% 0.1%  
354 0% 0.1%  
355 0% 0.1%  
356 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0.3% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.6%  
240 0.2% 99.6%  
241 0% 99.4%  
242 0.1% 99.4%  
243 0.2% 99.3%  
244 0.1% 99.1%  
245 0.1% 99.0%  
246 0.7% 98.9%  
247 0.2% 98%  
248 0.1% 98%  
249 0.6% 98%  
250 0% 97%  
251 0.5% 97%  
252 0.3% 97%  
253 0.8% 96%  
254 0.5% 96%  
255 3% 95%  
256 6% 92%  
257 0.4% 86%  
258 0.2% 85%  
259 0.1% 85%  
260 3% 85%  
261 1.3% 82%  
262 0.6% 81%  
263 2% 80%  
264 1.3% 78%  
265 7% 77%  
266 0.9% 70%  
267 0.4% 69%  
268 0.3% 69%  
269 0.9% 68%  
270 0.6% 67%  
271 5% 67%  
272 1.3% 62%  
273 2% 61%  
274 1.0% 58%  
275 1.4% 57%  
276 0.3% 56%  
277 2% 56%  
278 1.1% 53%  
279 0.1% 52%  
280 0.7% 52%  
281 0.5% 51%  
282 1.5% 51% Median
283 2% 49%  
284 3% 48%  
285 4% 44%  
286 0.1% 40%  
287 0.9% 40%  
288 3% 39%  
289 0.4% 36%  
290 0.1% 36%  
291 1.3% 36%  
292 0.2% 35%  
293 0.3% 34%  
294 1.4% 34%  
295 0.4% 33%  
296 4% 32%  
297 0.6% 28%  
298 0.2% 28%  
299 2% 28%  
300 3% 25%  
301 0.2% 22%  
302 0.4% 22%  
303 0.1% 22%  
304 2% 22%  
305 2% 20%  
306 6% 18%  
307 0.7% 12%  
308 0.1% 11%  
309 0.8% 11%  
310 0.3% 11%  
311 1.1% 10%  
312 0.7% 9%  
313 0.1% 8%  
314 1.3% 8%  
315 0.1% 7%  
316 1.5% 7%  
317 0.1% 5%  
318 1.2% 5%  
319 0.8% 4%  
320 0.5% 3%  
321 0.1% 3% Last Result
322 0.5% 3%  
323 0.1% 2%  
324 0.1% 2%  
325 1.2% 2%  
326 0.1% 0.7% Majority
327 0.2% 0.7%  
328 0% 0.4%  
329 0% 0.4%  
330 0.1% 0.4%  
331 0% 0.3%  
332 0.1% 0.3%  
333 0% 0.2%  
334 0% 0.1%  
335 0% 0.1%  
336 0% 0.1%  
337 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0.2% 99.8%  
235 0.2% 99.6%  
236 0% 99.4%  
237 0.1% 99.4%  
238 0.1% 99.3%  
239 0.1% 99.2%  
240 0.2% 99.1%  
241 0.2% 98.9%  
242 0.8% 98.7%  
243 0.1% 98%  
244 0.6% 98%  
245 0.2% 97%  
246 0.4% 97%  
247 0.2% 97%  
248 0.3% 96%  
249 0.8% 96%  
250 4% 95%  
251 6% 91%  
252 0.6% 86%  
253 0.2% 85%  
254 0.3% 85%  
255 3% 85%  
256 1.1% 82%  
257 1.0% 81%  
258 2% 80%  
259 0.5% 78%  
260 1.2% 77%  
261 7% 76%  
262 0.3% 69%  
263 0.5% 68%  
264 1.1% 68%  
265 1.0% 67%  
266 5% 66%  
267 0.6% 61%  
268 2% 60%  
269 0.5% 58%  
270 0.2% 57%  
271 2% 57%  
272 2% 56%  
273 1.2% 53%  
274 0.3% 52%  
275 0.7% 52%  
276 0.4% 51%  
277 2% 51% Median
278 0.6% 48%  
279 4% 48%  
280 2% 44%  
281 2% 42%  
282 0.2% 40%  
283 3% 39%  
284 0.9% 37%  
285 0.3% 36%  
286 1.0% 35%  
287 0.1% 34%  
288 0.3% 34%  
289 2% 34%  
290 1.0% 32%  
291 1.0% 31%  
292 3% 30%  
293 0.4% 28%  
294 0.5% 27%  
295 3% 27%  
296 1.3% 23%  
297 0.2% 22%  
298 0.4% 22%  
299 3% 21%  
300 2% 19%  
301 5% 17%  
302 0.2% 12%  
303 1.4% 11%  
304 0.2% 10%  
305 0.6% 10%  
306 0.1% 9%  
307 0.7% 9%  
308 0.5% 8%  
309 1.3% 8%  
310 0.1% 7%  
311 1.1% 6%  
312 0.1% 5%  
313 0.3% 5%  
314 2% 5%  
315 0.4% 3%  
316 0.1% 3%  
317 0.5% 3% Last Result
318 1.3% 2%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.6%  
322 0.1% 0.5%  
323 0% 0.4%  
324 0% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.4%  
326 0% 0.3% Majority
327 0.1% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
226 0% 100%  
227 0% 99.9%  
228 0% 99.9%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.8%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0% 99.8%  
238 0% 99.8%  
239 0.1% 99.7%  
240 0.6% 99.7%  
241 0.2% 99.1%  
242 0.1% 98.9%  
243 0.1% 98.7%  
244 0.3% 98.6%  
245 0.1% 98%  
246 2% 98%  
247 2% 97%  
248 0.1% 94%  
249 2% 94%  
250 0.8% 93%  
251 0.7% 92%  
252 5% 91%  
253 0.1% 86%  
254 0.2% 86%  
255 0.7% 86%  
256 0.3% 85%  
257 3% 85%  
258 4% 82%  
259 0.6% 78%  
260 0.9% 78%  
261 1.4% 77%  
262 5% 75%  
263 3% 71%  
264 0.2% 68%  
265 0.1% 67%  
266 4% 67% Last Result
267 3% 64%  
268 0.5% 61%  
269 0.5% 60%  
270 0.3% 60%  
271 0.7% 59%  
272 3% 59%  
273 0.4% 56%  
274 1.3% 55%  
275 0.4% 54%  
276 2% 54%  
277 0.6% 52%  
278 0.2% 51%  
279 0.2% 51%  
280 0.2% 51%  
281 0.1% 50%  
282 2% 50% Median
283 3% 48%  
284 0.1% 45%  
285 0.2% 45%  
286 4% 45%  
287 0.8% 41%  
288 0.4% 40%  
289 4% 40%  
290 0.6% 36%  
291 0.9% 36%  
292 0.1% 35%  
293 1.0% 35%  
294 3% 34%  
295 2% 30%  
296 1.2% 28%  
297 6% 27%  
298 3% 21%  
299 1.0% 18%  
300 0.8% 17%  
301 0.5% 16%  
302 0.1% 16%  
303 4% 16%  
304 0.4% 11%  
305 4% 11%  
306 0.9% 7%  
307 0.3% 6%  
308 0.6% 6%  
309 0.3% 5%  
310 1.0% 5%  
311 0.6% 4%  
312 0.1% 3%  
313 0.3% 3%  
314 0.1% 3%  
315 0.7% 3%  
316 0.3% 2%  
317 0.2% 2%  
318 0% 1.4%  
319 0.1% 1.3%  
320 0.1% 1.2%  
321 0.2% 1.1%  
322 0% 0.9%  
323 0.1% 0.9%  
324 0% 0.8%  
325 0.2% 0.8%  
326 0% 0.6% Majority
327 0.4% 0.6%  
328 0% 0.2%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0.1%  
333 0% 0.1%  
334 0% 0%  

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0% 99.8%  
228 0% 99.8%  
229 0% 99.8%  
230 0% 99.8%  
231 0% 99.8%  
232 0% 99.7%  
233 0.1% 99.7%  
234 0.1% 99.6%  
235 0.5% 99.5%  
236 0.2% 99.1%  
237 0.4% 98.9%  
238 0.1% 98.5%  
239 0.4% 98%  
240 1.2% 98%  
241 2% 97%  
242 2% 95%  
243 0.1% 93%  
244 0.6% 93%  
245 0.7% 92%  
246 0.4% 92%  
247 5% 91%  
248 0.3% 86%  
249 0.4% 86%  
250 0.9% 86%  
251 0.4% 85%  
252 2% 84%  
253 4% 83%  
254 2% 79%  
255 0.9% 78%  
256 1.5% 77%  
257 0.4% 75%  
258 7% 75%  
259 1.2% 68%  
260 0.2% 67%  
261 4% 67%  
262 3% 63% Last Result
263 1.0% 60%  
264 0.2% 59%  
265 0% 59%  
266 0.5% 59%  
267 3% 59%  
268 2% 55%  
269 0.5% 53%  
270 0.1% 53%  
271 0.1% 53%  
272 1.3% 53%  
273 0.6% 51%  
274 0.1% 51%  
275 0.2% 51%  
276 0.1% 50%  
277 2% 50% Median
278 2% 49%  
279 2% 47%  
280 0.2% 45%  
281 1.0% 45%  
282 4% 44%  
283 0.4% 40%  
284 3% 39%  
285 0.8% 36%  
286 1.0% 35%  
287 0.4% 34%  
288 0.5% 34%  
289 3% 33%  
290 1.3% 31%  
291 3% 29%  
292 5% 27%  
293 3% 22%  
294 1.3% 19%  
295 1.3% 17%  
296 0.4% 16%  
297 0.3% 16%  
298 0.3% 16%  
299 4% 15%  
300 5% 11%  
301 0.5% 6%  
302 0.7% 6%  
303 0.1% 5%  
304 0.2% 5%  
305 1.3% 5%  
306 0.6% 4%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0.1% 3%  
309 0.2% 3%  
310 0.3% 3%  
311 0.8% 2%  
312 0.1% 1.5%  
313 0% 1.3%  
314 0.1% 1.3%  
315 0.1% 1.2%  
316 0% 1.2%  
317 0.3% 1.2%  
318 0.1% 0.9%  
319 0.1% 0.8%  
320 0.2% 0.7%  
321 0% 0.5%  
322 0.3% 0.4%  
323 0% 0.2%  
324 0.1% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations