Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Sunday Times, 14–15 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 44.4% 42.9–46.0% 42.4–46.4% 42.1–46.8% 41.3–47.6%
Labour Party 41.0% 27.7% 26.3–29.1% 25.9–29.5% 25.6–29.9% 24.9–30.6%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 14.8% 13.7–16.0% 13.4–16.3% 13.2–16.6% 12.7–17.2%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
Brexit Party 0.0% 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
Green Party 1.7% 2.9% 2.5–3.5% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 379 362–399 358–403 355–407 347–414
Labour Party 262 170 153–183 149–186 146–188 141–195
Liberal Democrats 12 35 32–40 31–42 30–44 30–46
Scottish National Party 35 47 41–50 39–51 36–52 33–54
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–3 0–3 0–4 0–4

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.8%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.5%  
348 0.1% 99.4%  
349 0.1% 99.3%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 0.1% 99.1%  
352 0.2% 99.0%  
353 0.5% 98.8%  
354 0.7% 98%  
355 0.4% 98%  
356 0.6% 97%  
357 1.1% 97%  
358 0.9% 96%  
359 1.1% 95%  
360 1.1% 94%  
361 1.3% 93%  
362 1.3% 91%  
363 2% 90%  
364 2% 88%  
365 0.9% 86%  
366 2% 85%  
367 5% 83%  
368 2% 78%  
369 3% 75%  
370 1.3% 72%  
371 3% 71%  
372 1.4% 67%  
373 4% 66%  
374 3% 62%  
375 2% 60%  
376 2% 57%  
377 2% 55%  
378 3% 53%  
379 3% 51% Median
380 2% 48%  
381 1.0% 46%  
382 2% 45%  
383 0.8% 43%  
384 1.3% 42%  
385 2% 41%  
386 2% 39%  
387 2% 37%  
388 4% 36%  
389 2% 31%  
390 1.3% 29%  
391 3% 28%  
392 3% 25%  
393 2% 22%  
394 2% 20%  
395 3% 18%  
396 1.4% 15%  
397 2% 13%  
398 1.4% 12%  
399 2% 10%  
400 1.1% 9%  
401 1.3% 7%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 0.8% 5%  
404 0.4% 5%  
405 1.1% 4%  
406 0.4% 3%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.4% 2%  
411 0.3% 1.2%  
412 0.3% 0.9%  
413 0.1% 0.6%  
414 0.2% 0.5%  
415 0.1% 0.4%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.2% 99.6%  
142 0.2% 99.4%  
143 0.3% 99.2%  
144 0.4% 98.9%  
145 0.4% 98.5%  
146 1.0% 98%  
147 0.9% 97%  
148 0.6% 96%  
149 0.9% 96%  
150 0.8% 95%  
151 1.5% 94%  
152 1.3% 92%  
153 2% 91%  
154 3% 89%  
155 5% 86%  
156 6% 81%  
157 1.0% 76%  
158 2% 75%  
159 2% 72%  
160 1.5% 71%  
161 3% 69%  
162 5% 66%  
163 1.3% 61%  
164 2% 60%  
165 0.9% 58%  
166 1.1% 57%  
167 2% 56%  
168 3% 55%  
169 1.3% 52%  
170 2% 50% Median
171 1.1% 48%  
172 2% 47%  
173 3% 45%  
174 5% 42%  
175 4% 36%  
176 0.9% 33%  
177 1.2% 32%  
178 5% 31%  
179 5% 26%  
180 5% 21%  
181 3% 16%  
182 3% 14%  
183 2% 11%  
184 0.7% 9%  
185 2% 8%  
186 3% 7%  
187 1.4% 4%  
188 0.9% 3%  
189 0% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.4%  
192 0.1% 1.0%  
193 0.1% 0.9%  
194 0.1% 0.7%  
195 0.2% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.4%  
197 0% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0.1% 100%  
30 2% 99.9%  
31 7% 97%  
32 9% 91%  
33 15% 82%  
34 14% 67%  
35 3% 53% Median
36 12% 50%  
37 16% 38%  
38 8% 22%  
39 3% 14%  
40 3% 11%  
41 2% 9%  
42 2% 6%  
43 1.0% 4%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.3% 1.3%  
46 0.6% 1.0%  
47 0.1% 0.3%  
48 0.2% 0.3%  
49 0% 0.1%  
50 0.1% 0.1%  
51 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.8% 100%  
34 0.4% 99.2%  
35 0.6% 98.8% Last Result
36 0.8% 98%  
37 0.6% 97%  
38 0.9% 97%  
39 3% 96%  
40 2% 93%  
41 12% 92%  
42 7% 80%  
43 1.2% 73%  
44 0% 71%  
45 9% 71%  
46 0.1% 62%  
47 14% 62% Median
48 18% 49%  
49 0.8% 30%  
50 21% 29%  
51 5% 8%  
52 1.0% 3%  
53 0.6% 2%  
54 1.2% 1.2%  
55 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 66% 100% Median
1 4% 34%  
2 2% 31%  
3 24% 29%  
4 5% 5% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 426 100% 411–444 408–447 405–451 397–456
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 425 100% 410–443 407–446 404–450 396–455
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 415 100% 399–434 395–438 393–441 386–447
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 380 100% 364–400 359–405 356–408 348–414
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 379 100% 362–399 358–403 355–407 347–414
Conservative Party 317 379 100% 362–399 358–403 355–407 347–414
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 314 253 0% 233–270 229–274 225–277 218–285
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 252 0% 232–269 228–273 224–276 217–284
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 251 0% 231–267 226–272 223–275 217–283
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 216 0% 197–232 193–236 190–238 184–245
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 215 0% 197–231 193–235 189–237 183–244
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 206 0% 188–221 185–224 181–227 176–235
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 205 0% 187–220 184–223 180–226 175–234
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 170 0% 154–184 150–187 147–189 142–197
Labour Party 262 170 0% 153–183 149–186 146–188 141–195

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
356 0% 100% Last Result
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.9%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.8%  
395 0.1% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0.1% 99.6%  
398 0.1% 99.4%  
399 0.1% 99.3%  
400 0.1% 99.2%  
401 0.1% 99.1%  
402 0.3% 99.0%  
403 0.5% 98.6%  
404 0.5% 98%  
405 0.6% 98%  
406 0.4% 97%  
407 1.1% 97%  
408 1.1% 95%  
409 2% 94%  
410 2% 93%  
411 2% 91%  
412 2% 89%  
413 2% 87%  
414 2% 85%  
415 5% 83%  
416 4% 78%  
417 2% 74%  
418 3% 72%  
419 3% 69%  
420 3% 66%  
421 3% 64%  
422 3% 61%  
423 3% 58%  
424 3% 55%  
425 1.4% 52%  
426 2% 51% Median
427 2% 48%  
428 1.0% 46%  
429 2% 45%  
430 2% 43%  
431 0.7% 41%  
432 1.2% 41%  
433 3% 39%  
434 1.2% 36%  
435 2% 35%  
436 4% 33%  
437 2% 29%  
438 3% 27%  
439 2% 24%  
440 3% 22%  
441 1.5% 19%  
442 4% 17%  
443 3% 13%  
444 2% 10%  
445 1.0% 8%  
446 2% 7%  
447 0.8% 6%  
448 0.6% 5%  
449 0.6% 4%  
450 0.9% 3%  
451 0.5% 3%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.3% 2%  
454 0.3% 1.3%  
455 0.4% 1.0%  
456 0.1% 0.6%  
457 0.1% 0.5%  
458 0.1% 0.4%  
459 0.1% 0.2%  
460 0.1% 0.2%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0.1%  
464 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100% Last Result
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 100%  
382 0% 100%  
383 0% 100%  
384 0% 100%  
385 0% 100%  
386 0% 100%  
387 0% 99.9%  
388 0% 99.9%  
389 0% 99.9%  
390 0% 99.9%  
391 0% 99.8%  
392 0% 99.8%  
393 0.1% 99.8%  
394 0% 99.7%  
395 0.1% 99.7%  
396 0.1% 99.6%  
397 0.2% 99.5%  
398 0.2% 99.3%  
399 0.1% 99.2%  
400 0.2% 99.1%  
401 0.4% 98.8%  
402 0.3% 98%  
403 0.3% 98%  
404 0.5% 98%  
405 0.8% 97%  
406 0.8% 96%  
407 2% 96%  
408 1.4% 94%  
409 2% 93%  
410 2% 91%  
411 2% 89%  
412 2% 86%  
413 2% 85%  
414 2% 83%  
415 5% 81%  
416 4% 76%  
417 2% 72%  
418 4% 70%  
419 3% 66%  
420 3% 63%  
421 3% 60%  
422 1.4% 57%  
423 3% 56%  
424 2% 52%  
425 1.3% 50%  
426 2% 49% Median
427 2% 47%  
428 1.0% 45%  
429 2% 44%  
430 2% 41%  
431 1.1% 39%  
432 0.9% 38%  
433 3% 37%  
434 1.4% 35%  
435 3% 33%  
436 3% 31%  
437 3% 28%  
438 3% 25%  
439 4% 22%  
440 2% 18%  
441 2% 16%  
442 3% 14%  
443 2% 11%  
444 2% 9%  
445 0.8% 7%  
446 1.4% 6%  
447 0.7% 5%  
448 0.6% 4%  
449 0.6% 3%  
450 0.8% 3%  
451 0.5% 2%  
452 0.4% 2%  
453 0.3% 1.3%  
454 0.3% 1.0%  
455 0.2% 0.6%  
456 0.1% 0.5%  
457 0.1% 0.4%  
458 0.1% 0.2%  
459 0.1% 0.2%  
460 0% 0.1%  
461 0% 0.1%  
462 0% 0.1%  
463 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
329 0% 100% Last Result
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 99.9%  
376 0% 99.9%  
377 0% 99.9%  
378 0% 99.9%  
379 0% 99.9%  
380 0% 99.8%  
381 0% 99.8%  
382 0% 99.8%  
383 0.1% 99.7%  
384 0% 99.6%  
385 0.1% 99.6%  
386 0.1% 99.6%  
387 0.1% 99.4%  
388 0.1% 99.3%  
389 0.2% 99.2%  
390 0.3% 99.0%  
391 0.4% 98.7%  
392 0.5% 98%  
393 0.7% 98%  
394 1.0% 97%  
395 1.1% 96%  
396 1.3% 95%  
397 2% 94%  
398 0.8% 92%  
399 2% 91%  
400 2% 89%  
401 2% 87%  
402 3% 85%  
403 4% 82%  
404 3% 78%  
405 4% 75%  
406 2% 71%  
407 3% 70%  
408 5% 67%  
409 2% 62%  
410 2% 60%  
411 2% 58%  
412 0.9% 56%  
413 2% 55%  
414 2% 53% Median
415 3% 52%  
416 2% 48%  
417 0.9% 46%  
418 2% 45%  
419 2% 43%  
420 1.2% 41%  
421 2% 40%  
422 4% 38%  
423 2% 34%  
424 2% 32%  
425 2% 30%  
426 3% 28%  
427 4% 25%  
428 4% 21%  
429 1.1% 17%  
430 2% 16%  
431 2% 14%  
432 0.9% 12%  
433 0.9% 11%  
434 2% 10%  
435 1.3% 8%  
436 0.6% 7%  
437 0.8% 6%  
438 1.5% 6%  
439 0.4% 4%  
440 0.4% 4%  
441 0.8% 3%  
442 0.4% 2%  
443 0.4% 2%  
444 0.5% 2%  
445 0.3% 1.1%  
446 0.2% 0.8%  
447 0.1% 0.6%  
448 0% 0.5%  
449 0.1% 0.4%  
450 0.1% 0.3%  
451 0% 0.2%  
452 0% 0.2%  
453 0% 0.1%  
454 0% 0.1%  
455 0% 0.1%  
456 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
321 0% 100% Last Result
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.9%  
343 0% 99.9%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.8%  
346 0.1% 99.7%  
347 0.1% 99.6%  
348 0.1% 99.5%  
349 0.1% 99.4%  
350 0.1% 99.4%  
351 0.1% 99.3%  
352 0.2% 99.2%  
353 0.2% 99.1%  
354 0.7% 98.9%  
355 0.5% 98%  
356 0.4% 98%  
357 0.8% 97%  
358 0.5% 96%  
359 1.2% 96%  
360 0.7% 95%  
361 1.2% 94%  
362 1.3% 93%  
363 1.5% 92%  
364 2% 90%  
365 1.4% 88%  
366 2% 86%  
367 5% 84%  
368 2% 80%  
369 2% 77%  
370 2% 75%  
371 2% 73%  
372 3% 71%  
373 3% 69%  
374 3% 66%  
375 2% 63%  
376 3% 60%  
377 2% 57%  
378 3% 55%  
379 2% 52% Median
380 2% 50%  
381 1.2% 48%  
382 3% 47%  
383 0.9% 44%  
384 0.7% 44%  
385 2% 43%  
386 2% 40%  
387 2% 39%  
388 4% 37%  
389 2% 34%  
390 1.5% 31%  
391 3% 30%  
392 3% 27%  
393 1.4% 24%  
394 3% 23%  
395 3% 20%  
396 2% 17%  
397 1.3% 15%  
398 2% 14%  
399 2% 12%  
400 2% 10%  
401 1.4% 8%  
402 0.7% 7%  
403 0.9% 6%  
404 0.4% 5%  
405 1.2% 5%  
406 0.6% 4%  
407 0.6% 3%  
408 0.4% 3%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.3% 2%  
411 0.3% 1.5%  
412 0.3% 1.1%  
413 0.2% 0.9%  
414 0.2% 0.7%  
415 0.1% 0.5%  
416 0.1% 0.4%  
417 0.1% 0.3%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0.1% 0.2%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0.1%  
423 0% 0.1%  
424 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.8%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.5%  
348 0.1% 99.4%  
349 0.1% 99.3%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 0.1% 99.1%  
352 0.2% 99.0%  
353 0.5% 98.8%  
354 0.7% 98%  
355 0.4% 98%  
356 0.6% 97%  
357 1.1% 97%  
358 0.9% 96%  
359 1.1% 95%  
360 1.1% 94%  
361 1.3% 93%  
362 1.3% 91%  
363 2% 90%  
364 2% 88%  
365 0.9% 86%  
366 2% 85%  
367 5% 83%  
368 2% 78%  
369 3% 75%  
370 1.3% 72%  
371 3% 71%  
372 1.4% 67%  
373 4% 66%  
374 3% 62%  
375 2% 60%  
376 2% 57%  
377 2% 55%  
378 3% 53%  
379 3% 51% Median
380 2% 48%  
381 1.0% 46%  
382 2% 45%  
383 0.8% 43%  
384 1.3% 42%  
385 2% 41%  
386 2% 39%  
387 2% 37%  
388 4% 36%  
389 2% 31%  
390 1.3% 29%  
391 3% 28%  
392 3% 25%  
393 2% 22%  
394 2% 20%  
395 3% 18%  
396 1.4% 15%  
397 2% 13%  
398 1.4% 12%  
399 2% 10%  
400 1.1% 9%  
401 1.3% 7%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 0.8% 5%  
404 0.4% 5%  
405 1.1% 4%  
406 0.4% 3%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.4% 2%  
411 0.3% 1.2%  
412 0.3% 0.9%  
413 0.1% 0.6%  
414 0.2% 0.5%  
415 0.1% 0.4%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.9%  
339 0% 99.9%  
340 0% 99.9%  
341 0% 99.9%  
342 0% 99.8%  
343 0% 99.8%  
344 0% 99.8%  
345 0.1% 99.7%  
346 0.1% 99.6%  
347 0.1% 99.5%  
348 0.1% 99.4%  
349 0.1% 99.3%  
350 0.2% 99.3%  
351 0.1% 99.1%  
352 0.2% 99.0%  
353 0.5% 98.8%  
354 0.7% 98%  
355 0.4% 98%  
356 0.6% 97%  
357 1.1% 97%  
358 0.9% 96%  
359 1.1% 95%  
360 1.1% 94%  
361 1.3% 93%  
362 1.3% 91%  
363 2% 90%  
364 2% 88%  
365 0.9% 86%  
366 2% 85%  
367 5% 83%  
368 2% 78%  
369 3% 75%  
370 1.3% 72%  
371 3% 71%  
372 1.4% 67%  
373 4% 66%  
374 3% 62%  
375 2% 60%  
376 2% 57%  
377 2% 55%  
378 3% 53%  
379 3% 51% Median
380 2% 48%  
381 1.0% 46%  
382 2% 45%  
383 0.8% 43%  
384 1.3% 42%  
385 2% 41%  
386 2% 39%  
387 2% 37%  
388 4% 36%  
389 2% 31%  
390 1.3% 29%  
391 3% 28%  
392 3% 25%  
393 2% 22%  
394 2% 20%  
395 3% 18%  
396 1.4% 15%  
397 2% 13%  
398 1.4% 12%  
399 2% 10%  
400 1.1% 9%  
401 1.3% 7%  
402 0.8% 6%  
403 0.8% 5%  
404 0.4% 5%  
405 1.1% 4%  
406 0.4% 3%  
407 0.4% 3%  
408 0.4% 2%  
409 0.4% 2%  
410 0.4% 2%  
411 0.3% 1.2%  
412 0.3% 0.9%  
413 0.1% 0.6%  
414 0.2% 0.5%  
415 0.1% 0.4%  
416 0% 0.3%  
417 0.1% 0.2%  
418 0% 0.2%  
419 0% 0.1%  
420 0% 0.1%  
421 0% 0.1%  
422 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
211 0% 100%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0% 99.9%  
215 0.1% 99.8%  
216 0% 99.8%  
217 0.1% 99.7%  
218 0.2% 99.6%  
219 0.1% 99.5%  
220 0.3% 99.4%  
221 0.3% 99.1%  
222 0.4% 98.8%  
223 0.4% 98%  
224 0.4% 98%  
225 0.4% 98%  
226 0.4% 97%  
227 1.1% 97%  
228 0.4% 96%  
229 0.8% 95%  
230 0.8% 95%  
231 1.3% 94%  
232 1.1% 93%  
233 2% 91%  
234 1.4% 90%  
235 2% 88%  
236 1.4% 87%  
237 3% 85%  
238 2% 82%  
239 2% 80%  
240 3% 78%  
241 3% 75%  
242 1.3% 72%  
243 2% 71%  
244 4% 69%  
245 2% 64%  
246 2% 63%  
247 2% 61%  
248 1.3% 59%  
249 0.8% 58%  
250 2% 57%  
251 1.0% 55%  
252 2% 54%  
253 3% 52% Median
254 3% 49%  
255 2% 47%  
256 2% 45%  
257 2% 43%  
258 3% 40%  
259 4% 38%  
260 1.4% 34%  
261 3% 33%  
262 1.3% 29%  
263 3% 28%  
264 2% 25%  
265 5% 22%  
266 2% 17%  
267 0.9% 15%  
268 2% 14%  
269 2% 12%  
270 1.3% 10%  
271 1.3% 9%  
272 1.1% 7%  
273 1.1% 6%  
274 0.9% 5%  
275 1.1% 4%  
276 0.6% 3%  
277 0.4% 3%  
278 0.7% 2%  
279 0.5% 2%  
280 0.2% 1.2%  
281 0.1% 1.0%  
282 0.2% 0.9%  
283 0.1% 0.7%  
284 0.1% 0.7%  
285 0.1% 0.6%  
286 0.1% 0.5%  
287 0.1% 0.4%  
288 0% 0.3%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.2%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
210 0% 100%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.9%  
214 0.1% 99.8%  
215 0% 99.8%  
216 0.1% 99.7%  
217 0.2% 99.6%  
218 0.1% 99.5%  
219 0.3% 99.4%  
220 0.3% 99.1%  
221 0.4% 98.8%  
222 0.4% 98%  
223 0.4% 98%  
224 0.4% 98%  
225 0.4% 97%  
226 1.1% 97%  
227 0.4% 96%  
228 0.8% 95%  
229 0.8% 95%  
230 1.3% 94%  
231 1.1% 93%  
232 2% 91%  
233 1.4% 90%  
234 2% 88%  
235 1.4% 87%  
236 3% 85%  
237 2% 82%  
238 2% 80%  
239 3% 78%  
240 3% 75%  
241 1.3% 72%  
242 2% 71%  
243 4% 69%  
244 2% 64%  
245 2% 63%  
246 2% 61%  
247 1.3% 59%  
248 0.8% 58%  
249 2% 57%  
250 1.0% 55%  
251 2% 54%  
252 3% 52% Median
253 3% 49%  
254 2% 47%  
255 2% 45%  
256 2% 43%  
257 3% 40%  
258 4% 38%  
259 1.4% 34%  
260 3% 33%  
261 1.3% 29%  
262 3% 28%  
263 2% 25%  
264 5% 22%  
265 2% 17%  
266 0.9% 15%  
267 2% 14%  
268 2% 12%  
269 1.3% 10%  
270 1.3% 9%  
271 1.1% 7%  
272 1.1% 6%  
273 0.9% 5%  
274 1.1% 4%  
275 0.6% 3%  
276 0.4% 3%  
277 0.7% 2%  
278 0.5% 2%  
279 0.2% 1.2%  
280 0.1% 1.0%  
281 0.2% 0.9%  
282 0.1% 0.7%  
283 0.1% 0.7%  
284 0.1% 0.6%  
285 0.1% 0.5%  
286 0.1% 0.4%  
287 0% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0% 0.2%  
290 0% 0.2%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
208 0% 100%  
209 0% 99.9%  
210 0% 99.9%  
211 0% 99.9%  
212 0.1% 99.9%  
213 0% 99.8%  
214 0.1% 99.8%  
215 0.1% 99.7%  
216 0.1% 99.6%  
217 0.2% 99.5%  
218 0.2% 99.3%  
219 0.3% 99.1%  
220 0.3% 98.9%  
221 0.3% 98.5%  
222 0.4% 98%  
223 0.4% 98%  
224 0.6% 97%  
225 0.6% 97%  
226 1.2% 96%  
227 0.4% 95%  
228 0.9% 95%  
229 0.7% 94%  
230 1.4% 93%  
231 2% 92%  
232 2% 90%  
233 2% 88%  
234 1.3% 86%  
235 2% 85%  
236 3% 83%  
237 3% 80%  
238 1.4% 77%  
239 3% 76%  
240 3% 73%  
241 1.5% 70%  
242 2% 69%  
243 4% 66%  
244 2% 63%  
245 2% 61%  
246 2% 60%  
247 0.7% 57%  
248 0.9% 56%  
249 3% 56%  
250 1.2% 53%  
251 2% 52%  
252 2% 50% Median
253 3% 48%  
254 2% 45%  
255 3% 43%  
256 2% 40%  
257 3% 37%  
258 3% 34%  
259 3% 31%  
260 2% 29%  
261 2% 27%  
262 2% 25%  
263 2% 23%  
264 5% 20%  
265 2% 16%  
266 1.4% 14%  
267 2% 12%  
268 1.5% 10%  
269 1.3% 8%  
270 1.2% 7%  
271 0.7% 6%  
272 1.2% 5%  
273 0.5% 4%  
274 0.8% 4%  
275 0.4% 3%  
276 0.5% 2%  
277 0.7% 2%  
278 0.2% 1.1%  
279 0.2% 0.9%  
280 0.1% 0.8%  
281 0.1% 0.7%  
282 0.1% 0.6%  
283 0.1% 0.6%  
284 0.1% 0.5%  
285 0.1% 0.4%  
286 0.1% 0.3%  
287 0% 0.2%  
288 0% 0.2%  
289 0% 0.1%  
290 0% 0.1%  
291 0% 0.1%  
292 0% 0.1%  
293 0% 0.1%  
294 0% 0.1%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
176 0% 100%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.9%  
180 0% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.8%  
182 0.1% 99.7%  
183 0% 99.6%  
184 0.1% 99.5%  
185 0.2% 99.4%  
186 0.3% 99.2%  
187 0.5% 98.9%  
188 0.4% 98%  
189 0.4% 98%  
190 0.8% 98%  
191 0.4% 97%  
192 0.4% 96%  
193 1.5% 96%  
194 0.8% 94%  
195 0.6% 94%  
196 1.3% 93%  
197 2% 92%  
198 0.9% 90%  
199 0.9% 89%  
200 2% 88%  
201 2% 86%  
202 1.1% 84%  
203 4% 83%  
204 4% 79%  
205 3% 75%  
206 2% 72%  
207 2% 70%  
208 2% 68%  
209 4% 66%  
210 2% 62%  
211 1.2% 60%  
212 2% 59%  
213 2% 57%  
214 0.9% 55%  
215 2% 54%  
216 3% 52%  
217 2% 48% Median
218 2% 47%  
219 0.9% 45%  
220 2% 44%  
221 2% 42%  
222 2% 40%  
223 5% 38%  
224 3% 33%  
225 2% 30%  
226 4% 29%  
227 3% 25%  
228 4% 22%  
229 3% 18%  
230 2% 15%  
231 2% 13%  
232 2% 11%  
233 0.8% 9%  
234 2% 8%  
235 1.3% 6%  
236 1.1% 5%  
237 1.0% 4%  
238 0.7% 3%  
239 0.5% 2%  
240 0.4% 2%  
241 0.3% 1.3%  
242 0.2% 1.0%  
243 0.1% 0.8%  
244 0.1% 0.7%  
245 0.1% 0.6%  
246 0.1% 0.4%  
247 0% 0.4%  
248 0.1% 0.4%  
249 0% 0.3%  
250 0% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.2%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0.1%  
257 0% 0.1%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
175 0% 100%  
176 0% 99.9%  
177 0% 99.9%  
178 0.1% 99.9%  
179 0% 99.8%  
180 0.1% 99.8%  
181 0.1% 99.7%  
182 0.1% 99.6%  
183 0.1% 99.5%  
184 0.2% 99.4%  
185 0.4% 99.3%  
186 0.3% 98.8%  
187 0.4% 98.6%  
188 0.5% 98%  
189 0.3% 98%  
190 0.8% 97%  
191 0.5% 96%  
192 0.9% 96%  
193 1.3% 95%  
194 0.9% 94%  
195 0.8% 93%  
196 2% 92%  
197 2% 90%  
198 0.9% 88%  
199 0.6% 87%  
200 3% 86%  
201 3% 84%  
202 1.3% 81%  
203 4% 80%  
204 3% 76%  
205 3% 72%  
206 2% 69%  
207 1.3% 68%  
208 2% 67%  
209 4% 65%  
210 2% 61%  
211 2% 58%  
212 2% 57%  
213 2% 54%  
214 1.1% 53%  
215 2% 52%  
216 3% 50%  
217 2% 47% Median
218 2% 45%  
219 1.3% 43%  
220 3% 42%  
221 2% 39%  
222 2% 37%  
223 5% 35%  
224 3% 30%  
225 2% 27%  
226 3% 26%  
227 3% 22%  
228 5% 20%  
229 3% 15%  
230 1.3% 12%  
231 2% 11%  
232 1.5% 9%  
233 1.2% 8%  
234 1.4% 6%  
235 1.0% 5%  
236 1.2% 4%  
237 0.8% 3%  
238 0.6% 2%  
239 0.3% 1.5%  
240 0.2% 1.2%  
241 0.2% 1.1%  
242 0.1% 0.8%  
243 0.2% 0.7%  
244 0.1% 0.6%  
245 0.1% 0.5%  
246 0.1% 0.4%  
247 0% 0.3%  
248 0.1% 0.3%  
249 0% 0.2%  
250 0.1% 0.2%  
251 0% 0.2%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0.1%  
254 0% 0.1%  
255 0% 0.1%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
169 0% 100%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.9%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.8%  
175 0.1% 99.6%  
176 0.2% 99.5%  
177 0.3% 99.4%  
178 0.3% 99.0%  
179 0.4% 98.7%  
180 0.5% 98%  
181 0.8% 98%  
182 0.6% 97%  
183 0.6% 97%  
184 0.7% 96%  
185 1.4% 95%  
186 0.8% 94%  
187 2% 93%  
188 2% 91%  
189 3% 89%  
190 2% 86%  
191 2% 84%  
192 4% 82%  
193 3% 78%  
194 3% 75%  
195 3% 72%  
196 3% 69%  
197 1.4% 67%  
198 3% 65%  
199 0.9% 63%  
200 1.1% 62%  
201 2% 61%  
202 2% 59%  
203 1.0% 56%  
204 2% 55%  
205 2% 53% Median
206 1.3% 51%  
207 2% 50%  
208 3% 48%  
209 1.4% 44%  
210 3% 43%  
211 3% 40%  
212 3% 37%  
213 4% 34%  
214 2% 30%  
215 4% 28%  
216 5% 24%  
217 2% 19%  
218 2% 17%  
219 2% 15%  
220 2% 14%  
221 2% 11%  
222 2% 9%  
223 1.4% 7%  
224 2% 6%  
225 0.8% 4%  
226 0.8% 4%  
227 0.5% 3%  
228 0.3% 2%  
229 0.3% 2%  
230 0.4% 2%  
231 0.2% 1.2%  
232 0.1% 0.9%  
233 0.2% 0.8%  
234 0.2% 0.7%  
235 0.1% 0.5%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0% 0.3%  
238 0.1% 0.3%  
239 0% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.2%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
168 0% 100%  
169 0% 99.9%  
170 0% 99.9%  
171 0.1% 99.9%  
172 0.1% 99.8%  
173 0.1% 99.8%  
174 0.1% 99.6%  
175 0.1% 99.5%  
176 0.4% 99.4%  
177 0.3% 99.0%  
178 0.3% 98.7%  
179 0.4% 98%  
180 0.5% 98%  
181 0.9% 97%  
182 0.6% 97%  
183 0.6% 96%  
184 0.8% 95%  
185 2% 94%  
186 1.0% 93%  
187 2% 92%  
188 3% 90%  
189 4% 87%  
190 1.5% 83%  
191 3% 81%  
192 2% 78%  
193 3% 76%  
194 2% 73%  
195 4% 71%  
196 2% 67%  
197 1.2% 65%  
198 3% 64%  
199 1.2% 61%  
200 0.7% 59%  
201 2% 59%  
202 2% 57%  
203 1.0% 55%  
204 2% 54%  
205 2% 52% Median
206 1.4% 49%  
207 3% 48%  
208 3% 45%  
209 3% 42%  
210 3% 39%  
211 3% 36%  
212 3% 34%  
213 3% 31%  
214 2% 28%  
215 4% 26%  
216 5% 22%  
217 2% 17%  
218 2% 15%  
219 2% 13%  
220 2% 11%  
221 2% 9%  
222 2% 7%  
223 1.1% 6%  
224 1.1% 5%  
225 0.4% 3%  
226 0.6% 3%  
227 0.5% 2%  
228 0.5% 2%  
229 0.3% 1.4%  
230 0.1% 1.0%  
231 0.1% 0.9%  
232 0.1% 0.8%  
233 0.1% 0.7%  
234 0.1% 0.6%  
235 0.1% 0.4%  
236 0.1% 0.4%  
237 0% 0.3%  
238 0.1% 0.2%  
239 0% 0.2%  
240 0% 0.2%  
241 0% 0.1%  
242 0% 0.1%  
243 0% 0.1%  
244 0% 0.1%  
245 0% 0.1%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0% 99.9%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.7%  
141 0.1% 99.7%  
142 0.2% 99.5%  
143 0.1% 99.3%  
144 0.3% 99.2%  
145 0.4% 98.9%  
146 0.7% 98.6%  
147 0.9% 98%  
148 0.7% 97%  
149 0.9% 96%  
150 0.5% 95%  
151 1.2% 95%  
152 1.4% 94%  
153 2% 92%  
154 2% 91%  
155 3% 89%  
156 6% 86%  
157 2% 80%  
158 4% 78%  
159 2% 74%  
160 1.1% 72%  
161 3% 71%  
162 4% 68%  
163 2% 64%  
164 3% 63%  
165 1.0% 60%  
166 1.2% 59%  
167 2% 58%  
168 3% 56%  
169 2% 53%  
170 2% 52% Median
171 0.7% 50%  
172 2% 49%  
173 1.3% 47%  
174 5% 46%  
175 4% 41%  
176 3% 37%  
177 1.5% 34%  
178 4% 32%  
179 3% 28%  
180 4% 25%  
181 3% 21%  
182 3% 17%  
183 3% 14%  
184 1.2% 11%  
185 2% 10%  
186 2% 8%  
187 2% 6%  
188 2% 4%  
189 0.5% 3%  
190 0.4% 2%  
191 0.3% 2%  
192 0.3% 1.3%  
193 0.2% 1.1%  
194 0.1% 0.9%  
195 0.2% 0.7%  
196 0% 0.6%  
197 0.1% 0.5%  
198 0.1% 0.4%  
199 0.1% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.3%  
201 0.1% 0.3%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.2%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0.1%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
135 0% 100%  
136 0% 99.9%  
137 0% 99.9%  
138 0.1% 99.8%  
139 0.1% 99.8%  
140 0.1% 99.6%  
141 0.2% 99.6%  
142 0.2% 99.4%  
143 0.3% 99.2%  
144 0.4% 98.9%  
145 0.4% 98.5%  
146 1.0% 98%  
147 0.9% 97%  
148 0.6% 96%  
149 0.9% 96%  
150 0.8% 95%  
151 1.5% 94%  
152 1.3% 92%  
153 2% 91%  
154 3% 89%  
155 5% 86%  
156 6% 81%  
157 1.0% 76%  
158 2% 75%  
159 2% 72%  
160 1.5% 71%  
161 3% 69%  
162 5% 66%  
163 1.3% 61%  
164 2% 60%  
165 0.9% 58%  
166 1.1% 57%  
167 2% 56%  
168 3% 55%  
169 1.3% 52%  
170 2% 50% Median
171 1.1% 48%  
172 2% 47%  
173 3% 45%  
174 5% 42%  
175 4% 36%  
176 0.9% 33%  
177 1.2% 32%  
178 5% 31%  
179 5% 26%  
180 5% 21%  
181 3% 16%  
182 3% 14%  
183 2% 11%  
184 0.7% 9%  
185 2% 8%  
186 3% 7%  
187 1.4% 4%  
188 0.9% 3%  
189 0% 2%  
190 0.3% 2%  
191 0.4% 1.4%  
192 0.1% 1.0%  
193 0.1% 0.9%  
194 0.1% 0.7%  
195 0.2% 0.6%  
196 0% 0.4%  
197 0% 0.4%  
198 0.1% 0.3%  
199 0% 0.3%  
200 0% 0.2%  
201 0% 0.2%  
202 0% 0.2%  
203 0% 0.1%  
204 0% 0.1%  
205 0% 0.1%  
206 0% 0.1%  
207 0% 0%  
208 0% 0%  
209 0% 0%  
210 0% 0%  
211 0% 0%  
212 0% 0%  
213 0% 0%  
214 0% 0%  
215 0% 0%  
216 0% 0%  
217 0% 0%  
218 0% 0%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations