Brexit Party
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2017)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.1% | 2.1–4.1% | 1.9–4.4% | 1.8–4.6% | 1.5–5.0% |
10–11 December 2019 | Survation | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% |
10–11 December 2019 | Panelbase | 4.0% | 3.6–4.5% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% |
10–11 December 2019 | Opinium | 2.0% | 1.7–2.4% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% |
9–11 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 3.0% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.2–3.9% |
9–11 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
2.0% | 1.6–2.4% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% |
9–11 December 2019 | Deltapoll | 4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
6–11 December 2019 | BMG Research | 4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.4% |
8–10 December 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
9–10 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.1% |
6–9 December 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% |
5–8 December 2019 | Qriously | 3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
6–8 December 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
3.0% | 2.7–3.3% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.6–3.4% | 2.4–3.6% |
5–7 December 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
5–7 December 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
5–6 December 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
4–6 December 2019 | Panelbase | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
4–6 December 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
4–6 December 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–5.0% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.5% |
4–5 December 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
2–4 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.1% |
2–3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
3.9% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
2–3 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
3.0% | 2.5–3.5% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
28 November–2 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.0% | 1.1–3.4% |
29 November–2 December 2019 | ICM Research | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
26–30 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
28–30 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
28–29 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.3–3.1% |
27–29 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% |
27–28 November 2019 | Panelbase | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.0–5.2% |
27–28 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
26–27 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
4.0% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
25–26 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
4.1% | 3.5–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.5% |
25–26 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
5.1% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
21–25 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
22–25 November 2019 | ICM Research | 4.0% | 3.5–4.6% | 3.3–4.8% | 3.2–5.0% | 3.0–5.3% |
20–23 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
5.0% | 4.2–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.4–7.0% |
21–23 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.4% |
21–22 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
3.0% | 2.5–3.6% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.2% |
20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase | 3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.1–4.1% |
20–22 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
3.0% | 2.6–3.6% | 2.4–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.1–4.1% |
20–21 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Express |
5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.1–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
19–21 November 2019 | BMG Research | 3.1% | 2.6–3.7% | 2.5–3.9% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.1–4.3% |
12–20 November 2019 | YouGov | 4.0% | 3.7–4.2% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.3% | 3.5–4.5% |
18–19 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
15–19 November 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
3.0% | 2.5–3.8% | 2.3–4.0% | 2.2–4.2% | 1.9–4.6% |
18–19 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
5.0% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.5% |
14–18 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 2.0% | 1.6–2.7% | 1.5–2.9% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.4% |
15–18 November 2019 | ICM Research | 5.0% | 4.4–5.7% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.8–6.4% |
14–16 November 2019 | Survation | 5.0% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.5–7.1% |
10–16 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
14–15 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
4.0% | 3.4–4.6% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.9–5.3% |
13–15 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
5.9% | 5.3–6.7% | 5.1–6.9% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.7–7.4% |
9–15 November 2019 | BMG Research | 9.0% | 8.2–10.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.3–11.0% |
13–14 November 2019 | Panelbase | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
13–14 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.6–2.6% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.3–2.9% |
11–12 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
4.0% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.2–5.1% | 2.9–5.4% |
11–12 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
6.9% | 6.2–7.7% | 6.0–7.9% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.5–8.5% |
7–11 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.7–10.5% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.0–11.4% |
8–11 November 2019 | ICM Research | 7.9% | 7.2–8.7% | 7.0–9.0% | 6.8–9.2% | 6.5–9.6% |
8–10 November 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
9.0% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.8–10.3% | 7.5–10.8% |
6–9 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
6.1% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.2% | 5.0–7.4% | 4.6–7.8% |
7–8 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times and Sky News |
10.0% | 9.1–11.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.5% | 8.2–12.0% |
6–8 November 2019 | Survation | 10.0% | 9.2–10.9% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.8% |
6–8 November 2019 | Panelbase | 7.9% | 7.0–9.1% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 6.0–10.3% |
6–8 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
6.0% | 5.4–6.7% | 5.2–7.0% | 5.0–7.1% | 4.7–7.5% |
5–8 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
8.9% | 8.0–9.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.2–11.0% |
5–6 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
10.9% | 10.0–12.0% | 9.7–12.3% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% |
30 October–5 November 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
10.8% | 10.3–11.3% | 10.2–11.5% | 10.0–11.6% | 9.8–11.9% |
1–4 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
10.9% | 10.3–11.7% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.1% | 9.6–12.4% |
1–4 November 2019 | ICM Research Reuters |
8.9% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.7–10.2% | 7.4–10.6% |
31 October–2 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
11.0% | 10.0–12.1% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.1–13.2% |
30 October–1 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
7.0% | 6.3–7.8% | 6.1–8.0% | 5.9–8.2% | 5.6–8.7% |
30 October–1 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
8.9% | 8.1–9.8% | 7.9–10.0% | 7.7–10.2% | 7.4–10.6% |
30–31 October 2019 | Panelbase | 9.0% | 8.0–10.3% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.4–11.0% | 6.9–11.6% |
30–31 October 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
12.0% | 11.1–12.9% | 10.8–13.2% | 10.6–13.4% | 10.2–13.9% |
30–31 October 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
10.1% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.7–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% |
29–30 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13.1% | 12.1–14.2% | 11.8–14.5% | 11.6–14.8% | 11.1–15.3% |
29–30 October 2019 | Survation | 12.0% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.4–13.8% | 10.1–14.1% | 9.6–14.8% |
17–28 October 2019 | YouGov | 11.8% | 11.4–12.2% | 11.3–12.3% | 11.2–12.4% | 11.1–12.6% |
25–28 October 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 7.0% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
24–25 October 2019 | YouGov | 12.0% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.5–13.6% | 10.0–14.1% |
23–25 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
10.0% | 9.2–11.0% | 9.0–11.2% | 8.8–11.4% | 8.4–11.9% |
20–21 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
10.8% | 9.9–11.9% | 9.6–12.2% | 9.4–12.4% | 9.0–12.9% |
18–21 October 2019 | Deltapoll | 11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% |
17–18 October 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
12.8% | 11.5–14.2% | 11.2–14.6% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
17–18 October 2019 | Panelbase | 11.1% | 9.9–12.5% | 9.6–12.9% | 9.3–13.2% | 8.8–13.9% |
15–17 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
11.8% | 11.0–12.8% | 10.7–13.1% | 10.5–13.3% | 10.1–13.8% |
16–17 October 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.7–13.0% | 10.5–13.3% | 10.1–13.7% |
14–15 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
11.1% | 10.1–12.1% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.6–12.7% | 9.2–13.2% |
10–15 October 2019 | Kantar Public | 8.0% | 7.1–9.1% | 6.8–9.4% | 6.6–9.7% | 6.2–10.3% |
9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
12.1% | 11.2–13.1% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.3–14.1% |
9–10 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.9–13.2% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–14.0% |
8–9 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
11.8% | 10.8–12.9% | 10.6–13.2% | 10.3–13.5% | 9.9–14.0% |
4–6 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
12.8% | 11.8–13.8% | 11.6–14.1% | 11.4–14.3% | 10.9–14.8% |
3–4 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
12.2% | 11.3–13.2% | 11.0–13.4% | 10.8–13.7% | 10.4–14.2% |
1–4 October 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
11.0% | 10.1–12.1% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.1–13.3% |
30 September–1 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
12.0% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.5–13.6% | 10.0–14.2% |
26–27 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
12.9% | 11.9–14.1% | 11.6–14.4% | 11.4–14.7% | 10.9–15.2% |
25–27 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
11.0% | 10.1–11.9% | 9.9–12.2% | 9.7–12.4% | 9.3–12.9% |
24–25 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13.5% | 12.4–14.6% | 12.1–14.9% | 11.9–15.2% | 11.4–15.8% |
25 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
24 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
13.5% | 12.2–15.0% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.6–15.8% | 11.0–16.5% |
19–20 September 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
14.1% | 13.1–15.1% | 12.8–15.4% | 12.6–15.7% | 12.1–16.2% |
19–20 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
12.1% | 11.2–13.1% | 10.9–13.3% | 10.7–13.6% | 10.3–14.1% |
18–19 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
13.2% | 12.3–14.2% | 12.0–14.5% | 11.8–14.7% | 11.3–15.2% |
17–18 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13.7% | 12.6–14.8% | 12.3–15.2% | 12.1–15.5% | 11.6–16.0% |
13–16 September 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
12–15 September 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% |
11–13 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
13.1% | 12.2–14.1% | 11.9–14.4% | 11.7–14.6% | 11.2–15.1% |
9–10 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13.9% | 12.9–15.0% | 12.6–15.4% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.8–16.2% |
5–9 September 2019 | Kantar Public | 7.0% | 6.1–8.1% | 5.9–8.4% | 5.7–8.6% | 5.3–9.2% |
6–8 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
12.9% | 12.0–14.0% | 11.8–14.2% | 11.5–14.5% | 11.1–15.0% |
5–7 September 2019 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% |
5–6 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
11.9% | 11.0–13.0% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.5–13.6% | 10.0–14.1% |
5–6 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
16.9% | 15.4–18.5% | 15.0–18.9% | 14.7–19.3% | 14.0–20.1% |
5–6 September 2019 | Panelbase | 15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.4–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
4–6 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
12.9% | 12.0–14.0% | 11.8–14.2% | 11.5–14.5% | 11.1–15.0% |
4–6 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
13.0% | 12.1–14.0% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.6–14.5% | 11.2–15.0% |
3–6 September 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
12.2% | 11.2–13.4% | 10.9–13.7% | 10.7–14.0% | 10.2–14.6% |
3–4 September 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 14.0% | 12.6–15.5% | 12.3–15.9% | 11.9–16.3% | 11.3–17.0% |
2–3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
10.9% | 10.0–12.0% | 9.7–12.3% | 9.5–12.5% | 9.1–13.0% |
29–31 August 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
13.7% | 12.8–14.7% | 12.5–15.0% | 12.3–15.3% | 11.8–15.8% |
29–30 August 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.8% |
28–29 August 2019 | YouGov | 11.8% | 10.9–12.8% | 10.7–13.1% | 10.4–13.4% | 10.0–13.9% |
27–28 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
12.9% | 12.0–13.9% | 11.7–14.2% | 11.5–14.5% | 11.1–15.0% |
22–23 August 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
14.2% | 13.3–15.3% | 13.0–15.6% | 12.8–15.8% | 12.3–16.3% |
21–23 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
15.8% | 14.8–16.9% | 14.5–17.2% | 14.3–17.5% | 13.8–18.0% |
20–21 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
11.9% | 10.9–13.0% | 10.7–13.3% | 10.5–13.5% | 10.0–14.1% |
15–19 August 2019 | Kantar Public | 4.9% | 4.2–5.9% | 4.0–6.1% | 3.8–6.4% | 3.5–6.8% |
13–14 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13.8% | 12.8–15.0% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.2–15.6% | 11.8–16.2% |
7–12 August 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
11.9% | 10.9–13.1% | 10.7–13.4% | 10.4–13.7% | 10.0–14.2% |
6–11 August 2019 | Survation | 15.1% | 14.1–16.2% | 13.8–16.5% | 13.6–16.7% | 13.2–17.2% |
9–11 August 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
15.9% | 14.9–17.0% | 14.6–17.3% | 14.4–17.6% | 13.9–18.1% |
8–9 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
16.1% | 15.1–17.2% | 14.8–17.5% | 14.5–17.8% | 14.1–18.3% |
5–6 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13.9% | 12.8–15.0% | 12.5–15.4% | 12.3–15.7% | 11.8–16.2% |
29–30 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
9.3% | 8.6–10.2% | 8.3–10.5% | 8.2–10.7% | 7.8–11.1% |
26–30 July 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 11.5% | 10.3–12.9% | 10.0–13.3% | 9.7–13.6% | 9.1–14.3% |
26–28 July 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
14.7% | 13.7–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.2–16.3% | 12.7–16.8% |
25–27 July 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
25–26 July 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
13.0% | 12.0–14.1% | 11.7–14.4% | 11.4–14.7% | 11.0–15.2% |
24–26 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
14.7% | 13.7–15.7% | 13.4–16.0% | 13.2–16.3% | 12.7–16.8% |
24–25 July 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
16.1% | 15.1–17.2% | 14.8–17.5% | 14.5–17.7% | 14.1–18.3% |
23–24 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
16.6% | 15.5–17.8% | 15.2–18.2% | 14.9–18.5% | 14.4–19.1% |
16–17 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
19.1% | 17.9–20.3% | 17.6–20.7% | 17.3–21.0% | 16.8–21.6% |
15–16 July 2019 | ComRes | 18.7% | 17.7–19.9% | 17.4–20.2% | 17.1–20.5% | 16.6–21.1% |
10–11 July 2019 | Survation | 19.8% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.4–22.3% | 16.7–23.2% |
10–11 July 2019 | ComRes The Express |
20.0% | 18.8–21.2% | 18.5–21.6% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.6–22.5% |
9–10 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
20.9% | 19.6–22.2% | 19.3–22.6% | 19.0–22.9% | 18.4–23.5% |
5–7 July 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
19.3% | 18.2–20.5% | 17.9–20.8% | 17.6–21.1% | 17.1–21.7% |
3–5 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
21.7% | 20.6–23.0% | 20.3–23.3% | 20.0–23.6% | 19.4–24.2% |
2–5 July 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
14.1% | 13.0–15.3% | 12.7–15.6% | 12.4–15.9% | 11.9–16.5% |
2–3 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
22.9% | 21.6–24.3% | 21.2–24.6% | 20.9–25.0% | 20.3–25.7% |
24–25 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
22.0% | 20.8–23.2% | 20.5–23.5% | 20.2–23.8% | 19.7–24.4% |
21–25 June 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 12.2% | 11.0–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.3% | 9.8–15.0% |
19–20 June 2019 | Survation Daily Mail on Sunday |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.3% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.6–22.2% |
19–20 June 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
23.0% | 21.8–24.2% | 21.5–24.6% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.7–25.5% |
13–14 June 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
24.1% | 22.8–25.5% | 22.4–25.9% | 22.1–26.2% | 21.5–26.9% |
9–10 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
26.2% | 24.9–27.6% | 24.5–28.0% | 24.2–28.3% | 23.5–29.0% |
7–9 June 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
21.8% | 20.6–23.0% | 20.3–23.3% | 20.0–23.6% | 19.5–24.2% |
4–7 June 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
17.8% | 16.6–19.1% | 16.3–19.5% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.4–20.5% |
4–6 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
25.9% | 24.5–27.3% | 24.1–27.8% | 23.8–28.1% | 23.2–28.8% |
28–30 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
26.0% | 24.8–27.3% | 24.4–27.6% | 24.1–28.0% | 23.5–28.6% |
29–30 May 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
23.5% | 22.4–24.6% | 22.1–25.0% | 21.9–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% |
28–29 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
22.0% | 20.7–23.3% | 20.4–23.6% | 20.1–23.9% | 19.5–24.6% |
23–24 May 2019 | Lord Ashcroft | 18.0% | 17.5–18.5% | 17.4–18.7% | 17.3–18.8% | 17.0–19.0% |
22 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
12.0% | 11.1–13.0% | 10.8–13.2% | 10.6–13.5% | 10.2–13.9% |
14–21 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
19.0% | 17.9–20.1% | 17.6–20.5% | 17.3–20.8% | 16.8–21.3% |
17–20 May 2019 | Opinium The Times |
25.4% | 24.2–26.7% | 23.9–27.1% | 23.6–27.4% | 23.0–28.0% |
8–17 May 2019 | YouGov Best For Britain |
18.0% | 17.5–18.5% | 17.3–18.7% | 17.2–18.8% | 17.0–19.1% |
17 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
12.8% | 11.5–14.3% | 11.2–14.7% | 10.9–15.0% | 10.3–15.7% |
14–16 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
24.2% | 23.0–25.5% | 22.6–25.8% | 22.4–26.1% | 21.8–26.7% |
13–14 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
17.8% | 16.7–19.1% | 16.3–19.4% | 16.0–19.8% | 15.5–20.4% |
10–14 May 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 15.6% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.9–17.5% | 13.5–17.9% | 12.9–18.6% |
9–13 May 2019 | Kantar Public | 10.0% | 8.9–11.2% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.4–11.9% | 7.9–12.5% |
9–13 May 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 18.8% | 17.7–20.0% | 17.4–20.3% | 17.1–20.6% | 16.6–21.1% |
10–12 May 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
20.4% | 19.3–21.6% | 19.0–21.9% | 18.7–22.2% | 18.2–22.8% |
8–10 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
21.0% | 19.8–22.2% | 19.5–22.5% | 19.2–22.8% | 18.7–23.4% |
7–10 May 2019 | BMG Research | 10.0% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.8–11.3% | 8.6–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% |
8–9 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
18.2% | 17.1–19.3% | 16.9–19.6% | 16.6–19.8% | 16.1–20.4% |
9 May 2019 | ComRes Brexit Express |
19.8% | 18.7–21.0% | 18.4–21.3% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.6–22.2% |
3–7 May 2019 | Opinium | 17.0% | 15.8–18.3% | 15.5–18.6% | 15.2–18.9% | 14.6–19.6% |
29–30 April 2019 | YouGov | 14.8% | 13.8–16.0% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.7% | 12.7–17.2% |
23–24 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
14.0% | 13.0–15.1% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.0–16.2% |
18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
12.9% | 11.9–13.9% | 11.7–14.1% | 11.5–14.4% | 11.0–14.9% |
21–23 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
17.0% | 15.7–18.4% | 15.3–18.9% | 15.0–19.2% | 14.4–19.9% |
16–17 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
12.0% | 11.1–13.1% | 10.8–13.4% | 10.6–13.6% | 10.1–14.2% |
17 April 2019 | OnePoll The Sun on Sunday |
14.0% | 13.0–15.0% | 12.8–15.3% | 12.5–15.6% | 12.1–16.1% |
16–17 April 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
14.0% | 12.9–15.2% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.4–15.9% | 11.9–16.4% |
9–12 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–8 April 2019 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 April 2019 | Hanbury Strategy Open Europe |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–6 April 2019 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–5 April 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–3 April 2019 | YouGov | 5.0% | 4.4–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.8–6.5% |
28–30 March 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–25 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
5.0% | 4.5–5.7% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.2–6.1% | 3.9–6.4% |
20–22 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–19 March 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 March 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
0.0% | 3.6–4.8% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.3–5.1% | 3.0–5.5% |
15 March 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–15 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–11 March 2019 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–8 March 2019 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–4 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3.0% | 2.6–3.5% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.3–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% |
26 February–1 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–23 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
2.0% | 1.6–2.5% | 1.5–2.6% | 1.4–2.8% | 1.2–3.0% |
21–23 February 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18 February 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–15 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–11 February 2019 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–8 February 2019 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–5 February 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–4 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 January–1 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
23–25 January 2019 | Opinium People’s Vote |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–18 January 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–18 January 2019 | ICM Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–17 January 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Politico |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–17 January 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 January 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–14 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–14 January 2019 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–11 January 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–7 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21 December 2018–4 January 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–20 December 2018 | Opinium | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–17 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–14 December 2018 | YouGov People’s Vote |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–14 December 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 December 2018 | Populus | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–7 December 2018 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–6 December 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 November–5 December 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–4 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 November–2 December 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–27 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 November 2018 | Opinium | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 November 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–12 November 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–5 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20 October–2 November 2018 | Survation Channel 4 |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
29–30 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–28 October 2018 | ICM Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–26 October 2018 | Deltapoll Mirror |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–23 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–22 October 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–15 October 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–12 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10 October 2018 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–7 October 2018 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–5 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–5 October 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 September–1 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–28 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–27 September 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–25 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–24 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
21–22 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–20 September 2018 | Opinium | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–18 September 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–13 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–10 September 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–9 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7 September 2018 | Survation Daily Mail |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–7 September 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–4 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
31 August–1 September 2018 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–21 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
17–19 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–17 August 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–16 August 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–14 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–13 August 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–13 August 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–10 August 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–5 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30–31 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–24 July 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–23 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–22 July 2018 | ICM Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–20 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–17 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–14 July 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–13 July 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–11 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–9 July 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–9 July 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7 July 2018 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–5 July 2018 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
3–4 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25–26 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
22–24 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–20 June 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–19 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–12 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–10 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–8 June 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–7 June 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
31 May–4 June 2018 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
25–29 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
18–22 May 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–21 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–17 May 2018 | ComRes Daily Mail |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
15–16 May 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–14 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–13 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–10 May 2018 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
8–9 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
1–4 May 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
30 April–1 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–29 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27–29 April 2018 | ComRes Daily Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
24–25 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
20–24 April 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–17 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14 April 2018 | Survation The Mail on Sunday |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–13 April 2018 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–12 April 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–12 April 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–10 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–8 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
4–5 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
27 March–5 April 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–27 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–18 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–16 March 2018 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
14–15 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
13–15 March 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–8 March 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–7 March 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–6 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–27 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–20 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–19 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–13 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–12 February 2018 | Kantar Public | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–9 February 2018 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
6–8 February 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
5–6 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
2–4 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
28–29 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
26–29 January 2018 | Survation | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
19–23 January 2018 | Ipsos MORI | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
10–19 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
16–17 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
12–14 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
11–12 January 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9–12 January 2018 | BMG Research | 0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
7–8 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
0.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Brexit Party.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 21% | 99.5% | |
2.5–3.5% | 51% | 79% | Median |
3.5–4.5% | 25% | 28% | |
4.5–5.5% | 3% | 3% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2017)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–11 December 2019 | Survation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–11 December 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–11 December 2019 | Opinium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 December 2019 | Deltapoll | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–11 December 2019 | BMG Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–10 December 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Bloomberg |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–10 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–9 December 2019 | ICM Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5–8 December 2019 | Qriously | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–8 December 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5–7 December 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5–7 December 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5–6 December 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–6 December 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–6 December 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–6 December 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4–5 December 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2–4 December 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2–3 December 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2–3 December 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28 November–2 December 2019 | Kantar Public | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
29 November–2 December 2019 | ICM Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26–30 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28–30 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
28–29 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27–29 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27–28 November 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
27–28 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
26–27 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25–26 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
25–26 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–25 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22–25 November 2019 | ICM Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–23 November 2019 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–23 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–22 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–22 November 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–22 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–21 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Express |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19–21 November 2019 | BMG Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12–20 November 2019 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18–19 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–19 November 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18–19 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14–18 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–18 November 2019 | ICM Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14–16 November 2019 | Survation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10–16 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14–15 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13–15 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–15 November 2019 | BMG Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13–14 November 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13–14 November 2019 | ComRes The Sunday Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–12 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11–12 November 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7–11 November 2019 | Kantar Public | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–11 November 2019 | ICM Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8–10 November 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–9 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7–8 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times and Sky News |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–8 November 2019 | Survation | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–8 November 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6–8 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5–8 November 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5–6 November 2019 | YouGov The Times and Sky News |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–2 |
30 October–5 November 2019 | ComRes Remain United |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–4 November 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1–4 November 2019 | ICM Research Reuters |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
31 October–2 November 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 October–1 November 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30 October–1 November 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30–31 October 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
30–31 October 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
30–31 October 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
29–30 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
3 | 1–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
29–30 October 2019 | Survation | 0 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–5 | 0–7 |
17–28 October 2019 | YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
25–28 October 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–25 October 2019 | YouGov | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–4 | 0–6 |
23–25 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20–21 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
18–21 October 2019 | Deltapoll | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
17–18 October 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
3 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 | 0–11 |
17–18 October 2019 | Panelbase | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
15–17 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–4 |
16–17 October 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
14–15 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–3 |
10–15 October 2019 | Kantar Public | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 October 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
9–10 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
8–9 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
1 | 0–4 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
4–6 October 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
2 | 1–3 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–7 |
3–4 October 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
0 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–4 |
1–4 October 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
30 September–1 October 2019 | YouGov The Times |
35 | 29–46 | 19–52 | 19–53 | 19–62 |
26–27 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
47 | 27–63 | 20–69 | 19–70 | 19–72 |
25–27 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
18 | 13–24 | 12–24 | 10–27 | 10–33 |
24–25 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
53 | 42–70 | 38–77 | 37–81 | 32–90 |
25 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
88 | 60–121 | 52–132 | 48–142 | 41–157 |
24 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
33 | 25–52 | 22–61 | 21–67 | 15–81 |
19–20 September 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
65 | 50–71 | 47–72 | 42–78 | 38–88 |
19–20 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
28 | 21–41 | 20–48 | 18–51 | 17–58 |
18–19 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
31 | 30–45 | 29–45 | 25–45 | 20–46 |
17–18 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
68 | 53–75 | 46–75 | 41–82 | 40–86 |
13–16 September 2019 | Ipsos MORI Evening Standard |
12 | 7–24 | 5–28 | 4–34 | 3–36 |
12–15 September 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
32 | 28–42 | 24–46 | 22–49 | 20–55 |
11–13 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
28 | 26–33 | 23–37 | 20–40 | 18–50 |
9–10 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
54 | 45–69 | 41–73 | 37–73 | 27–84 |
5–9 September 2019 | Kantar Public | 3 | 2–3 | 2–5 | 2–7 | 1–12 |
6–8 September 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
30 | 22–37 | 20–40 | 18–41 | 16–47 |
5–7 September 2019 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
29 | 19–40 | 19–43 | 19–45 | 14–47 |
5–6 September 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
29 | 26–51 | 25–59 | 20–59 | 17–72 |
5–6 September 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
94 | 66–126 | 59–137 | 56–142 | 48–157 |
5–6 September 2019 | Panelbase | 4 | 2–7 | 2–9 | 2–10 | 1–15 |
4–6 September 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
35 | 17–41 | 17–45 | 17–50 | 15–59 |
4–6 September 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
31 | 23–43 | 22–44 | 20–47 | 13–50 |
3–6 September 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
4 | 2–4 | 1–4 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
3–4 September 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 44 | 32–50 | 31–58 | 29–60 | 23–67 |
2–3 September 2019 | YouGov The Times |
13 | 9–21 | 9–28 | 9–33 | 8–36 |
29–31 August 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
50 | 38–58 | 37–60 | 34–65 | 22–65 |
29–30 August 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
47 | 38–67 | 30–69 | 29–79 | 19–92 |
28–29 August 2019 | YouGov | 33 | 26–53 | 26–53 | 19–58 | 16–59 |
27–28 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
56 | 33–57 | 28–58 | 28–61 | 23–72 |
22–23 August 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
78 | 64–83 | 62–83 | 52–83 | 46–89 |
21–23 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
55 | 47–70 | 47–76 | 45–87 | 40–91 |
20–21 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
39 | 27–52 | 19–56 | 19–56 | 15–67 |
15–19 August 2019 | Kantar Public | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
13–14 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
59 | 47–83 | 45–90 | 44–100 | 40–104 |
7–12 August 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
27 | 21–39 | 19–39 | 17–43 | 12–50 |
6–11 August 2019 | Survation | 65 | 49–84 | 46–92 | 46–96 | 40–111 |
9–11 August 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
57 | 46–70 | 44–83 | 43–87 | 35–91 |
8–9 August 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
50 | 45–70 | 36–78 | 33–89 | 31–93 |
5–6 August 2019 | YouGov The Times |
50 | 41–70 | 39–86 | 38–90 | 27–103 |
29–30 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
12 | 9–19 | 7–20 | 7–20 | 5–20 |
26–30 July 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 37 | 19–46 | 14–51 | 12–53 | 8–63 |
26–28 July 2019 | ComRes Britain Elects |
49 | 32–57 | 30–58 | 28–66 | 26–72 |
25–27 July 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
45 | 39–62 | 36–67 | 31–69 | 29–77 |
25–26 July 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
48 | 41–62 | 35–69 | 32–72 | 26–79 |
24–26 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
46 | 35–64 | 31–73 | 30–77 | 28–82 |
24–25 July 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
64 | 55–83 | 49–92 | 41–92 | 38–104 |
23–24 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
136 | 114–169 | 111–179 | 104–181 | 92–202 |
16–17 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
169 | 144–203 | 127–205 | 124–209 | 116–221 |
15–16 July 2019 | ComRes | 128 | 103–163 | 94–173 | 89–180 | 76–192 |
10–11 July 2019 | Survation | 157 | 123–195 | 113–202 | 104–211 | 87–227 |
10–11 July 2019 | ComRes The Express |
160 | 131–193 | 124–193 | 117–200 | 104–213 |
9–10 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
214 | 192–238 | 180–243 | 173–250 | 158–258 |
5–7 July 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
131 | 110–162 | 105–172 | 99–178 | 83–192 |
3–5 July 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
223 | 194–230 | 185–244 | 177–249 | 165–260 |
2–5 July 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
44 | 30–63 | 28–67 | 27–76 | 24–90 |
2–3 July 2019 | YouGov The Times |
244 | 220–260 | 217–267 | 213–272 | 190–279 |
24–25 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
241 | 221–259 | 217–265 | 209–266 | 198–270 |
21–25 June 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 37 | 24–56 | 22–59 | 19–66 | 13–82 |
19–20 June 2019 | Survation Daily Mail on Sunday |
170 | 141–193 | 136–197 | 131–207 | 118–217 |
19–20 June 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
239 | 226–255 | 217–260 | 213–263 | 197–267 |
13–14 June 2019 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
263 | 244–277 | 240–278 | 236–279 | 226–281 |
9–10 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
331 | 307–345 | 290–345 | 284–350 | 262–355 |
7–9 June 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
205 | 180–225 | 172–232 | 165–237 | 156–246 |
4–7 June 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
105 | 84–146 | 77–159 | 76–169 | 67–174 |
4–6 June 2019 | YouGov The Times |
281 | 271–290 | 268–292 | 267–295 | 261–298 |
28–30 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
276 | 270–287 | 269–290 | 268–292 | 264–293 |
29–30 May 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
248 | 236–264 | 230–266 | 226–268 | 217–271 |
28–29 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
250 | 239–259 | 235–262 | 230–266 | 220–270 |
23–24 May 2019 | Lord Ashcroft | 219 | 206–228 | 202–231 | 198–233 | 192–237 |
22 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
17 | 12–24 | 11–26 | 10–27 | 6–30 |
14–21 May 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
146 | 119–169 | 118–175 | 108–182 | 95–194 |
17–20 May 2019 | Opinium The Times |
256 | 237–268 | 236–270 | 230–273 | 216–279 |
8–17 May 2019 | YouGov Best For Britain |
143 | 134–159 | 131–163 | 129–166 | 120–175 |
17 May 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
25 | 16–37 | 14–41 | 13–48 | 9–59 |
14–16 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
231 | 213–252 | 202–255 | 195–259 | 184–265 |
13–14 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
133 | 100–165 | 92–176 | 88–179 | 78–191 |
10–14 May 2019 | Ipsos MORI | 85 | 56–125 | 48–129 | 42–140 | 32–160 |
9–13 May 2019 | Kantar Public | 8 | 3–15 | 2–17 | 2–18 | 2–21 |
9–13 May 2019 | Hanbury Strategy | 152 | 125–176 | 119–186 | 110–191 | 98–202 |
10–12 May 2019 | ComRes Daily Telegraph |
195 | 168–222 | 161–228 | 154–235 | 147–240 |
8–10 May 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
188 | 165–219 | 158–226 | 152–230 | 142–241 |
7–10 May 2019 | BMG Research | 10 | 4–16 | 2–20 | 2–22 | 2–25 |
8–9 May 2019 | YouGov The Times |
146 | 120–180 | 109–187 | 102–194 | 91–198 |
9 May 2019 | ComRes Brexit Express |
201 | 177–223 | 168–230 | 160–236 | 151–242 |
3–7 May 2019 | Opinium | 85 | 65–119 | 61–125 | 56–132 | 42–146 |
29–30 April 2019 | YouGov | 45 | 32–66 | 31–76 | 29–83 | 25–89 |
23–24 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
31 | 27–48 | 26–52 | 24–62 | 23–71 |
18–24 April 2019 | Panelbase The Sunday Times |
18 | 14–26 | 13–28 | 12–33 | 10–40 |
21–23 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
63 | 45–97 | 35–106 | 32–113 | 29–139 |
16–17 April 2019 | YouGov The Times |
22 | 15–28 | 12–30 | 9–32 | 6–34 |
17 April 2019 | OnePoll The Sun on Sunday |
43 | 29–55 | 27–59 | 24–66 | 18–79 |
16–17 April 2019 | ORB The Telegraph |
43 | 32–66 | 29–70 | 25–72 | 20–76 |
9–12 April 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
4–8 April 2019 | Kantar Public | |||||
5–8 April 2019 | Hanbury Strategy Open Europe |
|||||
3–6 April 2019 | Survation | |||||
2–5 April 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
2–3 April 2019 | YouGov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
28–30 March 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
|||||
28–29 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
24–25 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
20–22 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
15–19 March 2019 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
14–15 March 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 March 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
|||||
12–15 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
7–11 March 2019 | Kantar Public | |||||
4–8 March 2019 | BMG Research | |||||
3–4 March 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
26 February–1 March 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
22–23 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–23 February 2019 | Deltapoll The Mail on Sunday |
|||||
18–19 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
18 February 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
|||||
13–15 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
7–11 February 2019 | Kantar Public | |||||
4–8 February 2019 | BMG Research | |||||
1–5 February 2019 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
3–4 February 2019 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
30 January–1 February 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
30 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
|||||
23–25 January 2019 | Opinium People’s Vote |
|||||
16–18 January 2019 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
16–18 January 2019 | ICM Research | |||||
10–17 January 2019 | Number Cruncher Politics Politico |
|||||
16–17 January 2019 | ComRes Sunday Express |
|||||
14–15 January 2019 | ComRes Daily Express |
|||||
13–14 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
10–14 January 2019 | Kantar Public | |||||
10–11 January 2019 | Survation Daily Mail |
|||||
8–11 January 2019 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
6–7 January 2019 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
21 December 2018–4 January 2019 | YouGov People’s Vote |
|||||
18–20 December 2018 | Opinium | |||||
16–17 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
12–14 December 2018 | YouGov People’s Vote |
|||||
13–14 December 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
10–11 December 2018 | Populus | |||||
6–7 December 2018 | YouGov The Sunday Times |
|||||
5–6 December 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
30 November–5 December 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
3–4 December 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
30 November–2 December 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
|||||
26–27 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
18–19 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
14–15 November 2018 | Opinium | |||||
14–15 November 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
|||||
8–12 November 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
2–7 November 2018 | Panelbase Constitutional Commission |
|||||
4–5 November 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
20 October–2 November 2018 | Survation Channel 4 |
|||||
29–30 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
26–28 October 2018 | ICM Research | |||||
24–26 October 2018 | Deltapoll Mirror |
|||||
22–23 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
19–22 October 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
14–15 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
11–15 October 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
11–12 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
10 October 2018 | Survation | |||||
8–9 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
4–7 October 2018 | BMG Research | |||||
3–5 October 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
3–5 October 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
30 September–1 October 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
28–29 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
|||||
26–28 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
26–27 September 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
|||||
24–25 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
21–24 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
21–22 September 2018 | BMG Research HuffPost UK |
|||||
18–20 September 2018 | Opinium | |||||
18–19 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
14–18 September 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
12–13 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
11–13 September 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
6–10 September 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
7–9 September 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
7 September 2018 | Survation Daily Mail |
|||||
4–7 September 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
3–4 September 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
31 August–1 September 2018 | Survation | |||||
28–29 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
20–21 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
17–19 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
14–17 August 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
14–16 August 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
|||||
13–14 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
9–13 August 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | |||||
9–13 August 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
6–10 August 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
8–9 August 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
3–5 August 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
30–31 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
20–24 July 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
22–23 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
20–22 July 2018 | ICM Research | |||||
19–20 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
16–17 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
12–14 July 2018 | Deltapoll The Sun on Sunday |
|||||
10–13 July 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
10–11 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
8–9 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
5–9 July 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
6–9 July 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
7 July 2018 | Survation | |||||
3–5 July 2018 | BMG Research | |||||
3–4 July 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
22–27 June 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
25–26 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
22–24 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
19–20 June 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
|||||
18–19 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
11–12 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
8–10 June 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
5–8 June 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
5–7 June 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
4–5 June 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
31 May–4 June 2018 | Survation | |||||
28–29 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
25–29 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
18–22 May 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
20–21 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
16–17 May 2018 | ComRes Daily Mail |
|||||
15–16 May 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
13–14 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
11–13 May 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
8–10 May 2018 | Survation | |||||
8–9 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
1–4 May 2018 | BMG Research The Independent |
|||||
30 April–1 May 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
27–29 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
27–29 April 2018 | ComRes Daily Express |
|||||
24–25 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
20–24 April 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
16–17 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
14 April 2018 | Survation The Mail on Sunday |
|||||
10–13 April 2018 | BMG Research | |||||
10–12 April 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
11–12 April 2018 | ComRes Sunday Express |
|||||
9–10 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
6–8 April 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
4–5 April 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
27 March–5 April 2018 | Number Cruncher Politics | |||||
26–27 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
16–18 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
13–16 March 2018 | BMG Research | |||||
14–15 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
13–15 March 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
7–8 March 2018 | Survation Good Morning Britain |
|||||
2–7 March 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
5–6 March 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
2–4 March 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
26–27 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
19–20 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
16–19 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
12–13 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
6–12 February 2018 | Kantar Public | |||||
6–9 February 2018 | BMG Research | |||||
6–8 February 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
5–6 February 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
2–4 February 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
28–29 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
26–29 January 2018 | Survation | |||||
19–23 January 2018 | Ipsos MORI | |||||
10–19 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
16–17 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
|||||
12–14 January 2018 | ICM Research The Guardian |
|||||
11–12 January 2018 | Opinium The Observer |
|||||
9–12 January 2018 | BMG Research | |||||
7–8 January 2018 | YouGov The Times |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Brexit Party.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |