Brexit Party

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 8 June 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 3.1% 2.1–4.1% 1.9–4.4% 1.8–4.6% 1.5–5.0%
10–11 December 2019 Survation 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0%
10–11 December 2019 Panelbase 4.0% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.4–4.8% 3.2–5.0%
10–11 December 2019 Opinium 2.0% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.4–2.8%
9–11 December 2019 Kantar Public 3.0% 2.6–3.4% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.2–3.9%
9–11 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
2.0% 1.6–2.4% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
9–11 December 2019 Deltapoll 4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
6–11 December 2019 BMG Research 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
8–10 December 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Bloomberg
3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.8–4.6%
9–10 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.1%
6–9 December 2019 ICM Research 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.2–4.2%
5–8 December 2019 Qriously 3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.2–4.1%
6–8 December 2019 ComRes
Remain United
3.0% 2.7–3.3% 2.6–3.4% 2.6–3.4% 2.4–3.6%
5–7 December 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain
4.0% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
5–7 December 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
5–6 December 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
4–6 December 2019 Panelbase 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
4–6 December 2019 Opinium
The Observer
3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
4–6 December 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
4–5 December 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph
3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
2–4 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.1%
2–3 December 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
3.9% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
2–3 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
3.0% 2.5–3.5% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
28 November–2 December 2019 Kantar Public 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.4–2.9% 1.3–3.0% 1.1–3.4%
29 November–2 December 2019 ICM Research 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
26–30 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain
3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
28–30 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.0–4.3%
28–29 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.7% 1.4–2.8% 1.3–3.1%
27–29 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
27–28 November 2019 Panelbase 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–4.9% 3.0–5.2%
27–28 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph
4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
26–27 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
4.0% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
25–26 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
4.1% 3.5–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 3.0–5.5%
25–26 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
5.1% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
21–25 November 2019 Kantar Public 3.0% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
22–25 November 2019 ICM Research 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
20–23 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain
5.0% 4.2–5.9% 3.9–6.2% 3.8–6.5% 3.4–7.0%
21–23 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%
21–22 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
20–22 November 2019 Panelbase 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.1%
20–22 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
20–21 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Express
5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.1–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
19–21 November 2019 BMG Research 3.1% 2.6–3.7% 2.5–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.3%
12–20 November 2019 YouGov 4.0% 3.7–4.2% 3.7–4.3% 3.6–4.3% 3.5–4.5%
18–19 November 2019 YouGov
The Times
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
15–19 November 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
3.0% 2.5–3.8% 2.3–4.0% 2.2–4.2% 1.9–4.6%
18–19 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
5.0% 4.3–5.7% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.2% 3.7–6.5%
14–18 November 2019 Kantar Public 2.0% 1.6–2.7% 1.5–2.9% 1.4–3.0% 1.2–3.4%
15–18 November 2019 ICM Research 5.0% 4.4–5.7% 4.2–5.9% 4.1–6.0% 3.8–6.4%
14–16 November 2019 Survation 5.0% 4.3–6.1% 4.0–6.3% 3.9–6.6% 3.5–7.1%
10–16 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
6.0% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.1% 4.9–7.3% 4.6–7.8%
14–15 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
4.0% 3.4–4.6% 3.2–4.8% 3.1–5.0% 2.9–5.3%
13–15 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
5.9% 5.3–6.7% 5.1–6.9% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.4%
9–15 November 2019 BMG Research 9.0% 8.2–10.0% 7.9–10.3% 7.7–10.5% 7.3–11.0%
13–14 November 2019 Panelbase 5.0% 4.2–6.0% 4.0–6.3% 3.8–6.5% 3.5–7.0%
13–14 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph
2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.6–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–2.9%
11–12 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.1% 2.9–5.4%
11–12 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
6.9% 6.2–7.7% 6.0–7.9% 5.9–8.1% 5.5–8.5%
7–11 November 2019 Kantar Public 9.0% 8.0–10.2% 7.7–10.5% 7.5–10.8% 7.0–11.4%
8–11 November 2019 ICM Research 7.9% 7.2–8.7% 7.0–9.0% 6.8–9.2% 6.5–9.6%
8–10 November 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
9.0% 8.2–9.9% 8.0–10.1% 7.8–10.3% 7.5–10.8%
6–9 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
6.1% 5.3–6.9% 5.1–7.2% 5.0–7.4% 4.6–7.8%
7–8 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times and Sky News
10.0% 9.1–11.0% 8.9–11.3% 8.6–11.5% 8.2–12.0%
6–8 November 2019 Survation 10.0% 9.2–10.9% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.8%
6–8 November 2019 Panelbase 7.9% 7.0–9.1% 6.7–9.4% 6.4–9.7% 6.0–10.3%
6–8 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
6.0% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–7.0% 5.0–7.1% 4.7–7.5%
5–8 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
8.9% 8.0–9.9% 7.8–10.2% 7.6–10.5% 7.2–11.0%
5–6 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
10.9% 10.0–12.0% 9.7–12.3% 9.5–12.5% 9.1–13.0%
30 October–5 November 2019 ComRes
Remain United
10.8% 10.3–11.3% 10.2–11.5% 10.0–11.6% 9.8–11.9%
1–4 November 2019 YouGov
The Times
10.9% 10.3–11.7% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.1% 9.6–12.4%
1–4 November 2019 ICM Research
Reuters
8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.7–10.2% 7.4–10.6%
31 October–2 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
11.0% 10.0–12.1% 9.7–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.2%
30 October–1 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
7.0% 6.3–7.8% 6.1–8.0% 5.9–8.2% 5.6–8.7%
30 October–1 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
8.9% 8.1–9.8% 7.9–10.0% 7.7–10.2% 7.4–10.6%
30–31 October 2019 Panelbase 9.0% 8.0–10.3% 7.7–10.7% 7.4–11.0% 6.9–11.6%
30–31 October 2019 ORB
The Telegraph
12.0% 11.1–12.9% 10.8–13.2% 10.6–13.4% 10.2–13.9%
30–31 October 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
10.1% 9.1–11.1% 8.9–11.4% 8.7–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
29–30 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
13.1% 12.1–14.2% 11.8–14.5% 11.6–14.8% 11.1–15.3%
29–30 October 2019 Survation 12.0% 10.8–13.4% 10.4–13.8% 10.1–14.1% 9.6–14.8%
17–28 October 2019 YouGov 11.8% 11.4–12.2% 11.3–12.3% 11.2–12.4% 11.1–12.6%
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos MORI 7.0% 6.0–8.1% 5.8–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
24–25 October 2019 YouGov 12.0% 11.0–13.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.5–13.6% 10.0–14.1%
23–25 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer
10.0% 9.2–11.0% 9.0–11.2% 8.8–11.4% 8.4–11.9%
20–21 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
10.8% 9.9–11.9% 9.6–12.2% 9.4–12.4% 9.0–12.9%
18–21 October 2019 Deltapoll 11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.4% 9.3–12.9%
17–18 October 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
12.8% 11.5–14.2% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
17–18 October 2019 Panelbase 11.1% 9.9–12.5% 9.6–12.9% 9.3–13.2% 8.8–13.9%
15–17 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer
11.8% 11.0–12.8% 10.7–13.1% 10.5–13.3% 10.1–13.8%
16–17 October 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
11.8% 10.9–12.8% 10.7–13.0% 10.5–13.3% 10.1–13.7%
14–15 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
11.1% 10.1–12.1% 9.9–12.4% 9.6–12.7% 9.2–13.2%
10–15 October 2019 Kantar Public 8.0% 7.1–9.1% 6.8–9.4% 6.6–9.7% 6.2–10.3%
9–11 October 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times
12.1% 11.2–13.1% 10.9–13.3% 10.7–13.6% 10.3–14.1%
9–10 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Express
12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.9–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–14.0%
8–9 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
11.8% 10.8–12.9% 10.6–13.2% 10.3–13.5% 9.9–14.0%
4–6 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
12.8% 11.8–13.8% 11.6–14.1% 11.4–14.3% 10.9–14.8%
3–4 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer
12.2% 11.3–13.2% 11.0–13.4% 10.8–13.7% 10.4–14.2%
1–4 October 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
11.0% 10.1–12.1% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.7% 9.1–13.3%
30 September–1 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
12.0% 11.0–13.0% 10.7–13.4% 10.5–13.6% 10.0–14.2%
26–27 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
12.9% 11.9–14.1% 11.6–14.4% 11.4–14.7% 10.9–15.2%
25–27 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
11.0% 10.1–11.9% 9.9–12.2% 9.7–12.4% 9.3–12.9%
24–25 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
13.5% 12.4–14.6% 12.1–14.9% 11.9–15.2% 11.4–15.8%
25 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
16.0% 14.6–17.6% 14.2–18.0% 13.9–18.4% 13.2–19.2%
24 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
13.5% 12.2–15.0% 11.9–15.4% 11.6–15.8% 11.0–16.5%
19–20 September 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote
14.1% 13.1–15.1% 12.8–15.4% 12.6–15.7% 12.1–16.2%
19–20 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
12.1% 11.2–13.1% 10.9–13.3% 10.7–13.6% 10.3–14.1%
18–19 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
13.2% 12.3–14.2% 12.0–14.5% 11.8–14.7% 11.3–15.2%
17–18 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
13.7% 12.6–14.8% 12.3–15.2% 12.1–15.5% 11.6–16.0%
13–16 September 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
10.0% 8.9–11.4% 8.6–11.7% 8.3–12.1% 7.8–12.7%
12–15 September 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
11–13 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
13.1% 12.2–14.1% 11.9–14.4% 11.7–14.6% 11.2–15.1%
9–10 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
13.9% 12.9–15.0% 12.6–15.4% 12.3–15.7% 11.8–16.2%
5–9 September 2019 Kantar Public 7.0% 6.1–8.1% 5.9–8.4% 5.7–8.6% 5.3–9.2%
6–8 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
12.9% 12.0–14.0% 11.8–14.2% 11.5–14.5% 11.1–15.0%
5–7 September 2019 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday
13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
5–6 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
11.9% 11.0–13.0% 10.7–13.3% 10.5–13.6% 10.0–14.1%
5–6 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
16.9% 15.4–18.5% 15.0–18.9% 14.7–19.3% 14.0–20.1%
5–6 September 2019 Panelbase 15.1% 13.7–16.6% 13.4–17.1% 13.0–17.5% 12.4–18.2%
4–6 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
12.9% 12.0–14.0% 11.8–14.2% 11.5–14.5% 11.1–15.0%
4–6 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
3–6 September 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
12.2% 11.2–13.4% 10.9–13.7% 10.7–14.0% 10.2–14.6%
3–4 September 2019 Hanbury Strategy 14.0% 12.6–15.5% 12.3–15.9% 11.9–16.3% 11.3–17.0%
2–3 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
10.9% 10.0–12.0% 9.7–12.3% 9.5–12.5% 9.1–13.0%
29–31 August 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
13.7% 12.8–14.7% 12.5–15.0% 12.3–15.3% 11.8–15.8%
29–30 August 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
13.8% 12.5–15.3% 12.1–15.7% 11.8–16.1% 11.2–16.8%
28–29 August 2019 YouGov 11.8% 10.9–12.8% 10.7–13.1% 10.4–13.4% 10.0–13.9%
27–28 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
12.9% 12.0–13.9% 11.7–14.2% 11.5–14.5% 11.1–15.0%
22–23 August 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
14.2% 13.3–15.3% 13.0–15.6% 12.8–15.8% 12.3–16.3%
21–23 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer
15.8% 14.8–16.9% 14.5–17.2% 14.3–17.5% 13.8–18.0%
20–21 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
11.9% 10.9–13.0% 10.7–13.3% 10.5–13.5% 10.0–14.1%
15–19 August 2019 Kantar Public 4.9% 4.2–5.9% 4.0–6.1% 3.8–6.4% 3.5–6.8%
13–14 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
13.8% 12.8–15.0% 12.5–15.3% 12.2–15.6% 11.8–16.2%
7–12 August 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
11.9% 10.9–13.1% 10.7–13.4% 10.4–13.7% 10.0–14.2%
6–11 August 2019 Survation 15.1% 14.1–16.2% 13.8–16.5% 13.6–16.7% 13.2–17.2%
9–11 August 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
15.9% 14.9–17.0% 14.6–17.3% 14.4–17.6% 13.9–18.1%
8–9 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer
16.1% 15.1–17.2% 14.8–17.5% 14.5–17.8% 14.1–18.3%
5–6 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
13.9% 12.8–15.0% 12.5–15.4% 12.3–15.7% 11.8–16.2%
29–30 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
9.3% 8.6–10.2% 8.3–10.5% 8.2–10.7% 7.8–11.1%
26–30 July 2019 Ipsos MORI 11.5% 10.3–12.9% 10.0–13.3% 9.7–13.6% 9.1–14.3%
26–28 July 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
14.7% 13.7–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.2–16.3% 12.7–16.8%
25–27 July 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
25–26 July 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
13.0% 12.0–14.1% 11.7–14.4% 11.4–14.7% 11.0–15.2%
24–26 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer
14.7% 13.7–15.7% 13.4–16.0% 13.2–16.3% 12.7–16.8%
24–25 July 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
16.1% 15.1–17.2% 14.8–17.5% 14.5–17.7% 14.1–18.3%
23–24 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
16.6% 15.5–17.8% 15.2–18.2% 14.9–18.5% 14.4–19.1%
16–17 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
19.1% 17.9–20.3% 17.6–20.7% 17.3–21.0% 16.8–21.6%
15–16 July 2019 ComRes 18.7% 17.7–19.9% 17.4–20.2% 17.1–20.5% 16.6–21.1%
10–11 July 2019 Survation 19.8% 18.2–21.4% 17.8–21.9% 17.4–22.3% 16.7–23.2%
10–11 July 2019 ComRes
The Express
20.0% 18.8–21.2% 18.5–21.6% 18.2–21.9% 17.6–22.5%
9–10 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
20.9% 19.6–22.2% 19.3–22.6% 19.0–22.9% 18.4–23.5%
5–7 July 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
19.3% 18.2–20.5% 17.9–20.8% 17.6–21.1% 17.1–21.7%
3–5 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer
21.7% 20.6–23.0% 20.3–23.3% 20.0–23.6% 19.4–24.2%
2–5 July 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
14.1% 13.0–15.3% 12.7–15.6% 12.4–15.9% 11.9–16.5%
2–3 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
22.9% 21.6–24.3% 21.2–24.6% 20.9–25.0% 20.3–25.7%
24–25 June 2019 YouGov
The Times
22.0% 20.8–23.2% 20.5–23.5% 20.2–23.8% 19.7–24.4%
21–25 June 2019 Ipsos MORI 12.2% 11.0–13.6% 10.6–14.0% 10.3–14.3% 9.8–15.0%
19–20 June 2019 Survation
Daily Mail on Sunday
19.8% 18.7–21.0% 18.4–21.3% 18.1–21.6% 17.6–22.2%
19–20 June 2019 Opinium
The Observer
23.0% 21.8–24.2% 21.5–24.6% 21.2–24.9% 20.7–25.5%
13–14 June 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
24.1% 22.8–25.5% 22.4–25.9% 22.1–26.2% 21.5–26.9%
9–10 June 2019 YouGov
The Times
26.2% 24.9–27.6% 24.5–28.0% 24.2–28.3% 23.5–29.0%
7–9 June 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
21.8% 20.6–23.0% 20.3–23.3% 20.0–23.6% 19.5–24.2%
4–7 June 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
17.8% 16.6–19.1% 16.3–19.5% 16.0–19.8% 15.4–20.5%
4–6 June 2019 YouGov
The Times
25.9% 24.5–27.3% 24.1–27.8% 23.8–28.1% 23.2–28.8%
28–30 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer
26.0% 24.8–27.3% 24.4–27.6% 24.1–28.0% 23.5–28.6%
29–30 May 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
23.5% 22.4–24.6% 22.1–25.0% 21.9–25.3% 21.4–25.8%
28–29 May 2019 YouGov
The Times
22.0% 20.7–23.3% 20.4–23.6% 20.1–23.9% 19.5–24.6%
23–24 May 2019 Lord Ashcroft 18.0% 17.5–18.5% 17.4–18.7% 17.3–18.8% 17.0–19.0%
22 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
12.0% 11.1–13.0% 10.8–13.2% 10.6–13.5% 10.2–13.9%
14–21 May 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times
19.0% 17.9–20.1% 17.6–20.5% 17.3–20.8% 16.8–21.3%
17–20 May 2019 Opinium
The Times
25.4% 24.2–26.7% 23.9–27.1% 23.6–27.4% 23.0–28.0%
8–17 May 2019 YouGov
Best For Britain
18.0% 17.5–18.5% 17.3–18.7% 17.2–18.8% 17.0–19.1%
17 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
12.8% 11.5–14.3% 11.2–14.7% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
14–16 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer
24.2% 23.0–25.5% 22.6–25.8% 22.4–26.1% 21.8–26.7%
13–14 May 2019 YouGov
The Times
17.8% 16.7–19.1% 16.3–19.4% 16.0–19.8% 15.5–20.4%
10–14 May 2019 Ipsos MORI 15.6% 14.2–17.1% 13.9–17.5% 13.5–17.9% 12.9–18.6%
9–13 May 2019 Kantar Public 10.0% 8.9–11.2% 8.6–11.6% 8.4–11.9% 7.9–12.5%
9–13 May 2019 Hanbury Strategy 18.8% 17.7–20.0% 17.4–20.3% 17.1–20.6% 16.6–21.1%
10–12 May 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
20.4% 19.3–21.6% 19.0–21.9% 18.7–22.2% 18.2–22.8%
8–10 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer
21.0% 19.8–22.2% 19.5–22.5% 19.2–22.8% 18.7–23.4%
7–10 May 2019 BMG Research 10.0% 9.1–11.1% 8.8–11.3% 8.6–11.6% 8.2–12.1%
8–9 May 2019 YouGov
The Times
18.2% 17.1–19.3% 16.9–19.6% 16.6–19.8% 16.1–20.4%
9 May 2019 ComRes
Brexit Express
19.8% 18.7–21.0% 18.4–21.3% 18.1–21.6% 17.6–22.2%
3–7 May 2019 Opinium 17.0% 15.8–18.3% 15.5–18.6% 15.2–18.9% 14.6–19.6%
29–30 April 2019 YouGov 14.8% 13.8–16.0% 13.5–16.4% 13.2–16.7% 12.7–17.2%
23–24 April 2019 YouGov
The Times
14.0% 13.0–15.1% 12.7–15.4% 12.5–15.7% 12.0–16.2%
18–24 April 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times
12.9% 11.9–13.9% 11.7–14.1% 11.5–14.4% 11.0–14.9%
21–23 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer
17.0% 15.7–18.4% 15.3–18.9% 15.0–19.2% 14.4–19.9%
16–17 April 2019 YouGov
The Times
12.0% 11.1–13.1% 10.8–13.4% 10.6–13.6% 10.1–14.2%
17 April 2019 OnePoll
The Sun on Sunday
14.0% 13.0–15.0% 12.8–15.3% 12.5–15.6% 12.1–16.1%
16–17 April 2019 ORB
The Telegraph
14.0% 12.9–15.2% 12.6–15.6% 12.4–15.9% 11.9–16.4%
9–12 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 April 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 April 2019 Hanbury Strategy
Open Europe
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–6 April 2019 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–5 April 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–3 April 2019 YouGov 5.0% 4.4–5.8% 4.2–6.0% 4.1–6.2% 3.8–6.5%
28–30 March 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 March 2019 YouGov
The Times
5.0% 4.5–5.7% 4.3–5.9% 4.2–6.1% 3.9–6.4%
20–22 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–19 March 2019 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 March 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote
0.0% 3.6–4.8% 3.4–5.0% 3.3–5.1% 3.0–5.5%
15 March 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–15 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 March 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 March 2019 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 March 2019 YouGov
The Times
3.0% 2.6–3.5% 2.5–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.2–4.1%
26 February–1 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 February 2019 YouGov
The Times
2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.4–2.8% 1.2–3.0%
21–23 February 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 February 2019 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18 February 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–11 February 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–8 February 2019 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–5 February 2019 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 February 2019 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January–1 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–25 January 2019 Opinium
People’s Vote
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 January 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 January 2019 ICM Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–17 January 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Politico
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 January 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 January 2019 ComRes
Daily Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 January 2019 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–14 January 2019 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–11 January 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 January 2019 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21 December 2018–4 January 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 December 2018 Opinium 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 December 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 December 2018 YouGov
People’s Vote
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 December 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 December 2018 Populus 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–7 December 2018 YouGov
The Sunday Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 December 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–5 December 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 December 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 November–2 December 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 November 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 November 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 November 2018 Opinium 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 November 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–12 November 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 November 2018 Panelbase
Constitutional Commission
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 November 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20 October–2 November 2018 Survation
Channel 4
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
29–30 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 October 2018 ICM Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–26 October 2018 Deltapoll
Mirror
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–22 October 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–15 October 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10 October 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 October 2018 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 October 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 September–1 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–28 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 September 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–24 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
21–22 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–20 September 2018 Opinium 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–18 September 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 September 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–9 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 September 2018 Survation
Daily Mail
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–7 September 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 August–1 September 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
17–19 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–17 August 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–16 August 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 August 2018 Number Cruncher Politics 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–13 August 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–10 August 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30–31 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–24 July 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–23 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–22 July 2018 ICM Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 July 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 July 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–11 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–9 July 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 July 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 July 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–5 July 2018 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
3–4 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–27 June 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–26 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
22–24 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 June 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–19 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–8 June 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–7 June 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 May–4 June 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
25–29 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
18–22 May 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–21 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 May 2018 ComRes
Daily Mail
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
15–16 May 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–14 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–13 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–10 May 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
8–9 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
1–4 May 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
30 April–1 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27–29 April 2018 ComRes
Daily Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
24–25 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
20–24 April 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14 April 2018 Survation
The Mail on Sunday
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–13 April 2018 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–12 April 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 April 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–10 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
4–5 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
27 March–5 April 2018 Number Cruncher Politics 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 March 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–18 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–16 March 2018 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
14–15 March 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
13–15 March 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 March 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–7 March 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 March 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–20 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–19 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–13 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–12 February 2018 Kantar Public 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 February 2018 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–8 February 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
5–6 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
28–29 January 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–29 January 2018 Survation 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19–23 January 2018 Ipsos MORI 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
10–19 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
16–17 January 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
12–14 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 January 2018 Opinium
The Observer
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
9–12 January 2018 BMG Research 0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 January 2018 YouGov
The Times
0.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Brexit Party.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0.5% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 21% 99.5%  
2.5–3.5% 51% 79% Median
3.5–4.5% 25% 28%  
4.5–5.5% 3% 3%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 8 June 2017)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 0 0 0 0 0
10–11 December 2019 Survation 0 0 0 0 0
10–11 December 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
10–11 December 2019 Opinium 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 December 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
0 0 0 0 0
9–11 December 2019 Deltapoll 0 0 0 0 0
6–11 December 2019 BMG Research 0 0 0 0 0
8–10 December 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Bloomberg
0 0 0 0 0
9–10 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
6–9 December 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
5–8 December 2019 Qriously 0 0 0 0 0
6–8 December 2019 ComRes
Remain United
0 0 0 0 0
5–7 December 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain
0 0 0 0 0
5–7 December 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0 0 0 0 0
5–6 December 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
0 0 0 0 0
4–6 December 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
4–6 December 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
4–6 December 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
0 0 0 0 0
4–5 December 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
2–4 December 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
0 0 0 0 0
2–3 December 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
0 0 0 0 0
2–3 December 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
28 November–2 December 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
29 November–2 December 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
26–30 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain
0 0 0 0 0
28–30 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0 0 0 0 0
28–29 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
0 0 0 0 0
27–29 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
27–28 November 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
27–28 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
26–27 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
0 0 0 0 0
25–26 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
0 0 0 0 0
25–26 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
21–25 November 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
22–25 November 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
20–23 November 2019 Survation
Good Morning Britain
0 0 0 0 0
21–23 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0 0 0 0 0
21–22 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
0 0 0 0 0
20–22 November 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
20–22 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
20–21 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Express
0 0 0 0 0
19–21 November 2019 BMG Research 0 0 0 0 0
12–20 November 2019 YouGov 0 0 0 0 0
18–19 November 2019 YouGov
The Times
0 0 0 0 0
15–19 November 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
0 0 0 0 0
18–19 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
14–18 November 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
15–18 November 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
14–16 November 2019 Survation 0 0 0 0 0
10–16 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0 0 0 0 0
14–15 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
0 0 0 0 0
13–15 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
9–15 November 2019 BMG Research 0 0 0 0 0
13–14 November 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
13–14 November 2019 ComRes
The Sunday Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
11–12 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
0 0 0 0 0
11–12 November 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
0 0 0 0 0
7–11 November 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
8–11 November 2019 ICM Research 0 0 0 0 0
8–10 November 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
0 0 0 0 0
6–9 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0 0 0 0 0
7–8 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times and Sky News
0 0 0 0 0
6–8 November 2019 Survation 0 0 0 0 0
6–8 November 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
6–8 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
5–8 November 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
0 0 0 0 0
5–6 November 2019 YouGov
The Times and Sky News
0 0 0 0 0–2
30 October–5 November 2019 ComRes
Remain United
0 0 0 0 0
1–4 November 2019 YouGov
The Times
0 0 0 0 0
1–4 November 2019 ICM Research
Reuters
0 0 0 0 0
31 October–2 November 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
0 0 0 0 0
30 October–1 November 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
0 0 0 0 0
30 October–1 November 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
30–31 October 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0 0 0
30–31 October 2019 ORB
The Telegraph
0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–2
30–31 October 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
0 0 0 0 0
29–30 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
3 1–5 0–6 0–6 0–7
29–30 October 2019 Survation 0 0–2 0–3 0–5 0–7
17–28 October 2019 YouGov 0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–3
25–28 October 2019 Ipsos MORI 0 0 0 0 0
24–25 October 2019 YouGov 0 0–1 0–2 0–4 0–6
23–25 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0 0 0 0
20–21 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
0 0–1 0–2 0–2 0–3
18–21 October 2019 Deltapoll 0 0 0 0–1 0–2
17–18 October 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
3 0–7 0–8 0–9 0–11
17–18 October 2019 Panelbase 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–2
15–17 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–4
16–17 October 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3
14–15 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
0 0 0–1 0–1 0–3
10–15 October 2019 Kantar Public 0 0 0 0 0
9–11 October 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times
1 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
9–10 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Express
1 0–2 0–2 0–3 0–4
8–9 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
1 0–4 0–4 0–5 0–6
4–6 October 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
2 1–3 0–4 0–5 0–7
3–4 October 2019 Opinium
The Observer
0 0–1 0–2 0–3 0–4
1–4 October 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
0 0–2 0–2 0–2 0–3
30 September–1 October 2019 YouGov
The Times
35 29–46 19–52 19–53 19–62
26–27 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
47 27–63 20–69 19–70 19–72
25–27 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
18 13–24 12–24 10–27 10–33
24–25 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
53 42–70 38–77 37–81 32–90
25 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
88 60–121 52–132 48–142 41–157
24 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
33 25–52 22–61 21–67 15–81
19–20 September 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote
65 50–71 47–72 42–78 38–88
19–20 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
28 21–41 20–48 18–51 17–58
18–19 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
31 30–45 29–45 25–45 20–46
17–18 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
68 53–75 46–75 41–82 40–86
13–16 September 2019 Ipsos MORI
Evening Standard
12 7–24 5–28 4–34 3–36
12–15 September 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
32 28–42 24–46 22–49 20–55
11–13 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
28 26–33 23–37 20–40 18–50
9–10 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
54 45–69 41–73 37–73 27–84
5–9 September 2019 Kantar Public 3 2–3 2–5 2–7 1–12
6–8 September 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
30 22–37 20–40 18–41 16–47
5–7 September 2019 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday
29 19–40 19–43 19–45 14–47
5–6 September 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
29 26–51 25–59 20–59 17–72
5–6 September 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
94 66–126 59–137 56–142 48–157
5–6 September 2019 Panelbase 4 2–7 2–9 2–10 1–15
4–6 September 2019 Opinium
The Observer
35 17–41 17–45 17–50 15–59
4–6 September 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
31 23–43 22–44 20–47 13–50
3–6 September 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
4 2–4 1–4 0–6 0–8
3–4 September 2019 Hanbury Strategy 44 32–50 31–58 29–60 23–67
2–3 September 2019 YouGov
The Times
13 9–21 9–28 9–33 8–36
29–31 August 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
50 38–58 37–60 34–65 22–65
29–30 August 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
47 38–67 30–69 29–79 19–92
28–29 August 2019 YouGov 33 26–53 26–53 19–58 16–59
27–28 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
56 33–57 28–58 28–61 23–72
22–23 August 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
78 64–83 62–83 52–83 46–89
21–23 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer
55 47–70 47–76 45–87 40–91
20–21 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
39 27–52 19–56 19–56 15–67
15–19 August 2019 Kantar Public 1 1 1–2 1–2 0–2
13–14 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
59 47–83 45–90 44–100 40–104
7–12 August 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
27 21–39 19–39 17–43 12–50
6–11 August 2019 Survation 65 49–84 46–92 46–96 40–111
9–11 August 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
57 46–70 44–83 43–87 35–91
8–9 August 2019 Opinium
The Observer
50 45–70 36–78 33–89 31–93
5–6 August 2019 YouGov
The Times
50 41–70 39–86 38–90 27–103
29–30 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
12 9–19 7–20 7–20 5–20
26–30 July 2019 Ipsos MORI 37 19–46 14–51 12–53 8–63
26–28 July 2019 ComRes
Britain Elects
49 32–57 30–58 28–66 26–72
25–27 July 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
45 39–62 36–67 31–69 29–77
25–26 July 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
48 41–62 35–69 32–72 26–79
24–26 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer
46 35–64 31–73 30–77 28–82
24–25 July 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
64 55–83 49–92 41–92 38–104
23–24 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
136 114–169 111–179 104–181 92–202
16–17 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
169 144–203 127–205 124–209 116–221
15–16 July 2019 ComRes 128 103–163 94–173 89–180 76–192
10–11 July 2019 Survation 157 123–195 113–202 104–211 87–227
10–11 July 2019 ComRes
The Express
160 131–193 124–193 117–200 104–213
9–10 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
214 192–238 180–243 173–250 158–258
5–7 July 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
131 110–162 105–172 99–178 83–192
3–5 July 2019 Opinium
The Observer
223 194–230 185–244 177–249 165–260
2–5 July 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
44 30–63 28–67 27–76 24–90
2–3 July 2019 YouGov
The Times
244 220–260 217–267 213–272 190–279
24–25 June 2019 YouGov
The Times
241 221–259 217–265 209–266 198–270
21–25 June 2019 Ipsos MORI 37 24–56 22–59 19–66 13–82
19–20 June 2019 Survation
Daily Mail on Sunday
170 141–193 136–197 131–207 118–217
19–20 June 2019 Opinium
The Observer
239 226–255 217–260 213–263 197–267
13–14 June 2019 YouGov
The Sunday Times
263 244–277 240–278 236–279 226–281
9–10 June 2019 YouGov
The Times
331 307–345 290–345 284–350 262–355
7–9 June 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
205 180–225 172–232 165–237 156–246
4–7 June 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
105 84–146 77–159 76–169 67–174
4–6 June 2019 YouGov
The Times
281 271–290 268–292 267–295 261–298
28–30 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer
276 270–287 269–290 268–292 264–293
29–30 May 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
248 236–264 230–266 226–268 217–271
28–29 May 2019 YouGov
The Times
250 239–259 235–262 230–266 220–270
23–24 May 2019 Lord Ashcroft 219 206–228 202–231 198–233 192–237
22 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
17 12–24 11–26 10–27 6–30
14–21 May 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times
146 119–169 118–175 108–182 95–194
17–20 May 2019 Opinium
The Times
256 237–268 236–270 230–273 216–279
8–17 May 2019 YouGov
Best For Britain
143 134–159 131–163 129–166 120–175
17 May 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
25 16–37 14–41 13–48 9–59
14–16 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer
231 213–252 202–255 195–259 184–265
13–14 May 2019 YouGov
The Times
133 100–165 92–176 88–179 78–191
10–14 May 2019 Ipsos MORI 85 56–125 48–129 42–140 32–160
9–13 May 2019 Kantar Public 8 3–15 2–17 2–18 2–21
9–13 May 2019 Hanbury Strategy 152 125–176 119–186 110–191 98–202
10–12 May 2019 ComRes
Daily Telegraph
195 168–222 161–228 154–235 147–240
8–10 May 2019 Opinium
The Observer
188 165–219 158–226 152–230 142–241
7–10 May 2019 BMG Research 10 4–16 2–20 2–22 2–25
8–9 May 2019 YouGov
The Times
146 120–180 109–187 102–194 91–198
9 May 2019 ComRes
Brexit Express
201 177–223 168–230 160–236 151–242
3–7 May 2019 Opinium 85 65–119 61–125 56–132 42–146
29–30 April 2019 YouGov 45 32–66 31–76 29–83 25–89
23–24 April 2019 YouGov
The Times
31 27–48 26–52 24–62 23–71
18–24 April 2019 Panelbase
The Sunday Times
18 14–26 13–28 12–33 10–40
21–23 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer
63 45–97 35–106 32–113 29–139
16–17 April 2019 YouGov
The Times
22 15–28 12–30 9–32 6–34
17 April 2019 OnePoll
The Sun on Sunday
43 29–55 27–59 24–66 18–79
16–17 April 2019 ORB
The Telegraph
43 32–66 29–70 25–72 20–76
9–12 April 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
4–8 April 2019 Kantar Public          
5–8 April 2019 Hanbury Strategy
Open Europe
         
3–6 April 2019 Survation          
2–5 April 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
         
2–3 April 2019 YouGov 0 0 0 0 0–1
28–30 March 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
         
28–29 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
24–25 March 2019 YouGov
The Times
1 1 1 0–1 0–1
20–22 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
15–19 March 2019 Ipsos MORI          
14–15 March 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote
0 0 0 0 0
15 March 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
         
12–15 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
7–11 March 2019 Kantar Public          
4–8 March 2019 BMG Research          
3–4 March 2019 YouGov
The Times
0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
26 February–1 March 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
22–23 February 2019 YouGov
The Times
0 0 0 0 0
21–23 February 2019 Deltapoll
The Mail on Sunday
         
18–19 February 2019 YouGov
The Times
         
18 February 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
         
13–15 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
7–11 February 2019 Kantar Public          
4–8 February 2019 BMG Research          
1–5 February 2019 Ipsos MORI          
3–4 February 2019 YouGov
The Times
         
30 January–1 February 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
30 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
         
23–25 January 2019 Opinium
People’s Vote
         
16–18 January 2019 Opinium
The Observer
         
16–18 January 2019 ICM Research          
10–17 January 2019 Number Cruncher Politics
Politico
         
16–17 January 2019 ComRes
Sunday Express
         
14–15 January 2019 ComRes
Daily Express
         
13–14 January 2019 YouGov
The Times
         
10–14 January 2019 Kantar Public          
10–11 January 2019 Survation
Daily Mail
         
8–11 January 2019 BMG Research
The Independent
         
6–7 January 2019 YouGov
The Times
         
21 December 2018–4 January 2019 YouGov
People’s Vote
         
18–20 December 2018 Opinium          
16–17 December 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
12–14 December 2018 YouGov
People’s Vote
         
13–14 December 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
10–11 December 2018 Populus          
6–7 December 2018 YouGov
The Sunday Times
         
5–6 December 2018 Kantar Public          
30 November–5 December 2018 Ipsos MORI          
3–4 December 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
30 November–2 December 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
         
26–27 November 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
18–19 November 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
14–15 November 2018 Opinium          
14–15 November 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
         
8–12 November 2018 Kantar Public          
2–7 November 2018 Panelbase
Constitutional Commission
         
4–5 November 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
20 October–2 November 2018 Survation
Channel 4
         
29–30 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
26–28 October 2018 ICM Research          
24–26 October 2018 Deltapoll
Mirror
         
22–23 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
19–22 October 2018 Ipsos MORI          
14–15 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
11–15 October 2018 Kantar Public          
11–12 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
10 October 2018 Survation          
8–9 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
4–7 October 2018 BMG Research          
3–5 October 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
3–5 October 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
         
30 September–1 October 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
28–29 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK
         
26–28 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
26–27 September 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
         
24–25 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
21–24 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
21–22 September 2018 BMG Research
HuffPost UK
         
18–20 September 2018 Opinium          
18–19 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
14–18 September 2018 Ipsos MORI          
12–13 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
11–13 September 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
6–10 September 2018 Kantar Public          
7–9 September 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
7 September 2018 Survation
Daily Mail
         
4–7 September 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
         
3–4 September 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
31 August–1 September 2018 Survation          
28–29 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
20–21 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
17–19 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
14–17 August 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
14–16 August 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday
         
13–14 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
9–13 August 2018 Number Cruncher Politics          
9–13 August 2018 Kantar Public          
6–10 August 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
         
8–9 August 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
3–5 August 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
30–31 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
20–24 July 2018 Ipsos MORI          
22–23 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
20–22 July 2018 ICM Research          
19–20 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
16–17 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
12–14 July 2018 Deltapoll
The Sun on Sunday
         
10–13 July 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
10–11 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
8–9 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
5–9 July 2018 Kantar Public          
6–9 July 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
7 July 2018 Survation          
3–5 July 2018 BMG Research          
3–4 July 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
22–27 June 2018 Ipsos MORI          
25–26 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
22–24 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
19–20 June 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain
         
18–19 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
11–12 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
8–10 June 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
5–8 June 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
         
5–7 June 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
4–5 June 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
31 May–4 June 2018 Survation          
28–29 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
25–29 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
18–22 May 2018 Ipsos MORI          
20–21 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
16–17 May 2018 ComRes
Daily Mail
         
15–16 May 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
13–14 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
11–13 May 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
8–10 May 2018 Survation          
8–9 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
1–4 May 2018 BMG Research
The Independent
         
30 April–1 May 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
27–29 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
27–29 April 2018 ComRes
Daily Express
         
24–25 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
20–24 April 2018 Ipsos MORI          
16–17 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
14 April 2018 Survation
The Mail on Sunday
         
10–13 April 2018 BMG Research          
10–12 April 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
11–12 April 2018 ComRes
Sunday Express
         
9–10 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
6–8 April 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
4–5 April 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
27 March–5 April 2018 Number Cruncher Politics          
26–27 March 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
16–18 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
13–16 March 2018 BMG Research          
14–15 March 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
13–15 March 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
7–8 March 2018 Survation
Good Morning Britain
         
2–7 March 2018 Ipsos MORI          
5–6 March 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
2–4 March 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
26–27 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
19–20 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
16–19 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
12–13 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
6–12 February 2018 Kantar Public          
6–9 February 2018 BMG Research          
6–8 February 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
5–6 February 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
2–4 February 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
28–29 January 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
26–29 January 2018 Survation          
19–23 January 2018 Ipsos MORI          
10–19 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
16–17 January 2018 YouGov
The Times
         
12–14 January 2018 ICM Research
The Guardian
         
11–12 January 2018 Opinium
The Observer
         
9–12 January 2018 BMG Research          
7–8 January 2018 YouGov
The Times
         

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Brexit Party.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median