Opinion Poll by YouGov for The Sunday Times, 21–22 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 41.9% 40.4–43.5% 39.9–43.9% 39.6–44.3% 38.8–45.1%
Labour Party 41.0% 29.9% 28.5–31.4% 28.1–31.8% 27.8–32.2% 27.1–32.9%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 16.0% 14.9–17.2% 14.6–17.5% 14.3–17.8% 13.8–18.4%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
Green Party 1.7% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–4.9% 3.2–5.0% 2.9–5.4%
Brexit Party 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.6% 2.4–3.8% 2.3–3.9% 2.1–4.2%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 350 329–364 324–368 318–372 309–383
Labour Party 262 190 180–208 178–213 174–218 163–225
Liberal Democrats 12 42 36–47 36–48 34–49 32–51
Scottish National Party 35 50 41–51 39–53 39–53 35–54
Green Party 1 1 1 1–2 1–2 1–2
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–3 0–3 0–4 0–4

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.2% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.2%  
313 0.3% 99.1%  
314 0.1% 98.8%  
315 0.3% 98.7%  
316 0.3% 98%  
317 0.3% 98% Last Result
318 0.4% 98%  
319 0.7% 97%  
320 0.4% 97%  
321 0.3% 96%  
322 0.6% 96%  
323 0.2% 95%  
324 0.2% 95%  
325 0.6% 95%  
326 0.9% 94% Majority
327 0.7% 94%  
328 2% 93%  
329 1.3% 91%  
330 2% 90%  
331 2% 87%  
332 2% 85%  
333 0.7% 84%  
334 1.3% 83%  
335 1.0% 82%  
336 2% 81%  
337 0.7% 79%  
338 3% 78%  
339 2% 76%  
340 3% 74%  
341 2% 71%  
342 2% 70%  
343 1.1% 68%  
344 3% 67%  
345 4% 63%  
346 1.3% 60%  
347 2% 59%  
348 3% 57%  
349 3% 54%  
350 3% 51% Median
351 4% 48%  
352 2% 44%  
353 3% 42%  
354 3% 39%  
355 2% 36%  
356 4% 34%  
357 5% 30%  
358 3% 25%  
359 2% 22%  
360 2% 20%  
361 3% 18%  
362 1.4% 15%  
363 3% 14%  
364 2% 11%  
365 1.0% 9%  
366 1.3% 8%  
367 1.0% 7%  
368 1.4% 6%  
369 0.5% 4%  
370 0.8% 4%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.5% 2%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.1% 1.3%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.0%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.8%  
381 0.1% 0.7%  
382 0% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.6%  
163 0% 99.5%  
164 0.1% 99.5%  
165 0% 99.4%  
166 0.1% 99.3%  
167 0.1% 99.2%  
168 0.2% 99.2%  
169 0.2% 99.0%  
170 0.2% 98.8%  
171 0.1% 98.6%  
172 0.3% 98.6%  
173 0.6% 98%  
174 0.5% 98%  
175 0.1% 97%  
176 0.9% 97%  
177 0.8% 96%  
178 1.1% 95%  
179 3% 94%  
180 2% 91%  
181 1.5% 89%  
182 4% 88%  
183 2% 84%  
184 3% 82%  
185 7% 79%  
186 6% 72%  
187 9% 66%  
188 3% 57%  
189 2% 54%  
190 3% 52% Median
191 4% 50%  
192 2% 46%  
193 3% 44%  
194 2% 41%  
195 3% 38%  
196 2% 35%  
197 0.9% 33%  
198 1.4% 33%  
199 2% 31%  
200 2% 29%  
201 2% 27%  
202 1.3% 25%  
203 2% 24%  
204 2% 22%  
205 2% 19%  
206 4% 17%  
207 2% 13%  
208 3% 11%  
209 1.4% 8%  
210 0.7% 7%  
211 0.1% 6%  
212 0.2% 6%  
213 1.0% 6%  
214 0.2% 5%  
215 0.3% 5%  
216 0.5% 4%  
217 1.0% 4%  
218 0.8% 3%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.1% 2%  
221 0% 2%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.4% 2%  
224 0.7% 1.2%  
225 0.1% 0.5%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.1% 100%  
32 0.6% 99.9%  
33 2% 99.3%  
34 0.2% 98%  
35 2% 97%  
36 10% 95%  
37 10% 85%  
38 6% 75%  
39 6% 69%  
40 4% 63%  
41 7% 60%  
42 19% 53% Median
43 5% 34%  
44 8% 29%  
45 2% 21%  
46 7% 19%  
47 4% 13%  
48 4% 9%  
49 2% 4%  
50 1.2% 2%  
51 0.5% 0.8%  
52 0% 0.2%  
53 0% 0.2%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0.1%  
57 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.2% 100%  
34 0.1% 99.7%  
35 0.3% 99.7% Last Result
36 0.2% 99.3%  
37 0.3% 99.2%  
38 0.3% 98.9%  
39 4% 98.6%  
40 2% 94%  
41 3% 92%  
42 3% 89%  
43 2% 86%  
44 0.5% 84%  
45 8% 84%  
46 1.1% 75%  
47 10% 74%  
48 14% 64%  
49 0.3% 51%  
50 27% 50% Median
51 18% 23%  
52 0.3% 5%  
53 5% 5%  
54 0.5% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 91% 100% Last Result, Median
2 9% 9%  
3 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 64% 100% Median
1 2% 36%  
2 10% 34%  
3 20% 24%  
4 4% 4% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 399 100% 380–411 375–414 369–418 361–429
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 398 100% 378–409 373–413 368–417 359–429
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 392 100% 372–404 367–407 361–411 354–422
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 351 95% 330–365 325–369 319–373 311–384
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 350 94% 329–364 324–368 318–372 309–383
Conservative Party 317 350 94% 329–364 324–368 318–372 309–383
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 314 282 0.2% 268–303 264–308 260–314 249–323
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 281 0.1% 267–302 263–306 259–313 248–322
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 280 0.1% 266–301 262–305 258–312 247–320
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 239 0% 227–259 224–263 220–270 209–277
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 238 0% 226–257 222–262 220–268 209–276
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 233 0% 222–252 218–258 214–263 202–271
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 232 0% 220–251 217–256 213–262 202–270
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 191 0% 181–209 179–215 176–220 164–226
Labour Party 262 190 0% 180–208 178–213 174–218 163–225

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.9% Last Result
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.8%  
359 0.1% 99.7%  
360 0.1% 99.6%  
361 0.1% 99.6%  
362 0.2% 99.4%  
363 0.2% 99.2%  
364 0.4% 99.0%  
365 0.3% 98.6%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.3% 98%  
368 0.2% 98%  
369 0.4% 98%  
370 0.6% 97%  
371 0.3% 97%  
372 0.6% 96%  
373 0.4% 96%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 0.4% 95%  
376 1.1% 95%  
377 0.8% 94%  
378 1.0% 93%  
379 1.3% 92%  
380 3% 90%  
381 1.4% 88%  
382 2% 86%  
383 0.9% 85%  
384 3% 84%  
385 2% 81%  
386 1.2% 79%  
387 1.2% 78%  
388 4% 77%  
389 2% 73%  
390 1.3% 72%  
391 3% 70%  
392 1.3% 68%  
393 2% 66%  
394 3% 64%  
395 3% 61%  
396 1.1% 58%  
397 2% 57%  
398 3% 55%  
399 4% 52%  
400 2% 48% Median
401 2% 46%  
402 6% 44%  
403 4% 38%  
404 5% 35%  
405 4% 30%  
406 3% 26%  
407 5% 24%  
408 3% 19%  
409 5% 16%  
410 0.8% 12%  
411 2% 11%  
412 2% 9%  
413 1.4% 7%  
414 0.9% 6%  
415 1.1% 5%  
416 0.7% 4%  
417 0.4% 3%  
418 0.5% 3%  
419 0.3% 2%  
420 0.3% 2%  
421 0.2% 1.5%  
422 0.2% 1.3%  
423 0.1% 1.1%  
424 0.1% 1.0%  
425 0.1% 0.8%  
426 0.1% 0.8%  
427 0% 0.7%  
428 0.1% 0.6%  
429 0.2% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.4%  
431 0.1% 0.3%  
432 0.1% 0.3%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.2%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 99.9% Last Result
353 0% 99.9%  
354 0% 99.9%  
355 0% 99.9%  
356 0% 99.8%  
357 0.1% 99.8%  
358 0.1% 99.7%  
359 0.2% 99.6%  
360 0.2% 99.5%  
361 0.1% 99.3%  
362 0.2% 99.2%  
363 0.2% 99.0%  
364 0.3% 98.8%  
365 0.2% 98%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.3% 98%  
368 0.4% 98%  
369 0.8% 97%  
370 0.6% 96%  
371 0.3% 96%  
372 0.3% 96%  
373 0.4% 95%  
374 0.4% 95%  
375 0.5% 94%  
376 0.9% 94%  
377 1.4% 93%  
378 2% 92%  
379 1.4% 90%  
380 2% 88%  
381 2% 86%  
382 3% 84%  
383 2% 82%  
384 1.3% 80%  
385 0.9% 79%  
386 2% 78%  
387 1.4% 76%  
388 3% 75%  
389 2% 72%  
390 1.4% 70%  
391 3% 69%  
392 2% 66%  
393 3% 64%  
394 3% 61%  
395 3% 58%  
396 2% 55%  
397 2% 53%  
398 2% 51%  
399 3% 49%  
400 3% 46% Median
401 2% 43%  
402 6% 42%  
403 4% 35%  
404 5% 31%  
405 4% 27%  
406 2% 23%  
407 4% 20%  
408 3% 17%  
409 4% 14%  
410 0.7% 10%  
411 2% 9%  
412 1.4% 8%  
413 1.3% 6%  
414 0.8% 5%  
415 1.0% 4%  
416 0.6% 3%  
417 0.3% 3%  
418 0.6% 2%  
419 0.4% 2%  
420 0.2% 1.3%  
421 0.2% 1.1%  
422 0% 1.0%  
423 0.1% 0.9%  
424 0% 0.8%  
425 0.1% 0.8%  
426 0.1% 0.7%  
427 0% 0.6%  
428 0.1% 0.6%  
429 0.2% 0.5%  
430 0% 0.3%  
431 0.1% 0.3%  
432 0.1% 0.2%  
433 0% 0.2%  
434 0% 0.1%  
435 0% 0.1%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
329 0% 100% Last Result
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 99.9%  
348 0% 99.9%  
349 0% 99.9%  
350 0.1% 99.9%  
351 0.1% 99.8%  
352 0.1% 99.7%  
353 0.1% 99.7%  
354 0.2% 99.6%  
355 0.2% 99.3%  
356 0.3% 99.1%  
357 0.1% 98.8%  
358 0.2% 98.7%  
359 0.2% 98%  
360 0.3% 98%  
361 0.6% 98%  
362 0.2% 97%  
363 0.6% 97%  
364 0.4% 97%  
365 0.6% 96%  
366 0.3% 96%  
367 0.3% 95%  
368 0.4% 95%  
369 0.7% 95%  
370 0.8% 94%  
371 0.8% 93%  
372 4% 92%  
373 1.1% 88%  
374 2% 87%  
375 2% 85%  
376 1.1% 82%  
377 2% 81%  
378 3% 80%  
379 1.4% 77%  
380 0.5% 76%  
381 1.0% 75%  
382 2% 74%  
383 3% 72%  
384 2% 69%  
385 2% 68%  
386 3% 66%  
387 3% 63%  
388 1.3% 60%  
389 1.3% 58%  
390 3% 57%  
391 3% 54%  
392 4% 51% Median
393 7% 48%  
394 4% 41%  
395 2% 36%  
396 4% 34%  
397 1.4% 30%  
398 4% 29%  
399 4% 25%  
400 3% 20%  
401 3% 18%  
402 2% 15%  
403 1.5% 12%  
404 2% 11%  
405 1.2% 9%  
406 0.6% 8%  
407 3% 7%  
408 0.5% 5%  
409 0.4% 4%  
410 1.0% 4%  
411 0.6% 3%  
412 0.3% 2%  
413 0.1% 2%  
414 0.2% 2%  
415 0.3% 2%  
416 0.2% 1.3%  
417 0% 1.0%  
418 0.1% 1.0%  
419 0.2% 0.9%  
420 0.2% 0.8%  
421 0.1% 0.6%  
422 0.1% 0.5%  
423 0% 0.4%  
424 0.1% 0.4%  
425 0.1% 0.3%  
426 0% 0.3%  
427 0% 0.2%  
428 0.1% 0.2%  
429 0% 0.2%  
430 0% 0.1%  
431 0% 0.1%  
432 0% 0.1%  
433 0% 0.1%  
434 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
302 0% 100%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.8%  
309 0.1% 99.7%  
310 0.1% 99.6%  
311 0.1% 99.5%  
312 0.1% 99.4%  
313 0.2% 99.3%  
314 0.3% 99.1%  
315 0.2% 98.8%  
316 0.3% 98.6%  
317 0.2% 98%  
318 0.3% 98%  
319 0.4% 98%  
320 0.4% 97%  
321 0.3% 97% Last Result
322 0.8% 97%  
323 0.2% 96%  
324 0.3% 96%  
325 0.6% 95%  
326 0.5% 95% Majority
327 0.5% 94%  
328 2% 94%  
329 0.6% 92%  
330 3% 92%  
331 1.0% 89%  
332 1.3% 88%  
333 2% 86%  
334 1.4% 85%  
335 1.0% 83%  
336 2% 82%  
337 0.9% 81%  
338 2% 80%  
339 2% 78%  
340 4% 76%  
341 1.3% 72%  
342 2% 71%  
343 0.8% 69%  
344 3% 69%  
345 2% 66%  
346 1.2% 63%  
347 3% 62%  
348 2% 59%  
349 2% 57%  
350 3% 54% Median
351 5% 52%  
352 2% 47%  
353 3% 45%  
354 3% 42%  
355 2% 39%  
356 4% 37%  
357 5% 33%  
358 3% 28%  
359 3% 25%  
360 2% 22%  
361 3% 20%  
362 2% 17%  
363 3% 15%  
364 2% 12%  
365 1.4% 10%  
366 1.4% 9%  
367 1.0% 8%  
368 1.4% 7%  
369 0.5% 5%  
370 1.1% 5%  
371 0.5% 4%  
372 0.4% 3%  
373 0.7% 3%  
374 0.5% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.1% 2%  
377 0.2% 1.4%  
378 0.3% 1.2%  
379 0.1% 1.0%  
380 0.1% 0.9%  
381 0.1% 0.8%  
382 0.1% 0.7%  
383 0.1% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0.1% 0.4%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0% 0.3%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0.1% 0.2%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0.1%  
397 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.2% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.2%  
313 0.3% 99.1%  
314 0.1% 98.8%  
315 0.3% 98.7%  
316 0.3% 98%  
317 0.3% 98% Last Result
318 0.4% 98%  
319 0.7% 97%  
320 0.4% 97%  
321 0.3% 96%  
322 0.6% 96%  
323 0.2% 95%  
324 0.2% 95%  
325 0.6% 95%  
326 0.9% 94% Majority
327 0.7% 94%  
328 2% 93%  
329 1.3% 91%  
330 2% 90%  
331 2% 87%  
332 2% 85%  
333 0.7% 84%  
334 1.3% 83%  
335 1.0% 82%  
336 2% 81%  
337 0.7% 79%  
338 3% 78%  
339 2% 76%  
340 3% 74%  
341 2% 71%  
342 2% 70%  
343 1.1% 68%  
344 3% 67%  
345 4% 63%  
346 1.3% 60%  
347 2% 59%  
348 3% 57%  
349 3% 54%  
350 3% 51% Median
351 4% 48%  
352 2% 44%  
353 3% 42%  
354 3% 39%  
355 2% 36%  
356 4% 34%  
357 5% 30%  
358 3% 25%  
359 2% 22%  
360 2% 20%  
361 3% 18%  
362 1.4% 15%  
363 3% 14%  
364 2% 11%  
365 1.0% 9%  
366 1.3% 8%  
367 1.0% 7%  
368 1.4% 6%  
369 0.5% 4%  
370 0.8% 4%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.5% 2%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.1% 1.3%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.0%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.8%  
381 0.1% 0.7%  
382 0% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
301 0% 100%  
302 0% 99.9%  
303 0% 99.9%  
304 0% 99.9%  
305 0% 99.9%  
306 0.1% 99.8%  
307 0.1% 99.8%  
308 0.1% 99.7%  
309 0.2% 99.6%  
310 0.1% 99.5%  
311 0.1% 99.3%  
312 0.1% 99.2%  
313 0.3% 99.1%  
314 0.1% 98.8%  
315 0.3% 98.7%  
316 0.3% 98%  
317 0.3% 98% Last Result
318 0.4% 98%  
319 0.7% 97%  
320 0.4% 97%  
321 0.3% 96%  
322 0.6% 96%  
323 0.2% 95%  
324 0.2% 95%  
325 0.6% 95%  
326 0.9% 94% Majority
327 0.7% 94%  
328 2% 93%  
329 1.3% 91%  
330 2% 90%  
331 2% 87%  
332 2% 85%  
333 0.7% 84%  
334 1.3% 83%  
335 1.0% 82%  
336 2% 81%  
337 0.7% 79%  
338 3% 78%  
339 2% 76%  
340 3% 74%  
341 2% 71%  
342 2% 70%  
343 1.1% 68%  
344 3% 67%  
345 4% 63%  
346 1.3% 60%  
347 2% 59%  
348 3% 57%  
349 3% 54%  
350 3% 51% Median
351 4% 48%  
352 2% 44%  
353 3% 42%  
354 3% 39%  
355 2% 36%  
356 4% 34%  
357 5% 30%  
358 3% 25%  
359 2% 22%  
360 2% 20%  
361 3% 18%  
362 1.4% 15%  
363 3% 14%  
364 2% 11%  
365 1.0% 9%  
366 1.3% 8%  
367 1.0% 7%  
368 1.4% 6%  
369 0.5% 4%  
370 0.8% 4%  
371 0.5% 3%  
372 0.2% 3%  
373 0.5% 2%  
374 0.4% 2%  
375 0.2% 2%  
376 0.1% 1.3%  
377 0.2% 1.2%  
378 0.2% 1.0%  
379 0.1% 0.8%  
380 0.1% 0.8%  
381 0.1% 0.7%  
382 0% 0.6%  
383 0.1% 0.6%  
384 0.1% 0.5%  
385 0% 0.3%  
386 0% 0.3%  
387 0% 0.3%  
388 0.1% 0.2%  
389 0% 0.2%  
390 0% 0.2%  
391 0% 0.1%  
392 0% 0.1%  
393 0% 0.1%  
394 0% 0.1%  
395 0% 0.1%  
396 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Green Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
237 0% 100%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.9%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0.1% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.8%  
246 0% 99.7%  
247 0% 99.7%  
248 0.1% 99.7%  
249 0.1% 99.5%  
250 0% 99.4%  
251 0.1% 99.4%  
252 0.1% 99.3%  
253 0.1% 99.2%  
254 0.2% 99.2%  
255 0.2% 99.0%  
256 0.1% 98.8%  
257 0.2% 98.7%  
258 0.4% 98%  
259 0.5% 98%  
260 0.2% 98%  
261 0.5% 97%  
262 0.8% 97%  
263 0.5% 96%  
264 1.4% 96%  
265 1.0% 94%  
266 1.3% 93%  
267 1.0% 92%  
268 2% 91%  
269 3% 89%  
270 1.4% 86%  
271 3% 85%  
272 2% 82%  
273 2% 80%  
274 3% 78%  
275 5% 75%  
276 4% 70%  
277 2% 66%  
278 3% 64%  
279 3% 61%  
280 2% 58%  
281 4% 56%  
282 3% 52%  
283 3% 49% Median
284 3% 46%  
285 2% 43%  
286 1.3% 41%  
287 4% 40%  
288 3% 37%  
289 1.1% 33%  
290 2% 32%  
291 2% 30%  
292 3% 29%  
293 2% 26%  
294 3% 24%  
295 0.7% 22%  
296 2% 21%  
297 1.0% 19%  
298 1.3% 18%  
299 0.7% 17%  
300 2% 16%  
301 2% 15%  
302 2% 13%  
303 1.3% 10%  
304 2% 9%  
305 0.7% 7%  
306 0.9% 6%  
307 0.6% 6%  
308 0.2% 5%  
309 0.2% 5%  
310 0.6% 5%  
311 0.3% 4%  
312 0.4% 4%  
313 0.7% 3%  
314 0.4% 3% Last Result
315 0.3% 2%  
316 0.3% 2%  
317 0.3% 2%  
318 0.1% 1.3%  
319 0.3% 1.2%  
320 0.1% 0.9%  
321 0.1% 0.8%  
322 0.1% 0.7%  
323 0.2% 0.5%  
324 0.1% 0.4%  
325 0.1% 0.3%  
326 0.1% 0.2% Majority
327 0% 0.2%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0.1%  
332 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
236 0% 100%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.9%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0.1% 99.8%  
244 0% 99.8%  
245 0% 99.7%  
246 0% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.7%  
248 0.1% 99.5%  
249 0% 99.4%  
250 0.1% 99.4%  
251 0.1% 99.3%  
252 0.1% 99.2%  
253 0.2% 99.2%  
254 0.2% 99.0%  
255 0.1% 98.8%  
256 0.2% 98.7%  
257 0.4% 98%  
258 0.5% 98%  
259 0.3% 98%  
260 0.5% 97%  
261 0.8% 97%  
262 0.5% 96%  
263 1.4% 96%  
264 1.0% 94%  
265 1.3% 93%  
266 1.0% 92%  
267 2% 91%  
268 3% 89%  
269 1.4% 86%  
270 3% 85%  
271 2% 82%  
272 3% 80%  
273 3% 78%  
274 5% 75%  
275 5% 70%  
276 2% 65%  
277 3% 64%  
278 3% 61%  
279 3% 58%  
280 3% 55%  
281 3% 52%  
282 3% 48% Median
283 3% 46%  
284 2% 43%  
285 1.4% 41%  
286 4% 40%  
287 3% 36%  
288 1.1% 33%  
289 2% 32%  
290 2% 30%  
291 3% 29%  
292 1.4% 26%  
293 3% 24%  
294 0.7% 22%  
295 2% 21%  
296 1.0% 19%  
297 1.2% 18%  
298 1.2% 17%  
299 1.1% 16%  
300 2% 14%  
301 2% 12%  
302 1.4% 10%  
303 2% 9%  
304 0.7% 7%  
305 0.9% 6%  
306 0.5% 5%  
307 0.2% 5%  
308 0.2% 5%  
309 0.7% 4%  
310 0.2% 4%  
311 0.5% 4%  
312 0.6% 3%  
313 0.4% 3% Last Result
314 0.3% 2%  
315 0.2% 2%  
316 0.3% 2%  
317 0.1% 1.3%  
318 0.3% 1.2%  
319 0.2% 0.9%  
320 0.1% 0.7%  
321 0.1% 0.6%  
322 0.2% 0.5%  
323 0.1% 0.4%  
324 0.1% 0.3%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0.1%  
330 0% 0.1%  
331 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
235 0% 100%  
236 0% 99.9%  
237 0% 99.9%  
238 0% 99.9%  
239 0% 99.9%  
240 0.1% 99.9%  
241 0% 99.8%  
242 0% 99.8%  
243 0% 99.8%  
244 0% 99.7%  
245 0% 99.7%  
246 0.1% 99.7%  
247 0.1% 99.6%  
248 0.1% 99.5%  
249 0.1% 99.4%  
250 0.1% 99.3%  
251 0.1% 99.2%  
252 0.1% 99.1%  
253 0.3% 99.0%  
254 0.2% 98.8%  
255 0.1% 98.6%  
256 0.2% 98%  
257 0.5% 98%  
258 0.7% 98%  
259 0.4% 97%  
260 0.5% 97%  
261 1.2% 96%  
262 0.4% 95%  
263 1.4% 95%  
264 1.0% 93%  
265 1.5% 92%  
266 1.3% 91%  
267 2% 90%  
268 3% 88%  
269 2% 85%  
270 3% 83%  
271 2% 80%  
272 3% 78%  
273 3% 75%  
274 5% 72%  
275 5% 67%  
276 2% 63%  
277 3% 61%  
278 2% 58%  
279 3% 55%  
280 5% 53%  
281 2% 48%  
282 2% 46% Median
283 2% 43%  
284 3% 41%  
285 1.0% 38%  
286 3% 37%  
287 3% 34%  
288 1.0% 31%  
289 2% 30%  
290 1.2% 29%  
291 4% 27%  
292 1.4% 24%  
293 2% 22%  
294 0.9% 20%  
295 2% 19%  
296 0.7% 17%  
297 1.4% 16%  
298 2% 15%  
299 1.0% 13%  
300 1.4% 12%  
301 2% 11%  
302 0.8% 8%  
303 2% 8%  
304 0.4% 6%  
305 0.6% 6%  
306 0.5% 5%  
307 0.3% 4%  
308 0.1% 4%  
309 0.8% 4% Last Result
310 0.3% 3%  
311 0.4% 3%  
312 0.3% 3%  
313 0.3% 2%  
314 0.2% 2%  
315 0.2% 2%  
316 0.3% 1.4%  
317 0.2% 1.1%  
318 0.2% 0.9%  
319 0.1% 0.7%  
320 0.1% 0.6%  
321 0.1% 0.4%  
322 0.1% 0.4%  
323 0.1% 0.3%  
324 0% 0.2%  
325 0.1% 0.2%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0.1%  
329 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
198 0% 100%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0% 99.9%  
203 0.1% 99.8%  
204 0% 99.8%  
205 0% 99.8%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.7%  
208 0% 99.6%  
209 0.1% 99.6%  
210 0.1% 99.5%  
211 0.2% 99.4%  
212 0.2% 99.2%  
213 0.1% 99.1%  
214 0% 99.0%  
215 0.2% 99.0%  
216 0.3% 98.7%  
217 0.2% 98%  
218 0.1% 98%  
219 0.4% 98%  
220 0.6% 98%  
221 1.0% 97%  
222 0.4% 96%  
223 0.5% 96%  
224 3% 95%  
225 0.7% 93%  
226 1.3% 92%  
227 2% 91%  
228 2% 89%  
229 2% 87%  
230 3% 85%  
231 3% 82%  
232 4% 80%  
233 4% 75%  
234 2% 71%  
235 3% 69%  
236 3% 66%  
237 5% 64%  
238 7% 59%  
239 4% 52%  
240 3% 48% Median
241 3% 45%  
242 2% 43%  
243 1.1% 41%  
244 3% 40%  
245 3% 37%  
246 2% 34%  
247 2% 32%  
248 2% 31%  
249 3% 28%  
250 0.8% 26%  
251 0.6% 25%  
252 1.3% 24%  
253 3% 23%  
254 2% 20%  
255 0.8% 18%  
256 3% 17%  
257 2% 15%  
258 2% 13%  
259 4% 11%  
260 0.6% 7%  
261 0.7% 7%  
262 0.8% 6%  
263 0.4% 5%  
264 0.3% 5%  
265 0.3% 5%  
266 0.6% 4%  
267 0.4% 4%  
268 0.6% 3%  
269 0.2% 3%  
270 0.6% 3%  
271 0.4% 2%  
272 0.2% 2%  
273 0.2% 2%  
274 0.1% 1.3%  
275 0.4% 1.1%  
276 0.2% 0.8%  
277 0.2% 0.6%  
278 0.1% 0.4%  
279 0.1% 0.3%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0.1% 0.2%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0.1%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
197 0% 100%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.9%  
200 0% 99.9%  
201 0% 99.9%  
202 0.1% 99.9%  
203 0% 99.8%  
204 0% 99.8%  
205 0.1% 99.7%  
206 0.1% 99.7%  
207 0.1% 99.6%  
208 0.1% 99.6%  
209 0.1% 99.5%  
210 0.1% 99.4%  
211 0.2% 99.3%  
212 0.2% 99.1%  
213 0.1% 99.0%  
214 0.1% 98.9%  
215 0.3% 98.8%  
216 0.4% 98.5%  
217 0.1% 98%  
218 0.2% 98%  
219 0.3% 98%  
220 0.7% 98%  
221 2% 97%  
222 0.4% 95%  
223 0.8% 95%  
224 2% 94%  
225 0.8% 92%  
226 2% 91%  
227 2% 89%  
228 2% 87%  
229 2% 86%  
230 3% 83%  
231 3% 80%  
232 4% 77%  
233 5% 73%  
234 3% 68%  
235 4% 66%  
236 3% 62%  
237 5% 59%  
238 6% 54%  
239 2% 47%  
240 2% 46% Median
241 2% 44%  
242 2% 42%  
243 2% 40%  
244 3% 37%  
245 3% 34%  
246 1.1% 31%  
247 0.6% 30%  
248 2% 29%  
249 3% 27%  
250 0.8% 24%  
251 1.3% 23%  
252 2% 22%  
253 2% 20%  
254 1.5% 18%  
255 2% 17%  
256 3% 15%  
257 2% 12%  
258 1.1% 10%  
259 2% 9%  
260 1.1% 7%  
261 0.4% 6%  
262 0.3% 5%  
263 0.2% 5%  
264 0.4% 5%  
265 0.2% 4%  
266 0.7% 4%  
267 0.6% 3%  
268 0.5% 3%  
269 0.2% 2%  
270 0.4% 2%  
271 0.2% 2%  
272 0.2% 1.5%  
273 0.2% 1.3%  
274 0.2% 1.1%  
275 0.4% 0.9%  
276 0.1% 0.5%  
277 0.1% 0.4%  
278 0.1% 0.3%  
279 0% 0.2%  
280 0% 0.2%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0.1%  
284 0% 0.1%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.9%  
198 0% 99.9%  
199 0% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.8%  
201 0% 99.7%  
202 0.2% 99.7%  
203 0.1% 99.5%  
204 0% 99.4%  
205 0.1% 99.4%  
206 0.1% 99.3%  
207 0% 99.2%  
208 0.1% 99.2%  
209 0% 99.1%  
210 0.2% 99.0%  
211 0.2% 98.9%  
212 0.4% 98.7%  
213 0.6% 98%  
214 0.3% 98%  
215 0.5% 97%  
216 1.0% 97%  
217 0.8% 96%  
218 1.3% 95%  
219 1.4% 94%  
220 2% 92%  
221 0.7% 91%  
222 4% 90%  
223 3% 86%  
224 4% 83%  
225 3% 79%  
226 3% 77%  
227 5% 73%  
228 4% 69%  
229 7% 65%  
230 2% 58%  
231 2% 56%  
232 3% 54% Median
233 2% 51%  
234 2% 49%  
235 2% 47%  
236 3% 45%  
237 3% 41%  
238 3% 39%  
239 1.4% 35%  
240 3% 34%  
241 1.1% 31%  
242 2% 30%  
243 3% 28%  
244 1.5% 25%  
245 1.5% 23%  
246 0.9% 22%  
247 2% 21%  
248 2% 19%  
249 2% 18%  
250 2% 15%  
251 3% 14%  
252 2% 11%  
253 1.3% 10%  
254 1.5% 8%  
255 0.9% 7%  
256 0.5% 6%  
257 0.4% 6%  
258 0.4% 5%  
259 0.3% 5%  
260 0.3% 4%  
261 0.5% 4%  
262 0.8% 4%  
263 0.4% 3%  
264 0.4% 2%  
265 0.2% 2%  
266 0.3% 2%  
267 0.3% 1.5%  
268 0.2% 1.2%  
269 0.3% 1.0%  
270 0.1% 0.7%  
271 0.1% 0.6%  
272 0.2% 0.5%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0% 0.2%  
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1% Last Result
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.9%  
197 0% 99.8%  
198 0% 99.8%  
199 0.1% 99.8%  
200 0.1% 99.7%  
201 0.1% 99.7%  
202 0.2% 99.6%  
203 0.1% 99.4%  
204 0% 99.4%  
205 0.1% 99.3%  
206 0.1% 99.2%  
207 0.2% 99.2%  
208 0.1% 99.0%  
209 0.2% 98.9%  
210 0.2% 98.7%  
211 0.3% 98%  
212 0.3% 98%  
213 0.5% 98%  
214 0.4% 97%  
215 0.7% 97%  
216 1.1% 96%  
217 1.0% 95%  
218 1.4% 94%  
219 2% 93%  
220 2% 91%  
221 1.0% 89%  
222 5% 88%  
223 3% 84%  
224 5% 81%  
225 3% 76%  
226 3% 73%  
227 5% 70%  
228 3% 65%  
229 6% 62%  
230 2% 55%  
231 2% 54%  
232 4% 52% Median
233 3% 48%  
234 2% 45%  
235 1.2% 43%  
236 3% 42%  
237 3% 39%  
238 3% 36%  
239 1.2% 33%  
240 3% 32%  
241 1.1% 29%  
242 2% 28%  
243 4% 26%  
244 1.2% 23%  
245 1.2% 22%  
246 2% 20%  
247 3% 19%  
248 0.9% 16%  
249 2% 15%  
250 1.4% 13%  
251 3% 12%  
252 1.5% 9%  
253 0.6% 8%  
254 0.9% 7%  
255 1.0% 6%  
256 0.3% 5%  
257 0.2% 5%  
258 0.5% 5%  
259 0.6% 4%  
260 0.3% 4%  
261 0.5% 3%  
262 0.4% 3%  
263 0.3% 2%  
264 0.4% 2%  
265 0.2% 2%  
266 0.3% 2%  
267 0.3% 1.3%  
268 0.2% 1.0%  
269 0.3% 0.8%  
270 0.1% 0.5%  
271 0.1% 0.4%  
272 0.1% 0.3%  
273 0.1% 0.3%  
274 0% 0.2% Last Result
275 0% 0.2%  
276 0% 0.1%  
277 0% 0.1%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
155 0% 100%  
156 0.1% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.9%  
159 0% 99.9%  
160 0% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.7%  
163 0% 99.6%  
164 0.1% 99.5%  
165 0% 99.4%  
166 0% 99.4%  
167 0.1% 99.3%  
168 0.1% 99.3%  
169 0.2% 99.2%  
170 0.1% 99.0%  
171 0.1% 98.9%  
172 0.4% 98.8%  
173 0.2% 98%  
174 0.5% 98%  
175 0.1% 98%  
176 0.8% 98%  
177 0.6% 97%  
178 0.9% 96%  
179 2% 95%  
180 2% 93%  
181 1.2% 91%  
182 5% 90%  
183 0.9% 85%  
184 2% 85%  
185 5% 82%  
186 4% 77%  
187 10% 73%  
188 5% 63%  
189 2% 58%  
190 3% 55% Median
191 4% 52%  
192 2% 48%  
193 2% 46%  
194 3% 44%  
195 3% 41%  
196 3% 38%  
197 1.0% 36%  
198 1.3% 35%  
199 3% 33%  
200 1.3% 31%  
201 3% 29%  
202 1.5% 26%  
203 1.3% 25%  
204 1.2% 24%  
205 2% 22%  
206 3% 20%  
207 2% 17%  
208 4% 15%  
209 3% 11%  
210 1.2% 8%  
211 0.2% 7%  
212 0.5% 7%  
213 0.6% 6%  
214 0.4% 6%  
215 0.4% 5%  
216 0.4% 5%  
217 0.7% 4%  
218 0.6% 4%  
219 0.5% 3%  
220 0.5% 3%  
221 0.2% 2%  
222 0.1% 2%  
223 0.2% 2%  
224 0.5% 2%  
225 0.3% 1.0%  
226 0.2% 0.7%  
227 0.2% 0.5%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0.1%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
154 0% 100%  
155 0% 99.9%  
156 0% 99.9%  
157 0% 99.9%  
158 0% 99.8%  
159 0% 99.8%  
160 0.1% 99.8%  
161 0.2% 99.8%  
162 0.1% 99.6%  
163 0% 99.5%  
164 0.1% 99.5%  
165 0% 99.4%  
166 0.1% 99.3%  
167 0.1% 99.2%  
168 0.2% 99.2%  
169 0.2% 99.0%  
170 0.2% 98.8%  
171 0.1% 98.6%  
172 0.3% 98.6%  
173 0.6% 98%  
174 0.5% 98%  
175 0.1% 97%  
176 0.9% 97%  
177 0.8% 96%  
178 1.1% 95%  
179 3% 94%  
180 2% 91%  
181 1.5% 89%  
182 4% 88%  
183 2% 84%  
184 3% 82%  
185 7% 79%  
186 6% 72%  
187 9% 66%  
188 3% 57%  
189 2% 54%  
190 3% 52% Median
191 4% 50%  
192 2% 46%  
193 3% 44%  
194 2% 41%  
195 3% 38%  
196 2% 35%  
197 0.9% 33%  
198 1.4% 33%  
199 2% 31%  
200 2% 29%  
201 2% 27%  
202 1.3% 25%  
203 2% 24%  
204 2% 22%  
205 2% 19%  
206 4% 17%  
207 2% 13%  
208 3% 11%  
209 1.4% 8%  
210 0.7% 7%  
211 0.1% 6%  
212 0.2% 6%  
213 1.0% 6%  
214 0.2% 5%  
215 0.3% 5%  
216 0.5% 4%  
217 1.0% 4%  
218 0.8% 3%  
219 0.3% 2%  
220 0.1% 2%  
221 0% 2%  
222 0.2% 2%  
223 0.4% 2%  
224 0.7% 1.2%  
225 0.1% 0.5%  
226 0.1% 0.4%  
227 0.1% 0.4%  
228 0.1% 0.3%  
229 0% 0.2%  
230 0.1% 0.2%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0.1%  
233 0% 0.1%  
234 0% 0.1%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations