Opinion Poll by Deltapoll for The Mail on Sunday, 21–23 November 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 43.2% 41.6–44.8% 41.1–45.3% 40.7–45.7% 39.9–46.5%
Labour Party 41.0% 30.2% 28.7–31.7% 28.2–32.1% 27.9–32.5% 27.2–33.3%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 16.1% 14.9–17.3% 14.6–17.7% 14.3–18.0% 13.8–18.6%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 4.0% 3.4–4.7% 3.3–5.0% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.5%
Green Party 1.7% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%
Brexit Party 0.0% 3.0% 2.5–3.7% 2.4–3.9% 2.3–4.0% 2.1–4.4%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.3% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7% 0.1–0.8%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 355 339–366 331–370 325–376 313–391
Labour Party 262 187 179–201 176–207 170–213 157–224
Liberal Democrats 12 41 36–47 33–48 33–49 32–51
Scottish National Party 35 48 41–51 39–51 39–53 34–54
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–3 0–3 0–4 0–4

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0% 99.7%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0.2% 99.5%  
314 0% 99.3%  
315 0.2% 99.3%  
316 0.1% 99.1%  
317 0.1% 99.1% Last Result
318 0.2% 99.0%  
319 0.1% 98.8%  
320 0.2% 98.7%  
321 0.1% 98%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0.3% 98%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.1% 98%  
326 0.2% 97% Majority
327 0.6% 97%  
328 0.5% 97%  
329 0.4% 96%  
330 0.5% 96%  
331 0.5% 95%  
332 0.3% 95%  
333 0.5% 95%  
334 0.7% 94%  
335 1.1% 93%  
336 0.6% 92%  
337 0.2% 92%  
338 0.7% 91%  
339 2% 91%  
340 0.7% 89%  
341 1.3% 88%  
342 0.5% 87%  
343 4% 87%  
344 1.1% 83%  
345 1.1% 82%  
346 5% 81%  
347 3% 75%  
348 2% 73%  
349 5% 71%  
350 3% 66%  
351 4% 63%  
352 3% 59%  
353 4% 56%  
354 1.2% 52%  
355 4% 51% Median
356 2% 47%  
357 5% 46%  
358 5% 41%  
359 6% 36%  
360 6% 30%  
361 2% 24%  
362 3% 22%  
363 3% 19%  
364 2% 16%  
365 3% 14%  
366 2% 11%  
367 1.4% 9%  
368 0.9% 8%  
369 0.8% 7%  
370 1.3% 6%  
371 0.5% 5%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.2% 4%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.1% 2%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.5%  
383 0.1% 1.4%  
384 0.4% 1.3%  
385 0% 0.9%  
386 0.1% 0.9%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.5%  
393 0% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0% 99.5%  
158 0% 99.5%  
159 0% 99.5%  
160 0.2% 99.4%  
161 0.2% 99.3%  
162 0.1% 99.1%  
163 0.2% 99.0%  
164 0% 98.8%  
165 0.1% 98.7%  
166 0.1% 98.6%  
167 0.6% 98.5%  
168 0.2% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.1% 98%  
171 0.2% 97%  
172 0.5% 97%  
173 0.4% 97%  
174 0.7% 96%  
175 0.3% 96%  
176 0.6% 95%  
177 0.6% 95%  
178 2% 94%  
179 2% 92%  
180 1.3% 89%  
181 5% 88%  
182 3% 83%  
183 3% 80%  
184 4% 77%  
185 7% 72%  
186 14% 66%  
187 5% 51% Median
188 6% 46%  
189 3% 40%  
190 2% 37%  
191 3% 34%  
192 1.4% 32%  
193 6% 30%  
194 3% 25%  
195 2% 22%  
196 2% 20%  
197 0.5% 18%  
198 2% 17%  
199 3% 15%  
200 2% 13%  
201 1.4% 11%  
202 0.7% 10%  
203 0.8% 9%  
204 1.0% 8%  
205 0.8% 7%  
206 0.7% 6%  
207 0.8% 6%  
208 1.1% 5%  
209 0.3% 4%  
210 0.1% 3%  
211 0.1% 3%  
212 0.4% 3%  
213 0.3% 3%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.4% 2%  
216 0.1% 2%  
217 0.3% 2%  
218 0.3% 1.5%  
219 0.1% 1.2%  
220 0% 1.0%  
221 0% 1.0%  
222 0.1% 1.0%  
223 0.3% 0.9%  
224 0.4% 0.6%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0.3% 100%  
32 1.2% 99.6%  
33 4% 98%  
34 0.7% 95%  
35 3% 94%  
36 10% 91%  
37 10% 81%  
38 11% 71%  
39 4% 60%  
40 5% 56%  
41 4% 51% Median
42 19% 47%  
43 5% 29%  
44 7% 24%  
45 3% 16%  
46 3% 13%  
47 4% 10%  
48 4% 7%  
49 2% 3%  
50 0.7% 1.3%  
51 0.5% 0.6%  
52 0% 0.1%  
53 0% 0.1%  
54 0% 0.1%  
55 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.4% 100%  
34 0.3% 99.6%  
35 0.4% 99.3% Last Result
36 0.4% 98.9%  
37 0.5% 98.5%  
38 0.2% 98%  
39 4% 98%  
40 3% 94%  
41 5% 91%  
42 5% 86%  
43 1.4% 81%  
44 2% 80%  
45 9% 78%  
46 0.7% 68%  
47 12% 68%  
48 12% 56% Median
49 0.1% 44%  
50 27% 44%  
51 13% 16%  
52 0.1% 3%  
53 2% 3%  
54 0.5% 0.5%  
55 0% 0%  

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 62% 100% Median
1 0.6% 38%  
2 6% 38%  
3 26% 31%  
4 5% 5% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 403 100% 387–413 381–417 375–422 366–434
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 402 100% 386–411 379–416 374–420 363–432
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 395 100% 383–404 373–408 366–417 355–431
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 356 98% 340–367 333–372 326–378 315–392
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 355 97% 339–366 331–370 325–376 313–391
Conservative Party 317 355 97% 339–366 331–370 325–376 313–391
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 314 277 0.1% 266–293 262–301 256–307 241–319
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 276 0.1% 265–292 261–300 255–306 240–318
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 275 0% 264–291 259–298 253–304 239–316
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 236 0% 227–248 223–258 214–265 200–276
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 235 0% 226–248 221–256 213–263 200–274
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 229 0% 220–245 215–252 211–257 199–268
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 228 0% 218–244 214–250 209–256 197–265
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 188 0% 181–202 178–208 172–216 159–226
Labour Party 262 187 0% 179–201 176–207 170–213 157–224

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
356 0% 100% Last Result
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0% 99.9%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.8%  
363 0.1% 99.7%  
364 0.1% 99.6%  
365 0.1% 99.6%  
366 0.2% 99.5%  
367 0.2% 99.3%  
368 0.1% 99.1%  
369 0.1% 99.0%  
370 0.2% 98.9%  
371 0.1% 98.6%  
372 0.2% 98.6%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.2% 98%  
375 0.5% 98%  
376 0.2% 97%  
377 0.6% 97%  
378 0.3% 96%  
379 0.5% 96%  
380 0.3% 96%  
381 1.0% 95%  
382 0.4% 94%  
383 1.0% 94%  
384 0.6% 93%  
385 0.8% 92%  
386 0.8% 91%  
387 2% 91%  
388 0.9% 89%  
389 2% 88%  
390 0.3% 86%  
391 1.4% 86%  
392 0.6% 84%  
393 3% 84%  
394 2% 80%  
395 4% 78%  
396 4% 74%  
397 2% 70%  
398 1.0% 67%  
399 2% 66%  
400 2% 64%  
401 4% 62%  
402 6% 58%  
403 4% 52% Median
404 3% 48%  
405 4% 45%  
406 3% 40%  
407 9% 38%  
408 3% 28%  
409 5% 25%  
410 3% 20%  
411 2% 17%  
412 1.4% 15%  
413 4% 14%  
414 1.5% 10%  
415 1.3% 8%  
416 1.1% 7%  
417 1.3% 6%  
418 0.7% 4%  
419 0.2% 4%  
420 0.6% 3%  
421 0.2% 3%  
422 0.3% 3%  
423 0.2% 2%  
424 0.3% 2%  
425 0.4% 2%  
426 0.1% 2%  
427 0.4% 1.4%  
428 0% 1.0%  
429 0.2% 1.0%  
430 0.1% 0.8%  
431 0.1% 0.8%  
432 0.1% 0.7%  
433 0% 0.6%  
434 0.1% 0.5%  
435 0.1% 0.5%  
436 0% 0.4%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0.1% 0.3%  
439 0.1% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0.1%  
445 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100% Last Result
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 99.9%  
358 0% 99.9%  
359 0% 99.9%  
360 0.1% 99.8%  
361 0% 99.8%  
362 0.1% 99.7%  
363 0.1% 99.6%  
364 0.1% 99.5%  
365 0.2% 99.3%  
366 0.1% 99.1%  
367 0.1% 99.0%  
368 0.1% 98.9%  
369 0.1% 98.8%  
370 0.3% 98.7%  
371 0.1% 98%  
372 0.3% 98%  
373 0.3% 98%  
374 0.3% 98%  
375 0.5% 97%  
376 0.3% 97%  
377 0.5% 97%  
378 0.8% 96%  
379 0.6% 95%  
380 0.3% 95%  
381 0.7% 94%  
382 0.5% 94%  
383 0.9% 93%  
384 0.5% 92%  
385 1.2% 92%  
386 1.1% 90%  
387 2% 89%  
388 0.7% 87%  
389 2% 86%  
390 0.7% 84%  
391 0.6% 84%  
392 0.8% 83%  
393 4% 82%  
394 2% 78%  
395 4% 76%  
396 4% 72%  
397 3% 68%  
398 3% 66%  
399 3% 63%  
400 5% 59%  
401 3% 54%  
402 5% 51%  
403 1.2% 46% Median
404 2% 45%  
405 6% 42%  
406 3% 37%  
407 11% 34%  
408 1.5% 23%  
409 4% 21%  
410 4% 17%  
411 3% 12%  
412 1.2% 10%  
413 2% 9%  
414 0.5% 7%  
415 0.5% 6%  
416 1.0% 6%  
417 1.3% 5%  
418 0.5% 4%  
419 0.2% 3%  
420 0.4% 3%  
421 0.2% 2%  
422 0.2% 2%  
423 0.3% 2%  
424 0.1% 2%  
425 0.3% 2%  
426 0.1% 1.3%  
427 0.3% 1.3%  
428 0.1% 0.9%  
429 0.2% 0.9%  
430 0.1% 0.7%  
431 0.1% 0.7%  
432 0.1% 0.6%  
433 0% 0.4%  
434 0% 0.4%  
435 0% 0.4%  
436 0% 0.3%  
437 0% 0.3%  
438 0.1% 0.3%  
439 0.1% 0.2%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0.1%  
442 0% 0.1%  
443 0% 0.1%  
444 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
329 0% 100% Last Result
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 99.9%  
351 0% 99.9%  
352 0% 99.9%  
353 0.1% 99.9%  
354 0.2% 99.8%  
355 0.2% 99.6%  
356 0.1% 99.4%  
357 0.1% 99.3%  
358 0.1% 99.2%  
359 0.2% 99.1%  
360 0.1% 98.9%  
361 0.3% 98.8%  
362 0.1% 98.5%  
363 0.3% 98%  
364 0.3% 98%  
365 0.3% 98%  
366 0.2% 98%  
367 0.2% 97%  
368 0.2% 97%  
369 0.2% 97%  
370 0.4% 97%  
371 0.3% 96%  
372 0.7% 96%  
373 0.5% 95%  
374 0.3% 95%  
375 0.4% 95%  
376 0.4% 94%  
377 0.6% 94%  
378 0.5% 93%  
379 0.3% 93%  
380 0.8% 92%  
381 0.5% 92%  
382 0.6% 91%  
383 1.1% 90%  
384 0.7% 89%  
385 3% 89%  
386 2% 86%  
387 4% 84%  
388 3% 79%  
389 3% 76%  
390 3% 73%  
391 3% 70%  
392 0.8% 67%  
393 4% 67%  
394 7% 63%  
395 10% 55%  
396 6% 45% Median
397 6% 39%  
398 4% 33%  
399 5% 29%  
400 4% 24%  
401 4% 20%  
402 4% 16%  
403 1.3% 12%  
404 2% 10%  
405 1.4% 8%  
406 1.1% 7%  
407 0.8% 6%  
408 0.6% 5%  
409 0.5% 5%  
410 0.3% 4%  
411 0.4% 4%  
412 0.2% 3%  
413 0.2% 3%  
414 0.1% 3%  
415 0.2% 3%  
416 0.2% 3%  
417 0.1% 3%  
418 0.1% 2%  
419 0% 2%  
420 0.2% 2%  
421 0.3% 2%  
422 0.1% 2%  
423 0.4% 2%  
424 0.1% 1.3%  
425 0.3% 1.2%  
426 0% 0.9%  
427 0.1% 0.9%  
428 0.1% 0.8%  
429 0% 0.6%  
430 0.1% 0.6%  
431 0.1% 0.5%  
432 0.1% 0.5%  
433 0% 0.3%  
434 0.1% 0.3%  
435 0.1% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.1%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
306 0% 100%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0% 99.8%  
312 0.1% 99.8%  
313 0% 99.7%  
314 0.1% 99.6%  
315 0.2% 99.6%  
316 0% 99.4%  
317 0.2% 99.3%  
318 0.1% 99.1%  
319 0.1% 99.1%  
320 0.3% 98.9%  
321 0.1% 98.7% Last Result
322 0.2% 98.6%  
323 0.2% 98%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.3% 98%  
326 0.2% 98% Majority
327 0.3% 97%  
328 0.4% 97%  
329 0.3% 97%  
330 0.5% 96%  
331 0.5% 96%  
332 0.2% 96%  
333 0.7% 95%  
334 0.7% 95%  
335 0.8% 94%  
336 0.4% 93%  
337 0.5% 93%  
338 0.9% 92%  
339 0.5% 91%  
340 0.8% 91%  
341 2% 90%  
342 0.6% 88%  
343 3% 87%  
344 0.9% 84%  
345 1.4% 83%  
346 5% 82%  
347 3% 77%  
348 2% 74%  
349 4% 72%  
350 1.4% 68%  
351 2% 66%  
352 3% 64%  
353 2% 61%  
354 3% 59%  
355 3% 55% Median
356 5% 52%  
357 4% 47%  
358 4% 44%  
359 6% 40%  
360 4% 34%  
361 4% 31%  
362 2% 27%  
363 6% 25%  
364 1.5% 19%  
365 4% 18%  
366 2% 14%  
367 2% 12%  
368 1.3% 10%  
369 1.0% 9%  
370 2% 8%  
371 0.6% 6%  
372 0.8% 5%  
373 0.5% 5%  
374 0.5% 4%  
375 0.4% 4%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.3% 3%  
378 0.1% 3%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.1% 2%  
383 0.2% 2%  
384 0.4% 1.4%  
385 0.1% 1.0%  
386 0.2% 1.0%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0% 0.7%  
389 0% 0.6%  
390 0% 0.6%  
391 0.1% 0.6%  
392 0% 0.5%  
393 0% 0.5%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.4%  
396 0.1% 0.3%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0.1%  
404 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0% 99.7%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0.2% 99.5%  
314 0% 99.3%  
315 0.2% 99.3%  
316 0.1% 99.1%  
317 0.1% 99.1% Last Result
318 0.2% 99.0%  
319 0.1% 98.8%  
320 0.2% 98.7%  
321 0.1% 98%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0.3% 98%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.1% 98%  
326 0.2% 97% Majority
327 0.6% 97%  
328 0.5% 97%  
329 0.4% 96%  
330 0.5% 96%  
331 0.5% 95%  
332 0.3% 95%  
333 0.5% 95%  
334 0.7% 94%  
335 1.1% 93%  
336 0.6% 92%  
337 0.2% 92%  
338 0.7% 91%  
339 2% 91%  
340 0.7% 89%  
341 1.3% 88%  
342 0.5% 87%  
343 4% 87%  
344 1.1% 83%  
345 1.1% 82%  
346 5% 81%  
347 3% 75%  
348 2% 73%  
349 5% 71%  
350 3% 66%  
351 4% 63%  
352 3% 59%  
353 4% 56%  
354 1.2% 52%  
355 4% 51% Median
356 2% 47%  
357 5% 46%  
358 5% 41%  
359 6% 36%  
360 6% 30%  
361 2% 24%  
362 3% 22%  
363 3% 19%  
364 2% 16%  
365 3% 14%  
366 2% 11%  
367 1.4% 9%  
368 0.9% 8%  
369 0.8% 7%  
370 1.3% 6%  
371 0.5% 5%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.2% 4%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.1% 2%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.5%  
383 0.1% 1.4%  
384 0.4% 1.3%  
385 0% 0.9%  
386 0.1% 0.9%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.5%  
393 0% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
305 0% 100%  
306 0% 99.9%  
307 0% 99.9%  
308 0% 99.9%  
309 0.1% 99.9%  
310 0% 99.8%  
311 0% 99.7%  
312 0.1% 99.7%  
313 0.2% 99.5%  
314 0% 99.3%  
315 0.2% 99.3%  
316 0.1% 99.1%  
317 0.1% 99.1% Last Result
318 0.2% 99.0%  
319 0.1% 98.8%  
320 0.2% 98.7%  
321 0.1% 98%  
322 0.4% 98%  
323 0.3% 98%  
324 0.2% 98%  
325 0.1% 98%  
326 0.2% 97% Majority
327 0.6% 97%  
328 0.5% 97%  
329 0.4% 96%  
330 0.5% 96%  
331 0.5% 95%  
332 0.3% 95%  
333 0.5% 95%  
334 0.7% 94%  
335 1.1% 93%  
336 0.6% 92%  
337 0.2% 92%  
338 0.7% 91%  
339 2% 91%  
340 0.7% 89%  
341 1.3% 88%  
342 0.5% 87%  
343 4% 87%  
344 1.1% 83%  
345 1.1% 82%  
346 5% 81%  
347 3% 75%  
348 2% 73%  
349 5% 71%  
350 3% 66%  
351 4% 63%  
352 3% 59%  
353 4% 56%  
354 1.2% 52%  
355 4% 51% Median
356 2% 47%  
357 5% 46%  
358 5% 41%  
359 6% 36%  
360 6% 30%  
361 2% 24%  
362 3% 22%  
363 3% 19%  
364 2% 16%  
365 3% 14%  
366 2% 11%  
367 1.4% 9%  
368 0.9% 8%  
369 0.8% 7%  
370 1.3% 6%  
371 0.5% 5%  
372 0.5% 4%  
373 0.2% 4%  
374 0.3% 3%  
375 0.3% 3%  
376 0.3% 3%  
377 0.2% 2%  
378 0.1% 2%  
379 0.4% 2%  
380 0.2% 2%  
381 0.1% 2%  
382 0.1% 1.5%  
383 0.1% 1.4%  
384 0.4% 1.3%  
385 0% 0.9%  
386 0.1% 0.9%  
387 0.1% 0.8%  
388 0% 0.6%  
389 0% 0.6%  
390 0.1% 0.6%  
391 0% 0.5%  
392 0% 0.5%  
393 0% 0.4%  
394 0.1% 0.4%  
395 0.1% 0.3%  
396 0% 0.2%  
397 0% 0.2%  
398 0.1% 0.2%  
399 0% 0.1%  
400 0% 0.1%  
401 0% 0.1%  
402 0% 0.1%  
403 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
230 0% 100%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0% 99.9%  
234 0.1% 99.9%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.8%  
238 0.1% 99.7%  
239 0% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.6%  
241 0% 99.5%  
242 0.1% 99.5%  
243 0% 99.4%  
244 0% 99.4%  
245 0.1% 99.4%  
246 0.1% 99.2%  
247 0% 99.1%  
248 0.4% 99.1%  
249 0.1% 98.7%  
250 0.1% 98.6%  
251 0.1% 98.5%  
252 0.2% 98%  
253 0.4% 98%  
254 0.1% 98%  
255 0.2% 98%  
256 0.3% 98%  
257 0.3% 97%  
258 0.3% 97%  
259 0.2% 97%  
260 0.5% 96%  
261 0.5% 96%  
262 1.3% 95%  
263 0.8% 94%  
264 0.9% 93%  
265 1.4% 92%  
266 2% 91%  
267 3% 89%  
268 2% 86%  
269 3% 84%  
270 3% 81%  
271 2% 78%  
272 6% 76%  
273 6% 70%  
274 5% 64%  
275 5% 59%  
276 2% 54%  
277 4% 53% Median
278 1.2% 49%  
279 4% 48%  
280 3% 44%  
281 4% 41%  
282 3% 37%  
283 5% 34%  
284 2% 29%  
285 3% 27%  
286 5% 25%  
287 1.1% 19%  
288 1.1% 18%  
289 4% 17%  
290 0.5% 13%  
291 1.3% 13%  
292 0.7% 12%  
293 2% 11%  
294 0.7% 9%  
295 0.2% 9%  
296 0.6% 8%  
297 1.1% 8%  
298 0.7% 7%  
299 0.5% 6%  
300 0.3% 5%  
301 0.5% 5%  
302 0.5% 5%  
303 0.4% 4%  
304 0.5% 4%  
305 0.6% 3%  
306 0.2% 3%  
307 0.1% 3%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0.3% 2%  
310 0.4% 2%  
311 0.1% 2%  
312 0.2% 2%  
313 0.1% 1.3%  
314 0.2% 1.2% Last Result
315 0.1% 1.0%  
316 0.1% 0.9%  
317 0.2% 0.9%  
318 0% 0.7%  
319 0.2% 0.7%  
320 0.1% 0.5%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0% 0.3%  
323 0.1% 0.2%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0.1%  
328 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
229 0% 100%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.8%  
237 0.1% 99.7%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0% 99.6%  
240 0% 99.5%  
241 0.1% 99.5%  
242 0% 99.4%  
243 0% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.4%  
245 0.1% 99.2%  
246 0% 99.1%  
247 0.4% 99.1%  
248 0.1% 98.7%  
249 0.1% 98.6%  
250 0.1% 98.5%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.4% 98%  
253 0.1% 98%  
254 0.2% 98%  
255 0.3% 98%  
256 0.3% 97%  
257 0.3% 97%  
258 0.2% 97%  
259 0.5% 96%  
260 0.5% 96%  
261 1.3% 95%  
262 0.8% 94%  
263 0.9% 93%  
264 1.4% 92%  
265 2% 91%  
266 3% 89%  
267 2% 86%  
268 3% 84%  
269 3% 81%  
270 2% 78%  
271 6% 76%  
272 6% 70%  
273 5% 64%  
274 5% 59%  
275 2% 54%  
276 4% 53% Median
277 1.2% 49%  
278 4% 48%  
279 3% 44%  
280 4% 41%  
281 3% 37%  
282 5% 34%  
283 2% 29%  
284 3% 27%  
285 5% 25%  
286 1.1% 19%  
287 1.1% 18%  
288 4% 17%  
289 0.5% 13%  
290 1.3% 13%  
291 0.7% 12%  
292 2% 11%  
293 0.7% 9%  
294 0.2% 9%  
295 0.6% 8%  
296 1.1% 8%  
297 0.7% 7%  
298 0.5% 6%  
299 0.3% 5%  
300 0.5% 5%  
301 0.5% 5%  
302 0.3% 4%  
303 0.5% 4%  
304 0.6% 3%  
305 0.2% 3%  
306 0.1% 3%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.3% 2%  
309 0.4% 2%  
310 0.1% 2%  
311 0.2% 2%  
312 0.1% 1.3%  
313 0.2% 1.2% Last Result
314 0.1% 1.0%  
315 0.1% 0.9%  
316 0.2% 0.9%  
317 0% 0.7%  
318 0.2% 0.7%  
319 0.1% 0.5%  
320 0% 0.3%  
321 0% 0.3%  
322 0.1% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0.1% Majority
327 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
228 0% 100%  
229 0% 99.9%  
230 0% 99.9%  
231 0% 99.9%  
232 0% 99.9%  
233 0.1% 99.9%  
234 0% 99.8%  
235 0.1% 99.8%  
236 0.1% 99.7%  
237 0.1% 99.6%  
238 0% 99.6%  
239 0% 99.5%  
240 0.1% 99.5%  
241 0% 99.4%  
242 0% 99.4%  
243 0% 99.4%  
244 0.1% 99.3%  
245 0.2% 99.2%  
246 0.1% 99.0%  
247 0.4% 99.0%  
248 0.2% 98.6%  
249 0.1% 98%  
250 0.1% 98%  
251 0.2% 98%  
252 0.4% 98%  
253 0.1% 98%  
254 0.3% 97%  
255 0.3% 97%  
256 0.4% 97%  
257 0.5% 96%  
258 0.5% 96%  
259 0.8% 95%  
260 0.6% 95%  
261 2% 94%  
262 1.0% 92%  
263 1.3% 91%  
264 2% 90%  
265 2% 88%  
266 4% 86%  
267 1.4% 82%  
268 6% 81%  
269 2% 75%  
270 4% 73%  
271 4% 69%  
272 6% 66%  
273 4% 60%  
274 4% 56%  
275 5% 53%  
276 3% 48% Median
277 3% 45%  
278 2% 41%  
279 3% 39%  
280 2% 36%  
281 1.4% 34%  
282 4% 32%  
283 2% 28%  
284 3% 26%  
285 5% 23%  
286 1.4% 18%  
287 0.9% 17%  
288 3% 16%  
289 0.6% 13%  
290 2% 12%  
291 0.8% 10%  
292 0.5% 9%  
293 0.9% 9%  
294 0.5% 8%  
295 0.4% 7%  
296 0.8% 7%  
297 0.7% 6%  
298 0.7% 5%  
299 0.2% 5%  
300 0.5% 4%  
301 0.5% 4%  
302 0.3% 4%  
303 0.4% 3%  
304 0.3% 3%  
305 0.2% 2%  
306 0.3% 2%  
307 0.2% 2%  
308 0.2% 2%  
309 0.2% 2% Last Result
310 0.1% 1.4%  
311 0.3% 1.3%  
312 0.1% 1.1%  
313 0.1% 0.9%  
314 0.2% 0.9%  
315 0% 0.7%  
316 0.2% 0.6%  
317 0.1% 0.4%  
318 0% 0.4%  
319 0.1% 0.3%  
320 0% 0.2%  
321 0% 0.2%  
322 0.1% 0.2%  
323 0% 0.1%  
324 0% 0.1%  
325 0% 0.1%  
326 0% 0% Majority

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
192 0% 100%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0.1% 99.9%  
197 0.1% 99.8%  
198 0% 99.7%  
199 0.1% 99.7%  
200 0.1% 99.5%  
201 0.1% 99.5%  
202 0% 99.4%  
203 0.1% 99.4%  
204 0.1% 99.2%  
205 0% 99.1%  
206 0.3% 99.1%  
207 0.1% 98.8%  
208 0.4% 98.7%  
209 0.1% 98%  
210 0.3% 98%  
211 0.2% 98%  
212 0% 98%  
213 0.1% 98%  
214 0.1% 98%  
215 0.2% 97%  
216 0.2% 97%  
217 0.1% 97%  
218 0.2% 97%  
219 0.2% 97%  
220 0.4% 97%  
221 0.3% 96%  
222 0.5% 96%  
223 0.6% 95%  
224 0.8% 95%  
225 1.1% 94%  
226 1.4% 93%  
227 2% 92%  
228 1.3% 90%  
229 4% 88%  
230 4% 84%  
231 4% 80%  
232 5% 76%  
233 4% 71%  
234 6% 67%  
235 6% 61% Median
236 10% 55%  
237 7% 45%  
238 4% 37%  
239 0.8% 33%  
240 3% 33%  
241 3% 30%  
242 3% 27%  
243 3% 24%  
244 4% 21%  
245 2% 16%  
246 3% 14%  
247 0.7% 11%  
248 1.1% 11%  
249 0.6% 10%  
250 0.5% 9%  
251 0.8% 8%  
252 0.3% 8%  
253 0.5% 7%  
254 0.6% 7%  
255 0.4% 6%  
256 0.4% 6%  
257 0.3% 5%  
258 0.5% 5%  
259 0.7% 5%  
260 0.3% 4%  
261 0.4% 4%  
262 0.2% 3%  
263 0.2% 3%  
264 0.2% 3%  
265 0.2% 3%  
266 0.3% 2%  
267 0.3% 2%  
268 0.3% 2%  
269 0.1% 2%  
270 0.3% 1.5%  
271 0.1% 1.2%  
272 0.2% 1.1%  
273 0.1% 0.9%  
274 0.1% 0.8%  
275 0.1% 0.7%  
276 0.2% 0.6%  
277 0.2% 0.4%  
278 0.1% 0.2%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0.1%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.8%  
196 0.1% 99.8%  
197 0.1% 99.7%  
198 0% 99.6%  
199 0.1% 99.6%  
200 0.1% 99.5%  
201 0.1% 99.4%  
202 0.1% 99.4%  
203 0.1% 99.3%  
204 0.1% 99.2%  
205 0% 99.1%  
206 0.3% 99.1%  
207 0.1% 98.7%  
208 0.4% 98.6%  
209 0.1% 98%  
210 0.3% 98%  
211 0.2% 98%  
212 0% 98%  
213 0.1% 98%  
214 0.1% 97%  
215 0.3% 97%  
216 0.2% 97%  
217 0.2% 97%  
218 0.2% 97%  
219 0.4% 96%  
220 0.7% 96%  
221 0.8% 95%  
222 0.7% 95%  
223 0.8% 94%  
224 1.4% 93%  
225 0.9% 92%  
226 3% 91%  
227 3% 88%  
228 2% 85%  
229 5% 83%  
230 4% 78%  
231 5% 74%  
232 4% 69%  
233 7% 65%  
234 6% 58%  
235 6% 52% Median
236 6% 47%  
237 6% 41%  
238 3% 35%  
239 0.7% 32%  
240 3% 31%  
241 2% 28%  
242 3% 26%  
243 4% 22%  
244 4% 18%  
245 0.7% 14%  
246 3% 13%  
247 0.7% 11%  
248 1.1% 10%  
249 0.7% 9%  
250 0.6% 8%  
251 0.6% 8%  
252 0.6% 7%  
253 0.4% 6%  
254 0.5% 6%  
255 0.3% 6%  
256 0.3% 5%  
257 0.5% 5%  
258 0.6% 4%  
259 0.5% 4%  
260 0.1% 3%  
261 0.4% 3%  
262 0.3% 3%  
263 0.1% 3%  
264 0.3% 2%  
265 0.3% 2%  
266 0.2% 2%  
267 0.1% 2%  
268 0.2% 2%  
269 0.1% 1.3%  
270 0.2% 1.2%  
271 0.2% 1.0%  
272 0.1% 0.9%  
273 0.1% 0.8%  
274 0.2% 0.6%  
275 0.2% 0.4%  
276 0.1% 0.3%  
277 0.1% 0.2%  
278 0% 0.1%  
279 0% 0.1%  
280 0% 0.1%  
281 0% 0.1%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
188 0% 100%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0% 99.7%  
195 0% 99.7%  
196 0% 99.7%  
197 0% 99.6%  
198 0% 99.6%  
199 0.1% 99.6%  
200 0.1% 99.4%  
201 0.1% 99.3%  
202 0.2% 99.3%  
203 0.1% 99.1%  
204 0.3% 99.1%  
205 0.1% 98.7%  
206 0.3% 98.7%  
207 0.1% 98%  
208 0.3% 98%  
209 0.2% 98%  
210 0.2% 98%  
211 0.4% 98%  
212 0.2% 97%  
213 0.5% 97%  
214 1.3% 96%  
215 1.0% 95%  
216 0.5% 94%  
217 0.5% 94%  
218 2% 93%  
219 1.2% 91%  
220 3% 90%  
221 4% 88%  
222 4% 83%  
223 1.5% 79%  
224 11% 77%  
225 3% 66%  
226 6% 63%  
227 2% 58%  
228 1.2% 55% Median
229 5% 54%  
230 3% 49%  
231 5% 46%  
232 3% 41%  
233 3% 37%  
234 3% 34%  
235 4% 32%  
236 4% 28%  
237 2% 24%  
238 4% 22%  
239 0.8% 18%  
240 0.6% 17%  
241 0.7% 16%  
242 2% 16%  
243 0.7% 14%  
244 2% 13%  
245 1.1% 11%  
246 1.2% 10%  
247 0.5% 8%  
248 0.9% 8%  
249 0.5% 7%  
250 0.8% 6%  
251 0.3% 6%  
252 0.6% 5%  
253 0.8% 5%  
254 0.5% 4%  
255 0.3% 3%  
256 0.5% 3%  
257 0.3% 3%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.3% 2%  
260 0.1% 2%  
261 0.3% 2%  
262 0.1% 1.3%  
263 0.1% 1.2%  
264 0.1% 1.1%  
265 0.1% 1.0%  
266 0.2% 0.9%  
267 0.1% 0.7%  
268 0.1% 0.5%  
269 0.1% 0.4%  
270 0% 0.3%  
271 0.1% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.2%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1%  
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
187 0% 100%  
188 0% 99.9%  
189 0% 99.9%  
190 0% 99.9%  
191 0% 99.9%  
192 0.1% 99.9%  
193 0.1% 99.8%  
194 0% 99.7%  
195 0% 99.7%  
196 0.1% 99.6%  
197 0.1% 99.5%  
198 0% 99.5%  
199 0.1% 99.4%  
200 0.1% 99.3%  
201 0.1% 99.2%  
202 0.2% 99.2%  
203 0% 99.0%  
204 0.4% 99.0%  
205 0.1% 98.6%  
206 0.4% 98%  
207 0.3% 98%  
208 0.2% 98%  
209 0.3% 98%  
210 0.2% 97%  
211 0.6% 97%  
212 0.2% 97%  
213 0.7% 96%  
214 1.3% 96%  
215 1.1% 94%  
216 1.3% 93%  
217 1.5% 92%  
218 4% 90%  
219 1.4% 86%  
220 2% 85%  
221 3% 83%  
222 5% 80%  
223 3% 75%  
224 9% 72%  
225 3% 62%  
226 4% 60%  
227 3% 55%  
228 4% 52% Median
229 6% 48%  
230 4% 42%  
231 2% 38%  
232 2% 36%  
233 1.0% 34%  
234 2% 33%  
235 4% 30%  
236 4% 26%  
237 2% 22%  
238 3% 20%  
239 0.6% 16%  
240 1.4% 16%  
241 0.3% 14%  
242 2% 14%  
243 0.9% 12%  
244 2% 11%  
245 0.8% 9%  
246 0.8% 9%  
247 0.6% 8%  
248 1.0% 7%  
249 0.4% 6%  
250 1.0% 6%  
251 0.3% 5%  
252 0.5% 4%  
253 0.3% 4%  
254 0.6% 4%  
255 0.2% 3%  
256 0.5% 3%  
257 0.2% 2%  
258 0.3% 2%  
259 0.2% 2%  
260 0.1% 1.4%  
261 0.2% 1.3%  
262 0.1% 1.1%  
263 0.1% 1.0%  
264 0.2% 0.9%  
265 0.2% 0.7%  
266 0.1% 0.5%  
267 0.1% 0.4%  
268 0.1% 0.4%  
269 0.1% 0.3%  
270 0% 0.2%  
271 0% 0.2%  
272 0% 0.1%  
273 0% 0.1%  
274 0% 0.1% Last Result
275 0% 0.1%  
276 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.9%  
156 0.1% 99.8%  
157 0.1% 99.6%  
158 0% 99.5%  
159 0.1% 99.5%  
160 0.1% 99.5%  
161 0.2% 99.3%  
162 0.1% 99.2%  
163 0.2% 99.1%  
164 0% 98.9%  
165 0.2% 98.8%  
166 0.1% 98.7%  
167 0.5% 98.6%  
168 0.1% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.1% 98%  
171 0.2% 98%  
172 0.3% 98%  
173 0.2% 97%  
174 0.6% 97%  
175 0.2% 96%  
176 0.5% 96%  
177 0.5% 96%  
178 1.4% 95%  
179 1.2% 94%  
180 1.3% 93%  
181 3% 91%  
182 3% 89%  
183 1.2% 86%  
184 5% 84%  
185 6% 79%  
186 10% 74%  
187 9% 63% Median
188 8% 55%  
189 7% 47%  
190 3% 40%  
191 2% 37%  
192 3% 34%  
193 5% 32%  
194 3% 27%  
195 2% 24%  
196 3% 22%  
197 1.5% 19%  
198 1.4% 18%  
199 2% 17%  
200 2% 14%  
201 2% 12%  
202 0.9% 11%  
203 0.8% 10%  
204 0.7% 9%  
205 1.0% 8%  
206 0.8% 7%  
207 0.9% 7%  
208 0.9% 6%  
209 0.5% 5%  
210 0.4% 4%  
211 0.4% 4%  
212 0.3% 3%  
213 0% 3%  
214 0.2% 3%  
215 0.4% 3%  
216 0.3% 3%  
217 0.3% 2%  
218 0.3% 2%  
219 0.2% 2%  
220 0.3% 1.4%  
221 0.1% 1.2%  
222 0% 1.0%  
223 0.1% 1.0%  
224 0.2% 0.9%  
225 0.2% 0.7%  
226 0.3% 0.6%  
227 0.1% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.2%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0.1%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0.1% 99.7%  
156 0.1% 99.6%  
157 0% 99.5%  
158 0% 99.5%  
159 0% 99.5%  
160 0.2% 99.4%  
161 0.2% 99.3%  
162 0.1% 99.1%  
163 0.2% 99.0%  
164 0% 98.8%  
165 0.1% 98.7%  
166 0.1% 98.6%  
167 0.6% 98.5%  
168 0.2% 98%  
169 0.2% 98%  
170 0.1% 98%  
171 0.2% 97%  
172 0.5% 97%  
173 0.4% 97%  
174 0.7% 96%  
175 0.3% 96%  
176 0.6% 95%  
177 0.6% 95%  
178 2% 94%  
179 2% 92%  
180 1.3% 89%  
181 5% 88%  
182 3% 83%  
183 3% 80%  
184 4% 77%  
185 7% 72%  
186 14% 66%  
187 5% 51% Median
188 6% 46%  
189 3% 40%  
190 2% 37%  
191 3% 34%  
192 1.4% 32%  
193 6% 30%  
194 3% 25%  
195 2% 22%  
196 2% 20%  
197 0.5% 18%  
198 2% 17%  
199 3% 15%  
200 2% 13%  
201 1.4% 11%  
202 0.7% 10%  
203 0.8% 9%  
204 1.0% 8%  
205 0.8% 7%  
206 0.7% 6%  
207 0.8% 6%  
208 1.1% 5%  
209 0.3% 4%  
210 0.1% 3%  
211 0.1% 3%  
212 0.4% 3%  
213 0.3% 3%  
214 0.2% 2%  
215 0.4% 2%  
216 0.1% 2%  
217 0.3% 2%  
218 0.3% 1.5%  
219 0.1% 1.2%  
220 0% 1.0%  
221 0% 1.0%  
222 0.1% 1.0%  
223 0.3% 0.9%  
224 0.4% 0.6%  
225 0.1% 0.3%  
226 0% 0.2%  
227 0% 0.2%  
228 0% 0.1%  
229 0% 0.1%  
230 0% 0.1%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations