Opinion Poll by Opinium for The Observer, 4–6 December 2019

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 43.4% 45.9% 44.5–47.3% 44.1–47.8% 43.7–48.1% 43.0–48.8%
Labour Party 41.0% 30.9% 29.6–32.3% 29.2–32.6% 28.9–33.0% 28.3–33.6%
Liberal Democrats 7.6% 13.0% 12.1–14.0% 11.8–14.3% 11.6–14.5% 11.2–15.0%
Scottish National Party 3.1% 4.0% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8% 3.2–5.0% 3.0–5.3%
Brexit Party 0.0% 3.0% 2.6–3.6% 2.4–3.7% 2.3–3.8% 2.1–4.1%
Green Party 1.7% 2.0% 1.6–2.5% 1.5–2.6% 1.5–2.7% 1.3–3.0%
Plaid Cymru 0.5% 0.2% 0.2–0.5% 0.1–0.5% 0.1–0.6% 0.1–0.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Graph with seating plan not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party 317 370 358–384 353–390 348–394 341–403
Labour Party 262 185 174–195 169–199 163–204 156–208
Liberal Democrats 12 30 29–32 29–32 28–33 26–36
Scottish National Party 35 45 41–50 40–51 38–51 34–52
Brexit Party 0 0 0 0 0 0
Green Party 1 1 1 1 1 1
Plaid Cymru 4 0 0–3 0–3 0–3 0–4

Conservative Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Conservative Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.1% 99.4%  
343 0.4% 99.3%  
344 0.3% 98.9%  
345 0.4% 98.6%  
346 0.1% 98%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.6% 98%  
349 0.3% 97%  
350 0.4% 97%  
351 0.9% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 0.4% 95%  
354 0.7% 95%  
355 1.2% 94%  
356 1.3% 93%  
357 1.3% 91%  
358 0.7% 90%  
359 1.2% 89%  
360 1.2% 88%  
361 2% 87%  
362 4% 85%  
363 4% 81%  
364 3% 77%  
365 4% 73%  
366 4% 70%  
367 5% 66%  
368 5% 61%  
369 3% 55%  
370 4% 53% Median
371 3% 49%  
372 5% 46%  
373 5% 41%  
374 5% 36%  
375 3% 31%  
376 2% 28%  
377 3% 26%  
378 3% 23%  
379 3% 20%  
380 2% 17%  
381 2% 15%  
382 1.0% 13%  
383 2% 12%  
384 1.3% 10%  
385 2% 9%  
386 0.4% 7%  
387 0.4% 7%  
388 0.7% 6%  
389 0.3% 6%  
390 0.6% 5%  
391 1.0% 5%  
392 0.8% 4%  
393 0.4% 3%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.2% 2%  
398 0.3% 1.4%  
399 0.1% 1.2%  
400 0.1% 1.1%  
401 0.2% 0.9%  
402 0.1% 0.7%  
403 0.2% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Labour Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Labour Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0.4% 99.8%  
157 0.4% 99.4%  
158 0.1% 99.0%  
159 0.1% 98.9%  
160 0.2% 98.8%  
161 0.2% 98.6%  
162 0.5% 98%  
163 1.1% 98%  
164 0.2% 97%  
165 0.2% 97%  
166 0.2% 96%  
167 0.7% 96%  
168 0.3% 96%  
169 2% 95%  
170 0.9% 93%  
171 0.2% 93%  
172 1.2% 92%  
173 0.7% 91%  
174 0.9% 91%  
175 5% 90%  
176 0.3% 84%  
177 2% 84%  
178 0.9% 82%  
179 3% 81%  
180 6% 78%  
181 7% 72%  
182 3% 65%  
183 9% 62%  
184 0.7% 53%  
185 3% 52% Median
186 12% 49%  
187 11% 37%  
188 8% 26%  
189 0.7% 18%  
190 1.1% 18%  
191 2% 16%  
192 2% 14%  
193 1.2% 13%  
194 0.5% 11%  
195 4% 11%  
196 0.7% 7%  
197 0.8% 7%  
198 0.3% 6%  
199 0.7% 6%  
200 0.3% 5%  
201 1.0% 5%  
202 0.3% 4%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.8% 3%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.6% 1.3%  
208 0.2% 0.7%  
209 0.2% 0.5%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Liberal Democrats

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Liberal Democrats page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
12 0% 100% Last Result
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0.3% 99.9%  
25 0% 99.7%  
26 0.6% 99.7%  
27 0.4% 99.1%  
28 3% 98.7%  
29 9% 95%  
30 43% 87% Median
31 27% 44%  
32 14% 17%  
33 2% 3%  
34 0.1% 1.2%  
35 0.5% 1.1%  
36 0.5% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Scottish National Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Scottish National Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
33 0.1% 100%  
34 0.9% 99.8%  
35 0% 99.0% Last Result
36 0.3% 98.9%  
37 1.1% 98.7%  
38 0.7% 98%  
39 1.3% 97%  
40 0.8% 96%  
41 22% 95%  
42 7% 73%  
43 2% 65%  
44 0% 63%  
45 13% 63% Median
46 1.0% 50%  
47 15% 49%  
48 11% 34%  
49 0.1% 23%  
50 17% 23%  
51 4% 5%  
52 0.7% 1.1%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.2% 0.3%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

Brexit Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Brexit Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Green Party

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Green Party page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
1 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Plaid Cymru

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Plaid Cymru page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 71% 100% Median
1 3% 29%  
2 5% 25%  
3 18% 20%  
4 2% 2% Last Result
5 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 356 416 100% 406–427 401–433 396–438 391–445
Conservative Party – Scottish National Party 352 415 100% 405–426 399–433 395–438 390–445
Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats 329 401 100% 389–414 384–420 379–424 373–433
Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru 321 371 100% 359–384 354–391 349–395 342–403
Conservative Party – Brexit Party 317 370 100% 358–384 353–390 348–394 341–403
Conservative Party 317 370 100% 358–384 353–390 348–394 341–403
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru 314 262 0% 248–274 242–279 238–284 229–291
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 313 261 0% 247–273 241–278 237–283 228–290
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party 309 260 0% 247–272 240–277 236–282 228–289
Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru 301 230 0% 217–242 211–247 207–252 198–258
Labour Party – Scottish National Party 297 230 0% 217–241 211–246 207–251 198–257
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru 278 216 0% 205–226 198–232 193–236 186–241
Labour Party – Liberal Democrats 274 215 0% 204–225 198–230 193–235 186–240
Labour Party 262 185 0% 174–195 169–199 163–204 156–208
Labour Party – Plaid Cymru 266 186 0% 175–195 169–201 163–204 157–209

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
356 0% 100% Last Result
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 100%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.9%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.8%  
388 0.1% 99.7%  
389 0% 99.6%  
390 0% 99.6%  
391 0.2% 99.5%  
392 0.3% 99.4%  
393 0.4% 99.1%  
394 0.5% 98.7%  
395 0.5% 98%  
396 0.5% 98%  
397 0.7% 97%  
398 0.4% 97%  
399 0.7% 96%  
400 0.4% 95%  
401 0.6% 95%  
402 0.4% 94%  
403 0.9% 94%  
404 2% 93%  
405 1.0% 91%  
406 2% 90%  
407 1.3% 89%  
408 2% 87%  
409 1.5% 86%  
410 1.5% 84%  
411 2% 83%  
412 7% 81%  
413 8% 74%  
414 8% 66%  
415 7% 58% Median
416 5% 51%  
417 3% 47%  
418 6% 44%  
419 5% 38%  
420 6% 33%  
421 5% 27%  
422 2% 22%  
423 1.4% 20%  
424 2% 18%  
425 2% 16%  
426 3% 14%  
427 1.1% 11%  
428 0.8% 10%  
429 1.1% 9%  
430 0.6% 8%  
431 0.9% 7%  
432 1.1% 6%  
433 0.9% 5%  
434 0.4% 4%  
435 0.3% 4%  
436 0.2% 4%  
437 0.3% 3%  
438 0.7% 3%  
439 0.7% 2%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 2%  
442 0.1% 1.3%  
443 0.2% 1.2%  
444 0.3% 1.0%  
445 0.4% 0.7%  
446 0.1% 0.3%  
447 0.1% 0.3%  
448 0.1% 0.2%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
352 0% 100% Last Result
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 100%  
364 0% 100%  
365 0% 100%  
366 0% 100%  
367 0% 100%  
368 0% 100%  
369 0% 100%  
370 0% 100%  
371 0% 100%  
372 0% 100%  
373 0% 100%  
374 0% 100%  
375 0% 100%  
376 0% 100%  
377 0% 100%  
378 0% 100%  
379 0% 100%  
380 0% 99.9%  
381 0% 99.9%  
382 0% 99.9%  
383 0% 99.9%  
384 0% 99.8%  
385 0% 99.8%  
386 0.1% 99.8%  
387 0.1% 99.7%  
388 0% 99.6%  
389 0.1% 99.6%  
390 0.2% 99.5%  
391 0.3% 99.3%  
392 0.3% 99.1%  
393 0.4% 98.7%  
394 0.4% 98%  
395 0.6% 98%  
396 0.6% 97%  
397 0.5% 97%  
398 0.5% 96%  
399 1.0% 96%  
400 0.4% 95%  
401 0.5% 94%  
402 0.5% 94%  
403 1.0% 93%  
404 2% 92%  
405 1.4% 91%  
406 2% 89%  
407 1.4% 87%  
408 2% 86%  
409 1.4% 84%  
410 3% 83%  
411 3% 80%  
412 8% 77%  
413 9% 69%  
414 6% 59%  
415 6% 53% Median
416 4% 47%  
417 3% 44%  
418 6% 40%  
419 4% 34%  
420 7% 30%  
421 3% 23%  
422 2% 20%  
423 1.0% 18%  
424 2% 17%  
425 3% 15%  
426 3% 12%  
427 0.8% 10%  
428 0.7% 9%  
429 0.7% 8%  
430 0.5% 7%  
431 0.9% 7%  
432 0.9% 6%  
433 0.8% 5%  
434 0.5% 4%  
435 0.3% 4%  
436 0.5% 3%  
437 0.3% 3%  
438 0.6% 3%  
439 0.4% 2%  
440 0.2% 2%  
441 0.2% 1.4%  
442 0.2% 1.2%  
443 0.2% 1.0%  
444 0.3% 0.8%  
445 0.2% 0.5%  
446 0.1% 0.3%  
447 0.1% 0.2%  
448 0% 0.1%  
449 0% 0.1%  
450 0% 0.1%  
451 0% 0.1%  
452 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
329 0% 100% Last Result
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 100%  
333 0% 100%  
334 0% 100%  
335 0% 100%  
336 0% 100%  
337 0% 100%  
338 0% 100%  
339 0% 100%  
340 0% 100%  
341 0% 100%  
342 0% 100%  
343 0% 100%  
344 0% 100%  
345 0% 100%  
346 0% 100%  
347 0% 100%  
348 0% 100%  
349 0% 100%  
350 0% 100%  
351 0% 100%  
352 0% 100%  
353 0% 100%  
354 0% 100%  
355 0% 100%  
356 0% 100%  
357 0% 100%  
358 0% 100%  
359 0% 100%  
360 0% 100%  
361 0% 100%  
362 0% 100%  
363 0% 99.9%  
364 0% 99.9%  
365 0% 99.9%  
366 0% 99.9%  
367 0% 99.9%  
368 0% 99.8%  
369 0% 99.8%  
370 0% 99.8%  
371 0.1% 99.7%  
372 0.1% 99.6%  
373 0.1% 99.5%  
374 0.3% 99.4%  
375 0.3% 99.1%  
376 0.4% 98.7%  
377 0.3% 98%  
378 0.2% 98%  
379 0.5% 98%  
380 0.4% 97%  
381 0.2% 97%  
382 0.8% 97%  
383 0.8% 96%  
384 0.4% 95%  
385 0.5% 95%  
386 2% 94%  
387 0.8% 92%  
388 0.8% 92%  
389 2% 91%  
390 1.5% 89%  
391 2% 88%  
392 1.4% 86%  
393 6% 85%  
394 3% 79%  
395 4% 76%  
396 3% 72%  
397 5% 69%  
398 6% 64%  
399 5% 58%  
400 3% 54% Median
401 5% 51%  
402 3% 46%  
403 6% 43%  
404 6% 38%  
405 2% 32%  
406 2% 30%  
407 4% 27%  
408 3% 23%  
409 4% 20%  
410 1.2% 16%  
411 2% 15%  
412 1.1% 13%  
413 2% 12%  
414 1.4% 10%  
415 2% 9%  
416 0.6% 7%  
417 0.5% 7%  
418 0.7% 6%  
419 0.2% 5%  
420 0.7% 5%  
421 1.0% 5%  
422 0.4% 3%  
423 0.5% 3%  
424 0.3% 3%  
425 0.5% 2%  
426 0.2% 2%  
427 0.2% 2%  
428 0.2% 1.4%  
429 0.2% 1.1%  
430 0.1% 1.0%  
431 0.2% 0.8%  
432 0.1% 0.6%  
433 0.3% 0.5%  
434 0.1% 0.3%  
435 0% 0.2%  
436 0% 0.2%  
437 0% 0.1%  
438 0% 0.1%  
439 0% 0.1%  
440 0% 0.1%  
441 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
321 0% 100% Last Result
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.9%  
337 0.1% 99.9%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.8%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.6%  
342 0.1% 99.5%  
343 0.4% 99.4%  
344 0.2% 99.1%  
345 0.1% 98.8%  
346 0.1% 98.7%  
347 0.5% 98.6%  
348 0.5% 98%  
349 0.3% 98%  
350 0.4% 97%  
351 0.8% 97%  
352 0.5% 96%  
353 0.4% 95%  
354 0.4% 95%  
355 1.1% 95%  
356 0.8% 94%  
357 1.2% 93%  
358 1.1% 92%  
359 1.1% 90%  
360 1.1% 89%  
361 2% 88%  
362 4% 86%  
363 3% 82%  
364 3% 79%  
365 3% 76%  
366 4% 74%  
367 5% 70%  
368 5% 64%  
369 3% 60%  
370 3% 57% Median
371 6% 54%  
372 5% 48%  
373 5% 44%  
374 6% 39%  
375 3% 33%  
376 2% 30%  
377 3% 28%  
378 2% 25%  
379 4% 23%  
380 2% 19%  
381 3% 17%  
382 0.8% 14%  
383 2% 13%  
384 1.1% 11%  
385 2% 10%  
386 0.6% 8%  
387 0.7% 8%  
388 0.9% 7%  
389 0.3% 6%  
390 0.8% 6%  
391 1.1% 5%  
392 0.8% 4%  
393 0.4% 3%  
394 0.2% 3%  
395 0.4% 3%  
396 0.3% 2%  
397 0.2% 2%  
398 0.3% 2%  
399 0.1% 1.3%  
400 0.2% 1.2%  
401 0.2% 1.0%  
402 0.1% 0.8%  
403 0.2% 0.7%  
404 0.2% 0.5%  
405 0.1% 0.3%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0.1% 0.2%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0.1%  
412 0% 0%  

Conservative Party – Brexit Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.1% 99.4%  
343 0.4% 99.3%  
344 0.3% 98.9%  
345 0.4% 98.6%  
346 0.1% 98%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.6% 98%  
349 0.3% 97%  
350 0.4% 97%  
351 0.9% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 0.4% 95%  
354 0.7% 95%  
355 1.2% 94%  
356 1.3% 93%  
357 1.3% 91%  
358 0.7% 90%  
359 1.2% 89%  
360 1.2% 88%  
361 2% 87%  
362 4% 85%  
363 4% 81%  
364 3% 77%  
365 4% 73%  
366 4% 70%  
367 5% 66%  
368 5% 61%  
369 3% 55%  
370 4% 53% Median
371 3% 49%  
372 5% 46%  
373 5% 41%  
374 5% 36%  
375 3% 31%  
376 2% 28%  
377 3% 26%  
378 3% 23%  
379 3% 20%  
380 2% 17%  
381 2% 15%  
382 1.0% 13%  
383 2% 12%  
384 1.3% 10%  
385 2% 9%  
386 0.4% 7%  
387 0.4% 7%  
388 0.7% 6%  
389 0.3% 6%  
390 0.6% 5%  
391 1.0% 5%  
392 0.8% 4%  
393 0.4% 3%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.2% 2%  
398 0.3% 1.4%  
399 0.1% 1.2%  
400 0.1% 1.1%  
401 0.2% 0.9%  
402 0.1% 0.7%  
403 0.2% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Conservative Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
317 0% 100% Last Result
318 0% 100%  
319 0% 100%  
320 0% 100%  
321 0% 100%  
322 0% 100%  
323 0% 100%  
324 0% 100%  
325 0% 100%  
326 0% 100% Majority
327 0% 100%  
328 0% 100%  
329 0% 100%  
330 0% 100%  
331 0% 100%  
332 0% 99.9%  
333 0% 99.9%  
334 0% 99.9%  
335 0% 99.9%  
336 0% 99.8%  
337 0% 99.8%  
338 0% 99.8%  
339 0.1% 99.7%  
340 0.1% 99.7%  
341 0.1% 99.5%  
342 0.1% 99.4%  
343 0.4% 99.3%  
344 0.3% 98.9%  
345 0.4% 98.6%  
346 0.1% 98%  
347 0.2% 98%  
348 0.6% 98%  
349 0.3% 97%  
350 0.4% 97%  
351 0.9% 97%  
352 0.6% 96%  
353 0.4% 95%  
354 0.7% 95%  
355 1.2% 94%  
356 1.3% 93%  
357 1.3% 91%  
358 0.7% 90%  
359 1.2% 89%  
360 1.2% 88%  
361 2% 87%  
362 4% 85%  
363 4% 81%  
364 3% 77%  
365 4% 73%  
366 4% 70%  
367 5% 66%  
368 5% 61%  
369 3% 55%  
370 4% 53% Median
371 3% 49%  
372 5% 46%  
373 5% 41%  
374 5% 36%  
375 3% 31%  
376 2% 28%  
377 3% 26%  
378 3% 23%  
379 3% 20%  
380 2% 17%  
381 2% 15%  
382 1.0% 13%  
383 2% 12%  
384 1.3% 10%  
385 2% 9%  
386 0.4% 7%  
387 0.4% 7%  
388 0.7% 6%  
389 0.3% 6%  
390 0.6% 5%  
391 1.0% 5%  
392 0.8% 4%  
393 0.4% 3%  
394 0.3% 3%  
395 0.5% 2%  
396 0.2% 2%  
397 0.2% 2%  
398 0.3% 1.4%  
399 0.1% 1.2%  
400 0.1% 1.1%  
401 0.2% 0.9%  
402 0.1% 0.7%  
403 0.2% 0.6%  
404 0.1% 0.4%  
405 0.1% 0.2%  
406 0% 0.2%  
407 0% 0.1%  
408 0% 0.1%  
409 0% 0.1%  
410 0% 0.1%  
411 0% 0%  

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Green Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
222 0% 100%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0% 99.9%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.1% 99.8%  
229 0.2% 99.6%  
230 0.1% 99.4%  
231 0.2% 99.3%  
232 0.1% 99.1%  
233 0.1% 98.9%  
234 0.3% 98.8%  
235 0.2% 98.6%  
236 0.2% 98%  
237 0.5% 98%  
238 0.3% 98%  
239 0.4% 97%  
240 0.8% 97%  
241 1.0% 96%  
242 0.6% 95%  
243 0.3% 95%  
244 0.7% 94%  
245 0.4% 94%  
246 0.4% 93%  
247 2% 93%  
248 1.3% 91%  
249 2% 90%  
250 1.0% 88%  
251 2% 87%  
252 2% 85%  
253 3% 83%  
254 3% 80%  
255 3% 77%  
256 2% 74%  
257 3% 72%  
258 5% 69%  
259 5% 64%  
260 5% 59%  
261 3% 54% Median
262 4% 51%  
263 3% 47%  
264 5% 45%  
265 5% 39%  
266 4% 34%  
267 4% 30%  
268 3% 27%  
269 4% 23%  
270 4% 19%  
271 2% 15%  
272 1.2% 13%  
273 1.2% 12%  
274 0.7% 11%  
275 1.3% 10%  
276 1.3% 9%  
277 1.2% 7%  
278 0.7% 6%  
279 0.4% 5%  
280 0.6% 5%  
281 0.9% 4%  
282 0.4% 3%  
283 0.3% 3%  
284 0.6% 3%  
285 0.2% 2%  
286 0.1% 2%  
287 0.4% 2%  
288 0.3% 1.4%  
289 0.4% 1.1%  
290 0.1% 0.7%  
291 0.1% 0.6%  
292 0.1% 0.5%  
293 0.1% 0.3%  
294 0% 0.3%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.2%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0.1%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0%  
314 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
221 0% 100%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.9%  
226 0.1% 99.8%  
227 0.1% 99.8%  
228 0.2% 99.6%  
229 0.1% 99.4%  
230 0.2% 99.3%  
231 0.1% 99.1%  
232 0.1% 98.9%  
233 0.3% 98.8%  
234 0.2% 98.6%  
235 0.2% 98%  
236 0.5% 98%  
237 0.3% 98%  
238 0.4% 97%  
239 0.8% 97%  
240 1.0% 96%  
241 0.6% 95%  
242 0.3% 95%  
243 0.7% 94%  
244 0.4% 94%  
245 0.4% 93%  
246 2% 93%  
247 1.3% 91%  
248 2% 90%  
249 1.0% 88%  
250 2% 87%  
251 2% 85%  
252 3% 83%  
253 3% 80%  
254 3% 77%  
255 2% 74%  
256 3% 72%  
257 5% 69%  
258 5% 64%  
259 5% 59%  
260 3% 54% Median
261 4% 51%  
262 3% 47%  
263 5% 45%  
264 5% 39%  
265 4% 34%  
266 4% 30%  
267 3% 27%  
268 4% 23%  
269 4% 19%  
270 2% 15%  
271 1.2% 13%  
272 1.2% 12%  
273 0.7% 11%  
274 1.3% 10%  
275 1.3% 9%  
276 1.2% 7%  
277 0.7% 6%  
278 0.4% 5%  
279 0.6% 5%  
280 0.9% 4%  
281 0.4% 3%  
282 0.3% 3%  
283 0.6% 3%  
284 0.2% 2%  
285 0.1% 2%  
286 0.4% 2%  
287 0.3% 1.4%  
288 0.4% 1.1%  
289 0.1% 0.7%  
290 0.1% 0.6%  
291 0.1% 0.5%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.3%  
294 0% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.2%  
296 0% 0.2%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0%  
310 0% 0%  
311 0% 0%  
312 0% 0%  
313 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
220 0% 100%  
221 0% 99.9%  
222 0% 99.9%  
223 0% 99.9%  
224 0.1% 99.9%  
225 0% 99.8%  
226 0.1% 99.8%  
227 0.2% 99.7%  
228 0.2% 99.5%  
229 0.1% 99.3%  
230 0.2% 99.2%  
231 0.2% 99.0%  
232 0.1% 98.8%  
233 0.3% 98.7%  
234 0.2% 98%  
235 0.3% 98%  
236 0.4% 98%  
237 0.2% 97%  
238 0.4% 97%  
239 0.8% 97%  
240 1.1% 96%  
241 0.8% 95%  
242 0.3% 94%  
243 0.9% 94%  
244 0.7% 93%  
245 0.6% 92%  
246 2% 92%  
247 1.1% 90%  
248 2% 89%  
249 0.8% 87%  
250 3% 86%  
251 2% 83%  
252 4% 81%  
253 2% 77%  
254 3% 75%  
255 2% 72%  
256 3% 70%  
257 6% 67%  
258 5% 61%  
259 5% 56%  
260 6% 52% Median
261 3% 46%  
262 3% 43%  
263 5% 40%  
264 5% 36%  
265 4% 30%  
266 3% 26%  
267 3% 24%  
268 3% 21%  
269 4% 18%  
270 2% 14%  
271 1.1% 12%  
272 1.1% 11%  
273 1.1% 10%  
274 1.2% 8%  
275 0.8% 7%  
276 1.1% 6%  
277 0.4% 5%  
278 0.4% 5%  
279 0.5% 5%  
280 0.8% 4%  
281 0.4% 3%  
282 0.3% 3%  
283 0.5% 2%  
284 0.5% 2%  
285 0.1% 1.4%  
286 0.1% 1.3%  
287 0.2% 1.2%  
288 0.4% 0.9%  
289 0.1% 0.6%  
290 0.1% 0.5%  
291 0.1% 0.4%  
292 0.1% 0.3%  
293 0% 0.2%  
294 0.1% 0.2%  
295 0% 0.1%  
296 0% 0.1%  
297 0% 0.1%  
298 0% 0.1%  
299 0% 0.1%  
300 0% 0.1%  
301 0% 0%  
302 0% 0%  
303 0% 0%  
304 0% 0%  
305 0% 0%  
306 0% 0%  
307 0% 0%  
308 0% 0%  
309 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0% 99.8%  
197 0.1% 99.8%  
198 0.3% 99.7%  
199 0.1% 99.5%  
200 0.2% 99.4%  
201 0.1% 99.2%  
202 0.2% 99.0%  
203 0.2% 98.9%  
204 0.2% 98.6%  
205 0.2% 98%  
206 0.5% 98%  
207 0.3% 98%  
208 0.5% 97%  
209 0.4% 97%  
210 1.0% 97%  
211 0.7% 95%  
212 0.2% 95%  
213 0.7% 95%  
214 0.5% 94%  
215 0.6% 93%  
216 2% 93%  
217 1.4% 91%  
218 2% 90%  
219 1.1% 88%  
220 2% 87%  
221 1.2% 85%  
222 4% 84%  
223 3% 80%  
224 4% 77%  
225 2% 73%  
226 2% 70%  
227 6% 68%  
228 6% 62%  
229 3% 57%  
230 5% 54% Median
231 3% 49%  
232 5% 46%  
233 6% 42%  
234 5% 36%  
235 3% 31%  
236 4% 28%  
237 3% 24%  
238 6% 21%  
239 1.4% 15%  
240 2% 14%  
241 1.5% 12%  
242 2% 11%  
243 0.8% 9%  
244 0.8% 8%  
245 2% 8%  
246 0.5% 6%  
247 0.4% 5%  
248 0.8% 5%  
249 0.8% 4%  
250 0.2% 3%  
251 0.4% 3%  
252 0.5% 3%  
253 0.2% 2%  
254 0.3% 2%  
255 0.4% 2%  
256 0.3% 1.3%  
257 0.3% 0.9%  
258 0.1% 0.6%  
259 0.1% 0.5%  
260 0.1% 0.4%  
261 0% 0.3%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.2%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0.1%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0%  
298 0% 0%  
299 0% 0%  
300 0% 0%  
301 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Scottish National Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
191 0% 100%  
192 0% 99.9%  
193 0% 99.9%  
194 0.1% 99.9%  
195 0% 99.9%  
196 0.1% 99.8%  
197 0.1% 99.8%  
198 0.3% 99.6%  
199 0.1% 99.4%  
200 0.2% 99.3%  
201 0.1% 99.1%  
202 0.2% 98.9%  
203 0.4% 98.7%  
204 0.3% 98%  
205 0.3% 98%  
206 0.4% 98%  
207 0.2% 98%  
208 0.5% 97%  
209 0.5% 97%  
210 1.2% 96%  
211 0.8% 95%  
212 0.3% 94%  
213 0.8% 94%  
214 0.8% 93%  
215 0.9% 92%  
216 1.4% 92%  
217 1.2% 90%  
218 2% 89%  
219 1.1% 87%  
220 3% 86%  
221 1.5% 83%  
222 5% 82%  
223 2% 77%  
224 4% 75%  
225 3% 71%  
226 2% 68%  
227 6% 66%  
228 6% 60%  
229 3% 54%  
230 6% 51% Median
231 3% 45%  
232 5% 42%  
233 5% 37%  
234 4% 32%  
235 3% 28%  
236 4% 24%  
237 2% 21%  
238 5% 18%  
239 1.5% 14%  
240 2% 12%  
241 0.7% 11%  
242 2% 10%  
243 1.1% 8%  
244 0.5% 7%  
245 1.4% 7%  
246 0.5% 5%  
247 0.2% 5%  
248 0.8% 5%  
249 0.8% 4%  
250 0.2% 3%  
251 0.2% 3%  
252 0.6% 2%  
253 0.4% 2%  
254 0.3% 1.5%  
255 0.1% 1.2%  
256 0.3% 1.1%  
257 0.3% 0.8%  
258 0.2% 0.5%  
259 0.1% 0.3%  
260 0% 0.3%  
261 0% 0.2%  
262 0% 0.2%  
263 0% 0.2%  
264 0% 0.1%  
265 0% 0.1%  
266 0% 0.1%  
267 0% 0.1%  
268 0% 0.1%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0%  
279 0% 0%  
280 0% 0%  
281 0% 0%  
282 0% 0%  
283 0% 0%  
284 0% 0%  
285 0% 0%  
286 0% 0%  
287 0% 0%  
288 0% 0%  
289 0% 0%  
290 0% 0%  
291 0% 0%  
292 0% 0%  
293 0% 0%  
294 0% 0%  
295 0% 0%  
296 0% 0%  
297 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.9%  
185 0.1% 99.8%  
186 0.2% 99.7%  
187 0.3% 99.5%  
188 0.2% 99.2%  
189 0.2% 99.0%  
190 0.2% 98.8%  
191 0.2% 98.6%  
192 0.4% 98%  
193 0.6% 98%  
194 0.3% 97%  
195 0.5% 97%  
196 0.3% 97%  
197 0.5% 96%  
198 0.8% 96%  
199 0.9% 95%  
200 0.9% 94%  
201 0.5% 93%  
202 0.7% 93%  
203 0.7% 92%  
204 0.8% 91%  
205 3% 90%  
206 3% 88%  
207 2% 85%  
208 1.0% 83%  
209 2% 82%  
210 3% 80%  
211 7% 77%  
212 4% 70%  
213 6% 66%  
214 3% 60%  
215 4% 56% Median
216 6% 53%  
217 6% 47%  
218 9% 41%  
219 8% 31%  
220 3% 23%  
221 3% 20%  
222 1.4% 17%  
223 2% 16%  
224 1.4% 14%  
225 2% 13%  
226 1.4% 11%  
227 2% 9%  
228 1.0% 8%  
229 0.5% 7%  
230 0.5% 6%  
231 0.4% 6%  
232 1.0% 5%  
233 0.5% 4%  
234 0.5% 4%  
235 0.6% 3%  
236 0.6% 3%  
237 0.4% 2%  
238 0.4% 2%  
239 0.3% 1.3%  
240 0.3% 0.9%  
241 0.2% 0.7%  
242 0.1% 0.5%  
243 0% 0.4%  
244 0.1% 0.4%  
245 0.1% 0.3%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.2%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0.1%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0%  
275 0% 0%  
276 0% 0%  
277 0% 0%  
278 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Liberal Democrats

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
180 0% 100%  
181 0% 99.9%  
182 0% 99.9%  
183 0.1% 99.9%  
184 0.1% 99.8%  
185 0.1% 99.7%  
186 0.4% 99.7%  
187 0.3% 99.3%  
188 0.2% 99.0%  
189 0.1% 98.8%  
190 0.2% 98.7%  
191 0.2% 98%  
192 0.7% 98%  
193 0.7% 98%  
194 0.3% 97%  
195 0.2% 97%  
196 0.3% 96%  
197 0.4% 96%  
198 0.9% 96%  
199 1.1% 95%  
200 0.9% 94%  
201 0.6% 93%  
202 1.1% 92%  
203 0.8% 91%  
204 1.1% 90%  
205 3% 89%  
206 2% 86%  
207 2% 84%  
208 1.4% 82%  
209 2% 80%  
210 5% 78%  
211 6% 73%  
212 5% 67%  
213 6% 62%  
214 3% 56%  
215 5% 53% Median
216 7% 49%  
217 8% 42%  
218 8% 34%  
219 7% 26%  
220 2% 19%  
221 1.5% 17%  
222 1.5% 16%  
223 2% 14%  
224 1.3% 13%  
225 2% 11%  
226 1.0% 10%  
227 2% 9%  
228 0.9% 7%  
229 0.4% 6%  
230 0.6% 6%  
231 0.4% 5%  
232 0.7% 5%  
233 0.4% 4%  
234 0.7% 3%  
235 0.5% 3%  
236 0.5% 2%  
237 0.5% 2%  
238 0.4% 1.3%  
239 0.3% 0.9%  
240 0.2% 0.6%  
241 0% 0.5%  
242 0% 0.4%  
243 0.1% 0.4%  
244 0.1% 0.3%  
245 0.1% 0.2%  
246 0% 0.2%  
247 0% 0.2%  
248 0% 0.1%  
249 0% 0.1%  
250 0% 0.1%  
251 0% 0.1%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0%  
267 0% 0%  
268 0% 0%  
269 0% 0%  
270 0% 0%  
271 0% 0%  
272 0% 0%  
273 0% 0%  
274 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
151 0% 100%  
152 0% 99.9%  
153 0.1% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0.4% 99.8%  
157 0.4% 99.4%  
158 0.1% 99.0%  
159 0.1% 98.9%  
160 0.2% 98.8%  
161 0.2% 98.6%  
162 0.5% 98%  
163 1.1% 98%  
164 0.2% 97%  
165 0.2% 97%  
166 0.2% 96%  
167 0.7% 96%  
168 0.3% 96%  
169 2% 95%  
170 0.9% 93%  
171 0.2% 93%  
172 1.2% 92%  
173 0.7% 91%  
174 0.9% 91%  
175 5% 90%  
176 0.3% 84%  
177 2% 84%  
178 0.9% 82%  
179 3% 81%  
180 6% 78%  
181 7% 72%  
182 3% 65%  
183 9% 62%  
184 0.7% 53%  
185 3% 52% Median
186 12% 49%  
187 11% 37%  
188 8% 26%  
189 0.7% 18%  
190 1.1% 18%  
191 2% 16%  
192 2% 14%  
193 1.2% 13%  
194 0.5% 11%  
195 4% 11%  
196 0.7% 7%  
197 0.8% 7%  
198 0.3% 6%  
199 0.7% 6%  
200 0.3% 5%  
201 1.0% 5%  
202 0.3% 4%  
203 0.5% 3%  
204 0.8% 3%  
205 0.3% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.6% 1.3%  
208 0.2% 0.7%  
209 0.2% 0.5%  
210 0% 0.3%  
211 0% 0.3%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0.1% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.1%  
216 0% 0.1%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0% 0.1%  
219 0% 0%  
220 0% 0%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0% Last Result

Labour Party – Plaid Cymru

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
152 0% 100%  
153 0% 99.9%  
154 0.1% 99.9%  
155 0% 99.8%  
156 0.2% 99.8%  
157 0.5% 99.7%  
158 0.1% 99.2%  
159 0.3% 99.1%  
160 0.1% 98.8%  
161 0.2% 98.7%  
162 0.2% 98.5%  
163 1.0% 98%  
164 0.1% 97%  
165 0.6% 97%  
166 0.2% 97%  
167 0.8% 96%  
168 0.2% 96%  
169 1.4% 95%  
170 1.0% 94%  
171 0.1% 93%  
172 0.9% 93%  
173 0.6% 92%  
174 0.1% 91%  
175 5% 91%  
176 0.9% 86%  
177 3% 85%  
178 0.1% 82%  
179 2% 82%  
180 5% 81%  
181 7% 76%  
182 3% 69%  
183 10% 66%  
184 0.7% 56%  
185 3% 55% Median
186 9% 52%  
187 8% 43%  
188 11% 35%  
189 4% 24%  
190 2% 20%  
191 2% 18%  
192 0.7% 16%  
193 2% 15%  
194 1.2% 13%  
195 3% 12%  
196 0.8% 9%  
197 1.4% 8%  
198 0.1% 6%  
199 0.8% 6%  
200 0.1% 5%  
201 1.3% 5%  
202 0.3% 4%  
203 0.5% 4%  
204 0.8% 3%  
205 0.5% 2%  
206 0.3% 2%  
207 0.6% 2%  
208 0.3% 1.1%  
209 0.4% 0.8%  
210 0.1% 0.4%  
211 0% 0.4%  
212 0% 0.3%  
213 0.1% 0.3%  
214 0% 0.2%  
215 0% 0.2%  
216 0% 0.2%  
217 0% 0.1%  
218 0.1% 0.1%  
219 0% 0.1%  
220 0% 0.1%  
221 0% 0%  
222 0% 0%  
223 0% 0%  
224 0% 0%  
225 0% 0%  
226 0% 0%  
227 0% 0%  
228 0% 0%  
229 0% 0%  
230 0% 0%  
231 0% 0%  
232 0% 0%  
233 0% 0%  
234 0% 0%  
235 0% 0%  
236 0% 0%  
237 0% 0%  
238 0% 0%  
239 0% 0%  
240 0% 0%  
241 0% 0%  
242 0% 0%  
243 0% 0%  
244 0% 0%  
245 0% 0%  
246 0% 0%  
247 0% 0%  
248 0% 0%  
249 0% 0%  
250 0% 0%  
251 0% 0%  
252 0% 0%  
253 0% 0%  
254 0% 0%  
255 0% 0%  
256 0% 0%  
257 0% 0%  
258 0% 0%  
259 0% 0%  
260 0% 0%  
261 0% 0%  
262 0% 0%  
263 0% 0%  
264 0% 0%  
265 0% 0%  
266 0% 0% Last Result

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations