Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС, 20–28 July 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 23.0% 21.4–24.8% 20.9–25.3% 20.5–25.7% 19.8–26.6%
Движение за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 12.8% 11.5–14.3% 11.2–14.6% 10.9–15.0% 10.3–15.7%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 11.0% 9.8–12.4% 9.5–12.8% 9.2–13.1% 8.7–13.8%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 9.2% 8.2–10.5% 7.8–10.9% 7.6–11.2% 7.1–11.8%
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 0.0% 6.9% 6.0–8.1% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.3%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 5.2% 4.4–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.2%
Величие (*) 0.0% 3.7% 3.0–4.6% 2.8–4.8% 2.7–5.0% 2.4–5.5%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.5% 2.8–4.3% 2.7–4.6% 2.5–4.8% 2.2–5.2%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.6% 2.0–3.4% 1.9–3.6% 1.8–3.8% 1.5–4.2%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 4 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Движение за права и свободи (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Възраждане (ESN) 0 2 2 2 2 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 0 1 1–2 0–2 0–2 0–2
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0.3% 100%  
4 73% 99.7% Median
5 27% 27%  
6 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 67% 100% Median
3 33% 33%  
4 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 97% 99.9% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.3% 100%  
2 74% 99.7% Median
3 26% 26%  
4 0% 0%  

Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 8% 100% Last Result
1 69% 92% Median
2 23% 23%  
3 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 86% 100% Last Result, Median
1 14% 14%  
2 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 34% 100% Last Result
1 66% 66% Median
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 2 0% 2 2 2 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 97% 99.9% Median
3 2% 2%  
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations