Има такъв народ (ECR)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.4% | 5.1–7.9% | 4.8–8.4% | 4.6–8.8% | 4.1–9.6% |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 6.1% | 5.2–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 6.0% | 5.1–7.0% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.7–7.6% | 4.3–8.1% |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
6.2% | 5.3–7.2% | 5.0–7.5% | 4.8–7.8% | 4.4–8.4% |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
5.2% | 4.4–6.2% | 4.2–6.5% | 4.0–6.8% | 3.7–7.3% |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
6.8% | 5.7–8.0% | 5.4–8.4% | 5.2–8.7% | 4.8–9.4% |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 6.3% | 5.3–7.6% | 5.1–7.9% | 4.8–8.2% | 4.4–8.9% |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.1% | 2.9–5.3% | 2.6–5.8% |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
6.9% | 5.9–8.0% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.5–8.6% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
3.8% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.5–5.5% |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
6.2% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.8% | 4.8–8.1% | 4.3–8.8% |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС | 5.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Има такъв народ (ECR).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 2% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 18% | 98% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 36% | 80% | Median |
| 6.5–7.5% | 27% | 44% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 12% | 16% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 4% | 4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 20–23 October 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 16–22 October 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 19–22 October 2024 | Exacta | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 10–21 October 2024 | Gallup International BNR |
1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 15–20 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 11–17 October 2024 | Sova Harris ПИК |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 8–13 October 2024 | Медиана | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 28 September–6 October 2024 | Gallup International | 1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25 September–1 October 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17–24 September 2024 | Тренд 24 часа |
1 | 1–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 18–24 September 2024 | Алфа рисърч | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 14–23 August 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС bTV |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–9 August 2024 | Gallup International БНТ |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 20–28 July 2024 | Маркет ЛИНКС |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Има такъв народ (ECR).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 34% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 53% | 66% | Median |
| 2 | 13% | 13% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |