Opinion Poll by Маркет ЛИНКС for bTV, 14–23 August 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0.0% 26.2% 24.5–28.0% 24.0–28.5% 23.6–29.0% 22.8–29.9%
Движение за права и свободи (RE) 0.0% 18.4% 16.9–20.0% 16.5–20.5% 16.2–20.9% 15.5–21.7%
Възраждане (ESN) 0.0% 13.7% 12.4–15.1% 12.0–15.5% 11.7–15.9% 11.1–16.6%
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0.0% 10.2% 9.1–11.5% 8.8–11.9% 8.5–12.2% 8.0–12.9%
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 0.0% 7.4% 6.5–8.6% 6.2–8.9% 6.0–9.2% 5.5–9.8%
Да, България! (EPP) 0.0% 3.9% 3.3–4.8% 3.1–5.1% 2.9–5.3% 2.6–5.8%
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0.0% 3.8% 3.1–4.6% 2.9–4.9% 2.8–5.1% 2.5–5.5%
Демократична България (EPP) 0.0% 2.9% 2.3–3.7% 2.2–3.9% 2.0–4.1% 1.8–4.5%
Величие (*) 0.0% 2.4% 1.9–3.1% 1.8–3.4% 1.6–3.5% 1.4–3.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) 0 5 4–5 4–5 4–5 4–5
Движение за права и свободи (RE) 0 3 3–4 3–4 3–4 3–4
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Продължаваме промяната (RE) 0 2 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3
Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) 0 1 1–2 1–2 1–2 0–2
Да, България! (EPP) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Има такъв народ (ECR) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Демократична България (EPP) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Величие (*) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 12% 100%  
5 87% 88% Median
6 0.5% 0.5%  
7 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 71% 100% Median
4 29% 29%  
5 0% 0%  

Възраждане (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 42% 100%  
3 58% 58% Median
4 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната (RE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната (RE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0.1% 100%  
2 77% 99.9% Median
3 23% 23%  
4 0% 0%  

Българска социалистическа партия (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Българска социалистическа партия (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 2% 100% Last Result
1 78% 98% Median
2 20% 20%  
3 0% 0%  

Да, България! (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Да, България! (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 25% 100% Last Result
1 75% 75% Median
2 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ (ECR)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ (ECR) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0.1% 0.1%  
2 0% 0%  

Демократична България (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 92% 100% Last Result, Median
1 8% 8%  
2 0% 0%  

Величие (*)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Величие (*) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Възраждане (ESN) 0 3 0% 2–3 2–3 2–3 2–3

Възраждане (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 42% 100%  
3 58% 58% Median
4 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations