Opinion Poll by Gallup, 21–26 September 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България 23.2% 21.4% 19.8–23.2% 19.4–23.7% 19.0–24.1% 18.3–24.9%
Продължаваме промяната 0.0% 15.2% 13.8–16.8% 13.5–17.2% 13.1–17.6% 12.5–18.3%
БСП за България 13.2% 13.4% 12.1–14.9% 11.8–15.3% 11.5–15.7% 10.9–16.4%
Има такъв народ 23.8% 12.3% 11.0–13.7% 10.7–14.1% 10.4–14.4% 9.8–15.1%
Демократична България 12.5% 12.1% 10.8–13.5% 10.5–13.9% 10.2–14.2% 9.6–14.9%
Движение за права и свободи 10.6% 11.4% 10.2–12.7% 9.8–13.1% 9.5–13.5% 9.0–14.2%
Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме! 5.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.0% 3.2–5.2% 3.0–5.5% 2.7–5.9%
Възраждане 3.0% 3.3% 2.6–4.1% 2.5–4.3% 2.3–4.6% 2.1–5.0%
ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение 3.1% 2.2% 1.7–2.9% 1.6–3.1% 1.4–3.3% 1.2–3.7%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Граждани за европейско развитие на България 63 58 53–63 51–64 51–65 48–67
Продължаваме промяната 0 41 37–46 36–47 35–47 33–50
БСП за България 36 36 32–41 31–42 31–42 29–44
Има такъв народ 65 33 30–37 28–39 28–39 26–41
Демократична България 34 32 29–36 28–37 27–39 26–41
Движение за права и свободи 29 31 27–35 26–36 25–36 24–38
Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме! 13 11 0–13 0–14 0–14 0–16
Възраждане 0 0 0–11 0–11 0–12 0–13
ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение 0 0 0 0 0 0

Граждани за европейско развитие на България

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Граждани за европейско развитие на България page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0.1% 100%  
47 0.2% 99.9%  
48 0.2% 99.7%  
49 0.7% 99.5%  
50 1.3% 98.8%  
51 3% 98%  
52 3% 95%  
53 6% 92%  
54 5% 86%  
55 8% 81%  
56 8% 72%  
57 8% 64%  
58 8% 57% Median
59 12% 49%  
60 10% 37%  
61 10% 27%  
62 5% 18%  
63 3% 13% Last Result
64 7% 10%  
65 0.9% 3%  
66 0.7% 2%  
67 0.6% 1.1%  
68 0.2% 0.5%  
69 0.2% 0.3%  
70 0.1% 0.1%  
71 0% 0.1%  
72 0% 0%  

Продължаваме промяната

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Продължаваме промяната page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0% 100%  
28 0% 100%  
29 0% 100%  
30 0% 100%  
31 0% 100%  
32 0.2% 99.9%  
33 0.4% 99.8%  
34 1.2% 99.4%  
35 2% 98%  
36 3% 96%  
37 9% 93%  
38 4% 84%  
39 6% 80%  
40 12% 73%  
41 15% 61% Median
42 14% 46%  
43 5% 32%  
44 11% 27%  
45 6% 17%  
46 5% 11%  
47 4% 6%  
48 0.5% 2%  
49 1.2% 2%  
50 0.3% 0.6%  
51 0.2% 0.3%  
52 0.1% 0.1%  
53 0% 0%  

БСП за България

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the БСП за България page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.2% 99.9%  
29 0.5% 99.8%  
30 1.1% 99.2%  
31 5% 98%  
32 4% 93%  
33 9% 89%  
34 11% 81%  
35 12% 70%  
36 8% 58% Last Result, Median
37 15% 50%  
38 9% 35%  
39 9% 25%  
40 6% 17%  
41 4% 11%  
42 4% 7%  
43 0.9% 2%  
44 1.1% 2%  
45 0.2% 0.4%  
46 0.1% 0.1%  
47 0% 0.1%  
48 0% 0%  

Има такъв народ

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Има такъв народ page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 0.5% 99.7%  
27 1.1% 99.2%  
28 3% 98%  
29 4% 95%  
30 10% 91%  
31 14% 81%  
32 11% 67%  
33 15% 56% Median
34 12% 40%  
35 7% 28%  
36 8% 21%  
37 5% 13%  
38 2% 8%  
39 4% 6%  
40 2% 2%  
41 0.2% 0.6%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0.1% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0%  
46 0% 0%  
47 0% 0%  
48 0% 0%  
49 0% 0%  
50 0% 0%  
51 0% 0%  
52 0% 0%  
53 0% 0%  
54 0% 0%  
55 0% 0%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0%  
58 0% 0%  
59 0% 0%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0%  
64 0% 0%  
65 0% 0% Last Result

Демократична България

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Демократична България page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.1% 100%  
25 0.2% 99.9%  
26 1.0% 99.7%  
27 3% 98.6%  
28 4% 96%  
29 6% 92%  
30 8% 86%  
31 18% 78%  
32 12% 60% Median
33 15% 48%  
34 9% 33% Last Result
35 10% 25%  
36 5% 15%  
37 5% 10%  
38 1.1% 4%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.5% 1.2%  
41 0.3% 0.7%  
42 0.3% 0.4%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  

Движение за права и свободи

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Движение за права и свободи page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
22 0% 100%  
23 0.2% 99.9%  
24 1.1% 99.7%  
25 2% 98.6%  
26 2% 97%  
27 8% 94%  
28 9% 87%  
29 11% 78% Last Result
30 10% 67%  
31 14% 57% Median
32 17% 43%  
33 8% 26%  
34 7% 18%  
35 5% 11%  
36 3% 6%  
37 1.4% 2%  
38 0.6% 0.9%  
39 0.2% 0.3%  
40 0.1% 0.1%  
41 0% 0%  

Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме!

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме! page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 47% 100%  
1 0% 53%  
2 0% 53%  
3 0% 53%  
4 0% 53%  
5 0% 53%  
6 0% 53%  
7 0% 53%  
8 0% 53%  
9 0% 53%  
10 0.9% 53%  
11 13% 52% Median
12 23% 39%  
13 10% 16% Last Result
14 3% 6%  
15 2% 2%  
16 0.5% 0.6%  
17 0.1% 0.1%  
18 0% 0%  

Възраждане

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Възраждане page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 87% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 13%  
2 0% 13%  
3 0% 13%  
4 0% 13%  
5 0% 13%  
6 0% 13%  
7 0% 13%  
8 0% 13%  
9 0% 13%  
10 2% 13%  
11 6% 11%  
12 4% 5%  
13 0.8% 0.9%  
14 0.2% 0.2%  
15 0% 0%  

ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the ВМРО–Българско Национално Движение page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 99.9% 100% Last Result, Median
1 0% 0.1%  
2 0% 0.1%  
3 0% 0.1%  
4 0% 0.1%  
5 0% 0.1%  
6 0% 0.1%  
7 0% 0.1%  
8 0% 0.1%  
9 0% 0.1%  
10 0% 0.1%  
11 0.1% 0.1%  
12 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
БСП за България – Има такъв народ – Движение за права и свободи – Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме! 143 107 0.5% 100–114 98–115 96–117 92–120
БСП за България – Има такъв народ – Движение за права и свободи 130 100 0% 94–108 92–109 91–110 88–113
БСП за България – Движение за права и свободи – Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме! 78 74 0% 66–81 64–82 63–84 60–87
БСП за България – Движение за права и свободи 65 67 0% 62–73 61–74 59–75 57–78

БСП за България – Има такъв народ – Движение за права и свободи – Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
89 0% 100%  
90 0.1% 99.9%  
91 0.1% 99.9%  
92 0.4% 99.8%  
93 0.3% 99.4%  
94 0.6% 99.1%  
95 0.5% 98%  
96 1.2% 98%  
97 1.4% 97%  
98 2% 95%  
99 3% 94%  
100 3% 91%  
101 7% 88%  
102 6% 82%  
103 4% 75%  
104 7% 71%  
105 5% 65%  
106 4% 60%  
107 9% 56%  
108 7% 48%  
109 10% 40%  
110 6% 30%  
111 5% 23% Median
112 5% 18%  
113 4% 14%  
114 2% 10%  
115 4% 8%  
116 1.2% 4%  
117 1.1% 3%  
118 1.0% 2%  
119 0.4% 1.0%  
120 0.2% 0.6%  
121 0.3% 0.5% Majority
122 0.1% 0.1%  
123 0% 0.1%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0%  
131 0% 0%  
132 0% 0%  
133 0% 0%  
134 0% 0%  
135 0% 0%  
136 0% 0%  
137 0% 0%  
138 0% 0%  
139 0% 0%  
140 0% 0%  
141 0% 0%  
142 0% 0%  
143 0% 0% Last Result

БСП за България – Има такъв народ – Движение за права и свободи

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
85 0.1% 100%  
86 0% 99.9%  
87 0.2% 99.9%  
88 0.3% 99.7%  
89 0.4% 99.4%  
90 0.8% 99.0%  
91 2% 98%  
92 2% 96%  
93 4% 94%  
94 5% 91%  
95 3% 86%  
96 5% 83%  
97 10% 78%  
98 6% 68%  
99 7% 62%  
100 7% 55% Median
101 9% 48%  
102 8% 39%  
103 6% 31%  
104 5% 25%  
105 3% 19%  
106 2% 17%  
107 4% 14%  
108 5% 10%  
109 0.6% 5%  
110 3% 5%  
111 0.4% 2%  
112 0.8% 2%  
113 0.5% 0.8%  
114 0.1% 0.3%  
115 0.1% 0.2%  
116 0.1% 0.1%  
117 0% 0%  
118 0% 0%  
119 0% 0%  
120 0% 0%  
121 0% 0% Majority
122 0% 0%  
123 0% 0%  
124 0% 0%  
125 0% 0%  
126 0% 0%  
127 0% 0%  
128 0% 0%  
129 0% 0%  
130 0% 0% Last Result

БСП за България – Движение за права и свободи – Изправи се БГ! Ние идваме!

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0.2% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.8%  
60 0.3% 99.6%  
61 0.9% 99.3%  
62 0.9% 98%  
63 0.4% 98%  
64 4% 97%  
65 1.3% 93%  
66 3% 92%  
67 2% 88%  
68 8% 86%  
69 6% 78%  
70 4% 72%  
71 6% 68%  
72 3% 62%  
73 5% 59%  
74 7% 54%  
75 5% 46%  
76 6% 42%  
77 4% 35%  
78 9% 32% Last Result, Median
79 8% 22%  
80 4% 14%  
81 3% 11%  
82 3% 7%  
83 2% 5%  
84 0.8% 3%  
85 1.0% 2%  
86 0.4% 0.9%  
87 0.3% 0.5%  
88 0.1% 0.3%  
89 0.1% 0.2%  
90 0% 0%  

БСП за България – Движение за права и свободи

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
54 0% 100%  
55 0.1% 99.9%  
56 0.1% 99.8%  
57 0.5% 99.7%  
58 1.2% 99.2%  
59 2% 98%  
60 1.2% 96%  
61 4% 95%  
62 5% 91%  
63 6% 86%  
64 8% 81%  
65 5% 73% Last Result
66 12% 68%  
67 9% 57% Median
68 11% 47%  
69 9% 37%  
70 6% 27%  
71 6% 21%  
72 3% 14%  
73 3% 11%  
74 5% 9%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.0% 2%  
77 0.3% 1.3%  
78 0.6% 1.0%  
79 0.2% 0.4%  
80 0.1% 0.1%  
81 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations