Има такъв народ

Voting Intentions

Last result: 23.8% (General Election of 11 July 2021)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	13.4%	10.5–16.2%	9.8–17.0%	9.2–17.6%	8.2–18.7%
10–17 October 2021	Gallup BNR	12.2%	10.6–14.2%	10.2–14.8%	9.8–15.3%	9.0–16.3%
5–12 October 2021	Sova Harris Dir.bg	14.5%	12.8–16.6%	12.3–17.2%	11.8–17.7%	11.0–18.7%
6–12 October 2021	Exacta	15.1%	13.2–17.4%	12.7–18.0%	12.3–18.5%	11.4–19.7%
6–10 October 2021	Център за анализи и маркетинг	12.3%	10.9–13.9%	10.6–14.4%	10.2–14.8%	9.6–15.6%
4–10 October 2021	Алфа рисърч	10.5%	8.9–12.3%	8.5–12.9%	8.2–13.4%	7.5–14.3%
21–26 September 2021	Gallup	12.3%	11.0–13.7%	10.7–14.1%	10.4–14.4%	9.8–15.1%
14–20 September 2021	Маркет ЛИНКС bTV	14.8%	13.1–16.8%	12.7–17.4%	12.2–17.9%	11.5–18.9%
8–15 September 2021	Тренд	17.5%	15.6–19.8%	15.0–20.4%	14.6–21.0%	13.7–22.1%
8–15 September 2021	Алфа рисърч	18.6%	16.6–21.0%	16.0–21.6%	15.5–22.2%	14.6–23.4%
2–10 September 2021	Gallup	15.4%	13.4–17.7%	12.9–18.4%	12.4–18.9%	11.5–20.1%
13–22 August 2021	Маркет ЛИНКС bTV	17.1%	15.2–19.3%	14.7–20.0%	14.2–20.5%	13.3–21.6%
23–30 July 2021	Тренд 24 часа	21.6%	20.0–23.3%	19.5–23.8%	19.1–24.2%	18.4–25.1%
21–28 July 2021	Маркет ЛИНКС bTV	25.2%	22.8–27.8%	22.2–28.5%	21.6–29.2%	20.5–30.4%

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Има такъв народ.

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
5.5–6.5%	0%	100%
6.5–7.5%	0.1%	100%
7.5–8.5%	0.8%	99.9%
8.5–9.5%	3%	99.1%
9.5–10.5%	7%	96%
10.5–11.5%	11%	89%
11.5–12.5%	15%	78%
12.5–13.5%	16%	63%	Median
13.5–14.5%	16%	47%
14.5–15.5%	14%	31%
15.5–16.5%	10%	17%
16.5–17.5%	5%	8%
17.5–18.5%	2%	3%
18.5–19.5%	0.5%	0.7%
19.5–20.5%	0.1%	0.1%
20.5–21.5%	0%	0%
21.5–22.5%	0%	0%
22.5–23.5%	0%	0%
23.5–24.5%	0%	0%	Last Result

Last result: 65 seats (General Election of 11 July 2021)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	35	28–43	26–44	25–46	22–50
10–17 October 2021	Gallup BNR	34	29–39	27–40	26–42	24–44
5–12 October 2021	Sova Harris Dir.bg	37	33–41	31–42	30–44	28–47
6–12 October 2021	Exacta	42	36–46	34–48	33–50	31–53
6–10 October 2021	Център за анализи и маркетинг	32	28–37	27–38	27–39	25–41
4–10 October 2021	Алфа рисърч	28	24–33	23–35	22–36	20–39
21–26 September 2021	Gallup	33	30–37	28–39	28–39	26–41
14–20 September 2021	Маркет ЛИНКС bTV	38	33–43	32–44	31–45	29–48
8–15 September 2021	Тренд	46	42–54	41–56	40–58	37–60
8–15 September 2021	Алфа рисърч	49	43–55	42–57	40–59	38–62
2–10 September 2021	Gallup	42	36–48	35–50	34–52	31–55
13–22 August 2021	Маркет ЛИНКС bTV	42	38–48	36–49	35–51	33–54
23–30 July 2021	Тренд 24 часа	60	55–65	54–66	53–68	51–70
21–28 July 2021	Маркет ЛИНКС bTV	63	57–70	55–72	54–73	51–77

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Има такъв народ.

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
19	0%	100%
20	0.1%	99.9%
21	0.2%	99.9%
22	0.4%	99.7%
23	0.8%	99.4%
24	0.9%	98.5%
25	1.1%	98%
26	2%	97%
27	2%	95%
28	4%	92%
29	3%	88%
30	5%	85%
31	4%	79%
32	7%	75%
33	5%	68%
34	7%	62%
35	6%	55%	Median
36	8%	49%
37	7%	41%
38	6%	34%
39	5%	27%
40	5%	22%
41	4%	17%
42	3%	13%
43	2%	10%
44	4%	8%
45	1.2%	4%
46	0.9%	3%
47	0.7%	2%
48	0.4%	1.3%
49	0.3%	0.9%
50	0.3%	0.6%
51	0.2%	0.3%
52	0.1%	0.2%
53	0%	0.1%
54	0%	0.1%
55	0%	0%
56	0%	0%
57	0%	0%
58	0%	0%
59	0%	0%
60	0%	0%
61	0%	0%
62	0%	0%
63	0%	0%
64	0%	0%
65	0%	0%	Last Result