Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 29 June–2 July 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 27.4% | 25.4–29.5% | 24.9–30.1% | 24.4–30.6% | 23.5–31.6% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 19.8% | 18.0–21.7% | 17.5–22.2% | 17.1–22.7% | 16.3–23.6% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 17.8% | 16.1–19.6% | 15.7–20.1% | 15.3–20.6% | 14.5–21.5% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 9.5% | 8.3–11.0% | 7.9–11.4% | 7.7–11.7% | 7.1–12.5% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6–7.9% | 5.3–8.3% | 5.1–8.6% | 4.6–9.2% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.3–7.5% | 5.0–7.8% | 4.8–8.2% | 4.3–8.8% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8–7.0% | 4.6–7.3% | 4.3–7.6% | 3.9–8.2% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 5.1% | 4.3–6.3% | 4.0–6.6% | 3.8–6.9% | 3.4–7.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 41 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–48 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 26 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 27 | 25–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 22–33 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 12 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–16 | 8–16 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 7 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 5–10 | 4–11 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 8 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 4–11 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 3–10 |
| Vox | 0 | 6 | 4–7 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 3–9 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 33 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 35 | 1.5% | 99.7% | |
| 36 | 3% | 98% | |
| 37 | 6% | 95% | |
| 38 | 7% | 90% | |
| 39 | 10% | 83% | |
| 40 | 17% | 73% | |
| 41 | 14% | 56% | Median |
| 42 | 19% | 41% | |
| 43 | 7% | 23% | |
| 44 | 8% | 15% | |
| 45 | 3% | 8% | |
| 46 | 3% | 5% | |
| 47 | 2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 23 | 3% | 97% | |
| 24 | 13% | 94% | |
| 25 | 22% | 81% | |
| 26 | 22% | 59% | Median |
| 27 | 13% | 37% | |
| 28 | 7% | 24% | |
| 29 | 5% | 17% | |
| 30 | 8% | 12% | |
| 31 | 4% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 33 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.6% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 99.2% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 11% | 96% | |
| 26 | 27% | 85% | |
| 27 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 28 | 13% | 46% | |
| 29 | 9% | 33% | |
| 30 | 10% | 24% | |
| 31 | 11% | 15% | |
| 32 | 3% | 4% | |
| 33 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 34 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 1.5% | 100% | |
| 9 | 8% | 98% | |
| 10 | 5% | 91% | |
| 11 | 3% | 85% | |
| 12 | 35% | 82% | Median |
| 13 | 32% | 48% | |
| 14 | 11% | 16% | |
| 15 | 2% | 5% | |
| 16 | 2% | 3% | |
| 17 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2% | 100% | |
| 5 | 16% | 98% | |
| 6 | 15% | 82% | |
| 7 | 28% | 68% | Median |
| 8 | 27% | 40% | Last Result |
| 9 | 5% | 12% | |
| 10 | 5% | 7% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 3% | 96% | |
| 7 | 15% | 93% | |
| 8 | 48% | 78% | Median |
| 9 | 16% | 29% | |
| 10 | 10% | 14% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 98% | Last Result |
| 5 | 19% | 97% | |
| 6 | 11% | 78% | |
| 7 | 41% | 68% | Median |
| 8 | 5% | 27% | |
| 9 | 19% | 22% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 3 | 9% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 3% | 91% | |
| 5 | 34% | 88% | |
| 6 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 7 | 34% | 40% | |
| 8 | 2% | 6% | |
| 9 | 4% | 4% | |
| 10 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 77 | 100% | 73–80 | 72–81 | 71–82 | 69–84 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 75 | 99.9% | 72–79 | 71–80 | 70–81 | 68–83 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 74 | 99.2% | 71–78 | 70–79 | 69–80 | 67–81 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 66 | 68 | 62% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 61–76 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 53 | 0% | 49–56 | 48–57 | 47–58 | 46–60 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox | 57 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 47–56 | 46–57 | 44–59 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 48 | 0% | 44–52 | 43–52 | 43–54 | 41–55 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 46 | 0% | 42–49 | 41–50 | 40–51 | 39–52 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 68 | 0.2% | 100% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 70 | 0.9% | 99.4% | Last Result |
| 71 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 72 | 3% | 96% | |
| 73 | 5% | 93% | |
| 74 | 13% | 88% | |
| 75 | 13% | 75% | |
| 76 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 77 | 11% | 51% | |
| 78 | 13% | 40% | |
| 79 | 10% | 26% | |
| 80 | 7% | 16% | |
| 81 | 5% | 9% | |
| 82 | 3% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.5% | 99.9% | Majority |
| 69 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98% | |
| 71 | 3% | 96% | |
| 72 | 5% | 93% | |
| 73 | 13% | 88% | |
| 74 | 15% | 75% | Last Result |
| 75 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 76 | 11% | 50% | |
| 77 | 12% | 39% | |
| 78 | 10% | 27% | |
| 79 | 7% | 17% | |
| 80 | 6% | 10% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0% | 100% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 67 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 68 | 1.3% | 99.2% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 98% | |
| 70 | 4% | 95% | |
| 71 | 7% | 91% | |
| 72 | 10% | 84% | |
| 73 | 15% | 73% | |
| 74 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 75 | 12% | 43% | |
| 76 | 10% | 32% | |
| 77 | 6% | 21% | |
| 78 | 7% | 15% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 3% | 4% | |
| 81 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 3% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 92% | |
| 66 | 13% | 88% | Last Result |
| 67 | 12% | 74% | |
| 68 | 15% | 62% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 10% | 47% | |
| 70 | 11% | 37% | |
| 71 | 10% | 25% | |
| 72 | 7% | 16% | |
| 73 | 5% | 9% | |
| 74 | 2% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 4% | 96% | |
| 49 | 7% | 93% | |
| 50 | 11% | 86% | |
| 51 | 8% | 75% | |
| 52 | 15% | 67% | Median |
| 53 | 12% | 52% | |
| 54 | 16% | 40% | |
| 55 | 11% | 24% | |
| 56 | 6% | 13% | |
| 57 | 4% | 7% | |
| 58 | 2% | 3% | |
| 59 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 95% | |
| 48 | 5% | 89% | |
| 49 | 11% | 84% | |
| 50 | 14% | 73% | |
| 51 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 52 | 9% | 46% | |
| 53 | 13% | 37% | |
| 54 | 12% | 24% | |
| 55 | 6% | 12% | |
| 56 | 3% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 58 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 41 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 42 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 4% | 98% | |
| 44 | 5% | 93% | |
| 45 | 7% | 89% | |
| 46 | 11% | 82% | |
| 47 | 14% | 71% | |
| 48 | 12% | 57% | Median |
| 49 | 15% | 45% | |
| 50 | 14% | 30% | |
| 51 | 5% | 16% | |
| 52 | 6% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 5% | |
| 54 | 2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 41 | 4% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 93% | |
| 43 | 10% | 87% | |
| 44 | 12% | 76% | |
| 45 | 14% | 64% | Median |
| 46 | 15% | 50% | |
| 47 | 13% | 35% | |
| 48 | 9% | 22% | |
| 49 | 7% | 13% | |
| 50 | 2% | 6% | |
| 51 | 2% | 4% | |
| 52 | 0.8% | 1.2% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): El Nacional
- Fieldwork period: 29 June–2 July 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 800
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 0.82%