Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 13.9% (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 22.0% | 18.7–24.4% | 17.9–24.9% | 17.4–25.3% | 16.6–26.2% |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 17.8% | 16.9–18.7% | 16.7–19.0% | 16.5–19.2% | 16.1–19.6% |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.2% | 18.0–22.6% | 17.4–23.4% | 16.9–23.9% | 15.9–25.2% |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
22.7% | 21.6–23.9% | 21.3–24.2% | 21.0–24.5% | 20.5–25.0% |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
24.5% | 23.7–25.4% | 23.4–25.6% | 23.2–25.8% | 22.8–26.2% |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
21.4% | 19.8–23.2% | 19.4–23.6% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.2–24.9% |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.9% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.4–22.7% | 16.9–23.3% | 16.0–24.3% |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.2% | 18.8–24.1% | 18.1–24.8% | 17.5–25.5% | 16.4–26.9% |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 23.2% | 22.1–24.3% | 21.8–24.6% | 21.6–24.9% | 21.0–25.5% |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
22.8% | 20.5–25.4% | 19.9–26.1% | 19.3–26.7% | 18.3–28.0% |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.7% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.1–22.6% | 16.7–23.1% | 15.7–24.2% |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.8% | 18.3–23.5% | 17.6–24.3% | 17.1–25.0% | 16.0–26.4% |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
23.1% | 20.7–25.8% | 20.0–26.5% | 19.5–27.2% | 18.4–28.5% |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
20.3% | 18.2–22.6% | 17.7–23.2% | 17.2–23.8% | 16.3–24.9% |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.5% | 19.0–24.3% | 18.3–25.1% | 17.8–25.8% | 16.6–27.2% |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
23.1% | 20.6–25.9% | 19.9–26.7% | 19.3–27.4% | 18.2–28.7% |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.3% | 17.3–21.5% | 16.8–22.1% | 16.3–22.7% | 15.4–23.8% |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.8% | 19.3–24.6% | 18.6–25.4% | 18.0–26.1% | 16.9–27.5% |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
23.0% | 20.5–25.8% | 19.8–26.6% | 19.2–27.3% | 18.1–28.6% |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.3% | 17.3–21.5% | 16.8–22.1% | 16.3–22.7% | 15.4–23.8% |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.0% | 19.5–24.8% | 18.8–25.6% | 18.2–26.3% | 17.1–27.7% |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
21.0% | 20.0–22.1% | 19.7–22.4% | 19.4–22.7% | 18.9–23.2% |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
22.6% | 20.1–25.3% | 19.4–26.1% | 18.8–26.8% | 17.7–28.2% |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 21.9% | 20.0–23.9% | 19.5–24.5% | 19.1–25.0% | 18.2–26.0% |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
21.0% | 18.2–24.2% | 17.5–25.1% | 16.8–25.8% | 15.6–27.4% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 22.6% | 20.7–24.7% | 20.2–25.3% | 19.7–25.8% | 18.9–26.8% |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
21.3% | 19.7–23.0% | 19.3–23.5% | 18.9–24.0% | 18.1–24.8% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 22.1% | 20.0–24.5% | 19.4–25.2% | 18.9–25.8% | 17.9–26.9% |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
22.9% | 21.3–24.7% | 20.8–25.2% | 20.4–25.6% | 19.6–26.5% |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
21.5% | 19.4–23.8% | 18.8–24.4% | 18.3–25.0% | 17.4–26.1% |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
23.0% | 20.6–25.8% | 19.9–26.6% | 19.3–27.3% | 18.1–28.7% |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.8% | 19.3–24.6% | 18.6–25.4% | 18.0–26.1% | 16.9–27.5% |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
23.1% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.1–26.4% | 19.5–27.0% | 18.5–28.3% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
20.7% | 19.0–22.6% | 18.5–23.2% | 18.1–23.6% | 17.3–24.6% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
21.8% | 20.4–23.4% | 20.0–23.8% | 19.6–24.2% | 19.0–25.0% |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 23.7% | 22.5–25.0% | 22.1–25.4% | 21.8–25.7% | 21.2–26.4% |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
22.7% | 21.2–24.3% | 20.8–24.7% | 20.5–25.1% | 19.8–25.9% |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.3% | 19.3–21.3% | 19.1–21.6% | 18.8–21.8% | 18.4–22.3% |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
22.5% | 20.9–24.3% | 20.4–24.8% | 20.0–25.2% | 19.3–26.1% |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
19.7% | 17.8–21.7% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.8–22.8% | 16.0–23.8% |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.5% | 19.0–24.3% | 18.3–25.1% | 17.8–25.8% | 16.6–27.2% |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
24.0% | 22.6–25.5% | 22.2–25.9% | 21.9–26.3% | 21.2–27.0% |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.5% | 19.0–24.3% | 18.3–25.1% | 17.8–25.8% | 16.6–27.2% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
21.5% | 20.5–22.5% | 20.2–22.8% | 20.0–23.1% | 19.5–23.6% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
18.7% | 16.9–20.7% | 16.4–21.3% | 16.0–21.7% | 15.2–22.7% |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
19.6% | 17.8–21.7% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.8–22.8% | 16.0–23.8% |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.0% | 18.6–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% | 17.3–25.3% | 16.2–26.6% |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 23.9% | 23.0–24.8% | 22.8–25.0% | 22.6–25.2% | 22.2–25.7% |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.0% | 17.6–22.8% | 16.9–23.5% | 16.4–24.2% | 15.3–25.6% |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
20.5% | 18.4–22.8% | 17.9–23.4% | 17.4–24.0% | 16.4–25.1% |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
24.1% | 22.2–26.1% | 21.7–26.7% | 21.3–27.2% | 20.4–28.2% |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.3% | 17.7–21.1% | 17.3–21.6% | 16.9–22.1% | 16.1–22.9% |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
16.7% | 15.3–18.1% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.7–18.9% | 14.1–19.6% |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.2% | 16.0–20.9% | 15.3–21.7% | 14.8–22.3% | 13.7–23.7% |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
18.5% | 17.0–20.2% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.3–21.0% | 15.6–21.8% |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
18.9% | 17.2–20.7% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.3–21.7% | 15.5–22.6% |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.2% | 16.5–20.0% | 16.0–20.5% | 15.7–21.0% | 14.9–21.9% |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
16.8% | 15.5–18.2% | 15.1–18.6% | 14.8–18.9% | 14.2–19.6% |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 17.5% | 16.3–18.8% | 15.9–19.2% | 15.6–19.5% | 15.1–20.2% |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
16.9% | 14.6–19.7% | 14.0–20.5% | 13.4–21.2% | 12.4–22.6% |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
18.1% | 16.6–19.7% | 16.1–20.2% | 15.8–20.6% | 15.1–21.4% |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
17.7% | 16.0–19.7% | 15.5–20.2% | 15.1–20.7% | 14.3–21.6% |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
19.1% | 17.1–21.4% | 16.5–22.0% | 16.0–22.6% | 15.1–23.7% |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
17.9% | 17.4–18.5% | 17.2–18.6% | 17.1–18.8% | 16.8–19.0% |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
17.0% | 15.8–18.4% | 15.4–18.7% | 15.1–19.1% | 14.5–19.7% |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
17.9% | 16.7–19.3% | 16.3–19.6% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.5–20.6% |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
19.8% | 18.0–21.7% | 17.5–22.2% | 17.1–22.7% | 16.3–23.6% |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.5% | 18.0–21.2% | 17.5–21.7% | 17.2–22.1% | 16.4–22.9% |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
18.0% | 16.8–19.4% | 16.4–19.7% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.5–20.7% |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
17.4% | 16.2–18.8% | 15.8–19.2% | 15.5–19.5% | 15.0–20.2% |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
20.8% | 19.0–22.7% | 18.5–23.2% | 18.1–23.7% | 17.3–24.7% |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
18.0% | 15.8–20.7% | 15.1–21.4% | 14.6–22.1% | 13.6–23.4% |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
20.3% | 18.3–22.6% | 17.7–23.3% | 17.2–23.8% | 16.3–25.0% |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.4% | 17.3–21.8% | 16.7–22.5% | 16.2–23.1% | 15.2–24.3% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
17.3% | 15.7–19.3% | 15.2–19.8% | 14.8–20.3% | 14.0–21.2% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.9% | 15.7–18.3% | 15.4–18.6% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.5–19.6% |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.4% | 18.1–20.8% | 17.8–21.2% | 17.5–21.5% | 16.9–22.1% |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
18.0% | 16.6–19.6% | 16.1–20.1% | 15.8–20.5% | 15.1–21.2% |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18.4% | 17.1–19.8% | 16.8–20.2% | 16.5–20.6% | 15.9–21.2% |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
16.8% | 15.2–18.7% | 14.7–19.2% | 14.3–19.7% | 13.5–20.6% |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
17.6% | 16.5–18.7% | 16.2–19.1% | 16.0–19.3% | 15.5–19.9% |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.2% | 18.6–21.9% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
19.8% | 18.0–21.9% | 17.5–22.4% | 17.1–22.9% | 16.2–23.9% |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
19.1% | 17.3–21.1% | 16.8–21.6% | 16.4–22.1% | 15.5–23.1% |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
18.7% | 17.2–20.3% | 16.8–20.7% | 16.4–21.1% | 15.7–21.9% |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.3–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.4–22.8% |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
16.5% | 15.1–18.0% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.3–18.9% | 13.7–19.6% |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
15.5% | 14.4–16.8% | 14.0–17.2% | 13.8–17.5% | 13.2–18.1% |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
15.0% | 13.5–16.8% | 13.0–17.3% | 12.6–17.8% | 11.9–18.7% |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
13.9% | 12.4–15.6% | 12.0–16.0% | 11.6–16.4% | 11.0–17.3% |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
14.5% | 13.2–16.0% | 12.8–16.4% | 12.5–16.8% | 11.9–17.6% |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
17.3% | 15.6–19.2% | 15.2–19.8% | 14.8–20.2% | 14.0–21.2% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.1% | 14.7–17.7% | 14.3–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.3–19.3% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
15.0% | 13.1–17.2% | 12.6–17.8% | 12.1–18.4% | 11.3–19.5% |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
15.5% | 14.2–17.0% | 13.8–17.5% | 13.5–17.8% | 12.8–18.6% |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
15.5% | 14.3–16.8% | 14.0–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.2–18.1% |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
14.7% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.5–17.2% | 12.1–17.7% | 11.3–18.7% |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
16.3% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.3% | 14.1–18.7% | 13.5–19.5% |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
11.0% | 9.8–12.3% | 9.5–12.7% | 9.2–13.1% | 8.7–13.7% |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
15.2% | 13.7–17.0% | 13.2–17.5% | 12.8–17.9% | 12.1–18.8% |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
14.8% | 13.3–16.6% | 12.9–17.1% | 12.5–17.5% | 11.8–18.4% |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
12.5% | 11.1–14.1% | 10.7–14.6% | 10.4–15.0% | 9.8–15.8% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
14.4% | 12.8–16.1% | 12.4–16.6% | 12.0–17.1% | 11.3–17.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 6% | 97% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 7% | 91% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 11% | 84% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 15% | 73% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 18% | 58% | Median |
| 22.5–23.5% | 18% | 40% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 14% | 22% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 6% | 8% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 17 seats (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 30 | 25–34 | 24–35 | 24–35 | 23–37 |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 21–26 |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
27 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–34 | 22–36 |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
32 | 30–34 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 28–36 |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
34 | 32–35 | 32–35 | 32–36 | 31–37 |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
29 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
28 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–33 | 22–35 |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28 | 25–33 | 25–35 | 24–37 | 22–38 |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 32 | 30–33 | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–35 |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
32 | 28–35 | 26–36 | 26–37 | 25–39 |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
27 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–33 | 22–34 |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–34 | 21–37 |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
31 | 27–36 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 25–40 |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
28 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–35 |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 23–38 |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
31 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 25–40 |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
27 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 | 22–34 |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 23–38 |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
32 | 28–36 | 27–38 | 26–38 | 25–40 |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
26 | 24–30 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 21–35 |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 25–36 | 24–38 |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29 | 27–31 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
32 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 26–37 | 24–39 |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 31 | 27–32 | 26–34 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
28 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 22–36 | 20–38 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 32 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 | 24–37 |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
31 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
29 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 25–34 | 24–35 |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
32 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 25–40 |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 25–37 | 23–38 |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
32 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 25–40 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
29 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–35 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
27 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 24–33 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
30 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 26–35 |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 34 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
31 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
28 | 26–30 | 26–30 | 26–31 | 25–31 |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
31 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 26–35 |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
26 | 24–30 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 22–32 |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 25–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
33 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–38 |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 25–33 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30 | 28–31 | 27–32 | 27–32 | 26–33 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
25 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 20–31 |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
27 | 24–30 | 24–31 | 22–31 | 21–33 |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
28 | 25–32 | 24–34 | 23–35 | 21–37 |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 34 | 32–35 | 32–36 | 31–36 | 31–37 |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26 | 24–31 | 22–32 | 22–33 | 20–35 |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
28 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 23–36 |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
33 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 30–38 | 27–40 |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
26 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–31 |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
23 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–26 |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
25 | 21–28 | 20–30 | 19–31 | 17–33 |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
25 | 23–27 | 23–28 | 22–29 | 20–30 |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
26 | 24–29 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 21–31 |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24 | 22–26 | 22–28 | 21–28 | 19–30 |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
23 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 24 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 20–27 |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
23 | 19–26 | 18–28 | 17–29 | 16–31 |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
25 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–30 |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
24 | 21–26 | 20–26 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
25 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 19–32 |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 24–25 | 23–26 |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
23 | 21–25 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 18–26 |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 22–26 | 20–28 |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
26 | 24–30 | 23–30 | 22–31 | 21–32 |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26 | 24–28 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–31 |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
24 | 23–26 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–28 |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
24 | 22–25 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 19–27 |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
28 | 25–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 23–34 |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
24 | 21–27 | 19–29 | 18–30 | 17–32 |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
26 | 24–30 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 21–33 |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
25 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 21–31 | 19–33 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
24 | 20–26 | 20–26 | 19–27 | 17–28 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
23 | 20–25 | 20–25 | 19–25 | 18–26 |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26 | 24–27 | 24–28 | 24–28 | 23–30 |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
25 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 19–29 |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
25 | 24–27 | 23–28 | 23–28 | 22–29 |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
23 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 17–27 |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24 | 23–25 | 23–25 | 22–26 | 21–27 |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
26 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 22–33 |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 23–32 |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
25 | 24–29 | 23–30 | 22–30 | 20–32 |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 24–33 |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27 | 25–30 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 24–33 |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
25 | 23–27 | 23–28 | 22–28 | 20–30 |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
26 | 25–29 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 24–31 |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
23 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 17–25 |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
21 | 19–23 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 17–25 |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
20 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
17 | 16–20 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 14–24 |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
18 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
23 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–26 | 17–28 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
22 | 19–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–25 |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–26 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18 | 16–23 | 16–24 | 15–24 | 14–25 |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
20 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 16–25 |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
21 | 18–23 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 17–24 |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
18 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 14–25 |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21 | 18–24 | 18–24 | 17–25 | 17–25 |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
14 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
20 | 17–24 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 16–25 |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
19 | 17–23 | 16–24 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
16 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–19 | 12–20 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
18 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–23 | 15–24 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 24 | 4% | 98% | |
| 25 | 6% | 94% | |
| 26 | 8% | 89% | |
| 27 | 7% | 80% | |
| 28 | 6% | 74% | |
| 29 | 9% | 68% | |
| 30 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 31 | 15% | 48% | |
| 32 | 13% | 33% | |
| 33 | 8% | 20% | |
| 34 | 7% | 12% | |
| 35 | 3% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |