Junts per Catalunya
Voting Intentions
Last result: 21.7% (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20.8% | 18.0–23.0% | 15.2–23.8% | 14.4–24.6% | 13.5–26.2% |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 22.1% | 21.2–23.1% | 20.9–23.4% | 20.7–23.6% | 20.2–24.1% |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
23.2% | 20.9–25.8% | 20.3–26.5% | 19.7–27.1% | 18.7–28.4% |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
20.0% | 18.9–21.1% | 18.6–21.4% | 18.4–21.7% | 17.9–22.2% |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
20.5% | 19.7–21.3% | 19.5–21.5% | 19.3–21.7% | 18.9–22.1% |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
20.6% | 18.6–22.8% | 18.0–23.4% | 17.5–23.9% | 16.6–25.0% |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.0% | 18.6–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% | 17.3–25.3% | 16.2–26.6% |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 21.1% | 20.1–22.2% | 19.8–22.5% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.0–23.3% |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
18.8% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.1–21.9% | 15.6–22.5% | 14.6–23.7% |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
20.5% | 18.5–22.8% | 18.0–23.5% | 17.5–24.0% | 16.5–25.1% |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.0% | 18.6–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% | 17.3–25.3% | 16.2–26.6% |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
18.7% | 16.6–21.2% | 15.9–21.9% | 15.4–22.6% | 14.4–23.8% |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
20.3% | 18.2–22.6% | 17.7–23.2% | 17.2–23.8% | 16.3–24.9% |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.8% | 18.3–23.5% | 17.6–24.3% | 17.1–25.0% | 16.0–26.4% |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
18.9% | 16.6–21.5% | 16.0–22.2% | 15.4–22.9% | 14.4–24.2% |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.8% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.2–22.7% | 16.8–23.2% | 15.9–24.3% |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.8% | 18.3–23.5% | 17.6–24.3% | 17.1–25.0% | 16.0–26.4% |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
19.9% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.3% | 16.4–24.0% | 15.3–25.3% |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
20.5% | 18.5–22.7% | 17.9–23.4% | 17.4–23.9% | 16.5–25.0% |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.8% | 18.3–23.5% | 17.6–24.3% | 17.1–25.0% | 16.0–26.4% |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.4% | 19.4–21.5% | 19.1–21.8% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.6% |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
20.7% | 18.3–23.4% | 17.6–24.1% | 17.1–24.8% | 16.0–26.1% |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 20.0% | 18.2–22.0% | 17.7–22.5% | 17.3–23.0% | 16.5–24.0% |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
19.7% | 17.0–22.8% | 16.3–23.7% | 15.6–24.5% | 14.4–26.0% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 19.4% | 17.6–21.3% | 17.1–21.9% | 16.7–22.4% | 15.9–23.3% |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
19.7% | 18.2–21.4% | 17.7–21.9% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.6–23.1% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 21.4% | 19.3–23.8% | 18.7–24.4% | 18.2–25.0% | 17.3–26.2% |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
21.4% | 19.8–23.1% | 19.4–23.6% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.2–24.9% |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
19.9% | 17.9–22.2% | 17.4–22.8% | 16.9–23.4% | 16.0–24.5% |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
18.8% | 16.5–21.4% | 15.9–22.1% | 15.3–22.8% | 14.3–24.1% |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.0% | 17.6–22.8% | 16.9–23.5% | 16.4–24.2% | 15.3–25.6% |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
20.0% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.2–23.2% | 16.7–23.8% | 15.7–25.0% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
19.8% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.6–22.1% | 17.2–22.6% | 16.4–23.5% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
20.3% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.9–22.9% | 17.2–23.7% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
20.0% | 18.6–21.5% | 18.2–21.9% | 17.9–22.3% | 17.2–23.1% |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 14.6% | 13.6–15.7% | 13.3–16.0% | 13.0–16.3% | 12.6–16.8% |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
22.1% | 20.6–23.6% | 20.2–24.1% | 19.9–24.5% | 19.2–25.2% |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.4% | 19.4–21.4% | 19.2–21.7% | 18.9–21.9% | 18.5–22.4% |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
19.7% | 17.8–21.7% | 17.3–22.3% | 16.8–22.8% | 16.0–23.8% |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.5% | 17.1–22.2% | 16.5–23.0% | 15.9–23.7% | 14.8–25.0% |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
19.1% | 17.8–20.5% | 17.5–20.9% | 17.1–21.2% | 16.6–21.9% |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.8% | 17.4–22.5% | 16.7–23.3% | 16.1–23.9% | 15.1–25.3% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.7% | 18.7–20.7% | 18.5–21.0% | 18.2–21.3% | 17.8–21.7% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
19.3% | 17.5–21.3% | 16.9–21.9% | 16.5–22.3% | 15.7–23.4% |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
20.7% | 18.8–22.8% | 18.3–23.4% | 17.8–23.9% | 16.9–24.9% |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.5% | 18.1–23.3% | 17.4–24.1% | 16.8–24.7% | 15.7–26.1% |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 12.5% | 11.8–13.2% | 11.7–13.4% | 11.5–13.5% | 11.2–13.9% |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.2% | 18.8–24.1% | 18.1–24.8% | 17.5–25.5% | 16.4–26.9% |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
18.6% | 16.6–20.8% | 16.1–21.4% | 15.6–22.0% | 14.7–23.1% |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
19.0% | 17.3–20.9% | 16.8–21.4% | 16.4–21.8% | 15.6–22.8% |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.9% | 18.3–21.7% | 17.8–22.2% | 17.4–22.6% | 16.6–23.5% |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.3% | 18.9–21.9% | 18.5–22.3% | 18.2–22.7% | 17.5–23.5% |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.8% | 17.4–22.5% | 16.7–23.3% | 16.1–23.9% | 15.1–25.3% |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
19.6% | 18.1–21.3% | 17.6–21.7% | 17.3–22.2% | 16.6–23.0% |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
19.4% | 17.6–21.2% | 17.2–21.8% | 16.8–22.2% | 16.0–23.2% |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.2% | 18.5–22.1% | 18.0–22.7% | 17.6–23.2% | 16.8–24.1% |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
18.7% | 17.4–20.1% | 17.0–20.5% | 16.7–20.9% | 16.0–21.6% |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 18.3% | 17.1–19.7% | 16.7–20.1% | 16.4–20.4% | 15.8–21.0% |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
19.7% | 17.2–22.6% | 16.5–23.4% | 15.9–24.2% | 14.8–25.6% |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
19.4% | 17.8–21.1% | 17.4–21.6% | 17.0–22.0% | 16.3–22.8% |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
19.9% | 18.1–21.9% | 17.6–22.5% | 17.2–23.0% | 16.4–24.0% |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
19.8% | 17.8–22.1% | 17.2–22.8% | 16.7–23.4% | 15.8–24.5% |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.4% | 20.8–22.0% | 20.7–22.2% | 20.5–22.3% | 20.2–22.6% |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
20.9% | 19.6–22.4% | 19.2–22.8% | 18.9–23.2% | 18.2–23.9% |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
19.3% | 18.0–20.6% | 17.6–21.0% | 17.3–21.4% | 16.7–22.0% |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
17.8% | 16.1–19.6% | 15.7–20.1% | 15.3–20.6% | 14.5–21.5% |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.9% | 18.0–24.7% |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.8% | 15.6–18.1% | 15.2–18.5% | 14.9–18.8% | 14.4–19.4% |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
18.6% | 17.3–20.0% | 16.9–20.4% | 16.6–20.7% | 16.0–21.4% |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
15.4% | 13.8–17.1% | 13.4–17.6% | 13.0–18.0% | 12.3–18.9% |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
19.0% | 16.7–21.7% | 16.0–22.5% | 15.5–23.1% | 14.4–24.5% |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
19.8% | 17.8–22.1% | 17.2–22.7% | 16.7–23.3% | 15.8–24.4% |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18.6% | 16.5–21.0% | 15.9–21.7% | 15.4–22.3% | 14.5–23.4% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
19.5% | 17.7–21.5% | 17.2–22.0% | 16.8–22.5% | 16.0–23.5% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
19.0% | 17.7–20.4% | 17.4–20.8% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.5–21.8% |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.0% | 18.7–21.4% | 18.4–21.8% | 18.0–22.1% | 17.5–22.8% |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
19.0% | 17.6–20.7% | 17.1–21.1% | 16.8–21.5% | 16.1–22.3% |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.8% | 14.6–17.1% | 14.3–17.5% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.4–18.4% |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
19.2% | 17.5–21.2% | 17.0–21.7% | 16.6–22.2% | 15.7–23.2% |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
12.3% | 11.4–13.3% | 11.1–13.6% | 10.9–13.8% | 10.5–14.3% |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.2% |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
15.0% | 13.4–16.9% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.6–17.9% | 11.9–18.8% |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.7–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
14.0% | 12.5–15.8% | 12.0–16.3% | 11.7–16.8% | 11.0–17.7% |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
15.3% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.6–18.4% |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
16.6% | 15.2–18.1% | 14.8–18.6% | 14.4–18.9% | 13.8–19.7% |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.5% | 15.3–17.8% | 15.0–18.2% | 14.7–18.5% | 14.1–19.2% |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.8% | 12.8–17.1% | 12.2–17.9% |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
15.0% | 13.8–16.2% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.7–17.5% |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
14.9% | 13.3–16.7% | 12.9–17.2% | 12.5–17.6% | 11.8–18.5% |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
16.2% | 14.7–18.0% | 14.2–18.5% | 13.9–19.0% | 13.1–19.9% |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
14.8% | 13.5–16.3% | 13.1–16.8% | 12.8–17.1% | 12.1–17.9% |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
14.5% | 12.9–16.3% | 12.5–16.8% | 12.1–17.2% | 11.4–18.1% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
16.2% | 14.8–17.8% | 14.4–18.2% | 14.0–18.6% | 13.4–19.4% |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
14.9% | 13.5–16.4% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.0% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18.4% | 16.3–20.8% | 15.7–21.5% | 15.2–22.0% | 14.3–23.2% |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
17.9% | 16.5–19.5% | 16.0–20.0% | 15.7–20.3% | 15.0–21.1% |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
16.5% | 15.3–17.8% | 14.9–18.2% | 14.6–18.5% | 14.1–19.1% |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
20.2% | 18.2–22.4% | 17.6–23.0% | 17.1–23.6% | 16.2–24.7% |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.4% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.4–22.6% | 18.0–23.0% | 17.3–23.9% |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
19.8% | 18.3–21.5% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.5–22.4% | 16.8–23.2% |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
18.7% | 17.0–20.6% | 16.5–21.2% | 16.1–21.6% | 15.3–22.6% |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
19.4% | 17.7–21.3% | 17.2–21.9% | 16.8–22.4% | 16.0–23.3% |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
19.5% | 17.8–21.4% | 17.3–21.9% | 16.9–22.4% | 16.1–23.3% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
22.3% | 20.5–24.4% | 20.0–25.0% | 19.5–25.5% | 18.6–26.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Junts per Catalunya.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 3% | 97% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 2% | 93% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 5% | 92% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 11% | 87% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 21% | 76% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 23% | 55% | Median |
| 21.5–22.5% | 17% | 32% | Last Result |
| 22.5–23.5% | 9% | 15% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 4% | 6% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 34 seats (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 33 | 29–37 | 25–38 | 23–39 | 22–42 |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 35 | 33–37 | 32–37 | 32–37 | 32–38 |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
37 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 31–44 | 30–45 |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
32 | 31–34 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 29–37 |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
32 | 31–35 | 31–35 | 31–35 | 31–36 |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
34 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
33 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 29–39 | 27–41 |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
34 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 25–43 |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 34 | 32–35 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 31–37 |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 23–38 |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
34 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 27–41 |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 | 25–43 |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
31 | 25–33 | 25–35 | 24–37 | 23–38 |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
35 | 30–38 | 28–39 | 27–39 | 26–41 |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
34 | 29–38 | 28–39 | 26–41 | 25–43 |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
30 | 26–34 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 23–38 |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
33 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 26–40 |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 30–37 | 28–39 | 27–40 | 25–43 |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
32 | 29–37 | 27–38 | 26–39 | 24–41 |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
34 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 27–41 |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 29–38 | 27–38 | 27–39 | 25–42 |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
33 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–37 |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
33 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 27–39 | 26–41 |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
33 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–37 | 27–38 |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 32 | 30–34 | 27–35 | 27–37 | 26–39 |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
31 | 26–36 | 25–38 | 24–39 | 23–41 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 31 | 29–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 25–38 |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
33 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–37 | 27–38 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 35 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 27–42 |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
34 | 31–37 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 28–39 |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 29–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 25–38 |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 26–35 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 23–39 |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
32 | 28–37 | 26–38 | 26–39 | 24–41 |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
32 | 29–37 | 28–37 | 26–39 | 25–41 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
32 | 29–35 | 29–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
32 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 27–39 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
32 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 27–37 |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 23 | 22–25 | 22–26 | 21–26 | 20–28 |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
36 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–39 | 31–40 |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
33 | 31–35 | 31–35 | 31–36 | 30–37 |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
32 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 27–39 |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 29–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 25–39 |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 26–36 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 23–40 |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–36 |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 23–40 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
31 | 31–34 | 31–34 | 30–35 | 29–36 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 28–33 | 26–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
32 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 26–39 |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
32 | 29–37 | 27–38 | 26–40 | 25–41 |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 21 | 19–21 | 18–22 | 18–23 | 18–23 |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 27–40 | 25–43 |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
31 | 26–33 | 25–35 | 25–35 | 23–37 |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
30 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 25–37 |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
32 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 28–37 | 26–38 |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
32 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 26–37 |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 23–40 |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 26–35 | 26–37 |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
32 | 29–35 | 28–37 | 28–37 | 26–38 |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
30 | 27–32 | 26–32 | 26–33 | 25–34 |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 30 | 26–31 | 26–32 | 26–32 | 25–34 |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
31 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 23–41 |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
31 | 29–34 | 27–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 28–34 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 25–38 |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
31 | 28–35 | 26–37 | 26–37 | 25–38 |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 32–34 | 32–35 | 32–35 | 32–36 |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
33 | 31–36 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 28–32 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
27 | 25–31 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 22–33 |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 30–37 | 28–38 |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
27 | 25–29 | 24–30 | 23–31 | 23–31 |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
29 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 26–32 | 24–33 |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
24 | 21–26 | 20–28 | 20–29 | 18–30 |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
30 | 26–34 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 23–38 |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
31 | 27–34 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–38 |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29 | 25–32 | 25–33 | 24–35 | 22–37 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–35 | 25–37 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 28–32 | 27–32 | 26–33 | 26–35 |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 29–33 | 29–34 | 29–35 | 27–36 |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
29 | 28–32 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 24–35 |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24 | 23–27 | 23–28 | 22–28 | 21–29 |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 24–37 |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
18 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 17–22 | 17–23 |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
23 | 22–26 | 21–27 | 20–27 | 18–29 |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–29 | 18–30 |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
25 | 23–27 | 22–29 | 21–29 | 20–31 |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
23 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–26 | 17–28 |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24 | 23–26 | 22–27 | 21–29 | 19–30 |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24 | 23–26 | 21–26 | 20–28 | 19–30 |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
26 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 21–31 |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
26 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 23–31 |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
23 | 20–25 | 20–26 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
23 | 23–26 | 21–27 | 21–27 | 19–28 |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 18–28 | 18–29 |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
25 | 23–28 | 23–29 | 22–30 | 19–31 |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
23 | 20–24 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 18–29 |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
23 | 19–25 | 18–26 | 18–27 | 17–28 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
26 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 23–30 | 21–31 |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
23 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
28 | 24–32 | 24–33 | 23–33 | 22–36 |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
28 | 25–31 | 24–31 | 24–32 | 23–33 |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
26 | 24–28 | 23–29 | 23–29 | 23–31 |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
31 | 28–34 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 24–38 |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 26–37 |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
30 | 29–33 | 28–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
30 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–37 |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–37 |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
31 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–41 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Junts per Catalunya.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 23 | 3% | 99.2% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 25 | 2% | 95% | |
| 26 | 0.8% | 94% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 93% | |
| 28 | 0.9% | 92% | |
| 29 | 3% | 91% | |
| 30 | 4% | 88% | |
| 31 | 13% | 84% | |
| 32 | 15% | 72% | |
| 33 | 13% | 57% | Median |
| 34 | 11% | 44% | Last Result |
| 35 | 11% | 32% | |
| 36 | 6% | 21% | |
| 37 | 8% | 15% | |
| 38 | 2% | 7% | |
| 39 | 2% | 4% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |