Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
Voting Intentions
Last result: 21.4% (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20.3% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.5–24.2% | 16.9–24.7% | 15.8–25.6% |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 20.6% | 19.7–21.6% | 19.4–21.8% | 19.2–22.1% | 18.8–22.5% |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
18.6% | 16.5–21.0% | 15.9–21.7% | 15.4–22.3% | 14.5–23.4% |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
20.4% | 19.4–21.5% | 19.1–21.9% | 18.8–22.1% | 18.3–22.7% |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
24.3% | 23.5–25.2% | 23.2–25.4% | 23.0–25.6% | 22.6–26.0% |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
18.6% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.2–21.4% | 15.7–21.9% | 14.8–22.9% |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
19.8% | 17.4–22.5% | 16.7–23.3% | 16.1–23.9% | 15.1–25.3% |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 20.3% | 19.3–21.4% | 19.0–21.7% | 18.7–22.0% | 18.3–22.5% |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
20.2% | 18.0–22.7% | 17.4–23.4% | 16.9–24.0% | 15.9–25.2% |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
18.8% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.3–21.7% | 15.9–22.2% | 15.0–23.3% |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.2% | 17.8–23.0% | 17.2–23.8% | 16.6–24.5% | 15.5–25.8% |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
20.7% | 18.4–23.3% | 17.8–24.0% | 17.2–24.6% | 16.2–25.9% |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
17.9% | 15.9–20.0% | 15.4–20.7% | 14.9–21.2% | 14.1–22.3% |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.0% | 17.6–22.8% | 16.9–23.5% | 16.4–24.2% | 15.3–25.6% |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
20.8% | 18.4–23.5% | 17.7–24.2% | 17.2–24.9% | 16.1–26.2% |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.6% | 17.6–21.9% | 17.1–22.5% | 16.6–23.0% | 15.7–24.1% |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.0% | 17.6–22.8% | 16.9–23.5% | 16.4–24.2% | 15.3–25.6% |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
20.1% | 17.8–22.8% | 17.1–23.6% | 16.6–24.2% | 15.5–25.6% |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
19.8% | 17.8–22.0% | 17.3–22.7% | 16.8–23.2% | 15.9–24.3% |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.2% | 17.8–23.0% | 17.2–23.8% | 16.6–24.5% | 15.5–25.8% |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.1% | 18.1–20.2% | 17.8–20.5% | 17.6–20.7% | 17.1–21.3% |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
20.7% | 18.3–23.4% | 17.6–24.1% | 17.1–24.8% | 16.0–26.1% |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 19.7% | 18.0–21.7% | 17.5–22.3% | 17.0–22.7% | 16.2–23.7% |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
21.0% | 18.2–24.2% | 17.5–25.1% | 16.8–25.8% | 15.6–27.4% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 20.2% | 18.4–22.2% | 17.8–22.7% | 17.4–23.2% | 16.6–24.2% |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
20.1% | 18.5–21.8% | 18.1–22.3% | 17.7–22.7% | 17.0–23.5% |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 20.7% | 18.6–23.0% | 18.1–23.7% | 17.6–24.3% | 16.6–25.4% |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
20.8% | 19.2–22.5% | 18.8–23.0% | 18.4–23.4% | 17.7–24.3% |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
20.3% | 18.3–22.5% | 17.7–23.2% | 17.2–23.7% | 16.3–24.9% |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
20.9% | 18.5–23.6% | 17.9–24.4% | 17.3–25.1% | 16.2–26.4% |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.0% | 18.6–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% | 17.3–25.3% | 16.2–26.6% |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
19.4% | 17.2–21.8% | 16.6–22.5% | 16.1–23.1% | 15.2–24.3% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
21.8% | 20.0–23.7% | 19.6–24.3% | 19.1–24.8% | 18.3–25.7% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
20.0% | 18.4–21.7% | 18.0–22.2% | 17.6–22.6% | 16.9–23.4% |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
19.7% | 18.3–21.2% | 17.9–21.6% | 17.6–22.0% | 16.9–22.7% |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 19.9% | 18.7–21.2% | 18.4–21.5% | 18.1–21.8% | 17.6–22.4% |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
19.2% | 17.8–20.7% | 17.5–21.1% | 17.1–21.5% | 16.5–22.2% |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.4% | 18.5–20.4% | 18.2–20.7% | 18.0–20.9% | 17.5–21.4% |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.9% | 18.0–24.7% |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
21.3% | 19.3–23.4% | 18.8–24.0% | 18.4–24.5% | 17.5–25.5% |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.5% | 19.0–24.3% | 18.3–25.1% | 17.8–25.8% | 16.6–27.2% |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
19.8% | 18.5–21.2% | 18.1–21.6% | 17.8–21.9% | 17.2–22.6% |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.0% | 19.5–24.8% | 18.8–25.6% | 18.2–26.3% | 17.1–27.7% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
19.3% | 18.3–20.3% | 18.1–20.6% | 17.8–20.8% | 17.4–21.3% |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
20.5% | 18.7–22.6% | 18.2–23.2% | 17.7–23.7% | 16.9–24.7% |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
22.0% | 20.1–24.1% | 19.5–24.7% | 19.0–25.3% | 18.2–26.3% |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.0% | 19.5–24.8% | 18.8–25.6% | 18.2–26.3% | 17.1–27.7% |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 20.6% | 19.8–21.4% | 19.6–21.7% | 19.4–21.9% | 19.0–22.3% |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.5% | 19.0–24.3% | 18.3–25.1% | 17.8–25.8% | 16.6–27.2% |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
24.1% | 21.9–26.5% | 21.3–27.2% | 20.8–27.8% | 19.8–29.0% |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
20.8% | 19.1–22.8% | 18.6–23.3% | 18.2–23.8% | 17.4–24.8% |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
20.1% | 18.5–21.9% | 18.0–22.4% | 17.6–22.9% | 16.9–23.7% |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
21.7% | 20.2–23.3% | 19.8–23.7% | 19.4–24.1% | 18.7–24.9% |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.8% | 20.2–25.6% | 19.5–26.4% | 18.9–27.1% | 17.8–28.5% |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
23.0% | 21.4–24.8% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.5–25.7% | 19.8–26.6% |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
22.0% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.7–24.5% | 19.2–25.0% | 18.4–25.9% |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
23.2% | 21.4–25.2% | 20.9–25.7% | 20.4–26.2% | 19.6–27.2% |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
24.4% | 22.9–26.0% | 22.5–26.4% | 22.1–26.8% | 21.4–27.6% |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 22.9% | 21.5–24.4% | 21.1–24.8% | 20.8–25.1% | 20.2–25.8% |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
24.2% | 21.4–27.2% | 20.7–28.1% | 20.0–28.9% | 18.8–30.4% |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
23.4% | 21.7–25.2% | 21.2–25.7% | 20.8–26.2% | 20.0–27.0% |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
23.2% | 21.3–25.3% | 20.8–25.9% | 20.3–26.5% | 19.4–27.5% |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
27.2% | 24.9–29.7% | 24.2–30.4% | 23.7–31.1% | 22.6–32.3% |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.4% | 21.8–23.0% | 21.6–23.2% | 21.5–23.3% | 21.2–23.6% |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
22.1% | 20.7–23.5% | 20.3–24.0% | 20.0–24.3% | 19.3–25.0% |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
22.5% | 21.2–24.0% | 20.8–24.4% | 20.5–24.7% | 19.8–25.4% |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
27.4% | 25.4–29.5% | 24.9–30.1% | 24.4–30.6% | 23.5–31.6% |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
21.1% | 19.5–22.8% | 19.1–23.3% | 18.7–23.7% | 17.9–24.6% |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
25.2% | 23.8–26.7% | 23.4–27.2% | 23.0–27.5% | 22.4–28.3% |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
23.0% | 21.6–24.5% | 21.2–24.9% | 20.9–25.3% | 20.2–26.0% |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
28.1% | 26.2–30.2% | 25.6–30.8% | 25.1–31.4% | 24.2–32.4% |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
23.7% | 21.2–26.6% | 20.4–27.4% | 19.8–28.1% | 18.6–29.5% |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
24.9% | 22.7–27.4% | 22.1–28.0% | 21.5–28.7% | 20.5–29.8% |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
23.0% | 20.7–25.5% | 20.1–26.3% | 19.5–26.9% | 18.5–28.2% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
21.0% | 19.2–23.0% | 18.7–23.6% | 18.2–24.1% | 17.4–25.1% |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
22.0% | 20.7–23.5% | 20.3–23.9% | 20.0–24.2% | 19.3–25.0% |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.7% | 19.4–22.1% | 19.1–22.5% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.1–23.5% |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
25.4% | 23.8–27.2% | 23.3–27.7% | 22.9–28.2% | 22.1–29.0% |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
22.0% | 20.6–23.5% | 20.2–23.9% | 19.9–24.2% | 19.3–25.0% |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
21.2% | 19.4–23.3% | 18.9–23.8% | 18.4–24.3% | 17.6–25.3% |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24.5% | 23.3–25.8% | 23.0–26.1% | 22.7–26.4% | 22.1–27.1% |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
24.3% | 22.6–26.1% | 22.1–26.6% | 21.7–27.1% | 21.0–27.9% |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
24.1% | 22.1–26.2% | 21.5–26.8% | 21.0–27.3% | 20.1–28.4% |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
25.3% | 23.6–27.1% | 23.1–27.6% | 22.7–28.1% | 21.9–29.0% |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
25.7% | 23.6–27.8% | 23.1–28.5% | 22.6–29.0% | 21.7–30.1% |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26.4% | 24.7–28.2% | 24.2–28.8% | 23.8–29.2% | 22.9–30.1% |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
26.7% | 25.0–28.6% | 24.5–29.1% | 24.1–29.5% | 23.2–30.4% |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
26.5% | 24.8–28.3% | 24.3–28.8% | 23.9–29.2% | 23.1–30.1% |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
26.5% | 25.0–28.1% | 24.6–28.5% | 24.3–28.9% | 23.6–29.6% |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
28.1% | 26.4–29.9% | 25.9–30.5% | 25.5–30.9% | 24.6–31.8% |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
25.5% | 24.1–27.0% | 23.7–27.4% | 23.3–27.8% | 22.6–28.5% |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
24.2% | 22.2–26.3% | 21.7–26.9% | 21.2–27.4% | 20.3–28.4% |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
25.8% | 23.8–27.8% | 23.3–28.4% | 22.8–28.9% | 21.9–29.9% |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
25.1% | 23.4–26.9% | 22.9–27.4% | 22.5–27.9% | 21.7–28.7% |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
25.3% | 23.3–27.4% | 22.8–28.0% | 22.3–28.6% | 21.4–29.6% |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
23.9% | 22.2–25.7% | 21.8–26.2% | 21.4–26.6% | 20.6–27.5% |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
27.7% | 25.9–29.6% | 25.4–30.1% | 25.0–30.6% | 24.2–31.5% |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
25.2% | 22.8–27.8% | 22.2–28.5% | 21.6–29.2% | 20.5–30.5% |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
24.0% | 22.4–25.8% | 21.9–26.2% | 21.5–26.7% | 20.7–27.5% |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
23.5% | 22.1–25.0% | 21.7–25.4% | 21.4–25.8% | 20.8–26.5% |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
24.3% | 22.2–26.7% | 21.6–27.4% | 21.1–27.9% | 20.1–29.1% |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.2% |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
20.5% | 18.9–22.2% | 18.5–22.7% | 18.1–23.1% | 17.4–23.9% |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
21.8% | 20.0–23.9% | 19.5–24.4% | 19.1–24.9% | 18.2–25.9% |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
21.0% | 19.2–22.9% | 18.7–23.5% | 18.2–24.0% | 17.4–25.0% |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
22.9% | 21.1–24.9% | 20.6–25.4% | 20.2–25.9% | 19.3–26.9% |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
20.6% | 18.8–22.6% | 18.3–23.2% | 17.9–23.7% | 17.0–24.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.2% | 99.7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 4% | 98% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 9% | 95% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 17% | 86% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 25% | 68% | Median |
| 20.5–21.5% | 21% | 44% | Last Result |
| 21.5–22.5% | 10% | 23% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 5% | 13% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 5% | 8% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 32 seats (General Election of 21 December 2017)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 30 | 27–35 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 23–40 |
| 2–14 February 2021 | SyM Consulting | 31 | 29–32 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 28–34 |
| 13–14 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
28 | 25–31 | 24–33 | 22–34 | 21–36 |
| 4–14 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
31 | 29–33 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 |
| 14 February 2021 | GAD3 RTVE–CCMA |
37 | 36–39 | 36–40 | 35–40 | 35–41 |
| 8–14 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–33 |
| 6–13 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
28 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 22–36 |
| 12 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| 1–12 February 2021 | Metroscopia | 30 | 28–32 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 27–34 |
| 10–12 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 24–36 | 24–38 |
| 5–12 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
28 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 24–35 | 23–36 |
| 11 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 27–35 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 22–39 |
| 9–11 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
31 | 28–35 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 24–39 |
| 4–11 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
27 | 24–31 | 23–32 | 22–33 | 21–35 |
| 10 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
29 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–37 | 22–39 |
| 8–10 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
32 | 27–36 | 26–36 | 25–37 | 24–40 |
| 3–10 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
31 | 28–34 | 26–36 | 26–37 | 24–38 |
| 9 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 26–35 | 25–36 | 24–37 | 22–39 |
| 7–9 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 25–37 | 23–39 |
| 2–9 February 2021 | Feedback The National |
31 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–37 | 24–38 |
| 8 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 24–37 | 22–39 |
| 18 January–8 February 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29 | 28–31 | 27–32 | 27–32 | 26–33 |
| 6–8 February 2021 | GESOP El Periòdic |
32 | 28–36 | 26–38 | 26–38 | 23–40 |
| 1–8 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 28–36 | 26–37 |
| 8 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel | 29 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 | 24–36 |
| 7 February 2021 | Key Data Público |
31 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 24–39 | 23–42 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | GESOP | 31 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 25–38 |
| 1–7 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 28–36 | 26–37 |
| 5–7 February 2021 | Demoscopia y Servicios | 31 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 24–39 |
| 6 February 2021 | Sigma Dos El Mundo |
30 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 27–35 | 26–36 |
| 3–6 February 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
29 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–37 |
| 4–6 February 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
32 | 28–36 | 27–38 | 26–39 | 24–41 |
| 5 February 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
32 | 28–36 | 27–38 | 26–38 | 24–41 |
| 1–5 February 2021 | Feedback El Nacional |
30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Opinòmetre Ara |
34 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–39 | 28–40 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Hamalgama Métrica OKDiario |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 25–35 |
| 1–4 February 2021 | Celeste-Tel Onda Cero |
29 | 28–32 | 27–33 | 27–34 | 25–35 |
| 1–3 February 2021 | CIS | 31 | 29–33 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–35 |
| 29 January–2 February 2021 | DYM Henneo |
29 | 27–31 | 26–32 | 25–33 | 24–34 |
| 18–31 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29 | 28–31 | 28–32 | 28–32 | 27–33 |
| 31 January 2021 | Sigma Dos Antena 3 |
31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 27–37 |
| 25–30 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 29–35 | 28–36 | 28–37 | 26–39 |
| 29 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 28–37 | 27–38 | 26–39 | 25–42 |
| 25–28 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
30 | 28–33 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 22 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
32 | 29–37 | 28–39 | 27–40 | 25–42 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
29 | 28–31 | 28–31 | 27–32 | 27–33 |
| 18–22 January 2021 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 27–35 | 25–37 |
| 13–21 January 2021 | Opinòmetre CEO |
33 | 30–37 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 27–39 |
| 15 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 29–37 | 28–38 | 27–39 | 25–42 |
| 2–15 January 2021 | CIS | 33 | 31–34 | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–35 |
| 8 January 2021 | electoPanel electomania.es |
32 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 24–41 |
| 4–8 January 2021 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
36 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 33–43 | 30–44 |
| 4–7 January 2021 | GESOP El Periódico |
33 | 29–35 | 28–35 | 28–36 | 26–37 |
| 2–5 January 2021 | SocioMétrica El Español |
30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 27–35 | 25–36 |
| 23–29 December 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
33 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 28–38 |
| 20 December 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
34 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 26–44 |
| 25 November–7 December 2020 | GESOP CEO |
35 | 32–37 | 31–38 | 30–39 | 29–41 |
| 30 November–1 December 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
34 | 31–37 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–41 |
| 30 November 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
35 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 31–40 | 29–42 |
| 13 October–7 November 2020 | GESOP CEO |
37 | 34–40 | 34–40 | 33–41 | 32–42 |
| 19–23 October 2020 | GESOP | 35 | 33–37 | 32–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 |
| 17 October 2020 | Key Data Público |
36 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 30–44 | 28–46 |
| 29 September–9 October 2020 | GESOP CEO |
35 | 33–38 | 32–39 | 31–40 | 30–42 |
| 28 September–2 October 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
35 | 31–38 | 31–39 | 30–40 | 28–41 |
| 1–4 September 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
41 | 37–44 | 36–46 | 35–47 | 33–49 |
| 31 August 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
34 | 33–35 | 32–35 | 32–35 | 31–36 |
| 25 June–21 July 2020 | GESOP CEO |
33 | 31–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 | 29–38 |
| 6–13 July 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
34 | 31–36 | 31–36 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| 29 June–2 July 2020 | Feedback El Nacional |
41 | 37–44 | 37–45 | 36–46 | 35–48 |
| 1 April–15 May 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 28–34 | 28–34 | 28–35 | 26–37 |
| 29 April–8 May 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
38 | 36–41 | 35–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 |
| 10 February–9 March 2020 | GESOP CEO |
35 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 30–39 |
| 21–26 February 2020 | GAD3 ABC |
43 | 39–46 | 38–47 | 37–48 | 36–50 |
| 6 February 2020 | Key Data Público |
35 | 31–40 | 30–41 | 29–42 | 27–45 |
| 3–6 February 2020 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 32–43 | 30–44 |
| 2 February 2020 | SocioMétrica El Español |
34 | 30–37 | 29–39 | 28–40 | 27–42 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | NC Report La Razón |
31 | 29–34 | 28–35 | 28–36 | 26–37 |
| 27–31 January 2020 | GESOP El Periódico |
33 | 31–35 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–38 |
| 27–29 January 2020 | electoPanel electomania.es |
31 | 28–33 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–35 |
| 14 November–5 December 2019 | GESOP CEO |
38 | 36–41 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–44 |
| 27–30 November 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
33 | 31–36 | 30–36 | 30–37 | 29–38 |
| 18–22 November 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
32 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–38 |
| 16–19 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 35–40 | 34–40 | 34–41 | 34–41 |
| 14–15 October 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
37 | 34–40 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 32–43 |
| 1–5 October 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
37 | 34–41 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 30–44 |
| 11 September 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
38 | 35–42 | 35–42 | 34–43 | 33–45 |
| 3–7 September 2019 | NC Report La Razón |
39 | 35–43 | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–46 |
| 20 August 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
41 | 37–43 | 37–44 | 35–44 | 35–46 |
| 17 July 2019 | electoPanel electomania.es |
41 | 38–44 | 37–44 | 36–45 | 35–47 |
| 25–17 July 2019 | GESOP CEO |
39 | 37–43 | 36–44 | 35–44 | 34–46 |
| 1–5 July 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
41 | 38–43 | 37–44 | 37–44 | 35–45 |
| 4–25 March 2019 | Opinòmetre CEO |
42 | 39–45 | 39–46 | 38–46 | 36–48 |
| 10 February 2019 | GESOP El Periódico |
39 | 37–41 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 |
| 24 December 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
36 | 34–40 | 32–41 | 32–42 | 30–44 |
| 3–12 December 2018 | Opinòmetre Ara |
39 | 36–42 | 35–43 | 34–44 | 33–46 |
| 22 October–12 November 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
38 | 35–40 | 34–41 | 33–42 | 32–44 |
| 22–25 October 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
38 | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 32–45 |
| 24–28 September 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
37 | 34–39 | 33–40 | 32–41 | 31–42 |
| 16–18 September 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
42 | 39–45 | 38–46 | 37–46 | 36–48 |
| 22–30 August 2018 | SocioMétrica El Español |
37 | 33–41 | 32–42 | 31–43 | 29–45 |
| 23 June–14 July 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
36 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–42 |
| 2–11 July 2018 | GESOP El Periódico |
35 | 33–38 | 33–39 | 32–39 | 31–40 |
| 14–21 June 2018 | GAD3 La Vanguardia |
36 | 32–39 | 32–40 | 31–41 | 29–43 |
| 3–7 June 2018 | electoPanel electomania.es |
30 | 28–33 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 26–35 |
| 7–27 April 2018 | Opinòmetre CEO |
30 | 27–33 | 27–33 | 26–34 | 25–35 |
| 17–20 April 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
33 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–38 | 27–40 |
| 22–28 March 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
32 | 28–35 | 28–35 | 27–36 | 26–38 |
| 10–30 January 2018 | Apolda CEO |
34 | 31–36 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 28–40 |
| 15–19 January 2018 | NC Report La Razón |
30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 26–35 | 24–37 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 98.6% | |
| 26 | 4% | 97% | |
| 27 | 4% | 94% | |
| 28 | 12% | 89% | |
| 29 | 16% | 77% | |
| 30 | 14% | 61% | Median |
| 31 | 16% | 47% | |
| 32 | 9% | 32% | Last Result |
| 33 | 6% | 23% | |
| 34 | 5% | 17% | |
| 35 | 3% | 12% | |
| 36 | 2% | 9% | |
| 37 | 3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |