Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 20 December 2020
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 22.8% | 20.2–25.6% | 19.5–26.4% | 18.9–27.1% | 17.8–28.5% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 19.8% | 17.4–22.5% | 16.7–23.3% | 16.1–23.9% | 15.1–25.3% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 18.2% | 16.0–20.9% | 15.3–21.7% | 14.8–22.3% | 13.7–23.7% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 10.5% | 8.8–12.7% | 8.3–13.3% | 7.9–13.9% | 7.1–15.0% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1–9.5% | 5.6–10.0% | 5.3–10.5% | 4.7–11.5% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.2–8.4% | 4.8–8.9% | 4.5–9.4% | 3.9–10.3% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.7–7.5% | 3.5–7.9% | 3.0–8.8% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 5.0% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.5–7.2% | 3.3–7.6% | 2.8–8.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 1.8% | 1.2–2.9% | 1.0–3.3% | 0.9–3.6% | 0.6–4.2% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 34 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 26–44 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 31 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 23–40 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 25 | 21–28 | 20–30 | 19–31 | 17–33 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 14 | 12–18 | 10–18 | 9–19 | 8–20 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 9 | 6–11 | 5–12 | 5–13 | 4–15 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 8 | 6–11 | 5–12 | 5–13 | 3–14 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 7 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 0–11 |
| Vox | 0 | 6 | 3–8 | 3–9 | 3–10 | 0–12 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 28 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 29 | 4% | 96% | |
| 30 | 6% | 92% | |
| 31 | 5% | 86% | |
| 32 | 9% | 81% | Last Result |
| 33 | 13% | 72% | |
| 34 | 13% | 58% | Median |
| 35 | 9% | 46% | |
| 36 | 5% | 37% | |
| 37 | 9% | 31% | |
| 38 | 9% | 22% | |
| 39 | 3% | 13% | |
| 40 | 6% | 10% | |
| 41 | 2% | 4% | |
| 42 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 43 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 44 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 26 | 5% | 97% | |
| 27 | 4% | 92% | |
| 28 | 5% | 88% | |
| 29 | 6% | 83% | |
| 30 | 7% | 77% | |
| 31 | 21% | 70% | Median |
| 32 | 13% | 49% | |
| 33 | 12% | 36% | |
| 34 | 6% | 24% | Last Result |
| 35 | 4% | 18% | |
| 36 | 4% | 14% | |
| 37 | 6% | 10% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.0% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 18 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 19 | 2% | 98% | |
| 20 | 4% | 96% | |
| 21 | 4% | 93% | |
| 22 | 5% | 89% | |
| 23 | 8% | 84% | |
| 24 | 20% | 76% | |
| 25 | 19% | 56% | Median |
| 26 | 14% | 36% | |
| 27 | 9% | 23% | |
| 28 | 4% | 13% | |
| 29 | 2% | 9% | |
| 30 | 2% | 6% | |
| 31 | 3% | 4% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 34 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 3% | 98.7% | |
| 10 | 0.9% | 96% | |
| 11 | 2% | 95% | |
| 12 | 13% | 93% | |
| 13 | 27% | 80% | |
| 14 | 27% | 54% | Median |
| 15 | 3% | 27% | |
| 16 | 8% | 24% | |
| 17 | 4% | 15% | |
| 18 | 8% | 12% | |
| 19 | 3% | 3% | |
| 20 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 5 | 7% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 4% | 92% | |
| 7 | 10% | 88% | |
| 8 | 27% | 78% | Last Result |
| 9 | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 10 | 9% | 31% | |
| 11 | 14% | 22% | |
| 12 | 3% | 8% | |
| 13 | 3% | 5% | |
| 14 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 5 | 6% | 98% | |
| 6 | 5% | 93% | |
| 7 | 27% | 87% | |
| 8 | 11% | 60% | Median |
| 9 | 24% | 49% | |
| 10 | 12% | 25% | |
| 11 | 5% | 13% | |
| 12 | 6% | 8% | |
| 13 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 3 | 4% | 98% | |
| 4 | 14% | 95% | Last Result |
| 5 | 8% | 80% | |
| 6 | 7% | 73% | |
| 7 | 24% | 66% | Median |
| 8 | 28% | 42% | |
| 9 | 7% | 14% | |
| 10 | 4% | 6% | |
| 11 | 2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.1% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 3 | 13% | 98% | |
| 4 | 5% | 85% | |
| 5 | 28% | 80% | |
| 6 | 9% | 52% | Median |
| 7 | 29% | 43% | |
| 8 | 4% | 14% | |
| 9 | 6% | 9% | |
| 10 | 2% | 4% | |
| 11 | 0.6% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 83% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 13% | 17% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 4% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 5 | 2% | 2% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 75 | 97% | 70–80 | 68–81 | 67–82 | 65–85 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 73 | 92% | 68–78 | 67–80 | 66–81 | 63–83 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 73 | 91% | 68–78 | 67–80 | 65–81 | 63–82 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 68 | 55% | 63–73 | 61–74 | 60–75 | 58–78 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 66 | 66 | 36% | 61–72 | 60–72 | 59–74 | 56–76 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 66 | 38% | 61–72 | 60–73 | 59–74 | 57–77 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 56 | 0.1% | 51–61 | 49–62 | 48–63 | 46–66 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox | 57 | 53 | 0% | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–60 | 43–63 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 47 | 0% | 42–52 | 41–53 | 40–54 | 38–57 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 43 | 0% | 38–48 | 37–49 | 36–50 | 34–53 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 67 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 95% | |
| 70 | 4% | 92% | |
| 71 | 9% | 87% | |
| 72 | 6% | 78% | |
| 73 | 9% | 73% | |
| 74 | 11% | 63% | Last Result, Median |
| 75 | 9% | 52% | |
| 76 | 8% | 43% | |
| 77 | 8% | 35% | |
| 78 | 7% | 27% | |
| 79 | 6% | 20% | |
| 80 | 4% | 14% | |
| 81 | 5% | 10% | |
| 82 | 2% | 5% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 84 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 87 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 88 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 96% | |
| 68 | 5% | 92% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 87% | |
| 70 | 6% | 82% | Last Result |
| 71 | 9% | 76% | |
| 72 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 73 | 9% | 57% | |
| 74 | 12% | 48% | |
| 75 | 8% | 36% | |
| 76 | 7% | 28% | |
| 77 | 7% | 21% | |
| 78 | 4% | 14% | |
| 79 | 4% | 9% | |
| 80 | 2% | 6% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 82 | 2% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 97% | |
| 67 | 5% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 91% | Majority |
| 69 | 6% | 86% | |
| 70 | 7% | 80% | Last Result |
| 71 | 9% | 73% | |
| 72 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 73 | 12% | 54% | |
| 74 | 9% | 42% | |
| 75 | 7% | 33% | |
| 76 | 8% | 26% | |
| 77 | 5% | 18% | |
| 78 | 5% | 13% | |
| 79 | 2% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.5% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 60 | 1.1% | 98.5% | |
| 61 | 4% | 97% | |
| 62 | 3% | 94% | |
| 63 | 3% | 90% | |
| 64 | 3% | 87% | |
| 65 | 8% | 84% | |
| 66 | 12% | 76% | |
| 67 | 9% | 64% | |
| 68 | 7% | 55% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 9% | 47% | |
| 70 | 11% | 39% | |
| 71 | 8% | 28% | |
| 72 | 6% | 20% | |
| 73 | 6% | 14% | |
| 74 | 4% | 8% | |
| 75 | 2% | 4% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 58 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 95% | |
| 61 | 5% | 93% | |
| 62 | 6% | 87% | |
| 63 | 8% | 81% | |
| 64 | 11% | 74% | |
| 65 | 8% | 63% | Median |
| 66 | 12% | 55% | Last Result |
| 67 | 7% | 43% | |
| 68 | 5% | 36% | Majority |
| 69 | 8% | 31% | |
| 70 | 5% | 23% | |
| 71 | 7% | 18% | |
| 72 | 6% | 11% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 58 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 5% | 93% | |
| 62 | 5% | 88% | |
| 63 | 7% | 83% | |
| 64 | 11% | 76% | |
| 65 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 66 | 8% | 57% | Last Result |
| 67 | 10% | 49% | |
| 68 | 5% | 38% | Majority |
| 69 | 7% | 33% | |
| 70 | 7% | 26% | |
| 71 | 7% | 19% | |
| 72 | 7% | 12% | |
| 73 | 2% | 5% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 77 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 1.0% | 99.4% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 95% | |
| 51 | 4% | 91% | |
| 52 | 3% | 87% | |
| 53 | 11% | 84% | |
| 54 | 6% | 73% | |
| 55 | 9% | 66% | |
| 56 | 16% | 57% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 42% | |
| 58 | 9% | 35% | |
| 59 | 8% | 26% | |
| 60 | 6% | 18% | |
| 61 | 6% | 13% | |
| 62 | 3% | 7% | |
| 63 | 2% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 1.0% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | 0% | 100% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 44 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 45 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 3% | 93% | |
| 49 | 8% | 90% | |
| 50 | 7% | 81% | |
| 51 | 8% | 75% | |
| 52 | 8% | 66% | |
| 53 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 54 | 9% | 43% | |
| 55 | 7% | 33% | |
| 56 | 9% | 27% | |
| 57 | 6% | 17% | Last Result |
| 58 | 4% | 11% | |
| 59 | 3% | 8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 5% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 4% | 93% | |
| 43 | 4% | 89% | |
| 44 | 8% | 85% | |
| 45 | 10% | 77% | |
| 46 | 8% | 67% | |
| 47 | 12% | 59% | Median |
| 48 | 12% | 48% | |
| 49 | 9% | 35% | |
| 50 | 8% | 26% | |
| 51 | 7% | 18% | |
| 52 | 4% | 11% | |
| 53 | 4% | 8% | |
| 54 | 2% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 35 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 36 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 37 | 4% | 97% | |
| 38 | 3% | 93% | |
| 39 | 5% | 90% | |
| 40 | 8% | 85% | Last Result |
| 41 | 12% | 77% | |
| 42 | 10% | 65% | |
| 43 | 11% | 56% | Median |
| 44 | 8% | 45% | |
| 45 | 6% | 37% | |
| 46 | 8% | 30% | |
| 47 | 8% | 22% | |
| 48 | 6% | 15% | |
| 49 | 5% | 9% | |
| 50 | 2% | 4% | |
| 51 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 52 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 20 December 2020
Calculations
- Sample size: 400
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 3.23%