Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 8 January 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 21.5% | 19.0–24.3% | 18.3–25.1% | 17.8–25.8% | 16.6–27.2% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 21.2% | 18.8–24.1% | 18.1–24.8% | 17.5–25.5% | 16.4–26.9% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 20.0% | 17.6–22.8% | 16.9–23.5% | 16.4–24.2% | 15.3–25.6% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 10.0% | 8.3–12.2% | 7.8–12.8% | 7.4–13.3% | 6.7–14.4% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8–9.2% | 5.4–9.7% | 5.1–10.2% | 4.5–11.2% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7–7.8% | 4.4–8.3% | 4.1–8.8% | 3.5–9.7% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.3–7.3% | 3.9–7.7% | 3.7–8.2% | 3.2–9.1% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9–6.7% | 3.5–7.2% | 3.3–7.6% | 2.8–8.5% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 1.2% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.6–2.6% | 0.5–2.9% | 0.4–3.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 32 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 24–41 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 33 | 30–38 | 29–39 | 27–40 | 25–43 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 26 | 24–31 | 22–32 | 22–33 | 20–35 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 13 | 10–16 | 9–17 | 9–18 | 8–19 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 6–11 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 7 | 5–9 | 3–10 | 3–11 | 3–13 |
| Vox | 0 | 7 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–10 | 2–12 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 8 | 7–9 | 5–10 | 2–10 | 0–11 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–4 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.1% | |
| 26 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 27 | 3% | 97% | |
| 28 | 11% | 94% | |
| 29 | 6% | 83% | |
| 30 | 12% | 77% | |
| 31 | 12% | 65% | |
| 32 | 7% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 33 | 7% | 47% | |
| 34 | 16% | 40% | |
| 35 | 12% | 24% | |
| 36 | 4% | 11% | |
| 37 | 3% | 7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.2% | 99.3% | |
| 27 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 28 | 2% | 97% | |
| 29 | 3% | 95% | |
| 30 | 3% | 92% | |
| 31 | 14% | 89% | |
| 32 | 12% | 74% | |
| 33 | 17% | 62% | Median |
| 34 | 8% | 45% | Last Result |
| 35 | 9% | 36% | |
| 36 | 6% | 27% | |
| 37 | 11% | 21% | |
| 38 | 5% | 11% | |
| 39 | 3% | 6% | |
| 40 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 41 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.1% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 1.1% | 99.6% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 98% | |
| 22 | 4% | 98% | |
| 23 | 2% | 94% | |
| 24 | 7% | 92% | |
| 25 | 19% | 85% | |
| 26 | 19% | 66% | Median |
| 27 | 11% | 47% | |
| 28 | 6% | 37% | |
| 29 | 11% | 31% | |
| 30 | 8% | 20% | |
| 31 | 6% | 12% | |
| 32 | 2% | 6% | |
| 33 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 2% | 2% | |
| 35 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 9 | 4% | 98% | |
| 10 | 6% | 94% | |
| 11 | 3% | 88% | |
| 12 | 19% | 84% | |
| 13 | 30% | 66% | Median |
| 14 | 20% | 35% | |
| 15 | 3% | 15% | |
| 16 | 6% | 12% | |
| 17 | 2% | 7% | |
| 18 | 3% | 4% | |
| 19 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 5 | 8% | 98.5% | |
| 6 | 8% | 90% | |
| 7 | 18% | 83% | |
| 8 | 28% | 65% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 12% | 37% | |
| 10 | 11% | 25% | |
| 11 | 10% | 14% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.7% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 3% | 95% | Last Result |
| 5 | 19% | 91% | |
| 6 | 14% | 72% | |
| 7 | 37% | 58% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 21% | |
| 9 | 8% | 15% | |
| 10 | 4% | 7% | |
| 11 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 12 | 2% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 4 | 4% | 92% | |
| 5 | 22% | 88% | |
| 6 | 10% | 67% | |
| 7 | 32% | 57% | Median |
| 8 | 7% | 25% | |
| 9 | 13% | 18% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 12 | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 97% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 96% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.8% | 95% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 94% | |
| 7 | 12% | 93% | |
| 8 | 56% | 81% | Median |
| 9 | 20% | 26% | |
| 10 | 4% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.4% | 1.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 74 | 95% | 68–78 | 67–80 | 66–81 | 63–83 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 74 | 95% | 69–78 | 68–79 | 66–81 | 64–83 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 74 | 94% | 68–78 | 67–80 | 66–80 | 63–83 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 67 | 48% | 62–72 | 61–73 | 60–75 | 58–77 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 66 | 66 | 25% | 60–70 | 59–71 | 58–73 | 56–75 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 66 | 26% | 60–70 | 59–72 | 58–73 | 56–75 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 55 | 0.1% | 50–61 | 49–61 | 48–62 | 46–65 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox | 57 | 53 | 0% | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–61 | 44–63 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 47 | 0% | 42–51 | 41–53 | 40–54 | 38–57 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 40 | 0% | 36–45 | 35–46 | 34–47 | 31–50 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 65 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 95% | Majority |
| 69 | 4% | 89% | |
| 70 | 6% | 85% | Last Result |
| 71 | 4% | 79% | |
| 72 | 9% | 75% | |
| 73 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 74 | 8% | 56% | |
| 75 | 22% | 47% | |
| 76 | 6% | 25% | |
| 77 | 3% | 19% | |
| 78 | 7% | 16% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 67 | 2% | 97% | |
| 68 | 3% | 95% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 92% | |
| 70 | 6% | 87% | |
| 71 | 6% | 82% | |
| 72 | 9% | 76% | |
| 73 | 10% | 67% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 57% | Last Result |
| 75 | 13% | 44% | |
| 76 | 8% | 31% | |
| 77 | 10% | 23% | |
| 78 | 5% | 13% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 6% | 94% | Majority |
| 69 | 4% | 88% | |
| 70 | 6% | 84% | Last Result |
| 71 | 6% | 78% | |
| 72 | 8% | 72% | |
| 73 | 11% | 65% | Median |
| 74 | 7% | 54% | |
| 75 | 22% | 46% | |
| 76 | 6% | 24% | |
| 77 | 4% | 18% | |
| 78 | 6% | 15% | |
| 79 | 3% | 9% | |
| 80 | 3% | 5% | |
| 81 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 99.8% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 3% | 96% | |
| 62 | 4% | 94% | |
| 63 | 7% | 90% | |
| 64 | 8% | 83% | |
| 65 | 8% | 75% | |
| 66 | 9% | 67% | Median |
| 67 | 10% | 58% | |
| 68 | 11% | 48% | Majority |
| 69 | 7% | 37% | |
| 70 | 15% | 30% | |
| 71 | 4% | 15% | |
| 72 | 4% | 11% | |
| 73 | 3% | 7% | |
| 74 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 75 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 76 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 77 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 78 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 6% | 94% | |
| 61 | 4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 5% | 85% | |
| 63 | 5% | 80% | |
| 64 | 9% | 74% | |
| 65 | 12% | 66% | Median |
| 66 | 7% | 54% | Last Result |
| 67 | 22% | 47% | |
| 68 | 5% | 25% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 20% | |
| 70 | 7% | 15% | |
| 71 | 4% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 97% | |
| 60 | 6% | 95% | |
| 61 | 4% | 89% | |
| 62 | 5% | 86% | |
| 63 | 5% | 80% | |
| 64 | 7% | 75% | |
| 65 | 12% | 68% | Median |
| 66 | 8% | 56% | Last Result |
| 67 | 22% | 48% | |
| 68 | 5% | 26% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 21% | |
| 70 | 6% | 16% | |
| 71 | 4% | 10% | |
| 72 | 2% | 5% | |
| 73 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 48 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 49 | 4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 93% | |
| 51 | 5% | 89% | |
| 52 | 6% | 83% | |
| 53 | 13% | 77% | |
| 54 | 11% | 64% | Median |
| 55 | 17% | 53% | |
| 56 | 9% | 36% | |
| 57 | 5% | 27% | |
| 58 | 5% | 22% | |
| 59 | 4% | 17% | |
| 60 | 3% | 13% | |
| 61 | 6% | 10% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 1.0% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 67 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 47 | 2% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 95% | |
| 49 | 5% | 91% | |
| 50 | 8% | 87% | |
| 51 | 9% | 79% | |
| 52 | 14% | 69% | |
| 53 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 54 | 10% | 41% | |
| 55 | 8% | 32% | |
| 56 | 6% | 24% | |
| 57 | 5% | 18% | Last Result |
| 58 | 6% | 13% | |
| 59 | 2% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 5% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 1.3% | |
| 63 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 3% | 97% | |
| 42 | 6% | 94% | |
| 43 | 6% | 88% | |
| 44 | 10% | 83% | |
| 45 | 16% | 73% | |
| 46 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 47 | 8% | 50% | |
| 48 | 16% | 42% | |
| 49 | 6% | 26% | |
| 50 | 4% | 20% | |
| 51 | 8% | 17% | |
| 52 | 4% | 9% | |
| 53 | 3% | 5% | |
| 54 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 32 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 33 | 0.9% | 98.8% | |
| 34 | 3% | 98% | |
| 35 | 4% | 95% | |
| 36 | 5% | 91% | |
| 37 | 4% | 86% | |
| 38 | 13% | 82% | |
| 39 | 14% | 69% | |
| 40 | 6% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 41 | 15% | 49% | |
| 42 | 11% | 34% | |
| 43 | 5% | 23% | |
| 44 | 4% | 18% | |
| 45 | 7% | 13% | |
| 46 | 3% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 48 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 49 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 8 January 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 400
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.03%