Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 1–5 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 23.1% | 20.7–25.6% | 20.1–26.4% | 19.5–27.0% | 18.5–28.3% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 20.0% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.2–23.2% | 16.7–23.8% | 15.7–25.0% |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 19.4% | 17.2–21.8% | 16.6–22.5% | 16.1–23.1% | 15.2–24.3% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.4–9.5% | 6.0–10.0% | 5.7–10.5% | 5.1–11.4% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 7.3% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.7–9.6% | 5.3–10.0% | 4.8–10.9% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0–9.1% | 5.7–9.6% | 5.3–10.0% | 4.8–10.9% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 6.1% | 4.9–7.7% | 4.6–8.2% | 4.3–8.6% | 3.8–9.4% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0–5.2% | 2.7–5.6% | 2.5–6.0% | 2.1–6.7% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 32 | 28–36 | 27–37 | 26–38 | 25–40 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 32 | 29–37 | 28–37 | 26–39 | 25–41 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 11 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 8–15 | 7–17 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 8 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 5–14 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 7–11 | 5–13 | 5–13 | 4–14 |
| Vox | 0 | 7 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 3–13 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 4 | 2–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–9 |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 27 | 3% | 97% | |
| 28 | 6% | 94% | |
| 29 | 11% | 88% | |
| 30 | 9% | 77% | |
| 31 | 14% | 69% | |
| 32 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 33 | 13% | 43% | |
| 34 | 10% | 30% | |
| 35 | 7% | 19% | |
| 36 | 6% | 12% | |
| 37 | 4% | 7% | |
| 38 | 2% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 2% | 97% | |
| 28 | 2% | 96% | |
| 29 | 7% | 93% | |
| 30 | 8% | 86% | |
| 31 | 19% | 78% | |
| 32 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 33 | 13% | 48% | |
| 34 | 6% | 36% | Last Result |
| 35 | 12% | 29% | |
| 36 | 5% | 18% | |
| 37 | 8% | 13% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 41 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 4% | 96% | |
| 26 | 5% | 92% | |
| 27 | 7% | 87% | |
| 28 | 19% | 80% | |
| 29 | 9% | 61% | |
| 30 | 14% | 52% | Median |
| 31 | 7% | 38% | |
| 32 | 12% | 31% | Last Result |
| 33 | 9% | 20% | |
| 34 | 5% | 11% | |
| 35 | 3% | 6% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 37 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 11% | 98% | |
| 9 | 19% | 87% | |
| 10 | 10% | 68% | |
| 11 | 29% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 7% | 30% | |
| 13 | 9% | 23% | |
| 14 | 8% | 14% | |
| 15 | 4% | 6% | |
| 16 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.8% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 2% | 100% | |
| 6 | 10% | 98% | |
| 7 | 13% | 88% | |
| 8 | 30% | 76% | Median |
| 9 | 5% | 46% | |
| 10 | 3% | 41% | |
| 11 | 4% | 38% | |
| 12 | 21% | 34% | |
| 13 | 12% | 13% | |
| 14 | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 2% | 94% | |
| 7 | 16% | 92% | |
| 8 | 29% | 76% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 17% | 47% | |
| 10 | 10% | 30% | |
| 11 | 12% | 20% | |
| 12 | 3% | 8% | |
| 13 | 4% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 99.2% | |
| 5 | 5% | 98% | |
| 6 | 11% | 93% | |
| 7 | 37% | 82% | Median |
| 8 | 13% | 44% | |
| 9 | 16% | 32% | |
| 10 | 7% | 15% | |
| 11 | 5% | 8% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 93% | |
| 2 | 7% | 93% | |
| 3 | 34% | 85% | |
| 4 | 11% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 20% | 41% | |
| 6 | 12% | 20% | |
| 7 | 7% | 9% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 73 | 93% | 68–79 | 67–80 | 66–81 | 63–83 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 71 | 80% | 66–77 | 65–78 | 64–79 | 61–81 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 70 | 79% | 66–76 | 65–77 | 64–78 | 61–80 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 66 | 62 | 10% | 58–67 | 56–69 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 65 | 54 | 0% | 49–59 | 47–60 | 46–62 | 45–64 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular | 57 | 53 | 0% | 48–58 | 47–60 | 46–61 | 44–63 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 45 | 0% | 40–51 | 39–52 | 38–53 | 37–55 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 38 | 0% | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–46 | 30–48 |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 61 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 65 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 3% | 96% | |
| 68 | 3% | 93% | Majority |
| 69 | 6% | 90% | |
| 70 | 9% | 84% | Last Result |
| 71 | 8% | 75% | |
| 72 | 8% | 66% | |
| 73 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 47% | |
| 75 | 8% | 38% | |
| 76 | 8% | 30% | |
| 77 | 7% | 22% | |
| 78 | 5% | 15% | |
| 79 | 4% | 10% | |
| 80 | 3% | 6% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 3% | 96% | |
| 66 | 5% | 93% | |
| 67 | 8% | 88% | |
| 68 | 7% | 80% | Majority |
| 69 | 7% | 73% | |
| 70 | 10% | 66% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 56% | |
| 72 | 10% | 46% | |
| 73 | 9% | 37% | |
| 74 | 8% | 28% | Last Result |
| 75 | 6% | 20% | |
| 76 | 4% | 14% | |
| 77 | 5% | 10% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.9% | 1.5% | |
| 81 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 98.7% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 5% | 96% | |
| 66 | 5% | 92% | |
| 67 | 7% | 86% | |
| 68 | 12% | 79% | Majority |
| 69 | 10% | 67% | |
| 70 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 45% | |
| 72 | 7% | 35% | |
| 73 | 5% | 28% | |
| 74 | 6% | 23% | |
| 75 | 5% | 17% | |
| 76 | 4% | 12% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 3% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 80 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 55 | 1.4% | 98.5% | |
| 56 | 2% | 97% | |
| 57 | 4% | 95% | |
| 58 | 6% | 91% | |
| 59 | 8% | 85% | |
| 60 | 8% | 77% | |
| 61 | 11% | 69% | |
| 62 | 9% | 59% | Median |
| 63 | 12% | 50% | |
| 64 | 9% | 38% | |
| 65 | 8% | 28% | |
| 66 | 6% | 20% | Last Result |
| 67 | 4% | 14% | |
| 68 | 3% | 10% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 71 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 74 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 2% | 94% | |
| 49 | 5% | 92% | |
| 50 | 8% | 87% | |
| 51 | 7% | 79% | |
| 52 | 7% | 72% | Median |
| 53 | 9% | 65% | |
| 54 | 12% | 56% | |
| 55 | 9% | 44% | |
| 56 | 7% | 35% | |
| 57 | 9% | 28% | |
| 58 | 7% | 20% | |
| 59 | 5% | 12% | |
| 60 | 3% | 7% | |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.3% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 4% | 95% | |
| 48 | 7% | 92% | |
| 49 | 7% | 85% | |
| 50 | 7% | 78% | |
| 51 | 12% | 72% | Median |
| 52 | 8% | 60% | |
| 53 | 8% | 52% | |
| 54 | 9% | 44% | |
| 55 | 6% | 35% | |
| 56 | 7% | 29% | |
| 57 | 7% | 22% | Last Result |
| 58 | 5% | 15% | |
| 59 | 3% | 10% | |
| 60 | 3% | 6% | |
| 61 | 2% | 3% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 65 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 38 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 8% | 88% | |
| 42 | 7% | 80% | |
| 43 | 9% | 73% | |
| 44 | 10% | 64% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 54% | |
| 46 | 9% | 45% | |
| 47 | 6% | 36% | |
| 48 | 5% | 30% | |
| 49 | 7% | 25% | |
| 50 | 7% | 18% | |
| 51 | 5% | 11% | |
| 52 | 3% | 6% | |
| 53 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 54 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.1% | 99.0% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 3% | 96% | |
| 34 | 3% | 93% | |
| 35 | 9% | 89% | |
| 36 | 13% | 81% | |
| 37 | 9% | 67% | |
| 38 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 39 | 10% | 49% | |
| 40 | 8% | 39% | Last Result |
| 41 | 9% | 31% | |
| 42 | 6% | 22% | |
| 43 | 8% | 15% | |
| 44 | 3% | 7% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 46 | 2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 48 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): El Nacional
- Fieldwork period: 1–5 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 490
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.94%