Opinion Poll by Key Data for Público, 7 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 21.0% | 18.2–24.2% | 17.5–25.1% | 16.8–25.8% | 15.6–27.4% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 21.0% | 18.2–24.2% | 17.5–25.1% | 16.8–25.8% | 15.6–27.4% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 19.7% | 17.0–22.8% | 16.3–23.7% | 15.6–24.5% | 14.4–26.0% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 10.0% | 8.1–12.5% | 7.6–13.2% | 7.1–13.9% | 6.3–15.2% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3–9.0% | 4.8–9.6% | 4.5–10.2% | 3.8–11.3% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4–7.9% | 4.0–8.5% | 3.7–9.0% | 3.1–10.1% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.1–7.5% | 3.8–8.1% | 3.5–8.6% | 2.9–9.7% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 5.5% | 4.1–7.5% | 3.8–8.1% | 3.5–8.6% | 2.9–9.7% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 2.6% | 1.8–4.1% | 1.5–4.6% | 1.3–5.0% | 1.0–5.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 31 | 27–36 | 26–37 | 24–39 | 23–42 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 28 | 25–33 | 24–34 | 22–36 | 20–38 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 31 | 26–36 | 25–38 | 24–39 | 23–41 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 13 | 10–17 | 9–18 | 8–18 | 8–20 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 5–11 | 4–11 | 4–12 | 4–14 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 8 | 4–11 | 4–11 | 3–11 | 2–14 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 7 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–12 | 0–12 |
| Vox | 0 | 7 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–12 | 0–13 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 1 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 26 | 3% | 96% | |
| 27 | 6% | 93% | |
| 28 | 8% | 86% | |
| 29 | 7% | 78% | |
| 30 | 14% | 71% | |
| 31 | 9% | 57% | Median |
| 32 | 11% | 48% | Last Result |
| 33 | 9% | 37% | |
| 34 | 6% | 28% | |
| 35 | 9% | 23% | |
| 36 | 4% | 14% | |
| 37 | 4% | 9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 5% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 41 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 24 | 5% | 96% | |
| 25 | 10% | 91% | |
| 26 | 11% | 81% | |
| 27 | 8% | 69% | |
| 28 | 13% | 61% | Median |
| 29 | 9% | 48% | |
| 30 | 10% | 39% | |
| 31 | 10% | 29% | |
| 32 | 8% | 19% | |
| 33 | 4% | 11% | |
| 34 | 2% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 4% | |
| 36 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 5% | 97% | |
| 26 | 2% | 92% | |
| 27 | 3% | 90% | |
| 28 | 6% | 87% | |
| 29 | 9% | 81% | |
| 30 | 11% | 73% | |
| 31 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 32 | 15% | 50% | |
| 33 | 15% | 35% | |
| 34 | 4% | 21% | Last Result |
| 35 | 3% | 16% | |
| 36 | 4% | 14% | |
| 37 | 4% | 10% | |
| 38 | 3% | 6% | |
| 39 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 40 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 42 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 8 | 3% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 5% | 97% | |
| 10 | 2% | 92% | |
| 11 | 4% | 90% | |
| 12 | 19% | 86% | |
| 13 | 20% | 67% | Median |
| 14 | 21% | 47% | |
| 15 | 8% | 26% | |
| 16 | 7% | 18% | |
| 17 | 2% | 11% | |
| 18 | 6% | 8% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 21 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 5% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 17% | 94% | |
| 6 | 7% | 78% | |
| 7 | 19% | 71% | |
| 8 | 27% | 52% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 7% | 25% | |
| 10 | 6% | 18% | |
| 11 | 8% | 11% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.1% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.6% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 3 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 9% | 97% | Last Result |
| 5 | 7% | 87% | |
| 6 | 5% | 80% | |
| 7 | 14% | 75% | |
| 8 | 28% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 19% | 33% | |
| 10 | 4% | 14% | |
| 11 | 9% | 11% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 7% | 98.8% | |
| 4 | 4% | 92% | Last Result |
| 5 | 15% | 88% | |
| 6 | 13% | 73% | |
| 7 | 34% | 60% | Median |
| 8 | 8% | 26% | |
| 9 | 8% | 18% | |
| 10 | 5% | 10% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 99.4% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 3 | 6% | 98.7% | |
| 4 | 4% | 93% | |
| 5 | 18% | 89% | |
| 6 | 9% | 71% | |
| 7 | 37% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 6% | 25% | |
| 9 | 10% | 19% | |
| 10 | 5% | 10% | |
| 11 | 2% | 4% | |
| 12 | 2% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 47% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 26% | 53% | Median |
| 2 | 0.4% | 27% | |
| 3 | 6% | 27% | |
| 4 | 6% | 20% | |
| 5 | 8% | 14% | |
| 6 | 4% | 6% | |
| 7 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 72 | 85% | 67–78 | 65–79 | 63–81 | 61–83 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 71 | 72% | 65–76 | 63–78 | 62–79 | 59–82 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 70 | 75% | 65–77 | 63–78 | 61–79 | 59–82 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 68 | 54% | 62–73 | 60–75 | 59–76 | 56–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 65 | 23% | 59–70 | 58–72 | 56–73 | 53–76 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 66 | 63 | 16% | 58–68 | 56–70 | 54–71 | 52–74 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 56 | 0.5% | 51–62 | 49–63 | 48–65 | 45–67 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox | 57 | 56 | 0.2% | 49–61 | 48–62 | 47–64 | 44–67 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 49 | 0% | 44–54 | 42–56 | 41–57 | 38–60 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 39 | 0% | 35–44 | 33–46 | 32–48 | 29–50 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 2% | 95% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 5% | 90% | |
| 68 | 8% | 85% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 77% | |
| 70 | 12% | 72% | Last Result |
| 71 | 7% | 61% | Median |
| 72 | 9% | 54% | |
| 73 | 10% | 46% | |
| 74 | 5% | 35% | |
| 75 | 7% | 30% | |
| 76 | 6% | 23% | |
| 77 | 6% | 16% | |
| 78 | 4% | 11% | |
| 79 | 3% | 7% | |
| 80 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 1.1% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.5% | 99.2% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 62 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 97% | |
| 64 | 3% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 92% | |
| 66 | 6% | 88% | |
| 67 | 9% | 82% | |
| 68 | 11% | 72% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 61% | |
| 70 | 6% | 56% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 51% | |
| 72 | 10% | 41% | |
| 73 | 6% | 31% | |
| 74 | 7% | 26% | Last Result |
| 75 | 6% | 19% | |
| 76 | 4% | 13% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 2% | 6% | |
| 79 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 0% | 100% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 99.4% | |
| 61 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 97% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 3% | 94% | |
| 65 | 3% | 91% | |
| 66 | 6% | 88% | |
| 67 | 7% | 82% | |
| 68 | 7% | 75% | Majority |
| 69 | 8% | 68% | |
| 70 | 13% | 60% | Last Result, Median |
| 71 | 8% | 47% | |
| 72 | 7% | 39% | |
| 73 | 7% | 31% | |
| 74 | 3% | 24% | |
| 75 | 6% | 20% | |
| 76 | 3% | 14% | |
| 77 | 5% | 11% | |
| 78 | 3% | 5% | |
| 79 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.5% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.7% | 99.2% | |
| 59 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 60 | 2% | 97% | |
| 61 | 3% | 95% | |
| 62 | 4% | 92% | |
| 63 | 9% | 88% | |
| 64 | 6% | 79% | |
| 65 | 6% | 73% | |
| 66 | 6% | 67% | |
| 67 | 8% | 62% | Median |
| 68 | 9% | 54% | Majority |
| 69 | 15% | 45% | |
| 70 | 4% | 30% | |
| 71 | 7% | 26% | |
| 72 | 4% | 19% | |
| 73 | 6% | 15% | |
| 74 | 3% | 9% | |
| 75 | 2% | 6% | |
| 76 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 50 | 0% | 100% | |
| 51 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 52 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 98.8% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 57 | 2% | 97% | |
| 58 | 4% | 95% | |
| 59 | 7% | 91% | |
| 60 | 5% | 84% | |
| 61 | 4% | 80% | |
| 62 | 7% | 75% | |
| 63 | 7% | 68% | Median |
| 64 | 9% | 62% | |
| 65 | 16% | 52% | |
| 66 | 6% | 36% | Last Result |
| 67 | 7% | 29% | |
| 68 | 7% | 23% | Majority |
| 69 | 4% | 16% | |
| 70 | 3% | 12% | |
| 71 | 3% | 9% | |
| 72 | 2% | 6% | |
| 73 | 2% | 4% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 80 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | 0% | 100% | |
| 49 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 99.2% | |
| 54 | 1.0% | 98% | |
| 55 | 1.5% | 97% | |
| 56 | 2% | 96% | |
| 57 | 3% | 94% | |
| 58 | 6% | 90% | |
| 59 | 7% | 84% | |
| 60 | 8% | 77% | |
| 61 | 4% | 69% | |
| 62 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 63 | 6% | 51% | |
| 64 | 9% | 45% | |
| 65 | 10% | 35% | |
| 66 | 4% | 25% | Last Result |
| 67 | 5% | 21% | |
| 68 | 7% | 16% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 9% | |
| 70 | 2% | 6% | |
| 71 | 2% | 4% | |
| 72 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 48 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 95% | |
| 51 | 7% | 92% | |
| 52 | 5% | 85% | |
| 53 | 6% | 80% | |
| 54 | 7% | 74% | |
| 55 | 12% | 67% | |
| 56 | 7% | 55% | Median |
| 57 | 7% | 48% | |
| 58 | 12% | 41% | |
| 59 | 6% | 29% | |
| 60 | 8% | 23% | |
| 61 | 3% | 15% | |
| 62 | 4% | 12% | |
| 63 | 3% | 7% | |
| 64 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 65 | 1.1% | 3% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 68 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 70 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular – Vox
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 95% | |
| 50 | 4% | 90% | |
| 51 | 7% | 86% | |
| 52 | 5% | 79% | |
| 53 | 6% | 74% | |
| 54 | 8% | 68% | |
| 55 | 8% | 60% | Median |
| 56 | 5% | 51% | |
| 57 | 13% | 46% | Last Result |
| 58 | 10% | 34% | |
| 59 | 9% | 24% | |
| 60 | 4% | 15% | |
| 61 | 4% | 11% | |
| 62 | 2% | 7% | |
| 63 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 64 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 66 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.1% | 0.2% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 40 | 0.9% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 42 | 3% | 97% | |
| 43 | 3% | 93% | |
| 44 | 10% | 91% | |
| 45 | 5% | 80% | |
| 46 | 7% | 75% | |
| 47 | 6% | 68% | |
| 48 | 7% | 62% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 55% | |
| 50 | 13% | 47% | |
| 51 | 9% | 34% | |
| 52 | 9% | 25% | |
| 53 | 4% | 17% | |
| 54 | 5% | 12% | |
| 55 | 2% | 8% | |
| 56 | 2% | 5% | |
| 57 | 1.2% | 3% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 98.7% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 3% | 96% | |
| 34 | 3% | 93% | |
| 35 | 14% | 90% | |
| 36 | 5% | 76% | |
| 37 | 9% | 70% | |
| 38 | 7% | 62% | |
| 39 | 12% | 54% | Median |
| 40 | 5% | 43% | Last Result |
| 41 | 8% | 38% | |
| 42 | 9% | 30% | |
| 43 | 8% | 21% | |
| 44 | 4% | 13% | |
| 45 | 3% | 9% | |
| 46 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 47 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 48 | 2% | 3% | |
| 49 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 50 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Key Data
- Commissioner(s): Público
- Fieldwork period: 7 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 310
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.69%