Opinion Poll by GESOP for El Periòdic, 9–11 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 23.1% | 20.7–25.8% | 20.0–26.5% | 19.5–27.2% | 18.4–28.5% |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 20.7% | 18.4–23.3% | 17.8–24.0% | 17.2–24.6% | 16.2–25.9% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 18.7% | 16.6–21.2% | 15.9–21.9% | 15.4–22.6% | 14.4–23.8% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 7.0% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.3–9.2% | 5.0–9.7% | 4.4–10.6% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.3–9.2% | 5.0–9.7% | 4.4–10.6% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 7.0% | 5.7–8.7% | 5.3–9.2% | 5.0–9.7% | 4.4–10.6% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.5–8.3% | 4.3–8.7% | 3.7–9.6% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4–5.8% | 3.1–6.3% | 2.8–6.6% | 2.4–7.4% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 3.5% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% | 2.2–5.6% | 1.8–6.3% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 31 | 27–36 | 27–37 | 26–37 | 25–40 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 31 | 28–35 | 26–37 | 25–38 | 24–39 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 31 | 25–33 | 25–35 | 24–37 | 23–38 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 8 | 6–12 | 5–12 | 5–13 | 5–14 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| Vox | 0 | 9 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 6–14 | 5–14 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 8 | 7–9 | 4–11 | 4–11 | 3–14 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 5 | 3–7 | 2–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 4 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–8 | 0–9 |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.9% | 99.7% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 6% | 95% | |
| 28 | 6% | 90% | |
| 29 | 11% | 84% | |
| 30 | 9% | 73% | |
| 31 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 32 | 12% | 48% | |
| 33 | 8% | 36% | |
| 34 | 9% | 27% | |
| 35 | 5% | 18% | |
| 36 | 5% | 13% | |
| 37 | 5% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 26 | 3% | 97% | |
| 27 | 3% | 94% | |
| 28 | 10% | 91% | |
| 29 | 10% | 82% | |
| 30 | 16% | 72% | |
| 31 | 10% | 56% | Median |
| 32 | 12% | 46% | Last Result |
| 33 | 12% | 34% | |
| 34 | 8% | 23% | |
| 35 | 5% | 15% | |
| 36 | 3% | 10% | |
| 37 | 4% | 7% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 43 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 24 | 3% | 99.0% | |
| 25 | 7% | 96% | |
| 26 | 13% | 89% | |
| 27 | 5% | 76% | |
| 28 | 4% | 71% | |
| 29 | 8% | 67% | |
| 30 | 10% | 60% | |
| 31 | 22% | 50% | Median |
| 32 | 15% | 28% | |
| 33 | 5% | 13% | |
| 34 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 35 | 2% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 37 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 38 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 11% | 94% | |
| 7 | 8% | 83% | |
| 8 | 34% | 75% | Median |
| 9 | 9% | 41% | |
| 10 | 7% | 33% | |
| 11 | 9% | 26% | |
| 12 | 13% | 17% | |
| 13 | 3% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 16% | 98.9% | |
| 6 | 2% | 83% | |
| 7 | 19% | 81% | |
| 8 | 30% | 62% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 13% | 32% | |
| 10 | 9% | 19% | |
| 11 | 7% | 9% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 3% | |
| 13 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 6 | 4% | 98% | |
| 7 | 22% | 94% | |
| 8 | 11% | 72% | |
| 9 | 22% | 61% | Median |
| 10 | 10% | 39% | |
| 11 | 13% | 29% | |
| 12 | 12% | 16% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 14 | 3% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 4 | 4% | 99.0% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.5% | 95% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 94% | |
| 7 | 14% | 93% | |
| 8 | 42% | 79% | Median |
| 9 | 27% | 37% | |
| 10 | 3% | 9% | |
| 11 | 5% | 7% | |
| 12 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 96% | |
| 2 | 3% | 96% | |
| 3 | 20% | 93% | |
| 4 | 10% | 73% | Last Result |
| 5 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 6 | 16% | 38% | |
| 7 | 19% | 22% | |
| 8 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 9 | 2% | 2% | |
| 10 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 11 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 24% | 86% | |
| 2 | 2% | 62% | |
| 3 | 3% | 60% | |
| 4 | 11% | 58% | Median |
| 5 | 25% | 47% | |
| 6 | 12% | 21% | |
| 7 | 5% | 9% | |
| 8 | 3% | 4% | |
| 9 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 10 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 11 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 73 | 93% | 68–78 | 67–79 | 65–81 | 63–83 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 71 | 79% | 66–76 | 65–78 | 63–79 | 61–81 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 69 | 67% | 64–74 | 63–75 | 62–77 | 60–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 69 | 63% | 64–74 | 62–75 | 61–77 | 60–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 65 | 23% | 60–70 | 59–71 | 57–73 | 55–75 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 66 | 61 | 5% | 56–66 | 55–68 | 54–69 | 51–71 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular | 57 | 55 | 0% | 49–60 | 47–61 | 47–62 | 45–64 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 65 | 54 | 0% | 48–58 | 47–59 | 45–60 | 44–64 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 45 | 0% | 40–50 | 39–51 | 38–52 | 36–55 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 39 | 0% | 35–44 | 34–45 | 33–46 | 31–48 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.6% | 99.6% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 99.0% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 66 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 67 | 2% | 96% | |
| 68 | 8% | 93% | Majority |
| 69 | 8% | 86% | |
| 70 | 8% | 77% | Last Result |
| 71 | 10% | 70% | |
| 72 | 8% | 59% | |
| 73 | 9% | 51% | |
| 74 | 10% | 42% | Median |
| 75 | 8% | 32% | |
| 76 | 7% | 24% | |
| 77 | 7% | 17% | |
| 78 | 3% | 10% | |
| 79 | 3% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 83 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98.9% | |
| 64 | 2% | 97% | |
| 65 | 3% | 95% | |
| 66 | 4% | 92% | |
| 67 | 9% | 88% | |
| 68 | 7% | 79% | Majority |
| 69 | 13% | 72% | |
| 70 | 8% | 59% | Median |
| 71 | 11% | 51% | |
| 72 | 9% | 40% | |
| 73 | 8% | 32% | |
| 74 | 6% | 23% | |
| 75 | 5% | 18% | |
| 76 | 3% | 13% | |
| 77 | 4% | 10% | |
| 78 | 3% | 6% | |
| 79 | 2% | 3% | |
| 80 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 62 | 3% | 98% | |
| 63 | 2% | 96% | |
| 64 | 5% | 93% | |
| 65 | 5% | 88% | |
| 66 | 10% | 83% | |
| 67 | 7% | 74% | |
| 68 | 13% | 67% | Majority |
| 69 | 8% | 53% | |
| 70 | 9% | 45% | Last Result, Median |
| 71 | 7% | 36% | |
| 72 | 7% | 29% | |
| 73 | 6% | 22% | |
| 74 | 6% | 15% | |
| 75 | 5% | 10% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 82 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 61 | 2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 1.2% | 96% | |
| 63 | 3% | 94% | |
| 64 | 5% | 91% | |
| 65 | 6% | 87% | |
| 66 | 7% | 81% | |
| 67 | 11% | 74% | |
| 68 | 12% | 63% | Majority |
| 69 | 8% | 51% | |
| 70 | 8% | 43% | Median |
| 71 | 9% | 35% | |
| 72 | 6% | 26% | |
| 73 | 5% | 20% | |
| 74 | 8% | 15% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 7% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 55 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 3% | 95% | |
| 60 | 8% | 92% | |
| 61 | 10% | 84% | |
| 62 | 5% | 74% | |
| 63 | 8% | 69% | |
| 64 | 11% | 61% | |
| 65 | 12% | 51% | |
| 66 | 9% | 38% | Last Result, Median |
| 67 | 7% | 29% | |
| 68 | 7% | 23% | Majority |
| 69 | 6% | 16% | |
| 70 | 4% | 10% | |
| 71 | 2% | 6% | |
| 72 | 2% | 4% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 52 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98% | |
| 55 | 3% | 95% | |
| 56 | 6% | 93% | |
| 57 | 4% | 87% | |
| 58 | 7% | 83% | |
| 59 | 9% | 76% | |
| 60 | 14% | 66% | |
| 61 | 11% | 52% | |
| 62 | 6% | 41% | Median |
| 63 | 7% | 35% | |
| 64 | 8% | 28% | |
| 65 | 8% | 19% | |
| 66 | 4% | 11% | Last Result |
| 67 | 2% | 7% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | Majority |
| 69 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 71 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 47 | 3% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 95% | |
| 49 | 3% | 92% | |
| 50 | 7% | 90% | |
| 51 | 6% | 83% | |
| 52 | 11% | 77% | |
| 53 | 5% | 66% | Median |
| 54 | 11% | 61% | |
| 55 | 9% | 51% | |
| 56 | 13% | 42% | |
| 57 | 6% | 29% | Last Result |
| 58 | 7% | 23% | |
| 59 | 6% | 16% | |
| 60 | 5% | 10% | |
| 61 | 2% | 5% | |
| 62 | 2% | 3% | |
| 63 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 45 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 46 | 2% | 97% | |
| 47 | 3% | 96% | |
| 48 | 4% | 93% | |
| 49 | 8% | 89% | |
| 50 | 8% | 81% | |
| 51 | 7% | 72% | |
| 52 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 53 | 6% | 57% | |
| 54 | 15% | 52% | |
| 55 | 10% | 36% | |
| 56 | 6% | 26% | |
| 57 | 7% | 20% | |
| 58 | 6% | 13% | |
| 59 | 3% | 7% | |
| 60 | 2% | 4% | |
| 61 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 62 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 0.8% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 99.1% | |
| 38 | 1.3% | 98% | |
| 39 | 4% | 97% | |
| 40 | 5% | 93% | |
| 41 | 6% | 88% | |
| 42 | 6% | 82% | |
| 43 | 6% | 76% | |
| 44 | 12% | 70% | Median |
| 45 | 9% | 58% | |
| 46 | 10% | 49% | |
| 47 | 14% | 40% | |
| 48 | 7% | 26% | |
| 49 | 6% | 19% | |
| 50 | 6% | 13% | |
| 51 | 4% | 7% | |
| 52 | 2% | 4% | |
| 53 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 54 | 0.6% | 1.3% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 99.6% | |
| 32 | 1.0% | 98.6% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 34 | 3% | 96% | |
| 35 | 10% | 93% | |
| 36 | 6% | 83% | |
| 37 | 10% | 77% | |
| 38 | 13% | 67% | |
| 39 | 10% | 55% | Median |
| 40 | 8% | 45% | Last Result |
| 41 | 8% | 37% | |
| 42 | 10% | 28% | |
| 43 | 5% | 18% | |
| 44 | 7% | 13% | |
| 45 | 3% | 6% | |
| 46 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 49 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 52 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GESOP
- Commissioner(s): El Periòdic
- Fieldwork period: 9–11 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 459
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.77%