Opinion Poll by GESOP for El Periòdic, 10–12 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 22.8% | 20.5–25.4% | 19.9–26.1% | 19.3–26.7% | 18.3–28.0% |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 20.2% | 18.0–22.7% | 17.4–23.4% | 16.9–24.0% | 15.9–25.2% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 18.8% | 16.7–21.2% | 16.1–21.9% | 15.6–22.5% | 14.6–23.7% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 7.5% | 6.2–9.2% | 5.8–9.7% | 5.5–10.1% | 4.9–11.0% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.3–9.0% | 5.0–9.4% | 4.4–10.3% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.6–8.6% | 5.3–9.0% | 5.0–9.4% | 4.4–10.3% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 6.3% | 5.1–7.9% | 4.7–8.4% | 4.5–8.8% | 3.9–9.6% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3–7.0% | 4.0–7.4% | 3.8–7.8% | 3.3–8.6% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 3.0% | 2.2–4.3% | 2.0–4.6% | 1.8–5.0% | 1.5–5.6% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 32 | 28–35 | 26–36 | 26–37 | 25–39 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 30 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 24–36 | 24–38 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 23–38 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 9 | 7–12 | 6–13 | 6–13 | 5–14 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 4–13 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 9 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–13 | 4–15 |
| Vox | 0 | 8 | 6–10 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 3–13 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 7 | 5–9 | 4–9 | 3–10 | 3–12 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 1 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 | 0–8 |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 25 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 26 | 3% | 98% | |
| 27 | 3% | 95% | |
| 28 | 8% | 92% | |
| 29 | 9% | 84% | |
| 30 | 6% | 75% | |
| 31 | 14% | 69% | |
| 32 | 13% | 54% | Median |
| 33 | 13% | 41% | |
| 34 | 14% | 28% | |
| 35 | 6% | 14% | |
| 36 | 5% | 9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 4% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 39 | 0.6% | 0.8% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.6% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 26 | 4% | 96% | |
| 27 | 5% | 92% | |
| 28 | 11% | 87% | |
| 29 | 13% | 76% | |
| 30 | 17% | 63% | Median |
| 31 | 11% | 46% | |
| 32 | 14% | 35% | Last Result |
| 33 | 6% | 21% | |
| 34 | 7% | 16% | |
| 35 | 4% | 9% | |
| 36 | 2% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 99.8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 25 | 5% | 97% | |
| 26 | 6% | 92% | |
| 27 | 6% | 87% | |
| 28 | 5% | 80% | |
| 29 | 14% | 76% | |
| 30 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 31 | 20% | 47% | |
| 32 | 6% | 26% | |
| 33 | 9% | 20% | |
| 34 | 2% | 11% | Last Result |
| 35 | 5% | 9% | |
| 36 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 37 | 2% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 8% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 6% | 91% | |
| 8 | 29% | 85% | |
| 9 | 16% | 56% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 40% | |
| 11 | 7% | 34% | |
| 12 | 20% | 27% | |
| 13 | 6% | 7% | |
| 14 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 9% | 98% | |
| 6 | 4% | 89% | |
| 7 | 27% | 85% | |
| 8 | 35% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 10% | 23% | |
| 10 | 6% | 13% | |
| 11 | 5% | 7% | |
| 12 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.5% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.3% | 99.4% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 7% | 98% | |
| 8 | 31% | 91% | |
| 9 | 30% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 8% | 30% | |
| 11 | 18% | 23% | |
| 12 | 1.4% | 5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 4% | |
| 14 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 5 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 6 | 9% | 94% | |
| 7 | 33% | 85% | |
| 8 | 11% | 52% | Median |
| 9 | 28% | 41% | |
| 10 | 7% | 14% | |
| 11 | 3% | 7% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 14 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 4% | 96% | Last Result |
| 5 | 19% | 92% | |
| 6 | 11% | 73% | |
| 7 | 40% | 62% | Median |
| 8 | 10% | 23% | |
| 9 | 8% | 13% | |
| 10 | 3% | 5% | |
| 11 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 29% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 40% | 71% | Median |
| 2 | 1.2% | 31% | |
| 3 | 3% | 30% | |
| 4 | 8% | 26% | |
| 5 | 10% | 19% | |
| 6 | 7% | 9% | |
| 7 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 8 | 1.0% | 1.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 72 | 88% | 67–76 | 66–77 | 64–79 | 63–81 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 70 | 72% | 65–74 | 64–75 | 63–77 | 60–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 70 | 73% | 65–74 | 63–76 | 62–76 | 60–79 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 68 | 59% | 64–73 | 62–74 | 61–75 | 59–78 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 63 | 10% | 58–68 | 57–69 | 55–70 | 53–72 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya | 66 | 60 | 4% | 55–65 | 54–67 | 54–68 | 51–70 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular | 57 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 50–61 | 48–63 | 46–65 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 56 | 0% | 51–60 | 49–61 | 48–62 | 46–65 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 48 | 0% | 43–52 | 42–53 | 41–54 | 39–57 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 38 | 0% | 34–42 | 33–43 | 32–44 | 30–46 |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 62 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 1.2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 4% | 96% | |
| 67 | 5% | 92% | |
| 68 | 7% | 88% | Majority |
| 69 | 11% | 81% | |
| 70 | 8% | 70% | Last Result, Median |
| 71 | 11% | 62% | |
| 72 | 13% | 51% | |
| 73 | 9% | 38% | |
| 74 | 10% | 30% | |
| 75 | 4% | 20% | |
| 76 | 7% | 15% | |
| 77 | 3% | 8% | |
| 78 | 1.1% | 5% | |
| 79 | 2% | 4% | |
| 80 | 0.4% | 2% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.1% | |
| 82 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 84 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 1.4% | 99.0% | |
| 63 | 1.4% | 98% | |
| 64 | 3% | 96% | |
| 65 | 5% | 93% | |
| 66 | 7% | 88% | |
| 67 | 9% | 81% | |
| 68 | 5% | 72% | Majority |
| 69 | 9% | 67% | |
| 70 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 71 | 14% | 46% | |
| 72 | 11% | 32% | |
| 73 | 8% | 21% | |
| 74 | 4% | 13% | |
| 75 | 4% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 5% | |
| 77 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 78 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 83 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 61 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 98.8% | |
| 63 | 3% | 97% | |
| 64 | 4% | 95% | |
| 65 | 4% | 91% | |
| 66 | 6% | 87% | |
| 67 | 8% | 81% | |
| 68 | 7% | 73% | Majority |
| 69 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 70 | 11% | 53% | Last Result |
| 71 | 11% | 42% | |
| 72 | 8% | 31% | |
| 73 | 8% | 22% | |
| 74 | 5% | 14% | |
| 75 | 3% | 9% | |
| 76 | 4% | 6% | |
| 77 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 78 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 79 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 58 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 59 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 60 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 61 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 62 | 3% | 97% | |
| 63 | 2% | 93% | |
| 64 | 5% | 92% | |
| 65 | 10% | 87% | |
| 66 | 6% | 77% | |
| 67 | 12% | 71% | |
| 68 | 12% | 59% | Median, Majority |
| 69 | 9% | 47% | |
| 70 | 10% | 38% | |
| 71 | 10% | 28% | |
| 72 | 6% | 18% | |
| 73 | 4% | 12% | |
| 74 | 3% | 8% | Last Result |
| 75 | 3% | 5% | |
| 76 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 77 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 78 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 53 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 55 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 56 | 1.3% | 97% | |
| 57 | 3% | 96% | |
| 58 | 6% | 93% | |
| 59 | 7% | 87% | |
| 60 | 14% | 80% | |
| 61 | 9% | 66% | Median |
| 62 | 5% | 57% | |
| 63 | 12% | 51% | |
| 64 | 11% | 39% | |
| 65 | 11% | 28% | |
| 66 | 3% | 17% | Last Result |
| 67 | 3% | 14% | |
| 68 | 4% | 10% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 6% | |
| 70 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 71 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 72 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 73 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 74 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 75 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 76 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Junts per Catalunya
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 50 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 52 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 53 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98% | |
| 55 | 5% | 95% | |
| 56 | 3% | 90% | |
| 57 | 6% | 87% | |
| 58 | 8% | 81% | |
| 59 | 10% | 73% | |
| 60 | 16% | 64% | Median |
| 61 | 7% | 47% | |
| 62 | 9% | 40% | |
| 63 | 11% | 31% | |
| 64 | 8% | 20% | |
| 65 | 4% | 12% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 3% | 4% | Majority |
| 69 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 72 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 49 | 2% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 96% | |
| 51 | 4% | 93% | |
| 52 | 8% | 88% | |
| 53 | 4% | 81% | |
| 54 | 14% | 76% | |
| 55 | 11% | 62% | |
| 56 | 14% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 8% | 38% | Last Result |
| 58 | 5% | 30% | |
| 59 | 11% | 25% | |
| 60 | 7% | 14% | |
| 61 | 3% | 7% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 3% | |
| 64 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 44 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 46 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 98.9% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 98% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 3% | 95% | |
| 51 | 5% | 92% | |
| 52 | 7% | 87% | |
| 53 | 8% | 80% | |
| 54 | 13% | 72% | |
| 55 | 9% | 60% | |
| 56 | 10% | 51% | Median |
| 57 | 14% | 40% | |
| 58 | 6% | 26% | |
| 59 | 5% | 19% | |
| 60 | 8% | 14% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 5% | |
| 63 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 64 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 65 | 0.5% | 0.6% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0% | Majority |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 37 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 38 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 39 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 40 | 0.7% | 98.9% | |
| 41 | 3% | 98% | |
| 42 | 2% | 96% | |
| 43 | 4% | 94% | |
| 44 | 5% | 90% | |
| 45 | 13% | 84% | |
| 46 | 6% | 71% | |
| 47 | 13% | 66% | |
| 48 | 11% | 53% | Median |
| 49 | 10% | 42% | |
| 50 | 13% | 32% | |
| 51 | 6% | 19% | |
| 52 | 5% | 13% | |
| 53 | 4% | 8% | |
| 54 | 1.3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 1.4% | 99.2% | |
| 32 | 1.1% | 98% | |
| 33 | 3% | 97% | |
| 34 | 4% | 94% | |
| 35 | 7% | 90% | |
| 36 | 15% | 83% | |
| 37 | 9% | 68% | |
| 38 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 39 | 8% | 42% | |
| 40 | 13% | 34% | Last Result |
| 41 | 4% | 21% | |
| 42 | 7% | 17% | |
| 43 | 5% | 10% | |
| 44 | 2% | 4% | |
| 45 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 47 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: GESOP
- Commissioner(s): El Periòdic
- Fieldwork period: 10–12 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 495
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.62%