Opinion Poll by electoPanel for electomania.es, 12 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 21.2% | 18.8–24.1% | 18.1–24.8% | 17.5–25.5% | 16.4–26.9% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 21.0% | 18.6–23.8% | 17.9–24.6% | 17.3–25.3% | 16.2–26.6% |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 19.8% | 17.4–22.5% | 16.7–23.3% | 16.1–23.9% | 15.1–25.3% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 8.8% | 7.2–10.8% | 6.7–11.4% | 6.4–11.9% | 5.7–13.0% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6–8.9% | 5.2–9.4% | 4.9–9.9% | 4.3–10.9% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 6.8% | 5.4–8.6% | 5.0–9.2% | 4.7–9.6% | 4.1–10.6% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5–7.5% | 4.1–8.0% | 3.9–8.5% | 3.3–9.4% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.6–6.4% | 3.3–6.9% | 3.1–7.3% | 2.6–8.2% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 1.5% | 1.0–2.6% | 0.8–2.9% | 0.7–3.2% | 0.5–3.9% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 28 | 25–33 | 25–35 | 24–37 | 22–38 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 34 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–41 | 25–43 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 30 | 26–34 | 25–35 | 24–36 | 22–38 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 12 | 8–14 | 8–15 | 8–16 | 6–18 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 4–12 | 4–14 |
| Vox | 0 | 9 | 7–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 | 4–15 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 8 | 6–9 | 4–11 | 4–11 | 3–14 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 5 | 3–7 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 0–11 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–5 |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 22 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 24 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 25 | 12% | 96% | |
| 26 | 15% | 84% | |
| 27 | 12% | 68% | |
| 28 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 29 | 13% | 49% | |
| 30 | 7% | 37% | |
| 31 | 11% | 30% | |
| 32 | 7% | 19% | |
| 33 | 3% | 12% | |
| 34 | 3% | 10% | |
| 35 | 2% | 6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 1.0% | 99.2% | |
| 27 | 0.5% | 98% | |
| 28 | 2% | 98% | |
| 29 | 5% | 96% | |
| 30 | 4% | 91% | |
| 31 | 9% | 87% | |
| 32 | 13% | 78% | |
| 33 | 11% | 65% | |
| 34 | 5% | 55% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 6% | 50% | |
| 36 | 11% | 44% | |
| 37 | 17% | 33% | |
| 38 | 4% | 16% | |
| 39 | 3% | 12% | |
| 40 | 4% | 9% | |
| 41 | 4% | 5% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 45 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 23 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 2% | 98% | |
| 25 | 3% | 96% | |
| 26 | 10% | 93% | |
| 27 | 5% | 83% | |
| 28 | 17% | 79% | |
| 29 | 9% | 62% | |
| 30 | 10% | 53% | Median |
| 31 | 17% | 43% | |
| 32 | 8% | 26% | Last Result |
| 33 | 6% | 18% | |
| 34 | 5% | 12% | |
| 35 | 3% | 7% | |
| 36 | 2% | 4% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.7% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 8% | 98% | |
| 9 | 10% | 89% | |
| 10 | 9% | 80% | |
| 11 | 8% | 71% | |
| 12 | 25% | 63% | Median |
| 13 | 23% | 38% | |
| 14 | 9% | 15% | |
| 15 | 1.2% | 6% | |
| 16 | 3% | 5% | |
| 17 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 18 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 19 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 5 | 10% | 97% | |
| 6 | 4% | 87% | |
| 7 | 12% | 84% | |
| 8 | 25% | 72% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 17% | 46% | |
| 10 | 7% | 29% | |
| 11 | 17% | 22% | |
| 12 | 2% | 5% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 5 | 3% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 5% | 96% | |
| 7 | 26% | 92% | |
| 8 | 11% | 66% | |
| 9 | 21% | 55% | Median |
| 10 | 16% | 34% | |
| 11 | 6% | 18% | |
| 12 | 9% | 12% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 3% | |
| 14 | 2% | 2% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.8% | |
| 2 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 4% | 98% | Last Result |
| 5 | 3% | 94% | |
| 6 | 4% | 91% | |
| 7 | 24% | 87% | |
| 8 | 40% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 14% | 23% | |
| 10 | 3% | 10% | |
| 11 | 5% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 13 | 0.4% | 1.0% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.4% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 98.6% | |
| 2 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 3 | 22% | 96% | |
| 4 | 5% | 74% | Last Result |
| 5 | 25% | 69% | Median |
| 6 | 11% | 44% | |
| 7 | 24% | 33% | |
| 8 | 3% | 9% | |
| 9 | 4% | 6% | |
| 10 | 2% | 2% | |
| 11 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 91% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 8% | 9% | |
| 2 | 0% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 7 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 72 | 86% | 67–76 | 65–78 | 64–80 | 62–82 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 72 | 87% | 67–77 | 65–78 | 64–80 | 62–82 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 73 | 88% | 67–78 | 65–79 | 64–80 | 62–82 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 67 | 48% | 62–73 | 61–73 | 60–76 | 57–78 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 66 | 64 | 21% | 59–69 | 58–70 | 57–72 | 54–74 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 64 | 22% | 59–69 | 58–71 | 57–72 | 54–74 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular | 57 | 54 | 0.1% | 50–60 | 48–62 | 47–63 | 45–66 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 54 | 0.1% | 49–59 | 48–61 | 47–62 | 44–64 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 45 | 0% | 41–52 | 40–53 | 39–54 | 37–56 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 38 | 0% | 34–43 | 33–44 | 32–45 | 29–48 |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.5% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 3% | 94% | |
| 67 | 6% | 92% | |
| 68 | 7% | 86% | Majority |
| 69 | 7% | 79% | |
| 70 | 7% | 72% | Last Result |
| 71 | 7% | 65% | |
| 72 | 11% | 57% | Median |
| 73 | 10% | 47% | |
| 74 | 9% | 36% | |
| 75 | 11% | 27% | |
| 76 | 7% | 16% | |
| 77 | 3% | 10% | |
| 78 | 2% | 6% | |
| 79 | 0.8% | 4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.6% | |
| 63 | 0.8% | 99.2% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98% | |
| 65 | 2% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 95% | |
| 67 | 6% | 93% | |
| 68 | 6% | 87% | Majority |
| 69 | 7% | 80% | |
| 70 | 8% | 73% | Last Result |
| 71 | 7% | 66% | |
| 72 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 73 | 11% | 48% | |
| 74 | 9% | 38% | |
| 75 | 10% | 28% | |
| 76 | 8% | 18% | |
| 77 | 4% | 11% | |
| 78 | 2% | 7% | |
| 79 | 0.9% | 4% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.7% | 1.3% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 83 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 59 | 0% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 0.3% | 99.1% | |
| 64 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 97% | |
| 66 | 2% | 94% | |
| 67 | 4% | 92% | |
| 68 | 5% | 88% | Majority |
| 69 | 6% | 83% | |
| 70 | 6% | 77% | |
| 71 | 10% | 71% | |
| 72 | 11% | 61% | Median |
| 73 | 6% | 50% | |
| 74 | 10% | 45% | Last Result |
| 75 | 6% | 35% | |
| 76 | 14% | 29% | |
| 77 | 4% | 15% | |
| 78 | 3% | 11% | |
| 79 | 4% | 8% | |
| 80 | 2% | 3% | |
| 81 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 82 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 57 | 0.3% | 99.6% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 59 | 1.1% | 98.8% | |
| 60 | 3% | 98% | |
| 61 | 4% | 95% | |
| 62 | 9% | 91% | |
| 63 | 5% | 82% | |
| 64 | 9% | 76% | |
| 65 | 6% | 68% | |
| 66 | 6% | 62% | Median |
| 67 | 7% | 55% | |
| 68 | 11% | 48% | Majority |
| 69 | 9% | 37% | |
| 70 | 7% | 28% | |
| 71 | 6% | 21% | |
| 72 | 4% | 15% | |
| 73 | 7% | 11% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 5% | |
| 75 | 0.7% | 4% | |
| 76 | 2% | 3% | |
| 77 | 0.8% | 1.3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.3% | |
| 56 | 1.1% | 98.9% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 4% | 93% | |
| 60 | 9% | 89% | |
| 61 | 7% | 81% | |
| 62 | 8% | 74% | |
| 63 | 9% | 66% | |
| 64 | 10% | 57% | Median |
| 65 | 9% | 47% | |
| 66 | 9% | 38% | Last Result |
| 67 | 8% | 29% | |
| 68 | 10% | 21% | Majority |
| 69 | 4% | 11% | |
| 70 | 2% | 7% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 1.3% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 54 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.4% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 2% | 95% | |
| 59 | 4% | 93% | |
| 60 | 8% | 90% | |
| 61 | 6% | 81% | |
| 62 | 7% | 75% | |
| 63 | 9% | 68% | |
| 64 | 9% | 58% | Median |
| 65 | 10% | 49% | |
| 66 | 9% | 39% | Last Result |
| 67 | 8% | 30% | |
| 68 | 9% | 22% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 13% | |
| 70 | 2% | 8% | |
| 71 | 2% | 5% | |
| 72 | 2% | 3% | |
| 73 | 0.6% | 1.5% | |
| 74 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 46 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98% | |
| 48 | 2% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 95% | |
| 50 | 6% | 90% | |
| 51 | 10% | 84% | |
| 52 | 8% | 74% | |
| 53 | 9% | 65% | |
| 54 | 9% | 56% | Median |
| 55 | 9% | 48% | |
| 56 | 10% | 39% | |
| 57 | 6% | 29% | Last Result |
| 58 | 5% | 23% | |
| 59 | 6% | 18% | |
| 60 | 3% | 12% | |
| 61 | 3% | 9% | |
| 62 | 1.5% | 6% | |
| 63 | 3% | 4% | |
| 64 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 0.9% | |
| 66 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 67 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 45 | 0.5% | 99.5% | |
| 46 | 0.5% | 99.0% | |
| 47 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 48 | 4% | 97% | |
| 49 | 5% | 92% | |
| 50 | 4% | 87% | |
| 51 | 7% | 83% | |
| 52 | 11% | 76% | |
| 53 | 8% | 65% | Median |
| 54 | 12% | 57% | |
| 55 | 10% | 46% | |
| 56 | 8% | 35% | |
| 57 | 7% | 27% | |
| 58 | 7% | 20% | |
| 59 | 4% | 14% | |
| 60 | 4% | 9% | |
| 61 | 2% | 6% | |
| 62 | 2% | 4% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.5% | |
| 64 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 0.4% | Last Result |
| 66 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 67 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 68 | 0% | 0.1% | Majority |
| 69 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 2% | 98.5% | |
| 40 | 4% | 97% | |
| 41 | 7% | 92% | |
| 42 | 9% | 85% | |
| 43 | 7% | 76% | |
| 44 | 12% | 69% | |
| 45 | 7% | 57% | Median |
| 46 | 11% | 50% | |
| 47 | 9% | 39% | |
| 48 | 7% | 30% | |
| 49 | 5% | 23% | |
| 50 | 5% | 18% | |
| 51 | 3% | 13% | |
| 52 | 4% | 10% | |
| 53 | 2% | 6% | |
| 54 | 3% | 4% | |
| 55 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 56 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 57 | 0.2% | 0.5% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 59 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 0.8% | 99.3% | |
| 31 | 1.0% | 98.5% | |
| 32 | 2% | 98% | |
| 33 | 4% | 95% | |
| 34 | 6% | 91% | |
| 35 | 8% | 85% | |
| 36 | 13% | 77% | |
| 37 | 8% | 65% | |
| 38 | 8% | 57% | Median |
| 39 | 17% | 49% | |
| 40 | 7% | 32% | Last Result |
| 41 | 5% | 25% | |
| 42 | 7% | 21% | |
| 43 | 6% | 14% | |
| 44 | 4% | 8% | |
| 45 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 46 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 47 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 48 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 49 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 51 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: electoPanel
- Commissioner(s): electomania.es
- Fieldwork period: 12 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 400
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 2.36%