Opinion Poll by Feedback for The National, 6–13 February 2021

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Junts per Catalunya 21.7% 20.6% 18.6–22.8% 18.0–23.4% 17.5–23.9% 16.6–25.0%
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 13.9% 19.9% 18.0–22.1% 17.4–22.7% 16.9–23.3% 16.0–24.3%
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí 21.4% 18.6% 16.7–20.7% 16.2–21.4% 15.7–21.9% 14.8–22.9%
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 25.4% 9.0% 7.6–10.6% 7.3–11.1% 7.0–11.5% 6.4–12.3%
Catalunya en Comú–Podem 7.5% 7.8% 6.6–9.4% 6.2–9.8% 6.0–10.2% 5.4–11.0%
Vox 0.0% 6.9% 5.7–8.3% 5.4–8.8% 5.1–9.1% 4.6–9.9%
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 4.5% 6.0% 5.0–7.5% 4.7–7.9% 4.4–8.2% 3.9–8.9%
Partit Popular 4.2% 4.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.7% 2.8–6.0% 2.4–6.6%
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 0.0% 2.8% 2.1–3.8% 1.9–4.1% 1.7–4.4% 1.5–5.0%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Junts per Catalunya 34 33 30–37 29–38 29–39 27–41
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) 17 28 25–31 24–32 24–33 22–35
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí 32 28 26–32 25–33 24–34 22–36
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía 36 12 10–14 9–14 8–16 8–18
Catalunya en Comú–Podem 8 9 7–12 7–13 7–13 5–14
Vox 0 9 7–11 7–12 7–12 5–14
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 4 8 7–10 6–11 5–11 4–12
Partit Popular 4 5 3–7 2–7 0–7 0–9
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 0 1 0–5 0–5 0–6 0–7

Junts per Catalunya

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
25 0.1% 100%  
26 0.3% 99.9%  
27 0.7% 99.6%  
28 1.0% 99.0%  
29 4% 98%  
30 5% 94%  
31 12% 89%  
32 16% 77%  
33 14% 62% Median
34 5% 47% Last Result
35 13% 42%  
36 7% 29%  
37 13% 22%  
38 7% 9%  
39 1.2% 3%  
40 0.7% 1.4%  
41 0.3% 0.7%  
42 0.3% 0.5%  
43 0.1% 0.2%  
44 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
17 0% 100% Last Result
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0.2% 99.9%  
22 0.4% 99.8%  
23 0.8% 99.3%  
24 5% 98.5%  
25 11% 94%  
26 11% 83%  
27 12% 72%  
28 19% 60% Median
29 17% 41%  
30 10% 24%  
31 7% 14%  
32 4% 7%  
33 1.3% 3%  
34 1.1% 2%  
35 0.3% 0.5%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0%  

Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
21 0.2% 100%  
22 0.7% 99.7%  
23 0.6% 99.1%  
24 3% 98%  
25 4% 95%  
26 18% 91%  
27 11% 73%  
28 18% 63% Median
29 12% 45%  
30 10% 33%  
31 13% 23%  
32 4% 11% Last Result
33 4% 6%  
34 1.0% 3%  
35 0.9% 2%  
36 0.5% 0.6%  
37 0.1% 0.1%  
38 0% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%  

Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0.1% 100%  
7 0.1% 99.9%  
8 3% 99.8%  
9 5% 97%  
10 5% 92%  
11 9% 87%  
12 35% 78% Median
13 27% 42%  
14 12% 15%  
15 1.2% 4%  
16 1.4% 3%  
17 0.7% 1.2%  
18 0.4% 0.5%  
19 0.1% 0.1%  
20 0% 0%  
21 0% 0%  
22 0% 0%  
23 0% 0%  
24 0% 0%  
25 0% 0%  
26 0% 0%  
27 0% 0%  
28 0% 0%  
29 0% 0%  
30 0% 0%  
31 0% 0%  
32 0% 0%  
33 0% 0%  
34 0% 0%  
35 0% 0%  
36 0% 0% Last Result

Catalunya en Comú–Podem

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
5 0.8% 100%  
6 1.0% 99.1%  
7 8% 98%  
8 28% 90% Last Result
9 21% 62% Median
10 10% 40%  
11 19% 30%  
12 5% 11%  
13 5% 7%  
14 2% 2%  
15 0.1% 0.3%  
16 0.1% 0.1%  
17 0% 0%  

Vox

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0.1% 100%  
5 1.0% 99.9%  
6 1.4% 98.9%  
7 23% 98%  
8 14% 75%  
9 19% 61% Median
10 18% 42%  
11 17% 24%  
12 6% 7%  
13 0.4% 1.2%  
14 0.6% 0.7%  
15 0.2% 0.2%  
16 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3 0.3% 100%  
4 2% 99.7% Last Result
5 3% 98%  
6 2% 95%  
7 12% 94%  
8 42% 82% Median
9 29% 39%  
10 4% 10%  
11 6% 7%  
12 0.4% 0.8%  
13 0.2% 0.3%  
14 0.1% 0.1%  
15 0% 0%  

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 3% 100%  
1 0% 97%  
2 5% 97%  
3 29% 92%  
4 7% 63% Last Result
5 31% 55% Median
6 11% 24%  
7 12% 13%  
8 0.8% 1.4%  
9 0.5% 0.6%  
10 0.1% 0.1%  
11 0% 0%  

Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 32% 100% Last Result
1 44% 68% Median
2 0.3% 25%  
3 5% 25%  
4 9% 19%  
5 6% 10%  
6 3% 4%  
7 0.6% 0.7%  
8 0.1% 0.1%  
9 0% 0%  

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 70 72 94% 68–76 67–77 66–78 64–80
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem 74 72 91% 68–76 66–77 65–78 64–80
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular 70 70 86% 67–75 65–76 64–76 62–79
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem 57 66 25% 62–70 61–72 59–72 58–75
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català 66 64 15% 60–68 59–69 58–70 56–72
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí 66 61 6% 58–67 57–68 56–68 54–71
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular 65 54 0% 50–58 49–59 48–60 46–62
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular 57 54 0% 49–57 48–58 47–60 46–62
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular 57 45 0% 41–48 40–49 39–50 37–52
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem 40 38 0% 34–42 34–43 32–44 30–46

Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0.1% 100%  
62 0.1% 99.9%  
63 0.2% 99.8%  
64 0.6% 99.6%  
65 0.9% 99.0%  
66 2% 98%  
67 1.5% 96%  
68 5% 94% Majority
69 13% 90%  
70 15% 77% Last Result, Median
71 7% 61%  
72 14% 54%  
73 12% 40%  
74 6% 28%  
75 6% 22%  
76 7% 16%  
77 5% 10%  
78 2% 5%  
79 1.0% 2%  
80 1.0% 1.4%  
81 0.3% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.2%  
83 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
61 0% 100%  
62 0.2% 99.9%  
63 0.3% 99.8%  
64 0.6% 99.5%  
65 2% 99.0%  
66 2% 97%  
67 4% 95%  
68 7% 91% Majority
69 16% 84%  
70 7% 68% Median
71 7% 61%  
72 17% 54%  
73 8% 37%  
74 11% 29% Last Result
75 5% 17%  
76 5% 12%  
77 4% 7%  
78 2% 3%  
79 0.8% 2%  
80 0.4% 0.7%  
81 0.2% 0.4%  
82 0.1% 0.1%  
83 0% 0.1%  
84 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
59 0% 100%  
60 0.1% 99.9%  
61 0.1% 99.9%  
62 0.3% 99.8%  
63 0.7% 99.5%  
64 2% 98.7%  
65 3% 97%  
66 4% 94%  
67 4% 90%  
68 14% 86% Majority
69 17% 72% Median
70 10% 55% Last Result
71 9% 45%  
72 11% 36%  
73 9% 25%  
74 4% 17%  
75 4% 13%  
76 7% 9%  
77 1.2% 2%  
78 0.7% 1.3%  
79 0.4% 0.6%  
80 0.1% 0.2%  
81 0.1% 0.1%  
82 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
55 0% 100%  
56 0.1% 99.9%  
57 0.2% 99.9% Last Result
58 0.7% 99.7%  
59 1.5% 99.0%  
60 1.5% 97%  
61 3% 96%  
62 11% 94%  
63 6% 83%  
64 12% 77%  
65 12% 65% Median
66 14% 53%  
67 15% 39%  
68 4% 25% Majority
69 6% 20%  
70 6% 14%  
71 2% 8%  
72 3% 5%  
73 0.8% 2%  
74 0.8% 1.4%  
75 0.4% 0.5%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0.1%  
78 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
53 0.1% 100%  
54 0.1% 99.9%  
55 0.1% 99.8%  
56 0.4% 99.7%  
57 1.2% 99.3%  
58 2% 98%  
59 4% 96%  
60 8% 93%  
61 12% 85%  
62 13% 72% Median
63 8% 59%  
64 11% 51%  
65 12% 39%  
66 7% 27% Last Result
67 5% 20%  
68 8% 15% Majority
69 2% 7%  
70 2% 4%  
71 1.4% 2%  
72 0.5% 0.9%  
73 0.2% 0.4%  
74 0.1% 0.2%  
75 0% 0.1%  
76 0% 0%  

Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
52 0.1% 100%  
53 0.1% 99.9%  
54 0.3% 99.8%  
55 0.6% 99.5%  
56 2% 98.8%  
57 4% 97%  
58 3% 93%  
59 11% 90%  
60 7% 78%  
61 22% 71% Median
62 7% 49%  
63 8% 43%  
64 10% 35%  
65 8% 25%  
66 7% 17% Last Result
67 5% 10%  
68 4% 6% Majority
69 0.9% 2%  
70 0.4% 1.1%  
71 0.5% 0.7%  
72 0.1% 0.2%  
73 0.1% 0.1%  
74 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.2% 99.9%  
46 0.5% 99.7%  
47 1.2% 99.2%  
48 2% 98%  
49 5% 96%  
50 6% 91%  
51 7% 85%  
52 5% 78%  
53 13% 73%  
54 19% 60% Median
55 15% 41%  
56 5% 26%  
57 5% 21%  
58 7% 16%  
59 5% 9%  
60 2% 4%  
61 1.1% 2%  
62 0.4% 0.6%  
63 0.2% 0.3%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0% Last Result

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
43 0% 100%  
44 0.1% 99.9%  
45 0.2% 99.8%  
46 0.3% 99.6%  
47 2% 99.3%  
48 3% 97%  
49 6% 95%  
50 7% 88%  
51 7% 81%  
52 7% 75%  
53 7% 68%  
54 19% 61% Median
55 14% 42%  
56 12% 28%  
57 10% 16% Last Result
58 1.4% 6%  
59 1.1% 5%  
60 2% 4%  
61 1.3% 2%  
62 0.4% 0.6%  
63 0.1% 0.2%  
64 0.1% 0.1%  
65 0% 0%  

Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
35 0.1% 100%  
36 0.2% 99.9%  
37 0.6% 99.7%  
38 0.9% 99.1%  
39 2% 98%  
40 5% 96%  
41 9% 92%  
42 8% 82%  
43 7% 75%  
44 14% 68%  
45 13% 54% Median
46 14% 41%  
47 16% 26%  
48 2% 11%  
49 4% 9%  
50 2% 4%  
51 2% 2%  
52 0.6% 1.0%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.1%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  
57 0% 0% Last Result

Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
29 0.1% 100%  
30 0.4% 99.9%  
31 0.4% 99.5%  
32 2% 99.0%  
33 2% 97%  
34 9% 95%  
35 6% 87%  
36 16% 80%  
37 14% 64% Median
38 10% 50%  
39 13% 40%  
40 9% 27% Last Result
41 6% 18%  
42 5% 12%  
43 2% 7%  
44 3% 4%  
45 0.8% 1.4%  
46 0.4% 0.6%  
47 0.1% 0.2%  
48 0% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations