Opinion Poll by Feedback for El Nacional, 8–14 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 21.4% | 19.8–23.2% | 19.4–23.6% | 19.0–24.1% | 18.2–24.9% |
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 20.7% | 19.1–22.4% | 18.7–22.9% | 18.3–23.3% | 17.6–24.2% |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 18.5% | 17.0–20.1% | 16.6–20.6% | 16.2–21.0% | 15.5–21.8% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0–9.3% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.1–10.5% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.3–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.1% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.3% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8–7.9% | 5.5–8.2% | 5.3–8.5% | 4.9–9.0% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.6% | 2.1–3.8% | 2.0–4.0% | 1.7–4.5% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 29 | 26–33 | 26–33 | 26–34 | 25–36 |
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 34 | 31–37 | 30–37 | 29–38 | 28–39 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 28 | 26–31 | 25–32 | 24–33 | 23–33 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–13 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 11 | 8–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 6–13 |
| Vox | 0 | 9 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 | 6–12 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 4 | 3–6 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 0–7 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 1 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 7% | 90% | |
| 28 | 12% | 82% | |
| 29 | 22% | 70% | Median |
| 30 | 11% | 48% | |
| 31 | 18% | 37% | |
| 32 | 9% | 19% | |
| 33 | 6% | 10% | |
| 34 | 3% | 4% | |
| 35 | 0.9% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 30 | 5% | 97% | |
| 31 | 8% | 92% | |
| 32 | 11% | 84% | |
| 33 | 17% | 73% | |
| 34 | 17% | 56% | Last Result, Median |
| 35 | 19% | 39% | |
| 36 | 6% | 19% | |
| 37 | 10% | 14% | |
| 38 | 2% | 4% | |
| 39 | 2% | 2% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 41 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 42 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 24 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 25 | 5% | 97% | |
| 26 | 11% | 93% | |
| 27 | 13% | 82% | |
| 28 | 25% | 69% | Median |
| 29 | 19% | 44% | |
| 30 | 11% | 25% | |
| 31 | 6% | 13% | |
| 32 | 5% | 8% | Last Result |
| 33 | 2% | 3% | |
| 34 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 8 | 21% | 96% | Last Result |
| 9 | 37% | 75% | Median |
| 10 | 6% | 39% | |
| 11 | 25% | 32% | |
| 12 | 3% | 7% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 99.5% | |
| 8 | 28% | 99.0% | |
| 9 | 6% | 72% | |
| 10 | 7% | 66% | |
| 11 | 21% | 59% | Median |
| 12 | 33% | 37% | |
| 13 | 4% | 4% | |
| 14 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 99.9% | |
| 7 | 14% | 98.8% | |
| 8 | 27% | 85% | |
| 9 | 25% | 58% | Median |
| 10 | 17% | 32% | |
| 11 | 12% | 16% | |
| 12 | 3% | 4% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.4% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 7 | 4% | 99.7% | |
| 8 | 36% | 96% | |
| 9 | 41% | 60% | Median |
| 10 | 7% | 20% | |
| 11 | 12% | 13% | |
| 12 | 0.3% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.0% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 99.0% | |
| 2 | 4% | 99.0% | |
| 3 | 36% | 95% | |
| 4 | 11% | 59% | Last Result, Median |
| 5 | 35% | 48% | |
| 6 | 10% | 14% | |
| 7 | 4% | 4% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 31% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 47% | 69% | Median |
| 2 | 2% | 22% | |
| 3 | 4% | 20% | |
| 4 | 11% | 16% | |
| 5 | 4% | 5% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 8 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 73 | 95% | 69–76 | 67–77 | 67–77 | 65–79 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 71 | 90% | 67–74 | 66–75 | 66–77 | 64–78 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 72 | 92% | 68–75 | 67–76 | 66–77 | 65–78 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 68 | 51% | 64–71 | 63–72 | 62–73 | 60–75 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 63 | 7% | 60–67 | 59–68 | 58–69 | 56–70 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 66 | 62 | 3% | 59–65 | 58–67 | 57–68 | 55–69 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 65 | 54 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 47–60 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular | 57 | 53 | 0% | 50–57 | 49–58 | 48–59 | 46–60 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 44 | 0% | 41–47 | 40–48 | 40–49 | 38–51 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 38 | 0% | 35–41 | 34–42 | 33–43 | 32–44 |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 1.0% | 99.5% | |
| 67 | 4% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 95% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 92% | |
| 70 | 12% | 87% | Last Result |
| 71 | 9% | 75% | |
| 72 | 15% | 66% | Median |
| 73 | 22% | 51% | |
| 74 | 7% | 29% | |
| 75 | 9% | 22% | |
| 76 | 6% | 12% | |
| 77 | 4% | 6% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 81 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 82 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 65 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 66 | 3% | 98% | |
| 67 | 5% | 95% | |
| 68 | 5% | 90% | Majority |
| 69 | 13% | 85% | |
| 70 | 13% | 72% | Last Result |
| 71 | 11% | 59% | Median |
| 72 | 23% | 48% | |
| 73 | 10% | 25% | |
| 74 | 6% | 15% | |
| 75 | 5% | 9% | |
| 76 | 2% | 4% | |
| 77 | 2% | 3% | |
| 78 | 0.3% | 0.7% | |
| 79 | 0.1% | 0.4% | |
| 80 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 63 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 1.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 2% | 98% | |
| 67 | 4% | 97% | |
| 68 | 6% | 92% | Majority |
| 69 | 7% | 86% | |
| 70 | 11% | 79% | |
| 71 | 15% | 68% | Median |
| 72 | 12% | 53% | |
| 73 | 15% | 40% | |
| 74 | 11% | 25% | Last Result |
| 75 | 7% | 14% | |
| 76 | 4% | 7% | |
| 77 | 1.0% | 3% | |
| 78 | 2% | 2% | |
| 79 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 80 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 81 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 57 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 58 | 0% | 100% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 60 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 61 | 1.3% | 99.4% | |
| 62 | 2% | 98% | |
| 63 | 3% | 96% | |
| 64 | 6% | 93% | |
| 65 | 12% | 87% | |
| 66 | 11% | 75% | Median |
| 67 | 12% | 63% | |
| 68 | 14% | 51% | Majority |
| 69 | 15% | 37% | |
| 70 | 8% | 22% | |
| 71 | 8% | 14% | |
| 72 | 4% | 6% | |
| 73 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 74 | 0.8% | 1.4% | |
| 75 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.5% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 3% | 98.9% | |
| 59 | 4% | 96% | |
| 60 | 4% | 92% | |
| 61 | 13% | 88% | |
| 62 | 13% | 75% | |
| 63 | 12% | 62% | Median |
| 64 | 13% | 50% | |
| 65 | 14% | 37% | |
| 66 | 9% | 23% | Last Result |
| 67 | 7% | 14% | |
| 68 | 3% | 7% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 4% | |
| 70 | 0.5% | 0.8% | |
| 71 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 1.4% | 99.5% | |
| 57 | 3% | 98% | |
| 58 | 5% | 95% | |
| 59 | 5% | 91% | |
| 60 | 12% | 85% | |
| 61 | 14% | 73% | |
| 62 | 16% | 59% | Median |
| 63 | 11% | 44% | |
| 64 | 16% | 32% | |
| 65 | 7% | 16% | |
| 66 | 3% | 9% | Last Result |
| 67 | 3% | 6% | |
| 68 | 0.9% | 3% | Majority |
| 69 | 2% | 2% | |
| 70 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 71 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 72 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 48 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 49 | 3% | 97% | |
| 50 | 5% | 95% | |
| 51 | 8% | 90% | |
| 52 | 12% | 82% | |
| 53 | 19% | 70% | Median |
| 54 | 17% | 51% | |
| 55 | 13% | 34% | |
| 56 | 5% | 21% | |
| 57 | 7% | 16% | |
| 58 | 4% | 9% | |
| 59 | 3% | 4% | |
| 60 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 46 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 47 | 0.8% | 99.5% | |
| 48 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 49 | 4% | 97% | |
| 50 | 4% | 93% | |
| 51 | 16% | 89% | |
| 52 | 11% | 72% | |
| 53 | 22% | 62% | Median |
| 54 | 16% | 40% | |
| 55 | 9% | 24% | |
| 56 | 5% | 15% | |
| 57 | 5% | 10% | Last Result |
| 58 | 3% | 6% | |
| 59 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 60 | 0.9% | 1.3% | |
| 61 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 38 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 39 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 40 | 3% | 98% | |
| 41 | 9% | 95% | |
| 42 | 7% | 86% | |
| 43 | 21% | 79% | |
| 44 | 17% | 59% | Median |
| 45 | 12% | 41% | |
| 46 | 14% | 29% | |
| 47 | 7% | 15% | |
| 48 | 3% | 8% | |
| 49 | 2% | 5% | |
| 50 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.7% | 0.8% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 0% | 100% | |
| 31 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 32 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 33 | 2% | 99.0% | |
| 34 | 4% | 97% | |
| 35 | 9% | 93% | |
| 36 | 9% | 85% | |
| 37 | 22% | 76% | Median |
| 38 | 20% | 54% | |
| 39 | 11% | 34% | |
| 40 | 9% | 23% | Last Result |
| 41 | 8% | 14% | |
| 42 | 3% | 6% | |
| 43 | 2% | 3% | |
| 44 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 45 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 46 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 47 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Feedback
- Commissioner(s): El Nacional
- Fieldwork period: 8–14 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 995
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.71%