Opinion Poll by SocioMétrica for El Español, 13–14 February 2021
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts per Catalunya | 21.7% | 23.2% | 20.9–25.8% | 20.3–26.5% | 19.7–27.1% | 18.7–28.4% |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 13.9% | 20.2% | 18.0–22.6% | 17.4–23.4% | 16.9–23.9% | 15.9–25.2% |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 21.4% | 18.6% | 16.5–21.0% | 15.9–21.7% | 15.4–22.3% | 14.5–23.4% |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 25.4% | 8.0% | 6.6–9.8% | 6.2–10.3% | 5.9–10.7% | 5.3–11.6% |
| Vox | 0.0% | 7.4% | 6.1–9.1% | 5.7–9.6% | 5.4–10.0% | 4.8–10.9% |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9–8.9% | 5.5–9.4% | 5.2–9.8% | 4.7–10.7% |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.4–8.2% | 5.0–8.7% | 4.7–9.1% | 4.2–10.0% |
| Partit Popular | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7–4.9% | 2.5–5.3% | 2.3–5.6% | 1.9–6.3% |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0.0% | 2.6% | 1.9–3.8% | 1.7–4.1% | 1.5–4.4% | 1.2–5.0% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts per Catalunya | 34 | 37 | 33–41 | 32–43 | 31–44 | 30–45 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) | 17 | 27 | 25–31 | 24–32 | 24–34 | 22–36 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 32 | 28 | 25–31 | 24–33 | 22–34 | 21–36 |
| Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía | 36 | 10 | 8–13 | 7–13 | 6–14 | 6–16 |
| Vox | 0 | 10 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 5–15 |
| Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 8 | 8 | 6–11 | 5–11 | 5–12 | 4–14 |
| Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 4 | 8 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 4–15 |
| Partit Popular | 4 | 3 | 0–6 | 0–7 | 0–7 | 0–7 |
| Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 0 | 0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–7 |
Junts per Catalunya
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Junts per Catalunya page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 30 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 31 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 32 | 3% | 97% | |
| 33 | 7% | 94% | |
| 34 | 3% | 87% | Last Result |
| 35 | 9% | 84% | |
| 36 | 9% | 76% | |
| 37 | 21% | 67% | Median |
| 38 | 12% | 46% | |
| 39 | 15% | 34% | |
| 40 | 5% | 19% | |
| 41 | 5% | 14% | |
| 42 | 3% | 9% | |
| 43 | 3% | 6% | |
| 44 | 1.4% | 3% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 46 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 23 | 1.2% | 98.8% | |
| 24 | 5% | 98% | |
| 25 | 8% | 93% | |
| 26 | 27% | 85% | |
| 27 | 12% | 58% | Median |
| 28 | 8% | 46% | |
| 29 | 12% | 38% | |
| 30 | 12% | 26% | |
| 31 | 6% | 15% | |
| 32 | 5% | 8% | |
| 33 | 1.0% | 4% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 0.7% | 1.4% | |
| 36 | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 23 | 1.4% | 97% | |
| 24 | 5% | 96% | |
| 25 | 7% | 90% | |
| 26 | 15% | 83% | |
| 27 | 8% | 69% | |
| 28 | 14% | 60% | Median |
| 29 | 14% | 46% | |
| 30 | 9% | 32% | |
| 31 | 13% | 23% | |
| 32 | 4% | 10% | Last Result |
| 33 | 2% | 5% | |
| 34 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 35 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 37 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 0.4% | 100% | |
| 6 | 3% | 99.6% | |
| 7 | 2% | 96% | |
| 8 | 16% | 95% | |
| 9 | 20% | 79% | |
| 10 | 10% | 58% | Median |
| 11 | 5% | 48% | |
| 12 | 25% | 43% | |
| 13 | 13% | 18% | |
| 14 | 4% | 5% | |
| 15 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 18 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 19 | 0% | 0% | |
| 20 | 0% | 0% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% | |
| 25 | 0% | 0% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% | |
| 27 | 0% | 0% | |
| 28 | 0% | 0% | |
| 29 | 0% | 0% | |
| 30 | 0% | 0% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% | |
| 33 | 0% | 0% | |
| 34 | 0% | 0% | |
| 35 | 0% | 0% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Vox
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vox page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 6 | 1.1% | 99.1% | |
| 7 | 13% | 98% | |
| 8 | 13% | 85% | |
| 9 | 13% | 72% | |
| 10 | 15% | 59% | Median |
| 11 | 23% | 44% | |
| 12 | 16% | 21% | |
| 13 | 3% | 6% | |
| 14 | 2% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.9% | 1.1% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Catalunya en Comú–Podem
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Catalunya en Comú–Podem page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 5 | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 6 | 5% | 92% | |
| 7 | 19% | 87% | |
| 8 | 26% | 68% | Last Result, Median |
| 9 | 26% | 42% | |
| 10 | 3% | 16% | |
| 11 | 10% | 13% | |
| 12 | 2% | 4% | |
| 13 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Candidatura d’Unitat Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 5 | 0.7% | 98.8% | |
| 6 | 1.5% | 98% | |
| 7 | 8% | 97% | |
| 8 | 40% | 89% | Median |
| 9 | 27% | 49% | |
| 10 | 5% | 21% | |
| 11 | 11% | 16% | |
| 12 | 3% | 5% | |
| 13 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 15 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Popular
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Popular page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16% | 100% | |
| 1 | 0% | 84% | |
| 2 | 7% | 84% | |
| 3 | 39% | 77% | Median |
| 4 | 10% | 37% | Last Result |
| 5 | 16% | 27% | |
| 6 | 6% | 11% | |
| 7 | 5% | 5% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 9 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |
Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 54% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 27% | 46% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 19% | |
| 3 | 3% | 19% | |
| 4 | 4% | 16% | |
| 5 | 8% | 12% | |
| 6 | 3% | 4% | |
| 7 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 8 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 9 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 70 | 76 | 98.9% | 71–80 | 70–81 | 69–83 | 66–85 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular | 70 | 74 | 97% | 70–79 | 69–80 | 67–81 | 65–84 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 74 | 74 | 96% | 69–79 | 68–80 | 67–81 | 65–83 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català | 66 | 67 | 46% | 62–71 | 61–72 | 60–74 | 57–76 |
| Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí | 66 | 65 | 34% | 61–70 | 60–71 | 59–72 | 56–75 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 57 | 64 | 16% | 60–68 | 58–70 | 57–71 | 55–73 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular | 57 | 51 | 0% | 47–56 | 46–57 | 45–58 | 42–60 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular | 65 | 49 | 0% | 45–54 | 44–55 | 43–56 | 41–59 |
| Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular | 57 | 41 | 0% | 37–46 | 36–47 | 35–48 | 33–50 |
| Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem | 40 | 37 | 0% | 32–40 | 31–42 | 30–43 | 29–45 |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 65 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 66 | 0.2% | 99.7% | |
| 67 | 0.6% | 99.5% | |
| 68 | 1.2% | 98.9% | Majority |
| 69 | 2% | 98% | |
| 70 | 3% | 96% | Last Result |
| 71 | 7% | 93% | |
| 72 | 6% | 85% | |
| 73 | 7% | 80% | Median |
| 74 | 9% | 73% | |
| 75 | 11% | 64% | |
| 76 | 13% | 52% | |
| 77 | 16% | 39% | |
| 78 | 6% | 24% | |
| 79 | 7% | 18% | |
| 80 | 4% | 11% | |
| 81 | 4% | 7% | |
| 82 | 1.1% | 4% | |
| 83 | 1.3% | 3% | |
| 84 | 0.7% | 1.2% | |
| 85 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 87 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 88 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Candidatura d’Unitat Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 65 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 99.3% | |
| 67 | 1.2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 2% | 97% | Majority |
| 69 | 4% | 95% | |
| 70 | 5% | 92% | Last Result |
| 71 | 10% | 87% | |
| 72 | 8% | 76% | |
| 73 | 7% | 68% | Median |
| 74 | 13% | 61% | |
| 75 | 9% | 48% | |
| 76 | 15% | 39% | |
| 77 | 8% | 25% | |
| 78 | 4% | 16% | |
| 79 | 4% | 12% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 2% | 4% | |
| 82 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 83 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 85 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 86 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | 0% | 100% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 64 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 65 | 0.9% | 99.6% | |
| 66 | 0.9% | 98.7% | |
| 67 | 2% | 98% | |
| 68 | 3% | 96% | Majority |
| 69 | 4% | 93% | |
| 70 | 6% | 89% | |
| 71 | 9% | 84% | |
| 72 | 12% | 74% | |
| 73 | 11% | 62% | Median |
| 74 | 10% | 51% | Last Result |
| 75 | 10% | 41% | |
| 76 | 7% | 31% | |
| 77 | 11% | 24% | |
| 78 | 3% | 13% | |
| 79 | 5% | 10% | |
| 80 | 2% | 5% | |
| 81 | 2% | 3% | |
| 82 | 0.5% | 1.2% | |
| 83 | 0.2% | 0.6% | |
| 84 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 85 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 86 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 87 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Partit Demòcrata Europeu Català
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 58 | 0.3% | 99.3% | |
| 59 | 1.0% | 99.0% | |
| 60 | 2% | 98% | |
| 61 | 2% | 96% | |
| 62 | 4% | 94% | |
| 63 | 9% | 90% | |
| 64 | 9% | 81% | |
| 65 | 10% | 72% | Median |
| 66 | 8% | 62% | Last Result |
| 67 | 8% | 54% | |
| 68 | 15% | 46% | Majority |
| 69 | 12% | 31% | |
| 70 | 6% | 19% | |
| 71 | 4% | 13% | |
| 72 | 5% | 9% | |
| 73 | 1.4% | 4% | |
| 74 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 76 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 78 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Junts per Catalunya – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 0% | 100% | |
| 55 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 57 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 58 | 1.0% | 98.8% | |
| 59 | 2% | 98% | |
| 60 | 3% | 96% | |
| 61 | 4% | 93% | |
| 62 | 6% | 89% | |
| 63 | 12% | 82% | |
| 64 | 10% | 71% | |
| 65 | 15% | 61% | Median |
| 66 | 6% | 46% | Last Result |
| 67 | 7% | 41% | |
| 68 | 17% | 34% | Majority |
| 69 | 5% | 17% | |
| 70 | 3% | 11% | |
| 71 | 3% | 8% | |
| 72 | 3% | 5% | |
| 73 | 0.9% | 2% | |
| 74 | 0.4% | 1.1% | |
| 75 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 79 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 53 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 54 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 55 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 56 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 57 | 2% | 98% | Last Result |
| 58 | 2% | 97% | |
| 59 | 4% | 94% | |
| 60 | 5% | 90% | |
| 61 | 7% | 85% | |
| 62 | 7% | 78% | |
| 63 | 9% | 71% | Median |
| 64 | 21% | 61% | |
| 65 | 9% | 41% | |
| 66 | 5% | 32% | |
| 67 | 11% | 27% | |
| 68 | 7% | 16% | Majority |
| 69 | 3% | 9% | |
| 70 | 3% | 6% | |
| 71 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 72 | 0.7% | 2% | |
| 73 | 0.5% | 1.0% | |
| 74 | 0.2% | 0.5% | |
| 75 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 76 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 77 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Vox – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 0% | 100% | |
| 40 | 0% | 99.9% | |
| 41 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 99.8% | |
| 43 | 0.6% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 1.1% | 98.7% | |
| 45 | 2% | 98% | |
| 46 | 3% | 95% | |
| 47 | 6% | 92% | |
| 48 | 5% | 86% | |
| 49 | 12% | 81% | |
| 50 | 8% | 69% | Median |
| 51 | 12% | 60% | |
| 52 | 14% | 48% | |
| 53 | 7% | 34% | |
| 54 | 9% | 27% | |
| 55 | 7% | 18% | |
| 56 | 5% | 11% | |
| 57 | 2% | 6% | Last Result |
| 58 | 3% | 4% | |
| 59 | 0.6% | 2% | |
| 60 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 62 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 63 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Catalunya en Comú–Podem – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38 | 0% | 100% | |
| 39 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 40 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 41 | 0.3% | 99.6% | |
| 42 | 0.7% | 99.3% | |
| 43 | 1.3% | 98.6% | |
| 44 | 4% | 97% | |
| 45 | 4% | 93% | |
| 46 | 4% | 89% | |
| 47 | 12% | 85% | |
| 48 | 16% | 73% | Median |
| 49 | 8% | 57% | |
| 50 | 11% | 49% | |
| 51 | 9% | 39% | |
| 52 | 8% | 30% | |
| 53 | 7% | 22% | |
| 54 | 5% | 15% | |
| 55 | 5% | 9% | |
| 56 | 2% | 4% | |
| 57 | 0.8% | 2% | |
| 58 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.3% | 0.6% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.3% | |
| 61 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 62 | 0% | 0% | |
| 63 | 0% | 0% | |
| 64 | 0% | 0% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC-PSOE) – Ciutadans–Partido de la Ciudadanía – Partit Popular
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 32 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 33 | 0.3% | 99.7% | |
| 34 | 0.8% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98.6% | |
| 36 | 2% | 97% | |
| 37 | 5% | 94% | |
| 38 | 11% | 89% | |
| 39 | 7% | 78% | |
| 40 | 10% | 71% | Median |
| 41 | 16% | 61% | |
| 42 | 8% | 45% | |
| 43 | 10% | 37% | |
| 44 | 6% | 27% | |
| 45 | 8% | 20% | |
| 46 | 7% | 13% | |
| 47 | 3% | 6% | |
| 48 | 0.9% | 3% | |
| 49 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.8% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 54 | 0% | 0% | |
| 55 | 0% | 0% | |
| 56 | 0% | 0% | |
| 57 | 0% | 0% | Last Result |
Esquerra Republicana–Catalunya Sí – Catalunya en Comú–Podem
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 29 | 1.4% | 99.6% | |
| 30 | 2% | 98% | |
| 31 | 3% | 97% | |
| 32 | 4% | 94% | |
| 33 | 9% | 90% | |
| 34 | 7% | 81% | |
| 35 | 12% | 74% | |
| 36 | 10% | 61% | Median |
| 37 | 14% | 52% | |
| 38 | 15% | 38% | |
| 39 | 9% | 23% | |
| 40 | 5% | 14% | Last Result |
| 41 | 4% | 9% | |
| 42 | 3% | 5% | |
| 43 | 1.5% | 3% | |
| 44 | 0.5% | 1.1% | |
| 45 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 46 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 47 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 48 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: SocioMétrica
- Commissioner(s): El Español
- Fieldwork period: 13–14 February 2021
Calculations
- Sample size: 500
- Simulations done: 1,048,576
- Error estimate: 1.83%