Opinion Poll by Dedicated for MR, 23–27 June 2017

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

Graph with voting intentions not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N-VA 31.9% 27.0% 24.8–29.4% 24.2–30.1% 23.7–30.7% 22.7–31.8%
CD&V 20.5% 17.0% 15.2–19.0% 14.6–19.6% 14.2–20.1% 13.4–21.1%
Open Vld 14.1% 12.6% 11.1–14.5% 10.6–15.0% 10.3–15.5% 9.6–16.4%
Groen 8.7% 12.5% 10.9–14.3% 10.5–14.8% 10.1–15.3% 9.4–16.2%
Vlaams Belang 5.9% 11.7% 10.2–13.5% 9.8–14.0% 9.4–14.4% 8.7–15.3%
sp.a 14.0% 9.4% 8.1–11.1% 7.7–11.6% 7.4–12.0% 6.8–12.8%
PVDA 2.5% 7.4% 6.2–8.9% 5.8–9.3% 5.6–9.7% 5.0–10.5%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

Graph with seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N-VA 43 36 33–38 32–39 31–40 30–43
CD&V 27 20 20–25 18–25 16–26 16–28
Open Vld 19 17 13–19 13–20 12–20 12–22
Groen 10 16 14–19 14–20 14–21 12–23
Vlaams Belang 6 14 12–17 11–17 10–18 9–20
sp.a 18 12 9–14 8–14 8–14 7–16
PVDA 0 7 5–9 5–9 5–10 3–12

N-VA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the N-VA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 0.9% 99.6%  
31 1.3% 98.7%  
32 4% 97%  
33 6% 94%  
34 19% 88%  
35 14% 69%  
36 9% 55% Median
37 10% 45%  
38 26% 36%  
39 6% 10%  
40 2% 4%  
41 0.9% 2%  
42 0.6% 1.2%  
43 0.5% 0.6% Last Result
44 0.1% 0.1%  
45 0% 0%  

CD&V

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the CD&V page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
15 0.3% 100%  
16 3% 99.7%  
17 2% 97%  
18 1.3% 95%  
19 3% 94%  
20 44% 91% Median
21 9% 47%  
22 9% 37%  
23 8% 29%  
24 8% 20%  
25 7% 12%  
26 3% 5%  
27 1.1% 2% Last Result
28 0.8% 1.0%  
29 0.2% 0.2%  
30 0% 0%  

Open Vld

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vld page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
11 0.1% 100%  
12 5% 99.9%  
13 13% 95%  
14 7% 83%  
15 9% 75%  
16 11% 66%  
17 18% 55% Median
18 15% 38%  
19 17% 23% Last Result
20 3% 5%  
21 0.7% 2%  
22 0.7% 1.1%  
23 0.3% 0.4%  
24 0.1% 0.1%  
25 0% 0%  

Groen

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
10 0.1% 100% Last Result
11 0.2% 99.9%  
12 0.3% 99.7%  
13 1.4% 99.4%  
14 15% 98%  
15 28% 83%  
16 8% 55% Median
17 18% 47%  
18 17% 29%  
19 7% 12%  
20 2% 6%  
21 1.4% 3%  
22 0.8% 2%  
23 1.0% 1.1%  
24 0% 0%  

Vlaams Belang

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
6 0% 100% Last Result
7 0% 100%  
8 0.4% 100%  
9 0.7% 99.6%  
10 2% 98.9%  
11 5% 97%  
12 20% 92%  
13 13% 72%  
14 12% 59% Median
15 8% 47%  
16 15% 39%  
17 21% 23%  
18 2% 3%  
19 0.8% 1.3%  
20 0.4% 0.5%  
21 0.1% 0.1%  
22 0% 0%  

sp.a

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the sp.a page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
4 0.1% 100%  
5 0.1% 99.9%  
6 0.1% 99.9%  
7 0.8% 99.8%  
8 8% 99.0%  
9 10% 91%  
10 23% 82%  
11 9% 59%  
12 7% 51% Median
13 22% 44%  
14 20% 21%  
15 0.8% 2%  
16 0.4% 0.8%  
17 0.3% 0.4%  
18 0% 0.1% Last Result
19 0% 0%  

PVDA

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the PVDA page.

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0.3% 100%  
3 0.5% 99.7%  
4 0.2% 99.3%  
5 32% 99.1%  
6 5% 67%  
7 20% 62% Median
8 7% 43%  
9 31% 35%  
10 2% 4%  
11 2% 2%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Coalitions

Graph with coalitions seats not yet produced

Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld 89 74 100% 70–78 69–79 67–80 65–82
N-VA – CD&V – sp.a 88 68 98% 65–73 64–74 63–75 61–77
CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – sp.a 74 65 87% 62–70 60–72 59–72 57–74
N-VA – CD&V 70 57 5% 54–61 53–62 52–63 50–65
CD&V – Groen – sp.a – PVDA 55 56 4% 52–61 51–62 50–63 48–65
CD&V – Open Vld – Groen 56 54 0.8% 50–58 49–59 48–61 46–63
N-VA – Vlaams Belang 49 50 0% 46–54 45–55 45–56 43–57
CD&V – Open Vld – sp.a 64 49 0% 45–53 44–55 43–56 41–58
CD&V – Groen – sp.a 55 49 0% 45–53 44–54 43–55 41–57
Open Vld – Groen – sp.a 47 44 0% 40–48 39–49 38–51 37–52
CD&V – Open Vld 46 38 0% 34–42 33–43 32–44 30–46
CD&V – sp.a 45 33 0% 29–37 28–38 28–39 25–40
Open Vld – sp.a 37 28 0% 24–31 23–33 22–33 21–34

N-VA – CD&V – Open Vld

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
63 0% 100% Majority
64 0.1% 99.9%  
65 0.3% 99.8%  
66 0.8% 99.5%  
67 1.3% 98.7%  
68 2% 97%  
69 4% 95%  
70 6% 91%  
71 9% 85%  
72 12% 76%  
73 11% 64% Median
74 13% 54%  
75 12% 41%  
76 11% 29%  
77 8% 18%  
78 5% 11%  
79 3% 6%  
80 1.3% 3%  
81 0.9% 2%  
82 0.5% 0.8%  
83 0.3% 0.4%  
84 0.1% 0.1%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0%  
89 0% 0% Last Result

N-VA – CD&V – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
58 0% 100%  
59 0.1% 99.9%  
60 0.2% 99.8%  
61 0.6% 99.6%  
62 1.2% 99.0%  
63 2% 98% Majority
64 4% 96%  
65 7% 92%  
66 6% 84%  
67 10% 78%  
68 19% 68% Median
69 11% 49%  
70 8% 38%  
71 9% 30%  
72 8% 21%  
73 6% 13%  
74 2% 7%  
75 2% 4%  
76 1.4% 2%  
77 0.4% 0.7%  
78 0.2% 0.3%  
79 0.1% 0.1%  
80 0% 0%  
81 0% 0%  
82 0% 0%  
83 0% 0%  
84 0% 0%  
85 0% 0%  
86 0% 0%  
87 0% 0%  
88 0% 0% Last Result

CD&V – Open Vld – Groen – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
56 0.1% 100%  
57 0.4% 99.9%  
58 2% 99.5%  
59 3% 98%  
60 1.5% 95%  
61 2% 94%  
62 5% 92%  
63 9% 87% Majority
64 15% 78%  
65 13% 63% Median
66 12% 50%  
67 15% 37%  
68 8% 22%  
69 4% 15%  
70 3% 10%  
71 3% 8%  
72 3% 5%  
73 2% 2%  
74 0.5% 0.7% Last Result
75 0.1% 0.2%  
76 0.1% 0.1%  
77 0% 0%  

N-VA – CD&V

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
48 0.1% 100%  
49 0.2% 99.9%  
50 0.5% 99.6%  
51 0.7% 99.2%  
52 2% 98%  
53 3% 97%  
54 12% 93%  
55 11% 82%  
56 10% 71% Median
57 11% 60%  
58 18% 49%  
59 12% 31%  
60 6% 20%  
61 4% 13%  
62 4% 9%  
63 3% 5% Majority
64 1.1% 2%  
65 0.3% 0.6%  
66 0.1% 0.2%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  
69 0% 0%  
70 0% 0% Last Result

CD&V – Groen – sp.a – PVDA

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
46 0% 100%  
47 0.1% 99.9%  
48 0.4% 99.8%  
49 0.9% 99.4%  
50 2% 98%  
51 3% 97%  
52 5% 94%  
53 8% 89%  
54 11% 81%  
55 12% 69% Last Result, Median
56 12% 58%  
57 12% 46%  
58 11% 34%  
59 7% 23%  
60 6% 16%  
61 4% 10%  
62 3% 7%  
63 2% 4% Majority
64 0.9% 1.5%  
65 0.4% 0.6%  
66 0.2% 0.3%  
67 0.1% 0.1%  
68 0% 0%  

CD&V – Open Vld – Groen

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
44 0.1% 100%  
45 0.3% 99.9%  
46 0.9% 99.6%  
47 1.1% 98.7%  
48 2% 98%  
49 3% 96%  
50 4% 93%  
51 7% 89%  
52 10% 81%  
53 13% 71% Median
54 18% 58%  
55 11% 41%  
56 9% 30% Last Result
57 8% 21%  
58 4% 13%  
59 4% 9%  
60 2% 5%  
61 1.2% 3%  
62 0.8% 2%  
63 0.5% 0.8% Majority
64 0.2% 0.3%  
65 0% 0.1%  
66 0% 0%  

N-VA – Vlaams Belang

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
40 0% 100%  
41 0.1% 99.9%  
42 0.2% 99.9%  
43 0.4% 99.6%  
44 1.2% 99.2%  
45 3% 98%  
46 5% 95%  
47 7% 89%  
48 6% 83%  
49 9% 77% Last Result
50 19% 68% Median
51 17% 48%  
52 12% 31%  
53 7% 20%  
54 5% 12%  
55 4% 8%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.8% 1.1%  
58 0.2% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.2%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

CD&V – Open Vld – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.5% 99.8%  
42 1.4% 99.3%  
43 3% 98%  
44 3% 95%  
45 3% 92%  
46 4% 89%  
47 8% 85%  
48 16% 78%  
49 18% 62% Median
50 16% 44%  
51 9% 28%  
52 5% 19%  
53 4% 13%  
54 3% 9%  
55 3% 6%  
56 2% 3%  
57 0.9% 1.4%  
58 0.5% 0.5%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0%  
61 0% 0%  
62 0% 0%  
63 0% 0% Majority
64 0% 0% Last Result

CD&V – Groen – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
39 0.1% 100%  
40 0.1% 99.9%  
41 0.3% 99.8%  
42 0.7% 99.5%  
43 2% 98.8%  
44 3% 97%  
45 6% 94%  
46 9% 88%  
47 10% 79%  
48 14% 68% Median
49 9% 55%  
50 12% 45%  
51 9% 33%  
52 8% 24%  
53 8% 16%  
54 4% 8%  
55 2% 4% Last Result
56 1.3% 2%  
57 0.6% 1.1%  
58 0.3% 0.4%  
59 0.1% 0.1%  
60 0% 0.1%  
61 0% 0%  

Open Vld – Groen – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
34 0.1% 100%  
35 0.1% 99.9%  
36 0.3% 99.8%  
37 0.9% 99.5%  
38 2% 98.6%  
39 5% 96%  
40 4% 92%  
41 6% 87%  
42 10% 81%  
43 11% 71%  
44 15% 61%  
45 11% 46% Median
46 9% 35%  
47 11% 27% Last Result
48 7% 15%  
49 4% 8%  
50 2% 5%  
51 1.5% 3%  
52 0.7% 1.1%  
53 0.2% 0.4%  
54 0.1% 0.2%  
55 0% 0.1%  
56 0% 0%  

CD&V – Open Vld

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
28 0.1% 100%  
29 0.3% 99.9%  
30 0.4% 99.6%  
31 0.7% 99.2%  
32 2% 98%  
33 4% 96%  
34 5% 92%  
35 7% 87%  
36 10% 80%  
37 17% 70% Median
38 16% 52%  
39 13% 36%  
40 7% 23%  
41 6% 17%  
42 4% 11%  
43 3% 7%  
44 2% 3%  
45 0.8% 2%  
46 0.4% 0.7% Last Result
47 0.3% 0.3%  
48 0.1% 0.1%  
49 0% 0%  

CD&V – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
24 0.2% 100%  
25 0.4% 99.8%  
26 0.7% 99.4%  
27 1.0% 98.7%  
28 3% 98%  
29 7% 95%  
30 14% 88%  
31 9% 74%  
32 8% 64% Median
33 14% 57%  
34 17% 42%  
35 9% 25%  
36 5% 17%  
37 5% 12%  
38 4% 7%  
39 2% 3%  
40 0.9% 1.3%  
41 0.2% 0.4%  
42 0.1% 0.1%  
43 0% 0.1%  
44 0% 0%  
45 0% 0% Last Result

Open Vld – sp.a

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
19 0% 100%  
20 0.2% 99.9%  
21 0.6% 99.7%  
22 2% 99.2%  
23 4% 97%  
24 5% 93%  
25 7% 88%  
26 10% 81%  
27 14% 71%  
28 16% 57%  
29 12% 42% Median
30 12% 29%  
31 7% 17%  
32 5% 10%  
33 4% 5%  
34 0.9% 1.3%  
35 0.3% 0.4%  
36 0.1% 0.2%  
37 0% 0.1% Last Result
38 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations