CD&V
Voting Intentions
Last result: 20.5% (General Election of 25 May 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 16.0% | 13.8–18.2% | 13.4–18.8% | 13.0–19.2% | 12.3–20.1% |
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.1% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.2% | 14.9–19.6% | 14.3–20.4% |
| 25 March–14 April 2019 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
14.7% | 13.4–16.2% | 13.0–16.7% | 12.7–17.0% | 12.0–17.8% |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.2–18.1% |
| 13–17 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad |
15.7% | 14.3–17.3% | 13.9–17.7% | 13.6–18.1% | 12.9–18.9% |
| 19 November–8 December 2018 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
18.7% | 17.2–20.3% | 16.8–20.8% | 16.4–21.2% | 15.7–22.0% |
| 27 November–3 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
14.6% | 13.3–16.2% | 12.9–16.6% | 12.6–17.0% | 11.9–17.7% |
| 20–27 September 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
17.2% | 15.7–18.8% | 15.3–19.3% | 15.0–19.7% | 14.3–20.5% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
15.3% | 13.9–16.9% | 13.5–17.3% | 13.2–17.7% | 12.6–18.4% |
| 26 February–17 March 2018 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
16.4% | 14.9–17.9% | 14.5–18.4% | 14.2–18.8% | 13.5–19.6% |
| 27 February–6 March 2018 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
15.1% | 13.7–16.7% | 13.3–17.1% | 13.0–17.5% | 12.4–18.3% |
| 27 November–4 December 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
14.1% | 12.7–15.6% | 12.4–16.0% | 12.0–16.4% | 11.4–17.1% |
| 11 September–5 October 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
19.4% | 17.9–21.1% | 17.5–21.5% | 17.1–21.9% | 16.4–22.8% |
| 25 August–3 September 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
16.1% | 14.6–17.7% | 14.2–18.1% | 13.9–18.5% | 13.2–19.3% |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated MR |
17.0% | 15.2–19.0% | 14.6–19.6% | 14.2–20.1% | 13.4–21.1% |
| 27 March–11 April 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
18.6% | 17.1–20.3% | 16.7–20.7% | 16.4–21.1% | 15.7–21.9% |
| 16–20 March 2017 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
15.3% | 13.8–17.1% | 13.4–17.6% | 13.0–18.0% | 12.3–18.9% |
| 10–17 January 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
14.9% | 13.5–16.5% | 13.2–16.9% | 12.8–17.3% | 12.2–18.1% |
| 24–28 November 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
16.5% | 14.9–18.4% | 14.4–18.9% | 14.0–19.4% | 13.3–20.3% |
| 14 September–3 October 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
16.8% | 15.3–18.4% | 15.0–18.8% | 14.6–19.2% | 13.9–20.0% |
| 19–25 September 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
17.6% | 16.1–19.3% | 15.7–19.7% | 15.3–20.1% | 14.7–20.9% |
| 2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
15.6% | 14.0–17.4% | 13.6–17.9% | 13.2–18.4% | 12.5–19.2% |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
13.8% | 12.5–15.2% | 12.1–15.7% | 11.8–16.0% | 11.2–16.7% |
| 31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
15.8% | 14.2–17.6% | 13.7–18.1% | 13.4–18.5% | 12.6–19.4% |
| 22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
19.1% | 17.6–20.8% | 17.2–21.2% | 16.8–21.7% | 16.1–22.5% |
| 15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.3–19.1% |
| 3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
15.1% | 13.7–16.6% | 13.3–17.0% | 13.0–17.4% | 12.3–18.2% |
| 28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
17.8% | 16.3–19.4% | 15.9–19.8% | 15.5–20.2% | 14.9–21.0% |
| 22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
18.4% | 16.9–20.0% | 16.4–20.5% | 16.1–20.9% | 15.4–21.7% |
| 9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
16.0% | 14.4–17.8% | 13.9–18.3% | 13.5–18.8% | 12.8–19.7% |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
17.2% | 15.6–19.1% | 15.1–19.6% | 14.7–20.1% | 13.9–21.0% |
| 20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
21.2% | 19.6–22.9% | 19.2–23.4% | 18.8–23.8% | 18.1–24.7% |
| 20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
15.8% | 14.4–17.4% | 14.0–17.8% | 13.6–18.2% | 13.0–19.0% |
| 5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
16.6% | 14.9–18.6% | 14.4–19.1% | 14.1–19.6% | 13.3–20.6% |
| 23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
17.1% | 15.7–18.7% | 15.3–19.1% | 14.9–19.5% | 14.3–20.3% |
| 5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
18.3% | 16.8–19.9% | 16.4–20.4% | 16.1–20.8% | 15.4–21.6% |
| 4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
17.0% | 15.4–18.8% | 14.9–19.3% | 14.5–19.8% | 13.8–20.7% |
| 27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
18.2% | 16.6–20.1% | 16.1–20.7% | 15.7–21.1% | 14.9–22.1% |
| 9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
14.0% | 12.5–15.7% | 12.1–16.1% | 11.8–16.6% | 11.1–17.4% |
| 22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
20.0% | 18.5–21.7% | 18.1–22.2% | 17.7–22.6% | 17.0–23.4% |
| 5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
17.7% | 16.0–19.5% | 15.6–20.0% | 15.2–20.5% | 14.4–21.4% |
| 1–31 July 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
17.7% | 16.2–19.5% | 15.7–20.0% | 15.3–20.4% | 14.6–21.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for CD&V.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10.5–11.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 6% | 99.0% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 15% | 93% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 20% | 78% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 20% | 58% | Median |
| 16.5–17.5% | 19% | 38% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 13% | 20% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | Last Result |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 27 seats (General Election of 25 May 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 20 | 16–23 | 15–24 | 15–24 | 15–25 |
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21 | 20–24 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 16–26 |
| 25 March–14 April 2019 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
18 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–22 |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
19 | 16–20 | 15–20 | 15–21 | 15–23 |
| 13–17 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad |
20 | 16–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–25 |
| 19 November–8 December 2018 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
24 | 21–26 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–28 |
| 27 November–3 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
18 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–22 |
| 20–27 September 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
21 | 20–24 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
20 | 17–21 | 16–22 | 16–23 | 15–24 |
| 26 February–17 March 2018 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
20 | 19–22 | 18–24 | 17–24 | 16–26 |
| 27 February–6 March 2018 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 15–24 |
| 27 November–4 December 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
18 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–22 |
| 11 September–5 October 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
25 | 22–27 | 21–28 | 20–29 | 20–30 |
| 25 August–3 September 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
20 | 19–23 | 17–24 | 16–25 | 15–26 |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated MR |
20 | 20–25 | 18–25 | 16–26 | 16–28 |
| 27 March–11 April 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
24 | 21–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–29 |
| 16–20 March 2017 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–23 | 15–25 |
| 10–17 January 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
20 | 16–20 | 15–21 | 15–22 | 15–24 |
| 24–28 November 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
20 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–25 | 16–27 |
| 14 September–3 October 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
21 | 19–23 | 19–25 | 18–25 | 16–27 |
| 19–25 September 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
22 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
20 | 16–21 | 15–22 | 15–23 | 15–25 |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
17 | 15–20 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 13–21 |
| 31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
20 | 17–22 | 16–22 | 15–24 | 15–25 |
| 22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
25 | 22–27 | 21–27 | 20–28 | 20–30 |
| 15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
20 | 18–21 | 17–22 | 16–24 | 15–25 |
| 3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
19 | 16–20 | 16–21 | 15–21 | 15–23 |
| 28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
22 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
23 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 19–28 |
| 9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 16–25 | 15–26 |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
21 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 19–27 | 17–27 |
| 20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
26 | 25–30 | 24–31 | 23–31 | 21–33 |
| 20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
20 | 18–22 | 17–23 | 17–24 | 15–26 |
| 5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
21 | 19–24 | 18–25 | 17–26 | 15–27 |
| 23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
21 | 20–24 | 19–25 | 19–26 | 17–27 |
| 5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
23 | 21–27 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–29 |
| 4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
21 | 20–25 | 19–26 | 18–27 | 17–27 |
| 27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
23 | 20–27 | 20–27 | 20–28 | 19–29 |
| 9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
17 | 15–20 | 14–20 | 14–21 | 14–21 |
| 22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
27 | 23–28 | 21–29 | 21–30 | 21–31 |
| 5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
21 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
| 1–31 July 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
22 | 20–26 | 20–27 | 19–27 | 18–28 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for CD&V.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 15 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 16 | 8% | 93% | |
| 17 | 8% | 85% | |
| 18 | 5% | 77% | |
| 19 | 7% | 72% | |
| 20 | 38% | 65% | Median |
| 21 | 8% | 27% | |
| 22 | 5% | 19% | |
| 23 | 5% | 14% | |
| 24 | 7% | 9% | |
| 25 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 26 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 27 | 0.1% | 0.1% | Last Result |
| 28 | 0% | 0% |