PVDA
Voting Intentions
Last result: 2.5% (General Election of 25 May 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 5.3% | 4.2–6.6% | 3.9–6.9% | 3.7–7.2% | 3.3–7.8% |
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.7% | 3.9–5.7% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.5–6.2% | 3.2–6.7% |
| 25 March–14 April 2019 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
5.9% | 5.0–6.9% | 4.8–7.2% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.0% |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–7.0% |
| 13–17 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad |
5.5% | 4.7–6.5% | 4.4–6.8% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.6% |
| 19 November–8 December 2018 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
2.5% | 2.0–3.2% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.7–3.7% | 1.5–4.0% |
| 27 November–3 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 20–27 September 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
4.4% | 3.7–5.3% | 3.5–5.6% | 3.3–5.9% | 3.0–6.4% |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.2% | 5.3–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.9% | 4.5–8.4% |
| 26 February–17 March 2018 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
4.9% | 4.1–5.9% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.4% | 3.4–6.9% |
| 27 February–6 March 2018 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.3% |
| 27 November–4 December 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
5.5% | 4.7–6.6% | 4.5–6.9% | 4.3–7.1% | 3.9–7.7% |
| 11 September–5 October 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
5.1% | 4.3–6.1% | 4.1–6.3% | 3.9–6.6% | 3.6–7.1% |
| 25 August–3 September 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.6% | 3.4–7.1% |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated MR |
7.4% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.8–9.3% | 5.6–9.7% | 5.0–10.5% |
| 27 March–11 April 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
4.2% | 3.5–5.1% | 3.3–5.3% | 3.1–5.6% | 2.8–6.1% |
| 16–20 March 2017 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
5.4% | 4.5–6.6% | 4.2–6.9% | 4.0–7.2% | 3.6–7.8% |
| 10–17 January 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
5.4% | 4.6–6.4% | 4.3–6.8% | 4.1–7.0% | 3.8–7.5% |
| 24–28 November 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.3–4.9% | 2.0–5.4% |
| 14 September–3 October 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
3.4% | 2.7–4.2% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.1–5.1% |
| 19–25 September 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.9% | 3.2–4.8% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.3% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
5.1% | 4.2–6.3% | 4.0–6.6% | 3.8–6.9% | 3.4–7.5% |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
4.8% | 4.0–5.7% | 3.8–6.0% | 3.6–6.3% | 3.3–6.8% |
| 31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
4.6% | 3.7–5.7% | 3.5–6.0% | 3.3–6.3% | 2.9–6.9% |
| 22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.6–5.9% |
| 15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.7% | 3.1–4.6% | 2.9–4.9% | 2.7–5.1% | 2.5–5.5% |
| 3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2.9% | 2.3–3.7% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.2% | 1.8–4.6% |
| 28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
4.1% | 3.4–5.0% | 3.2–5.2% | 3.0–5.5% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
3.8% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.7% |
| 9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.8% | 3.0–4.8% | 2.8–5.1% | 2.6–5.4% | 2.3–5.9% |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.3% | 2.6–4.3% | 2.4–4.6% | 2.2–4.8% | 1.9–5.3% |
| 20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
1.4% | 1.0–2.0% | 0.9–2.1% | 0.8–2.3% | 0.7–2.6% |
| 20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–5.0% |
| 5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.3% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.0% | 1.9–5.5% |
| 23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.6% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.7–4.7% | 2.6–4.9% | 2.3–5.3% |
| 5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.8% | 3.2–4.7% | 3.0–5.0% | 2.8–5.2% | 2.5–5.6% |
| 4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
2.0% | 1.5–2.8% | 1.4–3.0% | 1.2–3.3% | 1.0–3.7% |
| 27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
4.0% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.4% | 2.8–5.6% | 2.5–6.2% |
| 9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.0% | 2.3–3.9% | 2.2–4.2% | 2.0–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
| 22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
3.2% | 2.6–4.1% | 2.4–4.3% | 2.3–4.5% | 2.0–4.9% |
| 5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3.2% | 2.5–4.1% | 2.3–4.4% | 2.1–4.6% | 1.9–5.1% |
| 1–31 July 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
3.1% | 2.4–4.0% | 2.3–4.2% | 2.1–4.4% | 1.8–4.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for PVDA.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 1.3% | 100% | Last Result |
| 3.5–4.5% | 19% | 98.7% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 38% | 79% | Median |
| 5.5–6.5% | 31% | 41% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 25 May 2014)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 0–9 |
| 6–14 May 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2–4 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 0–5 |
| 25 March–14 April 2019 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
5 | 3–5 | 2–6 | 2–8 | 2–9 |
| 5–11 February 2019 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–6 |
| 13–17 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Nieuwsblad |
4 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–9 |
| 19 November–8 December 2018 | TNS De Standaard, La Libre Belgique, RTBf and VRT |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 27 November–3 December 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 3–7 | 3–9 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
| 20–27 September 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
2 | 2–3 | 1–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 29 May–6 June 2018 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
5 | 4–8 | 3–9 | 3–9 | 2–9 |
| 26 February–17 March 2018 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 0–5 |
| 27 February–6 March 2018 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
5 | 3–6 | 2–8 | 2–9 | 2–9 |
| 27 November–4 December 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–7 | 2–9 |
| 11 September–5 October 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT–RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| 25 August–3 September 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–7 |
| 23–27 June 2017 | Dedicated MR |
7 | 5–9 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 3–12 |
| 27 March–11 April 2017 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
2 | 1–3 | 0–3 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 16–20 March 2017 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 1–9 |
| 10–17 January 2017 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–6 | 2–9 |
| 24–28 November 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 14 September–3 October 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 19–25 September 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 2–6 September 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
3 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–8 |
| 6–12 May 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 2–5 | 1–5 |
| 31 March–4 April 2016 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2 | 2–5 | 1–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 22 February–9 March 2016 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 15–20 January 2016 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 3–7 December 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 28 September–4 October 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2 | 1–2 | 0–3 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 22 September–2 October 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 9–14 September 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–5 |
| 12–18 May 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 20 April–3 May 2015 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20–24 April 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 5–9 March 2015 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–5 |
| 23–28 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
1 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 5–11 January 2015 | Ipsos RTL TVi–Le Soir–VTM–Het Laatste Nieuws |
2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 | 0–5 |
| 4–5 December 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 27 November–1 December 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
2 | 0–2 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| 9–10 October 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 22 September–3 October 2014 | TNS De Standaard–VRT |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 5–9 September 2014 | Dedicated RTBf–La Libre Belgique |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–3 |
| 1–31 July 2014 | AQ Rate Het Laatste Nieuws |
0 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for PVDA.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 2% | 99.3% | |
| 2 | 32% | 98% | |
| 3 | 24% | 66% | Median |
| 4 | 4% | 42% | |
| 5 | 34% | 38% | |
| 6 | 1.2% | 3% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 2% | |
| 8 | 0.6% | 1.4% | |
| 9 | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10 | 0% | 0% |