Groen
Voting Intentions
Last result: 7.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 7.4% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.1–8.8% | 5.8–9.1% | 5.4–9.7% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.4% | 6.4–8.6% | 6.2–8.9% | 5.9–9.2% | 5.5–9.8% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
7.3% | 6.7–8.1% | 6.5–8.3% | 6.3–8.5% | 6.0–8.9% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.6% | 5.7–7.7% | 5.4–8.0% | 5.2–8.3% | 4.8–8.9% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Groen.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 15% | 99.2% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 43% | 84% | Last Result, Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 33% | 41% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 8% | 8% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9 | 7–11 | 6–12 | 6–12 | 5–13 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
9 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 | 7–12 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 3–12 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 4–12 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 5–9 | 5–11 | 4–11 | 3–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Groen.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 5% | 99.0% | |
| 7 | 11% | 94% | |
| 8 | 22% | 83% | |
| 9 | 31% | 61% | Last Result, Median |
| 10 | 8% | 30% | |
| 11 | 12% | 22% | |
| 12 | 7% | 9% | |
| 13 | 2% | 2% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |