Groen
Voting Intentions
Last result: 7.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 6.6% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
6.5% | 5.6–7.6% | 5.3–7.9% | 5.1–8.2% | 4.7–8.8% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Groen.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 8% | 99.8% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 41% | 91% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 39% | 50% | Last Result, Median |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 11% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 3–11 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8 | 5–9 | 5–10 | 4–11 | 3–11 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Groen.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 4 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 5 | 17% | 97% | |
| 6 | 12% | 80% | |
| 7 | 15% | 68% | |
| 8 | 21% | 52% | Median |
| 9 | 23% | 31% | Last Result |
| 10 | 3% | 8% | |
| 11 | 5% | 5% | |
| 12 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |