Groen

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 7.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 7.0% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.6% 5.1–9.2%
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 6.9% 6.0–8.0% 5.7–8.4% 5.5–8.7% 5.1–9.2%
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 6.5% 5.6–7.6% 5.3–7.9% 5.1–8.2% 4.7–8.8%

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Groen.

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 3% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 27% 97%  
6.5–7.5% 46% 70% Last Result, Median
7.5–8.5% 21% 24%  
8.5–9.5% 3% 3%  
9.5–10.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 8 5–11 5–11 5–11 4–12
18–21 November 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8 5–11 5–11 5–11 4–12
11–17 September 2024 Ipsos
Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM		 8 5–9 5–10 4–11 3–11

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Groen.

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
2 0% 100%  
3 0.2% 99.9%  
4 0.7% 99.7%  
5 10% 99.0%  
6 10% 89%  
7 14% 79%  
8 18% 65% Median
9 28% 47% Last Result
10 7% 19%  
11 11% 12%  
12 0.6% 0.7%  
13 0% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%