Opinion Poll by Ipsos for Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM, 18–21 November 2024
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | 23.9% | 24.6% | 22.9–26.4% | 22.4–26.9% | 22.0–27.4% | 21.2–28.3% |
| Vlaams Belang | 22.7% | 23.5% | 21.8–25.3% | 21.4–25.8% | 21.0–26.2% | 20.2–27.1% |
| Vooruit | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.1–17.1% | 13.7–17.5% | 13.4–17.9% | 12.7–18.7% |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 13.0% | 13.3% | 12.0–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.3–15.6% | 10.7–16.3% |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.2–8.4% | 6.0–8.7% | 5.7–9.0% | 5.3–9.6% |
| Groen | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| Team Fouad Ahidar | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2–0.7% | 0.1–0.8% | 0.1–0.9% | 0.1–1.1% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie | 31 | 32 | 30–35 | 29–36 | 29–37 | 27–38 |
| Vlaams Belang | 31 | 31 | 28–34 | 27–34 | 26–35 | 25–36 |
| Vooruit | 18 | 20 | 17–23 | 17–23 | 16–23 | 16–24 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 16 | 16 | 14–18 | 14–19 | 12–19 | 12–20 |
| Partij van de Arbeid van België | 9 | 7 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 9 | 7 | 5–10 | 5–11 | 4–12 | 3–12 |
| Groen | 9 | 8 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 5–11 | 4–12 |
| Team Fouad Ahidar | 1 | 1 | 0–3 | 0–3 | 0–4 | 0–4 |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 27 | 0.7% | 99.8% | |
| 28 | 1.2% | 99.1% | |
| 29 | 6% | 98% | |
| 30 | 10% | 92% | |
| 31 | 17% | 82% | Last Result |
| 32 | 18% | 65% | Median |
| 33 | 14% | 47% | |
| 34 | 9% | 33% | |
| 35 | 15% | 24% | |
| 36 | 6% | 9% | |
| 37 | 2% | 3% | |
| 38 | 0.9% | 1.2% | |
| 39 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 40 | 0% | 0% |
Vlaams Belang
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vlaams Belang page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 25 | 1.2% | 99.9% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 27 | 4% | 97% | |
| 28 | 7% | 94% | |
| 29 | 12% | 86% | |
| 30 | 16% | 74% | |
| 31 | 20% | 58% | Last Result, Median |
| 32 | 17% | 38% | |
| 33 | 8% | 20% | |
| 34 | 8% | 12% | |
| 35 | 3% | 5% | |
| 36 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 37 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Vooruit page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 16 | 4% | 99.6% | |
| 17 | 10% | 96% | |
| 18 | 21% | 86% | Last Result |
| 19 | 15% | 66% | |
| 20 | 21% | 51% | Median |
| 21 | 13% | 29% | |
| 22 | 6% | 16% | |
| 23 | 9% | 10% | |
| 24 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 25 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 26 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 12 | 2% | 99.7% | |
| 13 | 2% | 97% | |
| 14 | 6% | 95% | |
| 15 | 8% | 89% | |
| 16 | 43% | 81% | Last Result, Median |
| 17 | 24% | 38% | |
| 18 | 7% | 14% | |
| 19 | 5% | 7% | |
| 20 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 22 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 23 | 0% | 0% |
Partij van de Arbeid van België
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Partij van de Arbeid van België page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 15% | 98% | |
| 7 | 34% | 83% | Median |
| 8 | 7% | 49% | |
| 9 | 8% | 42% | Last Result |
| 10 | 29% | 33% | |
| 11 | 4% | 4% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0% | 0% |
Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 3 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 98% | |
| 5 | 12% | 97% | |
| 6 | 30% | 85% | |
| 7 | 22% | 55% | Median |
| 8 | 11% | 33% | |
| 9 | 9% | 22% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 13% | |
| 11 | 4% | 6% | |
| 12 | 3% | 3% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Groen
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Groen page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 99.7% | |
| 5 | 9% | 99.1% | |
| 6 | 15% | 90% | |
| 7 | 12% | 75% | |
| 8 | 20% | 63% | Median |
| 9 | 24% | 43% | Last Result |
| 10 | 7% | 19% | |
| 11 | 10% | 11% | |
| 12 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 13 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14 | 0% | 0% |
Team Fouad Ahidar
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Team Fouad Ahidar page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 100% | |
| 1 | 42% | 89% | Last Result, Median |
| 2 | 29% | 48% | |
| 3 | 15% | 19% | |
| 4 | 3% | 4% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vlaams Belang – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 78 | 80 | 100% | 76–83 | 75–84 | 74–85 | 72–87 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 74 | 75 | 100% | 72–79 | 71–80 | 70–81 | 69–82 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 65 | 68 | 98.7% | 65–72 | 64–73 | 63–74 | 61–75 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vlaams Belang | 62 | 63 | 63% | 60–67 | 59–67 | 58–69 | 56–70 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 58 | 59 | 13% | 56–63 | 55–64 | 54–65 | 53–66 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 56 | 56 | 1.1% | 52–59 | 52–60 | 50–61 | 49–63 |
| Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen | 52 | 52 | 0% | 49–56 | 47–57 | 46–57 | 45–59 |
| Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen | 52 | 51 | 0% | 47–55 | 46–56 | 46–56 | 44–58 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 47 | 49 | 0% | 46–52 | 45–53 | 44–53 | 42–55 |
| Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen | 43 | 44 | 0% | 40–47 | 40–48 | 39–49 | 37–50 |
| Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 43 | 43 | 0% | 39–47 | 39–47 | 38–48 | 36–50 |
| Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 40 | 39 | 0% | 36–43 | 36–44 | 35–45 | 33–47 |
| Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams | 34 | 36 | 0% | 33–39 | 32–40 | 31–40 | 30–41 |
| Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen | 36 | 34 | 0% | 31–39 | 30–39 | 29–40 | 28–42 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen | 34 | 31 | 0% | 28–35 | 27–35 | 26–36 | 24–38 |
| Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 27 | 27 | 0% | 23–30 | 23–31 | 22–32 | 21–34 |
| Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten | 25 | 23 | 0% | 21–26 | 20–27 | 19–28 | 18–29 |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vlaams Belang – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | 0% | 100% | |
| 71 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 72 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 73 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 74 | 2% | 98% | |
| 75 | 4% | 96% | |
| 76 | 8% | 93% | |
| 77 | 9% | 85% | |
| 78 | 10% | 76% | Last Result |
| 79 | 14% | 66% | Median |
| 80 | 12% | 52% | |
| 81 | 14% | 40% | |
| 82 | 10% | 26% | |
| 83 | 6% | 16% | |
| 84 | 7% | 10% | |
| 85 | 2% | 3% | |
| 86 | 0.6% | 1.2% | |
| 87 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 88 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 89 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 67 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 99.8% | |
| 69 | 0.8% | 99.6% | |
| 70 | 2% | 98.8% | |
| 71 | 5% | 97% | |
| 72 | 8% | 92% | |
| 73 | 9% | 84% | |
| 74 | 15% | 75% | Last Result |
| 75 | 12% | 60% | Median |
| 76 | 13% | 48% | |
| 77 | 10% | 35% | |
| 78 | 10% | 25% | |
| 79 | 6% | 14% | |
| 80 | 4% | 8% | |
| 81 | 3% | 4% | |
| 82 | 1.0% | 1.5% | |
| 83 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 84 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 85 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 61 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 62 | 0.7% | 99.5% | |
| 63 | 2% | 98.7% | Majority |
| 64 | 4% | 97% | |
| 65 | 8% | 93% | Last Result |
| 66 | 12% | 85% | |
| 67 | 8% | 73% | |
| 68 | 19% | 65% | Median |
| 69 | 11% | 46% | |
| 70 | 14% | 35% | |
| 71 | 8% | 20% | |
| 72 | 7% | 13% | |
| 73 | 3% | 6% | |
| 74 | 2% | 3% | |
| 75 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 76 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 77 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 78 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vlaams Belang
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 55 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 56 | 0.6% | 99.9% | |
| 57 | 1.0% | 99.3% | |
| 58 | 2% | 98% | |
| 59 | 3% | 96% | |
| 60 | 9% | 93% | |
| 61 | 8% | 84% | |
| 62 | 13% | 76% | Last Result |
| 63 | 15% | 63% | Median, Majority |
| 64 | 15% | 48% | |
| 65 | 10% | 34% | |
| 66 | 10% | 24% | |
| 67 | 9% | 14% | |
| 68 | 2% | 5% | |
| 69 | 2% | 3% | |
| 70 | 0.4% | 0.9% | |
| 71 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 72 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 73 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 51 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 52 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 53 | 0.9% | 99.5% | |
| 54 | 3% | 98.6% | |
| 55 | 5% | 96% | |
| 56 | 8% | 91% | |
| 57 | 14% | 83% | |
| 58 | 13% | 69% | Last Result |
| 59 | 13% | 56% | Median |
| 60 | 10% | 43% | |
| 61 | 10% | 33% | |
| 62 | 10% | 23% | |
| 63 | 6% | 13% | Majority |
| 64 | 3% | 8% | |
| 65 | 3% | 4% | |
| 66 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 67 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 68 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 69 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 70 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 49 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 50 | 2% | 99.2% | |
| 51 | 2% | 97% | |
| 52 | 6% | 95% | |
| 53 | 9% | 89% | |
| 54 | 9% | 80% | |
| 55 | 15% | 71% | Median |
| 56 | 15% | 55% | Last Result |
| 57 | 14% | 41% | |
| 58 | 10% | 26% | |
| 59 | 7% | 17% | |
| 60 | 5% | 10% | |
| 61 | 2% | 4% | |
| 62 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 63 | 0.7% | 1.1% | Majority |
| 64 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 65 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 66 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Partij van de Arbeid van België – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 44 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 45 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 46 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 47 | 3% | 97% | |
| 48 | 4% | 94% | |
| 49 | 8% | 90% | |
| 50 | 13% | 82% | |
| 51 | 12% | 69% | Median |
| 52 | 17% | 57% | Last Result |
| 53 | 13% | 40% | |
| 54 | 12% | 27% | |
| 55 | 5% | 16% | |
| 56 | 5% | 10% | |
| 57 | 3% | 5% | |
| 58 | 2% | 2% | |
| 59 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 60 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 43 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 44 | 0.7% | 99.6% | |
| 45 | 1.3% | 98.9% | |
| 46 | 3% | 98% | |
| 47 | 6% | 94% | |
| 48 | 8% | 89% | |
| 49 | 12% | 81% | |
| 50 | 17% | 69% | |
| 51 | 10% | 52% | Median |
| 52 | 12% | 42% | Last Result |
| 53 | 11% | 29% | |
| 54 | 7% | 19% | |
| 55 | 5% | 11% | |
| 56 | 4% | 6% | |
| 57 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 58 | 0.6% | 0.9% | |
| 59 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 60 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 61 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 41 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 42 | 0.4% | 99.7% | |
| 43 | 1.1% | 99.3% | |
| 44 | 2% | 98% | |
| 45 | 5% | 96% | |
| 46 | 10% | 92% | |
| 47 | 16% | 82% | Last Result |
| 48 | 13% | 66% | Median |
| 49 | 13% | 53% | |
| 50 | 14% | 41% | |
| 51 | 12% | 26% | |
| 52 | 8% | 15% | |
| 53 | 4% | 6% | |
| 54 | 2% | 2% | |
| 55 | 0.5% | 0.9% | |
| 56 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 57 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 58 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 0% | 100% | |
| 36 | 0.2% | 99.9% | |
| 37 | 0.5% | 99.7% | |
| 38 | 1.4% | 99.3% | |
| 39 | 3% | 98% | |
| 40 | 6% | 95% | |
| 41 | 7% | 89% | |
| 42 | 13% | 82% | |
| 43 | 16% | 69% | Last Result |
| 44 | 14% | 54% | Median |
| 45 | 13% | 40% | |
| 46 | 12% | 27% | |
| 47 | 8% | 15% | |
| 48 | 3% | 6% | |
| 49 | 2% | 4% | |
| 50 | 2% | 2% | |
| 51 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | 0% | 100% | |
| 35 | 0.1% | 99.9% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 99.8% | |
| 37 | 1.3% | 99.5% | |
| 38 | 2% | 98% | |
| 39 | 7% | 96% | |
| 40 | 6% | 89% | |
| 41 | 15% | 83% | |
| 42 | 14% | 68% | |
| 43 | 13% | 53% | Last Result, Median |
| 44 | 13% | 41% | |
| 45 | 10% | 27% | |
| 46 | 7% | 18% | |
| 47 | 6% | 11% | |
| 48 | 2% | 5% | |
| 49 | 2% | 2% | |
| 50 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 51 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 52 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 53 | 0% | 0% |
Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 33 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 34 | 2% | 99.4% | |
| 35 | 2% | 98% | |
| 36 | 8% | 96% | |
| 37 | 10% | 88% | |
| 38 | 10% | 78% | |
| 39 | 21% | 68% | Median |
| 40 | 11% | 48% | Last Result |
| 41 | 13% | 36% | |
| 42 | 10% | 23% | |
| 43 | 4% | 13% | |
| 44 | 5% | 9% | |
| 45 | 2% | 4% | |
| 46 | 1.1% | 2% | |
| 47 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 48 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 49 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 30 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 31 | 2% | 99.1% | |
| 32 | 3% | 97% | |
| 33 | 9% | 94% | |
| 34 | 11% | 85% | Last Result |
| 35 | 19% | 74% | |
| 36 | 19% | 55% | Median |
| 37 | 16% | 37% | |
| 38 | 8% | 20% | |
| 39 | 7% | 12% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 2% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.3% | 0.5% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0.3% | 99.9% | |
| 28 | 0.8% | 99.7% | |
| 29 | 2% | 98.9% | |
| 30 | 4% | 97% | |
| 31 | 5% | 94% | |
| 32 | 13% | 89% | |
| 33 | 10% | 76% | |
| 34 | 18% | 65% | |
| 35 | 10% | 48% | Median |
| 36 | 12% | 38% | Last Result |
| 37 | 9% | 26% | |
| 38 | 6% | 17% | |
| 39 | 6% | 11% | |
| 40 | 3% | 5% | |
| 41 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 42 | 0.5% | 0.7% | |
| 43 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 44 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 45 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten – Groen
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.4% | 99.8% | |
| 25 | 0.5% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 1.5% | 98.9% | |
| 27 | 5% | 97% | |
| 28 | 5% | 92% | |
| 29 | 12% | 87% | |
| 30 | 11% | 75% | |
| 31 | 18% | 64% | Median |
| 32 | 11% | 46% | |
| 33 | 14% | 35% | |
| 34 | 11% | 21% | Last Result |
| 35 | 5% | 10% | |
| 36 | 3% | 5% | |
| 37 | 1.0% | 2% | |
| 38 | 0.6% | 1.0% | |
| 39 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 40 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% |
Vooruit – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0.6% | 99.7% | |
| 22 | 3% | 99.1% | |
| 23 | 8% | 96% | |
| 24 | 11% | 89% | |
| 25 | 13% | 77% | |
| 26 | 13% | 65% | |
| 27 | 16% | 51% | Last Result, Median |
| 28 | 11% | 35% | |
| 29 | 9% | 24% | |
| 30 | 5% | 15% | |
| 31 | 5% | 9% | |
| 32 | 2% | 4% | |
| 33 | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 34 | 0.4% | 0.6% | |
| 35 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 36 | 0% | 0% |
Christen-Democratisch en Vlaams – Open Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 18 | 1.5% | 99.6% | |
| 19 | 3% | 98% | |
| 20 | 4% | 96% | |
| 21 | 9% | 91% | |
| 22 | 16% | 82% | |
| 23 | 22% | 66% | Median |
| 24 | 15% | 43% | |
| 25 | 13% | 28% | Last Result |
| 26 | 6% | 16% | |
| 27 | 5% | 9% | |
| 28 | 3% | 4% | |
| 29 | 1.1% | 1.5% | |
| 30 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 31 | 0% | 0.1% | |
| 32 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ipsos
- Commissioner(s): Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM
- Fieldwork period: 18–21 November 2024
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.54%