Partij van de Arbeid van België
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 9.0% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.6–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
5.5–6.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
6.5–7.5% | 5% | 99.8% | |
7.5–8.5% | 27% | 95% | Last Result |
8.5–9.5% | 42% | 68% | Median |
9.5–10.5% | 21% | 26% | |
10.5–11.5% | 4% | 5% | |
11.5–12.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
12.5–13.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 6–14 |
11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 6–14 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
6 | 1.5% | 100% | |
7 | 8% | 98% | |
8 | 3% | 90% | |
9 | 8% | 87% | Last Result |
10 | 49% | 79% | Median |
11 | 17% | 30% | |
12 | 7% | 13% | |
13 | 3% | 6% | |
14 | 3% | 3% | |
15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
16 | 0% | 0.1% | |
17 | 0% | 0% |