Partij van de Arbeid van België
Voting Intentions
Last result: 8.3% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.2% | 9.1–11.5% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.5–12.2% | 8.0–12.9% |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
9.1% | 8.0–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.5–11.1% | 7.0–11.7% |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
8.9% | 8.2–9.8% | 8.0–10.0% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.6% |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10.0% | 8.9–11.3% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.0% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 99.9% | Last Result |
| 8.5–9.5% | 20% | 97% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 39% | 77% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 29% | 38% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 9 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 7–17 |
| 1–9 December 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 7–17 |
| 16–23 September 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
11 | 8–13 | 7–14 | 7–14 | 6–14 |
| 27 May–3 June 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 7–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 6–14 |
| 3–24 March 2025 | Bpact and Universiteit Antwerpen & ULB De Standaard, RTBF and VRT |
11 | 10–12 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 |
| 4–11 March 2025 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
12 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 7–16 |
| 18–21 November 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
7 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–11 | 5–12 |
| 11–17 September 2024 | Ipsos Het Laatste Nieuws, Le Soir, RTL TVi and VTM |
10 | 8–12 | 7–13 | 7–14 | 6–14 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Partij van de Arbeid van België.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0.3% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 1.0% | 99.1% | Last Result |
| 10 | 20% | 98% | |
| 11 | 18% | 78% | |
| 12 | 17% | 60% | Median |
| 13 | 13% | 43% | |
| 14 | 25% | 30% | |
| 15 | 2% | 5% | |
| 16 | 1.4% | 2% | |
| 17 | 0.9% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |