Opinion Poll by Ifop–Fiducial for LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio, 26–28 May 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national (PfE) | 0.0% | 34.0% | 32.3–35.9% | 31.8–36.4% | 31.3–36.9% | 30.5–37.8% |
| Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) | 0.0% | 20.1% | 18.6–21.7% | 18.2–22.1% | 17.8–22.5% | 17.1–23.3% |
| La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.5–16.9% |
| Les Républicains (EPP) | 0.0% | 9.4% | 8.4–10.7% | 8.1–11.0% | 7.9–11.3% | 7.4–11.9% |
| Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.1% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.1–11.5% |
| Reconquête (ESN) | 0.0% | 3.6% | 2.9–4.4% | 2.8–4.6% | 2.6–4.8% | 2.4–5.2% |
| Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 3.4% | 2.8–4.2% | 2.6–4.4% | 2.5–4.6% | 2.2–5.0% |
| Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.8% | 2.2–3.5% | 2.1–3.7% | 2.0–3.9% | 1.7–4.3% |
| Debout la France (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.7–3.2% | 1.6–3.4% | 1.4–3.7% |
| Lutte Ouvrière (*) | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.5–1.2% | 0.4–1.3% | 0.4–1.4% | 0.3–1.7% |
| La France humaniste (*) | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3–0.9% | 0.3–1.1% | 0.2–1.2% | 0.2–1.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national (PfE) | 0 | 32 | 30–34 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 29–36 |
| Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) | 0 | 19 | 17–20 | 17–21 | 17–21 | 16–21 |
| La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| Les Républicains (EPP) | 0 | 8 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) | 0 | 8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| Reconquête (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
| Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Debout la France (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lutte Ouvrière (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| La France humaniste (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rassemblement national (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rassemblement national (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 12% | 97% | |
| 31 | 22% | 86% | |
| 32 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 33 | 28% | 45% | |
| 34 | 12% | 17% | |
| 35 | 5% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0.9% | 99.8% | |
| 17 | 9% | 98.8% | |
| 18 | 22% | 89% | |
| 19 | 45% | 68% | Median |
| 20 | 14% | 23% | |
| 21 | 8% | 9% | |
| 22 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 23 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 24 | 0% | 0% |
La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 11 | 12% | 99.8% | |
| 12 | 20% | 88% | |
| 13 | 22% | 68% | Median |
| 14 | 35% | 47% | |
| 15 | 11% | 12% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 17 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 18 | 0% | 0% |
Les Républicains (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Républicains (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 51% | 97% | Median |
| 9 | 32% | 46% | |
| 10 | 13% | 14% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.8% | 100% | |
| 7 | 26% | 99.2% | |
| 8 | 32% | 73% | Median |
| 9 | 33% | 41% | |
| 10 | 7% | 8% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Reconquête (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reconquête (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.6% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Debout la France (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Debout la France (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Lutte Ouvrière (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lutte Ouvrière (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
La France humaniste (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La France humaniste (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national (PfE) | 0 | 32 | 0% | 30–34 | 30–35 | 29–35 | 29–36 |
| Les Républicains (EPP) | 0 | 8 | 0% | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Debout la France (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Reconquête (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–4 |
Rassemblement national (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 29 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 30 | 12% | 97% | |
| 31 | 22% | 86% | |
| 32 | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 33 | 28% | 45% | |
| 34 | 12% | 17% | |
| 35 | 5% | 5% | |
| 36 | 0.5% | 0.6% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 38 | 0% | 0% |
Les Républicains (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 3% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 51% | 97% | Median |
| 9 | 32% | 46% | |
| 10 | 13% | 14% | |
| 11 | 1.1% | 1.1% | |
| 12 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Debout la France (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Reconquête (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 99.3% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0.7% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.7% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ifop–Fiducial
- Commissioner(s): LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio
- Fieldwork period: 26–28 May 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1122
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.74%