Les Républicains (EPP)

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	10.9%	6.0–12.9%	5.6–13.4%	5.4–13.7%	4.9–14.4%
30–31 October 2025	ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche	6.1%	5.4–7.0%	5.2–7.3%	5.0–7.5%	4.7–7.9%
7 October 2025	Harris Interactive RTL	10.5%	9.3–11.7%	9.0–12.1%	8.8–12.4%	8.3–13.0%
30 September–1 October 2025	Cluster17 Le Point	12.5%	11.5–13.7%	11.2–14.0%	10.9–14.3%	10.5–14.8%
24–25 September 2025	Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio	11.3%	10.2–12.6%	9.9–13.0%	9.6–13.3%	9.1–14.0%
19–20 May 2025	Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio	16.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
19 May 2025	Harris Interactive LCI	15.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
11–30 April 2025	Ifop Hexagone	8.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
23–24 April 2025	Odoxa Public Sénat	9.5%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
2–4 April 2025	ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche	7.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
31 March 2025	Harris Interactive RTL	5.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
26–27 March 2025	Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche	7.2%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
6–9 December 2024	Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio	6.6%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
11–12 September 2024	OpinionWay	5.1%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
6–9 September 2024	Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio	6.4%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
7–8 July 2024	Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL	5.0%	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Les Républicains (EPP).

Voting Intentions	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0.0–0.5%	0%	100%	Last Result
0.5–1.5%	0%	100%
1.5–2.5%	0%	100%
2.5–3.5%	0%	100%
3.5–4.5%	0.1%	100%
4.5–5.5%	4%	99.9%
5.5–6.5%	14%	96%
6.5–7.5%	6%	82%
7.5–8.5%	0.8%	76%
8.5–9.5%	4%	75%
9.5–10.5%	14%	71%
10.5–11.5%	21%	57%	Median
11.5–12.5%	20%	36%
12.5–13.5%	12%	16%
13.5–14.5%	3%	3%
14.5–15.5%	0.3%	0.3%
15.5–16.5%	0%	0%

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Period	Polling firm/Commissioner(s)	Median	80% Confidence Interval	90% Confidence Interval	95% Confidence Interval	99% Confidence Interval
N/A	Poll Average	10	5–12	5–12	5–13	0–13
30–31 October 2025	ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche	5	5–6	4–7	0–7	0–7
7 October 2025	Harris Interactive RTL	9	8–10	8–10	7–11	7–12
30 September–1 October 2025	Cluster17 Le Point	11	11–13	10–13	10–13	9–14
24–25 September 2025	Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio	11	10–12	9–12	9–12	8–13
19–20 May 2025	Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio
19 May 2025	Harris Interactive LCI
11–30 April 2025	Ifop Hexagone
23–24 April 2025	Odoxa Public Sénat
2–4 April 2025	ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche
31 March 2025	Harris Interactive RTL
26–27 March 2025	Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche
6–9 December 2024	Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio
11–12 September 2024	OpinionWay
6–9 September 2024	Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio
7–8 July 2024	Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Les Républicains (EPP).

Number of Seats	Probability	Accumulated	Special Marks
0	1.1%	100%	Last Result
1	0%	98.9%
2	0%	98.9%
3	0%	98.9%
4	0.1%	98.9%
5	12%	98.7%
6	10%	86%
7	2%	76%
8	5%	74%
9	11%	69%
10	15%	58%	Median
11	22%	43%
12	18%	21%
13	3%	3%
14	0.3%	0.3%
15	0.1%	0.1%
16	0%	0%