Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.9% | 8.5–11.6% | 8.2–12.1% | 7.9–12.5% | 7.4–13.3% |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9.5% | 8.5–10.7% | 8.2–11.0% | 8.0–11.3% | 7.5–11.9% |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.2% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.2% | 8.2–10.2% | 8.0–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.3–11.3% |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
9.3% | 8.2–10.7% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.6–11.4% | 7.1–12.0% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
10.5% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.0–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.2–13.3% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9.8% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.4–11.3% | 8.2–11.6% | 7.7–12.2% |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
9.7% | 8.8–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.9–11.9% |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
14.3% | 12.9–15.9% | 12.5–16.4% | 12.2–16.8% | 11.5–17.6% |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
10.1% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
9.0% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.1–11.5% |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
10.3% | 9.2–11.4% | 8.9–11.8% | 8.7–12.1% | 8.2–12.7% |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
11.0% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.3–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
11.7% | 10.7–12.8% | 10.4–13.1% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.7–14.0% |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 13.4% | 12.2–14.9% | 11.8–15.3% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.4% |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.8% | 8.9–10.9% | 8.6–11.2% | 8.4–11.4% | 7.9–12.0% |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.9% |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
10.7% | 9.7–12.1% | 9.4–12.4% | 9.1–12.7% | 8.6–13.4% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 10.9–14.5% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.6% |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
14.1% | 12.8–15.5% | 12.5–15.9% | 12.2–16.2% | 11.6–16.9% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.2% |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12.9% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.8% | 11.1–15.1% | 10.6–15.8% |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
7.7% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.5–9.1% | 6.1–9.6% |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
13.3% | 12.3–14.9% | 11.9–15.3% | 11.6–15.6% | 11.0–16.3% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 9% | 99.2% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 29% | 90% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 31% | 61% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 20% | 30% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 8% | 10% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 7–10 | 7–11 | 7–11 | 6–11 |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
9 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
|||||
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
|||||
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
|||||
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
|||||
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
|||||
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
|||||
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
|||||
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
|||||
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
|||||
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 7 | 11% | 99.0% | |
| 8 | 30% | 89% | |
| 9 | 35% | 58% | Median |
| 10 | 18% | 23% | |
| 11 | 5% | 6% | |
| 12 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |