Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 10.2% | 7.4–13.8% | 6.8–14.6% | 6.3–15.1% | 5.7–16.1% |
| 15–16 September 2026 | Cluster17 Politico |
11.2% | 10.3–12.3% | 10.0–12.6% | 9.8–12.9% | 9.3–13.4% |
| 9–10 September 2026 | OpinionWay CNews |
7.1% | 6.1–8.4% | 5.9–8.7% | 5.6–9.0% | 5.2–9.6% |
| 8–10 September 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9.0% | 8.0–10.2% | 7.8–10.5% | 7.5–10.8% | 7.1–11.3% |
| 8–9 September 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos and Radio Classique |
10.3% | 9.1–11.7% | 8.7–12.1% | 8.5–12.4% | 7.9–13.1% |
| 3–9 September 2026 | Ipsos CEVIPOF, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne and Le Monde |
10.7% | 10.0–11.4% | 9.9–11.5% | 9.7–11.7% | 9.4–12.0% |
| 2–3 September 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
12.0% | 10.7–13.5% | 10.3–13.9% | 10.0–14.3% | 9.4–15.0% |
| 31 August–2 September 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
8.5% | 7.7–9.5% | 7.4–9.8% | 7.2–10.0% | 6.8–10.5% |
| 31 August–1 September 2026 | Cluster17 Le Point |
11.3% | 10.3–12.4% | 10.0–12.7% | 9.8–13.0% | 9.3–13.5% |
| 26–28 August 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.5% | 8.6–10.6% | 8.3–10.9% | 8.1–11.2% | 7.7–11.7% |
| 24–25 August 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.8% | 12.0–16.2% | 11.4–16.9% |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9.5% | 8.5–10.7% | 8.2–11.0% | 8.0–11.3% | 7.5–11.9% |
| 22–24 July 2026 | Cluster17 Le Grand Continent |
10.2% | 9.3–11.3% | 9.0–11.7% | 8.7–11.9% | 8.3–12.5% |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
11.0% | 9.8–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.2–13.2% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.2% | 8.2–10.2% | 8.0–10.5% | 7.8–10.8% | 7.3–11.3% |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
9.3% | 8.2–10.7% | 7.9–11.0% | 7.6–11.4% | 7.1–12.0% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
10.5% | 9.4–11.9% | 9.0–12.3% | 8.8–12.6% | 8.2–13.3% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9.8% | 8.7–11.0% | 8.4–11.3% | 8.2–11.6% | 7.7–12.2% |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
9.7% | 8.8–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.9–11.9% |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
14.3% | 12.9–15.9% | 12.5–16.4% | 12.2–16.8% | 11.5–17.6% |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
10.1% | 9.1–11.1% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.2–12.2% |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
9.0% | 8.1–10.3% | 7.8–10.6% | 7.5–10.9% | 7.1–11.5% |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
10.3% | 9.2–11.4% | 8.9–11.8% | 8.7–12.1% | 8.2–12.7% |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
11.0% | 9.9–12.4% | 9.5–12.8% | 9.3–13.1% | 8.7–13.8% |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
11.7% | 10.7–12.8% | 10.4–13.1% | 10.1–13.4% | 9.7–14.0% |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 13.4% | 12.2–14.9% | 11.8–15.3% | 11.5–15.7% | 10.9–16.4% |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.8% | 8.9–10.9% | 8.6–11.2% | 8.4–11.4% | 7.9–12.0% |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
10.0% | 8.9–11.4% | 8.6–11.7% | 8.3–12.1% | 7.8–12.7% |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
13.8% | 12.5–15.3% | 12.2–15.8% | 11.8–16.1% | 11.2–16.9% |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
10.7% | 9.7–12.1% | 9.4–12.4% | 9.1–12.7% | 8.6–13.4% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 10.9–14.5% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.6% |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
14.1% | 12.8–15.5% | 12.5–15.9% | 12.2–16.2% | 11.6–16.9% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.2% |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12.9% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.8% | 11.1–15.1% | 10.6–15.8% |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
7.7% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.5–9.1% | 6.1–9.6% |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
13.3% | 12.3–14.9% | 11.9–15.3% | 11.6–15.6% | 11.0–16.3% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 9.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
4.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
10.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 3% | 99.7% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 8% | 96% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 10% | 89% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 16% | 78% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 19% | 63% | Median |
| 10.5–11.5% | 20% | 43% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 7% | 24% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 5% | 16% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 6% | 11% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 4% | 5% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9 | 7–12 | 6–13 | 6–14 | 5–14 |
| 15–16 September 2026 | Cluster17 Politico |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 |
| 9–10 September 2026 | OpinionWay CNews |
7 | 6–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 4–9 |
| 8–10 September 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
8 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| 8–9 September 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos and Radio Classique |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| 3–9 September 2026 | Ipsos CEVIPOF, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne and Le Monde |
10 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 9–11 | 8–11 |
| 2–3 September 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 31 August–2 September 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
8 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 6–9 | 6–9 |
| 31 August–1 September 2026 | Cluster17 Le Point |
11 | 10–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 9–12 |
| 26–28 August 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 24–25 August 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
12 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 10–15 |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9 | 8–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 |
| 22–24 July 2026 | Cluster17 Le Grand Continent |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–10 |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9 | 8–9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 7–11 |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
8 | 7–9 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 6–11 |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
9 | 9–10 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 8–12 |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–13 |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–13 | 9–14 |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
9 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 7–11 | 7–12 |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
10 | 9–12 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–13 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
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| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
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| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
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| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
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| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
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| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
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| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
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| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 6 | 5% | 98% | |
| 7 | 12% | 93% | |
| 8 | 15% | 81% | |
| 9 | 19% | 67% | Median |
| 10 | 26% | 48% | |
| 11 | 8% | 22% | |
| 12 | 7% | 14% | |
| 13 | 4% | 7% | |
| 14 | 3% | 3% | |
| 15 | 0.4% | 0.5% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |