Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12.1% | 7.7–14.5% | 7.3–15.0% | 7.0–15.4% | 6.5–16.3% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 12.6% | 11.3–14.1% | 10.9–14.5% | 10.6–14.8% | 10.0–15.6% |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
14.1% | 12.8–15.5% | 12.5–15.9% | 12.2–16.2% | 11.6–16.9% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9.0% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.4% | 7.7–10.7% | 7.3–11.2% |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
13.0% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.8% | 11.1–15.1% | 10.6–15.8% |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
7.7% | 6.9–8.6% | 6.6–8.9% | 6.5–9.1% | 6.1–9.6% |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
13.5% | 12.3–14.9% | 11.9–15.3% | 11.6–15.6% | 11.0–16.3% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
4.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
10.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
9.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
6.9% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
6.2% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
5.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 9.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
4.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
10.8% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0.7% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 7% | 99.3% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 14% | 92% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 12% | 78% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 5% | 65% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 5% | 60% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 12% | 56% | Median |
| 12.5–13.5% | 19% | 43% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 15% | 25% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 7% | 9% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 11 | 7–13 | 6–13 | 6–14 | 6–14 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 11 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12 | 12–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12 | 11–12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
7 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 6–8 | 5–9 |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
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| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
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| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
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| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
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| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
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| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
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| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
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| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 100% | |
| 6 | 7% | 99.7% | |
| 7 | 12% | 92% | |
| 8 | 8% | 81% | |
| 9 | 11% | 73% | |
| 10 | 8% | 62% | |
| 11 | 14% | 55% | Median |
| 12 | 28% | 41% | |
| 13 | 8% | 12% | |
| 14 | 4% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 16 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |