Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 9.0% | 4.5–12.2% | 4.1–12.8% | 3.9–13.3% | 3.4–14.2% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
4.5% | 3.8–5.4% | 3.6–5.7% | 3.4–5.9% | 3.1–6.3% |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
10.5% | 9.4–11.8% | 9.1–12.2% | 8.8–12.5% | 8.3–13.2% |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
9.1% | 8.3–9.9% | 8.1–10.1% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.7% |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.0% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
6.9% | 6.1–7.8% | 5.8–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.3–8.8% |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5.0% | 4.3–5.9% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.9–6.4% | 3.6–6.9% |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
6.2% | 5.4–7.3% | 5.1–7.6% | 4.9–7.8% | 4.6–8.4% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
5.0% | 4.3–6.0% | 4.1–6.2% | 3.9–6.5% | 3.5–7.0% |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.7–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
4.7% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.7–5.9% | 3.6–6.1% | 3.2–6.6% |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
10.8% | 9.6–11.6% | 9.3–11.9% | 9.1–12.1% | 8.7–12.6% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0.9% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 9% | 99.1% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 9% | 90% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 7% | 81% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 11% | 74% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 7% | 63% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 15% | 56% | Median |
| 9.5–10.5% | 12% | 42% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 12% | 29% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 10% | 17% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 5% | 7% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 1.5% | 2% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 8 | 0–12 | 0–13 | 0–13 | 0–13 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
9 | 8–10 | 8–10 | 8–11 | 7–11 |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
8 | 8–9 | 7–9 | 7–9 | 7–10 |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
11 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
6 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–8 | 5–9 |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
5 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
6 | 5–7 | 5–7 | 4–7 | 0–8 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 8 | 7–9 | 6–10 | 6–10 | 6–10 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
0 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–6 | 0–6 |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
11 | 10–11 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 8–12 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 83% | |
| 2 | 0% | 83% | |
| 3 | 0% | 83% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 83% | |
| 5 | 6% | 82% | |
| 6 | 8% | 77% | |
| 7 | 7% | 69% | |
| 8 | 20% | 61% | Median |
| 9 | 17% | 42% | |
| 10 | 9% | 24% | |
| 11 | 5% | 15% | |
| 12 | 5% | 10% | |
| 13 | 5% | 5% | |
| 14 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |