La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 16.6% | 14.9–19.4% | 14.5–20.1% | 14.1–20.6% | 13.4–21.4% |
| 15–16 September 2026 | Cluster17 Politico |
19.5% | 18.2–20.8% | 17.9–21.2% | 17.6–21.5% | 17.0–22.1% |
| 9–10 September 2026 | OpinionWay CNews |
16.7% | 15.2–18.4% | 14.8–18.8% | 14.4–19.3% | 13.7–20.1% |
| 8–10 September 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
16.7% | 15.4–18.1% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.7–18.9% | 14.1–19.6% |
| 8–9 September 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos and Radio Classique |
15.0% | 13.5–16.6% | 13.1–17.0% | 12.8–17.4% | 12.1–18.2% |
| 3–9 September 2026 | Ipsos CEVIPOF, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne and Le Monde |
15.7% | 14.9–16.4% | 14.7–16.7% | 14.5–16.9% | 14.2–17.2% |
| 2–3 September 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
16.7% | 15.2–18.4% | 14.8–18.9% | 14.4–19.3% | 13.7–20.1% |
| 31 August–2 September 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
15.7% | 14.5–17.0% | 14.2–17.3% | 13.9–17.6% | 13.4–18.3% |
| 31 August–1 September 2026 | Cluster17 Le Point |
18.9% | 17.7–20.3% | 17.3–20.7% | 17.0–21.0% | 16.4–21.6% |
| 26–28 August 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
15.2% | 14.0–16.5% | 13.7–16.8% | 13.4–17.1% | 12.9–17.8% |
| 24–25 August 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
17.3% | 15.9–18.9% | 15.5–19.3% | 15.2–19.7% | 14.5–20.5% |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
16.7% | 15.4–18.1% | 15.0–18.5% | 14.7–18.9% | 14.1–19.6% |
| 22–24 July 2026 | Cluster17 Le Grand Continent |
18.3% | 17.0–19.6% | 16.6–20.0% | 16.3–20.4% | 15.7–21.0% |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
15.0% | 13.6–16.5% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.3% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
16.9% | 15.7–18.3% | 15.4–18.6% | 15.1–19.0% | 14.5–19.6% |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
14.3% | 12.9–15.9% | 12.5–16.3% | 12.2–16.7% | 11.5–17.5% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
15.0% | 13.6–16.6% | 13.2–17.0% | 12.9–17.4% | 12.3–18.1% |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
16.0% | 14.7–17.5% | 14.3–17.9% | 14.0–18.2% | 13.4–19.0% |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
13.3% | 12.2–14.5% | 11.9–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.1–15.8% |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
14.0% | 12.6–15.6% | 12.2–16.0% | 11.9–16.4% | 11.2–17.2% |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
13.3% | 12.2–14.4% | 11.9–14.8% | 11.6–15.1% | 11.1–15.7% |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.5–16.9% |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
14.5% | 13.3–15.9% | 13.0–16.2% | 12.7–16.6% | 12.1–17.3% |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
16.0% | 14.6–17.6% | 14.2–18.0% | 13.9–18.4% | 13.2–19.2% |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
12.7% | 11.6–13.8% | 11.3–14.2% | 11.1–14.4% | 10.6–15.0% |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 14.5% | 13.1–16.0% | 12.7–16.4% | 12.4–16.8% | 11.8–17.5% |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
13.6% | 12.5–14.8% | 12.1–15.1% | 11.9–15.4% | 11.4–16.0% |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.5% | 11.3–14.0% | 10.9–14.4% | 10.6–14.7% | 10.1–15.5% |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
11.9% | 10.6–13.3% | 10.3–13.7% | 10.0–14.0% | 9.4–14.7% |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
10.8% | 9.8–12.1% | 9.4–12.5% | 9.2–12.8% | 8.7–13.5% |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 11.7% | 10.5–13.2% | 10.1–13.6% | 9.8–13.9% | 9.2–14.7% |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
11.6% | 10.5–12.9% | 10.1–13.3% | 9.9–13.6% | 9.3–14.2% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
12.5% | 11.5–13.7% | 11.2–14.1% | 10.9–14.3% | 10.4–14.9% |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.4–15.8% | 12.1–16.2% | 11.5–16.9% |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
14.7% | 13.6–15.9% | 13.2–16.2% | 13.0–16.5% | 12.5–17.1% |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
12.8% | 11.6–14.1% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.9–14.9% | 10.4–15.5% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
14.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
15.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
10.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
13.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
12.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
11.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 12.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
12.1% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
15.6% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for La France insoumise (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 5% | 99.3% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 18% | 95% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 26% | 77% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 19% | 51% | Median |
| 17.5–18.5% | 13% | 32% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 10% | 19% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 2% | 3% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 15 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 13–18 | 12–19 |
| 15–16 September 2026 | Cluster17 Politico |
18 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 17–19 | 16–20 |
| 9–10 September 2026 | OpinionWay CNews |
15 | 14–16 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 8–10 September 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
15 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 13–18 | 12–18 |
| 8–9 September 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos and Radio Classique |
14 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–16 | 11–17 |
| 3–9 September 2026 | Ipsos CEVIPOF, Fondation Jean Jaurès, Institut Montaigne and Le Monde |
15 | 14–15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 |
| 2–3 September 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
15 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
| 31 August–2 September 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
15 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 31 August–1 September 2026 | Cluster17 Le Point |
18 | 17–19 | 16–20 | 16–20 | 15–21 |
| 26–28 August 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
14 | 13–15 | 13–16 | 13–16 | 12–17 |
| 24–25 August 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
15 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 13–18 | 13–18 |
| 18–19 August 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
15 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 22–24 July 2026 | Cluster17 Le Grand Continent |
18 | 16–18 | 16–19 | 15–20 | 15–21 |
| 8–10 July 2026 | Verian L’Hémicycle |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 9–10 July 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
16 | 14–17 | 14–17 | 14–18 | 13–18 |
| 8–9 July 2026 | OpinionWay Les Echos |
13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–16 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI and Le Figaro |
14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–16 | 11–17 |
| 7–8 July 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
15 | 14–16 | 13–16 | 13–17 | 12–17 |
| 22–24 June 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| 10–11 June 2026 | OpinionWay Le Journal du Dimanche |
12 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 27–28 May 2026 | Ipsos Le Parisien |
12 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 26–28 May 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
13 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 11–15 |
| 25–27 May 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
13 | 12–14 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 20–21 May 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
15 | 13–16 | 12–16 | 12–16 | 12–17 |
| 28–30 April 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
12 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 |
| 26–27 March 2026 | OpinionWay | 12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 25–27 March 2026 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
14 | 12–14 | 12–15 | 11–15 | 11–16 |
| 25–26 March 2026 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12 | 10–13 | 10–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 |
| 22 March 2026 | Harris Interactive M6 and RTL |
11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 |
| 26–27 February 2026 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
10 | 9–11 | 8–12 | 8–13 | 8–14 |
| 18–20 November 2025 | Verian | 11 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–14 |
| 19–20 November 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
10 | 9–11 | 9–12 | 9–12 | 8–13 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
13 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–15 |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
14 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 12–15 | 11–16 |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
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| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
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| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
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| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
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| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
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| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
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| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
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| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for La France insoumise (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 13 | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 14 | 25% | 95% | |
| 15 | 32% | 70% | Median |
| 16 | 16% | 38% | |
| 17 | 5% | 22% | |
| 18 | 14% | 16% | |
| 19 | 2% | 2% | |
| 20 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 21 | 0% | 0% |