La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 13.1% | 10.0–15.3% | 9.5–15.7% | 9.1–16.1% | 8.5–16.7% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
13.0% | 11.8–14.4% | 11.4–14.8% | 11.2–15.1% | 10.6–15.8% |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
14.0% | 12.7–15.4% | 12.3–15.8% | 12.0–16.2% | 11.4–16.9% |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
15.0% | 14.1–16.0% | 13.8–16.3% | 13.6–16.6% | 13.2–17.1% |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
12.0% | 10.8–13.5% | 10.5–13.9% | 10.2–14.2% | 9.6–14.9% |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
10.0% | 9.0–11.1% | 8.7–11.4% | 8.5–11.7% | 8.1–12.2% |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12.9% | 11.8–14.3% | 11.4–14.7% | 11.2–15.0% | 10.6–15.7% |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
12.7% | 11.5–14.1% | 11.2–14.5% | 10.9–14.8% | 10.3–15.5% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
11.8% | 10.6–13.1% | 10.3–13.5% | 10.0–13.8% | 9.4–14.5% |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 12.2% | 10.9–13.6% | 10.6–14.0% | 10.3–14.3% | 9.7–15.1% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
12.2% | 11.0–13.5% | 10.7–13.9% | 10.4–14.3% | 9.8–15.0% |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
15.5% | 14.5–16.8% | 14.2–17.1% | 13.9–17.4% | 13.4–18.0% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for La France insoumise (GUE/NGL).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 5% | 99.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 10% | 94% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 10% | 84% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 14% | 73% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 18% | 59% | Median |
| 13.5–14.5% | 18% | 41% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 16% | 23% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 6% | 7% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 12 | 9–14 | 9–14 | 9–15 | 8–15 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
13 | 11–13 | 11–14 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
12 | 11–14 | 11–14 | 10–14 | 10–15 |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
14 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 13–15 | 12–16 |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–14 | 9–14 |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
10 | 8–11 | 8–11 | 8–12 | 7–12 |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
12 | 12–14 | 11–15 | 11–15 | 10–15 |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–15 | 9–15 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
12 | 11–12 | 11–13 | 10–13 | 9–14 |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 10 | 9–12 | 9–13 | 9–13 | 8–13 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
12 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 | 9–15 |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
16 | 14–16 | 14–17 | 13–17 | 12–18 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for La France insoumise (GUE/NGL).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 8 | 2% | 99.9% | |
| 9 | 9% | 98% | |
| 10 | 16% | 89% | |
| 11 | 12% | 73% | |
| 12 | 19% | 61% | Median |
| 13 | 25% | 41% | |
| 14 | 12% | 17% | |
| 15 | 4% | 4% | |
| 16 | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 17 | 0% | 0% |