Rassemblement national (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 34.4% | 30.0–36.7% | 29.3–37.3% | 28.8–37.8% | 28.0–38.7% |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
35.9% | 34.3–37.6% | 33.9–38.0% | 33.5–38.4% | 32.7–39.2% |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
34.9% | 33.1–36.8% | 32.6–37.3% | 32.1–37.8% | 31.3–38.7% |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
30.3% | 28.8–31.9% | 28.4–32.3% | 28.1–32.7% | 27.4–33.4% |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
34.2% | 32.4–36.0% | 31.9–36.6% | 31.4–37.0% | 30.6–37.9% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
31.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
30.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
32.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
31.5% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
32.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
35.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
35.7% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 36.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
34.3% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
31.4% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Rassemblement national (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.2% | 100% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 1.4% | 99.8% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 5% | 98% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 8% | 94% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 8% | 86% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 6% | 78% | |
| 32.5–33.5% | 9% | 71% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 15% | 62% | Median |
| 34.5–35.5% | 19% | 47% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 16% | 28% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 9% | 12% | |
| 37.5–38.5% | 3% | 4% | |
| 38.5–39.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | |
| 39.5–40.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 40.5–41.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 32 | 29–36 | 28–39 | 27–39 | 26–39 |
| 30–31 October 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
35 | 33–39 | 33–39 | 32–39 | 31–40 |
| 7 October 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
31 | 29–34 | 29–34 | 29–34 | 29–35 |
| 30 September–1 October 2025 | Cluster17 Le Point |
29 | 27–30 | 26–31 | 26–31 | 25–32 |
| 24–25 September 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial L’Opinion and Sud Radio |
33 | 31–35 | 30–35 | 30–35 | 29–36 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
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| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
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| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
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| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
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| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
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| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
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| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
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| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | |||||
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
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| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Rassemblement national (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 26 | 2% | 99.8% | |
| 27 | 2% | 98% | |
| 28 | 5% | 96% | |
| 29 | 13% | 91% | |
| 30 | 12% | 78% | |
| 31 | 14% | 65% | |
| 32 | 5% | 51% | Median |
| 33 | 15% | 47% | |
| 34 | 9% | 32% | |
| 35 | 12% | 24% | |
| 36 | 3% | 12% | |
| 37 | 1.5% | 9% | |
| 38 | 2% | 7% | |
| 39 | 5% | 6% | |
| 40 | 0.2% | 0.2% | |
| 41 | 0% | 0% | Majority |