Rassemblement national (PfE)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 31.7% | 29.6–33.6% | 29.0–34.1% | 28.5–34.5% | 27.6–35.4% |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
31.0% | 29.2–32.8% | 28.7–33.3% | 28.3–33.8% | 27.5–34.6% |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
30.5% | 28.7–32.3% | 28.2–32.8% | 27.8–33.3% | 27.0–34.2% |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
32.5% | 31.2–33.8% | 30.9–34.2% | 30.6–34.5% | 30.0–35.1% |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
31.5% | 29.7–33.5% | 29.2–34.0% | 28.7–34.5% | 27.9–35.4% |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
32.7% | 31.1–34.3% | 30.7–34.8% | 30.3–35.2% | 29.5–36.0% |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
35.4% | 33.7–37.3% | 33.2–37.9% | 32.8–38.3% | 32.0–39.2% |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
35.4% | 33.6–37.3% | 33.1–37.9% | 32.6–38.3% | 31.8–39.2% |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
35.7% | 33.9–37.6% | 33.3–38.1% | 32.9–38.6% | 32.0–39.5% |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 36.3% | 34.4–38.3% | 33.9–38.9% | 33.4–39.4% | 32.5–40.3% |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
34.3% | 32.5–36.2% | 32.0–36.7% | 31.5–37.2% | 30.7–38.1% |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
31.4% | 29.9–32.9% | 29.5–33.3% | 29.1–33.7% | 28.4–34.4% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Rassemblement national (PfE).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 3.5–4.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 10.5–11.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 11.5–12.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 12.5–13.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 13.5–14.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 14.5–15.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 15.5–16.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 16.5–17.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 17.5–18.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 18.5–19.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 19.5–20.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 20.5–21.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 21.5–22.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 22.5–23.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 23.5–24.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 24.5–25.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 25.5–26.5% | 0% | 100% | |
| 26.5–27.5% | 0.4% | 99.9% | |
| 27.5–28.5% | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 28.5–29.5% | 7% | 97% | |
| 29.5–30.5% | 14% | 90% | |
| 30.5–31.5% | 22% | 76% | |
| 31.5–32.5% | 25% | 55% | Median |
| 32.5–33.5% | 19% | 30% | |
| 33.5–34.5% | 8% | 11% | |
| 34.5–35.5% | 2% | 2% | |
| 35.5–36.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | |
| 36.5–37.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 30 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–34 | 24–36 |
| 19–20 May 2025 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
30 | 29–32 | 28–33 | 27–34 | 26–34 |
| 19 May 2025 | Harris Interactive LCI |
28 | 26–29 | 25–30 | 24–30 | 24–31 |
| 11–30 April 2025 | Ifop Hexagone |
31 | 29–32 | 29–32 | 29–32 | 28–33 |
| 23–24 April 2025 | Odoxa Public Sénat |
30 | 29–32 | 28–32 | 28–32 | 27–34 |
| 2–4 April 2025 | ELABE BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche |
32 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–36 | 28–38 |
| 31 March 2025 | Harris Interactive RTL |
35 | 33–37 | 33–39 | 32–39 | 31–40 |
| 26–27 March 2025 | Ifop Le Journal du Dimanche |
34 | 31–37 | 31–38 | 30–38 | 29–38 |
| 6–9 December 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Le Figaro and Sud Radio |
36 | 34–36 | 34–37 | 33–39 | 31–41 |
| 11–12 September 2024 | OpinionWay | 32 | 30–34 | 30–35 | 30–36 | 29–37 |
| 6–9 September 2024 | Ifop–Fiducial Sud Radio |
34 | 32–37 | 31–37 | 30–39 | 29–40 |
| 7–8 July 2024 | Harris Interactive Challenges, M6 and RTL |
32 | 30–32 | 30–33 | 29–33 | 28–35 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Rassemblement national (PfE).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0.6% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0.7% | 99.4% | |
| 26 | 2% | 98.7% | |
| 27 | 4% | 96% | |
| 28 | 9% | 92% | |
| 29 | 20% | 83% | |
| 30 | 21% | 63% | Median |
| 31 | 16% | 42% | |
| 32 | 14% | 26% | |
| 33 | 7% | 12% | |
| 34 | 3% | 6% | |
| 35 | 1.2% | 2% | |
| 36 | 1.0% | 1.2% | |
| 37 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 38 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 39 | 0% | 0% |