Rassemblement national (PfE)

Voting Intentions | Seats

Voting Intentions

Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 35.6% 33.6–37.8% 33.1–38.5% 32.6–39.0% 31.6–40.1%
18–19 August 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 35.8% 34.1–37.6% 33.6–38.1% 33.2–38.6% 32.4–39.4%
8–10 July 2026 Verian
L’Hémicycle		 36.9% 35.0–38.9% 34.5–39.5% 34.0–40.0% 33.1–41.0%
9–10 July 2026 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 34.8% 33.2–36.5% 32.8–36.9% 32.4–37.3% 31.6–38.1%
8–9 July 2026 OpinionWay
Les Echos		 34.8% 32.9–36.9% 32.3–37.5% 31.8–38.0% 30.9–39.0%
7–8 July 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
LCI and Le Figaro		 35.9% 33.9–37.9% 33.4–38.4% 32.9–38.9% 32.0–39.9%
7–8 July 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 35.0% 33.3–36.9% 32.8–37.4% 32.4–37.8% 31.5–38.7%
22–24 June 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 35.1% 33.5–36.8% 33.0–37.2% 32.6–37.6% 31.9–38.4%
10–11 June 2026 OpinionWay
Le Journal du Dimanche		 34.0% 32.0–36.0% 31.4–36.6% 30.9–37.1% 30.0–38.1%
27–28 May 2026 Ipsos
Le Parisien		 34.6% 33.0–36.2% 32.6–36.6% 32.2–37.0% 31.5–37.8%
26–28 May 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 34.0% 32.3–35.9% 31.8–36.4% 31.3–36.9% 30.5–37.8%
25–27 May 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 33.1% 31.4–34.9% 31.0–35.4% 30.6–35.8% 29.8–36.6%
20–21 May 2026 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 32.0% 30.2–34.0% 29.7–34.5% 29.2–35.0% 28.3–35.9%
28–30 April 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 34.7% 33.1–36.3% 32.7–36.7% 32.3–37.1% 31.6–37.9%
26–27 March 2026 OpinionWay 37.9% 36.0–39.9% 35.4–40.5% 35.0–41.0% 34.1–41.9%
25–27 March 2026 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 37.4% 35.8–39.0% 35.3–39.5% 34.9–39.9% 34.2–40.7%
25–26 March 2026 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 36.0% 34.1–38.0% 33.6–38.6% 33.1–39.0% 32.2–40.0%
22 March 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 35.1% 33.2–37.0% 32.6–37.6% 32.2–38.1% 31.3–39.0%
26–27 February 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 36.5% 34.7–38.4% 34.2–38.9% 33.8–39.4% 32.9–40.3%
18–20 November 2025 Verian 35.7% 33.7–37.7% 33.2–38.3% 32.7–38.8% 31.7–39.8%
19–20 November 2025 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 35.5% 33.7–37.3% 33.2–37.8% 32.8–38.3% 31.9–39.2%
30–31 October 2025 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 35.9% 34.3–37.6% 33.9–38.0% 33.5–38.4% 32.7–39.2%
7 October 2025 Harris Interactive
RTL		 34.9% 33.1–36.8% 32.6–37.3% 32.1–37.8% 31.3–38.7%
30 September–1 October 2025 Cluster17
Le Point		 30.3% 28.8–31.9% 28.4–32.3% 28.1–32.7% 27.4–33.4%
24–25 September 2025 Ifop–Fiducial
L’Opinion and Sud Radio		 34.1% 32.4–36.0% 31.9–36.6% 31.4–37.0% 30.6–37.9%
19–20 May 2025 Ifop–Fiducial
Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 31.0% N/A N/A N/A N/A
19 May 2025 Harris Interactive
LCI		 30.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–30 April 2025 Ifop
Hexagone		 32.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
23–24 April 2025 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 31.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
2–4 April 2025 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 32.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
31 March 2025 Harris Interactive
RTL		 35.5% N/A N/A N/A N/A
26–27 March 2025 Ifop
Le Journal du Dimanche		 35.4% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 December 2024 Ifop–Fiducial
Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 35.7% N/A N/A N/A N/A
11–12 September 2024 OpinionWay 36.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A
6–9 September 2024 Ifop–Fiducial
Sud Radio		 34.2% N/A N/A N/A N/A
7–8 July 2024 Harris Interactive
Challenges, M6 and RTL		 31.3% N/A N/A N/A N/A

Probability Mass Function

The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Rassemblement national (PfE).

Voting Intentions Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0.0–0.5% 0% 100% Last Result
0.5–1.5% 0% 100%  
1.5–2.5% 0% 100%  
2.5–3.5% 0% 100%  
3.5–4.5% 0% 100%  
4.5–5.5% 0% 100%  
5.5–6.5% 0% 100%  
6.5–7.5% 0% 100%  
7.5–8.5% 0% 100%  
8.5–9.5% 0% 100%  
9.5–10.5% 0% 100%  
10.5–11.5% 0% 100%  
11.5–12.5% 0% 100%  
12.5–13.5% 0% 100%  
13.5–14.5% 0% 100%  
14.5–15.5% 0% 100%  
15.5–16.5% 0% 100%  
16.5–17.5% 0% 100%  
17.5–18.5% 0% 100%  
18.5–19.5% 0% 100%  
19.5–20.5% 0% 100%  
20.5–21.5% 0% 100%  
21.5–22.5% 0% 100%  
22.5–23.5% 0% 100%  
23.5–24.5% 0% 100%  
24.5–25.5% 0% 100%  
25.5–26.5% 0% 100%  
26.5–27.5% 0% 100%  
27.5–28.5% 0% 100%  
28.5–29.5% 0% 100%  
29.5–30.5% 0.1% 100%  
30.5–31.5% 0.4% 99.9%  
31.5–32.5% 2% 99.6%  
32.5–33.5% 7% 98%  
33.5–34.5% 16% 91%  
34.5–35.5% 23% 75%  
35.5–36.5% 23% 53% Median
36.5–37.5% 16% 30%  
37.5–38.5% 9% 13%  
38.5–39.5% 3% 5%  
39.5–40.5% 1.0% 1.2%  
40.5–41.5% 0.2% 0.2%  
41.5–42.5% 0% 0%  

Seats

Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)

Confidence Intervals

Period Polling firm/Commissioner(s) Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
N/A Poll Average 33 30–35 30–35 29–36 28–37
18–19 August 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 33 32–35 32–36 31–36 31–37
8–10 July 2026 Verian
L’Hémicycle		 32 30–34 30–34 29–35 29–35
9–10 July 2026 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 33 31–34 31–34 30–35 30–36
8–9 July 2026 OpinionWay
Les Echos		 32 29–34 29–34 28–34 28–35
7–8 July 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
LCI and Le Figaro		 34 32–35 31–36 31–37 30–37
7–8 July 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 32 31–33 30–35 30–35 29–36
22–24 June 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 33 30–34 30–34 29–34 29–35
10–11 June 2026 OpinionWay
Le Journal du Dimanche		 32 30–34 29–34 29–35 28–35
27–28 May 2026 Ipsos
Le Parisien		 33 31–35 31–35 30–35 30–36
26–28 May 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 32 30–34 30–35 29–35 29–36
25–27 May 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 30 28–32 28–33 27–34 27–34
20–21 May 2026 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 30 27–31 27–32 27–32 26–34
28–30 April 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 34 31–34 30–34 30–34 29–35
26–27 March 2026 OpinionWay 32 30–34 30–35 29–36 29–36
25–27 March 2026 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 37 36–39 36–40 35–40 34–40
25–26 March 2026 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 35 31–38 31–38 31–39 29–40
22 March 2026 Harris Interactive
M6 and RTL		 33 30–35 29–36 28–36 28–37
26–27 February 2026 Ifop–Fiducial
Le Figaro and Sud Radio		 36 34–38 34–40 33–40 31–40
18–20 November 2025 Verian 33 31–36 30–37 30–37 29–38
19–20 November 2025 Odoxa
Public Sénat		 33 31–35 30–35 30–35 29–36
30–31 October 2025 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		 35 33–39 33–39 32–39 31–40
7 October 2025 Harris Interactive
RTL		 31 29–34 29–34 29–34 29–35
30 September–1 October 2025 Cluster17
Le Point		 29 27–30 26–31 26–31 25–32
24–25 September 2025 Ifop–Fiducial
L’Opinion and Sud Radio		 33 31–35 30–35 30–35 29–36
19–20 May 2025 Ifop–Fiducial
Le Figaro and Sud Radio		          
19 May 2025 Harris Interactive
LCI		          
11–30 April 2025 Ifop
Hexagone		          
23–24 April 2025 Odoxa
Public Sénat		          
2–4 April 2025 ELABE
BFMTV and La Tribune Dimanche		          
31 March 2025 Harris Interactive
RTL		          
26–27 March 2025 Ifop
Le Journal du Dimanche		          
6–9 December 2024 Ifop–Fiducial
Le Figaro and Sud Radio		          
11–12 September 2024 OpinionWay          
6–9 September 2024 Ifop–Fiducial
Sud Radio		          
7–8 July 2024 Harris Interactive
Challenges, M6 and RTL		          

Probability Mass Function

Graph with seats probability mass function not yet produced

The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Rassemblement national (PfE).

Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 0% 100%  
12 0% 100%  
13 0% 100%  
14 0% 100%  
15 0% 100%  
16 0% 100%  
17 0% 100%  
18 0% 100%  
19 0% 100%  
20 0% 100%  
21 0% 100%  
22 0% 100%  
23 0% 100%  
24 0% 100%  
25 0% 100%  
26 0% 100%  
27 0.1% 100%  
28 0.6% 99.9%  
29 4% 99.3%  
30 7% 96%  
31 11% 89%  
32 23% 78%  
33 26% 55% Median
34 16% 30%  
35 10% 13%  
36 3% 4%  
37 0.6% 0.8%  
38 0.1% 0.1%  
39 0% 0%