Opinion Poll by Ifop–Fiducial for LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio, 22–24 June 2026
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Poll Result | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national (PfE) | 0.0% | 35.1% | 33.5–36.8% | 33.0–37.2% | 32.6–37.6% | 31.9–38.4% |
| Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) | 0.0% | 18.9% | 17.6–20.3% | 17.2–20.6% | 16.9–21.0% | 16.3–21.7% |
| La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 13.3% | 12.2–14.5% | 11.9–14.8% | 11.6–15.2% | 11.1–15.8% |
| Les Républicains (EPP) | 0.0% | 10.7% | 9.7–11.8% | 9.4–12.1% | 9.2–12.4% | 8.7–12.9% |
| Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) | 0.0% | 9.7% | 8.8–10.8% | 8.5–11.1% | 8.3–11.4% | 7.9–11.9% |
| Reconquête (ESN) | 0.0% | 4.4% | 3.8–5.2% | 3.6–5.5% | 3.5–5.7% | 3.2–6.1% |
| Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) | 0.0% | 2.5% | 2.1–3.2% | 2.0–3.4% | 1.8–3.5% | 1.6–3.8% |
| Debout la France (ECR) | 0.0% | 2.3% | 1.9–2.9% | 1.8–3.1% | 1.7–3.3% | 1.5–3.6% |
| Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) | 0.0% | 2.1% | 1.7–2.7% | 1.6–2.9% | 1.5–3.0% | 1.3–3.3% |
| Lutte Ouvrière (*) | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.7–1.3% | 0.6–1.5% | 0.5–1.6% | 0.4–1.8% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats
Confidence Intervals
| Party | Last Result | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national (PfE) | 0 | 33 | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–34 | 29–35 |
| Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) | 0 | 17 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 16–19 | 15–20 |
| La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 12 | 11–13 | 11–13 | 10–14 | 10–14 |
| Les Républicains (EPP) | 0 | 9 | 9–10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) | 0 | 9 | 8–10 | 7–10 | 7–10 | 7–11 |
| Reconquête (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Debout la France (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lutte Ouvrière (*) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rassemblement national (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Rassemblement national (PfE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 4% | 100% | |
| 30 | 7% | 96% | |
| 31 | 9% | 90% | |
| 32 | 19% | 80% | |
| 33 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 34 | 33% | 35% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Renaissance–Mouvement démocrate–Horizons (RE) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 15 | 2% | 99.5% | |
| 16 | 10% | 98% | |
| 17 | 48% | 88% | Median |
| 18 | 23% | 40% | |
| 19 | 14% | 17% | |
| 20 | 2% | 2% | |
| 21 | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 22 | 0% | 0% |
La France insoumise (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the La France insoumise (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 3% | 100% | |
| 11 | 15% | 97% | |
| 12 | 64% | 82% | Median |
| 13 | 14% | 18% | |
| 14 | 4% | 4% | |
| 15 | 0.1% | 0.2% | |
| 16 | 0% | 0% |
Les Républicains (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Républicains (EPP) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 65% | 95% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 30% | |
| 11 | 9% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti socialiste–Place Publique (S&D) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0.1% | 100% | |
| 7 | 5% | 99.9% | |
| 8 | 31% | 95% | |
| 9 | 51% | 63% | Median |
| 10 | 12% | 12% | |
| 11 | 0.5% | 0.5% | |
| 12 | 0% | 0% |
Reconquête (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Reconquête (ESN) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 20% | |
| 2 | 0% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0% | 20% | |
| 4 | 15% | 20% | |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Les Écologistes – Europe Écologie Les Verts (Greens/EFA) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Debout la France (ECR)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Debout la France (ECR) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Parti communiste français (GUE/NGL) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Lutte Ouvrière (*)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Lutte Ouvrière (*) page.
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Coalitions
Confidence Intervals
| Coalition | Last Result | Median | Majority? | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rassemblement national (PfE) | 0 | 33 | 0% | 30–34 | 30–34 | 29–34 | 29–35 |
| Les Républicains (EPP) | 0 | 9 | 0% | 9–10 | 9–11 | 8–11 | 7–12 |
| Reconquête (ESN) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0–4 | 0–5 | 0–5 | 0–5 |
| Debout la France (ECR) | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Rassemblement national (PfE)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0% | 100% | |
| 8 | 0% | 100% | |
| 9 | 0% | 100% | |
| 10 | 0% | 100% | |
| 11 | 0% | 100% | |
| 12 | 0% | 100% | |
| 13 | 0% | 100% | |
| 14 | 0% | 100% | |
| 15 | 0% | 100% | |
| 16 | 0% | 100% | |
| 17 | 0% | 100% | |
| 18 | 0% | 100% | |
| 19 | 0% | 100% | |
| 20 | 0% | 100% | |
| 21 | 0% | 100% | |
| 22 | 0% | 100% | |
| 23 | 0% | 100% | |
| 24 | 0% | 100% | |
| 25 | 0% | 100% | |
| 26 | 0% | 100% | |
| 27 | 0% | 100% | |
| 28 | 0% | 100% | |
| 29 | 4% | 100% | |
| 30 | 7% | 96% | |
| 31 | 9% | 90% | |
| 32 | 19% | 80% | |
| 33 | 27% | 62% | Median |
| 34 | 33% | 35% | |
| 35 | 1.3% | 2% | |
| 36 | 0.3% | 0.3% | |
| 37 | 0% | 0% |
Les Républicains (EPP)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 1 | 0% | 100% | |
| 2 | 0% | 100% | |
| 3 | 0% | 100% | |
| 4 | 0% | 100% | |
| 5 | 0% | 100% | |
| 6 | 0% | 100% | |
| 7 | 0.5% | 100% | |
| 8 | 4% | 99.5% | |
| 9 | 65% | 95% | Median |
| 10 | 20% | 30% | |
| 11 | 9% | 10% | |
| 12 | 0.6% | 0.6% | |
| 13 | 0% | 0% |
Reconquête (ESN)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 80% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 0% | 20% | |
| 2 | 0% | 20% | |
| 3 | 0% | 20% | |
| 4 | 15% | 20% | |
| 5 | 5% | 5% | |
| 6 | 0% | 0% |
Debout la France (ECR)
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 100% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
Technical Information
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Ifop–Fiducial
- Commissioner(s): LCI, Le Figaro and Sud Radio
- Fieldwork period: 22–24 June 2026
Calculations
- Sample size: 1416
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 1.62%