Opinion Poll by Nézőpont Intézet, 9–11 September 2024

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0.0% 46.4% 44.3–48.5% 43.8–49.0% 43.3–49.6% 42.3–50.5%
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0.0% 36.1% 34.1–38.1% 33.6–38.7% 33.1–39.2% 32.2–40.1%
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0.0% 5.2% 4.3–6.2% 4.1–6.5% 3.9–6.7% 3.6–7.3%
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0.0% 4.3% 3.6–5.3% 3.4–5.6% 3.2–5.8% 2.9–6.3%
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–5.1% 3.2–5.3% 3.0–5.6% 2.7–6.1%
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) 0.0% 1.0% 0.7–1.6% 0.6–1.8% 0.6–1.9% 0.4–2.2%
Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 0.8% 0.5–1.3% 0.5–1.5% 0.4–1.6% 0.3–1.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 11 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 9 8–9 8–10 8–10 8–10
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 1 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 5% 100%  
11 53% 95% Median, Majority
12 40% 42%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0.4% 100%  
8 30% 99.6%  
9 64% 69% Median
10 5% 5%  
11 0% 0% Majority

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100% Last Result
1 59% 59% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 82% 100% Last Result, Median
1 18% 18%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 90% 100% Last Result, Median
1 10% 10%  
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Párbeszéd (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 11 95% 11–12 10–12 10–12 10–13
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 1 0% 0–1 0–1 0–1 0–1

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 5% 100%  
11 53% 95% Median, Majority
12 40% 42%  
13 2% 2%  
14 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 41% 100% Last Result
1 59% 59% Median
2 0.1% 0.1%  
3 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations