Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 3.9% | 2.9–4.8% | 2.7–5.0% | 2.5–5.3% | 2.1–5.7% |
11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 3.9% | 3.4–4.7% | 3.2–4.9% | 3.1–5.0% | 2.8–5.4% |
16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 4.0% | 3.4–5.1% | 3.2–5.3% | 3.0–5.6% | 2.7–6.1% |
3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 3.4% | 2.8–4.3% | 2.6–4.5% | 2.4–4.7% | 2.2–5.2% |
28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 4.6% | 3.9–5.6% | 3.6–5.9% | 3.5–6.1% | 3.1–6.6% |
3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 3.0% | 2.5–3.7% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.0% | 2.0–4.3% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA).
Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
0.5–1.5% | 0% | 100% | |
1.5–2.5% | 3% | 100% | |
2.5–3.5% | 28% | 97% | |
3.5–4.5% | 52% | 68% | Median |
4.5–5.5% | 15% | 16% | |
5.5–6.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
6.5–7.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 |
28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA).
Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
---|---|---|---|
0 | 95% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
1 | 5% | 5% | |
2 | 0% | 0% |