Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)
Voting Intentions
Last result: 0.0% (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 3.1% | 1.8–6.4% | 1.6–7.2% | 1.5–7.7% | 1.2–8.5% |
| 13–16 October 2025 | Alapjogokért Központ | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 6–13 October 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 3–10 October 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 6–7 October 2025 | XXI. Század Intézet | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 30 September–7 October 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 25 September–1 October 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 10–14 September 2025 | McLaughlin & Associates Index |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 8–12 September 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 8–10 September 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 31 August–6 September 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 28 August–4 September 2025 | Medián HVG |
2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 29 August–3 September 2025 | Závecz Research | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 27–31 August 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 2.0% | 1.5–2.7% | 1.4–2.9% | 1.3–3.1% | 1.1–3.4% |
| 21–27 August 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 18–19 August 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 31 July–7 August 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 1–6 August 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
7.8% | 6.8–9.0% | 6.5–9.3% | 6.3–9.6% | 5.8–10.2% |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 1–8 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet 24.hu |
6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 30 June–1 July 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 19–27 June 2025 | Závecz Research | 5.0% | 4.3–5.8% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 24–27 June 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont 24.hu |
5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 23–25 June 2025 | Publicus Research | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 16–17 June 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 3–7 June 2025 | Medián HVG |
3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 28 May–3 June 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 5.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 15–23 May 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 6.0% | 5.3–6.9% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.3% | 4.6–7.8% |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Publicus Research | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 9–18 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 7.0% | 6.2–7.9% | 6.0–8.2% | 5.8–8.4% | 5.5–8.9% |
| 3–9 April 2025 | Publicus Research | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 1–7 April 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 26 March–1 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 7.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 16–25 March 2025 | Závecz Research | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 5–11 March 2025 | Publicus Research | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 27 February–8 March 2025 | Medián HVG |
4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 1 December 2024–28 February 2025 | Iránytű Intézet | 4.0% | 3.7–4.3% | 3.6–4.4% | 3.5–4.5% | 3.4–4.6% |
| 22–26 February 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 20–29 January 2025 | Publicus Research | 9.0% | 8.4–9.7% | 8.2–9.9% | 8.0–10.1% | 7.7–10.4% |
| 14–22 January 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 7.9% | 6.9–9.1% | 6.6–9.4% | 6.4–9.7% | 5.9–10.3% |
| 31 December 2024–10 January 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 4.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 11–17 December 2024 | Publicus Research | 9.0% | 7.9–10.3% | 7.6–10.6% | 7.4–10.9% | 6.9–11.6% |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 4.9% | 4.3–5.7% | 4.1–6.0% | 3.9–6.2% | 3.7–6.6% |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 5.9% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.6–7.5% | 4.2–8.1% |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 4.0% | 3.4–4.8% | 3.2–5.1% | 3.0–5.3% | 2.7–5.7% |
| 19–22 November 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 2.0% | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 8.9% | 7.8–10.2% | 7.5–10.5% | 7.3–10.8% | 6.8–11.5% |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 5.9% | 5.2–6.8% | 5.0–7.0% | 4.8–7.3% | 4.5–7.7% |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 3.0% | 2.4–3.8% | 2.2–4.1% | 2.1–4.3% | 1.9–4.7% |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 6.0% | 5.1–7.1% | 4.9–7.4% | 4.7–7.7% | 4.3–8.2% |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.0% | 4.2–6.0% | 4.0–6.3% | 3.8–6.5% | 3.5–7.1% |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 4.0% | 3.3–4.9% | 3.1–5.2% | 2.9–5.4% | 2.7–5.9% |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 7.0% | 6.1–8.2% | 5.8–8.5% | 5.6–8.8% | 5.2–9.3% |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 6.9% | 6.2–7.8% | 5.9–8.1% | 5.7–8.3% | 5.4–8.8% |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 4.2% | 3.6–5.3% | 3.4–5.6% | 3.2–5.8% | 2.9–6.3% |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 2.3% | 1.8–3.0% | 1.6–3.2% | 1.5–3.4% | 1.3–3.8% |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 8.0% | 7.0–9.2% | 6.7–9.6% | 6.5–9.9% | 6.0–10.5% |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 5.6% | 4.8–6.6% | 4.5–7.0% | 4.3–7.2% | 4.0–7.7% |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 6.4% | 5.5–7.5% | 5.3–7.8% | 5.0–8.1% | 4.6–8.7% |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 6.9% | 6.0–8.0% | 5.7–8.4% | 5.5–8.7% | 5.1–9.2% |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 7.9% | 7.1–8.9% | 6.9–9.2% | 6.7–9.4% | 6.3–9.9% |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per percentage block of voting intentions for the poll average for Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D).
| Voting Intentions | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0–0.5% | 0% | 100% | Last Result |
| 0.5–1.5% | 4% | 100% | |
| 1.5–2.5% | 31% | 96% | |
| 2.5–3.5% | 22% | 65% | Median |
| 3.5–4.5% | 10% | 42% | |
| 4.5–5.5% | 15% | 33% | |
| 5.5–6.5% | 9% | 18% | |
| 6.5–7.5% | 6% | 9% | |
| 7.5–8.5% | 3% | 3% | |
| 8.5–9.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | |
| 9.5–10.5% | 0% | 0% |
Seats
Last result: 0 seats (General Election of 9 June 2024)
Confidence Intervals
| Period | Polling firm/Commissioner(s) | Median | 80% Confidence Interval | 90% Confidence Interval | 95% Confidence Interval | 99% Confidence Interval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N/A | Poll Average | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 13–16 October 2025 | Alapjogokért Központ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13–14 October 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–13 October 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–10 October 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6–7 October 2025 | XXI. Század Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 September–7 October 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 25 September–1 October 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 September–1 October 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10–14 September 2025 | McLaughlin & Associates Index |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 8–12 September 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 8–10 September 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 31 August–6 September 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 August–4 September 2025 | Medián HVG |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 August–3 September 2025 | Závecz Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 27–31 August 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21–27 August 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 18–19 August 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 31 July–7 August 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–6 August 2025 | Publicus Research Népszava |
1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 23–29 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 1–8 July 2025 | Republikon Intézet 24.hu |
1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 30 June–2 July 2025 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 June–1 July 2025 | Real-PR 93 | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–27 June 2025 | Závecz Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 24–27 June 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont 24.hu |
1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 23–25 June 2025 | Publicus Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–17 June 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3–7 June 2025 | Medián HVG |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May–3 June 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 15–23 May 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 12–16 May 2025 | Publicus Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–18 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 3–9 April 2025 | Publicus Research | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 1–7 April 2025 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 March–1 April 2025 | Republikon Intézet | |||||
| 16–25 March 2025 | Závecz Research | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 10–12 March 2025 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 5–11 March 2025 | Publicus Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 February–8 March 2025 | Medián HVG |
0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1 December 2024–28 February 2025 | Iránytű Intézet | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22–26 February 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 20–29 January 2025 | Publicus Research | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–22 January 2025 | Republikon Intézet | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 31 December 2024–10 January 2025 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 1–31 December 2024 | Századvég | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 16–18 December 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 11–17 December 2024 | Publicus Research | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 9–11 December 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 29 November–6 December 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 November–5 December 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 20–30 November 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 | 0–2 |
| 25–27 November 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 20–26 November 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 19–22 November 2024 | Magyar Társadalomkutató | |||||
| 14–19 November 2024 | Századvég | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 14–19 November 2024 | Publicus Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–13 November 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 31 October–8 November 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 October–4 November 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1–31 October 2024 | Századvég | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28–30 October 2024 | Real-PR 93 | 1 | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–2 |
| 24–29 October 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 11–18 October 2024 | Publicus Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 14–17 October 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–15 October 2024 | 21 Kutatóközpont | 0 | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 28 September–8 October 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 27 September–7 October 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 16–18 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 9–11 September 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 0 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 3–10 September 2024 | Medián | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 August–6 September 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 21–31 August 2024 | ZRI Závecz Research | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 24–31 July 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 15–17 July 2024 | Nézőpont Intézet | 1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 | 0–1 |
| 4–10 July 2024 | Medián | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1–2 | 0–2 |
| 3–8 July 2024 | Republikon Intézet | 1 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
| 19–27 June 2024 | IDEA Intézet | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1–2 | 1–2 |
Probability Mass Function
The following table shows the probability mass function per seat for the poll average for Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D).
| Number of Seats | Probability | Accumulated | Special Marks |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 75% | 100% | Last Result, Median |
| 1 | 24% | 25% | |
| 2 | 1.0% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0% | 0% |