Opinion Poll by Publicus Research, 5–11 March 2025
Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information
Voting Intentions

Confidence Intervals
Party |
Last Result |
Poll Result |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) |
0.0% |
41.0% |
39.0–43.0% |
38.5–43.6% |
38.0–44.1% |
37.1–45.1% |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) |
0.0% |
39.0% |
37.1–41.0% |
36.5–41.6% |
36.0–42.1% |
35.1–43.0% |
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) |
0.0% |
9.0% |
7.9–10.3% |
7.6–10.6% |
7.4–10.9% |
6.9–11.6% |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) |
0.0% |
5.0% |
4.2–6.0% |
4.0–6.3% |
3.8–6.5% |
3.5–7.1% |
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) |
0.0% |
2.0% |
1.5–2.7% |
1.4–2.9% |
1.3–3.1% |
1.1–3.4% |
Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.
Seats


Confidence Intervals
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
0.6% |
100% |
|
9 |
46% |
99.4% |
|
10 |
52% |
54% |
Median |
11 |
2% |
2% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
10% |
100% |
|
9 |
74% |
90% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
16% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
14% |
100% |
|
2 |
86% |
86% |
Median |
3 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
|
4 |
0% |
0% |
|
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
48% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
52% |
52% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Szocialista Párt (S&D) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)
For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
100% |
100% |
Last Result, Median |
Coalitions

Confidence Intervals
Coalition |
Last Result |
Median |
Majority? |
80% Confidence Interval |
90% Confidence Interval |
95% Confidence Interval |
99% Confidence Interval |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) |
0 |
9 |
0.1% |
9–10 |
8–10 |
8–10 |
8–10 |
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) |
0 |
1 |
0% |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
0–1 |
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
0% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
0% |
100% |
|
2 |
0% |
100% |
|
3 |
0% |
100% |
|
4 |
0% |
100% |
|
5 |
0% |
100% |
|
6 |
0% |
100% |
|
7 |
0% |
100% |
|
8 |
10% |
100% |
|
9 |
74% |
90% |
Median |
10 |
16% |
16% |
|
11 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
Majority |
12 |
0% |
0% |
|
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

Number of Seats |
Probability |
Accumulated |
Special Marks |
0 |
48% |
100% |
Last Result |
1 |
52% |
52% |
Median |
2 |
0% |
0% |
|
Opinion Poll
- Polling firm: Publicus Research
- Commissioner(s): —
- Fieldwork period: 5–11 March 2025
Calculations
- Sample size: 1000
- Simulations done: 2,097,152
- Error estimate: 0.85%