Opinion Poll by Iránytű Intézet, 1 September–30 November 2025

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0.0% 50.0% 49.1–50.9% 48.8–51.2% 48.6–51.4% 48.2–51.8%
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0.0% 37.0% 36.1–37.9% 35.9–38.1% 35.7–38.3% 35.3–38.8%
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0.0% 6.0% 5.6–6.5% 5.5–6.6% 5.4–6.7% 5.2–6.9%
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 4.0% 3.7–4.4% 3.6–4.5% 3.5–4.6% 3.3–4.8%
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0.0% 2.0% 1.8–2.3% 1.7–2.4% 1.6–2.4% 1.5–2.6%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 12 11–12 11–12 11–12 11–12
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 8 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–9
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 1 1 1 1 1
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0% 100%  
11 33% 100% Majority
12 67% 67% Median
13 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 67% 100% Median
9 33% 33%  
10 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 8 0% 8–9 8–9 8–9 8–9
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 1 0% 1 1 1 1

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 67% 100% Median
9 33% 33%  
10 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0.1% 100% Last Result
1 99.9% 99.9% Median
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations