Opinion Poll by Minerva Intézet, 20–25 February 2026

Voting Intentions | Seats | Coalitions | Technical Information

Voting Intentions

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Poll Result 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0.0% 49.9% 48.1–51.8% 47.5–52.3% 47.1–52.8% 46.2–53.6%
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0.0% 41.5% 39.7–43.3% 39.2–43.9% 38.7–44.3% 37.9–45.2%
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0.0% 4.1% 3.4–4.9% 3.2–5.2% 3.1–5.4% 2.8–5.8%
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0.0% 2.8% 2.3–3.6% 2.1–3.8% 2.0–3.9% 1.8–4.3%
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0.0% 1.7% 1.3–2.3% 1.2–2.4% 1.1–2.6% 0.9–2.9%

Note: The poll result column reflects the actual value used in the calculations. Published results may vary slightly, and in addition be rounded to fewer digits.

Seats

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Confidence Intervals

Party Last Result Median 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) 0 11 11–12 11–12 11–12 10–12
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 9 9–10 9–10 9–10 9–10
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 0 0 0–1 0–1 0–1
Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) 0 0 0 0 0 0
Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) 0 0 0 0 0 0

Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Tisztelet és Szabadság (EPP) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0% 100%  
9 0% 100%  
10 0.6% 100%  
11 52% 99.4% Median, Majority
12 48% 48%  
13 0.1% 0.1%  
14 0% 0%  

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.4% 100%  
9 54% 99.6% Median
10 46% 46%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Demokratikus Koalíció (S&D) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA)

For a full overview of the results for this party, see the Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt (Greens/EFA) page.

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 100% 100% Last Result, Median

Coalitions

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Confidence Intervals

Coalition Last Result Median Majority? 80% Confidence Interval 90% Confidence Interval 95% Confidence Interval 99% Confidence Interval
Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE) 0 9 0.1% 9–10 9–10 9–10 9–10
Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN) 0 0 0% 0 0–1 0–1 0–1

Fidesz–Kereszténydemokrata Néppárt (PfE)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 0% 100% Last Result
1 0% 100%  
2 0% 100%  
3 0% 100%  
4 0% 100%  
5 0% 100%  
6 0% 100%  
7 0% 100%  
8 0.4% 100%  
9 54% 99.6% Median
10 46% 46%  
11 0.1% 0.1% Majority
12 0% 0%  

Mi Hazánk Mozgalom (ESN)

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Number of Seats Probability Accumulated Special Marks
0 93% 100% Last Result, Median
1 7% 7%  
2 0% 0%  

Technical Information

Opinion Poll

Calculations